Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.268 and 1.285

version 1.268, 2017/05/18 20:09:32 version 1.285, 2018/04/21 21:02:16
Line 1 Line 1
 /* $Id$  /* $Id$
   $State$    $State$
   $Log$    $Log$
     Revision 1.285  2018/04/21 21:02:16  brouard
     Summary: Some bugs fixed, valgrind tested
   
     Revision 1.284  2018/04/20 05:22:13  brouard
     Summary: Computing mean and stdeviation of fixed quantitative variables
   
     Revision 1.283  2018/04/19 14:49:16  brouard
     Summary: Some minor bugs fixed
   
     Revision 1.282  2018/02/27 22:50:02  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.281  2018/02/27 19:25:23  brouard
     Summary: Adding second argument for quitting
   
     Revision 1.280  2018/02/21 07:58:13  brouard
     Summary: 0.99r15
   
     New Makefile with recent VirtualBox 5.26. Bug in sqrt negatve in imach.c
   
     Revision 1.279  2017/07/20 13:35:01  brouard
     Summary: temporary working
   
     Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
     Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
   
     Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
     Summary: BOM files can be read now
   
     Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
     Summary: Graphs improvements
   
     Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
     Summary: Saito's color
   
     Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
     Summary: Version 0.99r14
   
     Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
     Summary: More documentation on projections
   
     Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
     Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
   
     Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
     Summary: Some bug with rint
   
     Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
     Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
   
   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard    Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence    Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
   
Line 1011  typedef struct { Line 1064  typedef struct {
 /* $State$ */  /* $State$ */
 #include "version.h"  #include "version.h"
 char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;  char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
 char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";  char copyright[]="April 2018,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
 char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";   char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$"; 
 char strstart[80];  char strstart[80];
 char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 1084  FILE *ficrescveij; Line 1137  FILE *ficrescveij;
 char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];  char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
 FILE  *ficresvij;  FILE  *ficresvij;
 char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];  char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
 FILE  *ficresvpl;  
 char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
 FILE  *ficresvbl;  
 char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
 char title[MAXLINE];  char title[MAXLINE];
 char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */  char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
 char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];  char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 2489  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 2539  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
       
   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)    double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
   {    {
     /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij       /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
        (and selected quantitative values in nres)       *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
        by left multiplying the unit       *  by left multiplying the unit
        matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */       *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */       * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */       * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */       * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */       * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
   /* Initial matrix pimij */       * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
        * Output is prlim.
        * Initial matrix pimij 
        */
   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */    /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */    /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */    /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
Line 2932  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 2985  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   /* Diag(w_x) */    /* Diag(w_x) */
   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */    /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
   sumnew=0.;    sumnew=0.;
   /* for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){ */    /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */    for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
       /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];      sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
   }    }
   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */    if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){      for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);          doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
     }      }
   }else{    }else{
     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){      for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
Line 3239  double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstep Line 3293  double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstep
       newm=savm;        newm=savm;
       /* Covariates have to be included here again */        /* Covariates have to be included here again */
       cov[1]=1.;        cov[1]=1.;
       agexact=age-((h-1)*hstepm + (d))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */        agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */        /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
       cov[2]=agexact;        cov[2]=agexact;
       if(nagesqr==1)        if(nagesqr==1)
Line 3841  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], Line 3895  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[],
     else if(mle >=1)      else if(mle >=1)
       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));      fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
               
     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {      for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
Line 4323  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double Line 4377  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */    double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);    int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
   double *meanq;    double *meanq, *stdq, *idq;
   double **meanqt;    double **meanqt;
   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;    double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;    double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
Line 4336  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double Line 4390  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double
   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */     pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */    /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */    meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
     stdq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
     idq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);    meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");    strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);    strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
Line 4444  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4500  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
         posprop[i]=0;          posprop[i]=0;
         pospropt[i]=0;          pospropt[i]=0;
       }        }
       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */        for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* zeroing for each combination j1 as well as for the total */
       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */          idq[z1]=0.;
           meanq[z1]=0.;
           stdq[z1]=0.;
         }
         /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */        /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
       /*        meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */        /*          meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
       /*   } */        /*        } */
       /* } */        /* }       */
         
       /* dateintsum=0; */        /* dateintsum=0; */
       /* k2cpt=0; */        /* k2cpt=0; */
               
Line 4460  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4519  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
         if(j !=0){          if(j !=0){
           if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */            if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
             if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */              if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
               /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */  
               /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */  
               /* } */  
               for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                 /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */                  /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                 /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */                  /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
Line 4483  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4539  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
         }/* end j==0 */          }/* end j==0 */
         if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */          if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
           /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */            /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
           for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */            for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For each wave */
             m=mw[mi][iind];              m=mw[mi][iind];
             if(j!=0){              if(j!=0){
               if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */                if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
Line 4503  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4559  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
               }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */                }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
             } /* end j==0 */              } /* end j==0 */
             /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */              /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
             if(bool==1){              if(bool==1){ /*Selected */
               /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]                /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                  and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */                   and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
               agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/                agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
Line 4521  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4577  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
                   if(s[m][iind]==-1)                    if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                     printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));                      printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */                    freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                     for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* Quantitative variables, calculating mean */
                       idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind];
                       meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind];  /* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
                       stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind]*weight[iind]; /* *weight[iind];*/  /* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
                     }
                   /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */                    /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */                    /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */                    /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
Line 4536  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4597  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
               bool=1;                bool=1;
             }/* end bool 2 */              }/* end bool 2 */
           } /* end m */            } /* end m */
             /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /\* Quantitative variables, calculating mean *\/ */
             /*   idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind]; */
             /*   meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
             /*   stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind]*weight[iind]; /\* *weight[iind];*\/  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
             /* } */
         } /* end bool */          } /* end bool */
       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */        } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as        /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
Line 4573  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4639  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
         fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");          fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
         fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");          fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
       }        }
         /*
           Printing means of quantitative variables if any
         */
         for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {
           fprintf(ficlog,"Mean of fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f individuals sum=%f", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1], meanq[z1]);
           fprintf(ficlog,", mean=%.3g\n",meanq[z1]/idq[z1]);
           if(weightopt==1){
             printf(" Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
             fprintf(ficlog," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
             fprintf(ficresphtmfr," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
           }
           printf(" fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
           fprintf(ficlog," fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
           fprintf(ficresphtmfr," fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)<p>\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
         }
         /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
         /*        for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
         /*          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"V quantitative id %d, pass id=%d, mean=%f<p>\n", z1, m, meanqt[m][z1]); */
         /*   } */
         /* } */
   
       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");          fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
Line 4807  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4894  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");              fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
           }            }
         }          }
       }        } /* end of state i */
       printf("#Freqsummary\n");        printf("#Freqsummary\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
Line 4853  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 4940  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
   fclose(ficresp);    fclose(ficresp);
   fclose(ficresphtm);    fclose(ficresphtm);
   fclose(ficresphtmfr);    fclose(ficresphtmfr);
     free_vector(idq,1,nqfveff);
   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);    free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
     free_vector(stdq,1,nqfveff);
   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);    free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);    free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);    free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
Line 5269  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5358  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
    /* *cptcov=0; */     /* *cptcov=0; */
     
    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */     for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
      for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++)
        for(j=1; j<=2; j++)
          nbcode[k][j]=0; /* Valgrind */
   
    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */     /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */     /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
Line 5463  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5555  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size       Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */       and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the    /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
Line 5694  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5786  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
           /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/            /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                                                                                   
         }          }
                   
       /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */         
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );      fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       eip=0.;        eip=0.;
Line 5709  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5802  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
     }      }
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");      fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                                   
       /* Variance of expectancies ij */           
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );      fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
Line 5742  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5836  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
 /************ Variance ******************/  /************ Variance ******************/
  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)   void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
  {   {
    /* Variance of health expectancies */     /** Variance of health expectancies 
    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/      *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
    /* double **newm;*/      * double **newm;
    /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/      * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
       */
       
    /* int movingaverage(); */     /* int movingaverage(); */
    double **dnewm,**doldm;     double **dnewm,**doldm;
Line 5753  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5848  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
    int k;     int k;
    double *xp;     double *xp;
    double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */     double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */     double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */     double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
    double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */     double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
    double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */     double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
    double ***p3mat;     double ***p3mat;
    double age,agelim, hf;     double age,agelim, hf;
    /* double ***mobaverage; */     /* double ***mobaverage; */
Line 5818  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5913  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/     /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
    /*   } */  
    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);     varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
    pstamp(ficresvij);     pstamp(ficresvij);
    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
Line 5873  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5968  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
          xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
        }         }
                                  /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
           * returns into prlim .
           */              
        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
                           
          /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
        if (popbased==1) {         if (popbased==1) {
          if(mobilav ==0){           if(mobilav ==0){
            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
Line 5885  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5983  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
              prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
          }           }
        }         }
                                  /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */          */                      
          hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
          /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
           * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
           */
        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
            for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)             for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
              gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];               gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
          }           }
        }         }
        /* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means         /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
           computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months)             computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
           as a weighted average of prlim.            as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
        */         */
        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
          for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)           for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
            gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];             gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
        }             }
        /* end probability of death */         
          /* Again with minus shift */
                                                   
        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
          xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
Line 5934  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6037  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
          for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)           for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
            gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];             gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
        }             }    
        /* end probability of death */         /* end shifting computations */
                           
          /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
           */
        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
            gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];             gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
          }           }
                                  /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */          */
          for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
          gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];           gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
        }         }
                                                   
      } /* End theta */       } /* End theta */
                        
        /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */                
      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */       trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                                   
      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
Line 5957  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6064  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
          trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];           trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
                        /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
         */                
                                   
      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)         for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
          vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;           vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
                   
        /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
         * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
         * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
         */
        
      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){       for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
Line 5974  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6087  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
        }         }
      }       }
                                   
      /* pptj */       /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
         * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
         * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
         * wix is independent of theta.
         */
      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);       matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);       matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
Line 6062  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6179  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
  }  /* end varevsij */   }  /* end varevsij */
   
 /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/  /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)   void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
 {  {
   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/    /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
Line 6187  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6304  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   
   
 /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/  /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
  void varbrevlim(char fileres[], double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)   void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
 {  {
   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/    /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
Line 6583  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 6700  To be simple, these graphs help to under
                  }                   }
                                                                                                                                   
                  /* Eigen vectors */                   /* Eigen vectors */
                  v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));                   if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
                      printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                      fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                      v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
                    }else
                      v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                  /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */                   /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                  v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;                   v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                  v12=-v21;                   v12=-v21;
Line 6614  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 6736  To be simple, these graphs help to under
                    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);                     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);                     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                    fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \                     fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
                            mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \                             mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
                            mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */                             mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
                  }else{                   }else{
                    first=0;                     first=0;
                    fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);                     fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
Line 6652  void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char Line 6774  void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char
                   int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\                    int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\                    int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
                   int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \                    int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
                   double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, \                    double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2){                    double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;    int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
Line 6790  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> Line 6912  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.     \   Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.     \
  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);   <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
      }       }
      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */       /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
Line 6807  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> Line 6929  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>
      if(prevfcast==1){       if(prevfcast==1){
        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */         /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }         }
      }       }
      if(backcast==1){       if(backcast==1){
       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */        /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to stable (mixed) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) with weights corresponding to observed prevalence  at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);   from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
    account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
   with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
    <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }         }
      }       }
                     
Line 6921  true period expectancies (those weighted Line 7046  true period expectancies (those weighted
 }  }
   
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/  /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
   
   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];    char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];    char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
Line 6930  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7055  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
   int ng=0;    int ng=0;
   int vpopbased;    int vpopbased;
   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */    int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
     int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
     int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */    int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */    int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
   
Line 6943  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7070  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
   /*#endif */    /*#endif */
   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   
     /* diagram of the model */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
   
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
   
   /* Contribution to likelihood */    /* Contribution to likelihood */
   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */    /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
Line 7012  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7153  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
               
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);          fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);          /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
           fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);          fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
         /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */          /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/        /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
Line 7034  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7176  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
                   
         fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
         if(cptcoveff ==0){          if(cptcoveff ==0){
           fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+(cpt-1),  cpt );            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
         }else{          }else{
           kl=0;            kl=0;
           for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
Line 7092  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7234  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
               if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");                if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
               else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");                else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
             }              }
             fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);              fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
             for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {              for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
               if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");                if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
               else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");                else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
             }               } 
             fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);               fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
             for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {              for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
               if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");                if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
               else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");                else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
             }               } 
             fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1");              fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
           } /* end if backprojcast */            } /* end if backprojcast */
         } /* end if backcast */          } /* end if backcast */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n");          /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
       } /* nres */        } /* nres */
     } /* k1 */      } /* k1 */
   } /* cpt */    } /* cpt */
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             /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */              /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
             fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
             if(i==nlstate+1){              if(i==nlstate+1){
               fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):5 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \                fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
               fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");                fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);                 fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
               fprintf(ficgp," (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", \                fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
                      offyear,                           \                       offyear,                           \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
             }else              }else
               fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \                fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
           }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */            }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
             if(cptcoveff ==1){              ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
               ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */              /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
             }else{              /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
               ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */              iyearc=ioffset-1;
               /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/              iagec=ioffset;
               /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */  
             }     
             fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
             kl=0;              kl=0;
             strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");              strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
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             /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */               /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
             /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
             if(i==nlstate+1){              if(i==nlstate+1){
               fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \                fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
               fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");                fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);                 fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
               fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \                fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                      offyear,                           \                        iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
 /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/  /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
             }else{              }else{
               fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \                fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
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             /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */              /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
             fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
             if(i==nlstate+1){              if(i==nlstate+1){
               fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):5 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \                fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
               fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");                fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);                 fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
               fprintf(ficgp," (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", \                fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
                      offbyear,                          \                       offbyear,                          \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
             }else              }else
               fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \                fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
           }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */            }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
             if(cptcoveff ==1){              ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
               ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */              /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
             }else{              /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
               ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */              iyearc=ioffset-1;
               /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/              iagec=ioffset;
               /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */  
             }     
             fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
             kl=0;              kl=0;
             strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");              strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
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             /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */               /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
             /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
             if(i==nlstate+1){              if(i==nlstate+1){
               fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):5 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \                fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),cpt );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
               fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");                fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
               fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);                 fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
               /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */                /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
               fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \                fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                      offbyear,                          \                        iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                       ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );                        ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
 /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/  /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
             }else{              }else{
               /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */                /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
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         continue;          continue;
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
       sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);        /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
         lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
         /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
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       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
         /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
       if (ng==1){        if (ng==1){
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
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             }              }
             fprintf(ficgp,")");              fprintf(ficgp,")");
             if(ng ==2)              if(ng ==2)
               fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);                fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
             else /* ng= 3 */              else /* ng= 3 */
               fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k);                fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
           }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */            }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
             if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */              if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
               fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k);                fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
           }            }
           if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)            if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
             fprintf(ficgp,",");              fprintf(ficgp,",");
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           i=i+ncovmodel;            i=i+ncovmodel;
         } /* end k */          } /* end k */
       } /* end k2 */        } /* end k2 */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;\n");        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
     } /* end k1 */      } /* end k1 */
   } /* end ng */    } /* end ng */
   /* avoid: */    /* avoid: */
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    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr;      double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
       
       
    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/\* Max number of modalities. We suppose  */     /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
    /*              a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax  *\/ */     /*              a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
   
    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);     sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);     sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
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 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){   void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection     /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
      agemin, agemax range of age       agemin, agemax range of age
      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed       dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
Line 8151  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double Line 8293  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
   if(estepm < stepm){    if(estepm < stepm){
     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
   }    }
   else  hstepm=estepm;       else{
       hstepm=estepm;   
     }
     if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
       stepsize=2;
     }
   
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and    yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
Line 8196  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double Line 8343  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {      for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);           fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
       for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){         /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
         for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
         nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm);           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
         nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
         p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
Line 8217  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double Line 8365  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
           ppij=0.;            ppij=0.;
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
             /* if (mobilav>=1)  */              if (mobilav>=1)
             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][k];               ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
             /* else { */ /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage */              else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
             /*  ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */                  ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
             /* } */              }
             fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);              fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
           } /* end i */            } /* end i */
           fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
Line 8239  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double Line 8387  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
   
 }  }
   
 /* /\************** Back Forecasting ******************\/ */  /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){   void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection    /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
      agemin, agemax range of age       agemin, agemax range of age
      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed       dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
      anback2 year of en of backection (same day and month as back1).       anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
        prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
   */    */
   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;    int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
   double agec; /* generic age */    double agec; /* generic age */
Line 8283  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do Line 8432  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
   if(estepm < stepm){    if(estepm < stepm){
     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
   }    }
   else  hstepm=estepm;    else{
       hstepm=estepm;   
     }
     if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
       stepsize=2;
     }
       
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;    hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and    yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
Line 8304  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do Line 8458  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
       
   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");    fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
       
   /*          if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */  
   /* for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */  
   /*   for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */  
   /*     k=k+1; */  
   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){    for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
Line 8333  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do Line 8483  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */        /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
       printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);        /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ */        /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
       /*        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); */        for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
       for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /* testing */  
         /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/          /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
         nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);          nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
         nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;          nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
         p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;          oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
         /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */          /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
           /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
         hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);          hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
         /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */          /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
         /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */          /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
Line 8360  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do Line 8510  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
           ppij=0.;ppi=0.;            ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {            for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
             /* if (mobilav==1) */              /* if (mobilav==1) */
             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k];              ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
             ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k];              ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
               /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
               /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
               /* else { */                /* else { */
               /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */                /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
               /* } */                /* } */
Line 8386  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do Line 8538  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
                   
 }  }
   
   /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
    void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
       /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
    
      char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
      FILE *ficresvpl;
      double **oldm, **savm;
      double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
      int i1, k, nres, j ;
      
       strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
       strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
       if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
         exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
       
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
       
       i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
       if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
   
       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
       for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
         if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
           continue;
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
         printf("\n#****** ");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         }
         for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
           printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
           fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
           fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
         } 
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
         printf("******\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
         
         varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
         varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
         free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
       
       fclose(ficresvpl);
       printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
    }
   /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
    void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
         /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
   
      char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
      FILE  *ficresvbl;
   
      double **oldm, **savm;
      double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
      int i1, k, nres, j ;
   
      strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
      strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
      if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
        printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
        exit(0);
      }
      printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
      fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
      
      
      i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
      if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
      
      for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
        for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
          if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
            continue;
          fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
          printf("\n#****** ");
          fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
          for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
            fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
            fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
            printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
          }
          for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
            printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
            fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
            fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
          }
          fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
          printf("******\n");
          fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
          
          varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
          oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
          
          varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
          free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
          /*}*/
        }
      
      fclose(ficresvbl);
      printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
      fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
    } /* End of varbprlim */
   
 /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/  /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
 /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */  /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
       
Line 9467  Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative ( Line 9736  Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (
 Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\  Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
 Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\  Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
 Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);  Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}    for(k=-1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */    for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */      if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
       Fixed[k]= 0;        Fixed[k]= 0;
Line 9717  Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative ( Line 9986  Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (
   /* Searching for doublons in the model */    /* Searching for doublons in the model */
   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){    for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){      for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){        /* if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){ */
         if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[k1]==Fixed[k2]) && (Dummy[k1]==Dummy[k2] )){
         if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */          if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
           if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){            if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
             printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);              printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);              fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]); fflush(ficlog);
             return(1);              return(1);
           }            }
         }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){          }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
Line 10442  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10712  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   int vpopbased=0;    int vpopbased=0;
   int nres=0;    int nres=0;
   int endishere=0;    int endishere=0;
     int noffset=0;
     int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
     
   char ca[32], cb[32];    char ca[32], cb[32];
   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */    /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */    /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
Line 10494  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10766  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double *delti; /* Scale */    double *delti; /* Scale */
   double ***eij, ***vareij;    double ***eij, ***vareij;
   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
   double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */  
   double *epj, vepp;    double *epj, vepp;
   
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;    double dateprev1, dateprev2;
   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000;    double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
     double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
   
   double **ximort;    double **ximort;
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";    char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
Line 10576  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10849  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */        if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
     }      }
   }    }
     else if (argc<=2){
       strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
     }
   else{    else{
     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);      strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
       strcpy(z,argv[2]);
       printf("\nargv[2]=%s z=%c\n",argv[2],z[0]);
   }    }
   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/    /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);    /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
Line 10655  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10933  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     exit(70);       exit(70); 
   }    }
   
   
   
   strcpy(filereso,"o");    strcpy(filereso,"o");
   strcat(filereso,fileresu);    strcat(filereso,fileresu);
   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */    if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
Line 10665  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10941  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     fflush(ficlog);      fflush(ficlog);
     goto end;      goto end;
   }    }
         /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
     strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
     strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
     strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
     strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
       fflush(ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
     fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
   
                                         
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */    /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
   numlinepar=0;    numlinepar=0;
     /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
     /* First parameter line */    /* First parameter line */
   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {    while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       noffset=0;
       if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
       {
         noffset=noffset+3;
         printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
       }
       else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
       {
         noffset=noffset+2;
         printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
       }
       else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
       {
         if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
           noffset=noffset+4;
           printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
         }
       } else{
         ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
       }
     
     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */      /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
     if (line[0] == '#') {      if (line[noffset] == '#') {
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       fputs(line,stdout);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficres);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fputs(line,ficlog);
       continue;        continue;
     }else      }else
Line 10685  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10996  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                         title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){                          title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
     if (num_filled != 5) {      if (num_filled != 5) {
       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");        printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"Should be 5 parameters\n");
     }      }
     numlinepar++;      numlinepar++;
     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);      printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
       fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
       fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
       fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
   }    }
   /* Second parameter line */    /* Second parameter line */
   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {    while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */      /* while(fscanf(ficpar,"%[^\n]", line)) { */
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment. Strangely fgets reads the EOL and fputs doesn't */
     if (line[0] == '#') {      if (line[0] == '#') {
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       fputs(line,stdout);        printf("%s",line);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
       continue;        continue;
     }else      }else
       break;        break;
Line 10706  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 11023  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     if (num_filled != 11) {      if (num_filled != 11) {
       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");        printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
       printf("but line=%s\n",line);        printf("but line=%s\n",line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"but line=%s\n",line);
     }      }
     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);      printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
       fprintf(ficparo,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
       fprintf(ficres,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
       fprintf(ficlog,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
   }    }
   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */    /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */    /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
Line 10716  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 11038  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */      /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
     if (line[0] == '#') {      if (line[0] == '#') {
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       fputs(line,stdout);        printf("%s",line);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
       continue;        continue;
     }else      }else
       break;        break;
   }    }
   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){    if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
     if (num_filled == 0){      if (num_filled != 1){
       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);        printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);        fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
       model[0]='\0';  
       goto end;  
     } else if (num_filled != 1){  
       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);  
       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);  
       model[0]='\0';        model[0]='\0';
       goto end;        goto end;
     }      }
Line 10744  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 11062  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     }      }
     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */      /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);      printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficparo,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficres,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
   }    }
   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */    /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */    /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */    /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    /* fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    /* fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
   fflush(ficlog);    fflush(ficlog);
   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */    /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
   if(model[0]=='#'){    if(model[0]=='#'){
     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \      printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
  'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.' or \n \   'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
  'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n");          \   'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");            \
     if(mle != -1){      if(mle != -1){
       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");        printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
       exit(1);        exit(1);
     }      }
   }    }
Line 10979  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11300  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           
     fflush(ficlog);      fflush(ficlog);
           
     /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/  
     strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */  
     strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/  
     strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */  
     strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */  
     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {  
       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;  
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;  
     }  
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);  
   }    /* End of mle != -3 */    }    /* End of mle != -3 */
       
   /*  Main data    /*  Main data
Line 11326  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 11637  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
               firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);                firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
   
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\    fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
             ftol, stepm);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
     ncurrv=1;
     for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
     ncurrv=i;
     for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
     ncurrv=i;
     for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
     ncurrv=i;
     for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
              nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
   <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
   
     
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
 Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\  Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\  Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
           imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);    imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
Line 11601  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11933  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     printf("\n");      printf("\n");
           
     /*--------- results files --------------*/      /*--------- results files --------------*/
     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);      /* fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); */
           
           
     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");      fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
Line 11889  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12221  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
           fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
           /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/            /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
             dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
             dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
   
         }          }
         break;          break;
       case 12:        case 12:
Line 11904  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12239  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
           fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
           /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/            /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
             dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
             dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
         }          }
         break;          break;
       case 13:        case 13:
Line 11954  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12291  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
 This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\  This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
     }else{      }else{
       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1);        /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
         printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
     }      }
     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \      printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
                  model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \                   model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
                  jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2);                   jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
                                   
     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/      /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
     /*  chdir(path); */      /*  chdir(path); */
Line 11994  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12332  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     k=1;      k=1;
     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);      varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
           
     /* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] */      /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
     probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);      probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
     for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)      for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
         for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
           probs[i][j][k]=0.;            probs[i][j][k]=0.;
     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);      prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                  ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {      if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
       mobaverages= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);        mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
       for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)        for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)          for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
           for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)            for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
             mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;              mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
Line 12015  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12354  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);            fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
           printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);            printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         }          }
       }        } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
       /* else if(mobilavproj==-1){ /\* Forcing raw observed prevalences *\/ */  
       /*        for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) */  
       /*          for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) */  
       /*            for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++) */  
       /*              mobaverages[i][j][k]=probs[i][j][k]; */  
       /*        /\* /\\* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] *\\/ *\/ */  
       /*        /\* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); *\/ */  
       /* } */  
       else if (mobilavproj !=0) {  
         printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");          printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");          fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
         if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){          if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
           fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
           printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);            printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
         }          }
         }else{
           printf("Internal error moving average\n");
           fflush(stdout);
           exit(1);
       }        }
     }/* end if moving average */      }/* end if moving average */
           
     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/      /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
     /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/  
     if(prevfcast==1){      if(prevfcast==1){
       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/        /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);        prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
     }      }
   
       /* Backcasting */
     if(backcast==1){      if(backcast==1){
       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);                ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        
       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);                ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        
Line 12048  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12383  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
   
       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);        bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
   
       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);        back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
       fclose(ficresplb);        fclose(ficresplb);
   
       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);        hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
       fclose(ficrespijb);        fclose(ficrespijb);
       /* free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /\*here or after loop ? *\/ */  
   
       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj,        prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
          bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);                         mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
         varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
   
       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/     
               
       strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");        free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
       strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);  
       if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {  
         printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);  
         exit(0);  
       }  
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);  
       fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);  
         
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/  
         
       i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);  
       if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}  
         
       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */  
         for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){  
           if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)  
             continue;  
           fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");  
           printf("\n#****** ");  
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");  
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {  
             fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
             fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
             printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
           }  
           for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */  
             printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
             fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
             fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
           }       
           fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");  
           printf("******\n");  
           fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");  
             
           varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);  
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  
             
           varbrevlim(fileres, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, &ncvyear, k, strstart, nres);  
           free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);  
           /*}*/  
         }  
       
       fclose(ficresvbl);  
       printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);  
       fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);  
   
       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
     }      }    /* end  Backcasting */
     free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */  
     
     
     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */      /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
Line 12165  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12452  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     fclose(ficreseij);      fclose(ficreseij);
     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);      printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
                                   
     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/      /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
                                   
                   
     strcpy(filerest,"T_");      strcpy(filerest,"T_");
     strcat(filerest,fileresu);      strcat(filerest,fileresu);
     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 12177  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12464  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     }      }
     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);      printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
                   
   
     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");      strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);      strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 12206  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12491  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);      printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
   
     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/  
             
     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */      i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}      if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
           
Line 12270  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12552  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);        vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
       pstamp(ficrest);        pstamp(ficrest);
               
               epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/        for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */          oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
         cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */          cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
Line 12286  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12568  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);          for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
         /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */          /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
         epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);  
         printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");          printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");          fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){          for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
Line 12324  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12605  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           fprintf(ficrest,"\n");            fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
         }          }
       } /* End vpopbased */        } /* End vpopbased */
         free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);        free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);        free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);  
       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);        printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);        fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
               
       /*}*/  
     } /* End k selection */      } /* End k selection */
   
     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);      printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/         /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
           varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");  
     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);  
     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {  
       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);  
       exit(0);  
     }  
     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);  
     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);  
       
     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/  
       
     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);  
     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}  
   
     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */  
     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){  
       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)  
         continue;  
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");  
       printf("\n#****** ");  
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");  
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {  
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);  
       }  
       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */  
         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
         fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);  
       }   
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");  
       printf("******\n");  
       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");  
         
       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);  
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  
       varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, strstart, nres);  
       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);  
       /*}*/  
     }  
       
     fclose(ficresvpl);  
     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);  
     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);  
   
           
     free_vector(weight,1,n);      free_vector(weight,1,n);
Line 12402  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12636  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
           
     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/      /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)      if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
       free_ma3x(mobaverages,1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */        free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
     free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);      free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */      free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */    }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
Line 12420  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12654  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/    /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);    free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
     free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
       
   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);    free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
Line 12496  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12731  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
   fclose(ficlog);    fclose(ficlog);
   /*------ End -----------*/    /*------ End -----------*/
       
   
   /* Executes gnuplot */
       
   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);    printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
 #ifdef WIN32  #ifdef WIN32
Line 12564  end: Line 12801  end:
     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);      printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
     scanf("%s",z);      scanf("%s",z);
   }    }
     printf("End\n");
     exit(0);
 }  }

Removed from v.1.268  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.285


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