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Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.268 and 1.291

version 1.268, 2017/05/18 20:09:32	version 1.291, 2019/05/09 13:44:18
Line 1	Line 1
/* $Id$	/* $Id$
$State$	$State$
$Log$	$Log$
	Revision 1.291 2019/05/09 13:44:18 brouard
	Summary: Before ncovmax

	Revision 1.290 2019/05/09 13:39:37 brouard
	Summary: 0.99r18 unlimited number of individuals

	The number n which was limited to 20,000 cases is now unlimited, from firstobs to lastobs. If the number is too for the virtual memory, probably an error will occur.

	Revision 1.289 2018/12/13 09:16:26 brouard
	Summary: Bug for young ages (<-30) will be in r17

	Revision 1.288 2018/05/02 20:58:27 brouard
	Summary: Some bugs fixed

	Revision 1.287 2018/05/01 17:57:25 brouard
	Summary: Bug fixed by providing frequencies only for non missing covariates

	Revision 1.286 2018/04/27 14:27:04 brouard
	Summary: some minor bugs

	Revision 1.285 2018/04/21 21:02:16 brouard
	Summary: Some bugs fixed, valgrind tested

	Revision 1.284 2018/04/20 05:22:13 brouard
	Summary: Computing mean and stdeviation of fixed quantitative variables

	Revision 1.283 2018/04/19 14:49:16 brouard
	Summary: Some minor bugs fixed

	Revision 1.282 2018/02/27 22:50:02 brouard
	* empty log message *

	Revision 1.281 2018/02/27 19:25:23 brouard
	Summary: Adding second argument for quitting

	Revision 1.280 2018/02/21 07:58:13 brouard
	Summary: 0.99r15

	New Makefile with recent VirtualBox 5.26. Bug in sqrt negatve in imach.c

	Revision 1.279 2017/07/20 13:35:01 brouard
	Summary: temporary working

	Revision 1.278 2017/07/19 14:09:02 brouard
	Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)

	Revision 1.277 2017/07/17 08:53:49 brouard
	Summary: BOM files can be read now

	Revision 1.276 2017/06/30 15:48:31 brouard
	Summary: Graphs improvements

	Revision 1.275 2017/06/30 13:39:33 brouard
	Summary: Saito's color

	Revision 1.274 2017/06/29 09:47:08 brouard
	Summary: Version 0.99r14

	Revision 1.273 2017/06/27 11:06:02 brouard
	Summary: More documentation on projections

	Revision 1.272 2017/06/27 10:22:40 brouard
	Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)

	Revision 1.271 2017/06/27 10:17:50 brouard
	Summary: Some bug with rint

	Revision 1.270 2017/05/24 05:45:29 brouard
	* empty log message *

	Revision 1.269 2017/05/23 08:39:25 brouard
	Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings

Revision 1.268 2017/05/18 20:09:32 brouard	Revision 1.268 2017/05/18 20:09:32 brouard
Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence	Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence

Line 984 typedef struct {	Line 1057 typedef struct {
#define NINTERVMAX 8	#define NINTERVMAX 8
#define NLSTATEMAX 8 /*< Maximum number of live states (for func) /	#define NLSTATEMAX 8 /*< Maximum number of live states (for func) /
#define NDEATHMAX 8 /*< Maximum number of dead states (for func) /	#define NDEATHMAX 8 /*< Maximum number of dead states (for func) /
#define NCOVMAX 20 /*< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1V2 */	#define NCOVMAX 20 /*< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1V2 */
#define codtabm(h,k) (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1	#define codtabm(h,k) (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
/#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)/	/#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)/
#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1	#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1
#define MAXN 20000	/#define MAXN 20000 / /* Should by replaced by nobs, real number of observations and unlimited */
#define YEARM 12. /*< Number of months per year /	#define YEARM 12. /*< Number of months per year /
/* #define AGESUP 130 */	/* #define AGESUP 130 */
#define AGESUP 150	/* #define AGESUP 150 */
	#define AGESUP 200
#define AGEINF 0	#define AGEINF 0
#define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */	#define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
#define AGEBASE 40	#define AGEBASE 40
Line 1011 typedef struct {	Line 1085 typedef struct {
/* $State$ */	/* $State$ */
#include "version.h"	#include "version.h"
char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;	char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";	char copyright[]="April 2018,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";	char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";
char strstart[80];	char strstart[80];
char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];	char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 1035 int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Qu	Line 1109 int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Qu
int ntveff=0; /*< ntveff number of effective time varying variables /	int ntveff=0; /*< ntveff number of effective time varying variables /
int nqtveff=0; /*< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables /	int nqtveff=0; /*< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables /
int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */	int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
	int nobs=10; /* Number of observations in the data lastobs-firstobs */
int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */	int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
int npar=NPARMAX;	int npar=NPARMAX;
int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */	int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
Line 1084 FILE *ficrescveij;	Line 1159 FILE *ficrescveij;
char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];	char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
FILE *ficresvij;	FILE *ficresvij;
char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];	char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
FILE *ficresvpl;
char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
FILE *ficresvbl;
char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];
char title[MAXLINE];	char title[MAXLINE];
char model[MAXLINE]; /*< The model line /	char model[MAXLINE]; /*< The model line /
char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];	char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 2489 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int	Line 2561 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int

double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double oldm, double savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)	double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double oldm, double savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
{	{
/* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij	/**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij
(and selected quantitative values in nres)	* (and selected quantitative values in nres)
by left multiplying the unit	* by left multiplying the unit
matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */	* matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl
/* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1 = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */	* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1 = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
/* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */	* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
/* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */	* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
/* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */	* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
/* Initial matrix pimij */	* Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
	* Output is prlim.
	* Initial matrix pimij
	*/
/* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */	/* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
/* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */	/* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
/* 0, 0 , 1} */	/* 0, 0 , 1} */
Line 2518 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int	Line 2593 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
double **newm;	double **newm;
double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */	double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
int ncvloop=0;	int ncvloop=0;
	int first=0;

min=vector(1,nlstate);	min=vector(1,nlstate);
max=vector(1,nlstate);	max=vector(1,nlstate);
Line 2614 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int	Line 2690 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);	free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
return prlim;	return prlim;
}	}
} /* age loop */	} /* agefin loop */
/* After some age loop it doesn't converge */	/* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\	if(!first){
Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);	first=1;
	printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d). Others in log file only...\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM), (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
	}
	fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d).\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM), (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);

/* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */	/* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
free_vector(min,1,nlstate);	free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
free_vector(max,1,nlstate);	free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
Line 2683 Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl	Line 2763 Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl
/* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */	/* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
/* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */	/* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
/* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age \/ /	/* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age \/ /
for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */	/* for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age \/ /
	for(agefin=age; agefin<FMIN(AGESUP,age+delaymax); agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
ncvloop++;	ncvloop++;
newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */	newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
/* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */	/* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
Line 2797 Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl	Line 2878 Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl
free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);	free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
return bprlim;	return bprlim;
}	}
} /* age loop */	} /* agefin loop */
/* After some age loop it doesn't converge */	/* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
if(first){	if(!first){
first=1;	first=1;
printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\	printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);	Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
Line 2932 double pmij(double ps, double *cov,	Line 3013 double pmij(double ps, double *cov,
/* Diag(w_x) */	/* Diag(w_x) */
/* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */	/* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
sumnew=0.;	sumnew=0.;
/* for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){ */	/for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){/
for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */	for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
	/* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]); */
sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];	sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
}	}
if(sumnew >0.01){ /* At least some value in the prevalence */	if(sumnew >0.01){ /* At least some value in the prevalence */
for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){	for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)	for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);	doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
}	}
}else{	}else{
for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){	for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
Line 3239 double *hbxij(double *po, int nhstep	Line 3321 double *hbxij(double *po, int nhstep
newm=savm;	newm=savm;
/* Covariates have to be included here again */	/* Covariates have to be included here again */
cov[1]=1.;	cov[1]=1.;
agexact=age-((h-1)hstepm + (d))stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */	agexact=age-( (h-1)hstepm + (d) )stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
/* agexact=age+((h-1)hstepm + (d-1))stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition \/ /	/* agexact=age+((h-1)hstepm + (d-1))stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition \/ /
cov[2]=agexact;	cov[2]=agexact;
if(nagesqr==1)	if(nagesqr==1)
Line 3841 void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[],	Line 3923 void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[],
else if(mle >=1)	else if(mle >=1)
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));	fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model);

for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {	for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
Line 4323 void freqsummary(char fileres[], double	Line 4405 void freqsummary(char fileres[], double
double **freq; / Frequencies */	double **freq; / Frequencies */
double x, y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+mx and r is the correlation coefficient /	double x, y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+mx and r is the correlation coefficient /
int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int no, const double x[], const double y[], double a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);	int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int no, const double x[], const double y[], double a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
double *meanq;	double meanq, stdq, *idq;
double **meanqt;	double **meanqt;
double pp, prop, posprop, *pospropt;	double pp, prop, posprop, *pospropt;
double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;	double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
Line 4336 void freqsummary(char fileres[], double	Line 4418 void freqsummary(char fileres[], double
pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */	pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */
/* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */	/* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */	meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
	stdq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
	idq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);	meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
strcpy(fileresp,"P_");	strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
strcat(fileresp,fileresu);	strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
Line 4444 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4528 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
posprop[i]=0;	posprop[i]=0;
pospropt[i]=0;	pospropt[i]=0;
}	}
/* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { */	for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* zeroing for each combination j1 as well as for the total */
/* meanq[z1]+=0.; */	idq[z1]=0.;
	meanq[z1]=0.;
	stdq[z1]=0.;
	}
	/* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
/* for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */	/* for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
/* meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */	/* meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
/* } */	/* } */
/* } */	/* } */

/* dateintsum=0; */	/* dateintsum=0; */
/* k2cpt=0; */	/* k2cpt=0; */

Line 4460 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4547 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
if(j !=0){	if(j !=0){
if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */	if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */	if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
/* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { */
/* meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind]; /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter \/ /
/* } */
for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
/* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */	/* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
/* /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; \/ /	/* /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; \/ /
Line 4483 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4567 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
}/* end j==0 */	}/* end j==0 */
if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */	if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
/* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */	/* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */	for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For each wave */
m=mw[mi][iind];	m=mw[mi][iind];
if(j!=0){	if(j!=0){
if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */	if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
Line 4503 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4587 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
}/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop */	}/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop */
} /* end j==0 */	} /* end j==0 */
/* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */	/* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
if(bool==1){	if(bool==1){ /Selected /
/* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]	/* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */	and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/	agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
Line 4521 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4605 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
if(s[m][iind]==-1)	if(s[m][iind]==-1)
printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));	printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */	freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
	for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* Quantitative variables, calculating mean */
	idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind];
	meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]weight[iind]; / Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
	stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]weight[iind]weight[iind]; / weight[iind];/ /* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
	}
/* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */	/* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
/* printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */	/* printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
/* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */	/* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
Line 4536 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4625 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
bool=1;	bool=1;
}/* end bool 2 */	}/* end bool 2 */
} /* end m */	} /* end m */
	/* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /\* Quantitative variables, calculating mean \/ /
	/* idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind]; */
	/* meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]weight[iind]; /\ Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter \/ /
	/* stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]weight[iind]weight[iind]; /\ weight[iind];\/ /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter \/ /
	/* } */
} /* end bool */	} /* end bool */
} /* end iind = 1 to imx */	} /* end iind = 1 to imx */
/* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as	/* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
Line 4573 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4667 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");	fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");	fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
}	}
	/*
	Printing means of quantitative variables if any
	*/
	for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {
	fprintf(ficlog,"Mean of fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f individuals sum=%f", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1], meanq[z1]);
	fprintf(ficlog,", mean=%.3g\n",meanq[z1]/idq[z1]);
	if(weightopt==1){
	printf(" Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
	fprintf(ficlog," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
	fprintf(ficresphtmfr," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
	}
	printf(" fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
	fprintf(ficlog," fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
	fprintf(ficresphtmfr," fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.0f representatives of the population : %6.3g (%6.3g)<p>\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt((stdq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1])/idq[z1]));
	}
	/* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
	/* for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
	/* fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"V quantitative id %d, pass id=%d, mean=%f<p>\n", z1, m, meanqt[m][z1]); */
	/* } */
	/* } */

fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");	fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)\|\| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */	if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)\|\| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
fprintf(ficresp, " Age");	fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
Line 4807 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4922 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
fprintf(ficlog,"\n");	fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
}	}
}	}
}	} /* end of state i */
printf("#Freqsummary\n");	printf("#Freqsummary\n");
fprintf(ficlog,"\n");	fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){	for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
Line 4853 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 4968 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
fclose(ficresp);	fclose(ficresp);
fclose(ficresphtm);	fclose(ficresphtm);
fclose(ficresphtmfr);	fclose(ficresphtmfr);
	free_vector(idq,1,nqfveff);
free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);	free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
	free_vector(stdq,1,nqfveff);
free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);	free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);	free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);	free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
Line 4960 void prevalence(double ***probs, double	Line 5077 void prevalence(double ***probs, double
/j=cptcoveff;/	/j=cptcoveff;/
if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}	if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}

first=1;	first=0;
for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */	for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)	for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)
for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)	for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
Line 5018 void prevalence(double ***probs, double	Line 5135 void prevalence(double ***probs, double
if(posprop>=1.e-5){	if(posprop>=1.e-5){
probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;	probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
} else{	} else{
if(first==1){	if(!first){
first=0;	first=1;
printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);	printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
}else{	}else{
fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);	fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases.\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
}	}
}	}
}	}
Line 5269 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5385 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/* cptcov=0; /	/* cptcov=0; /

for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */	for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
	for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++)
	for(j=1; j<=2; j++)
	nbcode[k][j]=0; /* Valgrind */

/* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */	/* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
/* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2age+ V3 + V3V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only \/ /
for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2age + V3 + V3V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */	for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2age + V3 + V3V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;	for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */	if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */
Line 5289 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5407 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
modmaxcovj=ij;	modmaxcovj=ij;
else if (ij < modmincovj)	else if (ij < modmincovj)
modmincovj=ij;	modmincovj=ij;
if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){	if (ij <0 \|\| ij >1 ){
	printf("Information, IMaCh doesn't treat covariate with missing values (-1), individual %d will be skipped.\n",i);
	fprintf(ficlog,"Information, currently IMaCh doesn't treat covariate with missing values (-1), individual %d will be skipped.\n",i);
	}
	if ((ij < -1) \|\| (ij > NCOVMAX)){
printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );	printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
exit(1);	exit(1);
}else	}else
Line 5335 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5457 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */	/* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
/* To be continued (not working yet). */	/* To be continued (not working yet). */
ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */	ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
	/* for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { / / i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
	/* Skipping the case of missing values by reducing nbcode to 0 and 1 and not -1, 0, 1 */
	/* model=V1+V2+V3, if V2=-1, 0 or 1, then nbcode[2][1]=0 and nbcode[2][2]=1 instead of
	* nbcode[2][1]=-1, nbcode[2][2]=0 and nbcode[2][3]=1 */
	/, could be restored in the future /
	for (i=0; i<=1; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */	if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
break;	break;
}	}
ij++;	ij++;
nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i; /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/	nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i; /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1 . Could be -1*/
cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */	cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
} /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */	} /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
break;	break;
Line 5356 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5484 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
break;	break;
} /* end switch */	} /* end switch */
} /* end dummy test */	} /* end dummy test */
	} /* end of loop on model-covariate k. nbcode[Tvark][1]=-1, nbcode[Tvark][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvark][2]=1 sets the value of covariate k*/
/* for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 \//\ Could be 1 to 4 \//\ cptcode=modmaxcovj \/ /
/* /\recode from 0 \/ */
/* k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1sex /
/* then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
/* But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode \/ /
/* } */
/* /\* cptcode = ij; \/ /\ New max modality for covar j \/ /
/* if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
/* printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
/* fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
/* break; */
/* } */
/* } /\* end of loop on modality k \/ /
} /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/

for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;	for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
/* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */	/* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
Line 5463 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5577 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.	/* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.
nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim	nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim
nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.	nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.
Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size	Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
and note for a fixed period like estepm months */	and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
/* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the	/* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it	survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
Line 5694 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5808 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/	/* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/

}	}

	/* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */
fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );	fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
eip=0.;	eip=0.;
Line 5709 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5824 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
}	}
fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");	fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");

	/* Variance of expectancies ij */
fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );	fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){	for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
Line 5742 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5858 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/********** Variance ****************/	/********** Variance ****************/
void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double *vareij, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double *prlim, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)	void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double *vareij, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double *prlim, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
{	{
/* Variance of health expectancies */	/** Variance of health expectancies
/* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double * savm,double ftolpl);*/	* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double * savm,double ftolpl);
/* double *newm;/	* double **newm;
/* int movingaverage(double *probs, double bage,double fage, double mobaverage, int mobilav)/	* int movingaverage(double *probs, double bage,double fage, double *mobaverage, int mobilav)
	*/

/* int movingaverage(); */	/* int movingaverage(); */
double dnewm,doldm;	double dnewm,doldm;
double dnewmp,doldmp;	double dnewmp,doldmp;
int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;	int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
	int first=0;
int k;	int k;
double *xp;	double *xp;
double gp, gm; /* for var eij */	double gp, gm; /*< for var eij /
double *gradg, trgradg; /for var eij */	double *gradg, trgradg; /< for var eij /
double gradgp, trgradgp; /* for var p point j */	double gradgp, trgradgp; /*< for var p point j /
double gpp, gmp; /* for var p point j */	double gpp, gmp; /*< for var p point j /
double *varppt; / for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */	double varppt; /< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
double ***p3mat;	double ***p3mat;
double age,agelim, hf;	double age,agelim, hf;
/* double **mobaverage; /	/* double **mobaverage; /
Line 5818 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5936 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
/* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/	/* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s <br>\n",digitp);	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s <br>\n",digitp);
/* } */
varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);	varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
pstamp(ficresvij);	pstamp(ficresvij);
fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are ");	fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
Line 5873 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 5991 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/	for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);	xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
}	}
	/**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and
	* returns into prlim .
	*/
prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);	prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);

	/* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
if (popbased==1) {	if (popbased==1) {
if(mobilav ==0){	if(mobilav ==0){
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
Line 5885 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6006 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];	prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
}	}
}	}
	/**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres); /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */	*/
	hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres); /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
	/**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
	* at horizon h in state j including mortality.
	*/
for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){	for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){	for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)	for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];	gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
}	}
}	}
/* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means	/* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months)	computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months)
as a weighted average of prlim.	as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1p13 + w2p23 .
*/	*/
for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){	for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)	for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];	gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
}	}
/* end probability of death */
	/* Again with minus shift */

for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */	for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);	xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);

prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);	prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);

if (popbased==1) {	if (popbased==1) {
Line 5934 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6060 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)	for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];	gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
}	}
/* end probability of death */	/* end shifting computations */

	/**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h
	*/
for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */	for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){	for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];	gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
}	}
	/**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j)
for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */	*/
	for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];	gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
}	}

} /* End theta */	} /* End theta */

	/* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */
trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */	trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */

for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */	for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
Line 5957 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6087 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */	for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)	for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];	trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
	/**< as well as its transposed matrix
	*/

hf=hstepmstepm/YEARM; / Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */	hf=hstepmstepm/YEARM; / Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)	for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)	for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;	vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;

	/* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
	* and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
	* Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
	*/

for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){	for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){	for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);	matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
Line 5974 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6110 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
}	}
}	}

/* pptj */	/* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
	* p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
	* we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
	* wix is independent of theta.
	*/
matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);	matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);	matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)	for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
Line 6062 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6202 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
} /* end varevsij */	} /* end varevsij */

/********** Variance of prevlim ****************/	/********** Variance of prevlim ****************/
void varprevlim(char fileres[], double varpl, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double *prlim, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)	void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE ficresvpl, double varpl, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double prlim, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
{	{
/* Variance of prevalence limit for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/	/* Variance of prevalence limit for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
/* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double savm,double ftolpl);/	/* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double savm,double ftolpl);/
Line 6077 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6217 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
int theta;	int theta;

pstamp(ficresvpl);	pstamp(ficresvpl);
fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");	fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (forward stable) prevalences \n");
fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");	fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
if(nresult >=1)	if(nresult >=1)
fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");	fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
Line 6106 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6246 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */	for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);	xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
}	}
if((int)age==79 \|\|(int)age== 80 \|\|(int)age== 81 )	/* if((int)age==79 \|\|(int)age== 80 \|\|(int)age== 81 ) */
prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);	/* prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
else	/* else */
prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);	prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){	for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
gp[i] = prlim[i][i];	gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];	mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
}	}
for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */	for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);	xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
if((int)age==79 \|\|(int)age== 80 \|\|(int)age== 81 )	/* if((int)age==79 \|\|(int)age== 80 \|\|(int)age== 81 ) */
prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);	/* prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
else	/* else */
prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);	prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){	for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
gm[i] = prlim[i][i];	gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];	mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
Line 6168 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6308 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );	fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
if(nresult >=1)	if(nresult >=1)
fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );	fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));	fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
	/* for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) */
	/* fprintf(ficresvpl," %d %.5f ",j,prlim[j][i]); */
	}
fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");	fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);	free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);	free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
Line 6187 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int	Line 6330 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int


/********** Variance of backprevalence limit ****************/	/********** Variance of backprevalence limit ****************/
void varbrevlim(char fileres[], double varbpl, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double *bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)	void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE ficresvbl, double varbpl, double matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double oldm, double savm, double bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
{	{
/* Variance of backward prevalence limit for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/	/* Variance of backward prevalence limit for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
/* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double savm,double ftolpl);/	/* double prevalim(double prlim, int nlstate, double xp, double age, double oldm, double savm,double ftolpl);/
Line 6386 void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do	Line 6529 void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
fprintf(fichtm,"\n");	fprintf(fichtm,"\n");

fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. File %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);	fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \	fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\	and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
Line 6583 To be simple, these graphs help to under	Line 6726 To be simple, these graphs help to under
}	}

/* Eigen vectors */	/* Eigen vectors */
v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));	if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
	printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
	fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
	v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
	}else
	v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
/v21=sqrt(1.-v11v11); // error */	/v21=sqrt(1.-v11v11); // error */
v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;	v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
v12=-v21;	v12=-v21;
Line 6614 To be simple, these graphs help to under	Line 6762 To be simple, these graphs help to under
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f(%11.3e%11.3ecos(t)+%11.3e%11.3esin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f(%11.3e%11.3ecos(t)+%11.3e%11.3esin(t)) not", \	fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f(%11.3e%11.3ecos(t)+%11.3e%11.3esin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f(%11.3e%11.3ecos(t)+%11.3e%11.3esin(t)) not", \
mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \	mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */	mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
}else{	}else{
first=0;	first=0;
fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);	fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
Line 6652 void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char	Line 6800 void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char
int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\	int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\	int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \	int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, \	double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2){	double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;	int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;

fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \	fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
Line 6674 void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char	Line 6822 void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char
- Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",	- Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));	stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",	- Period (forward) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));	subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",	- Backward prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));	subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \	- (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
Line 6790 divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>	Line 6938 divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){	for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages. \	Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages. \
<a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);	<a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}	}
/* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */	/* Period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){	for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);	<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}	}
if(backcast==1){	if(backcast==1){
/* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */	/* Backward prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){	for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);	<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}	}
}	}
if(prevfcast==1){	if(prevfcast==1){
/* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */	/* Projection of prevalence up to period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){	for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) forward prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);	<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}	}
}	}
if(backcast==1){	if(backcast==1){
/* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */	/* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){	for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to stable (mixed) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \	fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);	from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
	account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
	with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
	<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}	}
}	}

Line 6857 See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance	Line 7008 See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance
<a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",	<a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));	estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",	- Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the forward (period) prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));	estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",	- Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));	estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
fprintf(fichtm,"\	fprintf(fichtm,"\
- Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\	- Standard deviation of forward (period) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));	subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));

/* if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */	/* if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
Line 6921 true period expectancies (those weighted	Line 7072 true period expectancies (those weighted
}	}

/***************** Gnuplot file ************/	/***************** Gnuplot file ************/
void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){	void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){

char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];	char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];	char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
Line 6930 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7081 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
int ng=0;	int ng=0;
int vpopbased;	int vpopbased;
int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */	int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
	int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection */
	int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection */
int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */	int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */	int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */

Line 6943 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7096 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
/#endif /	/#endif /
m=pow(2,cptcoveff);	m=pow(2,cptcoveff);

	/* diagram of the model */
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
	fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
	fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i10+j from cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(i-1)2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0), yoff +sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(i-1)2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0) rto -0.95(cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(i-1)2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0) - cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(j-1)2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta2:0)), -0.95(sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(i-1)2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0) - sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(j-1)2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);

	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)10+i from cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(1-i)2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0), yoff +sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(1-i)2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0) rto -0.80(cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(1-i)2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)delta:0) ), -0.80(sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(1-i)2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(2-i)2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi((1-(%d/2)2./%d)/2+(2-i)2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0. font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
	fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");

/* Contribution to likelihood */	/* Contribution to likelihood */
/* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */	/* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");	fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
Line 6983 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7150 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
continue;	continue;
/* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */	/* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
/* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */	/* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Forward (stable period) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt);
strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");	strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */	lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
Line 7012 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7179 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch

fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);	/* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
	fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
/* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */	/* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
/* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/	/* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
Line 7020 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7188 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
}	}
fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Forward prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {	for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
Line 7034 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7202 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch

fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
if(cptcoveff ==0){	if(cptcoveff ==0){
fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3", 2+(cpt-1), cpt );	fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3", 2+3*(cpt-1), cpt );
}else{	}else{
kl=0;	kl=0;
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each combination of covariate */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
Line 7092 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch	Line 7260 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
}	}
fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {	for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
}	}
fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {	for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");	else fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
}	}
fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1");	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
} /* end if backprojcast */	} /* end if backprojcast */
} /* end if backcast */	} /* end if backcast */
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n");	/* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
} /* nres */	} /* nres */
} /* k1 */	} /* k1 */
} /* cpt */	} /* cpt */
Line 7348 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7517 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
continue;	continue;
for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */	for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");	strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (forward): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */
lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */	lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */	/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */
Line 7392 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7561 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n

/* 7eme */	/* 7eme */
if(backcast == 1){	if(backcast == 1){
/* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */	/* CV backward prevalence for each covariate */
for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */	for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */	for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)	if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
continue;	continue;
for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */	for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");	strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Backward stable prevalence: 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */
lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */	lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */	/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */
Line 7447 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7616 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n

/* 8eme */	/* 8eme */
if(prevfcast==1){	if(prevfcast==1){
/* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */	/* Projection from cross-sectional to forward stable (period) prevalence for each covariate */

for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */	for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */	for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
Line 7455 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7624 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
continue;	continue;
for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */	for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");	strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to forward stable prevalence (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */
lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */	lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */	/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */
Line 7503 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7672 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 /	/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 /
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);
if(i==nlstate+1){	if(i==nlstate+1){
fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):5 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ", \	fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ", \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt );
fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");	fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);
fprintf(ficgp," (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", \	fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
offyear, \	offyear, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate );
}else	}else
fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ", \	fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ", \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,i,cpt );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,i,cpt );
}else{ /* more than 2 covariates */	}else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
if(cptcoveff ==1){	ioffset=2cptcoveff+2; / Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */	/# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3/
}else{	/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 /
ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */	iyearc=ioffset-1;
/# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3/	iagec=ioffset;
/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 /
}
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);
kl=0;	kl=0;
strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");	strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
Line 7542 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7709 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
/6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)2=13 /	/6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)2=13 /
/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/	/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
if(i==nlstate+1){	if(i==nlstate+1){
fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \	fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");	fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec);
fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \	fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
offyear, \	iyearc, iagec, offyear, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate, iyearc );
/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/	/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
}else{	}else{
fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \	fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
Line 7618 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7785 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 /	/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 /
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset);
if(i==nlstate+1){	if(i==nlstate+1){
fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):5 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \	fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt );
fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");	fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);
fprintf(ficgp," (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", \	fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
offbyear, \	offbyear, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );	ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
}else	}else
fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ", \	fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ", \
ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt,i );	ioffset+(cpt-1)(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate,cpt,i );
}else{ /* more than 2 covariates */	}else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
if(cptcoveff ==1){	ioffset=2cptcoveff+2; / Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */	/# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3/
}else{	/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 /
ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */	iyearc=ioffset-1;
/# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3/	iagec=ioffset;
/# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 /
}
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);
kl=0;	kl=0;
strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");	strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
Line 7657 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7822 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
/6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)2=13 /	/6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)2=13 /
/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/	/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
if(i==nlstate+1){	if(i==nlstate+1){
fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):5 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \	fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),cpt );	ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");	fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset);	fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec);
/* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */	/* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \	fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
offbyear, \	iyearc,iagec,offbyear, \
ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );	ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/	/* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
}else{	}else{
/* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */	/* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
Line 7723 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7888 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
continue;	continue;
fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy k1=%d which is ",k1);	fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy k1=%d which is ",k1);
strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");	strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);	/sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);/
for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */	for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */
lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */	lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */	/* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */
Line 7740 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 7905 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");	strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");	fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
	/* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
if (ng==1){	if (ng==1){
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12x) could be nice /	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12x) could be nice /
Line 7860 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8027 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
}	}
fprintf(ficgp,")");	fprintf(ficgp,")");
if(ng ==2)	if(ng ==2)
fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);	fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
else /* ng= 3 */	else /* ng= 3 */
fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k);	fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
}else{ /* end ng <> 1 */	}else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */	if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k);	fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
}	}
if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)	if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
fprintf(ficgp,",");	fprintf(ficgp,",");
Line 7874 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8041 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
i=i+ncovmodel;	i=i+ncovmodel;
} /* end k */	} /* end k */
} /* end k2 */	} /* end k2 */
fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;\n");	/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
	fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
} /* end k1 */	} /* end k1 */
} /* end ng */	} /* end ng */
/* avoid: */	/* avoid: */
Line 7890 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8058 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
int modcovmax =1;	int modcovmax =1;
int mobilavrange, mob;	int mobilavrange, mob;
int iage=0;	int iage=0;
	int firstA1=0, firstA2=0;

double sum=0., sumr=0.;	double sum=0., sumr=0.;
double age;	double age;
Line 7898 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8067 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
double agemingoodr, agemaxgoodr;	double agemingoodr, agemaxgoodr;


/* modcovmax=2cptcoveff;/\ Max number of modalities. We suppose */	/* modcovmax=2cptcoveff; Max number of modalities. We suppose /
/* a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax \/ /	/* a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax */

sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);	sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);	sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
Line 7987 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8156 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
} /* age */	} /* age */
/* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */	/* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
/* but they will change */	/* but they will change */
	firstA1=0;firstA2=0;
for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */	for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;	sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;	sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
Line 8019 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8189 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];	sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
}	}
if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */	if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);	if(!firstA1){
	firstA1=1;
	printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
	}
	fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
} /* end bad */	} /* end bad */
/* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest \/ /	/* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest \/ /
if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */	if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);	if(!firstA2){
	firstA2=1;
	printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
	}
	fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
} /* end bad */	} /* end bad */
}/* age */	}/* age */

Line 8112 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n	Line 8290 set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n


/************ Forecasting ****************/	/************ Forecasting ****************/
void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){	void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
/* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection	/* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection
agemin, agemax range of age	agemin, agemax range of age
dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed	dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
Line 8151 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double	Line 8329 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
if(estepm < stepm){	if(estepm < stepm){
printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);	printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
}	}
else hstepm=estepm;	else{
	hstepm=estepm;
	}
	if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
	stepsize=2;
	}

hstepm=hstepm/stepm;	hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and	yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and
Line 8196 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double	Line 8379 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {	for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
fprintf(ficresf,"\n");	fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);	fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);
for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){	/* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ */
	for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){
nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm);	nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm);
nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;	nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);	p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
Line 8217 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double	Line 8401 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double
for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {	for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
ppij=0.;	ppij=0.;
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
/* if (mobilav>=1) */	if (mobilav>=1)
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][k];	ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
/* else { / / even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage */	else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; /	ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
/* } */	}
fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);	fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
} /* end i */	} /* end i */
fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);	fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
Line 8239 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double	Line 8423 void prevforecast(char fileres[], double

}	}

/* /\************ Back Forecasting ***************\/ /	/************ Back Forecasting ****************/
void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){	void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
/* back1, year, month, day of starting backection	/* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
agemin, agemax range of age	agemin, agemax range of age
dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed	dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
anback2 year of en of backection (same day and month as back1).	anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
	prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
*/	*/
int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;	int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
double agec; /* generic age */	double agec; /* generic age */
Line 8283 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do	Line 8468 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
if(estepm < stepm){	if(estepm < stepm){
printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);	printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
}	}
else hstepm=estepm;	else{
	hstepm=estepm;
	}
	if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
	stepsize=2;
	}

hstepm=hstepm/stepm;	hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and	yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and
Line 8304 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do	Line 8494 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do

fprintf(ficresfb,"#**** Routine prevbackforecast \n");	fprintf(ficresfb,"#**** Routine prevbackforecast \n");

/* if (h==(int)(YEARMyearp)){ /
/* for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
/* for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
/* k=k+1; */
for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */	for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){	for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)	if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
Line 8333 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do	Line 8519 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
/* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { */	/* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { */
fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");	fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);	fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);	/* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
/* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ */	/* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){ /\* testing \/ /
/* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)YEARM/stepm); /	for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){ /* testing */
for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){ /* testing */
/* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/	/* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);	nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) YEARM/stepm;/ nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)YEARM/stepm);/
nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;	nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);	p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
oldm=oldms;savm=savms;	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
/* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */	/* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
	/* printf("####prevbackforecast debug agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);	hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
/* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p, nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */	/* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p, nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
/* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+hstepms=yearp /	/* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+hstepms=yearp /
Line 8360 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do	Line 8546 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do
ppij=0.;ppi=0.;	ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {	for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
/* if (mobilav==1) */	/* if (mobilav==1) */
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k];	ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k];	ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
	/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; /
	/* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
/* else { */	/* else { */
/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; /	/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; /
/* } */	/* } */
Line 8386 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do	Line 8574 void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], do

}	}

	/* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
	void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double *prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double prlim, int ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double matcov, double delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
	/------- Variance of forward period (stable) prevalence------/

	char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
	FILE *ficresvpl;
	double oldm, savm;
	double *varpl; / Variances of prevalence limits by age */
	int i1, k, nres, j ;

	strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
	strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
	if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
	printf("Problem with variance of forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
	exit(0);
	}
	printf("Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);

	/*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
	for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/

	i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
	if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}

	for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
	for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
	if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
	continue;
	fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
	printf("\n#****** ");
	fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
	fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	}
	for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
	printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	}
	fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
	printf("******\n");
	fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");

	varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
	varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
	free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
	/}/
	}

	fclose(ficresvpl);
	printf("done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);

	}
	/* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
	void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double *prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double bprlim, int ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double matcov, double delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
	/------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------/

	char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];
	FILE *ficresvbl;

	double oldm, savm;
	double *varbpl; / Variances of back prevalence limits by age */
	int i1, k, nres, j ;

	strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
	strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
	if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
	printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
	exit(0);
	}
	printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);


	i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
	if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}

	for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
	for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
	if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
	continue;
	fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
	printf("\n#****** ");
	fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
	fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
	}
	for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
	printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
	}
	fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
	printf("******\n");
	fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");

	varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;

	varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
	free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
	/}/
	}

	fclose(ficresvbl);
	printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);

	} /* End of varbprlim */

/************ Forecasting *not tested NB***********/	/************ Forecasting *not tested NB***********/
/* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */	/* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */

Line 9467 Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (	Line 9772 Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (
Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for product \n\	Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for product \n\
Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\	Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);	Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}	for(k=-1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */	for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */	if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
Fixed[k]= 0;	Fixed[k]= 0;
Line 9717 Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (	Line 10022 Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (
/* Searching for doublons in the model */	/* Searching for doublons in the model */
for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){	for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){	for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){	/* if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){ */
	if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[k1]==Fixed[k2]) && (Dummy[k1]==Dummy[k2] )){
if((Typevar[k1] == 0 \|\| Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */	if((Typevar[k1] == 0 \|\| Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){	if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);	printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]);
fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]); fflush(ficlog);
return(1);	return(1);
}	}
}else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){	}else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
Line 10032 void syscompilerinfo(int logged)	Line 10338 void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
#endif	#endif
#endif	#endif

// void main()	// void main ()
// {	// {
#if defined(_MSC_VER)	#if defined(_MSC_VER)
if (IsWow64()){	if (IsWow64()){
Line 10053 void syscompilerinfo(int logged)	Line 10359 void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
}	}

int prevalence_limit(double p, double prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp){	int prevalence_limit(double p, double prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp){
/--------------- Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------/	/--------------- Prevalence limit (forward period or forward stable prevalence) --------------/
int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;	int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
/* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */	/* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
double age, agebase, agelim;	double age, agebase, agelim;
Line 10062 int prevalence_limit(double p, double	Line 10368 int prevalence_limit(double p, double
strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");	strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
strcat(filerespl,fileresu);	strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {	if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;	printf("Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;	fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
}	}
printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);	printf("\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);	fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
pstamp(ficrespl);	pstamp(ficrespl);
fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);	fprintf(ficrespl,"# Forward period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");	fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");	fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
Line 10143 int prevalence_limit(double p, double	Line 10449 int prevalence_limit(double p, double
}	}

int back_prevalence_limit(double p, double bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){	int back_prevalence_limit(double p, double bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
/--------------- Back Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------/	/--------------- Back Prevalence limit (backward stable prevalence) --------------/

/* Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of covariate values	/* Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of covariate values
* at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar	* at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
Line 10158 int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, dou	Line 10464 int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, dou
strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");	strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);	strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {	if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;	printf("Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;	fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
}	}
printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);	printf("Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);	fprintf(ficlog,"Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
pstamp(ficresplb);	pstamp(ficresplb);
fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);	fprintf(ficresplb,"# Backward prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");	fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");	fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
Line 10353 int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage)	Line 10659 int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage)
/if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;/	/if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;/

/* agelim=AGESUP; */	/* agelim=AGESUP; */
ageminl=30;	ageminl=AGEINF; /* was 30 */
hstepm=stepsizeYEARM; / Every year of age */	hstepm=stepsizeYEARM; / Every year of age */
hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */	hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */

Line 10432 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10738 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
double ssval;	double ssval;
#endif	#endif
int movingaverage(double *probs, double bage,double fage, double *mobaverage, int mobilav);	int movingaverage(double *probs, double bage,double fage, double *mobaverage, int mobilav);
int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;	int i,j, k, iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; /* Suppressing because nobs */
	/* int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; */
int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */	int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;	int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */	int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
Line 10442 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10749 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
int vpopbased=0;	int vpopbased=0;
int nres=0;	int nres=0;
int endishere=0;	int endishere=0;
	int noffset=0;
	int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */

char ca[32], cb[32];	char ca[32], cb[32];
/* FILE fichtm; //* Html File */	/* FILE fichtm; //* Html File */
/* FILE ficgp;/ /Gnuplot File /	/* FILE ficgp;/ /Gnuplot File /
Line 10465 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10774 int main(int argc, char *argv[])

char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE];	char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE];
char tok, val; /* pathtot */	char tok, val; /* pathtot */
int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;	int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; /* nobs = lastobs-firstobs declared globally ;*/
int c, h , cpt, c2;	int c, h , cpt, c2;
int jl=0;	int jl=0;
int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;	int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
Line 10494 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10803 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
double delti; / Scale */	double delti; / Scale */
double *eij, *vareij;	double *eij, *vareij;
double *varpl; / Variances of prevalence limits by age */	double *varpl; / Variances of prevalence limits by age */
double *varbpl; / Variances of back prevalence limits by age */
double *epj, vepp;	double *epj, vepp;

double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;	double dateprev1, dateprev2;
double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000;	double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
	double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;

double **ximort;	double **ximort;
char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";	char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
Line 10576 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10886 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */	if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
}	}
}	}
	else if (argc<=2){
	strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
	}
else{	else{
strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);	strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
	strcpy(z,argv[2]);
	printf("\nargv[2]=%s z=%c\n",argv[2],z[0]);
}	}
/if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");/	/if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");/
/*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);	/*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
Line 10655 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10970 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
exit(70);	exit(70);
}	}



strcpy(filereso,"o");	strcpy(filereso,"o");
strcat(filereso,fileresu);	strcat(filereso,fileresu);
if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */	if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
Line 10665 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 10978 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
fflush(ficlog);	fflush(ficlog);
goto end;	goto end;
}	}
	/-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------/
	strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */
	strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name */
	strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */
	strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */
	if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
	printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
	fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
	fflush(ficlog);
	goto end;
	}
	fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);


/* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */	/* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
numlinepar=0;	numlinepar=0;
	/* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
/* First parameter line */	/* First parameter line */
while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {	while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
	noffset=0;
	if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
	{
	noffset=noffset+3;
	printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
	}
	else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
	{
	noffset=noffset+2;
	printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
	}
	else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
	{
	if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
	noffset=noffset+4;
	printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
	}
	} else{
	;/printf(" Not a BOM file\n");/
	}

/* If line starts with a # it is a comment */	/* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
if (line[0] == '#') {	if (line[noffset] == '#') {
numlinepar++;	numlinepar++;
fputs(line,stdout);	fputs(line,stdout);
fputs(line,ficparo);	fputs(line,ficparo);
	fputs(line,ficres);
fputs(line,ficlog);	fputs(line,ficlog);
continue;	continue;
}else	}else
Line 10685 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 11033 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){	title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
if (num_filled != 5) {	if (num_filled != 5) {
printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");	printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
	fprintf(ficlog,"Should be 5 parameters\n");
}	}
numlinepar++;	numlinepar++;
printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);	printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
	fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
	fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
	fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
}	}
/* Second parameter line */	/* Second parameter line */
while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {	while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
/* If line starts with a # it is a comment */	/* while(fscanf(ficpar,"%[^\n]", line)) { */
	/* If line starts with a # it is a comment. Strangely fgets reads the EOL and fputs doesn't */
if (line[0] == '#') {	if (line[0] == '#') {
numlinepar++;	numlinepar++;
fputs(line,stdout);	printf("%s",line);
fputs(line,ficparo);	fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
fputs(line,ficlog);	fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
	fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
continue;	continue;
}else	}else
break;	break;
Line 10706 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 11060 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
if (num_filled != 11) {	if (num_filled != 11) {
printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");	printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
printf("but line=%s\n",line);	printf("but line=%s\n",line);
	fprintf(ficlog,"Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
	fprintf(ficlog,"but line=%s\n",line);
}	}
printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);	if( lastpass > maxwav){
	printf("Error (lastpass = %d) > (maxwav = %d)\n",lastpass, maxwav);
	fprintf(ficlog,"Error (lastpass = %d) > (maxwav = %d)\n",lastpass, maxwav);
	fflush(ficlog);
	goto end;
	}
	printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
	fprintf(ficparo,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
	fprintf(ficres,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, 0, weightopt);
	fprintf(ficlog,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
}	}
/* ftolpl=6ftol1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit \/ /	/* ftolpl=6ftol1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit \/ /
/ftolpl=6.e-4; //* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */	/ftolpl=6.e-4; //* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
Line 10716 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 11081 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
/* If line starts with a # it is a comment */	/* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
if (line[0] == '#') {	if (line[0] == '#') {
numlinepar++;	numlinepar++;
fputs(line,stdout);	printf("%s",line);
fputs(line,ficparo);	fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
fputs(line,ficlog);	fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
	fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
continue;	continue;
}else	}else
break;	break;
}	}
if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){	if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
if (num_filled == 0){	if (num_filled != 1){
printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);	printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);	fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
model[0]='\0';
goto end;
} else if (num_filled != 1){
printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
model[0]='\0';	model[0]='\0';
goto end;	goto end;
}	}
Line 10744 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 11105 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
}	}
/* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */	/* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);	printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficparo,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficres,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
	fprintf(ficlog,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
}	}
/* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */	/* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
/* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general \/ /	/* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general \/ /
/* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */	/* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);	/* fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);	/* fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
fflush(ficlog);	fflush(ficlog);
/* if(model[0]=='#'\|\| model[0]== '\0'){ */	/* if(model[0]=='#'\|\| model[0]== '\0'){ */
if(model[0]=='#'){	if(model[0]=='#'){
printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \	printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+ageage+V1+V1age.' or \n \	'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+ageage+V1+V1age' or \n \
'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n"); \	'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n"); \
if(mle != -1){	if(mle != -1){
printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");	printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
exit(1);	exit(1);
}	}
}	}
Line 10777 int main(int argc, char *argv[])	Line 11141 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
ungetc(c,ficpar);	ungetc(c,ficpar);


covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); /*< used in readdata /	covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs); /*< used in readdata /
if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n); /*< Fixed quantitative covariate /	if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs); /*< Fixed quantitative covariate /
if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n); /*< Time varying quantitative covariate /	if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs); /*< Time varying quantitative covariate /
if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n); /*< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)/	if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs); /*< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)/
cptcovn=0; /Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn/	cptcovn=0; /Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn/
/* v1+v2+v3+v2v4+v5age makes cptcovn = 5	/* v1+v2+v3+v2v4+v5age makes cptcovn = 5
v1+v2age+v2v3 makes cptcovn = 3	v1+v2age+v2v3 makes cptcovn = 3
Line 10979 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11343 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct

fflush(ficlog);	fflush(ficlog);

/-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------/
strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */
strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name*/
strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */
strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */
if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
}
fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
} /* End of mle != -3 */	} /* End of mle != -3 */

/* Main data	/* Main data
*/	*/
n= lastobs;	nobs=lastobs-firstobs+1; /* was = lastobs;*/
num=lvector(1,n);	/* num=lvector(1,n); */
moisnais=vector(1,n);	/* moisnais=vector(1,n); */
annais=vector(1,n);	/* annais=vector(1,n); */
moisdc=vector(1,n);	/* moisdc=vector(1,n); */
andc=vector(1,n);	/* andc=vector(1,n); */
weight=vector(1,n);	/* weight=vector(1,n); */
agedc=vector(1,n);	/* agedc=vector(1,n); */
cod=ivector(1,n);	/* cod=ivector(1,n); */
for(i=1;i<=n;i++){	/* for(i=1;i<=n;i++){ */
	num=lvector(firstobs,lastobs);
	moisnais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	annais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	moisdc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	andc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	weight=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	agedc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
	cod=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
	for(i=firstobs;i<=lastobs;i++){
num[i]=0;	num[i]=0;
moisnais[i]=0;	moisnais[i]=0;
annais[i]=0;	annais[i]=0;
Line 11012 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11375 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
cod[i]=0;	cod[i]=0;
weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */	weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
}	}
mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);	mint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);	anint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */	s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */
tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);	tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2*ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 /	ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2*ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 /
ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2*ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 /	ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2*ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 /
Line 11116 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11479 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct


agegomp=(int)agemin;	agegomp=(int)agemin;
free_vector(moisnais,1,n);	free_vector(moisnais,firstobs,lastobs);
free_vector(annais,1,n);	free_vector(annais,firstobs,lastobs);
/* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);	/* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/	free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
/* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */	/* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
Line 11143 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11506 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev, firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);	concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev, firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
/* Concatenates waves */	/* Concatenates waves */

free_vector(moisdc,1,n);	free_vector(moisdc,firstobs,lastobs);
free_vector(andc,1,n);	free_vector(andc,firstobs,lastobs);

/* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */	/* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);	nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
Line 11326 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La	Line 11689 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, model);	firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, model);

fprintf(fichtm,"\n");	fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\	fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%g \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
	ftol, stepm);
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
	ncurrv=1;
	for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv);
	ncurrv=i;
	for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) dummy covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
	ncurrv=i;
	for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of time varying quantitative covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
	ncurrv=i;
	for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
	nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);

	fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
	<img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));


	fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\	Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\	Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);	imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */	pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */	oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */	newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
Line 11348 Interval (in months) between two waves:	Line 11732 Interval (in months) between two waves:
for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)	for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
ximort[i][j]=0.;	ximort[i][j]=0.;
/* ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */	/* ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
cens=ivector(1,n);	cens=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
ageexmed=vector(1,n);	ageexmed=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
agecens=vector(1,n);	agecens=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
dcwave=ivector(1,n);	dcwave=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);

for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){	for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
dcwave[i]=-1;	dcwave[i]=-1;
Line 11565 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11949 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);	free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);	free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);	free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
free_ivector(cens,1,n);	free_ivector(dcwave,firstobs,lastobs);
free_vector(agecens,1,n);	free_vector(agecens,firstobs,lastobs);
free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);	free_vector(ageexmed,firstobs,lastobs);
	free_ivector(cens,firstobs,lastobs);
#ifdef GSL	#ifdef GSL
#endif	#endif
} /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */	} /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
Line 11601 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 11986 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
printf("\n");	printf("\n");

/--------- results files --------------/	/--------- results files --------------/
fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);	/* fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); */


fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstatenlstatencov a121 + b12 age + ...\n");	fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstatenlstatencov a121 + b12 age + ...\n");
Line 11889 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12274 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);	fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);	fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/	/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
	dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
	dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;

}	}
break;	break;
case 12:	case 12:
Line 11904 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12292 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);	fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);	fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/	/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
	dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
	dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
}	}
break;	break;
case 13:	case 13:
Line 11954 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12344 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\	This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);	Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
}else{	}else{
printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1);	/* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
	printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
}	}
printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \	printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \	model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2);	jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);

/------------ free_vector -------------/	/------------ free_vector -------------/
/* chdir(path); */	/* chdir(path); */
Line 11967 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12358 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
/* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */	/* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
/* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */	/* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
/* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */	/* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
free_lvector(num,1,n);	free_lvector(num,firstobs,lastobs);
free_vector(agedc,1,n);	free_vector(agedc,firstobs,lastobs);
/free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);/	/free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);/
/free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);/	/free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);/
fclose(ficparo);	fclose(ficparo);
Line 11994 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12385 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
k=1;	k=1;
varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);	varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);

/* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] */	/* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);	probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)	for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */	for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)	for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
probs[i][j][k]=0.;	probs[i][j][k]=0.;
prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);	prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode,
	ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
if (mobilav!=0 \|\|mobilavproj !=0 ) {	if (mobilav!=0 \|\|mobilavproj !=0 ) {
mobaverages= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);	mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)	for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)	for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)	for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;	mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
Line 12015 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12407 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);	fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);	printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
}	}
}	} else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
/* else if(mobilavproj==-1){ /\* Forcing raw observed prevalences \/ /
/* for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) */
/* for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) */
/* for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++) */
/* mobaverages[i][j][k]=probs[i][j][k]; */
/* /\* /\\* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] \\/ \/ */
/* /\* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); \/ /
/* } */
else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");	printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");	fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){	if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);	fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);	printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
}	}
	}else{
	printf("Internal error moving average\n");
	fflush(stdout);
	exit(1);
}	}
}/* end if moving average */	}/* end if moving average */

/---------- Forecasting ------------------/	/---------- Forecasting ------------------/
/if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){/
if(prevfcast==1){	if(prevfcast==1){
/* if(stepm ==1){*/	/* if(stepm ==1){*/
prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);	prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
}	}

	/* Backcasting */
if(backcast==1){	if(backcast==1){
ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
Line 12048 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12436 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
/--------------- Back Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------/	/--------------- Back Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------/

bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);	bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);

back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim, ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);	back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim, ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
fclose(ficresplb);	fclose(ficresplb);

hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);	hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
fclose(ficrespijb);	fclose(ficrespijb);
/* free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /\here or after loop ? \/ */

prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj,	prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);	mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
	varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);

/------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------/

strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");	free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /here or after loop ? /
strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
exit(0);
}
printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);

/*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/

i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}

for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
continue;
fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
printf("\n#****** ");
fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
}
for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
}
fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
printf("******\n");
fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");

varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
oldm=oldms;savm=savms;

varbrevlim(fileres, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, &ncvyear, k, strstart, nres);
free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
/}/
}

fclose(ficresvbl);
printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);

free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
}	} /* end Backcasting */
free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /here or after loop ? /


/* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */	/* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
Line 12165 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12505 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fclose(ficreseij);	fclose(ficreseij);
printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);	printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);


/---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------/	/---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------/


strcpy(filerest,"T_");	strcpy(filerest,"T_");
strcat(filerest,fileresu);	strcat(filerest,fileresu);
if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {	if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 12177 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12517 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
}	}
printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);	printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);


strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");	strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);	strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {	if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 12206 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12544 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
printf(" Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);	printf(" Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog," Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog," Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);

/*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/

i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */	i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}	if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}

Line 12270 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12605 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);	vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
pstamp(ficrest);	pstamp(ficrest);

	epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/	for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */	oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */	cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
Line 12281 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12616 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
if(vpopbased==1)	if(vpopbased==1)
fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);	fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
else	else
fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");	fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");	fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);	for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
fprintf(ficrest,"\n");	fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
/* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */	/* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);	printf("Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");	fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){	for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /ZZ Is it the correct prevalim /	prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /ZZ Is it the correct prevalim /
if (vpopbased==1) {	if (vpopbased==1) {
Line 12324 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12658 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fprintf(ficrest,"\n");	fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
}	}
} /* End vpopbased */	} /* End vpopbased */
	free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);	free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);	free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);	printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);

/}/
} /* End k selection */	} /* End k selection */

printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);	printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);	fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);

/------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------/	/* variance-covariance of forward period prevalence*/
	varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
exit(0);
}
printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);

/*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/

i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}

for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
continue;
fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
printf("\n#****** ");
fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
}
for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
}
fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
printf("******\n");
fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");

varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, strstart, nres);
free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
/}/
}

fclose(ficresvpl);
printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);


free_vector(weight,1,n);	free_vector(weight,firstobs,lastobs);
free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);	free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);	free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs);
free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);	free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);	free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
free_ivector(cod,1,n);	free_ivector(cod,firstobs,lastobs);
free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);	free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
fclose(ficresstdeij);	fclose(ficresstdeij);
fclose(ficrescveij);	fclose(ficrescveij);
Line 12402 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12689 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct

/---------- End : free ----------------/	/---------- End : free ----------------/
if (mobilav!=0 \|\|mobilavproj !=0)	if (mobilav!=0 \|\|mobilavproj !=0)
free_ma3x(mobaverages,1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */	free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);	free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /here or after loop ? /	free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /here or after loop ? /
free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
} /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */	} /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
Line 12411 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12698 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);	free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);	if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);	if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);	if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs);
free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);	free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs);
free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);	free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);	free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
/free_vector(delti,1,npar);/	/free_vector(delti,1,npar);/
free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);	free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);	free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
	free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);	free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);

free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);	free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
Line 12496 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct	Line 12784 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
fclose(ficlog);	fclose(ficlog);
/------ End -----------/	/------ End -----------/


	/* Executes gnuplot */

printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);	printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
#ifdef WIN32	#ifdef WIN32
Line 12564 end:	Line 12854 end:
printf("\nType q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);	printf("\nType q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
scanf("%s",z);	scanf("%s",z);
}	}
	printf("End\n");
	exit(0);
}	}

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Removed from v.1.268
changed lines
	Added in v.1.291