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| version 1.70, 2003/02/05 12:40:38 | version 1.71, 2003/03/28 13:32:54 |
|---|---|
| Line 972 double func( double *x) | Line 972 double func( double *x) |
| * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. | * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. |
| */ | */ |
| /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ | /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ |
| lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ | if( s2 > nlstate){ |
| /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution | |
| to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current | |
| step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh | |
| and probability to die before dh-stepm . | |
| In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed | |
| as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other | |
| health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state | |
| and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was | |
| to consider that at each interview the state was recorded | |
| (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we | |
| introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified | |
| the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new | |
| contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit | |
| stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview | |
| and month of death but the probability to survive from last | |
| interview up to one month before death multiplied by the | |
| probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris | |
| Jackson for correcting this bug. Former versions increased | |
| mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop | |
| which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10% | |
| lower mortality. | |
| */ | |
| lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); | |
| }else{ | |
| lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ | |
| /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */ | |
| } | |
| /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ | /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ |
| /*if(lli ==000.0)*/ | /*if(lli ==000.0)*/ |
| /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ | /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ |
| ipmx +=1; | ipmx +=1; |
| sw += weight[i]; | sw += weight[i]; |
| ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; | ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; |
| } /* end of wave */ | } /* end of wave */ |
| Line 1707 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int | Line 1734 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int |
| sum=sum+j; | sum=sum+j; |
| /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ | /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ |
| /* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ | /* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ |
| /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/ | |
| } | } |
| } | } |
| else{ | else{ |
| Line 1744 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int | Line 1772 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int |
| if(dh[mi][i]==0){ | if(dh[mi][i]==0){ |
| dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ | dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ |
| bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ | bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ |
| printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i); | /* printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/ |
| } | } |
| } | } |
| } /* end if mle */ | } /* end if mle */ |
| Line 2279 void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d | Line 2307 void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d |
| fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); | fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
| fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); | fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
| fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); | fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); |
| fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,digit); | fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); |
| /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); | /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); |
| */ | */ |
| fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit); | fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); |
| free_vector(xp,1,npar); | free_vector(xp,1,npar); |
| free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); | free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); |
| Line 3087 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr | Line 3115 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr |
| fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); | fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); |
| fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); | fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); |
| for (agec=fage; agec>=ageminpar; agec--){ | for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ |
| nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); | nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); |
| nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; | nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; |
| p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); | p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); |
| Line 3103 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr | Line 3131 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr |
| } | } |
| for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { | for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { |
| ppij=0.; | ppij=0.; |
| for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { | for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { |
| if (mobilav==1) | if (mobilav==1) |
| ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec+1][i][cptcod]; | ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; |
| else { | else { |
| ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec+1)][i][cptcod]; | ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; |
| } | } |
| if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)) | if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)) |
| fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); | fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); |
| Line 3615 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) | Line 3643 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) |
| if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; | if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; |
| printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ | printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ |
| for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) | |
| /*if ((s[3][i]==3) || (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08; | |
| else weight[i]=1;*/ | |
| /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ | /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ |
| Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ | Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ |
| Tprod=ivector(1,15); | Tprod=ivector(1,15); |
| Line 3717 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) | Line 3749 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) |
| for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { | for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
| agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); | agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); |
| for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ | for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){ |
| if(s[m][i] >0){ | if(s[m][i] >0){ |
| if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { | if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { |
| if(agedc[i]>0) | if(agedc[i]>0) |
| Line 3760 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) | Line 3792 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) |
| } | } |
| for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { | for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
| for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ | for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){ |
| if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { | if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { |
| printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); | printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
| fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); | fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
| Line 3769 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) | Line 3801 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) |
| } | } |
| } | } |
| /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ | |
| for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){ | |
| printf("%d %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]); | |
| } | |
| }*/ | |
| printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); | printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
| fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); | fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
| Line 3982 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) | Line 4021 int main(int argc, char *argv[]) |
| fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); | fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); |
| fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); | fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
| printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); | printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
| fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); | fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
| fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); | fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
| /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ | /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ |
| while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ | while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ |