Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.19 and 1.207

version 1.19, 2002/02/20 17:19:10 version 1.207, 2015/10/27 17:36:57
Line 1 Line 1
      /* $Id$
 /*********************** Imach **************************************            $State$
   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies from cross-longitudinal    $Log$
   data. Cross-longitudinal consist in a first survey ("cross") where    Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
   individuals from different ages are interviewed on their health status    *** empty log message ***
   or degree of  disability. At least a second wave of interviews  
   ("longitudinal") should  measure each new individual health status.    Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
   Health expectancies are computed from the transistions observed between    *** empty log message ***
   waves and are computed for each degree of severity of disability (number  
   of life states). More degrees you consider, more time is necessary to    Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
   reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.    Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
   The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is  
   the probabibility to be observed in state j at the second wave conditional    Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
   to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore the model is:    Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
   log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex'  
   is a covariate. If you want to have a more complex model than "constant and    Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
   age", you should modify the program where the markup    Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
     *Covariates have to be included here again* invites you to do it.  
   More covariates you add, less is the speed of the convergence.    Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
     therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
   The advantage that this computer programme claims, comes from that if the    prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
   delay between waves is not identical for each individual, or if some  
   individual missed an interview, the information is not rounded or lost, but    Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
   taken into account using an interpolation or extrapolation.    Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
   hPijx is the probability to be  
   observed in state i at age x+h conditional to the observed state i at age    Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
   x. The delay 'h' can be split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of    Summary: 0.98r0
   unobserved intermediate  states. This elementary transition (by month or  
   quarter trimester, semester or year) is model as a multinomial logistic.    - Some new graphs like suvival functions
   The hPx matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices    - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply hPijx.  
     Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also    Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
   of the life expectancies. It also computes the prevalence limits.  
      Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).  
            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.    Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action    Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
   from the European Union.  
   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and    Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version    Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .  
   **********************************************************************/    Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
      *** empty log message ***
 #include <math.h>  
 #include <stdio.h>    Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
 #include <stdlib.h>    Summary: 0.98q5
 #include <unistd.h>  
     Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
 #define MAXLINE 256    Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
 #define FILENAMELENGTH 80  
 /*#define DEBUG*/    After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
 #define windows    a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */    permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */    $ echo q | imach foo.imach
   
 #define MAXPARM 30 /* Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */    Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
 #define NPARMAX 64 /* (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */    Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
   
 #define NINTERVMAX 8    Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
 #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /* Maximum number of live states (for func) */    Summary: 0.98q4
 #define NDEATHMAX 8 /* Maximum number of dead states (for func) */  
 #define NCOVMAX 8 /* Maximum number of covariates */    Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
 #define MAXN 20000    Summary: Fixing some outputs
 #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */  
 #define AGESUP 130    Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
 #define AGEBASE 40    Summary: Some fixes
   
     Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
 int nvar;    Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
 int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;  
 int npar=NPARMAX;    Fix 1+age+.
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  
 int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */    Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
 int ncovmodel, ncov;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */    Summary: 0.98q2
 int popbased=0;  
     Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */    *** empty log message ***
 int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */  
 int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */    Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
 int mle, weightopt;    *** empty log message ***
 int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */  
 int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */    Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
 double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */    Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
 double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */  
 double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */    Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
 FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf;    working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
 FILE *ficgp, *fichtm,*ficresprob,*ficpop;    but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
 FILE *ficreseij;  
   char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];    Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
  FILE  *ficresvij;    Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
   char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];  
  FILE  *ficresvpl;    Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
   char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];    Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
   
 #define NR_END 1    Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
 #define FREE_ARG char*    Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
 #define FTOL 1.0e-10  
     We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
 #define NRANSI    incidence on the results, but better justifications;
 #define ITMAX 200    We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
     wrong results.
 #define TOL 2.0e-4  
     Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
 #define CGOLD 0.3819660    Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
 #define ZEPS 1.0e-10    Author: Nicolas Brouard
 #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d);  
     Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
 #define GOLD 1.618034    Summary: Comments on Powell added
 #define GLIMIT 100.0  
 #define TINY 1.0e-20    Author:
   
 static double maxarg1,maxarg2;    Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
 #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))    Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
 #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))  
      Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
 #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))    Summary: back to OS/X
 #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)  
     Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
 static double sqrarg;    *** empty log message ***
 #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)  
 #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;}    Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
     Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
 int imx;  
 int stepm;    Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
 /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/    *** empty log message ***
   
 int m,nb;    Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
 int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;    *** empty log message ***
 double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;  
 double **pmmij, ***probs, ***mobaverage;    Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
 double dateintmean=0;    Summary: Still in cross-compilation
   
 double *weight;    Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
 int **s; /* Status */    Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
 double *agedc, **covar, idx;  
 int **nbcode, *Tcode, *Tvar, **codtab, **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;    Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
     Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
 double ftol=FTOL; /* Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */  
 double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for computing hessian */    Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
     Summary: Back from Visual C
 /**************** split *************************/  
 static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name )    Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
 {  
    char *s;                             /* pointer */    Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
    int  l1, l2;                         /* length counters */    Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
   
    l1 = strlen( path );                 /* length of path */    The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );  
    s = strrchr( path, '\\' );           /* find last / */    Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
    if ( s == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so use current */    Summary: 0.98p
 #if     defined(__bsd__)                /* get current working directory */  
       extern char       *getwd( );    Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
   
       if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) {    Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
 #else    Summary: update
       extern char       *getcwd( );  
     Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
       if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {    Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
 #endif  
          return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );    Testing on Linux 64
       }  
       strcpy( name, path );             /* we've got it */    Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
    } else {                             /* strip direcotry from path */    *** empty log message ***
       s++;                              /* after this, the filename */  
       l2 = strlen( s );                 /* length of filename */    Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
       if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );    Summary: After compiling on Visual C
       strcpy( name, s );                /* save file name */  
       strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );   /* now the directory */    * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
       dirc[l1-l2] = 0;                  /* add zero */  
    }    Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
    l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */    Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
    if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }  
    return( 0 );                         /* we're done */    * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
 }  
     Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
     * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
 /******************************************/  
     Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
 void replace(char *s, char*t)    Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
 {  
   int i;    Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
   int lg=20;    Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
   i=0;  
   lg=strlen(t);    Author:
   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {  
     (s[i] = t[i]);    Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';    Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
   }  
 }    Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
 int nbocc(char *s, char occ)  
 {    Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
   int i,j=0;    Summary: WIN32
   int lg=20;    Author: Brouard
   i=0;  
   lg=strlen(s);    Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {    *** empty log message ***
   if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;  
   }    Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
   return j;    Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
 }    Author: Brouard
   
 void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)    In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
 {    and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
   int i,lg,j,p=0;    just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
   i=0;    Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
   for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {    Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1;  
   }    Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   lg=strlen(t);  
   for(j=0; j<p; j++) {    Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
     (u[j] = t[j]);    Summary: New compile, minor changes
   }    Author: Brouard
      u[p]='\0';  
     Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) {    Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]);  
   }    Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
 }    Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
     Author: Brouard
 /********************** nrerror ********************/  
     Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
 void nrerror(char error_text[])    Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
 {  
   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");    Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);    *** empty log message ***
   exit(1);  
 }    Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
 /*********************** vector *******************/    Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
 double *vector(int nl, int nh)    Author: brouard
 {  
   double *v;    Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");    Author: Nicolas Brouard
   return v-nl+NR_END;  
 }    Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
     Summary: Nothing new
 /************************ free vector ******************/    Author: Brouard
 void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)  
 {    Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));  
 }    Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
 /************************ivector *******************************/  
 int *ivector(long nl,long nh)    Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
 {    Summary: Merge
   int *v;    Author: Brouard
   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));  
   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");    Merge, before building revised version.
   return v-nl+NR_END;  
 }    Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
     Summary: Debugging with valgrind
 /******************free ivector **************************/    Author: Nicolas Brouard
 void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)  
 {    Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));    After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
 }    improve the code.
     No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
 /******************* imatrix *******************************/    continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
 int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)    Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */    optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
 {    the source code.
   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1;  
   int **m;    Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
      Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
   /* allocate pointers to rows */  
   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*)));    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
   m += NR_END;  
   m -= nrl;    Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
      Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
    
   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));  
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
   m[nrl] += NR_END;    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   m[nrl] -= ncl;  
      Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
    
   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */    Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
   return m;    After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
 }    I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
   
 /****************** free_imatrix *************************/    Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
 void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)    *** empty log message ***
       int **m;  
       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl;    Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */    (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
 {    than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));  
   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END));    Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
 }    (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
     of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
 /******************* matrix *******************************/    get same likelihood as if mle=1.
 double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)    Some cleaning of code and comments added.
 {  
   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;    Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
   double **m;    (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
   
   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));    Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
   m += NR_END;  
   m -= nrl;    Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
     just nforces
   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));  
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
   m[nrl] += NR_END;    Many tings
   m[nrl] -= ncl;  
     Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    Some dimensions resccaled
   return m;  
 }    Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
     (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
 /*************************free matrix ************************/    lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
 void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)    V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
 {  
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));    Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));    Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
 }  
     Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
 /******************* ma3x *******************************/    (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
 double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)  
 {    Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;    (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
   double ***m;    imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
     loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));    (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
   m += NR_END;    and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
   m -= nrl;    deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
     computation.
   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
   m[nrl] += NR_END;  
   m[nrl] -= ncl;    Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
     (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
     loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    Version 0.98h
   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");  
   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;    Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;    Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++)    Forecasting file added.
     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;  
      Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {    Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;    The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++)  
       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;    Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
   }    * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
   return m;    name. <head> headers where missing.
 }  
     * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
 /*************************free ma3x ************************/    English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
 void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)    otherwise the weight is truncated).
 {    Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));    1.
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));    Version 0.98g
   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));  
 }    Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
     (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
 /***************** f1dim *************************/    English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
 extern int ncom;    otherwise the weight is truncated).
 extern double *pcom,*xicom;    Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
 extern double (*nrfunc)(double []);    1.
      Version 0.98g
 double f1dim(double x)  
 {    Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
   int j;    * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
   double f;  
   double *xt;    * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
      status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
   xt=vector(1,ncom);    not 1 month. Version 0.98f
   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j];  
   f=(*nrfunc)(xt);    Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
   free_vector(xt,1,ncom);    (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
   return f;    status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
 }    not 1 month. Version 0.98f
   
 /*****************brent *************************/    Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
 double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,  double *xmin)    (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
 {    computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
   int iter;  
   double a,b,d,etemp;    Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
   double fu,fv,fw,fx;    (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
   double ftemp;    table of variances if popbased=1 .
   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm;    (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
   double e=0.0;    (Module): Function pstamp added
      (Module): Version 0.98d
   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx);  
   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx);    Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
   x=w=v=bx;    (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x);    table of variances if popbased=1 .
   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) {    (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
     xm=0.5*(a+b);    (Module): Function pstamp added
     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS);    (Module): Version 0.98d
     /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/  
     printf(".");fflush(stdout);    Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
 #ifdef DEBUG    (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);    varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
     /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */  
 #endif    Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){    (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
       *xmin=x;  
       return fx;    Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
     }    (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
     ftemp=fu;    filename with strsep.
     if (fabs(e) > tol1) {  
       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv);    Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw);    (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r;    datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
       q=2.0*(q-r);    allocation too.
       if (q > 0.0) p = -p;  
       q=fabs(q);    Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
       etemp=e;    (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
       e=d;  
       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x))    Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
         d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x));    (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
       else {    (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
         d=p/q;    can be a simple dot '.'.
         u=x+d;  
         if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2)    Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
           d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x);    (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
       }  
     } else {    Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x));    (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
     }  
     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d));    Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
     fu=(*f)(u);    Gnuplot problem appeared...
     if (fu <= fx) {    To be fixed
       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x;  
       SHFT(v,w,x,u)    Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
         SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu)    Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
         } else {  
           if (u < x) a=u; else b=u;    Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
           if (fu <= fw || w == x) {    Some cleaning and links added in html output
             v=w;  
             w=u;    Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
             fv=fw;    *** empty log message ***
             fw=fu;  
           } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) {    Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
             v=u;    (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
             fv=fu;    (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
           }    that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
         }    (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
   }    contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent");    health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
   *xmin=x;    the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
   return fx;  
 }    Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
     (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
 /****************** mnbrak ***********************/  
     Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
 void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc,    Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
             double (*func)(double))  
 {    Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;    Fix on curr_time
   double fu;  
      Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
   *fa=(*func)(*ax);    Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  
   if (*fb > *fa) {    Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum)    *** empty log message ***
       SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum)  
       }    Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax);    New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
   *fc=(*func)(*cx);    directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
   while (*fb > *fc) {    state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc);    This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa);    other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/    cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r));    from other sources like vital statistic data.
     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx);  
     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) {    The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
       fu=(*func)(u);  
     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) {    Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
       fu=(*func)(u);    former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
       if (fu < *fc) {  
         SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx))    The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
           SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u))    the slope with 95% confident intervals.
           }  
     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) {    Current limitations:
       u=ulim;    A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
       fu=(*func)(u);    model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
     } else {    B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx);  
       fu=(*func)(u);    Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
     }    Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u)    suppressed.
       SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu)  
       }    Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
 }    * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
     rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
 /*************** linmin ************************/  
     Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
 int ncom;    * imach.c (Repository):
 double *pcom,*xicom;    (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
 double (*nrfunc)(double []);    matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
    
 void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []))    Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
 {    Just cleaning
   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx,  
                double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin);    Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
   double f1dim(double x);    (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb,    exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
               double *fc, double (*func)(double));    (Module): Version 0.96b
   int j;  
   double xx,xmin,bx,ax;    Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
   double fx,fb,fa;    (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
      exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
   ncom=n;  
   pcom=vector(1,n);    Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
   xicom=vector(1,n);    * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
   nrfunc=func;    (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
     pcom[j]=p[j];    is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
     xicom[j]=xi[j];    concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
   }  
   ax=0.0;    Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
   xx=1.0;    (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
   mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);    mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin);    of the covariance matrix to be input.
 #ifdef DEBUG  
   printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);    Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
 #endif    (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
     xi[j] *= xmin;    of the covariance matrix to be input.
     p[j] += xi[j];  
   }    Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
   free_vector(xicom,1,n);    * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
   free_vector(pcom,1,n);  
 }    Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
     Version 0.96
 /*************** powell ************************/  
 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret,    Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
             double (*func)(double []))    (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
 {    routine fileappend.
   void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,  
               double (*func)(double []));    Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
   int i,ibig,j;    * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;    current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
   double fp,fptt;    prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
   double *xits;    was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
   pt=vector(1,n);    assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
   ptt=vector(1,n);    interview.
   xit=vector(1,n);    (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
   xits=vector(1,n);    we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
   *fret=(*func)(p);    memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j];    truncation)
   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) {    (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
     fp=(*fret);  
     ibig=0;    Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
     del=0.0;    * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);    place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++)    many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);    parcimony.
     printf("\n");    Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {  
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i];    Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
       fptt=(*fret);    *** empty log message ***
 #ifdef DEBUG  
       printf("fret=%lf \n",*fret);    Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
 #endif    Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);  
       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);  */
       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) {  /*
         del=fabs(fptt-(*fret));     Interpolated Markov Chain
         ibig=i;  
       }    Short summary of the programme:
 #ifdef DEBUG    
       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));    This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies from
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: -1- a
         xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);    first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages are
         printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);    interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in the
       }    case of a health survey which is our main interest) -2- at least a
       for(j=1;j<=n;j++)    second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which measure each change
         printf(" p=%.12e",p[j]);    (if any) in individual health status.  Health expectancies are
       printf("\n");    computed from the time spent in each health state according to a
 #endif    model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the
     }    Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The
     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) {    simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the
 #ifdef DEBUG    probability to be observed in state j at the second wave
       int k[2],l;    conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore
       k[0]=1;    the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where
       k[1]=-1;    'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more
       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));    complex model than "constant and age", you should modify the program
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++)    where the markup *Covariates have to be included here again* invites
         printf(" %.12e",p[j]);    you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
       printf("\n");    convergence.
       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {  
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
           ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];    multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
           printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);    identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
         }    intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
         printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));    account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
       }  
 #endif    hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
     conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
     split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
       free_vector(xit,1,n);    states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
       free_vector(xits,1,n);    semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
       free_vector(ptt,1,n);    matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
       free_vector(pt,1,n);    and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
       return;    hPijx.
     }  
     if (*iter == ITMAX) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations.");    Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. 
       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j];    
       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j];    Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
       pt[j]=p[j];             Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
     }    This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
     fptt=(*func)(ptt);    from the European Union.
     if (fptt < fp) {    It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt);    software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
       if (t < 0.0) {    can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
         linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);  
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
           xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n];    or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
           xi[j][n]=xit[j];    
         }    **********************************************************************/
 #ifdef DEBUG  /*
         printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);    main
         for(j=1;j<=n;j++)    read parameterfile
           printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);    read datafile
         printf("\n");    concatwav
 #endif    freqsummary
       }    if (mle >= 1)
     }      mlikeli
   }    print results files
 }    if mle==1 
        computes hessian
 /**** Prevalence limit ****************/    read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
         begin-prev-date,...
 double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)    open gnuplot file
 {    open html file
   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit    period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached */     for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                                     | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
   int i, ii,j,k;      freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
   double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;  
   double **matprod2();    h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX], **pmij();     # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
   double **newm;         1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
   double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */         1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
   
   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)         1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){         1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);    variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
     }     Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
      Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
    cov[1]=1.;  
      forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
  /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */    health expectancies
   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){    Variance-covariance of DFLE
     newm=savm;    prevalence()
     /* Covariates have to be included here again */     movingaverage()
      cov[2]=agefin;    varevsij() 
      if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {    total life expectancies
         cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];    Variance of period (stable) prevalence
         /*printf("ij=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf\n",ij, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k]);*/   end
       }  */
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)  
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  /* #define DEBUG */
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)  /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];  /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
   /* #define DEBUGHESS */
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/  #define DEBUGHESSIJ
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/  /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan)*\/ */
   #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);  #define POWELLF1F3 /* Skip test */
   /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
     savm=oldm;  /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
     oldm=newm;  
     maxmax=0.;  #include <math.h>
     for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++){  #include <stdio.h>
       min=1.;  #include <stdlib.h>
       max=0.;  #include <string.h>
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) {  
         sumnew=0;  #ifdef _WIN32
         for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];  #include <io.h>
         prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);  #include <windows.h>
         max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);  #include <tchar.h>
         min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);  #else
       }  #include <unistd.h>
       maxmin=max-min;  #endif
       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,maxmin);  
     }  #include <limits.h>
     if(maxmax < ftolpl){  #include <sys/types.h>
       return prlim;  
     }  #if defined(__GNUC__)
   }  #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
 }  #endif
   
 /*************** transition probabilities ***************/  #include <sys/stat.h>
   #include <errno.h>
 double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )  /* extern int errno; */
 {  
   double s1, s2;  /* #ifdef LINUX */
   /*double t34;*/  /* #include <time.h> */
   int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;  /* #include "timeval.h" */
   /* #else */
     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){  /* #include <sys/time.h> */
     for(j=1; j<i;j++){  /* #endif */
       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){  
         /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/  #include <time.h>
         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];  
         /*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/  #ifdef GSL
       }  #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
       ps[i][j]=s2;  #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
       /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/  #endif
     }  
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  
       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){  #ifdef NLOPT
         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];  #include <nlopt.h>
         /*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/  typedef struct {
       }    double (* function)(double [] );
       ps[i][j]=(s2);  } myfunc_data ;
     }  #endif
   }  
     /*ps[3][2]=1;*/  /* #include <libintl.h> */
   /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){  
      s1=0;  #define MAXLINE 1024 /* Was 256. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
     for(j=1; j<i; j++)  
       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)  /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);  #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);  
     for(j=1; j<i; j++)  #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];  #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)  
       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];  #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */  #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
   } /* end i */  
   #define NINTERVMAX 8
   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){  #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){  #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
       ps[ii][jj]=0;  #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
       ps[ii][ii]=1;  #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
     }  #define MAXN 20000
   }  #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
   #define AGESUP 130
   #define AGEBASE 40
   /*   for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){  #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){  #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
      printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]);  #ifdef _WIN32
    }  #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
     printf("\n ");  #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
     }  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
     printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/  #else
 /*  #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
   for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);  #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
   goto end;*/  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
     return ps;  #endif
 }  
   /* $Id$ */
 /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/  /* $State$ */
   #include "version.h"
 double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long ncolol, long ncoloh, double **b)  char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
 {  char copyright[]="October 2015,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015";
   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times  char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$"; 
      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */  char strstart[80];
   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns  int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
      a pointer to pointers identical to out */  int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
   long i, j, k;  /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)  int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++)  int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
       for(j=ncl,out[i][k]=0.; j<=nch; j++)  int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates V2+V1 =2 */
         out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];  int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
   int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
   return out;  int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
 }  int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
   int npar=NPARMAX;
   int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
 /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/  int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
   int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
 double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )  int popbased=0;
 {  
   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' month  int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
      duration (i.e. until  int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying nhstepm*hstepm matrices.  int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step  int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big).  int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be                     to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
      included manually here.  int mle=1, weightopt=0;
   int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
      */  int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
   int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
   int i, j, d, h, k;             * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX];  int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
   double **newm;  double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
   double **matprod2(); /* test */
   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */  double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)  double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;
       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
     }  int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */  double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){  long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){  double sw; /* Sum of weights */
       newm=savm;  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
       /* Covariates have to be included here again */  char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
       cov[1]=1.;  FILE *ficresilk;
       cov[2]=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;  FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];  FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)  FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  FILE *ficreseij;
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)  char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];  FILE *ficresstdeij;
   char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
   FILE *ficrescveij;
       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/  char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/  FILE  *ficresvij;
       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,  char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
                    pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));  FILE  *ficresvpl;
       savm=oldm;  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
       oldm=newm;  char title[MAXLINE];
     }  char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {  char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
         po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];  char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
         /*printf("i=%d j=%d h=%d po[i][j][h]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);  int  outcmd=0;
          */  
       }  char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
   } /* end h */  char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
   return po;  char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
 }  char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
 /*************** log-likelihood *************/  
 double func( double *x)  char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
 {  
   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;  /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];  /* struct timezone tzp; */
   double **out;  /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
   double sw; /* Sum of weights */  struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */  
   long ipmx;  extern time_t time();
   /*extern weight */  
   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */  struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/  time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++)  struct tm tm;
     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);  
   */  char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
   cov[1]=1.;  
   char *endptr;
   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;  long lval;
   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){  double dval;
     for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];  
     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  #define NR_END 1
       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)  #define FREE_ARG char*
         for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  #define FTOL 1.0e-10
       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  
         newm=savm;  #define NRANSI 
         cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  #define ITMAX 200 
         for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {  
           cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];  #define TOL 2.0e-4 
         }  
          #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
         out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,  #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                      1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));  #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
         savm=oldm;  
         oldm=newm;  #define GOLD 1.618034 
          #define GLIMIT 100.0 
          #define TINY 1.0e-20 
       } /* end mult */  
        static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
       lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);  #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
       /* printf(" %f ",out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/  #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
       ipmx +=1;    
       sw += weight[i];  #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;  #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
     } /* end of wave */  /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
   } /* end of individual */  #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
   /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];  /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */  /* static double dsqrarg; */
   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */  /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
   return -l;  static double sqrarg;
 }  #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
   #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
   int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
 /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/  
   int imx; 
 void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))  int stepm=1;
 {  /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
   int i,j, iter;  
   double **xi,*delti;  int estepm;
   double fret;  /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);  
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)  int m,nb;
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  long *num;
       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
   printf("Powell\n");  int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);                     covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                      undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
    printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));  int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f ",iter,func(p));                               covariate for which somebody answered including 
                                undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
 }  double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
   double **pmmij, ***probs;
 /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/  double *ageexmed,*agecens;
 void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))  double dateintmean=0;
 {  
   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;  double *weight;
   double **hess;  int **s; /* Status */
   int i, j,jk;  double *agedc;
   int *indx;  double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
                     * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]);                    * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
   double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j);  double  idx; 
   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;  int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;  int *Tage;
   int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
   hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);  /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
   int **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;
   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");  double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  
     printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);  double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);  double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
     /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/  
     /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/  /**************** split *************************/
   }  static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
    {
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {    /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {       the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
       if (j>i) {    */ 
         printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);    char  *ss;                            /* pointer */
         hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);    int   l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
         hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];      
         /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/    l1 = strlen(path );                   /* length of path */
       }    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
     }    ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );            /* find last / */
   }    if ( ss == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so determine current directory */
   printf("\n");      strcpy( name, path );               /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
       /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");        printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
        /* get current working directory */
   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);      /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);  #ifdef WIN32
   x=vector(1,npar);      if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
   indx=ivector(1,npar);  #else
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)          if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];  #endif
   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);        return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
       }
   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {      /* got dirc from getcwd*/
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;      printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
     x[j]=1;    } else {                              /* strip directory from path */
     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);      ss++;                               /* after this, the filename */
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){      l2 = strlen( ss );                  /* length of filename */
       matcov[i][j]=x[i];      if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
     }      strcpy( name, ss );         /* save file name */
   }      strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );     /* now the directory */
       dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                 /* add zero */
   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");      printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {    }
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {    /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
       printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);    l1 = strlen( dirc );                  /* length of directory */
     }    if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
     printf("\n");      dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
   }      dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
       printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
   /* Recompute Inverse */    }
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)    ss = strrchr( name, '.' );            /* find last / */
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j];    if (ss >0){
   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);      ss++;
       strcpy(ext,ss);                     /* save extension */
   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n");      l1= strlen( name);
       l2= strlen(ss)+1;
   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {      strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;      finame[l1-l2]= 0;
     x[j]=1;    }
     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);  
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){    return( 0 );                          /* we're done */
       y[i][j]=x[i];  }
       printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);  
     }  
     printf("\n");  /******************************************/
   }  
   */  void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
   {
   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);    int i;
   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);    int lg=0;
   free_vector(x,1,npar);    i=0;
   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);    lg=strlen(t);
   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);    for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
       (s[i] = t[i]);
       if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
 }    }
   }
 /*************** hessian matrix ****************/  
 double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[])  char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
 {  { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
   int i;    char *s;
   int l=1, lmax=20;    s=out;
   double k1,k2;    while (*in != '\0'){
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];      while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
   double res;        in++;
   double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;      }
   double fx;      *out++ = *in++;
   int k=0,kmax=10;    }
   double l1;    *out='\0';
     return s;
   fx=func(x);  }
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];  
   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
     l1=pow(10,l);  /* { */
     delts=delt;  /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){  /*   char *s, *t; */
       delt = delta*(l1*k);  /*   t=in;s=out; */
       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;  /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
       k1=func(p2)-fx;  /*     *out++ = *in++; */
       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;  /*   } */
       k2=func(p2)-fx;  
       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */  /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */  /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
        /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
 #ifdef DEBUG  /*   } */
       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);  /*   in--; chain--; */
 #endif  /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */  /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){  /*     *out++ = *in++; */
         k=kmax;  /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
       }  /*   } */
       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */  /*   *out='\0'; */
         k=kmax; l=lmax*10.;  /*   out=s; */
       }  /*   return out; */
       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  /* } */
         delts=delt;  char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
       }  {
     }    /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
   }    /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
   delti[theta]=delts;  
   return res;    char *strloc;
    
 }    strcpy (out, in); 
     strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
 double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj)    printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
 {    if(strloc != NULL){ 
   int i;      /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
   int l=1, l1, lmax=20;      memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;      /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];    }
   int k;    printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
     return out;
   fx=func(x);  }
   for (k=1; k<=2; k++) {  
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];  
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;  char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;  {
     k1=func(p2)-fx;    /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
         and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;       gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;       If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
     k2=func(p2)-fx;    */
      char *s, *t;
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;    t=in;s=in;
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;    while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
     k3=func(p2)-fx;      *alocc++ = *in++;
      }
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;    if( *in == occ){
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;      *(alocc)='\0';
     k4=func(p2)-fx;      s=++in;
     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */    }
 #ifdef DEBUG   
     printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);    if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
 #endif      *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
   }      in=s;
   return res;    }
 }    while ( *in != '\0'){
       *blocc++ = *in++;
 /************** Inverse of matrix **************/    }
 void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d)  
 {    *blocc='\0';
   int i,imax,j,k;    return t;
   double big,dum,sum,temp;  }
   double *vv;  char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
    {
   vv=vector(1,n);    /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
   *d=1.0;       and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {       gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
     big=0.0;       If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++)    */
       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp;    char *s, *t;
     if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp");    t=in;s=in;
     vv[i]=1.0/big;    while (*in != '\0'){
   }      while( *in == occ){
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {        *blocc++ = *in++;
     for (i=1;i<j;i++) {        s=in;
       sum=a[i][j];      }
       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j];      *blocc++ = *in++;
       a[i][j]=sum;    }
     }    if (s == t) /* occ not found */
     big=0.0;      *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) {    else
       sum=a[i][j];      *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
       for (k=1;k<j;k++)    in=s;
         sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j];    while ( *in != '\0'){
       a[i][j]=sum;      *alocc++ = *in++;
       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) {    }
         big=dum;  
         imax=i;    *alocc='\0';
       }    return s;
     }  }
     if (j != imax) {  
       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) {  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
         dum=a[imax][k];  {
         a[imax][k]=a[j][k];    int i,j=0;
         a[j][k]=dum;    int lg=20;
       }    i=0;
       *d = -(*d);    lg=strlen(s);
       vv[imax]=vv[j];    for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
     }    if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
     indx[j]=imax;    }
     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY;    return j;
     if (j != n) {  }
       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]);  
       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum;  /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
     }  /* { */
   }  /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */  /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
 ;  /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
 }  /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
   /*   i=0; */
 void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[])  /*   lg=strlen(t); */
 {  /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
   int i,ii=0,ip,j;  /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
   double sum;  /*   } */
    
   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {  /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
     ip=indx[i];  /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
     sum=b[ip];  /*   } */
     b[ip]=b[i];  /*      u[p]='\0'; */
     if (ii)  
       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j];  /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
     else if (sum) ii=i;  /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
     b[i]=sum;  /*   } */
   }  /* } */
   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) {  
     sum=b[i];  #ifdef _WIN32
     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j];  char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
     b[i]=sum/a[i][i];  {
   }    char *p, *q;
 }           
     if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
 /************ Frequencies ********************/      return 0;
 void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2)    if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
 {  /* Some frequencies */    {
        *pp = q + 1;
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;      *q = '\0';
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    }
   double *pp;    else
   double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;      *pp = 0;
   FILE *ficresp;    return p;
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];  }
   #endif
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);  
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  /********************** nrerror ********************/
   strcpy(fileresp,"p");  
   strcat(fileresp,fileres);  void nrerror(char error_text[])
   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {  {
     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);    fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
     exit(0);    fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
   }    exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
   freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);  }
   j1=0;  /*********************** vector *******************/
   double *vector(int nl, int nh)
   j=cptcoveff;  {
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    double *v;
     v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){    return v-nl+NR_END;
        j1++;  }
        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);  
          scanf("%d", i);*/  /************************ free vector ******************/
         for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)    void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
          for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    {
            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)    free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
              freq[i][jk][m]=0;  }
   
         dateintsum=0;  /************************ivector *******************************/
         k2cpt=0;  int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {  {
          bool=1;    int *v;
          if  (cptcovn>0) {    v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)    if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])    return v-nl+NR_END;
                bool=0;  }
          }  
          if (bool==1) {  /******************free ivector **************************/
            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){  void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);  {
              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {    free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;  }
                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;  
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];  /************************lvector *******************************/
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];  long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {  {
                  dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;    long *v;
                  k2cpt++;    v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                }    if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
     return v-nl+NR_END;
              }  }
            }  
          }  /******************free lvector **************************/
        }  void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
         if  (cptcovn>0) {  {
          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");    free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);  }
        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");  
         }  /******************* imatrix *******************************/
        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
          fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);       /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");  { 
            long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
   for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){    int **m; 
     if(i==(int)agemax+3)    
       printf("Total");    /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
     else    m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
       printf("Age %d", i);    if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    m += NR_END; 
       for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)    m -= nrl; 
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];    
     }    
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
       for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)    m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
         pos += freq[jk][m][i];    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
       if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)    m[nrl] += NR_END; 
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);    m[nrl] -= ncl; 
       else    
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);    for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
     }    
     /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
      for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    return m; 
       for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)  } 
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];  
      }  /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
   void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
     for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)        int **m;
       pos += pp[jk];        long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){       /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
       if(pos>=1.e-5)  { 
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);    free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
       else    free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);  } 
       if( i <= (int) agemax){  
         if(pos>=1.e-5){  /******************* matrix *******************************/
           fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);  double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
           probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;  {
           /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/    long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
         }    double **m;
       else  
           fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);    m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
       }    if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
     }    m += NR_END;
     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    m -= nrl;
       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)  
         if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);    m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
     if(i <= (int) agemax)    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
       fprintf(ficresp,"\n");    m[nrl] += NR_END;
     printf("\n");    m[nrl] -= ncl;
     }  
     }    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
  }    return m;
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;    /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
    m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
   fclose(ficresp);  that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);     */
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);  }
   
   /* End of Freq */  /*************************free matrix ************************/
 }  void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
   {
 /************ Prevalence ********************/    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
 void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)    free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
 {  /* Some frequencies */  }
    
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;  /******************* ma3x *******************************/
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */  double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
   double *pp;  {
   double pos, k2;    long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
     double ***m;
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);  
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
      if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
   freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);    m += NR_END;
   j1=0;    m -= nrl;
    
   j=cptcoveff;    m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
      m[nrl] += NR_END;
  for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    m[nrl] -= ncl;
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){  
       j1++;    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
    
       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)      m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)      if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)    m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;    m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
          for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {      m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
         bool=1;    
         if  (cptcovn>0) {    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)      m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])      for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
               bool=0;        m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
         }    }
         if (bool==1) {    return m; 
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){    /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);             &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {    */
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;  }
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;  
               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-1/12.)] += weight[i];  /*************************free ma3x ************************/
               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i];    void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
             }  {
           }    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
         }    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
       }    free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
        }
         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){  
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  /*************** function subdirf ***********/
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)  char *subdirf(char fileres[])
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];  {
           }    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
             for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)    strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
             pos += freq[jk][m][i];    strcat(tmpout,fileres);
         }    return tmpout;
          }
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  
            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)  /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];  char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
          }  {
              
          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
     strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){              strcat(tmpout,"/");
            if( i <= (int) agemax){    strcat(tmpout,preop);
              if(pos>=1.e-5){    strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;    return tmpout;
              }  }
            }  
          }  /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
            char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
         }  {
     }    
   }    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
      strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
      strcat(tmpout,"/");
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);    strcat(tmpout,preop);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);    strcat(tmpout,preop2);
      strcat(tmpout,fileres);
 }  /* End of Freq */    return tmpout;
   }
 /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/  
   char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
 void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)  {
 {    long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.    days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).    sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i    hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
      dh[m][i] of dh[mw[mi][i][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]    sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.    minutes = (sec_left) /60;
      */    sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
     sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
   int i, mi, m;    return ascdiff;
   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;  }
      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/  
   /***************** f1dim *************************/
   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;  extern int ncom; 
   double sum=0.;  extern double *pcom,*xicom;
   jmin=1e+5;  extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
   jmax=-1;   
   jmean=0.;  double f1dim(double x) 
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  { 
     mi=0;    int j; 
     m=firstpass;    double f;
     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){    double *xt; 
       if(s[m][i]>=1)   
         mw[++mi][i]=m;    xt=vector(1,ncom); 
       if(m >=lastpass)    for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
         break;    f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
       else    free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
         m++;    return f; 
     }/* end while */  } 
     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  
       mi++;     /* Death is another wave */  /*****************brent *************************/
       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */  double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,  double *xmin) 
          /* Only death is a correct wave */  {
       mw[mi][i]=m;    /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
     }     * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
      * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
     wav[i]=mi;     * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
     if(mi==0)     * returned function value. 
       printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);    */
   }    int iter; 
     double a,b,d,etemp;
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){    double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){    double ftemp=0.;
       if (stepm <=0)    double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
         dh[mi][i]=1;    double e=0.0; 
       else{   
         if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) {    a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
           if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {    b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
           j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12);    x=w=v=bx; 
           if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */    fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
           k=k+1;    for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;      xm=0.5*(a+b); 
           if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;      tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
           sum=sum+j;      /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
           /* if (j<10) printf("j=%d num=%d ",j,i); */      printf(".");fflush(stdout);
           }      fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
         }  #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
         else{      printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
           j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));      fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
           k=k+1;      /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;  #endif
           else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;      if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
           /*   if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */        *xmin=x; 
           sum=sum+j;        return fx; 
         }      } 
         jk= j/stepm;      ftemp=fu;
         jl= j -jk*stepm;      if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
         ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;        r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
         if(jl <= -ju)        q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
           dh[mi][i]=jk;        p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
         else        q=2.0*(q-r); 
           dh[mi][i]=jk+1;        if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
         if(dh[mi][i]==0)        q=fabs(q); 
           dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */        etemp=e; 
       }        e=d; 
     }        if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
   }          d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
   jmean=sum/k;        else { 
   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);          d=p/q; 
  }          u=x+d; 
 /*********** Tricode ****************************/          if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
 void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)            d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
 {        } 
   int Ndum[20],ij=1, k, j, i;      } else { 
   int cptcode=0;        d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
   cptcoveff=0;      } 
        u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
   for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;      fu=(*f)(u); 
   for (k=1; k<=7; k++) ncodemax[k]=0;      if (fu <= fx) { 
         if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
   for (j=1; j<=(cptcovn+2*cptcovprod); j++) {        SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
       ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]);      } else { 
       Ndum[ij]++;        if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
       /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/        if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
       if (ij > cptcode) cptcode=ij;          v=w; 
     }          w=u; 
           fv=fw; 
     for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {          fw=fu; 
       if(Ndum[i]!=0) ncodemax[j]++;        } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
     }          v=u; 
     ij=1;          fv=fu; 
         } 
       } 
     for (i=1; i<=ncodemax[j]; i++) {    } 
       for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {    nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
         if (Ndum[k] != 0) {    *xmin=x; 
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;    return fx; 
           ij++;  } 
         }  
         if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;  /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
       }    
     }  void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
   }                double (*func)(double)) 
   { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
  for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;  the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
   new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
  for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {  values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
       ij=Tvar[i];     */
       Ndum[ij]++;    double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
     }    double fu; 
   
  ij=1;    double scale=10.;
  for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {    int iterscale=0;
    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncov)){  
      Tvaraff[ij]=i;    *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
      ij++;    *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
    }  
  }  
      /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
     cptcoveff=ij-1;    /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
 }    /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
     /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
 /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/    /* } */
   
 void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij)    if (*fb > *fa) { 
 {      SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
   /* Health expectancies */      SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;    } 
   double age, agelim,hf;    *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
   double ***p3mat;    *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
    #ifdef DEBUG
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");    printf("mnbrak0 *fb=%.12e *fc=%.12e\n",*fb,*fc);
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 *fb=%.12e *fc=%.12e\n",*fb,*fc);
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  #endif
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)    while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc */
       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d",i,j);      r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");      q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); 
       u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /*  Every j years of age (in month) */        (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */      ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
       if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
   agelim=AGESUP;        fu=(*func)(u); 
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */  #ifdef DEBUG
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */        /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);        double A, fparabu; 
     /* Typically if 20 years = 20*12/6=40 stepm */        A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;        fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically 40/4=10 */        printf("mnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu);
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu);
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored        /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */        /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);            (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
         /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
   #endif 
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  #else
         for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){  /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
           eij[i][j][(int)age] +=p3mat[i][j][h];  /* #ifdef DEBUG */
         }  /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
      /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
     hf=1;  /* #endif */
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;  /*      /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
     fprintf(ficreseij,"%.0f",age );  /*      /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  /*      dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){  /*      u = *cx; */
         fprintf(ficreseij," %.4f", hf*eij[i][j][(int)age]);  /*      *cx = dum; */
       }  /*      dum = fu; */
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");  /*      fu = *fc; */
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  /*      *fc =dum; */
   }  /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
 }  /* #ifdef DEBUG */
   /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
 /************ Variance ******************/  /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
 void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)  /* #endif */
 {  /*      dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
   /* Variance of health expectancies */  /*      u = *cx; */
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/  /*      *cx = dum; */
   double **newm;  /*      dum = fu; */
   double **dnewm,**doldm;  /*      fu = *fc; */
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;  /*      *fc =dum; */
   int k, cptcode;  /*       } */
   double *xp;  #ifdef DEBUG
   double **gp, **gm;        printf("mnbrak34  fu < or >= fc \n");
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak34 fu < fc\n");
   double ***p3mat;  #endif
   double age,agelim;        dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
   int theta;        u = *cx;
         *cx = dum;
    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");        dum = fu;
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");        fu = *fc;
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        *fc =dum;
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  #endif
       fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e%1d, e%1d)",i,j);      } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
   fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");  #ifdef DEBUG
         printf("mnbrak2  u after c but before ulim\n");
   xp=vector(1,npar);        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u after c but before ulim\n");
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);  #endif
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);        fu=(*func)(u); 
          if (fu < *fc) { 
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */  #ifdef DEBUG
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */        printf("mnbrak2  u after c but before ulim AND fu < fc\n");
   agelim = AGESUP;        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u after c but before ulim AND fu <fc \n");
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */  #endif
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;          SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */        } 
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);  #ifdef DEBUG
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);        printf("mnbrak2  u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c)\n");
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c)\n");
   #endif
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){        u=ulim; 
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */        fu=(*func)(u); 
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);      } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
       }  #ifdef DEBUG
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          printf("mnbrak2  u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum)\n");
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2  u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum)\n");
   #endif
       if (popbased==1) {        u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        fu=(*func)(u); 
           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];      } /* end tests */
       }      SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
            SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  #ifdef DEBUG
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){        printf("mnbrak2 (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu);
           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu);
             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];  #endif
         }    } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
       }  } 
      
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */  /*************** linmin ************************/
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);  /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);    resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);  and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
   the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
       if (popbased==1) {  routines mnbrak and brent .*/
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  int ncom; 
           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];  double *pcom,*xicom;
       }  double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
    
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){  { 
           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)    double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];                 double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
         }    double f1dim(double x); 
       }    void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                 double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++)    int j; 
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){    double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];    double fx,fb,fa;
         }  
     } /* End theta */  #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
   #else
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);    double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
   #endif
     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++)    
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)    ncom=n; 
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)    pcom=vector(1,n); 
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];    xicom=vector(1,n); 
     nrfunc=func; 
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)      pcom[j]=p[j]; 
         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;      xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){    } 
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){  
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);  #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);    xx=1.;
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)  #else
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)    axs=0.0;
             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j];    xxs=1.;
       }    do{
     }      xx= xxs;
     h=1;  #endif
     if (stepm >= YEARM) h=stepm/YEARM;      ax=0.;
     fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );      mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){      /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", h*vareij[i][j][(int)age]);      /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
       }      /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");      /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);  #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);  #else
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);      if (fx != fx){
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
   } /* End age */          printf("|");
            fprintf(ficlog,"|");
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);          printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);  #endif
       }
 }    }while(fx != fx);
   #endif
 /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/    
 void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
 {    printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
   /* Variance of prevalence limit */    fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/  #endif
   double **newm;    *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;    /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
   int k, cptcode;    /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
   double *xp;    /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
   double *gp, *gm;  #ifdef DEBUG
   double **gradg, **trgradg;    printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
   double age,agelim;    fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
   int theta;  #endif
      #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of prevalences limit\n");    printf("linmin end ");
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");    fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  #endif
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");  #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
       xi[j] *= xmin; 
   xp=vector(1,npar);  #else
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);      if(xxs <1.0)
          printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */  #endif
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */      xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
   agelim = AGESUP;  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */      if(xxs <1.0)
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */        printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;  #endif
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */  #endif
     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);      p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
     gp=vector(1,nlstate);    } 
     gm=vector(1,nlstate);  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
     printf("\n");
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){    printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */    fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
       }      printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);      fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
         gp[i] = prlim[i][i];        printf("\n");
            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */      }
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);    }
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);  #else
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)  #endif
         gm[i] = prlim[i][i];    free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
     free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)  } 
         gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];  
     } /* End theta */  
   /*************** powell ************************/
     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);  /*
   Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)  rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
         trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];  such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
   output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)  function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;   */
     matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
     matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);              double (*func)(double [])) 
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)  { 
       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */    void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
                 double (*func)(double [])); 
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );    int i,ibig,j; 
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));    double directest;
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");    double fp,fptt;
     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);    double *xits;
     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);    int niterf, itmp;
     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);  
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);    pt=vector(1,n); 
   } /* End age */    ptt=vector(1,n); 
     xit=vector(1,n); 
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    xits=vector(1,n); 
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);    *fret=(*func)(p); 
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
 }    for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
       fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
 /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/      ibig=0; 
 void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij)      del=0.0; 
 {      rlast_time=rcurr_time;
   int i, j;      /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
   int k=0, cptcode;      rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
   double **dnewm,**doldm;      curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
   double *xp;      printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
   double *gp, *gm;      fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
   double **gradg, **trgradg;  /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
   double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];      for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
   int theta;        printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
   char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];        fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);
         fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
   strcpy(fileresprob,"prob");      }
   strcat(fileresprob,fileres);      printf("\n");
   if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);      fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
   }      if(*iter <=3){
   printf("Computing variance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);        tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
          strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
         rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
   xp=vector(1,npar);        itmp = strlen(strcurr);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);        if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
          printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
   cov[1]=1;        fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){        for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
     cov[2]=age;          rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);          forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
     trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);          strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
     gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          itmp = strlen(strfor);
     gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
              strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){          printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)          fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);        }
            }
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);      for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
            for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
       k=0;        fptt=(*fret); 
       for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){  #ifdef DEBUG
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){        printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
            k=k+1;        fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
           gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];  #endif
         }        printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
       }        fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
         linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)                                      /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);        if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
              /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
           /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);          /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
       k=0;          /* with the new direction. */
       for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){          del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){          ibig=i; 
           k=k+1;        } 
           gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];  #ifdef DEBUG
         }        printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
       }        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
              for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
        for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)          xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
            gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];            printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
     }          fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
         }
      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)        for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)          printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
       trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];          fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
          }
      matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);        printf("\n");
      matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   #endif
      pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);      } /* end loop on each direction i */
       /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
      k=0;      /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
      for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){      /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){      if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
          k=k+1;        /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
          gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];        /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
         }        /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
      }        /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
              /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
      /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);        /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
      for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){        /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
          
         /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
        printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));        /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
      }*/        /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
         /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);  #ifdef DEBUG
         int k[2],l;
   for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){        k[0]=1;
     if (i== 2) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);        k[1]=-1;
 if (i== 4) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);        printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
   }        fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
     free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
     free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);        }
     free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);        printf("\n");
 }        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
  free_vector(xp,1,npar);        for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
 fclose(ficresprob);          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
  exit(0);            ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
 }            printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
             fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
 /***********************************************/          }
 /**************** Main Program *****************/          printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
 /***********************************************/          fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
         }
 /*int main(int argc, char *argv[])*/  #endif
 int main()  
 {  
         free_vector(xit,1,n); 
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;        free_vector(xits,1,n); 
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;        free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
   double agemin=1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;        free_vector(pt,1,n); 
         return; 
   double fret;      } /* enough precision */ 
   double **xi,tmp,delta;      if (*iter == ITMAX) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
   double dum; /* Dummy variable */        ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
   double ***p3mat;        xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
   int *indx;        pt[j]=p[j]; 
   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];      } 
   char title[MAXLINE];      fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];  #ifdef POWELLF1F3
   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];  #else
   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];      if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];  #endif
   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];        /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
   char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[20];        /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;        /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */        /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
   int c,  h , cpt,l;        /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
   int ju,jl, mi;        /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del */
   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;        /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;  #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;        t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
   int hstepm, nhstepm;  #else
   int *popage;/*boolprev=0 if date and zero if wave*/        t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2;        t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
   #endif
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;        directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
   double ftolpl=FTOL;  #ifdef DEBUG
   double **prlim;        printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
   double *severity;        fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */        printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
   double  *p;               (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */        fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
   double ***delti3; /* Scale */               (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
   double *delti; /* Scale */        printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
   double ***eij, ***vareij;        fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */  #endif
   double *epj, vepp;  #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
   double kk1, kk2;        if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;  #else
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean, calagedate;        if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
   double yp,yp1,yp2;          printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
           printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
   char version[80]="Imach version 64b, May 2001, INED-EUROREVES ";          fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];          fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
         } 
         if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
   char z[1]="c", occ;  #endif
 #include <sys/time.h>  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
 #include <time.h>          printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80];          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
              printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
   /* long total_usecs;            fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
   struct timeval start_time, end_time;            if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                printf("\n");
   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */              fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             }
           }
   printf("\nIMACH, Version 0.7");  #endif
   printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");          linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
   #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
 #ifdef windows          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
   scanf("%s",pathtot);            printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
   getcwd(pathcd, size);            fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);            if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/              printf("\n");
   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/              fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             }
 split(pathtot, path,optionfile);          }
   chdir(path);  #endif
   replace(pathc,path);          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
 #endif            xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
 #ifdef unix            xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
   scanf("%s",optionfile);          }
 #endif          printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
 /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/  
   #ifdef DEBUG
   strcpy(fileres,"r");          printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
   strcat(fileres, optionfile);          fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
           for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
   /*---------arguments file --------*/            printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",xit[j]);
   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {          }
     printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);          printf("\n");
     goto end;          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   }  #endif
         } /* end of t or directest negative */
   strcpy(filereso,"o");  #ifdef POWELLF1F3
   strcat(filereso,fileres);  #else
   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {      } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);goto end;  #endif
   }    } /* loop iteration */ 
   } 
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */  
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
     ungetc(c,ficpar);  
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij)
     puts(line);  {
     fputs(line,ficparo);    /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit
   }       matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
     /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncov, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);    /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncov,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    /* Initial matrix pimij */
 while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
     ungetc(c,ficpar);    /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);    /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
     puts(line);    /*
     fputs(line,ficparo);     * and after some iteration: */
   }    /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
      /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
        /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);    /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
   cptcovn=0;    /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
   if (strlen(model)>1) cptcovn=nbocc(model,'+')+1;    /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
   
   ncovmodel=2+cptcovn;    int i, ii,j,k;
   nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */    double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
      /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
   /* Read guess parameters */    double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij();
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */    double **newm;
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    double agefin, delaymax=100 ; /* Max number of years to converge */
     ungetc(c,ficpar);    int ncvloop=0;
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);    
     puts(line);    for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
     fputs(line,ficparo);      for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
   }        oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   ungetc(c,ficpar);      }
      
   param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    cov[1]=1.;
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++)    
     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){    /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);    /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);    for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);      ncvloop++;
       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){      newm=savm;
         fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);      /* Covariates have to be included here again */
         printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);      cov[2]=agefin;
         fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);      if(nagesqr==1)
       }        cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");      for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
       printf("\n");        /* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");        cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
     }        /* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); */
        }
     npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel;      /*wrong? for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]*cov[2]; */
   p=param[1][1];      for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless */
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */        /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; */
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
     puts(line);      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
     fputs(line,ficparo);      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
   }      /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
   ungetc(c,ficpar);      /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
       out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);      
   delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */      savm=oldm;
   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){      oldm=newm;
     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){      maxmax=0.;
       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);      for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++){
       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);        min=1.;
       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);        max=0.;
       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) {
         fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);          sumnew=0;
         printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);          for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
         fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);          prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
       }          max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);
       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");          min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);
       printf("\n");          printf(" age= %d prevalim i=%d, j=%d, prmlim[%d][%d]=%f, agefin=%d max=%f min=%f\n", (int)age, i, j, i, j, prlim[i][j],(int)agefin, max, min);
       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");        }
     }        maxmin=(max-min)/(max+min)*2;
   }        maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,maxmin);
   delti=delti3[1][1];      } /* j loop */
        *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */      printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear);
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      if(maxmax < ftolpl){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        return prlim;
     puts(line);      }
     fputs(line,ficparo);    } /* age loop */
   }    printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision %g > ftolpl=%g. \n\
   ungetc(c,ficpar);  Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
    /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
   matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    return prlim; /* should not reach here */
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){  }
     fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);  
     printf("%s",str);  /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
     fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);  
     for(j=1; j <=i; j++){  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
       fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);  {
       printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);    /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
       fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);       computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
     }       model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
     fscanf(ficpar,"\n");       lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
     printf("\n");       and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
     fprintf(ficparo,"\n");       ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
   }       j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)       j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
     for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)       Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
       matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];       sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
           Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
   printf("\n");       the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
     */
     double s1, lnpijopii;
     /*-------- data file ----------*/    /*double t34;*/
     if((ficres =fopen(fileres,"w"))==NULL) {    int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileres);goto end;  
     }      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);        for(j=1; j<i;j++){
              for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {            /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
       printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;            lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
     }  /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
           }
     n= lastobs;          ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
     severity = vector(1,maxwav);  /*      printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
     outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);        }
     num=ivector(1,n);        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
     moisnais=vector(1,n);          for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
     annais=vector(1,n);            /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
     moisdc=vector(1,n);            lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
     andc=vector(1,n);  /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
     agedc=vector(1,n);          }
     cod=ivector(1,n);          ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
     weight=vector(1,n);        }
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */      }
     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);      
     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);        s1=0;
     adl=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);            for(j=1; j<i; j++){
     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);          s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
     ncodemax=ivector(1,8);          /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
         }
     i=1;        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
     while (fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL)    {          s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
       if ((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs)) {          /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                }
         for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){        /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); s[j][i]=atoi(strb);        ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
           strcpy(line,stra);        /* Computing other pijs */
           cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); anint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);        for(j=1; j<i; j++)
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); mint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
         }        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                  ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
         cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); andc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);        /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisdc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);      } /* end i */
       
         cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); annais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);      for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);        for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
           ps[ii][jj]=0;
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          ps[ii][ii]=1;
         for (j=ncov;j>=1;j--){        }
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);      }
         }      
         num[i]=atol(stra);      
              /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
         /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){      /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
           printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/      /*  printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
       /*   } */
         i=i+1;      /*   printf("\n "); */
       }      /* } */
     }      /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
     /* printf("ii=%d", ij);      /*
        scanf("%d",i);*/        for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
   imx=i-1; /* Number of individuals */        goto end;*/
       return ps;
   /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){  }
     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;  
     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;  /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;  
     }  double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
   {
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)    /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
     if (covar[1][i]==0) printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));*/       b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
     /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/       before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
   Tvar=ivector(1,15);       a pointer to pointers identical to out */
   Tprod=ivector(1,15);    int i, j, k;
   Tvaraff=ivector(1,15);    for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
   Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);      for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
   Tage=ivector(1,15);              out[i][k]=0.;
            for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
   if (strlen(model) >1){          out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
     j=0, j1=0, k1=1, k2=1;      }
     j=nbocc(model,'+');    return out;
     j1=nbocc(model,'*');  }
     cptcovn=j+1;  
     cptcovprod=j1;  
      /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
      
     strcpy(modelsav,model);  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )
     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){  {
       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);    /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 
       goto end;       'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
     }       age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
           nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
     for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){       Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
       cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+');       (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
       if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav);       for the memory).
       /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/       Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
       /*scanf("%d",i);*/       included manually here. 
       if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  
         cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*');       */
         if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) {  
           cptcovprod--;    int i, j, d, h, k;
           cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');    double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);    double **newm;
           cptcovage++;    double agexact;
             Tage[cptcovage]=i;  
             /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/    /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
         }    for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
         else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) {      for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           cptcovprod--;        oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');        po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);      }
           cptcovage++;    /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
           Tage[cptcovage]=i;    for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
         }      for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
         else {        newm=savm;
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');        /* Covariates have to be included here again */
           Tvar[i]=ncov+k1;        cov[1]=1.;
           cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V');        agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;
           Tprod[k1]=i;        cov[2]=agexact;
           Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);        if(nagesqr==1)
           Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre);          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) 
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];          cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
           for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)          /* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
             covar[ncov+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
           k1++;          /* cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
           k2=k2+2;          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
         }          /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k]])]*cov[2]; */
       }        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
       else {          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
         /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/          /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; */
        /*  scanf("%d",i);*/  
       cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');  
       Tvar[i]=atoi(strc);        /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
       }        /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
       strcpy(modelsav,stra);          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
       /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);                     pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
         scanf("%d",i);*/        savm=oldm;
     }        oldm=newm;
 }      }
        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
   /*printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);          po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
   scanf("%d ",i);*/          /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
     fclose(fic);        }
       /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
     /*  if(mle==1){*/    } /* end h */
     if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights*/  /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
       for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0;    return po;
     }  }
     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/  
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);  #ifdef NLOPT
     double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)    double fret;
      for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++)    double *xt;
        if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){    int j;
          anint[m][i]=9999;    myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
          s[m][i]=-1;  /* xt = (p1-1); */
        }    xt=vector(1,n); 
        for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {  
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);    fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){    /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
         if(s[m][i] >0){    printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
           if (s[m][i] == nlstate+1) {    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
             if(agedc[i]>0)    printf("\n");
               if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)   free_vector(xt,1,n);
               agev[m][i]=agedc[i];    return fret;
             else {  }
               if (andc[i]!=9999){  #endif
               printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);  
               agev[m][i]=-1;  /*************** log-likelihood *************/
               }  double func( double *x)
             }  {
           }    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
           else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
             agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);    double **out;
             if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)    double sw; /* Sum of weights */
               agev[m][i]=1;    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
             else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){    int s1, s2;
               agemin=agev[m][i];    double bbh, survp;
               /*printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemin);*/    long ipmx;
             }    double agexact;
             else if(agev[m][i] >agemax){    /*extern weight */
               agemax=agev[m][i];    /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
              /* printf(" anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.0f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemax);*/    /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
             }    /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
             /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/      printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
             /*   agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/    */
           }  
           else { /* =9 */    ++countcallfunc;
             agev[m][i]=1;  
             s[m][i]=-1;    cov[1]=1.;
           }  
         }    for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
         else /*= 0 Unknown */  
           agev[m][i]=1;    if(mle==1){
       }      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
            /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
     }           depending if the covariates are fixed or variying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {           Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){           to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {         */
           printf("Error: Wrong value in nlstate or ndeath\n");          for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){ /* Simple and product covariates without age* products */
           goto end;            cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
         }        }
       }        /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
     }           is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
            has been calculated etc */
 printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
           for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
     free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
     free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     free_vector(moisnais,1,n);              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     free_vector(annais,1,n);            }
     /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
        free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/            newm=savm;
     free_vector(moisdc,1,n);            agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
     free_vector(andc,1,n);            cov[2]=agexact;
             if(nagesqr==1)
                  cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
     wav=ivector(1,imx);            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
     dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
     mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);            }
                out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
     /* Concatenates waves */                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
       concatwav(wav, dh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);            savm=oldm;
             oldm=newm;
           } /* end mult */
       Tcode=ivector(1,100);        
       nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);          /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
       ncodemax[1]=1;          /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
       if (cptcovn > 0) tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx);           * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                 * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
    codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);           * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
    h=0;           * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);           * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
             * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
    for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){           * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
      for(i=1; i <=(m/pow(2,k));i++){           * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){           * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
          for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){           * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
            h++;           */
            if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
          }          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
        }          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
      }          /* bias bh is positive if real duration
    }           * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
               */
    /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age          /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */          if( s2 > nlstate){ 
             /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
     pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */               which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
     oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */               minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
     newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */               In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
     savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */          as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
     oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */          health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
     /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]          to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
        so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */          (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
     p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */          introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
           the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
     if(mle==1){          contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
     mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);          stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
     }          and month of death but the probability to survive from last
              interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
     /*--------- results files --------------*/          probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle,weightopt,model);          Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
            mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
           which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
    jk=1;          lower mortality.
    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters\n");            */
    printf("# Parameters\n");          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
        if (k != i)             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
          {             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
            printf("%d%d ",i,k);             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
            fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
              printf("%f ",p[jk]);             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
              fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
              jk++;             infinity.
            }          */
            printf("\n");  /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
            fprintf(ficres,"\n");  /*          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
          }  /* #else */
      }  /*        if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
    }  /*          lli=log(mytinydouble); */
  if(mle==1){  /*        else */
     /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */  /*          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */  /* #endif */
     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);              lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
  }  
     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales\n");          } else if  (s2==-2) {
     printf("# Scales\n");            for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
      for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){            /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
         if (j!=i) {            lli= log(survp);
           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);          }
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);          
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){          else if  (s2==-4) { 
             printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);            for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
             fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
             jk++;            lli= log(survp); 
           }          } 
           printf("\n");  
           fprintf(ficres,"\n");          else if  (s2==-5) { 
         }            for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
       }              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
      }            lli= log(survp); 
              } 
     k=1;          
     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance\n");          else{
     printf("# Covariance\n");            lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){            /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;          } 
       i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;          /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
       fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);          /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
       printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);*/          /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
       fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);          ipmx +=1;
       printf("%3d",i);          sw += weight[i];
       for(j=1; j<=i;j++){          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);          /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
         printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);          /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
       }          /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
       fprintf(ficres,"\n");          /* } */
       printf("\n");        } /* end of wave */
       k++;      } /* end of individual */
     }    }  else if(mle==2){
          for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
       puts(line);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
       fputs(line,ficparo);              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     }              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     ungetc(c,ficpar);            }
            for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);            newm=savm;
                agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
     if (fage <= 2) {            cov[2]=agexact;
       bage = agemin;            if(nagesqr==1)
       fage = agemax;              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
     }            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
               cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy.\n");            }
             out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);            savm=oldm;
              oldm=newm;
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){          } /* end mult */
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
     puts(line);          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
     fputs(line,ficparo);          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
   }          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
   ungetc(c,ficpar);          ipmx +=1;
            sw += weight[i];
   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mob_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mob_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);        } /* end of wave */
  fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mob_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);      } /* end of individual */
          }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
     puts(line);          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
     fputs(line,ficparo);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
   }              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   ungetc(c,ficpar);              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
              }
           for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
    dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;            newm=savm;
    dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;            agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
             cov[2]=agexact;
   fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);            if(nagesqr==1)
    fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);                cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
    fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);              for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
               cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){            }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
     puts(line);            savm=oldm;
     fputs(line,ficparo);            oldm=newm;
   }          } /* end mult */
   ungetc(c,ficpar);        
   fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2);          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
 fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
 fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
           lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2);          ipmx +=1;
           sw += weight[i];
  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
 chdir(pathcd);        } /* end of wave */
   if((ficgp=fopen("graph.plt","w"))==NULL) {      } /* end of individual */
     printf("Problem with file graph.gp");goto end;    }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
   }      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
 #ifdef windows        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
 #endif          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
 m=pow(2,cptcoveff);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
  /* 1eme*/              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {            }
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
             newm=savm;
 #ifdef windows            agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);            cov[2]=agexact;
 #endif            if(nagesqr==1)
 #ifdef unix              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
 fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres);            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
 #endif              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
             }
 for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {          
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
 }            savm=oldm;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stationary prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);            oldm=newm;
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {          } /* end mult */
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");        
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
 }          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);          if( s2 > nlstate){ 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {            lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          }else{
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");            lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
 }            }
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));          ipmx +=1;
 #ifdef unix          sw += weight[i];
 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300");          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
 #endif  /*      printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);        } /* end of wave */
    }      } /* end of individual */
   }    }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
   /*2 eme*/      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,fage);          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
       k=2*i;              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
       fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);            }
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");            newm=savm;
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");            agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
 }              cov[2]=agexact;
       if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,");            if(nagesqr==1)
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1);              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
         if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");            }
         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          
 }              out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);            savm=oldm;
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {            oldm=newm;
   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          } /* end mult */
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");        
 }            s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
       if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
     }          ipmx +=1;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);          sw += weight[i];
   }          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
            /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
   /*3eme*/        } /* end of wave */
       } /* end of individual */
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    } /* End of if */
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {    for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
       k=2+nlstate*(cpt-1);    /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);    l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {    return -l;
         fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);  }
       }  
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);  /*************** log-likelihood *************/
     }  double funcone( double *x)
   }  {
      /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
   /* CV preval stat */    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
     for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {    double **out;
       k=3;    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",agemin,agemax,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);    double llt;
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)    int s1, s2;
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);    double bbh, survp;
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,cpt+1);    double agexact;
          /*extern weight */
       l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;    /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
       fprintf(ficgp,",\"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",fileres,k1,l+cpt+1,l+1);    /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {    /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
         l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;      printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);    */
       }    cov[1]=1.;
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l\n",cpt+1,cpt+1);    
       fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"p%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);    for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
     }  
   }      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
   /* proba elementaires */      for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
       if (k != i) {            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
         for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
           /*fprintf(ficgp,"%s%1d%1d=%f ",alph[j],i,k,p[jk]);*/          }
           /*fprintf(ficgp,"%s",alph[1]);*/        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
           fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f ",jk,p[jk]);          newm=savm;
           jk++;          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
           fprintf(ficgp,"\n");          cov[2]=agexact;
         }          if(nagesqr==1)
       }            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
     }          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
     }            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
           }
   for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {  
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,agemax);          /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
    i=1;          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
    for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
      k3=i;          /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
      for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {          /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
        if (k != k2){          savm=oldm;
         fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);          oldm=newm;
 ij=1;        } /* end mult */
         for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {        
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
             ij++;        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
           }        /* bias is positive if real duration
           else         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
           fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);         */
         }        if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
           fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                } else if  (s2==-2) {
         for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){            for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
           fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
 ij=1;          lli= log(survp);
           for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){        }else if (mle==1){
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);        } else if(mle==2){
             ij++;          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
           }        } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
           else          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);        } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
           }          lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
           fprintf(ficgp,")");        } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
         }          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
         fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);          /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
         if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");        } /* End of if */
         i=i+ncovmodel;        ipmx +=1;
        }        sw += weight[i];
      }        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
    }        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk);        if(globpr){
   }          fprintf(ficresilk,"%9ld %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %11.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
       %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
   fclose(ficgp);                  num[i], agexact, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
                      2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);
 chdir(path);          for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);            fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);          }
     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);            fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
     free_ivector(num,1,n);        }
     free_vector(agedc,1,n);      } /* end of wave */
     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/    } /* end of individual */
     fclose(ficparo);    for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
     fclose(ficres);    /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
     /*  }*/    l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
        if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
    /*________fin mle=1_________*/      gipmx=ipmx;
          gsw=sw;
     }
      return -l;
     /* No more information from the sample is required now */  }
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */  
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  
     ungetc(c,ficpar);  /*************** function likelione ***********/
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
     puts(line);  {
     fputs(line,ficparo);    /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
   }       the selection of individuals/waves and
   ungetc(c,ficpar);       to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
         Plotting could be done.
   fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);     */
   printf("agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax, bage, fage);    int k;
   fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);  
 /*--------- index.htm --------*/    if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
       strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);      strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");      if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {        printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);goto end;        fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
   }      }
       fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count age s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
  fprintf(fichtm,"<body><ul> <font size=\"6\">Imach, Version 0.7 </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">      fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i age i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
 Titre=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>      /*  i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
 Total number of observations=%d <br>      for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>        fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
 <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">      fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
 <li>Outputs files<br><br>\n    }
         - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n  
 - Estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>    *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
         - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>    if(*globpri !=0){
         - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>      fclose(ficresilk);
         - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>      if (mle ==0)
         - Life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
         - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>      else if(mle >=1)
         - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
         - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>      fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
         - Prevalences and population forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>      
 <br>",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
  fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
  m=cptcoveff;      fflush(fichtm);
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}        
       for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
  j1=0;        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p%dj by origin %d and destination j <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
  for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){  <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){      }
        j1++;    }
        if (cptcovn > 0) {    return;
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");  }
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[j1][cpt]]);  
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");  /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
        }  
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probabilities: pe%s%d.gif<br>  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
 <img src=\"pe%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),j1);      {
        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){    int i,j, iter=0;
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Prevalence of disability : p%s%d%d.gif<br>    double **xi;
 <img src=\"p%s%d%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);    double fret;
        }    double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
     for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {    /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident  
 interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.gif <br>  #ifdef NLOPT
 <img src=\"v%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);      int creturn;
      }    nlopt_opt opt;
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {    /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.gif <br>    double *lb;
 <img src=\"exp%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);    double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
      }    double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and    myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
 health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.gif<br>  #endif
 <img src=\"e%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),j1);  
 fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");  
    }    xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
  }    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
 fclose(fichtm);      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
         xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/    printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
      strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
   strcpy(filerespl,"pl");    strcat(filerespow,fileres);
   strcat(filerespl,fileres);    if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
     printf("Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
   }    }
   printf("Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);    fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Prevalence limit\n");    for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");      for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");    fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
    #ifdef POWELL
   prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */  #endif
   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */  
   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */  #ifdef NLOPT
   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */  #ifdef NEWUOA
   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */    opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
   k=0;  #else
   agebase=agemin;    opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
   agelim=agemax;  #endif
   ftolpl=1.e-10;    lb=vector(0,npar-1);
   i1=cptcoveff;    for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}    nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
     nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){    p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
         k=k+1;    d->function = func;
         /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/    printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");    nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)    nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
           fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);    if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
         fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");      printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
            }
         for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){    else {
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);      printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
           fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age );      printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      iter=1; /* not equal */
           fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);    }
           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");    nlopt_destroy(opt);
         }  #endif
       }    free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
     }    fclose(ficrespow);
   fclose(ficrespl);    printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
   /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/    fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
    
   strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);  }
   if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {  
     printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;  /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
   }  void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
   printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);  {
      double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    /* double **hess; */
   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/    int i, j;
     int *indx;
   agelim=AGESUP;  
   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */    double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
      void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
   k=0;    void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    double gompertz(double p[]);
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){    /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
       k=k+1;  
         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");    printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)    fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");      printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
              fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */     
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */       hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */      
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;          printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);      }
           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Age");    
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);        if (j>i) { 
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");          printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){          fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );          hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)          
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)          hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);          /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");        }
           }      }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);    }
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");    printf("\n");
         }    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     }  
   }    printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
   /* varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k);*/    
     a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   fclose(ficrespij);    y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
     x=vector(1,npar);
   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/    indx=ivector(1,npar);
   calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
       for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);    ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
   
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
   strcpy(fileresf,"f");      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);      x[j]=1;
   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {      lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);goto end;      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
   }        matcov[i][j]=x[i];
   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);      }
     }
   free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);  
   free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);    printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
   /* Mobile average */    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
       for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;        printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
   if (mobilav==1) {      }
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      printf("\n");
     for (agedeb=bage+3; agedeb<=fage-2; agedeb++)      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    }
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)  
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;    /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
        /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
     for (agedeb=bage+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){    /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){    /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){    /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
           for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){    /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
             mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]+probs[(int)agedeb-cpt][i][cptcod];    /*   } */
           }    /*   printf("\n"); */
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]/5;    /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
         }    /* } */
       }  
     }      /* Recompute Inverse */
   }    /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
     /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;  
     /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
   agelim=AGESUP;  
   /*hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; *//* Every year of age */    /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
   hstepm=1;    /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2 years/6 months = 4 */    /*   x[j]=1; */
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);    /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
   anprojmean=yp;    /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);    /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
   mprojmean=yp;    /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);    /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
   jprojmean=yp;    /*   } */
   fprintf(ficresf,"Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean);    /*   printf("\n"); */
     /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
   if (popforecast==1) {    /* } */
     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL)    {  
       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);goto end;    /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
     }  #ifdef DEBUGHESS
     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);    y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);  
     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP);     printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
      fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
     i=1;    
     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF)    for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
       {      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
         i=i+1;        printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
       }        fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
     imx=i;      }
          printf("\n");
     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   }    }
   #endif
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){    free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
       k=k+1;    free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");    free_vector(x,1,npar);
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {    free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
         fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);    /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
       }  
       fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");  
       fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");  }
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);  
       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficresf," [Population]");  /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
    double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=1;cpt++) {  { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");    int i;
   fprintf(ficresf,"\nForecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);      int l=1, lmax=20;
       for (agedeb=(fage-(1/12.)); agedeb>=(bage-(1/12.)); agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */    double k1,k2, res, fx;
         nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);    double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
         nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;    double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
         /*printf("agedeb=%.lf stepm=%d hstepm=%d nhstepm=%d \n",agedeb,stepm,hstepm,nhstepm);*/    int k=0,kmax=10;
     double l1;
         p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;    fx=func(x);
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
                    for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
         for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){      l1=pow(10,l);
           if (h==(int) (calagedate+12*cpt)) {      delts=delt;
             fprintf(ficresf,"h=%d ", h);      for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
             fprintf(ficresf,"\n %f %f ",agedeb,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);        delt = delta*(l1*k);
           }        p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
           for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {        k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
             kk1=0.;kk2=0;        p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                k2=func(p2)-fx;
               if (mobilav==1)        /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
                 kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod];        res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
               else {        
                 kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];  #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
                 /*  fprintf(ficresf," p3=%.3f p=%.3f ", p3mat[i][j][h],probs[(int)(agedeb)+1][i][cptcod]);*/        printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
               }        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
   #endif
               if (popforecast==1) kk2=kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb];        /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
             }        if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                    k=kmax;
             if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){        }
               fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);        else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
                        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficresf," [%.f]", kk2);        }
             }        else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
           }          delts=delt;
         }        }
         free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      } /* End loop k */
       }    }
       }    delti[theta]=delts;
     }    return res; 
   }    
   if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  }
   if (popforecast==1) {  
     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP);  double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP);  {
     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP);    int i;
   }    int l=1, lmax=20;
   free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);    double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
   free_vector(weight,1,n);    double p2[MAXPARM+1];
   fclose(ficresf);    int k, kmax=1;
   /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/    double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
     
   strcpy(filerest,"t");    fx=func(x);
   strcat(filerest,fileres);    for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
   if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
     printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
   }      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
   printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);      k1=func(p2)-fx;
     
       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
   strcpy(filerese,"e");      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
   strcat(filerese,fileres);      k2=func(p2)-fx;
   if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {    
     printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
   }      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
   printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);      k3=func(p2)-fx;
     
  strcpy(fileresv,"v");      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
   strcat(fileresv,fileres);      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
   if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {      k4=func(p2)-fx;
     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);      res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
   }      if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);        kmax=kmax+10;
         if(kmax >=10){
   k=0;        printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){        printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
       k=k+1;        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");        }
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)      }
         fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");      v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
       v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");      cv12=res;
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)      /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
         fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);      lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");      lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
       if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");        printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
         fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);        printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
       }
       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);  #endif
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;    }
       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k);      return res;
       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);  }
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  
       varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);      /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
        /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
       fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");  /* { */
       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);  /*   int i; */
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");  /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
          /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
       hf=1;  /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
       if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;  /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);  /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){  /*   double l1; */
         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);    
         if (popbased==1) {  /*   fx=func(x); */
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];  /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
         }  /*     delts=delt; */
          /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
         fprintf(ficrest," %.0f",age);  /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
         for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){  /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
           for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {  /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
             epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*hf*eij[i][j][(int)age];  /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
           }  /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
           epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];        
         }  /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
         for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)  /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)  /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
             vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];        
         fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[nlstate+1],hf*sqrt(vepp));  /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
         for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){  /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
           fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[j],hf*sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));  /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
         }        
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");  /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
       }  /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
     }  /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
   }  /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
          /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
          /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
   /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
   /* #endif */
  fclose(ficreseij);  /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
  fclose(ficresvij);  /*      k=kmax; */
   fclose(ficrest);  /*       } */
   fclose(ficpar);  /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
   free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);  /*      k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
   /*  scanf("%d ",i); */  /*       } */
   /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
   /*------- Variance limit prevalence------*/    /*      delts=delt; */
   /*       } */
 strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");  /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
   strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);  /*   } */
   if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {  /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
     printf("Problem with variance prev lim resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);  /*   return res;  */
     exit(0);  /* } */
   }  
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of Prevalence limit: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);  
   /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
  k=0;  void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
  for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  { 
    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){    int i,imax,j,k; 
      k=k+1;    double big,dum,sum,temp; 
      fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");    double *vv; 
      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)   
        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);    vv=vector(1,n); 
      fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");    *d=1.0; 
          for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
      varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);      big=0.0; 
      oldm=oldms;savm=savms;      for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
      varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);        if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
    }      if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
  }      vv[i]=1.0/big; 
     } 
   fclose(ficresvpl);    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
       for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
   /*---------- End : free ----------------*/        sum=a[i][j]; 
   free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);        for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
          a[i][j]=sum; 
   free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);      } 
   free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);      big=0.0; 
        for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
          sum=a[i][j]; 
   free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);          sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        a[i][j]=sum; 
   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
            big=dum; 
   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);          imax=i; 
   free_vector(delti,1,npar);        } 
        } 
   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);      if (j != imax) { 
         for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
   printf("End of Imach\n");          dum=a[imax][k]; 
   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */          a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
            a[j][k]=dum; 
   /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/        } 
   /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/        *d = -(*d); 
   /*------ End -----------*/        vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
       } 
       indx[j]=imax; 
  end:      if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
 #ifdef windows      if (j != n) { 
  chdir(pathcd);        dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
 #endif        for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
        } 
  system("..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot graph.plt");    } 
     free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
 #ifdef windows  ;
   while (z[0] != 'q') {  } 
     chdir(pathcd);  
     printf("\nType e to edit output files, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
     scanf("%s",z);  { 
     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");    int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
     else if (z[0] == 'e') {    double sum; 
       chdir(path);   
       system(optionfilehtm);    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
     }      ip=indx[i]; 
     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);      sum=b[ip]; 
   }      b[ip]=b[i]; 
 #endif      if (ii) 
 }        for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
       else if (sum) ii=i; 
       b[i]=sum; 
     } 
     for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
       sum=b[i]; 
       for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
       b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
     } 
   } 
   
   void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
   {
     fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
   }
   
   /************ Frequencies ********************/
   void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[])
   {  /* Some frequencies */
     
     int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j;
     int first;
     double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
     double *pp, **prop;
     double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
     char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
     
     pp=vector(1,nlstate);
     prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3);
     strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
     strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
     if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
       exit(0);
     }
     freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);
     j1=0;
     
     j=cptcoveff;
     if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
     first=1;
   
     /* for(k1=1; k1<=j ; k1++){ */  /* Loop on covariates */
     /*  for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */ /* Now it is 2 */
     /*    j1++; */
     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); j1++){
         /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
           scanf("%d", i);*/
         for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
           for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
             for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
               freq[i][jk][m]=0;
         
         for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
           for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
             prop[i][m]=0;
         
         dateintsum=0;
         k2cpt=0;
         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
           bool=1;
           if  (cptcovn>0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)       
               if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){
                   /* Tests if the value of each of the covariates of i is equal to filter j1 */
                 bool=0;
                 /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                 /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
               } 
           }
    
           if (bool==1){
             for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
               k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
               /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                 if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                 if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
                 if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                 if (m<lastpass) {
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i];
                 }
                 
                 if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3))) {
                   dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
                   k2cpt++;
                 }
                 /*}*/
             }
           }
         } /* end i */
          
         /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
         pstamp(ficresp);
         if  (cptcovn>0) {
           fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
           fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficlog, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n#");
         }
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) 
           fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
         fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
         
         for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){
           if(i==iagemax+3){
             fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
           }else{
             if(first==1){
               first=0;
               printf("See log file for details...\n");
             }
             fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", i);
           }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; 
           }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
               pos += freq[jk][m][i];
             if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){
               if(first==1){
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
               }
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
             }else{
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             }
           }
   
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
           }       
           for(jk=1,pos=0,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             pos += pp[jk];
             posprop += prop[jk][i];
           }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             if(pos>=1.e-5){
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
             }else{
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             }
             if( i <= iagemax){
               if(pos>=1.e-5){
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop);
                 /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/
                 /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
               }
               else
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop);
             }
           }
           
           for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
             for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
               if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) {
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
                 fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
               }
           if(i <= iagemax)
             fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
           if(first==1)
             printf("Others in log...\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
         }
         /*}*/
     }
     dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
    
     fclose(ficresp);
     free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);
     free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
     free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3);
     /* End of Freq */
   }
   
   /************ Prevalence ********************/
   void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
   {  
     /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
        in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
        We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
     */
    
     int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j;
   
     double **prop;
     double posprop; 
     double  y2; /* in fractional years */
     int iagemin, iagemax;
     int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
   
     iagemin= (int) agemin;
     iagemax= (int) agemax;
     /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
     prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); 
     /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
     j1=0;
     
     /*j=cptcoveff;*/
     if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     
     first=1;
     for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){
       /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
         j1++;*/
         
         for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
           for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
             prop[i][m]=0.0;
        
         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
           bool=1;
           if  (cptcovn>0) {
             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
               if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) 
                 bool=0;
           } 
           if (bool==1) { 
             for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/
               y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
               if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                 if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                 if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
                 if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); 
                 if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                   prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                 } 
               }
             } /* end selection of waves */
           }
         }
         for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
           for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
             posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
           } 
           
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){     
             if( i <=  iagemax){ 
               if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                 probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
               } else{
                 if(first==1){
                   first=0;
                   printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others on log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                 }
               }
             } 
           }/* end jk */ 
         }/* end i */ 
       /*} *//* end i1 */
     } /* end j1 */
     
     /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
     /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
     free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3);
   }  /* End of prevalence */
   
   /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
   
   void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
   {
     /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
        Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
        mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
        dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
        and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
        */
   
     int i, mi, m;
     /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
        double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
     int first;
     int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
     double sum=0.;
     first=0;
     jmin=100000;
     jmax=-1;
     jmean=0.;
     for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
       mi=0;
       m=firstpass;
       while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){
         if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5)
           mw[++mi][i]=m;
         if(m >=lastpass)
           break;
         else
           m++;
       }/* end while */
       if (s[m][i] > nlstate){
         mi++;     /* Death is another wave */
         /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
            /* Only death is a correct wave */
         mw[mi][i]=m;
       }
   
       wav[i]=mi;
       if(mi==0){
         nbwarn++;
         if(first==0){
           printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
           first=1;
         }
         if(first==1){
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
         }
       } /* end mi==0 */
     } /* End individuals */
   
     for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
         if (stepm <=0)
           dh[mi][i]=1;
         else{
           if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */
             if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
               j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
               if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
               else if(j<0){
                 nberr++;
                 printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                 j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                 printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
               }
               k=k+1;
               if (j >= jmax){
                 jmax=j;
                 ijmax=i;
               }
               if (j <= jmin){
                 jmin=j;
                 ijmin=i;
               }
               sum=sum+j;
               /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
               /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
             }
           }
           else{
             j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
   /*        if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
   
             k=k+1;
             if (j >= jmax) {
               jmax=j;
               ijmax=i;
             }
             else if (j <= jmin){
               jmin=j;
               ijmin=i;
             }
             /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
             /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
             if(j<0){
               nberr++;
               printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
               fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
             }
             sum=sum+j;
           }
           jk= j/stepm;
           jl= j -jk*stepm;
           ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
           if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
             if(jl==0){
               dh[mi][i]=jk;
               bh[mi][i]=0;
             }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                     * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
               dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
               bh[mi][i]=ju;
             }
           }else{
             if(jl <= -ju){
               dh[mi][i]=jk;
               bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                                    * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                                    */
             }
             else{
               dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
               bh[mi][i]=ju;
             }
             if(dh[mi][i]==0){
               dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
               bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
               /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
             }
           } /* end if mle */
         }
       } /* end wave */
     }
     jmean=sum/k;
     printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
    }
   
   /*********** Tricode ****************************/
   void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
   {
     /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
     /*      Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
      * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
      * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 2 (V2)
      * nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]= 
     */
   
     int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
     int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
     int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
     int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
   
   
     cptcoveff=0; 
    
     for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
   
     /* Loop on covariates without age and products */
     for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
       for (k=-1; k < maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the 
                                  modality of this covariate Vj*/ 
         ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]); /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                                       * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                                       * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                                       * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
         /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                                         modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
         if (ij > modmaxcovj)
           modmaxcovj=ij; 
         else if (ij < modmincovj) 
           modmincovj=ij; 
         if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
           printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
           exit(1);
         }else
         Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
         /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
         /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
         /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
            (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
            female is 1, then modmaxcovj=1.*/
       } /* end for loop on individuals i */
       printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", j, Tvar[j], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
       fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", j, Tvar[j], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
       cptcode=modmaxcovj;
       /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
      /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
       for (k=modmincovj;  k<=modmaxcovj; k++) { /* k=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value k of the modality of model-cov j */
         printf("Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]);
         fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]);
         if( Ndum[k] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality k ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
           if( k != -1){
             ncodemax[j]++;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                                covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                                undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
           }
           ncodemaxwundef[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                                covariate for which somebody answered including 
                                undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
         }
         /* In fact  ncodemax[j]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
            historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
       } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
   
       /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
       /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. 
          If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125;
          modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7;
          There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3;
          which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10;
          defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2;
          To be continued (not working yet).
       */
       ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
       for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
             break;
           }
           ij++;
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality.*/
           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
       } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
         
       /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
       /*  /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
       /*                               k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
       /*                               then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
       /*                            But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
       /*  } */
       /*  /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
       /*  if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
       /*    printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
       /*    fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
       /*    break; */
       /*  } */
       /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
     } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
     
    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
     
     for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar might be -1 if status was unknown */ 
      Ndum[ij]++; /* Might be supersed V1 + V1*age */
    } 
   
    ij=0;
    for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
      if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){
        ij++;
        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
        Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing (unclear) */
      }else{
          /* Tvaraff[ij]=0; */
      }
    }
    /* ij--; */
    cptcoveff=ij; /*Number of total covariates*/
   
   }
   
   
   /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
   
   void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[] )
   
   {
     /* Health expectancies, no variances */
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
     int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
     double age, agelim, hf;
     double ***p3mat;
     double eip;
   
     pstamp(ficreseij);
     fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
     fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
       }
       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
     }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
   
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
      * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
     agelim=AGESUP;
     /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
       nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
       /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
   
       /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
       
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
       
       printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
       
       /* Computing expectancies */
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
             
             /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
           }
   
       fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         eip=0;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
         }
         fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
       }
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
       
     }
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     
   }
   
   void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[] )
   
   {
     /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
      to initial status i, ei. .
     */
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
     int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
     double age, agelim, hf;
     double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp, *xm;
     double **gp, **gm;
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
     int theta;
   
     double eip, vip;
   
     varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     xm=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     
     pstamp(ficresstdeij);
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
     }
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
     pstamp(ficrescveij);
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
         for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
           for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
             cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
             if(cptj2 <= cptj)
               fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
           }
       }
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
      * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
     /* If stepm=6 months */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     agelim=AGESUP;
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     
     p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
   
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
       nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
       /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
   
       /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   
       /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
       /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
          decrease memory allocation */
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
           xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
         hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
     
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
             for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
               gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
        
         for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
           }
       }/* End theta */
       
       
       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
             trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
       
   
        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
         for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
           varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
   
        printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
        fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
        for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
           for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
             for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
               varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
   
       /* Computing expectancies */
       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
             
             /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
           }
   
       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         eip=0.;
         vip=0.;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
           for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
             vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
         }
         fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
       }
       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
       fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
           for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
             for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
               cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
               if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                 fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
             }
         }
       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
      
     }
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
     free_vector(xm,1,npar);
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
   }
   
   /************ Variance ******************/
    void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[])
   {
     /* Variance of health expectancies */
     /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
     /* double **newm;*/
     /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/
     
     int movingaverage();
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
     int k;
     double *xp;
     double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */
     double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */
     double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */
     double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
     double ***p3mat;
     double age,agelim, hf;
     double ***mobaverage;
     int theta;
     char digit[4];
     char digitp[25];
   
     char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     if(popbased==1){
       if(mobilav!=0)
         strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
       else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
     }
     else 
       strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
     sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
     /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
     if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
     }
     printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
    
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
     pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
     }  
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
   /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
   /*   } */
     varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     pstamp(ficresvij);
     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
     if(popbased==1)
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
     else
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
   
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
     gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at function hpijx to understand why (it is linked to memory size questions) */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
     agelim = AGESUP;
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
       nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
       nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
       gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
   
   
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyear,ij);
   
         if (popbased==1) {
           if(mobilav ==0){
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
           }else{ /* mobilav */ 
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
           }
         }
     
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
               gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
           }
         }
         /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
            computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
            as a weighted average of prlim.
         */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
             gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end probability of death */
   
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyear, ij);
    
         if (popbased==1) {
           if(mobilav ==0){
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
           }else{ /* mobilav */ 
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
           }
         }
   
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
               gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
           }
         }
         /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
            computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
            as a weighted average of prlim.
         */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
            gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end probability of death */
   
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
           }
   
         for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
           gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
         }
   
       } /* End theta */
   
       trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
   
       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
             trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
   
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
     
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
           vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
       for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
             for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
               vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
     
       /* pptj */
       matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
         for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
           varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
       /* end ppptj */
       /*  x centered again */
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyear,ij);
    
       if (popbased==1) {
         if(mobilav ==0){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
         }
       }
                
       /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
          computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
          as a weighted average of prlim.
       */
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
       }    
       /* end probability of death */
   
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
           fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
         }
       } 
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
   
       fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
         }
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
       free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     } /* End age */
     free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
     /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
     /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
   */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
   
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
     fflush(ficgp);
     fflush(fichtm); 
   }  /* end varevsij */
   
   /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
    void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, char strstart[])
   {
     /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
     /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
   
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
     double *xp;
     double *gp, *gm;
     double **gradg, **trgradg;
     double age,agelim;
     int theta;
     
     pstamp(ficresvpl);
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
   
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     
     hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
     agelim = AGESUP;
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
       if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
       gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
       gp=vector(1,nlstate);
       gm=vector(1,nlstate);
   
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyear,ij);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
       
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyear,ij);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
   
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
       } /* End theta */
   
       trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
   
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
   
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
       if((int)age==67 ||(int)age== 66 ){
       matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
       }else{
       matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
       }
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
   
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
       free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
       free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     } /* End age */
   
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
   
   }
   
   /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
   void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
   {
     int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
     int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
     int k=0, l;
     int first=1, first1, first2;
     double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp;
     double *gp, *gm;
     double **gradg, **trgradg;
     double **mu;
     double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
     double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
     int theta;
     char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
     double ***varpij;
   
     strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
     strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
     if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
     }
     strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
     strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
     if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
     }
     strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
     strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
     if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
     }
     printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
     fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
     pstamp(ficresprob);
     fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
     fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
     pstamp(ficresprobcov);
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
     pstamp(ficresprobcor);
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
   
   
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
       }  
    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
    */
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
     varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
     first=1;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back.</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
   and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
    They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
   It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
   would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
   standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
    Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
    and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
   To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
   
     cov[1]=1;
     /* tj=cptcoveff; */
     tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
     if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     j1=0;
     for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){
       /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[t];i1++){ */
       /*j1++;*/
         if  (cptcovn>0) {
           fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
           
           fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
           
           
           fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
           
           fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
         }
         
         gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
           cov[2]=age;
           if(nagesqr==1)
             cov[3]= age*age;
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
             cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
             /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                                                            * 1  1 1 1 1
                                                            * 2  2 1 1 1
                                                            * 3  1 2 1 1
                                                            */
             /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
           }
           /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
           
       
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
             
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
             
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
             
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
       
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
        
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
               gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
           }
   
           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
             for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
               trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
           
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
   
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
           
           k=0;
           for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
               k=k+1;
               mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
             }
           }
           for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
             for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
               varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
   
           /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
             for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
             printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
             fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
             }*/
   
           fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
   
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
             fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
             fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
             fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
           }
           i=0;
           for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
             for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
               i++;
               fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                 /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                 fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                 fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
             }
           }/* end of loop for state */
         } /* end of loop for age */
         free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         
         /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
         /*
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
         */
   
         /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
         first1=1;first2=2;
         for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
           for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
             if(l2==k2) continue;
             j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
             for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
               for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                 if(l1==k1) continue;
                 i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                 if(i<=j) continue;
                 for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   if ((int)age %5==0){
                     v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                     mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                     c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                     /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                       if(first2==1){
                         first1=0;
                       printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                       }
                       fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                       /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                       /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                     }
   
                     /* Eigen vectors */
                     v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                     /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                     v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                     v12=-v21;
                     v22=v11;
                     tnalp=v21/v11;
                     if(first1==1){
                       first1=0;
                       printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     }
                     fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     /*printf(fignu*/
                     /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                     /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                     if(first==1){
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
    :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">\
   %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
                               subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,\
                               subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }else{
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }/* if first */
                   } /* age mod 5 */
                 } /* end loop age */
                 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                 first=1;
               } /*l12 */
             } /* k12 */
           } /*l1 */
         }/* k1 */
         /* } */ /* loop covariates */
     }
     free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     fclose(ficresprob);
     fclose(ficresprobcov);
     fclose(ficresprobcor);
     fflush(ficgp);
     fflush(fichtmcov);
   }
   
   
   /******************* Printing html file ***********/
   void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                     int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                     int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
                     int popforecast, int estepm ,\
                     double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \
                     double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){
     int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
   
      fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
      <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
   </ul>");
      fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n \
    - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n ",
              jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
              stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
              subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Population projections by age and states: \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
   
   fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
    jj1=0;
    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
        jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);
            printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout);
          }
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }
        /* aij, bij */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model, for example: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age + V1 age + etc. as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1.svg\">%s_%d-1.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d-1.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1);
        /* Pij */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Pij or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2.svg\">%s_%d-2.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d-2.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1);     
        /* Quasi-incidences */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Iij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
    before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too,\
    incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability hPij \
   divided by h: hPij/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3.svg\">%s_%d-3.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d-3.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jj1); 
        /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">%s%d_%d.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,jj1);
        }
        /* State specific survival functions (period) */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in any different live states and total.\
    Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.\
    <a href=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">%s%d_%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,jj1);
        }
        /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">%s%d_%d.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1);
        }
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d%d.svg\">%s_%d%d.svg</a> <br> \
   <img src=\"%s_%d%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,jj1);
        }
      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
    }/* End k1 */
    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
   \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
    - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
    - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
   But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
   and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
   be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
   variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
   (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
   covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
   See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
   
    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
            subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
   
   /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
   /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
   /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
   /*      <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
   /*  else  */
   /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
    fflush(fichtm);
    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
    jj1=0;
    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
        jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++) 
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
   prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d.svg <br>\
   <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1);  
        }
        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
   health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
   true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
    drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
    observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d.svg\">%s_%d.svg<br>\
   <img src=\"%s_%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1);
      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
    }/* End k1 */
    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
    fflush(fichtm);
   }
   
   /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
   void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
     char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
     int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,ij=0,l=0;
     int ng=0;
     int vpopbased;
   /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
   /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
   /*   } */
   
     /*#ifdef windows */
     fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
       /*#endif */
     m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   
     /* Contribution to likelihood */
     /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
   /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
      replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
   /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$12):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$12):4 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
         fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
         fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($4 == %d && $5==%d ? $9 : 1/0):($11/4.):5 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
         for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
           fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($4 == %d && $5==%d ? $9 : 1/0):($11/4.):5 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
         }
         fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
       }
       /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */              
       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
   
     strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
     strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
    /* 1eme*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files\n");
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1);
        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1);
        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\
   set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1);
   
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        }
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1);
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        } 
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); 
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        }  
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \n");
       } /* k1 */
     } /* cpt */
     /*2 eme*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files\n");
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1);
       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
         if(vpopbased==0)
           fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
         else
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
           k=2*i;
           fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1, vpopbased);
           for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
             if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
             else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
           }   
           if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
           else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
           fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased);
           for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
             if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
             else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
           }   
           fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased);
           for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
             if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
             else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
           }   
           if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
           else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
         } /* state */
       } /* vpopbased */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d.svg\"; replot; set out; \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1); /* Buggy gnuplot */
     } /* k1 */
     /*3eme*/
     
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
         /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
         k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
         /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
           for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
           fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
           for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
           
         */
         for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
           fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
           /*      fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
           
         } 
         fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
       }
     }
     
     /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each multivariate if any */
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
         k=3;
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   unset log y\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
           if(i==1)
             fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
           else
             fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
           l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
           fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
           for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
             fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
           fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
         } /* nlstate */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/ 
     } /* end covariate */  
   
     /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each covariate if any */
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
         k=3;
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   unset log y\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
         for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
           if(j==1)
             fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
           else
             fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
           l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
           fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
           /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
           /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
           fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
         } /* nlstate */
         fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
         fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
         for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
           l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
           if(j < nlstate)
             fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
           else
             fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
         }
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/ 
     } /* end covariate */  
   
     /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each covariate if any */
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
         k=3;
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   unset log y\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
           if(i==1)
             fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
           else
             fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
           l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
           fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
           for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
             fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
           fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
         } /* nlstate */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/ 
     } /* end covariate */  
   
     /* proba elementaires */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
         if (k != i) {
           fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
             fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
             jk++; 
           }
           fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
         }
       }
      }
     fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
   
     /*goto avoid;*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
      for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
        fprintf(ficgp,"# ng=%d\n",ng);
        fprintf(ficgp,"#   jk=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);
        for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
          fprintf(ficgp,"#    jk=%d\n",jk);
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jk,ng);
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
          if (ng==1){
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
          }else if (ng==2){
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
          }else if (ng==3){
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
          }else
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
          i=1;
          for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
            k3=i;
            for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
              if (k != k2){
                switch( ng) {
                case 1:
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                    fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                  break;
                case 2: /* ng=2 */
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                      fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                  break;
                case 3:
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                    fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                  break;
                }
                ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
                for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) {
                  /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                    if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                      ij++;
                    }
                  }
                  else
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                }
                if(ng != 1){
                  fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
                
                  for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){ 
                    if(nagesqr==0)
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
                    else /* nagesqr =1 */
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
                    
                    ij=1;
                    for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
                      if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                        if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                          fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                          /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                          ij++;
                        }
                      }
                      else
                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                    }
                    fprintf(ficgp,")");
                  }
                  fprintf(ficgp,")");
                  if(ng ==2)
                    fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                  else /* ng= 3 */
                    fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                  fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k);
                }
                if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");
                i=i+ncovmodel;
              }
            } /* end k */
          } /* end k2 */
          fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out\n");
        } /* end jk */
      } /* end ng */
    /* avoid: */
      fflush(ficgp); 
   }  /* end gnuplot */
   
   
   /*************** Moving average **************/
   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
   
     int i, cpt, cptcod;
     int modcovmax =1;
     int mobilavrange, mob;
     double age;
   
     modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/* Max number of modalities. We suppose 
                              a covariate has 2 modalities */
     if (cptcovn<1) modcovmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
   
     if(mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
       if(mobilav==1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
       else mobilavrange=mobilav;
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
         for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
           for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++)
             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
       /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
          fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
          we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
       */ 
       for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
         for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
             for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){
               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                 for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                 }
               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
             }
           }
         }/* end age */
       }/* end mob */
     }else return -1;
     return 0;
   }/* End movingaverage */
   
   
   /************** Forecasting ******************/
   void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
     /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
        agemin, agemax range of age
        dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
        anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
     */
     int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1;
     double agec; /* generic age */
     double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
     double *popeffectif,*popcount;
     double ***p3mat;
     double ***mobaverage;
     char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     agelim=AGESUP;
     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
    
     strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
     strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
     if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
     }
     printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
   
     if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
     if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
   
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
     yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                                  fractional in yp1 */
     anprojmean=yp;
     yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
     mprojmean=yp;
     yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
     jprojmean=yp;
     if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
     if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
   
     i1=cptcoveff;
     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
     
     fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
     
     fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
   
   /*            if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
     for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
         k=k+1;
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d, hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         }
         fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");
         fprintf(ficresf,"# Covariate valuofcovar yearproj age");
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)              
             fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficresf," p.%d",j);
         }
         for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { 
           fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
           fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
   
           for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
                 fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                 for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                 fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 ppij=0.;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
                   if (mobilav==1) 
                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod];
                   else {
                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod];
                   }
                   if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) {
                     fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   }
                 } /* end i */
                 if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) {
                   fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                 }
               }/* end j */
             } /* end h */
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           } /* end agec */
         } /* end yearp */
       } /* end cptcod */
     } /* end  cptcov */
          
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   
     fclose(ficresf);
   }
   
   /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
   void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){
     
     int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
     int *popage;
     double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2;
     double *popeffectif,*popcount;
     double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;
     double ***mobaverage;
     char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     agelim=AGESUP;
     calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
     
     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
     
     
     strcpy(filerespop,"POP_"); 
     strcat(filerespop,fileresu);
     if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
     }
     printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
   
     if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
     if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
     
     agelim=AGESUP;
     
     hstepm=1;
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
     
     if (popforecast==1) {
       if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
       } 
       popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);
       popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);
       popcount=vector(0,AGESUP);
       
       i=1;   
       while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1;
      
       imx=i;
       for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];
     }
   
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
         k=k+1;
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         }
         fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n");
         fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age");
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j);
         if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]");
         
         for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) { 
           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
           
           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
                 fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 kk1=0.;kk2=0;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                   if (mobilav==1) 
                     kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];
                   else {
                     kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
                   }
                 }
                 if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){
                   tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;
                     /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);
                       if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/
                 }
               }
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                 kk1=0.;
                   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                     kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; 
                   }
                     tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
               }
   
               if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) 
                 fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);
             }
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           }
         }
    
     /******/
   
         for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { 
           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
                 fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 kk1=0.;kk2=0;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    
                 }
                 if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);        
               }
             }
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           }
         }
      } 
     }
    
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   
     if (popforecast==1) {
       free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP);
       free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP);
       free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP);
     }
     free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficrespop);
   } /* End of popforecast */
   
   int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
   {
     if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
       return (0);
     }
     fflush(fichier);
     return (1);
   }
   
   
   /**************** function prwizard **********************/
   void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
   {
   
     /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
   
     char ca[32], cb[32];
     int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
     int numlinepar;
   
     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       jj=0;
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
         if(j==i) continue;
         jj++;
         /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
           /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
           /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
           printf(" 0.");
           fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
         }
         printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
     }
     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       jj=0;
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
         if(j==i) continue;
         jj++;
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
         fflush(stdout);
         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
           /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
           /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
           printf(" 0.");
           fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
         }
         numlinepar++;
         printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
     }
     printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
   /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
   /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
   /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
   /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
   /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
     fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
     /* #   ...\n\ */
     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
     
     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
       jj=0;
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           if(j==i) continue;
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             jj++;
             ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
             if(itimes==1){
               printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
             }else{
               printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
             }
             ll=0;
             for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
               for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                 if(lj==li) continue;
                 for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   ll++;
                   if(ll<=jj){
                     cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                     if(ll<jj){
                       if(itimes==1){
                         printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                         fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                       }else{
                         printf(" 0.");
                         fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                       }
                     }else{
                       if(itimes==1){
                         printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                         fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                       }else{
                         printf(" 0.");
                         fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                       }
                     }
                   }
                 } /* end lk */
               } /* end lj */
             } /* end li */
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
             numlinepar++;
           } /* end k*/
         } /*end j */
       } /* end i */
     } /* end itimes */
   
   } /* end of prwizard */
   /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
   double gompertz(double x[])
   { 
     double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
     int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
   
     for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
       sump=sump+weight[i];
       /*    sump=sump+1;*/
       num=num+1;
     }
    
    
     /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
        if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
   
     for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
       {
         if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
         
         if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
         
         /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
         if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
           L=L+A*weight[i];
           /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
         }
       }
   
    /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
    
     return -2*L*num/sump;
   }
   
   #ifdef GSL
   /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
   double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
   { 
     double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
     double *x= (double *) v->data;
     int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
   
     for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
       sump=sump+weight[i];
       /*    sump=sump+1;*/
       num=num+1;
     }
    
    
     /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
        if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
     for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
       {
         if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
         
         if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
         
         /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
         if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
           LL=LL+A*weight[i];
           /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
         }
       }
   
    /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
    
     return -2*LL*num/sump;
   }
   #endif
   
   /******************* Printing html file ***********/
   void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                     int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                     int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
     int i,k;
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
     fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
     for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
       fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
     fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
   
   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
   
    for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
      fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
   
    
     fflush(fichtm);
   }
   
   /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
   void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
     char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   
     int ng;
   
   
     /*#ifdef windows */
     fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
       /*#endif */
   
   
     strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
     strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
     fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
     fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
     /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
   
   } 
   
   int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
   {
   
     /*-------- data file ----------*/
     FILE *fic;
     char dummy[]="                         ";
     int i=0, j=0, n=0;
     int linei, month, year,iout;
     char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
     char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
     char *stratrunc;
     int lstra;
   
   
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(ficlog);return 1;
     }
   
     i=1;
     linei=0;
     while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
       linei=linei+1;
       for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
         if(line[j] == '\t')
           line[j] = ' ';
       }
       for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
         ;
       };
       line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
       if(line[0]=='#'){
         fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
         printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
         continue;
       }
       trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
       strcpy(line, linetmp);
     
   
       for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
         /*        if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         s[j][i]=lval;
         
         strcpy(line,stra);
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
         if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
         }
         else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
           month=99;
           year=9999;
         }else{
           printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
         mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
         strcpy(line,stra);
       } /* ENd Waves */
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
       }
       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       andc[i]=(double) year; 
       moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
       }
       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       if (year==9999) {
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
   
       }
       annais[i]=(double)(year);
       moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       errno=0;
       dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
       if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
         printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       weight[i]=dval; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
           printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
         strcpy(line,stra);
       }  
       lstra=strlen(stra);
        
       if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
         stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
         num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
       }
       else
         num[i]=atol(stra);
       /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
         printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
       
       i=i+1;
     } /* End loop reading  data */
   
     *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
     fclose(fic);
    
     return (0);
     /* endread: */
       printf("Exiting readdata: ");
       fclose(fic);
       return (1);
   
   
   
   }
   void removespace(char *str) {
     char *p1 = str, *p2 = str;
     do
       while (*p2 == ' ')
         p2++;
     while (*p1++ == *p2++);
   }
   
   int decodemodel ( char model[], int lastobs) /**< This routine decode the model and returns:
      * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
      * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
      * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
      * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
      * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
      * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
      * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
      *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
      * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
      * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
      *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
      * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
    */
   {
     int i, j, k, ks;
     int  j1, k1, k2;
     char modelsav[80];
     char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
     char *strpt;
   
     /*removespace(model);*/
     if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
       j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
       if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
         printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
         printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       strcpy(modelsav,model); 
       if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
         printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
         if(strpt != model){
         printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
    'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
    corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
    'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
    corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
   
         nagesqr=1;
         if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
         else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
         else 
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
       }else
         nagesqr=0;
       if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
         j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
         j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
         cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =2  */
         cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
                      * cst, age and age*age 
                      * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 4*/
                     /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                     * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                     * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
         cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
         cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
   
       
         /*   Design
          *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
          *  <          ncovcol=8                >
          * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
          *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
          *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
          *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
          *       covar[1][i]= (V2), covar[4][i]=(V3), covar[8][i]=(V8)
          *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
          *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
          *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
          *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
          *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
          *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
          *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
          *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
          *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
          *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
          *  <          ncovcol=8                >
          *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
          *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
          *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
          * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
          * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
          *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
          * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
          *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
          *How to reorganize?
          * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
          * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
          *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
          * Struct []
          */
   
         /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
         /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
         /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
         /*        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
         /*        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
         /*        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
         /*        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
         /*        k=5 Tvar[5] */
         /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
         /*        cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
         /*        } */
         /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
         /*
          * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
         for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--) /**< Number of covariates */
           Tvar[k]=0;
         cptcovage=0;
         for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
           cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
                                            modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
           if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
           /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
           /*scanf("%d",i);*/
           if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
             cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
             if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
               /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
               cptcovprod--;
               cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
               Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
               cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
               Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
               /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
             } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
               cptcovprod--;
               cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
               Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
               cptcovage++;
               Tage[cptcovage]=k;
             } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
               /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
               cptcovn++;
               cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
               cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
               Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                                      because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                                      ncovcol + k1
                                      If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                                      Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
               cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
               Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
               Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
               Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
               k2=k2+2;
               Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) */
               Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) */
               for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                 /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                    covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                 covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
               }
             } /* End age is not in the model */
           } /* End if model includes a product */
           else { /* no more sum */
             /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
             /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
             cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
             ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates */
             cptcovn++;
             Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
           }
           strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
           /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
             scanf("%d",i);*/
         } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
       } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
     } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
     
     /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
       If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
   
     /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
     printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
     fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
   
     scanf("%d ",i);*/
   
   
     return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
     /*endread:*/
       printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
   {
     int i, m;
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
       for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
         if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
           anint[m][i]=9999;
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           *nberr = *nberr + 1;
           printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr);
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           (*nberr)++;
           printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); 
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); 
           s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
         }
       }
     }
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
       for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
         if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){
           if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
             if(agedc[i]>0){
               if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
                 agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
             /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
               }else {
                 if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   nbwarn++;
                   printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   agev[m][i]=-1;
                 }
               }
             } /* agedc > 0 */
           }
           else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                                    years but with the precision of a month */
             agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
             if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
               agev[m][i]=1;
             else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
               *agemin=agev[m][i];
               printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
             }
             else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
               *agemax=agev[m][i];
               /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
             }
             /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
             /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
           }
           else { /* =9 */
             agev[m][i]=1;
             s[m][i]=-1;
           }
         }
         else /*= 0 Unknown */
           agev[m][i]=1;
       }
       
     }
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
           (*nberr)++;
           printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           return 1;
         }
       }
     }
   
     /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
        printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
   }
   
   }*/
   
   
     printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
   
     return (0);
    /* endread:*/
       printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
   /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
   /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
   //#include "stdafx.h"
   //#include <stdio.h>
   //#include <tchar.h>
   //#include <windows.h>
   //#include <iostream>
   typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
   
   LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
   
   BOOL IsWow64()
   {
           BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
   
           //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
           //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
   
           //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
   
           HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
           const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
           fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
   
           if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
           {
                   if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                           &bIsWow64))
                           //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                           printf("Unknown error\n");
           }
           return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
   }
   #endif
   
   void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
    {
      /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
      /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
      /* /GS /W3 /Gy
         /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
         "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
         "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
         /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
      */ 
      /* 64 bits */
      /*
        /GS /W3 /Gy
        /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
        /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
        /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
        "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
      /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
      /*
        /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
        /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
        /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
        /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
      */
      /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
         2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
         /PDB:"visual studio
         2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
         "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
         "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
         "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
         /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
         /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
         uiAccess='false'"
         /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
         /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
      */
   #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
   #if defined(__GNUC__)
           struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
   #endif
   #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
   #ifndef  __APPLE__
   #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
   #endif
      struct utsname sysInfo;
      int cross = CROSS;
      if (cross){
              printf("Cross-");
              if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
      }
   #endif
   
   #include <stdint.h>
   
      printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
   #if defined(__clang__)
      printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");       /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
      printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
   #endif
   #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
      printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
      printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
      printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
      printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__PGI)
      printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
      printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
   #endif
      printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
      
   // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
   #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
       // Windows (x64 and x86)
      printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
   #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
       // Unix
      printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
   #elif __linux__
       // linux
      printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
   #elif __APPLE__
       // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
      printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
   #endif
   
   /*  __MINGW32__   */
   /*  __CYGWIN__   */
   /* __MINGW64__  */
   // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
   /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
   /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
   /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
   /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
   /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
   
   #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
      printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
   #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
      printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
   #else
      printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
   #endif
   
   #if defined(__GNUC__)
   # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
   #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                               + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                               + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
   # else
   #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                               + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
   # endif
      printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
      if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
   
      if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
        printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
            if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
      }
      else
         perror("uname() error");
      //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
   #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
      printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
      if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
   #endif
   #endif
   
      //   void main()
      //   {
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
      if (IsWow64()){
              printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
              if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
      }
      else{
              printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
              if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
      }
      //      printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
      //      getchar();
      //   }
   
   #endif
      
   
    }
   
    int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear){
     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
     int i, j, k, i1 ;
     /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
     double age, agebase, agelim;
     double tot;
   
     strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
     strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
     if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
     }
     printf("Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
     pstamp(ficrespl);
     fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
     fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
     fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
     
       /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
   
       agebase=ageminpar;
       agelim=agemaxpar;
   
       i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
       if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
   
       for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
         //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
           k=k+1;
           /* to clean */
           //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
           fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
           printf("#******");
           fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
           printf("******\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
           fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
           
           for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
           /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
             prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyear, k);
             fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
             for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             tot=0.;
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
               tot +=  prlim[i][i];
               fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
             }
             fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyear);
           } /* Age */
           /* was end of cptcod */
       } /* cptcov */
           return 0;
   }
   
   int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
       /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
   
     int stepsize;
     int agelim;
     int hstepm;
     int nhstepm;
     int h, i, i1, j, k;
   
     double agedeb;
     double ***p3mat;
   
       strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
       if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
       }
       printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
     
       stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
       /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
   
       agelim=AGESUP;
       hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
       hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
   
       /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
       pstamp(ficrespij);
       fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
       i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
      /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
      /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
      /*   k=k+1;  */
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
         
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
           
           /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
           
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
         }
         /*}*/
       }
           return 0;
   }
   
   
   /***********************************************/
   /**************** Main Program *****************/
   /***********************************************/
   
   int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   {
   #ifdef GSL
     const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
     size_t iteri = 0, it;
     int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
     int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
     double ssval;
   #endif
     int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
     int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
     int ncvyearnp=0;
     int *ncvyear=&ncvyearnp; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
     int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
     int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
     int num_filled;
     int itimes;
     int NDIM=2;
     int vpopbased=0;
   
     char ca[32], cb[32];
     /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
     /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
     struct stat info;
     double agedeb=0.;
   
     double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
   
     double fret;
     double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
     double ***p3mat;
     double ***mobaverage;
   
     char line[MAXLINE];
     char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
   
     char model[MAXLINE], modeltemp[MAXLINE];
     char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
     char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
     int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
     int c,  h , cpt, c2;
     int jl=0;
     int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
     int count=0;
   
     int *tab; 
     int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
     int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
     int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
     int agemortsup;
     float  sumlpop=0.;
     double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
     double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
   
     double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
     double ftolpl=FTOL;
     double **prlim;
     double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
     double  *p;
     double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
     double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
     double ***delti3; /* Scale */
     double *delti; /* Scale */
     double ***eij, ***vareij;
     double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
     double *epj, vepp;
   
     double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
     double **ximort;
     char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
     int *dcwave;
   
     char z[1]="c";
   
     /*char  *strt;*/
     char strtend[80];
   
   
   /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
   /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
   /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
   
     /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
     rstart_time = time(NULL);  
     /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
     start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
     curr_time=start_time;
     /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
     /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
     strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
   
   /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
   /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
   /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
   /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
   /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
   /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
   /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
   /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
   /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
   /*  (void) time (&time_value);
   *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
   *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
   *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
   *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
   */
   
     nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
     nbwarn=0;
   #ifdef WIN32
     _getcwd(pathcd, size);
   #else
     getcwd(pathcd, size);
   #endif
     syscompilerinfo(0);
     printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
     if(argc <=1){
       printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
       if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
         printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
         goto end;
       }
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
         pathr[i-1]='\0';
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
         pathr[i-1]='\0';
       }
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if( i==0 ){
         printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
         goto end;
       }
       for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
         printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
         while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
         printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
         strcpy (pathtot, val);
         if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
       }
     }
     else{
       strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
     }
     /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
     /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
       printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
     /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
   
     /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
     split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
    /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
     /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
     split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   #ifdef WIN32
     _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
     if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
   #else
     chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
     if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
   #endif
     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
     strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
     strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
     if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
       printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
       /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
       /* fclose(ficlog); */
   /*     exit(1); */
     }
   /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
   /*     perror("mkdir"); */
   /*   } */
   
     /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
   
     /* Main Log file */
     strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
     strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
     if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
       goto end;
     }
     fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
    path=%s \n\
    optionfile=%s\n\
    optionfilext=%s\n\
    optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   
     syscompilerinfo(1);
   
     printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
     fflush(ficlog);
   /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
   /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
   
     /* */
     strcpy(fileres,"r");
     strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
     strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
     strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
     strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
   
     /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
   
     if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
       fflush(ficlog);
       /* goto end; */
       exit(70); 
     }
   
   
   
     strcpy(filereso,"o");
     strcat(filereso,fileresu);
     if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
       printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       fflush(ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
   
     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
     numlinepar=0;
   
       /* First parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                           title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled != 5) {
         printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
       }
       numlinepar++;
       printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
     }
     /* Second parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                           &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled != 8) {
         printf("Not 8\n");
       }
       printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
     }
     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
     ftolpl=6.e-3; /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
     /* Third parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled == 0)
               model[0]='\0';
       else if (num_filled != 1){
         printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
         model[0]='\0';
         goto end;
       }
       else{
         if (model[0]=='+'){
           for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
             modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
           strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
         }
       }
       /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
       printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
     }
     /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
     /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
     /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
     fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
     fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
     fflush(ficlog);
     /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
     if(model[0]=='#'){
       printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \
    'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.' or \n \
    'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n");          \
       if(mle != -1){
         printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");
         exit(1);
       }
     }
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       numlinepar++;
       if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
         z[0]=line[1];
       }
       /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
       fputs(line, stdout);
       //puts(line);
       fputs(line,ficparo);
       fputs(line,ficlog);
     }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
      
     covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
     cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
     /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
        v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
     */
     if (strlen(model)>1) 
       ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
     else
       ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
     nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
     npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
     if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
       printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fflush(stdout);
       fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
     delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
     delti=delti3[1][1];
     /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
     if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
       prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
       printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
       fclose (ficparo);
       fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
       exit(0);
     }
     else if(mle==-3) { /* Main Wizard */
       prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
       printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
       matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
       hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
     }
     else{
       /* Read guessed parameters */
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         j=0;
         for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
           if(jj==i) continue;
           j++;
           fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
           if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
             printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
   It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
   run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
             exit(1);
           }
           fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           if(mle==1)
             printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
             if(mle==1){
               printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
               fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
             }
             else
               fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
           }
           fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
           numlinepar++;
           if(mle==1)
             printf("\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
           fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
         }
       }  
       fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads scales values */
       p=param[1][1];
       
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
           fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
           if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
             printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
             exit(1);
           }
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
             printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
           }
           fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
           numlinepar++;
           printf("\n");
           fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
         }
       }
       fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads covariance matrix */
       delti=delti3[1][1];
   
   
       /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
     
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
     
       matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
       hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
         for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
         
       /* Scans npar lines */
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
         count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%1d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
         if(count != 3){
           printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
   This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
   This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
           exit(1);
         }else
         if(mle==1)
           printf("%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
           fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
           if(mle==1){
             printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
           }
           fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
           fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
         }
         fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
         numlinepar++;
         if(mle==1)
           printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
       /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
         for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
           matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
       
       if(mle==1)
         printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       
       fflush(ficlog);
       
       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
       strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
       strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
       strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
       strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
       if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
       }
       fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
     }    /* End of mle != -3 */
   
     /*  Main data
      */
     n= lastobs;
     num=lvector(1,n);
     moisnais=vector(1,n);
     annais=vector(1,n);
     moisdc=vector(1,n);
     andc=vector(1,n);
     agedc=vector(1,n);
     cod=ivector(1,n);
     weight=vector(1,n);
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
     ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
     ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
   
     /* Reads data from file datafile */
     if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
       goto end;
   
     /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
       /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
           k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
           k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
           k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
           k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
       */
     Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
     /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
         For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
         Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
     */
     /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
       because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
       ncovcol + k1
       If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
       Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
     Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the position of a product */
     /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
        if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
     */
     Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
     Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
                               * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                               * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
     Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
                            4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                            Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                         */  
   
   /* Main decodemodel */
   
   
     if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1)
       goto end;
   
     if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
       nbwarn++;
       printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
     }
       /*  if(mle==1){*/
     if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
       for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
     }
   
       /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
   
     if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
       goto end;
   
   
     agegomp=(int)agemin;
     free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
     free_vector(annais,1,n);
     /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
        free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
     free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
     free_vector(andc,1,n);
     /* */
     
     wav=ivector(1,imx);
     dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
     bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
     mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
      
     /* Concatenates waves */
     concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
     /* */
    
     /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
   
     nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
     ncodemax[1]=1;
     Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
     if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ) /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
       tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
     /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality of jth covariate, in
        V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
     /* 1 to ncodemax[j] is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
   
     /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
     /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
     /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
     h=0;
   
   
     /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
         
    
     m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    
             /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
              * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to 2**k
              * codtabm(h,k)=  1 & (h-1) >> (k-1) ;
              *     h\k   1     2     3     4
              *______________________________  
              *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
              *     2     2     1     1     1
              *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
              *     4     2     2     1     1
              *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
              *     6     2     1     2     1
              *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
              *     8     2     2     2     1
              *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
              *    10     2     1     1     2
              *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
              *    12     2     2     1     2
              *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
              *    14     2     1     2     2
              *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
              *    16     2     2     2     2
              */
     /* /\* for(h=1; h <=100 ;h++){  *\/ */
     /*   /\* printf("h=%2d ", h); *\/ */
     /*    /\* for(k=1; k <=10; k++){ *\/ */
     /*      /\* printf("k=%d %d ",k,codtabm(h,k)); *\/ */
     /*    /\*   codtab[h][k]=codtabm(h,k); *\/ */
     /*    /\* } *\/ */
     /*    /\* printf("\n"); *\/ */
     /* } */
     /* for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /\* scans any effective covariate *\/ */
     /*   for(i=1; i <=pow(2,cptcoveff-k);i++){ /\* i=1 to 8/1=8; i=1 to 8/2=4; i=1 to 8/8=1 *\/  */
     /*     for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){ /\* For each modality of this covariate ncodemax=2*\/ */
     /*    for(cpt=1; cpt <=pow(2,k-1); cpt++){  /\* cpt=1 to 8/2**(3+1-1 or 3+1-3) =1 or 4 *\/  */
     /*      h++; */
     /*      if (h>m)  */
     /*        h=1; */
     /*      codtab[h][k]=j; */
     /*      /\* codtab[12][3]=1; *\/ */
     /*      /\*codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;*\/ */
     /*      /\* printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d Tvar[k]=%d codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k],codtab[h][Tvar[k]]); *\/ */
     /*    }  */
     /*     } */
     /*   } */
     /* }  */
     /* printf("codtab[1][2]=%d codtab[2][2]=%d",codtab[1][2],codtab[2][2]); 
        codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */
     /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){  */
     /*    for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){ */
     /*      printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff); */
     /*    } */
     /*    printf("\n"); */
     /* } */
     /*   scanf("%d",i);*/
   
    free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
   
   
       
     /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
     strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
     if(mle==-3)
       strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
   
     if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
     }
     else{
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
       fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
       //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
       fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
     }
     /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
   
   
     /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
   
     strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
     if(mle==-3)
       strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
     strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
     if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
       exit(0);
     }
   
     strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
     strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
     if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
     }
     else{
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
   <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
   Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
             optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
     }
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015</a></font><br>  \
   <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
   <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
   <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
   Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
   \n\
   <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
    <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
    - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
    - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
    - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
    - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
    - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
             optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
             optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
             fileres,fileres,\
             filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
     fflush(fichtm);
   
     strcpy(pathr,path);
     strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
   #ifdef WIN32
     _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
   #else
     chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
   #endif
             
     
     /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */
     freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart);
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
   Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
   Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
             imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
     pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
       
      
     /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
        so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
     p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
   
     globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
     /* For mortality only */
     if (mle==-3){
       ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
       /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
       cens=ivector(1,n);
       ageexmed=vector(1,n);
       agecens=vector(1,n);
       dcwave=ivector(1,n);
    
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
         dcwave[i]=-1;
         for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
           if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
             dcwave[i]=m;
             /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
             break;
           }
       }
   
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
         if (wav[i]>0){
           ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
           j=wav[i];
           agecens[i]=1.; 
   
           if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
             agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
             cens[i]= 1;
           }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
             cens[i]= -1;
           if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
             cens[i]=0 ;
         }
         else cens[i]=-1;
       }
       
       for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
         for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
           ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
       }
       
       /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
       /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
       
       
   #ifdef GSL
       printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #else
       printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #endif
       strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
       strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
       if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
       }
   #ifdef GSL
       fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
   #else
       fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
   #endif
       /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
           if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
       */
       fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
   #ifdef GSL
       /* gsl starts here */ 
       T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
       gsl_vector *ss, *x;
       gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
   
       /* Initial vertex size vector */
       ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (ss == NULL){
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
       /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
       gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
   
       /* Starting point */
       
       x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (x == NULL){
         gsl_vector_free(ss);
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
     
       /* Initialize method and iterate */
       /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
       /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
       /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
       gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
       gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
   
       minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
       minex_func.n = NDIM;
       minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
       
       sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
       
       printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
       printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
   
       iteri=0;
       while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
         iteri++;
         status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
         
         if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
         fflush(0);
         
         if (status) 
           break;
         
         rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
         ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
         
         if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
           printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
         
         printf("%5d ", iteri);
         for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
           printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
         }
         printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
       }
       
       printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
       
       gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
       gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
       for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
         p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
         fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
       }
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
   #endif
   #ifdef POWELL
        powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
   #endif  
       fclose(ficrespow);
       
       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
   
       for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
         for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
           matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
       
       printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
       for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
         for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
           printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
           fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
         }
         printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
       }
       
       printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
       for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
         printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
         fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
       }
       lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
       lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
       tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
       lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
         agemortsup=k;
         if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
       }
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
         lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
         lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
         sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
       }
       
       tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
       for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
         /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
         tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
       }
       
       
       printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
       for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
         printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
       
       
       replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
       if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
           printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
       }else
         printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
       printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
                        stepm, weightopt,\
                        model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
       
       free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
       free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
       free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
   #ifdef GSL
       free_ivector(cens,1,n);
       free_vector(agecens,1,n);
       free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
       free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
   #endif
     } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
     /* Standard  */
     else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
       printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
       for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
         printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
       printf("\n");
       if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
         /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
         mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
       }
       if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
         globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
         /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
         likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
       }
       globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
       printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
       for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
         printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
       printf("\n");
       
       /*--------- results files --------------*/
       fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
       
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
           if (k != i) {
             printf("%d%d ",i,k);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
             fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
             for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
               printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               jk++; 
             }
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
           }
         }
       }
       if(mle != 0){
         /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
         ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
         hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
         printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
         fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
         for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
           for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
             if (k != i) {
               printf("%d%d ",i,k);
               fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
               for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                 printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                 fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                 jk++; 
               }
               printf("\n");
               fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             }
           }
         }
       } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
   
       /*  */
       fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           if (j!=i) {
             fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
             printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
             for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
               printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
               fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
               fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
               jk++;
             }
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
           }
         }
       }
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
         printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
       /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
       /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
       /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
       /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
       /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
       /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
       /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
       
       
       /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
          even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
       */
       for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
         jj=0;
         for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
           for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
             if(j==i) continue;
             for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
               jj++;
               ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
               if(itimes==1){
                 if(mle>=1)
                   printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               }else{
                 if(mle>=1)
                   printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               }
               ll=0;
               for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                 for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   if(lj==li) continue;
                   for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                     ll++;
                     if(ll<=jj){
                       cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                       if(ll<jj){
                         if(itimes==1){
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                           fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                           fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                         }else{
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                         }
                       }else{
                         if(itimes==1){
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                           fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                           fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                         }else{
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                         }
                       }
                     }
                   } /* end lk */
                 } /* end lj */
               } /* end li */
               if(mle>=1)
                 printf("\n");
               fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
               fprintf(ficres,"\n");
               numlinepar++;
             } /* end k*/
           } /*end j */
         } /* end i */
       } /* end itimes */
       
       fflush(ficlog);
       fflush(ficres);
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       estepm=0;
       fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
       if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
       if (fage <= 2) {
         bage = ageminpar;
         fage = agemaxpar;
       }
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
       fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
       fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
   
       /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       
       dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
       dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
       
       
       
        /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
       /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
       
       replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
       if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
           printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
       }else
         printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
       
       printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
                    model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\
                    jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
         
      /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
      /*  chdir(path); */
    
       free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);   
       free_lvector(num,1,n);
       free_vector(agedc,1,n);
       /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
       /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
       fclose(ficparo);
       fclose(ficres);
   
   
       /* Other results (useful)*/
   
   
       /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
       /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
       prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
       prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, ncvyear);
       fclose(ficrespl);
   
   #ifdef FREEEXIT2
   #include "freeexit2.h"
   #endif
   
       /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
       /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
       hPijx(p, bage, fage);
       fclose(ficrespij);
   
     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
       k=1;
       varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
   
   
       probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++)
           for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++)
             probs[i][j][k]=0.;
   
       /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
       /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
       if(prevfcast==1){
         /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
         prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
         /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/
         /*      }  */
         /*      else{ */
         /*        erreur=108; */
         /*        printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
         /*        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
         /*      } */
       }
    
       /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
   
       /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
   
       prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
       /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
           ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
       */
   
       if (mobilav!=0) {
         mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
         if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
           fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
           printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         }
       }
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
   
       strcpy(filerese,"E_");
       strcat(filerese,fileresu);
       if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
   
           eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart);  
         
           free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
       fclose(ficreseij);
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
   
   
       strcpy(filerest,"T_");
       strcat(filerest,fileresu);
       if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
       }
       printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
   
   
       strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
       strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
       if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
   
       strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
       strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
       if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
   
       strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
       strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
       if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
   
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
           fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
           fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
   
           eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart);  
           /*
            */
           /* goto endfree; */
    
           vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           pstamp(ficrest);
   
   
           for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
             cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
             varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
             fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
             if(vpopbased==1)
               fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
             else
               fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
             fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
             for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
             fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
             /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
             epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
             for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
               prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyear, k); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
               if (vpopbased==1) {
                 if(mobilav ==0){
                   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                 }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                 }
               }
           
               fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
               /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
               /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
               for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                 for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                 }
                 epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
               }
               /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
   
               for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                 for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
               fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
               for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                 fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
               fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
             }
           }
           free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
           free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
           free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
         /*}*/
       }
       free_vector(weight,1,n);
       free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
       free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
       free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
       free_ivector(cod,1,n);
       free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
       fclose(ficresstdeij);
       fclose(ficrescveij);
       fclose(ficresvij);
       fclose(ficrest);
       fclose(ficpar);
     
       /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
   
       strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
       strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
       if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
         exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
   
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
         
           varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyear, k, strstart);
           free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
   
       fclose(ficresvpl);
   
       /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
       if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
    /* endfree:*/
       free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
       free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
       free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
       free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
       /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
       free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
       free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
       free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   
       free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
   
       free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
       /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
     fflush(fichtm);
     fflush(ficgp);
     
   
     if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
       printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn);
       fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn);
     }else{
       printf("End of Imach\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
     }
     printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
     /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
     /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
     rend_time = time(NULL);  
     end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
     /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
     strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
     printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
     fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
     printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
   
     printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
     /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
   /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
     fclose(fichtm);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
     fclose(fichtmcov);
     fclose(ficgp);
     fclose(ficlog);
     /*------ End -----------*/
   
   
      printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
   #ifdef WIN32
      if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
              printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
      if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
   #else
      if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
              printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
      if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
   #endif 
       printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
     /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
     sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
   #ifdef _WIN32
     sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
   #endif
     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
         printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       }else
         strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
   #ifdef __unix
       strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
       if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
         printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       }else
         strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
   #endif
     }else
       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
     
     sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
     printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
   
     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
       printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
       printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
       sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
       if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
         printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
     }
     printf(" Successful, please wait...");
     while (z[0] != 'q') {
       /* chdir(path); */
       printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
       scanf("%s",z);
   /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
       if (z[0] == 'e') {
   #ifdef __APPLE__
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
   #elif __linux
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
   #else
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
   #endif
         printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
         system(pplotcmd);
       }
       else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
       else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
     }
     end:
     while (z[0] != 'q') {
       printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
       scanf("%s",z);
     }
   }

Removed from v.1.19  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.207


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