Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.41.2.2 and 1.199

version 1.41.2.2, 2003/06/13 07:45:28 version 1.199, 2015/09/07 14:09:23
Line 1 Line 1
 /* $Id$  /* $Id$
    Interpolated Markov Chain    $State$
     $Log$
   Short summary of the programme:    Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
      Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies from  
   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: -1- a    Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
   first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages are    Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
   interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in the  
   case of a health survey which is our main interest) -2- at least a    Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
   second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which measure each change    *** empty log message ***
   (if any) in individual health status.  Health expectancies are  
   computed from the time spent in each health state according to a    Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
   model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the    Summary: 0.98q5
   Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The  
   simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the    Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
   probability to be observed in state j at the second wave    Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
   conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore  
   the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where    After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
   'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more    a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
   complex model than "constant and age", you should modify the program    permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
   where the markup *Covariates have to be included here again* invites    $ echo q | imach foo.imach
   you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the  
   convergence.    Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
     Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple  
   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not    Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an    Summary: 0.98q4
   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into  
   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.      Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
     Summary: Fixing some outputs
   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h  
   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be    Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate    Summary: Some fixes
   states. This elementary transition (by month or quarter trimester,  
   semester or year) is model as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx    Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices    Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply  
   hPijx.    Fix 1+age+.
   
   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also    Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
   of the life expectancies. It also computes the prevalence limits.    Summary: 0.98q2
    
   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).    Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.    *** empty log message ***
   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action  
   from the European Union.    Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and    *** empty log message ***
   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version  
   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .    Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
   **********************************************************************/    Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
    
 #include <math.h>    Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
 #include <stdio.h>    working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
 #include <stdlib.h>    but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
 #include <unistd.h>  
     Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
 #define MAXLINE 256    Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "wgnuplot"  
 /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/    Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
 #define FILENAMELENGTH 80    Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
 /*#define DEBUG*/  
     Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
 /*#define windows*/    Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */  
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */    We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
     incidence on the results, but better justifications;
 #define MAXPARM 30 /* Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */    We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
 #define NPARMAX 64 /* (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */    wrong results.
   
 #define NINTERVMAX 8    Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
 #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /* Maximum number of live states (for func) */    Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
 #define NDEATHMAX 8 /* Maximum number of dead states (for func) */    Author: Nicolas Brouard
 #define NCOVMAX 8 /* Maximum number of covariates */  
 #define MAXN 20000    Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
 #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */    Summary: Comments on Powell added
 #define AGESUP 130  
 #define AGEBASE 40    Author:
   
     Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
 int erreur; /* Error number */    Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
 int nvar;  
 int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;    Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
 int npar=NPARMAX;    Summary: back to OS/X
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  
 int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */    Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
 int ncovmodel, ncovcol;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */    *** empty log message ***
 int popbased=0;  
     Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */    Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
 int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */  
 int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */    Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
 int mle, weightopt;    *** empty log message ***
 int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */  
 int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */    Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
 double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */    *** empty log message ***
 double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */  
 double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */    Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
 FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;    Summary: Still in cross-compilation
 FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop;  
 FILE *ficreseij;    Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
   char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];    Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
  FILE  *ficresvij;  
   char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];    Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
  FILE  *ficresvpl;    Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
   char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
     Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
 #define NR_END 1    Summary: Back from Visual C
 #define FREE_ARG char*  
 #define FTOL 1.0e-10    Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
   
 #define NRANSI    Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
 #define ITMAX 200    Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
   
 #define TOL 2.0e-4    The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
   
 #define CGOLD 0.3819660    Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
 #define ZEPS 1.0e-10    Summary: 0.98p
 #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d);  
     Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
 #define GOLD 1.618034  
 #define GLIMIT 100.0    Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
 #define TINY 1.0e-20    Summary: update
   
 static double maxarg1,maxarg2;    Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
 #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))    Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
 #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))  
      Testing on Linux 64
 #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))  
 #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)    Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
 static double sqrarg;  
 #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)    Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
 #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;}    Summary: After compiling on Visual C
   
 int imx;    * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
 int stepm;  
 /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/    Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
     Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
 int estepm;  
 /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/    * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
   
 int m,nb;    Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
 int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;    * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
 double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;  
 double **pmmij, ***probs, ***mobaverage;    Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
 double dateintmean=0;    Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
   
 double *weight;    Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
 int **s; /* Status */    Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
 double *agedc, **covar, idx;  
 int **nbcode, *Tcode, *Tvar, **codtab, **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;    Author:
   
 double ftol=FTOL; /* Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */    Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
 double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for computing hessian */    Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
   
 /**************** split *************************/    Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
 static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )    *** empty log message ***
 {  
    char *s;                             /* pointer */    Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
    int  l1, l2;                         /* length counters */    Summary: WIN32
     Author: Brouard
    l1 = strlen( path );                 /* length of path */  
    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );    Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
 #ifdef windows    *** empty log message ***
    s = strrchr( path, '\\' );           /* find last / */  
 #else    Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
    s = strrchr( path, '/' );            /* find last / */    Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
 #endif    Author: Brouard
    if ( s == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so use current */  
 #if     defined(__bsd__)                /* get current working directory */    In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
       extern char       *getwd( );    and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
     just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
       if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) {    Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
 #else    Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
       extern char       *getcwd( );  
     Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
       if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {    *** empty log message ***
 #endif  
          return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );    Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
       }    Summary: New compile, minor changes
       strcpy( name, path );             /* we've got it */    Author: Brouard
    } else {                             /* strip direcotry from path */  
       s++;                              /* after this, the filename */    Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
       l2 = strlen( s );                 /* length of filename */    Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
       if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );  
       strcpy( name, s );                /* save file name */    Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
       strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );   /* now the directory */    Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
       dirc[l1-l2] = 0;                  /* add zero */    Author: Brouard
    }  
    l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */    Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
 #ifdef windows    Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
    if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }  
 #else    Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
    if ( dirc[l1-1] != '/' ) { dirc[l1] = '/'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }    *** empty log message ***
 #endif  
    s = strrchr( name, '.' );            /* find last / */    Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
    s++;    Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
    strcpy(ext,s);                       /* save extension */    Author: brouard
    l1= strlen( name);  
    l2= strlen( s)+1;    Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
    strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);    Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
    finame[l1-l2]= 0;    Author: Nicolas Brouard
    return( 0 );                         /* we're done */  
 }    Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
     Summary: Nothing new
     Author: Brouard
 /******************************************/  
     Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
 void replace(char *s, char*t)  
 {    Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
   int i;    *** empty log message ***
   int lg=20;  
   i=0;    Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
   lg=strlen(t);    Summary: Merge
   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {    Author: Brouard
     (s[i] = t[i]);  
     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';    Merge, before building revised version.
   }  
 }    Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
     Summary: Debugging with valgrind
 int nbocc(char *s, char occ)    Author: Nicolas Brouard
 {  
   int i,j=0;    Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
   int lg=20;    After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
   i=0;    improve the code.
   lg=strlen(s);    No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {    continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
   if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;    Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
   }    optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
   return j;    the source code.
 }  
     Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
 void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)    Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
 {  
   int i,lg,j,p=0;    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   i=0;    (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
   for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {  
     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1;    Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
   }    Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
   
   lg=strlen(t);    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   for(j=0; j<p; j++) {  
     (u[j] = t[j]);    Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
   }    * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
      u[p]='\0';  
     Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) {    Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]);  
   }    Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
 }    After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
     I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
 /********************** nrerror ********************/  
     Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
 void nrerror(char error_text[])    *** empty log message ***
 {  
   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");    Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);    (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
   exit(1);    than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
 }  
 /*********************** vector *******************/    Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
 double *vector(int nl, int nh)    (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
 {    of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
   double *v;    get same likelihood as if mle=1.
   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    Some cleaning of code and comments added.
   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");  
   return v-nl+NR_END;    Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
 }    (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
   
 /************************ free vector ******************/    Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
 void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)    (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
 {  
   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));    Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
 }    just nforces
   
 /************************ivector *******************************/    Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
 int *ivector(long nl,long nh)    Many tings
 {  
   int *v;    Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));    Some dimensions resccaled
   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");  
   return v-nl+NR_END;    Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
 }    (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
     lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
 /******************free ivector **************************/    V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
 void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)  
 {    Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));    Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
 }  
     Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
 /******************* imatrix *******************************/    (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
 int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)  
      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */    Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
 {    (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1;    imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
   int **m;    loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
      (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
   /* allocate pointers to rows */    compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*)));    and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
   m += NR_END;    computation.
   m -= nrl;    In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
      expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
    
   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */    Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));    (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
   m[nrl] += NR_END;    loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
   m[nrl] -= ncl;    Version 0.98h
    
   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
      Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */    Forecasting file added.
   return m;  
 }    Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
     Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
 /****************** free_imatrix *************************/    The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
 void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)  
       int **m;    Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl;    * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */    name. <head> headers where missing.
 {  
   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));    * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END));    English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
 }    otherwise the weight is truncated).
     Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
 /******************* matrix *******************************/    1.
 double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)    Version 0.98g
 {  
   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;    Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
   double **m;    (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
     English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));    otherwise the weight is truncated).
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
   m += NR_END;    1.
   m -= nrl;    Version 0.98g
   
   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
   m[nrl] += NR_END;  
   m[nrl] -= ncl;    * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
     status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    not 1 month. Version 0.98f
   return m;  
 }    Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
     (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
 /*************************free matrix ************************/    status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
 void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)    not 1 month. Version 0.98f
 {  
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));    Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));    (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
 }    computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
   
 /******************* ma3x *******************************/    Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
 double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)    (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
 {    table of variances if popbased=1 .
   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;    (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
   double ***m;    (Module): Function pstamp added
     (Module): Version 0.98d
   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));  
   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");    Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
   m += NR_END;    (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
   m -= nrl;    table of variances if popbased=1 .
     (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    (Module): Function pstamp added
   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");    (Module): Version 0.98d
   m[nrl] += NR_END;  
   m[nrl] -= ncl;    Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
     (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
   
   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));    Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");    (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;  
   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;    Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++)    (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;    filename with strsep.
    
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {    Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;    (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++)    datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;    allocation too.
   }  
   return m;    Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
 }    (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
   
 /*************************free ma3x ************************/    Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
 void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)    (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
 {    (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));    can be a simple dot '.'.
   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));  
   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));    Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
 }    (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
   
 /***************** f1dim *************************/    Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
 extern int ncom;    (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
 extern double *pcom,*xicom;  
 extern double (*nrfunc)(double []);    Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
      Gnuplot problem appeared...
 double f1dim(double x)    To be fixed
 {  
   int j;    Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
   double f;    Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
   double *xt;  
      Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
   xt=vector(1,ncom);    Some cleaning and links added in html output
   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j];  
   f=(*nrfunc)(xt);    Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
   free_vector(xt,1,ncom);    *** empty log message ***
   return f;  
 }    Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
     (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
 /*****************brent *************************/    (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
 double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,  double *xmin)    that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
 {    (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
   int iter;    contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
   double a,b,d,etemp;    health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
   double fu,fv,fw,fx;    the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
   double ftemp;  
   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm;    Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
   double e=0.0;    (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
    
   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx);    Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx);    Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
   x=w=v=bx;  
   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x);    Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) {    Fix on curr_time
     xm=0.5*(a+b);  
     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS);    Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
     /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/    Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
     printf(".");fflush(stdout);  
 #ifdef DEBUG    Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);    *** empty log message ***
     /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */  
 #endif    Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){    New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
       *xmin=x;    directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
       return fx;    state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
     }    This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
     ftemp=fu;    other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
     if (fabs(e) > tol1) {    cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv);    from other sources like vital statistic data.
       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw);  
       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r;    The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
       q=2.0*(q-r);  
       if (q > 0.0) p = -p;    Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
       q=fabs(q);    former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
       etemp=e;  
       e=d;    The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x))    the slope with 95% confident intervals.
         d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x));  
       else {    Current limitations:
         d=p/q;    A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
         u=x+d;    model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
         if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2)    B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
           d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x);  
       }    Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
     } else {    Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x));    suppressed.
     }  
     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d));    Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
     fu=(*f)(u);    * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
     if (fu <= fx) {    rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x;  
       SHFT(v,w,x,u)    Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
         SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu)    * imach.c (Repository):
         } else {    (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
           if (u < x) a=u; else b=u;    matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
           if (fu <= fw || w == x) {  
             v=w;    Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
             w=u;    Just cleaning
             fv=fw;  
             fw=fu;    Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
           } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) {    (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
             v=u;    exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
             fv=fu;    (Module): Version 0.96b
           }  
         }    Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
   }    (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent");    exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
   *xmin=x;  
   return fx;    Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
 }    * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
     (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
 /****************** mnbrak ***********************/    helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
     is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
 void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc,    concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
             double (*func)(double))  
 {    Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;    (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
   double fu;    mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
      of the covariance matrix to be input.
   *fa=(*func)(*ax);  
   *fb=(*func)(*bx);    Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
   if (*fb > *fa) {    (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum)    mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
       SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum)    of the covariance matrix to be input.
       }  
   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax);    Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
   *fc=(*func)(*cx);    * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
   while (*fb > *fc) {  
     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc);    Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa);    Version 0.96
     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/  
       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r));    Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx);    (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) {    routine fileappend.
       fu=(*func)(u);  
     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) {    Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
       fu=(*func)(u);    * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
       if (fu < *fc) {    current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
         SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx))    prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
           SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u))    was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
           }    assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) {    interview.
       u=ulim;    (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
       fu=(*func)(u);    we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
     } else {    memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx);    truncation)
       fu=(*func)(u);    (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
     }  
     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u)    Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
       SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu)    * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
       }    place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
 }    many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
     parcimony.
 /*************** linmin ************************/    Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
   
 int ncom;    Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
 double *pcom,*xicom;    *** empty log message ***
 double (*nrfunc)(double []);  
      Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
 void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []))    Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
 {  
   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx,  */
                double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin);  /*
   double f1dim(double x);     Interpolated Markov Chain
   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb,  
               double *fc, double (*func)(double));    Short summary of the programme:
   int j;    
   double xx,xmin,bx,ax;    This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies from
   double fx,fb,fa;    cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: -1- a
      first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages are
   ncom=n;    interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in the
   pcom=vector(1,n);    case of a health survey which is our main interest) -2- at least a
   xicom=vector(1,n);    second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which measure each change
   nrfunc=func;    (if any) in individual health status.  Health expectancies are
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    computed from the time spent in each health state according to a
     pcom[j]=p[j];    model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the
     xicom[j]=xi[j];    Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The
   }    simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the
   ax=0.0;    probability to be observed in state j at the second wave
   xx=1.0;    conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore
   mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);    the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where
   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin);    'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more
 #ifdef DEBUG    complex model than "constant and age", you should modify the program
   printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);    where the markup *Covariates have to be included here again* invites
 #endif    you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    convergence.
     xi[j] *= xmin;  
     p[j] += xi[j];    The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
   }    multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
   free_vector(xicom,1,n);    identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
   free_vector(pcom,1,n);    intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
 }    account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
   
 /*************** powell ************************/    hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret,    conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
             double (*func)(double []))    split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
 {    states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
   void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,    semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
               double (*func)(double []));    matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
   int i,ibig,j;    and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;    hPijx.
   double fp,fptt;  
   double *xits;    Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
   pt=vector(1,n);    of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. 
   ptt=vector(1,n);    
   xit=vector(1,n);    Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
   xits=vector(1,n);             Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
   *fret=(*func)(p);    This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j];    from the European Union.
   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) {    It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
     fp=(*fret);    software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
     ibig=0;    can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
     del=0.0;  
     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);    Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++)    or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);    
     printf("\n");    **********************************************************************/
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {  /*
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i];    main
       fptt=(*fret);    read parameterfile
 #ifdef DEBUG    read datafile
       printf("fret=%lf \n",*fret);    concatwav
 #endif    freqsummary
       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);    if (mle >= 1)
       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);      mlikeli
       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) {    print results files
         del=fabs(fptt-(*fret));    if mle==1 
         ibig=i;       computes hessian
       }    read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
 #ifdef DEBUG        begin-prev-date,...
       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));    open gnuplot file
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    open html file
         xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);    period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
         printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);     for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
       }                                    | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
       for(j=1;j<=n;j++)      freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
         printf(" p=%.12e",p[j]);  
       printf("\n");    h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
 #endif     # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
     }         1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) {         1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
 #ifdef DEBUG  
       int k[2],l;         1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
       k[0]=1;         1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
       k[1]=-1;    variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));     Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++)     Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
         printf(" %.12e",p[j]);  
       printf("\n");    forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {    health expectancies
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    Variance-covariance of DFLE
           ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];    prevalence()
           printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);     movingaverage()
         }    varevsij() 
         printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));    if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
       }    total life expectancies
 #endif    Variance of period (stable) prevalence
    end
   */
       free_vector(xit,1,n);  
       free_vector(xits,1,n);  /* #define DEBUG */
       free_vector(ptt,1,n);  /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
       free_vector(pt,1,n);  #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
       return;  #define POWELLF1F3 /* Skip test */
     }  /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
     if (*iter == ITMAX) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations.");  /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {  
       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j];  #include <math.h>
       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j];  #include <stdio.h>
       pt[j]=p[j];  #include <stdlib.h>
     }  #include <string.h>
     fptt=(*func)(ptt);  
     if (fptt < fp) {  #ifdef _WIN32
       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt);  #include <io.h>
       if (t < 0.0) {  #include <windows.h>
         linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);  #include <tchar.h>
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {  #else
           xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n];  #include <unistd.h>
           xi[j][n]=xit[j];  #endif
         }  
 #ifdef DEBUG  #include <limits.h>
         printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);  #include <sys/types.h>
         for(j=1;j<=n;j++)  
           printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);  #if defined(__GNUC__)
         printf("\n");  #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
 #endif  #endif
       }  
     }  #include <sys/stat.h>
   }  #include <errno.h>
 }  /* extern int errno; */
   
 /**** Prevalence limit ****************/  /* #ifdef LINUX */
   /* #include <time.h> */
 double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)  /* #include "timeval.h" */
 {  /* #else */
   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit  /* #include <sys/time.h> */
      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached */  /* #endif */
   
   int i, ii,j,k;  #include <time.h>
   double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;  
   double **matprod2();  #ifdef GSL
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX], **pmij();  #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
   double **newm;  #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
   double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */  #endif
   
   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)  
     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  #ifdef NLOPT
       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  #include <nlopt.h>
     }  typedef struct {
     double (* function)(double [] );
    cov[1]=1.;  } myfunc_data ;
    #endif
  /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */  
   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){  /* #include <libintl.h> */
     newm=savm;  /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
     /* Covariates have to be included here again */  
      cov[2]=agefin;  #define MAXLINE 1024 /* Was 256. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
    
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
         cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];  /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
         /*      printf("ij=%d k=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",ij,k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k], codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]);*/  #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
       }  
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)  #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];  
   #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/  #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/  
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/  #define NINTERVMAX 8
     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);  #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
   #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
     savm=oldm;  #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
     oldm=newm;  #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
     maxmax=0.;  #define MAXN 20000
     for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++){  #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
       min=1.;  #define AGESUP 130
       max=0.;  #define AGEBASE 40
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) {  #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
         sumnew=0;  #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
         for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];  #ifdef _WIN32
         prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);  #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
         max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);  #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
         min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
       }  #else
       maxmin=max-min;  #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,maxmin);  #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
     }  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
     if(maxmax < ftolpl){  #endif
       return prlim;  
     }  /* $Id$ */
   }  /* $State$ */
 }  #include "version.h"
   char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
 /*************** transition probabilities ***************/  char copyright[]="September 2015,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015";
   char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$"; 
 double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )  char strstart[80];
 {  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
   double s1, s2;  int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
   /*double t34;*/  int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
   int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;  /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
   int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){  int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
     for(j=1; j<i;j++){  int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates V2+V1 =2 */
       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){  int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
         /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/  int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];  int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
         /*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/  int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
       }  int npar=NPARMAX;
       ps[i][j]=s2;  int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
       /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/  int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
     }  int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  int popbased=0;
       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){  
         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];  int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
         /*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/  int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
       }  int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
       ps[i][j]=s2;  int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
     }  int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
   }                     to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
     /*ps[3][2]=1;*/  int mle=1, weightopt=0;
   int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){  int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
      s1=0;  int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
     for(j=1; j<i; j++)             * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);  int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)  double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);  double **matprod2(); /* test */
     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);  double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
     for(j=1; j<i; j++)  double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];  /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)  FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;
       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];  FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */  int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
   } /* end i */  double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
   long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){  double sw; /* Sum of weights */
     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
       ps[ii][jj]=0;  char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
       ps[ii][ii]=1;  FILE *ficresilk;
     }  FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
   }  FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
   FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
   FILE *ficreseij;
   /*   for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){  char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){  FILE *ficresstdeij;
      printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]);  char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
    }  FILE *ficrescveij;
     printf("\n ");  char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
     }  FILE  *ficresvij;
     printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/  char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
 /*  FILE  *ficresvpl;
   for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
   goto end;*/  char title[MAXLINE];
     return ps;  char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
 }  char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
 /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/  char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
   int  outcmd=0;
 double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long ncolol, long ncoloh, double **b)  
 {  char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times  
      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */  char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized  char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns  char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
      a pointer to pointers identical to out */  char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
   long i, j, k;  
   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)  char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++)  
       for(j=ncl,out[i][k]=0.; j<=nch; j++)  /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
         out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];  /* struct timezone tzp; */
   /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
   return out;  struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
 }  
   extern time_t time();
   
 /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/  struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
   time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
 double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )  struct tm tm;
 {  
   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' month  char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
      duration (i.e. until  
      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying nhstepm*hstepm matrices.  char *endptr;
      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step  long lval;
      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big).  double dval;
      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be  
      included manually here.  #define NR_END 1
   #define FREE_ARG char*
      */  #define FTOL 1.0e-10
   
   int i, j, d, h, k;  #define NRANSI 
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX];  #define ITMAX 200 
   double **newm;  
   #define TOL 2.0e-4 
   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */  
   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)  #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  
     }  #define GOLD 1.618034 
   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */  #define GLIMIT 100.0 
   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){  #define TINY 1.0e-20 
     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){  
       newm=savm;  static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
       /* Covariates have to be included here again */  #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
       cov[1]=1.;  #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
       cov[2]=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;    
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];  #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)  #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)  #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];  /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
   /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
   /* static double dsqrarg; */
       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/  /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/  static double sqrarg;
       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,  #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                    pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));  #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
       savm=oldm;  int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
       oldm=newm;  
     }  int imx; 
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  int stepm=1;
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {  /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
         po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];  
         /*printf("i=%d j=%d h=%d po[i][j][h]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);  int estepm;
          */  /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
       }  
   } /* end h */  int m,nb;
   return po;  long *num;
 }  int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
   int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                      covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
 /*************** log-likelihood *************/                     undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
 double func( double *x)  int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
 {                               covariate for which somebody answered including 
   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;                               undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];  double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
   double **out;  double **pmmij, ***probs;
   double sw; /* Sum of weights */  double *ageexmed,*agecens;
   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */  double dateintmean=0;
   int s1, s2;  
   long ipmx;  double *weight;
   /*extern weight */  int **s; /* Status */
   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */  double *agedc;
   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/  double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++)                    * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);                    * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
   */  double  idx; 
   cov[1]=1.;  int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
   int *Tage;
   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;  int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){  int **codtab; /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
     for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];  int **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;
     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)  
         for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
           oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
           savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  
         }  /**************** split *************************/
       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
         newm=savm;  {
         cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;    /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
         for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {       the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
           cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];    */ 
         }    char  *ss;                            /* pointer */
            int   l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
         out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,  
                      1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));    l1 = strlen(path );                   /* length of path */
         savm=oldm;    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
         oldm=newm;    ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );            /* find last / */
            if ( ss == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so determine current directory */
              strcpy( name, path );               /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
       } /* end mult */      /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
              printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];      /* get current working directory */
       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];      /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
       if( s2 > nlstate){  #ifdef WIN32
         /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution      if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
            to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current  #else
            step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh          if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
            and probability to die before dh-stepm .  #endif
            In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed        return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
            as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other      }
            health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state      /* got dirc from getcwd*/
            and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was      printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
            to consider that at each interview the state was recorded    } else {                              /* strip direcotry from path */
            (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we      ss++;                               /* after this, the filename */
            introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified      l2 = strlen( ss );                  /* length of filename */
            the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new      if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
            contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit      strcpy( name, ss );         /* save file name */
            stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview      strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );     /* now the directory */
            and month of death but the probability to survive from last      dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                 /* add zero */
            interview up to one month before death multiplied by the      printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
            probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris    }
            Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased    /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
            mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop    l1 = strlen( dirc );                  /* length of directory */
            which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%    if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
            lower mortality.      dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
         */      dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);      printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
       }else{    }
         lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* or     lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); */    ss = strrchr( name, '.' );            /* find last / */
         /* printf(" %f ",out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/    if (ss >0){
       }      ss++;
       ipmx +=1;      strcpy(ext,ss);                     /* save extension */
       sw += weight[i];      l1= strlen( name);
       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;      l2= strlen(ss)+1;
       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d lli=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],lli,weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/      strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
     } /* end of wave */      finame[l1-l2]= 0;
   } /* end of individual */    }
   
   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];    return( 0 );                          /* we're done */
   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */  }
   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */  
   /*exit(0);*/  
   return -l;  /******************************************/
 }  
   void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
   {
 /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/    int i;
     int lg=0;
 void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))    i=0;
 {    lg=strlen(t);
   int i,j, iter;    for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
   double **xi,*delti;      (s[i] = t[i]);
   double fret;      if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    }
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)  }
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  
       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);  char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
   printf("Powell\n");  { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);    char *s;
     s=out;
    printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));    while (*in != '\0'){
   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));      while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
         in++;
 }      }
       *out++ = *in++;
 /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/    }
 void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))    *out='\0';
 {    return s;
   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;  }
   double **hess;  
   int i, j,jk;  /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
   int *indx;  /* { */
   /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]);  /*   char *s, *t; */
   double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j);  /*   t=in;s=out; */
   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;  /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;  /*     *out++ = *in++; */
   /*   } */
   hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);  
   /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");  /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
     printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);  /*   } */
     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);  /*   in--; chain--; */
     /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/  /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
     /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/  /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
   }  /*     *out++ = *in++; */
    /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  /*   } */
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {  /*   *out='\0'; */
       if (j>i) {  /*   out=s; */
         printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);  /*   return out; */
         hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);  /* } */
         hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];      char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
         /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/  {
       }    /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
     }    /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
   }  
   printf("\n");    char *strloc;
   
   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");    strcpy (out, in); 
      strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    if(strloc != NULL){ 
   x=vector(1,npar);      /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
   indx=ivector(1,npar);      memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)      /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];    }
   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);    printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
     return out;
   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  }
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;  
     x[j]=1;  
     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);  char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  {
       matcov[i][j]=x[i];    /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
     }       and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
   }       gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
        If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");    */
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {    char *s, *t;
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {    t=in;s=in;
       printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);    while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
     }      *alocc++ = *in++;
     printf("\n");    }
   }    if( *in == occ){
       *(alocc)='\0';
   /* Recompute Inverse */      s=++in;
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)    }
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j];   
   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);    if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
       *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n");      in=s;
     }
   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {    while ( *in != '\0'){
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;      *blocc++ = *in++;
     x[j]=1;    }
     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);  
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){    *blocc='\0';
       y[i][j]=x[i];    return t;
       printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);  }
     }  char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
     printf("\n");  {
   }    /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
   */       and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
        gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);       If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);    */
   free_vector(x,1,npar);    char *s, *t;
   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);    t=in;s=in;
   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);    while (*in != '\0'){
       while( *in == occ){
         *blocc++ = *in++;
 }        s=in;
       }
 /*************** hessian matrix ****************/      *blocc++ = *in++;
 double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[])    }
 {    if (s == t) /* occ not found */
   int i;      *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
   int l=1, lmax=20;    else
   double k1,k2;      *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];    in=s;
   double res;    while ( *in != '\0'){
   double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;      *alocc++ = *in++;
   double fx;    }
   int k=0,kmax=10;  
   double l1;    *alocc='\0';
     return s;
   fx=func(x);  }
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];  
   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
     l1=pow(10,l);  {
     delts=delt;    int i,j=0;
     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){    int lg=20;
       delt = delta*(l1*k);    i=0;
       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;    lg=strlen(s);
       k1=func(p2)-fx;    for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;    if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
       k2=func(p2)-fx;    }
       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */    return j;
       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */  }
        
 #ifdef DEBUG  /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);  /* { */
 #endif  /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */  /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){  /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
         k=kmax;  /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
       }  /*   i=0; */
       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */  /*   lg=strlen(t); */
         k=kmax; l=lmax*10.;  /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
       }  /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  /*   } */
         delts=delt;  
       }  /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
     }  /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
   }  /*   } */
   delti[theta]=delts;  /*      u[p]='\0'; */
   return res;  
    /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
 }  /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
   /*   } */
 double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj)  /* } */
 {  
   int i;  #ifdef _WIN32
   int l=1, l1, lmax=20;  char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;  {
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];    char *p, *q;
   int k;           
     if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
   fx=func(x);      return 0;
   for (k=1; k<=2; k++) {    if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];    {
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;      *pp = q + 1;
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;      *q = '\0';
     k1=func(p2)-fx;    }
      else
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;      *pp = 0;
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;    return p;
     k2=func(p2)-fx;  }
    #endif
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;  
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;  /********************** nrerror ********************/
     k3=func(p2)-fx;  
    void nrerror(char error_text[])
     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;  {
     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;    fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
     k4=func(p2)-fx;    fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */    exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
 #ifdef DEBUG  }
     printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);  /*********************** vector *******************/
 #endif  double *vector(int nl, int nh)
   }  {
   return res;    double *v;
 }    v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
     if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
 /************** Inverse of matrix **************/    return v-nl+NR_END;
 void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d)  }
 {  
   int i,imax,j,k;  /************************ free vector ******************/
   double big,dum,sum,temp;  void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
   double *vv;  {
      free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
   vv=vector(1,n);  }
   *d=1.0;  
   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {  /************************ivector *******************************/
     big=0.0;  int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++)  {
       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp;    int *v;
     if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp");    v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
     vv[i]=1.0/big;    if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
   }    return v-nl+NR_END;
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {  }
     for (i=1;i<j;i++) {  
       sum=a[i][j];  /******************free ivector **************************/
       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j];  void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
       a[i][j]=sum;  {
     }    free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
     big=0.0;  }
     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) {  
       sum=a[i][j];  /************************lvector *******************************/
       for (k=1;k<j;k++)  long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
         sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j];  {
       a[i][j]=sum;    long *v;
       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) {    v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
         big=dum;    if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
         imax=i;    return v-nl+NR_END;
       }  }
     }  
     if (j != imax) {  /******************free lvector **************************/
       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) {  void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
         dum=a[imax][k];  {
         a[imax][k]=a[j][k];    free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
         a[j][k]=dum;  }
       }  
       *d = -(*d);  /******************* imatrix *******************************/
       vv[imax]=vv[j];  int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
     }       /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
     indx[j]=imax;  { 
     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY;    long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
     if (j != n) {    int **m; 
       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]);    
       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum;    /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
     }    m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
   }    if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */    m += NR_END; 
 ;    m -= nrl; 
 }    
     
 void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[])    /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
 {    m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
   int i,ii=0,ip,j;    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
   double sum;    m[nrl] += NR_END; 
      m[nrl] -= ncl; 
   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {    
     ip=indx[i];    for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
     sum=b[ip];    
     b[ip]=b[i];    /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
     if (ii)    return m; 
       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j];  } 
     else if (sum) ii=i;  
     b[i]=sum;  /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
   }  void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) {        int **m;
     sum=b[i];        long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j];       /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
     b[i]=sum/a[i][i];  { 
   }    free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
 }    free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
   } 
 /************ Frequencies ********************/  
 void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)  /******************* matrix *******************************/
 {  /* Some frequencies */  double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
    {
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double **m;
   double *pp;  
   double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;    m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
   FILE *ficresp;    if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];    m += NR_END;
      m -= nrl;
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);  
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
   strcpy(fileresp,"p");    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
   strcat(fileresp,fileres);    m[nrl] += NR_END;
   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {    m[nrl] -= ncl;
     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);  
     exit(0);    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
   }    return m;
   freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);    /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
   j1=0;  m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
    that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
   j=cptcoveff;     */
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}  }
    
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){  /*************************free matrix ************************/
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){  void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
       j1++;  {
       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
         scanf("%d", i);*/    free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)    }
         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)  /******************* ma3x *******************************/
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;  double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
        {
       dateintsum=0;    long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
       k2cpt=0;    double ***m;
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {  
         bool=1;    m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
         if  (cptcovn>0) {    if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)    m += NR_END;
             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])    m -= nrl;
               bool=0;  
         }    m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
         if (bool==1) {    if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){    m[nrl] += NR_END;
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);    m[nrl] -= ncl;
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {  
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;  
               if (m<lastpass) {    m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                 freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];    if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                 freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];    m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
               }    m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                  for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
               if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {      m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                 dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;    
                 k2cpt++;    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
               }      m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
             }      for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
           }        m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
         }    }
       }    return m; 
            /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
       fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);             &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
     */
       if  (cptcovn>0) {  }
         fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");  
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);  /*************************free ma3x ************************/
         fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");  void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
       }  {
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
         fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);    free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
       fprintf(ficresp, "\n");    free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
        }
       for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){  
         if(i==(int)agemax+3)  /*************** function subdirf ***********/
           printf("Total");  char *subdirf(char fileres[])
         else  {
           printf("Age %d", i);    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
           for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)    strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
             pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];    strcat(tmpout,fileres);
         }    return tmpout;
         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  }
           for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)  
             pos += freq[jk][m][i];  /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
           if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)  char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
             printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);  {
           else    
             printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
         }    strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
     strcat(tmpout,"/");
         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    strcat(tmpout,preop);
           for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)    strcat(tmpout,fileres);
             pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];    return tmpout;
         }  }
   
         for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)  /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
           pos += pp[jk];  char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  {
           if(pos>=1.e-5)    
             printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);    /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
           else    strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
             printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);    strcat(tmpout,"/");
           if( i <= (int) agemax){    strcat(tmpout,preop);
             if(pos>=1.e-5){    strcat(tmpout,preop2);
               fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);    strcat(tmpout,fileres);
               probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;    return tmpout;
               /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/  }
             }  
             else  char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
               fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);  {
           }    long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
         }    days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
            sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
         for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
           for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)    sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
             if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);    minutes = (sec_left) /60;
         if(i <= (int) agemax)    sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
           fprintf(ficresp,"\n");    sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
         printf("\n");    return ascdiff;
       }  }
     }  
   }  /***************** f1dim *************************/
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;  extern int ncom; 
    extern double *pcom,*xicom;
   fclose(ficresp);  extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);   
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);  double f1dim(double x) 
    { 
   /* End of Freq */    int j; 
 }    double f;
     double *xt; 
 /************ Prevalence ********************/   
 void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)    xt=vector(1,ncom); 
 {  /* Some frequencies */    for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
      f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    return f; 
   double *pp;  } 
   double pos, k2;  
   /*****************brent *************************/
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);  double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,  double *xmin) 
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  {
      /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
   freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);     * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
   j1=0;     * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
       * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
   j=cptcoveff;     * returned function value. 
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    */
      int iter; 
  for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    double a,b,d,etemp;
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){    double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
       j1++;    double ftemp=0.;
      double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)      double e=0.0; 
         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)     
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)    a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;    b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
          x=w=v=bx; 
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {    fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
         bool=1;    for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
         if  (cptcovn>0) {      xm=0.5*(a+b); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)      tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])      /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
               bool=0;      printf(".");fflush(stdout);
         }      fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
         if (bool==1) {  #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){      printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);      fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {      /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;  #endif
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;      if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
               if (m<lastpass)        *xmin=x; 
                 if (calagedate>0) freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];        return fx; 
               else      } 
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];      ftemp=fu;
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i];      if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
             }        r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
           }        q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
         }        p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
       }        q=2.0*(q-r); 
         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){        if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){        q=fabs(q); 
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)        etemp=e; 
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];        e=d; 
           }        if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
             for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)        else { 
             pos += freq[jk][m][i];          d=p/q; 
         }          u=x+d; 
                  if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){            d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)        } 
              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];      } else { 
          }        d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                } 
          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];      u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
       fu=(*f)(u); 
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){                if (fu <= fx) { 
            if( i <= (int) agemax){        if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
              if(pos>=1.e-5){        SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
                probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;        SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
              }      } else { 
            }        if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
          }        if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
                    v=w; 
         }          w=u; 
     }          fv=fw; 
   }          fw=fu; 
         } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
            v=u; 
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);          fv=fu; 
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);        } 
        } 
 }  /* End of Freq */    } 
     nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
 /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/    *xmin=x; 
     return fx; 
 void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)  } 
 {  
   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.  /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).  
      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i  void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
      dh[m][i] of dh[mw[mi][i][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]              double (*func)(double)) 
      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.  { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
      */  the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
   new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
   int i, mi, m;  values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;     */
      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/    double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
     double fu; 
   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;  
   double sum=0.;    double scale=10.;
   jmin=1e+5;    int iterscale=0;
   jmax=-1;  
   jmean=0.;    *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){    *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
     mi=0;  
     m=firstpass;  
     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){    /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
       if(s[m][i]>=1)    /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
         mw[++mi][i]=m;    /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
       if(m >=lastpass)    /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
         break;    /* } */
       else  
         m++;    if (*fb > *fa) { 
     }/* end while */      SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){      SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
       mi++;     /* Death is another wave */    } 
       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */    *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
          /* Only death is a correct wave */    *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
       mw[mi][i]=m;  #ifdef DEBUG
     }    printf("mnbrak0 *fb=%.12e *fc=%.12e\n",*fb,*fc);
     fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 *fb=%.12e *fc=%.12e\n",*fb,*fc);
     wav[i]=mi;  #endif
     if(mi==0)    while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc */
       printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);      r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
   }      q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); 
       u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){        (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){      ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
       if (stepm <=0)      if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
         dh[mi][i]=1;        fu=(*func)(u); 
       else{  #ifdef DEBUG
         if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) {        /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
           if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {        double A, fparabu; 
           j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12);        A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
           if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */        fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
           k=k+1;        printf("mnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu);
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu);
           if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;        /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
           sum=sum+j;        /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
           /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */          (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
           }        /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
         }  #endif 
         else{  #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
           j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));  #else
           k=k+1;  /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;  /* #ifdef DEBUG */
           else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;  /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
           /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */  /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
           sum=sum+j;  /* #endif */
         }  /*      /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
         jk= j/stepm;  /*      /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
         jl= j -jk*stepm;  /*      dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
         ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;  /*      u = *cx; */
         if(jl <= -ju)  /*      *cx = dum; */
           dh[mi][i]=jk;  /*      dum = fu; */
         else  /*      fu = *fc; */
           dh[mi][i]=jk+1;  /*      *fc =dum; */
         if(dh[mi][i]==0)  /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
           dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */  /* #ifdef DEBUG */
       }  /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
     }  /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
   }  /* #endif */
   jmean=sum/k;  /*      dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);  /*      u = *cx; */
  }  /*      *cx = dum; */
 /*********** Tricode ****************************/  /*      dum = fu; */
 void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)  /*      fu = *fc; */
 {  /*      *fc =dum; */
   int Ndum[20],ij=1, k, j, i;  /*       } */
   int cptcode=0;  #ifdef DEBUG
   cptcoveff=0;        printf("mnbrak34  fu < or >= fc \n");
          fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak34 fu < fc\n");
   for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;  #endif
   for (k=1; k<=7; k++) ncodemax[k]=0;        dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
         u = *cx;
   for (j=1; j<=(cptcovn+2*cptcovprod); j++) {        *cx = dum;
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        dum = fu;
       ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]);        fu = *fc;
       Ndum[ij]++;        *fc =dum;
       /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/  #endif
       if (ij > cptcode) cptcode=ij;      } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
     }  #ifdef DEBUG
         printf("mnbrak2  u after c but before ulim\n");
     for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u after c but before ulim\n");
       if(Ndum[i]!=0) ncodemax[j]++;  #endif
     }        fu=(*func)(u); 
     ij=1;        if (fu < *fc) { 
   #ifdef DEBUG
         printf("mnbrak2  u after c but before ulim AND fu < fc\n");
     for (i=1; i<=ncodemax[j]; i++) {        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u after c but before ulim AND fu <fc \n");
       for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {  #endif
         if (Ndum[k] != 0) {          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;          SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                  } 
           ij++;      } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
         }  #ifdef DEBUG
         if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;        printf("mnbrak2  u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c)\n");
       }          fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c)\n");
     }  #endif
   }          u=ulim; 
         fu=(*func)(u); 
  for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;      } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
   #ifdef DEBUG
  for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {        printf("mnbrak2  u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum)\n");
       ij=Tvar[i];        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2  u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum)\n");
       Ndum[ij]++;  #endif
     }        u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
         fu=(*func)(u); 
  ij=1;      } /* end tests */
  for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {      SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){      SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
      Tvaraff[ij]=i;  #ifdef DEBUG
      ij++;        printf("mnbrak2 (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu);
    }        fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak2 (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu);
  }  #endif
      } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
     cptcoveff=ij-1;  } 
 }  
   /*************** linmin ************************/
 /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/  /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
   resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
 void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov )  and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
   the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
 {  routines mnbrak and brent .*/
   /* Health expectancies */  int ncom; 
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj;  double *pcom,*xicom;
   double age, agelim, hf;  double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
   double ***p3mat,***varhe;   
   double **dnewm,**doldm;  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
   double *xp;  { 
   double **gp, **gm;    double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;                 double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
   int theta;    double f1dim(double x); 
     void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage);                double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
   xp=vector(1,npar);    int j; 
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar);    double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);    double fx,fb,fa;
    
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");    double scale=10., axs, xxs, xxss; /* Scale added for infinity */
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");   
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    ncom=n; 
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)    pcom=vector(1,n); 
       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);    xicom=vector(1,n); 
   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");    nrfunc=func; 
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
   if(estepm < stepm){      pcom[j]=p[j]; 
     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);      xicom[j]=xi[j]; 
   }    } 
   else  hstepm=estepm;    
   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months    /* axs=0.0; */
    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example    /* xxss=1; /\* 1 and using scale *\/ */
    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them    xxs=1;
    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear    /* do{ */
    * progression inbetween and thus overestimating or underestimating according      ax=0.;
    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we      xx= xxs;
    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months      mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear      /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise      /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */      /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
       /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */      /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.      /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim    /*   if (fx != fx){ */
      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.    /*    xxs=xxs/scale; /\* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 *\/ */
      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size    /*    printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx); */
      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */    /*   } */
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the    /* }while(fx != fx); */
      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it  
      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same    printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.  #endif
   */    *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */    /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
     /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
   agelim=AGESUP;    /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */  #ifdef DEBUG
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);    printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */    fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/  #endif
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);    printf("linmin end ");
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);  #endif
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);      /* printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]); */
       xi[j] *= xmin; /* xi rescaled by xmin: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored      /* if(xxs <1.0) */
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */      /*   printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs ); */
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);        p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
      } 
     /* printf("\n"); */
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
     printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
     /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
       printf(" xi[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      if(j % ncovmodel == 0)
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){        printf("\n");
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);    }
       }  #endif
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);      free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
      free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
       cptj=0;  } 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){  
           cptj=cptj+1;  /*************** powell ************************/
           for(h=0, gp[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){  /*
             gp[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;  Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
           }  p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
         }  rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
       }  such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
        output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
        function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)   */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);                double (*func)(double [])) 
        { 
       cptj=0;    void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){                double (*func)(double [])); 
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){    int i,ibig,j; 
           cptj=cptj+1;    double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
           for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){    double directest;
             gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;    double fp,fptt;
           }    double *xits;
         }    int niterf, itmp;
       }  
          pt=vector(1,n); 
        ptt=vector(1,n); 
     xit=vector(1,n); 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++)    xits=vector(1,n); 
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){    *fret=(*func)(p); 
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
         }      rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
     for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
      }      fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
          ibig=0; 
 /* End theta */      del=0.0; 
       rlast_time=rcurr_time;
      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);      /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
       rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)      curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++)      printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)      fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
         trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];  /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
       for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
         printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
      for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)        fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)        fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
         varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.;      }
       printf("\n");
     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){      fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);      if(*iter <=3){
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]);        tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)        strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)        rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
             varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;        itmp = strlen(strcurr);
       }        if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
     }          strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
         printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
              fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
     /* Computing expectancies */        for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)          rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)          forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
         for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){          strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
           eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;          itmp = strlen(strfor);
                    if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
 /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
           printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
         }          fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
         }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );      }
     cptj=0;      for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        fptt=(*fret); 
         cptj++;  #ifdef DEBUG
         fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[cptj][cptj][(int)age]) );            printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
       }            fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");  #endif
                printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);        fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);                                      /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);        if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
   }          /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);          /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);          /* with the new direction. */
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);          del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage);          ibig=i; 
 }        } 
   #ifdef DEBUG
 /************ Variance ******************/        printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
 void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm)        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
 {        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
   /* Variance of health expectancies */          xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/          printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
   double **newm;          fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
   double **dnewm,**doldm;        }
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;        for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
   int k, cptcode;          printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
   double *xp;          fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
   double **gp, **gm;        }
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;        printf("\n");
   double ***p3mat;        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   double age,agelim, hf;  #endif
   int theta;      } /* end loop on each direction i */
       /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");      /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");      /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)        /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
       fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e%1d, e%1d)",i,j);        /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
   fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");        /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
         /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
   xp=vector(1,npar);        /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);        /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);        /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
    
   if(estepm < stepm){        /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);        /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
   }        /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
   else  hstepm=estepm;          /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */  #ifdef DEBUG
   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.        int k[2],l;
      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim        k[0]=1;
      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.        k[1]=-1;
      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size        printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
      and note for a fixed period like k years */        fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it          printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if          fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same        }
      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.        printf("\n");
   */        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */        for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
   agelim = AGESUP;          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */            ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */            printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */            fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          }
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);          printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);          fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);        }
   #endif
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){  
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */  
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);        free_vector(xit,1,n); 
       }        free_vector(xits,1,n); 
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);        free_vector(pt,1,n); 
         return; 
       if (popbased==1) {      } /* enough precision */ 
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      if (*iter == ITMAX) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];      for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
       }        ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
          xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){        pt[j]=p[j]; 
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){      } 
           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)      fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];  #ifdef POWELLF1F3
         }  #else
       }      if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
      #endif
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */        /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);        /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);        /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
          /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
       if (popbased==1) {        /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del */
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];  #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
       }        t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
   #else
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){        t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){        t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)  #endif
             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];        directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If del was big enough we change it for a new direction */
         }  #ifdef DEBUG
       }        printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
         fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++)        printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){               (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];        fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
         }               (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
     } /* End theta */        printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
         fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);  #endif
   #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++)        if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  #else
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)        if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];          printf("directest= %.12lf, t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
           printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */          fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf, t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)          fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)        } 
         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;        if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
   #endif
     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){  #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){          printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);            printf("Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)            if(j % ncovmodel == 0)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)              printf("\n");
             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;          }
       }  #endif
     }          linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
   #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
     fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)            printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){            if(j % ncovmodel == 0)
         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);              printf("\n");
       }          }
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");  #endif
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);            xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);            xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);          }
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);          printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
   } /* End age */          fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
    
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);  #ifdef DEBUG
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);          printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);          fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
           for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
 }            printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",xit[j]);
 /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/          }
 void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)          printf("\n");
 {          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   /* Variance of prevalence limit */  #endif
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/        } /* end of t or directest negative */
   double **newm;  #ifdef POWELLF1F3
   double **dnewm,**doldm;  #else
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;      } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
   int k, cptcode;  #endif
   double *xp;    } /* loop iteration */ 
   double *gp, *gm;  } 
   double **gradg, **trgradg;  
   double age,agelim;  /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
   int theta;  
      double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of prevalences limit\n");  {
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");    /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)       matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached */
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);    
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");    int i, ii,j,k;
     double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
   xp=vector(1,npar);    /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);    double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij();
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    double **newm;
      double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */    for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
   agelim = AGESUP;      for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */        oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */      }
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;    
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */    cov[1]=1.;
     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);    
     gp=vector(1,nlstate);    /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
     gm=vector(1,nlstate);    for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
       newm=savm;
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      /* Covariates have to be included here again */
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */      cov[2]=agefin;
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);      if(nagesqr==1)
       }        cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);      for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)        cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])];
         gp[i] = prlim[i][i];        /* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); */
          }
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */      /*wrong? for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);      for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]*cov[2];
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);      for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless */
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])];
         gm[i] = prlim[i][i];      
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
         gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
     } /* End theta */      /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
       /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);      out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
       
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      savm=oldm;
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)      oldm=newm;
         trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];      maxmax=0.;
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++){
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)        min=1.;
       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;        max=0.;
     matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) {
     matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);          sumnew=0;
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)          for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */          prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
           /*printf(" prevalim i=%d, j=%d, prmlim[%d][%d]=%f, agefin=%d \n", i, j, i, j, prlim[i][j],(int)agefin);*/
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );          max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)          min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));        }
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");        maxmin=max-min;
     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);        maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,maxmin);
     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);      } /* j loop */
     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);      if(maxmax < ftolpl){
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);        return prlim;
   } /* End age */      }
     } /* age loop */
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    return prlim; /* should not reach here */
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);  }
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);  
   /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
 }  
   double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
 /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/  {
 void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax)    /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
 {       computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
   int i, j, i1, k1, j1, z1;       model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
   int k=0, cptcode;       lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
   double **dnewm,**doldm;       and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
   double *xp;       ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
   double *gp, *gm;       j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
   double **gradg, **trgradg;       j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
   double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];       Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
   int theta;       sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
   char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];       Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
        the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
   strcpy(fileresprob,"prob");    */
   strcat(fileresprob,fileres);    double s1, lnpijopii;
   if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {    /*double t34;*/
     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);    int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
   }  
   printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
          for(j=1; j<i;j++){
 fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and standard deviation in parentheses\n");          for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
   fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");            /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)            lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
     for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++)  /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
       fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);          }
           ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
   /*      printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");        }
         for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
   xp=vector(1,npar);            /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);            lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));  /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
            }
   cov[1]=1;          ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
   j=cptcoveff;        }
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}      }
   j1=0;      
   for(k1=1; k1<=1;k1++){      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){        s1=0;
     j1++;        for(j=1; j<i; j++){
           s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
     if  (cptcovn>0) {          /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
       fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable ");        }
       for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
       fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#");          s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
     }          /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
            }
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){        /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
         cov[2]=age;        ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {        /* Computing other pijs */
           cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[j1][Tvar[k]]];        for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                    ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
         }        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];          ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)        /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
           cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];      } /* end i */
              
         gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);      for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
         trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);        for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
         gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          ps[ii][jj]=0;
         gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));          ps[ii][ii]=1;
            }
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      }
           for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)      
             xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);      
                /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);      /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                /*  printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
           k=0;      /*   } */
           for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){      /*   printf("\n "); */
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){      /* } */
               k=k+1;      /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
               gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];      /*
             }        for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
           }        goto end;*/
                return ps;
           for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)  }
             xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);  
      /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);  
           k=0;  double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
           for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){  {
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){    /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
               k=k+1;       b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
               gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];    /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
             }       before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
           }       a pointer to pointers identical to out */
          int i, j, k;
           for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)    for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
             gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];        for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
         }        out[i][k]=0.;
         for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)          out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)      }
             trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];    return out;
          }
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);  
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);  
          /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);  
          double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )
         k=0;  {
         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){    /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 
           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){       'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
             k=k+1;       age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];       nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
           }       Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
         }       (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
             for the memory).
      /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);       Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
      for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){       included manually here. 
        printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));  
      }*/       */
   
         fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);    int i, j, d, h, k;
     double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++)    double **newm;
           fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e (%.3e) ",gm[i],sqrt(doldm[i][i]));    double agexact;
    
       }    /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
     }    for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
     free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
     free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));        oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);        po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);      }
   }    /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
   fclose(ficresprob);      for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
          newm=savm;
 }        /* Covariates have to be included here again */
         cov[1]=1.;
 /******************* Printing html file ***********/        agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;
 void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \        cov[2]=agexact;
  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\        if(nagesqr==1)
  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char optionfile[], \          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
  char optionfilehtm[],char rfileres[], char optionfilegnuplot[],\        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) 
  char version[], int popforecast, int estepm ){          cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])];
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
   FILE *fichtm;          /* cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
   /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k]])]*cov[2];
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])];
   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");  
   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {  
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);        /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
   }        /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
         out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
  fprintf(fichtm,"<body> <font size=\"2\">%s </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                     pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n        savm=oldm;
 \n        oldm=newm;
 Total number of observations=%d <br>\n      }
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n      for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
 <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
  <ul><li>Outputs files<br>\n          po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n          /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n        }
  - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n      /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
  - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>\n    } /* end h */
  - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>\n  /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
  - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>\n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres);    return po;
   }
  fprintf(fichtm,"\n  
  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n  #ifdef NLOPT
   - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"prob%s\">prob%s</a> <br>\n    double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
  - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>\n    double fret;
  - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>\n    double *xt;
  - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>\n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);    int j;
     myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n  /* xt = (p1-1); */
  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n    xt=vector(1,n); 
  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n    for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
         <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);  
  else    fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model);    /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
 fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");    printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
  m=cptcoveff;    printf("\n");
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}   free_vector(xt,1,n);
     return fret;
  jj1=0;  }
  for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){  #endif
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){  
        jj1++;  /*************** log-likelihood *************/
        if (cptcovn > 0) {  double func( double *x)
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");  {
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[jj1][cpt]]);    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");    double **out;
        }    double sw; /* Sum of weights */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probabilities: pe%s%d.gif<br>    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
 <img src=\"pe%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);        int s1, s2;
        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){    double bbh, survp;
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Prevalence of disability : p%s%d%d.gif<br>    long ipmx;
 <img src=\"p%s%d%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);    double agexact;
        }    /*extern weight */
     for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {    /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident    /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
 interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.gif <br>    /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
 <img src=\"v%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);        printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
      }    */
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {  
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.gif <br>    ++countcallfunc;
 <img src=\"exp%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);  
      }    cov[1]=1.;
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and  
 health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.gif<br>    for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
 <img src=\"e%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);  
 fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");    if(mle==1){
    }      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
    }        /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
 fclose(fichtm);           depending if the covariates are fixed or variying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
 }           Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
            to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/         */
 void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){ /* Simple and product covariates without age* products */
             cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;        }
         /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);           is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp.txt");           has been calculated etc */
   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
   }            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
               oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
 #ifdef windows              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);            }
 #endif          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
 m=pow(2,cptcoveff);            newm=savm;
              agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
  /* 1eme*/            cov[2]=agexact;
   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {            if(nagesqr==1)
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
             for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
      fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
             }
 for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");            savm=oldm;
 }            oldm=newm;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stationary prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);          } /* end mult */
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {        
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
 }           * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);           * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {           * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");           * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");           * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
 }             * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));           * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
            * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);           * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
    }           * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
   }           */
   /*2 eme*/          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
           s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);          /* bias bh is positive if real duration
               * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {           */
       k=2*i;          /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
       fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);          if( s2 > nlstate){ 
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {            /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");               then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");               die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
 }                 which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
       if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,");               minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1);               In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
     fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);          as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {          health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
         if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
 }            (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");          introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);          the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {          contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          and month of death but the probability to survive from last
 }            interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
       if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");          probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");          Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
     }          mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);          which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
   }          lower mortality.
              */
   /*3eme*/          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
              cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2);             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
       /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
  for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
 fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
 fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
  for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");             infinity.
 fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);          */
   /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
 */  /*          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {  /* #else */
         fprintf(ficgp," ,\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);  /*        if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
   /*          lli=log(mytinydouble); */
       }  /*        else */
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);  /*          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
     }  /* #endif */
     }              lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
    
   /* CV preval stat */          } else if  (s2==-2) {
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {            for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
     for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
       k=3;            /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);            lli= log(survp);
           }
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)          
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);          else if  (s2==-4) { 
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,cpt+1);            for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                    survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
       l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;            lli= log(survp); 
       fprintf(ficgp,",\"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",fileres,k1,l+cpt+1,l+1);          } 
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {  
         l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;          else if  (s2==-5) { 
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);            for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
       }              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l\n",cpt+1,cpt+1);              lli= log(survp); 
       fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"p%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);          } 
     }          
   }            else{
              lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
   /* proba elementaires */            /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){          } 
     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){          /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
       if (k != i) {          /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
         for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){          /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                  ipmx +=1;
           fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f ",jk,p[jk]);          sw += weight[i];
           jk++;          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
           fprintf(ficgp,"\n");          /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
         }          /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
       }          /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
     }          /* } */
     }        } /* end of wave */
       } /* end of individual */
     for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {    }  else if(mle==2){
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
    i=1;        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
    for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
      k3=i;          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
      for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
        if (k != k2){              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
         fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
 ij=1;            }
         for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {          for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {            newm=savm;
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);            agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
             ij++;            cov[2]=agexact;
           }            if(nagesqr==1)
           else              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
           fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
         }              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
           fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");            }
                    out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
         for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){                           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
           fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);            savm=oldm;
 ij=1;            oldm=newm;
           for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){          } /* end mult */
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {        
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
             ij++;          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
           }          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
           else          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);          ipmx +=1;
           }          sw += weight[i];
           fprintf(ficgp,")");          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
         }        } /* end of wave */
         fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);      } /* end of individual */
         if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");    }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
         i=i+ncovmodel;      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
        }        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
      }        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
    }          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
    }              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                  savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   fclose(ficgp);            }
 }  /* end gnuplot */          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
             newm=savm;
             agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
 /*************** Moving average **************/            cov[2]=agexact;
 void movingaverage(double agedeb, double fage,double ageminpar, double ***mobaverage){            if(nagesqr==1)
               cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
   int i, cpt, cptcod;            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
     for (agedeb=ageminpar; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++)              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)            }
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                savm=oldm;
     for (agedeb=ageminpar+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){            oldm=newm;
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){          } /* end mult */
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){        
           for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
             mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]+probs[(int)agedeb-cpt][i][cptcod];          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
           }          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]/5;          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
         }          ipmx +=1;
       }          sw += weight[i];
     }          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
            } /* end of wave */
 }      } /* end of individual */
     }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
       for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
 /************** Forecasting ******************/        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
            for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
   int *popage;              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;            }
   double ***p3mat;          for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];            newm=savm;
             agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
  agelim=AGESUP;            cov[2]=agexact;
 calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;            if(nagesqr==1)
               cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
              }
   strcpy(fileresf,"f");          
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);            savm=oldm;
   }            oldm=newm;
   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);          } /* end mult */
         
   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
           s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
   if (mobilav==1) {          if( s2 > nlstate){ 
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);            lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);          }else{
   }            lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
           }
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;          ipmx +=1;
   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;          sw += weight[i];
            ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
   agelim=AGESUP;  /*      printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
          } /* end of wave */
   hstepm=1;      } /* end of individual */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;    }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
   anprojmean=yp;        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
   mprojmean=yp;          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
   jprojmean=yp;              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;              savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;            }
            for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
   fprintf(ficresf,"# Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean);            newm=savm;
              agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){            cov[2]=agexact;
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){            if(nagesqr==1)
       k=k+1;              cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
         fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);            }
       }          
       fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
       fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);            savm=oldm;
                  oldm=newm;
                } /* end mult */
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) {        
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);            s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
           lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          ipmx +=1;
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);          sw += weight[i];
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;          ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                    /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);        } /* end of wave */
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;      } /* end of individual */
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);      } /* End of if */
            for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){    /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {    l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);    return -l;
             }  }
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {  
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;  /*************** log-likelihood *************/
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                double funcone( double *x)
                 if (mobilav==1)  {
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
                 else {    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                 }    double **out;
                    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
               }    double llt;
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){    int s1, s2;
                 fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);    double bbh, survp;
                            double agexact;
               }    /*extern weight */
             }    /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
           }    /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);    /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
         }      printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
       }    */
     }    cov[1]=1.;
   }  
            for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
   if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  
     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
   fclose(ficresf);      for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
 }      for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
 /************** Forecasting ******************/        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
 populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
              oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   int *popage;          }
   double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;          newm=savm;
   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH];          cov[2]=agexact;
           if(nagesqr==1)
   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
   agelim=AGESUP;            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
   calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;          }
    
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);          /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
   strcpy(filerespop,"pop");          /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
   strcat(filerespop,fileres);          /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {          savm=oldm;
     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);          oldm=newm;
   }        } /* end mult */
   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);        
         s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
         bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
   if (mobilav==1) {        /* bias is positive if real duration
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);         */
   }        if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
           lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;        } else if  (s2==-2) {
   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
   agelim=AGESUP;          lli= log(survp);
          }else if (mle==1){
   hstepm=1;          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;        } else if(mle==2){
            lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
   if (popforecast==1) {        } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) {          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);        } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
     }          lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);        } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP);          /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
            } /* End of if */
     i=1;          ipmx +=1;
     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1;        sw += weight[i];
            ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
     imx=i;        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];        if(globpr){
   }          fprintf(ficresilk,"%9ld %6d %2d %2d %1d %1d %3d %11.6f %8.4f\
    %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){                  num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],
    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){                  2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);
       k=k+1;          for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");            llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {            fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
         fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);          }
       }          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n");        }
       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age");      } /* end of wave */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j);    } /* end of individual */
       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]");    for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
          /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {    l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);      if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
              gipmx=ipmx;
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){      gsw=sw;
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);    }
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;    return -l;
            }
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);    /*************** function likelione ***********/
          void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){  {
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {    /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
               fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);       the selection of individuals/waves and
             }       to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {       Plotting could be done.
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;     */
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                  int k;
                 if (mobilav==1)  
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
                 else {      strcpy(fileresilk,"ilk"); 
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];      strcat(fileresilk,fileres);
                 }      if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
               }        printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){        fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                 tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;      }
                   /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);      fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                     if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/      fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight 2wlli out sav ");
               }      /*  i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
             }      for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){        fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
               kk1=0.;      fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                 for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){    }
                   kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  
                 }    *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];    if(*globpri !=0){
             }      fclose(ficresilk);
       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
             if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      fflush(fichtm); 
               fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);    } 
           }    return;
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  }
         }  
       }  
    /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
   /******/  
   void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  {
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);      int i,j, iter=0;
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){    double **xi;
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);    double fret;
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;    double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
              /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  #ifdef NLOPT
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);      int creturn;
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){    nlopt_opt opt;
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {    /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);    double *lb;
             }    double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {    double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;    myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                #endif
                 kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];      
               }  
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);    xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
             }    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
           }      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);        xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
         }    printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
       }    strcpy(filerespow,"pow"); 
    }    strcat(filerespow,fileres);
   }    if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
        printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
   if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
     }
   if (popforecast==1) {    fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP);    for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP);      for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP);        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
   }    fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  #ifdef POWELL
   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
   fclose(ficrespop);  #endif
 }  
   #ifdef NLOPT
 /***********************************************/  #ifdef NEWUOA
 /**************** Main Program *****************/    opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
 /***********************************************/  #else
     opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
 int main(int argc, char *argv[])  #endif
 {    lb=vector(0,npar-1);
     for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;    nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;    nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
   double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;    
     p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
   double fret;    d->function = func;
   double **xi,tmp,delta;    printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
     nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
   double dum; /* Dummy variable */    nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
   double ***p3mat;    if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
   int *indx;      printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];    }
   char title[MAXLINE];    else {
   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];      printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
   char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];      printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
        iter=1; /* not equal */
   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];    }
     nlopt_destroy(opt);
   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];  #endif
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];    free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];    fclose(ficrespow);
   char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[20];    printf("#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;    fprintf(ficlog,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */    fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
   int c,  h , cpt,l;  
   int ju,jl, mi;  }
   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;  
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;  /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
   int hstepm, nhstepm;  {
   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate;    double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
     double **hess;
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;    int i, j;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;    int *indx;
   double **prlim;  
   double *severity;    double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */    double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
   double  *p;    void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */    void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
   double ***delti3; /* Scale */    double gompertz(double p[]);
   double *delti; /* Scale */    hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   double ***eij, ***vareij;  
   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */    printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
   double *epj, vepp;    fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
   double kk1, kk2;    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;      printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
        fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
      
   char version[80]="Imach version 0.8a1, June 2003, INED-EUROREVES ";       hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];      
       /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
           printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
   char z[1]="c", occ;    }
 #include <sys/time.h>    
 #include <time.h>    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80];      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
          if (j>i) { 
   /* long total_usecs;          printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
   struct timeval start_time, end_time;          fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
            hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j,func,npar);
   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */          
   getcwd(pathcd, size);          hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
           /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
   printf("\n%s",version);        }
   if(argc <=1){      }
     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");    }
     scanf("%s",pathtot);    printf("\n");
   }    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   else{  
     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);    printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
   }    fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, 80)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/    
   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);    a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/    y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/    x=vector(1,npar);
     indx=ivector(1,npar);
   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
    printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
   chdir(path);    ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
   replace(pathc,path);  
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
 /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
       x[j]=1;
   strcpy(fileres,"r");      lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */        matcov[i][j]=x[i];
       }
   /*---------arguments file --------*/    }
   
   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {    printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
     printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
     goto end;    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
   }      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
         printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);
   strcpy(filereso,"o");        fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",hess[i][j]);
   strcat(filereso,fileres);      }
   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {      printf("\n");
     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);goto end;      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   }    }
   
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */    /* Recompute Inverse */
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j];
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);    ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
     puts(line);  
     fputs(line,ficparo);    /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n");
   }  
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);      x[j]=1;
   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);      lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
 while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){        y[i][j]=x[i];
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]);
     puts(line);      }
     fputs(line,ficparo);      printf("\n");
   }      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    }
      */
      
   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);    free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
   cptcovn=0;    free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
   if (strlen(model)>1) cptcovn=nbocc(model,'+')+1;    free_vector(x,1,npar);
     free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
   ncovmodel=2+cptcovn;    free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
   nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */  
    
   /* Read guess parameters */  }
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */  
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
     ungetc(c,ficpar);  double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);  {
     puts(line);    int i;
     fputs(line,ficparo);    int l=1, lmax=20;
   }    double k1,k2;
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
      double res;
   param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++)    double fx;
     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){    int k=0,kmax=10;
       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);    double l1;
       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);  
       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);    fx=func(x);
       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
         fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);    for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
         printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);      l1=pow(10,l);
         fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);      delts=delt;
       }      for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");        delt = delta*(l1*k);
       printf("\n");        p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");        k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
     }        p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
          k2=func(p2)-fx;
     npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel;        /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
         res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */
   p=param[1][1];        
    #ifdef DEBUGHESS
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */        printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
     ungetc(c,ficpar);  #endif
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
     puts(line);        if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
     fputs(line,ficparo);          k=kmax;
   }        }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);        else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
           k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);        }
   delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */        else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){          delts=delt;
     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){        }
       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);      }
       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);    }
       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);    delti[theta]=delts;
       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){    return res; 
         fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);    
         printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);  }
         fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);  
       }  double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");  {
       printf("\n");    int i;
       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");    int l=1, lmax=20;
     }    double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
   }    double p2[MAXPARM+1];
   delti=delti3[1][1];    int k;
    
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */    fx=func(x);
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    for (k=1; k<=2; k++) {
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;
     puts(line);      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;
     fputs(line,ficparo);      k1=func(p2)-fx;
   }    
   ungetc(c,ficpar);      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;
        p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;
   matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);      k2=func(p2)-fx;
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){    
     fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;
     printf("%s",str);      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;
     fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);      k3=func(p2)-fx;
     for(j=1; j <=i; j++){    
       fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);      p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;
       printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);      p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;
       fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);      k4=func(p2)-fx;
     }      res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
     fscanf(ficpar,"\n");  #ifdef DEBUG
     printf("\n");      printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
     fprintf(ficparo,"\n");      fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
   }  #endif
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)    }
     for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)    return res;
       matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];  }
      
   printf("\n");  /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
   void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
   { 
     /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/    int i,imax,j,k; 
      strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */    double big,dum,sum,temp; 
      strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/    double *vv; 
      strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */   
      strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */    vv=vector(1,n); 
     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {    *d=1.0; 
       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
     }      big=0.0; 
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);      for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
            if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
     /*-------- data file ----------*/      if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {      vv[i]=1.0/big; 
       printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;    } 
     }    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
       for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
     n= lastobs;        sum=a[i][j]; 
     severity = vector(1,maxwav);        for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
     outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);        a[i][j]=sum; 
     num=ivector(1,n);      } 
     moisnais=vector(1,n);      big=0.0; 
     annais=vector(1,n);      for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
     moisdc=vector(1,n);        sum=a[i][j]; 
     andc=vector(1,n);        for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
     agedc=vector(1,n);          sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
     cod=ivector(1,n);        a[i][j]=sum; 
     weight=vector(1,n);        if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */          big=dum; 
     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);          imax=i; 
     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);        } 
     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);      } 
     adl=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);          if (j != imax) { 
     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);        for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
     ncodemax=ivector(1,8);          dum=a[imax][k]; 
           a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
     i=1;          a[j][k]=dum; 
     while (fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL)    {        } 
       if ((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs)) {        *d = -(*d); 
                vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
         for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){      } 
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); s[j][i]=atoi(strb);      indx[j]=imax; 
           strcpy(line,stra);      if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
           cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); anint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);      if (j != n) { 
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); mint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);        dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
         }        for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
              } 
         cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); andc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);    } 
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisdc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);    free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
   ;
         cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); annais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);  } 
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);  
   void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);  { 
         for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){    int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);    double sum; 
         }   
         num[i]=atol(stra);    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
              ip=indx[i]; 
         /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){      sum=b[ip]; 
           printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/      b[ip]=b[i]; 
       if (ii) 
         i=i+1;        for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
       }      else if (sum) ii=i; 
     }      b[i]=sum; 
     /* printf("ii=%d", ij);    } 
        scanf("%d",i);*/    for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
   imx=i-1; /* Number of individuals */      sum=b[i]; 
       for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
   /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){      b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;    } 
     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;  } 
     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;  
     }*/  void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
    /*  for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){  {
      if (s[4][i]==9)  s[4][i]=-1;    fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
      printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/  }
    
    /************ Frequencies ********************/
   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[])
   Tvar=ivector(1,15);  {  /* Some frequencies */
   Tprod=ivector(1,15);    
   Tvaraff=ivector(1,15);    int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j;
   Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);    int first;
   Tage=ivector(1,15);          double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
        double *pp, **prop;
   if (strlen(model) >1){    double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
     j=0, j1=0, k1=1, k2=1;    char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
     j=nbocc(model,'+');    
     j1=nbocc(model,'*');    pp=vector(1,nlstate);
     cptcovn=j+1;    prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3);
     cptcovprod=j1;    strcpy(fileresp,"p");
        strcat(fileresp,fileres);
     strcpy(modelsav,model);    if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){      printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
       goto end;      exit(0);
     }    }
        freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);
     for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){    j1=0;
       cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+');    
       if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav);    j=cptcoveff;
       /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
       /*scanf("%d",i);*/  
       if (strchr(strb,'*')) {    first=1;
         cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*');  
         if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) {    /* for(k1=1; k1<=j ; k1++){ */  /* Loop on covariates */
           cptcovprod--;    /*  for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */ /* Now it is 2 */
           cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');    /*    j1++; */
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);    for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); j1++){
           cptcovage++;        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
             Tage[cptcovage]=i;          scanf("%d", i);*/
             /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/        for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
         }          for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
         else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) {            for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
           cptcovprod--;              freq[i][jk][m]=0;
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');        
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);        for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
           cptcovage++;          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
           Tage[cptcovage]=i;            prop[i][m]=0;
         }        
         else {        dateintsum=0;
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');        k2cpt=0;
           Tvar[i]=ncovcol+k1;        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
           cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V');          bool=1;
           Tprod[k1]=i;          if  (cptcovn>0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
           Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)       
           Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre);              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];                  /* Tests if the value of each of the covariates of i is equal to filter j1 */
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];                bool=0;
           for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)                /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
             covar[ncovcol+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];                  bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
           k1++;                  j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
           k2=k2+2;                /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
         }              } 
       }          }
       else {   
         /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/          if (bool==1){
        /*  scanf("%d",i);*/            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
       cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
       Tvar[i]=atoi(strc);              /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
       }                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
       strcpy(modelsav,stra);                  if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
       /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);                if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
         scanf("%d",i);*/                if (m<lastpass) {
     }                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
 }                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i];
                  }
   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);                
   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);                if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3))) {
   scanf("%d ",i);*/                  dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
     fclose(fic);                  k2cpt++;
                 }
     /*  if(mle==1){*/                /*}*/
     if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights*/            }
       for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0;          }
     }        } /* end i */
     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/         
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);        /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
         pstamp(ficresp);
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        if  (cptcovn>0) {
       for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
        if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
          anint[m][i]=9999;          fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
          s[m][i]=-1;          fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
        }          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficlog, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
      if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1;          fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n#");
       }        }
     }        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) 
           fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);        
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){        for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){
         if(s[m][i] >0){          if(i==iagemax+3){
           if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {            fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
             if(agedc[i]>0)          }else{
               if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)            if(first==1){
                 agev[m][i]=agedc[i];              first=0;
             /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/              printf("See log file for details...\n");
            else {            }
               if (andc[i]!=9999){            fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", i);
               printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);          }
               agev[m][i]=-1;          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
               }            for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
             }              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; 
           }          }
           else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);            for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
             if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)              pos += freq[jk][m][i];
               agev[m][i]=1;            if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){
             else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){              if(first==1){
               agemin=agev[m][i];                printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
               /*printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemin);*/              }
             }              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
             else if(agev[m][i] >agemax){            }else{
               agemax=agev[m][i];              if(first==1)
              /* printf(" anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.0f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemax);*/                printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             }              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/            }
             /*   agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/          }
           }  
           else { /* =9 */          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             agev[m][i]=1;            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
             s[m][i]=-1;              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
           }          }       
         }          for(jk=1,pos=0,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
         else /*= 0 Unknown */            pos += pp[jk];
           agev[m][i]=1;            posprop += prop[jk][i];
       }          }
              for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
     }            if(pos>=1.e-5){
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {              if(first==1)
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){                printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
           printf("Error: Wrong value in nlstate or ndeath\n");              }else{
           goto end;              if(first==1)
         }                printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
       }              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
     }            }
             if( i <= iagemax){
 printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);              if(pos>=1.e-5){
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop);
     free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);                /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/
     free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);                /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
     free_vector(moisnais,1,n);              }
     free_vector(annais,1,n);              else
     /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);                fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop);
        free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/            }
     free_vector(moisdc,1,n);          }
     free_vector(andc,1,n);          
           for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
                for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
     wav=ivector(1,imx);              if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) {
     dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);              if(first==1)
     mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
                    fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
     /* Concatenates waves */              }
       concatwav(wav, dh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);          if(i <= iagemax)
             fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
           if(first==1)
       Tcode=ivector(1,100);            printf("Others in log...\n");
       nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       ncodemax[1]=1;        }
       if (cptcovn > 0) tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx);        /*}*/
          }
    codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);    dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
    h=0;   
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);    fclose(ficresp);
      free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);
    for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){    free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
      for(i=1; i <=(m/pow(2,k));i++){    free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3);
        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){    /* End of Freq */
          for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){  }
            h++;  
            if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;  /************ Prevalence ********************/
            /*  printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d tvar[k]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k]);*/  void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
          }  {  
        }    /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
      }       in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
    }       We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
    /* printf("codtab[1][2]=%d codtab[2][2]=%d",codtab[1][2],codtab[2][2]);    */
       codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */   
    /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){    int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j;
       for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){  
       printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);    double **prop;
       }    double posprop; 
       printf("\n");    double  y2; /* in fractional years */
       }    int iagemin, iagemax;
       scanf("%d",i);*/    int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
      
    /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age    iagemin= (int) agemin;
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */    iagemax= (int) agemax;
     /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
        prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); 
        /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
     pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    j1=0;
     oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    
     newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    /*j=cptcoveff;*/
     savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */    
          first=1;
     /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]    for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){
        so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */      /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
     p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */        j1++;*/
         
     if(mle==1){        for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
     mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
     }            prop[i][m]=0.0;
           
     /*--------- results files --------------*/        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);          bool=1;
            if  (cptcovn>0) {
             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
    jk=1;              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) 
    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");                bool=0;
    printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");          } 
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){          if (bool==1) { 
      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/
        if (k != i)              y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
          {              if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
            printf("%d%d ",i,k);                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
            fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){                if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); 
              printf("%f ",p[jk]);                if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
              fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);                  /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
              jk++;                  prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
            }                  prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
            printf("\n");                } 
            fprintf(ficres,"\n");              }
          }            } /* end selection of waves */
      }          }
    }        }
  if(mle==1){        for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
     /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */          for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */            posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);          } 
  }          
     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){     
     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");            if( i <=  iagemax){ 
      for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){              if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){                probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
         if (j!=i) {              } else{
           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);                if(first==1){
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);                  first=0;
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){                  printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others on log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
             printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);                }
             fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);              }
             jk++;            } 
           }          }/* end jk */ 
           printf("\n");        }/* end i */ 
           fprintf(ficres,"\n");      /*} *//* end i1 */
         }    } /* end j1 */
       }    
      }    /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
        /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
     k=1;    free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3);
     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");  }  /* End of prevalence */
     printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");  
     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){  /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;  
       i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
       fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);  {
       printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);*/    /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
       fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);       Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
       printf("%3d",i);       mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
       for(j=1; j<=i;j++){       dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);       and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
         printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);       */
       }  
       fprintf(ficres,"\n");    int i, mi, m;
       printf("\n");    /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
       k++;       double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
     }    int first;
        int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    double sum=0.;
       ungetc(c,ficpar);    first=0;
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);    jmin=100000;
       puts(line);    jmax=-1;
       fputs(line,ficparo);    jmean=0.;
     }    for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      mi=0;
     estepm=0;      m=firstpass;
     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);      while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){
     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;        if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5)
     if (fage <= 2) {          mw[++mi][i]=m;
       bage = ageminpar;        if(m >=lastpass)
       fage = agemaxpar;          break;
     }        else
              m++;
     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");      }/* end while */
     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);      if (s[m][i] > nlstate){
     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);        mi++;     /* Death is another wave */
          /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){           /* Only death is a correct wave */
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        mw[mi][i]=m;
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      }
     puts(line);  
     fputs(line,ficparo);      wav[i]=mi;
   }      if(mi==0){
   ungetc(c,ficpar);        nbwarn++;
          if(first==0){
   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2);          printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);          first=1;
  fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);        }
              if(first==1){
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){          fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
     ungetc(c,ficpar);        }
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      } /* end mi==0 */
     puts(line);    } /* End individuals */
     fputs(line,ficparo);  
   }    for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
   ungetc(c,ficpar);      for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
          if (stepm <=0)
           dh[mi][i]=1;
    dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;        else{
    dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;          if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */
             if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
   fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);              j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
   fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);                if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
   fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);                else if(j<0){
                  nberr++;
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){                printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
     ungetc(c,ficpar);                j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);                printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
     puts(line);                fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
     fputs(line,ficparo);                fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
   }              }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);              k=k+1;
               if (j >= jmax){
   fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilav);                jmax=j;
 fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);                ijmax=i;
 fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);              }
               if (j <= jmin){
                 jmin=j;
 while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){                ijmin=i;
     ungetc(c,ficpar);              }
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);              sum=sum+j;
     puts(line);              /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
     fputs(line,ficparo);              /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
   }            }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);          }
           else{
   fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1);            j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
   fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);  /*        if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
   fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);  
             k=k+1;
  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);            if (j >= jmax) {
               jmax=j;
 /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/              ijmax=i;
  printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);            }
              else if (j <= jmin){
 /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/              jmin=j;
  chdir(path);              ijmin=i;
              }
  free_ivector(wav,1,imx);            /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
  free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);            /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
  free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);              if(j<0){
  free_ivector(num,1,n);              nberr++;
  free_vector(agedc,1,n);              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
  /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
  fclose(ficparo);            }
  fclose(ficres);            sum=sum+j;
           }
 /*--------- index.htm --------*/          jk= j/stepm;
           jl= j -jk*stepm;
   printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,optionfile,optionfilehtm,rfileres,optionfilegnuplot,version,popforecast,estepm);          ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
           if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
              if(jl==0){
   /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/              dh[mi][i]=jk;
                bh[mi][i]=0;
   strcpy(filerespl,"pl");            }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
   strcat(filerespl,fileres);                    * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {              dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
     printf("Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;              bh[mi][i]=ju;
   }            }
   printf("Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);          }else{
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Prevalence limit\n");            if(jl <= -ju){
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");              dh[mi][i]=jk;
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);              bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");                                   * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                                     */
   prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);            }
   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */            else{
   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */              dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */              bh[mi][i]=ju;
   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */            }
   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */            if(dh[mi][i]==0){
   k=0;              dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
   agebase=ageminpar;              bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
   agelim=agemaxpar;              /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
   ftolpl=1.e-10;            }
   i1=cptcoveff;          } /* end if mle */
   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}        }
       } /* end wave */
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    }
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){    jmean=sum/k;
         k=k+1;    printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
         /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/    fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");   }
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)  
           fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  /*********** Tricode ****************************/
         fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
          {
         for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);    /*      Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
           fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age );     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 2 (V2)
           fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);     * nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]= 
           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");    */
         }  
       }    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
     }    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
   fclose(ficrespl);    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
     int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
   /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/  
    
   strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);    cptcoveff=0; 
   if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {   
     printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
   }  
   printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);    /* Loop on covariates without age and products */
      for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;      for (k=-1; k < maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the 
                                  modality of this covariate Vj*/ 
   agelim=AGESUP;        ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]); /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */                                      * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */                                      * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                                        * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
   k=0;        /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){                                        modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){        if (ij > modmaxcovj)
       k=k+1;          modmaxcovj=ij; 
         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");        else if (ij < modmincovj) 
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)          modmincovj=ij; 
           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);        if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");          printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                  exit(1);
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */        }else
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */        Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */        /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);        /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;        /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);             (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Age");           female is 1, then modmaxcovj=1.*/
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      } /* end for loop on individuals i */
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)      printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", j, Tvar[j], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);      fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", j, Tvar[j], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");      cptcode=modmaxcovj;
            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){      /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );     /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for (k=modmincovj;  k<=modmaxcovj; k++) { /* k=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value k of the modality of model-cov j */
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)        printf("Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]);
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);        fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");        if( Ndum[k] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality k ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
              }          if( k != -1){
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            ncodemax[j]++;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");                               covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
         }                               undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
     }          }
   }          ncodemaxwundef[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                                covariate for which somebody answered including 
   varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);                               undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
         }
   fclose(ficrespij);        /* In fact  ncodemax[j]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
            historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
       } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/  
   if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){      /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
     prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);      /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. 
     if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);         If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125;
   }         modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7;
   else{         There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3;
     erreur=108;         which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10;
     printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);         defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.
   }         nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1;
   /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/         nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2;
          To be continued (not working yet).
   strcpy(filerest,"t");      */
   strcat(filerest,fileres);      ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
   if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {      for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
     printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;          if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
   }            break;
   printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);          }
           ij++;
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality.*/
   strcpy(filerese,"e");          cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
   strcat(filerese,fileres);      } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
   if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {        
     printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
   }      /*  /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
   printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);      /*                               k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
       /*                               then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
  strcpy(fileresv,"v");      /*                            But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
   strcat(fileresv,fileres);      /*  } */
   if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {      /*  /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);      /*  if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
   }      /*    printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);      /*    fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
   calagedate=-1;      /*    break; */
 prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);      /*  } */
       /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
   k=0;    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){   for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
       k=k+1;    
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)     /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
         fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);     ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar might be -1 if status was unknown */ 
       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");     Ndum[ij]++; /* Might be supersed V1 + V1*age */
    } 
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");  
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)   ij=0;
         fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);   for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");     /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
      if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");       ij++;
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)       /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
         fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);       Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing (unclear) */
       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");     }else{
          /* Tvaraff[ij]=0; */
       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);     }
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;   }
       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);     /* ij--; */
     cptcoveff=ij; /*Number of total covariates*/
       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);  
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  }
        varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm);  
      
   /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
    
       fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[] )
       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);  
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");  {
     /* Health expectancies, no variances */
       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){    int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);    double age, agelim, hf;
         if (popbased==1) {    double ***p3mat;
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    double eip;
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];  
         }    pstamp(ficreseij);
            fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
         fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);    fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
         for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
           for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
             epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];        fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
             /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/      }
           }      fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
           epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];    }
         }    fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
   
         for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)    
           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)    if(estepm < stepm){
             vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
         fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));    }
         for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){    else  hstepm=estepm;   
           fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));    /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
         }     * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");     * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
       }     * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
     }     * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
   }     * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
 free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);     * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);     * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
     free_vector(weight,1,n);     * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
   fclose(ficreseij);     * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   fclose(ficresvij);  
   fclose(ficrest);    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
   fclose(ficpar);    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
   free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
         nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
   /*------- Variance limit prevalence------*/         Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
   strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");    /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
   strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
   if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {       means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
     printf("Problem with variance prev lim resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
     exit(0);       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
   }    */
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of Prevalence limit: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
   k=0;    agelim=AGESUP;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    /* If stepm=6 months */
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){      /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
       k=k+1;         in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");      
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)  /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);    nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");    /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
          /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);    nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
      varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);  
     }    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
  }      nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
   fclose(ficresvpl);      /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
   /*---------- End : free ----------------*/  
   free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);      /* If stepm=6 months */
        /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
   free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);         in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
   free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);      
        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
        
   free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      
   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
        
   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);      /* Computing expectancies */
   free_vector(delti,1,npar);      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);          for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
   if(erreur >0)            
     printf("End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);            /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   else   printf("End of Imach\n");  
   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */          }
    
   /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/      fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
   /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
   /*------ End -----------*/        eip=0;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
  end:          fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
   /* chdir(pathcd);*/        }
  /*system("wgnuplot graph.plt");*/        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
  /*system("../gp37mgw/wgnuplot graph.plt");*/      }
  /*system("cd ../gp37mgw");*/      fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
  /* system("..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot graph.plt");*/      
  strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);    }
  strcat(plotcmd," ");    free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
  strcat(plotcmd,optionfilegnuplot);    printf("\n");
  system(plotcmd);    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     
  /*#ifdef windows*/  }
   while (z[0] != 'q') {  
     /* chdir(path); */  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[] )
     printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");  
     scanf("%s",z);  {
     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");    /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
     else if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm);     to initial status i, ei. .
     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);    */
     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
   }    int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
   /*#endif */    double age, agelim, hf;
 }    double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp, *xm;
     double **gp, **gm;
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
     int theta;
   
     double eip, vip;
   
     varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     xm=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     
     pstamp(ficresstdeij);
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
     }
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
     pstamp(ficrescveij);
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
         for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
           for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
             cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
             if(cptj2 <= cptj)
               fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
           }
       }
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
      * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
     /* If stepm=6 months */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     agelim=AGESUP;
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     
     p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
   
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
       nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
       /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
   
       /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   
       /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
       /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
          decrease memory allocation */
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
           xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
         hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
     
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
             for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
               gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
        
         for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
           }
       }/* End theta */
       
       
       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
             trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
       
   
        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
         for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
           varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
   
        printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
        fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
        for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
           for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
             for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
               varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
   
       /* Computing expectancies */
       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
             
             /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
           }
   
       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         eip=0.;
         vip=0.;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
           for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
             vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
         }
         fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
       }
       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
       fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
           for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
             for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
               cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
               if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                 fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
             }
         }
       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
      
     }
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
     free_vector(xm,1,npar);
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
   }
   
   /************ Variance ******************/
   void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[])
   {
     /* Variance of health expectancies */
     /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
     /* double **newm;*/
     /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/
     
     int movingaverage();
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
     int k;
     double *xp;
     double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */
     double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */
     double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */
     double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
     double ***p3mat;
     double age,agelim, hf;
     double ***mobaverage;
     int theta;
     char digit[4];
     char digitp[25];
   
     char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     if(popbased==1){
       if(mobilav!=0)
         strcpy(digitp,"-populbased-mobilav-");
       else strcpy(digitp,"-populbased-nomobil-");
     }
     else 
       strcpy(digitp,"-stablbased-");
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"prmorprev"); 
     sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
     /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileres);
     if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
     }
     printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
    
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
     pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
     }  
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
     /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
   /*   } */
     varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     pstamp(ficresvij);
     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
     if(popbased==1)
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
     else
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
   
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
     gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at function hpijx to understand why (it is linked to memory size questions) */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
     agelim = AGESUP;
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
       nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
       nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
       gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
   
   
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
   
         if (popbased==1) {
           if(mobilav ==0){
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
           }else{ /* mobilav */ 
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
           }
         }
     
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
               gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
           }
         }
         /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
            computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
            as a weighted average of prlim.
         */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
             gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end probability of death */
   
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
    
         if (popbased==1) {
           if(mobilav ==0){
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
           }else{ /* mobilav */ 
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
           }
         }
   
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
               gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
           }
         }
         /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
            computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
            as a weighted average of prlim.
         */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
            gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end probability of death */
   
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
           }
   
         for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
           gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
         }
   
       } /* End theta */
   
       trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
   
       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
             trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
   
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
     
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
           vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
       for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
             for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
               vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
     
       /* pptj */
       matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
         for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
           varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
       /* end ppptj */
       /*  x centered again */
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
    
       if (popbased==1) {
         if(mobilav ==0){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
         }
       }
                
       /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
          computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
          as a weighted average of prlim.
       */
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
       }    
       /* end probability of death */
   
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
           fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
         }
       } 
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
   
       fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
         }
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
       free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
       free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     } /* End age */
     free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
     /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);
     /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
   */
   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);
   
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
     fflush(ficgp);
     fflush(fichtm); 
   }  /* end varevsij */
   
   /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
   void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, char strstart[])
   {
     /* Variance of prevalence limit */
     /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
   
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
     double *xp;
     double *gp, *gm;
     double **gradg, **trgradg;
     double age,agelim;
     int theta;
     
     pstamp(ficresvpl);
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
   
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     
     hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
     agelim = AGESUP;
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
       if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
       gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
       gp=vector(1,nlstate);
       gm=vector(1,nlstate);
   
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
       
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
   
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
       } /* End theta */
   
       trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
   
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
   
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
       matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
   
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
       free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
       free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
       free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     } /* End age */
   
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
   
   }
   
   /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
   void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
   {
     int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
     int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
     int k=0, l;
     int first=1, first1, first2;
     double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp;
     double *gp, *gm;
     double **gradg, **trgradg;
     double **mu;
     double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
     double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
     int theta;
     char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
     double ***varpij;
   
     strcpy(fileresprob,"prob"); 
     strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
     if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
     }
     strcpy(fileresprobcov,"probcov"); 
     strcat(fileresprobcov,fileres);
     if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
     }
     strcpy(fileresprobcor,"probcor"); 
     strcat(fileresprobcor,fileres);
     if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
     }
     printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
     fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
     pstamp(ficresprob);
     fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
     fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
     pstamp(ficresprobcov);
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
     pstamp(ficresprobcor);
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
   
   
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
       }  
    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
    */
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
     varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
     first=1;
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></br>this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
   and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
    They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
   It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
   would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
   standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
    Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
    and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
   To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
   
     cov[1]=1;
     /* tj=cptcoveff; */
     tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
     if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     j1=0;
     for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){
       /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[t];i1++){ */
       /*j1++;*/
         if  (cptcovn>0) {
           fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
           
           fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
           
           
           fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
           
           fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
           fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
         }
         
         gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
           cov[2]=age;
           if(nagesqr==1)
             cov[3]= age*age;
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
             cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];/* j1 1 2 3 4
                                                            * 1  1 1 1 1
                                                            * 2  2 1 1 1
                                                            * 3  1 2 1 1
                                                            */
             /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
           }
           /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k]])]*cov[2];
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])];
           
       
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
             
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
             
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
             
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
       
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
        
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
               gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
           }
   
           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
             for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
               trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
           
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
   
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
           
           k=0;
           for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
               k=k+1;
               mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
             }
           }
           for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
             for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
               varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
   
           /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
             for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
             printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
             fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
             }*/
   
           fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
   
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
             fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
             fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
             fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
           }
           i=0;
           for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
             for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
               i++;
               fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                 /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                 fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                 fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
             }
           }/* end of loop for state */
         } /* end of loop for age */
         free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         
         /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
         /*
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
           fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
         */
   
         /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
         first1=1;first2=2;
         for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
           for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
             if(l2==k2) continue;
             j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
             for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
               for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                 if(l1==k1) continue;
                 i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                 if(i<=j) continue;
                 for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   if ((int)age %5==0){
                     v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                     mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                     c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                     /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                       if(first2==1){
                         first1=0;
                       printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                       }
                       fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                       /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                       /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                     }
   
                     /* Eigen vectors */
                     v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                     /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                     v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                     v12=-v21;
                     v22=v11;
                     tnalp=v21/v11;
                     if(first1==1){
                       first1=0;
                       printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     }
                     fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     /*printf(fignu*/
                     /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                     /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                     if(first==1){
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
    :<a href=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">\
   %s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
                               subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,\
                               subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }else{
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }/* if first */
                   } /* age mod 5 */
                 } /* end loop age */
                 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                 first=1;
               } /*l12 */
             } /* k12 */
           } /*l1 */
         }/* k1 */
         /* } */ /* loop covariates */
     }
     free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     fclose(ficresprob);
     fclose(ficresprobcov);
     fclose(ficresprobcor);
     fflush(ficgp);
     fflush(fichtmcov);
   }
   
   
   /******************* Printing html file ***********/
   void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                     int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                     int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
                     int popforecast, int estepm ,\
                     double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \
                     double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){
     int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
   
      fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
      <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
   </ul>");
      fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n \
    - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n ",
              jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileres,"p"),subdirf2(fileres,"p"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
              stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
              subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Population projections by age and states: \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileres,"f"),subdirf2(fileres,"f"));
   
   fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
    jj1=0;
    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
        jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);
            printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout);
          }
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }
        /* Pij */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s%d_1.svg\">%s%d_1.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s%d_1.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1);     
        /* Quasi-incidences */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
    before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: <a href=\"%s%d_2.svg\">%s%d_2.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s%d_2.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1); 
          /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
          for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
            fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">%s%d_%d.svg</a><br> \
   <img src=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1);
          }
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
           fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) : <a href=\"%s%d%d.svg\">%s%d%d.svg</a> <br> \
   <img src=\"%s%d%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1);
        }
      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
    }/* End k1 */
    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
   \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
    - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
    - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file.<br> \
   But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
   and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
   be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
   variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
   (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
   covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
   See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
   
    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),subdirf2(fileres,"prob"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"));
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"cve"),subdirf2(fileres,"cve"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"stde"),subdirf2(fileres,"stde"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
            subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"));
   
   /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
   /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
   /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
   /*      <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
   /*  else  */
   /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
    fflush(fichtm);
    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
    jj1=0;
    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
        jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++) 
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
   prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d_%d.svg <br>\
   <img src=\"%s%d_%d.svg\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1);  
        }
        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
   health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
   true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
    drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
    observed and cahotic prevalences: %s%d.svg<br>\
   <img src=\"%s%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);
      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
    }/* End k1 */
    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
    fflush(fichtm);
   }
   
   /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
   void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
     char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
     int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,ij=0,l=0;
     int ng=0;
   /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
   /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
   /*   } */
   
     /*#ifdef windows */
     fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
       /*#endif */
     m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   
     strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
     strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
    /* 1eme*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'vpl' files\n");
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,k1);
        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"v%s%d_%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1);
        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\
   set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
   
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        }
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        } 
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); 
        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
        }  
        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileres,"p"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
      }
     }
     /*2 eme*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files\n");
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),k1);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
       
       for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
         k=2*i;
         fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
         for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
           if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
           else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
         }   
         if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,");
         else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
         for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
           if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
           else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
         }   
         fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
         fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
         for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
           if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
           else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
         }   
         if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
         else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
       }
     }
     
     /*3eme*/
     
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
         /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
         k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
         /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
           for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
           fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
           for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
           fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
           
         */
         for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
           fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
           /*      fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
           
         } 
         fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
       }
     }
     
     /* CV preval stable (period) */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each multivariate if any */
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
         k=3;
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
   set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
   unset log y\n\
   plot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
           if(i==1)
             fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));
           else
             fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
           l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
           fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
           for (j=1; j<= (nlstate-1) ; j ++)
             fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j);
           fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
         } /* nlstate */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/ 
     } /* end covariate */  
     
     /* proba elementaires */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
         if (k != i) {
           fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
             fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
             jk++; 
           }
           fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
         }
       }
      }
     fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
   
     /*goto avoid;*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#Graphics of of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
     fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
      for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/
        fprintf(ficgp,"# ng=%d\n",ng);
        fprintf(ficgp,"#   jk=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);
        for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
          fprintf(ficgp,"#    jk=%d\n",jk);
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jk,ng); 
          if (ng==2)
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
          else
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"Probability\"\n");
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
          i=1;
          for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
            k3=i;
            for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
              if (k != k2){
                if(ng==2)
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                    fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                else
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                    fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
                for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) {
                  /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                    if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]);
                      ij++;
                    }
                  }
                  else
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                }
                fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
                
                for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){ 
                  if(nagesqr==0)
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
                  else /* nagesqr =1 */
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
     
                  ij=1;
                  for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
                    if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                      if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]);
                        ij++;
                      }
                    }
                    else
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                  }
                  fprintf(ficgp,")");
                }
                fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");
                i=i+ncovmodel;
              }
            } /* end k */
          } /* end k2 */
        } /* end jk */
      } /* end ng */
    /* avoid: */
      fflush(ficgp); 
   }  /* end gnuplot */
   
   
   /*************** Moving average **************/
   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
   
     int i, cpt, cptcod;
     int modcovmax =1;
     int mobilavrange, mob;
     double age;
   
     modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/* Max number of modalities. We suppose 
                              a covariate has 2 modalities */
     if (cptcovn<1) modcovmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
   
     if(mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
       if(mobilav==1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
       else mobilavrange=mobilav;
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
         for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
           for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++)
             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
       /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
          fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
          we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
       */ 
       for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
         for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
             for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){
               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                 for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                 }
               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
             }
           }
         }/* end age */
       }/* end mob */
     }else return -1;
     return 0;
   }/* End movingaverage */
   
   
   /************** Forecasting ******************/
   void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
     /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
        agemin, agemax range of age
        dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
        anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
     */
     int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1;
     double agec; /* generic age */
     double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
     double *popeffectif,*popcount;
     double ***p3mat;
     double ***mobaverage;
     char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     agelim=AGESUP;
     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
    
     strcpy(fileresf,"f"); 
     strcat(fileresf,fileres);
     if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
     }
     printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
   
     if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
     if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
   
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
     yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                                  fractional in yp1 */
     anprojmean=yp;
     yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
     mprojmean=yp;
     yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
     jprojmean=yp;
     if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
     if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
   
     i1=cptcoveff;
     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
     
     fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
     
     fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
   
   /*            if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
     for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
         k=k+1;
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d, hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         }
         fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");
         fprintf(ficresf,"# Covariate valuofcovar yearproj age");
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)              
             fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficresf," p.%d",j);
         }
         for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { 
           fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
           fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
   
           for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
                 fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                 for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                 fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 ppij=0.;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
                   if (mobilav==1) 
                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod];
                   else {
                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod];
                   }
                   if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) {
                     fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   }
                 } /* end i */
                 if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) {
                   fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                 }
               }/* end j */
             } /* end h */
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           } /* end agec */
         } /* end yearp */
       } /* end cptcod */
     } /* end  cptcov */
          
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   
     fclose(ficresf);
   }
   
   /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
   void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){
     
     int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
     int *popage;
     double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2;
     double *popeffectif,*popcount;
     double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;
     double ***mobaverage;
     char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     agelim=AGESUP;
     calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
     
     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
     
     
     strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); 
     strcat(filerespop,fileres);
     if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
     }
     printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
   
     if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
       }
     }
   
     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
     if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
     
     agelim=AGESUP;
     
     hstepm=1;
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
     
     if (popforecast==1) {
       if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
       } 
       popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);
       popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);
       popcount=vector(0,AGESUP);
       
       i=1;   
       while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1;
      
       imx=i;
       for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];
     }
   
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
         k=k+1;
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         }
         fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n");
         fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age");
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j);
         if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]");
         
         for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) { 
           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
           
           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
                 fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 kk1=0.;kk2=0;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                   if (mobilav==1) 
                     kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];
                   else {
                     kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
                   }
                 }
                 if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){
                   tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;
                     /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);
                       if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/
                 }
               }
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                 kk1=0.;
                   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                     kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; 
                   }
                     tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
               }
   
               if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) 
                 fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);
             }
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           }
         }
    
     /******/
   
         for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { 
           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
             
             p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
             hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
               if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
                 fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
               } 
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                 kk1=0.;kk2=0;
                 for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    
                 }
                 if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);        
               }
             }
             free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           }
         }
      } 
     }
    
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   
     if (popforecast==1) {
       free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP);
       free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP);
       free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP);
     }
     free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficrespop);
   } /* End of popforecast */
   
   int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
   {
     if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
       return (0);
     }
     fflush(fichier);
     return (1);
   }
   
   
   /**************** function prwizard **********************/
   void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
   {
   
     /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
   
     char ca[32], cb[32];
     int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
     int numlinepar;
   
     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       jj=0;
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
         if(j==i) continue;
         jj++;
         /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
           /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
           /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
           printf(" 0.");
           fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
         }
         printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
     }
     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       jj=0;
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
         if(j==i) continue;
         jj++;
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
         fflush(stdout);
         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
           /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
           /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
           printf(" 0.");
           fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
         }
         numlinepar++;
         printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
     }
     printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
   /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
   /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
   /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
   /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
   /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
     fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
     /* #   ...\n\ */
     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
     
     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
       jj=0;
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           if(j==i) continue;
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             jj++;
             ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
             if(itimes==1){
               printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
             }else{
               printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
             }
             ll=0;
             for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
               for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                 if(lj==li) continue;
                 for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   ll++;
                   if(ll<=jj){
                     cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                     if(ll<jj){
                       if(itimes==1){
                         printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                         fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                       }else{
                         printf(" 0.");
                         fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                       }
                     }else{
                       if(itimes==1){
                         printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                         fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                       }else{
                         printf(" 0.");
                         fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                       }
                     }
                   }
                 } /* end lk */
               } /* end lj */
             } /* end li */
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
             numlinepar++;
           } /* end k*/
         } /*end j */
       } /* end i */
     } /* end itimes */
   
   } /* end of prwizard */
   /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
   double gompertz(double x[])
   { 
     double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
     int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
   
     for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
       sump=sump+weight[i];
       /*    sump=sump+1;*/
       num=num+1;
     }
    
    
     /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
        if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
   
     for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
       {
         if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
         
         if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
         
         /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
         if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
           L=L+A*weight[i];
           /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
         }
       }
   
    /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
    
     return -2*L*num/sump;
   }
   
   #ifdef GSL
   /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
   double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
   { 
     double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
     double *x= (double *) v->data;
     int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
   
     for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
       sump=sump+weight[i];
       /*    sump=sump+1;*/
       num=num+1;
     }
    
    
     /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
        if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
     for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
       {
         if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
         
         if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
         
         /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
         if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
           LL=LL+A*weight[i];
           /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
         }
       }
   
    /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
    
     return -2*LL*num/sump;
   }
   #endif
   
   /******************* Printing html file ***********/
   void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                     int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                     int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
     int i,k;
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
     fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
     for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
       fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
     fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
   
   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
   
    for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
      fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
   
    
     fflush(fichtm);
   }
   
   /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
   void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
     char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   
     int ng;
   
   
     /*#ifdef windows */
     fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
       /*#endif */
   
   
     strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
     strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
     fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
     fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
     /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
   
   } 
   
   int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
   {
   
     /*-------- data file ----------*/
     FILE *fic;
     char dummy[]="                         ";
     int i=0, j=0, n=0;
     int linei, month, year,iout;
     char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
     char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
     char *stratrunc;
     int lstra;
   
   
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(ficlog);return 1;
     }
   
     i=1;
     linei=0;
     while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
       linei=linei+1;
       for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
         if(line[j] == '\t')
           line[j] = ' ';
       }
       for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
         ;
       };
       line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
       if(line[0]=='#'){
         fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
         printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
         continue;
       }
       trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
       strcpy(line, linetmp);
     
   
       for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
         /*        if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         s[j][i]=lval;
         
         strcpy(line,stra);
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
         if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
         }
         else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
           month=99;
           year=9999;
         }else{
           printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
         mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
         strcpy(line,stra);
       } /* ENd Waves */
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
       }
       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       andc[i]=(double) year; 
       moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
       }
       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       if (year==9999) {
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
   
       }
       annais[i]=(double)(year);
       moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       errno=0;
       dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
       if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
         printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       weight[i]=dval; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
           printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
         strcpy(line,stra);
       }  
       lstra=strlen(stra);
        
       if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
         stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
         num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
       }
       else
         num[i]=atol(stra);
       /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
         printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
       
       i=i+1;
     } /* End loop reading  data */
   
     *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
     fclose(fic);
    
     return (0);
     /* endread: */
       printf("Exiting readdata: ");
       fclose(fic);
       return (1);
   
   
   
   }
   void removespace(char *str) {
     char *p1 = str, *p2 = str;
     do
       while (*p2 == ' ')
         p2++;
     while (*p1++ == *p2++);
   }
   
   int decodemodel ( char model[], int lastobs) /**< This routine decode the model and returns:
      * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
      * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
      * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
      * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
      * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
      * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
      * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
      *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
      * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
      * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
      *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
      * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
    */
   {
     int i, j, k, ks;
     int  j1, k1, k2;
     char modelsav[80];
     char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
     char *strpt;
   
     /*removespace(model);*/
     if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
       j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
       if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
         printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
         printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       strcpy(modelsav,model); 
       if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
         printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
         if(strpt != model){
         printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
    'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
    corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
    'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
    corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
   
         nagesqr=1;
         if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
         else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
         else 
           substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
       }else
         nagesqr=0;
       if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
         j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
         j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
         cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =2  */
         cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
                      * cst, age and age*age 
                      * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 4*/
                     /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                     * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                     * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
         cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
         cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
   
       
         /*   Design
          *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
          *  <          ncovcol=8                >
          * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
          *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
          *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
          *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
          *       covar[1][i]= (V2), covar[4][i]=(V3), covar[8][i]=(V8)
          *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
          *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
          *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
          *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
          *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
          *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
          *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
          *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
          *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
          *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
          *  <          ncovcol=8                >
          *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
          *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
          *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
          * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
          * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
          *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
          * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
          *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
          *How to reorganize?
          * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
          * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
          *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
          * Struct []
          */
   
         /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
         /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
         /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
         /*        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
         /*        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
         /*        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
         /*        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
         /*        k=5 Tvar[5] */
         /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
         /*        cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
         /*        } */
         /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
         /*
          * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
         for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--) /**< Number of covariates */
           Tvar[k]=0;
         cptcovage=0;
         for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
           cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
                                            modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
           if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
           /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
           /*scanf("%d",i);*/
           if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
             cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
             if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
               /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
               cptcovprod--;
               cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
               Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
               cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
               Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
               /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
             } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
               cptcovprod--;
               cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
               Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
               cptcovage++;
               Tage[cptcovage]=k;
             } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
               /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
               cptcovn++;
               cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
               cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
               Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                                      because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                                      ncovcol + k1
                                      If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                                      Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
               cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
               Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
               Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
               Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
               k2=k2+2;
               Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) */
               Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) */
               for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                 /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                    covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                 covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
               }
             } /* End age is not in the model */
           } /* End if model includes a product */
           else { /* no more sum */
             /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
             /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
             cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
             ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates */
             cptcovn++;
             Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
           }
           strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
           /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
             scanf("%d",i);*/
         } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
       } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
     } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
     
     /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
       If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
   
     /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
     printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
     fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
   
     scanf("%d ",i);*/
   
   
     return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
     /*endread:*/
       printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
   {
     int i, m;
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
       for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
         if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
           anint[m][i]=9999;
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           *nberr = *nberr + 1;
           printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr);
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           (*nberr)++;
           printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); 
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); 
           s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
         }
       }
     }
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
       for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
         if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){
           if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
             if(agedc[i]>0){
               if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
                 agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
             /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
               }else {
                 if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   nbwarn++;
                   printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   agev[m][i]=-1;
                 }
               }
             } /* agedc > 0 */
           }
           else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                                    years but with the precision of a month */
             agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
             if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
               agev[m][i]=1;
             else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
               *agemin=agev[m][i];
               printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
             }
             else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
               *agemax=agev[m][i];
               /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
             }
             /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
             /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
           }
           else { /* =9 */
             agev[m][i]=1;
             s[m][i]=-1;
           }
         }
         else /*= 0 Unknown */
           agev[m][i]=1;
       }
       
     }
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
           (*nberr)++;
           printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           return 1;
         }
       }
     }
   
     /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
        printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
   }
   
   }*/
   
   
     printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
   
     return (0);
    /* endread:*/
       printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
   /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
   /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
   //#include "stdafx.h"
   //#include <stdio.h>
   //#include <tchar.h>
   //#include <windows.h>
   //#include <iostream>
   typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
   
   LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
   
   BOOL IsWow64()
   {
           BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
   
           //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
           //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
   
           //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
   
           HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
           const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
           fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
   
           if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
           {
                   if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                           &bIsWow64))
                           //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                           printf("Unknown error\n");
           }
           return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
   }
   #endif
   
   void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
    {
      /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
      /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
      /* /GS /W3 /Gy
         /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
         "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
         "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
         /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
      */ 
      /* 64 bits */
      /*
        /GS /W3 /Gy
        /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
        /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
        /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
        "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
      /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
      /*
        /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
        /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
        /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
        /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
      */
      /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
         2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
         /PDB:"visual studio
         2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
         "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
         "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
         "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
         /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
         /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
         uiAccess='false'"
         /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
         /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
      */
   #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
   #if defined(__GNUC__)
           struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
   #endif
   #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
   #ifndef  __APPLE__
   #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
   #endif
      struct utsname sysInfo;
      int cross = CROSS;
      if (cross){
              printf("Cross-");
              if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
      }
   #endif
   
   #include <stdint.h>
   
      printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
   #if defined(__clang__)
      printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");       /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
      printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
   #endif
   #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
      printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
      printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
      printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
      printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__PGI)
      printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
   #endif
   #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
      printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
   #endif
      printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
      
   // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
   #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
       // Windows (x64 and x86)
      printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
   #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
       // Unix
      printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
   #elif __linux__
       // linux
      printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
   #elif __APPLE__
       // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
      printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
   #endif
   
   /*  __MINGW32__   */
   /*  __CYGWIN__   */
   /* __MINGW64__  */
   // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
   /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
   /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
   /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
   /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
   /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
   
   #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
      printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
   #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
      printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
   #else
      printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
   #endif
   
   #if defined(__GNUC__)
   # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
   #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                               + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                               + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
   # else
   #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                               + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
   # endif
      printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
      if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
   
      if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
        printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
            if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
      }
      else
         perror("uname() error");
      //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
   #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
      printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
      if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
   #endif
   #endif
   
      //   void main()
      //   {
   #if defined(_MSC_VER)
      if (IsWow64()){
              printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
              if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
      }
      else{
              printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
              if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
      }
      //      printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
      //      getchar();
      //   }
   
   #endif
      
   
    }
   
   int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar){
     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
     int i, j, k, i1 ;
     double ftolpl = 1.e-10;
     double age, agebase, agelim;
   
       strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
       strcat(filerespl,fileres);
       if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
       }
       printf("Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
       pstamp(ficrespl);
       fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence \n");
       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
       fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
     
       /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
   
       agebase=ageminpar;
       agelim=agemaxpar;
   
       i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
       if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
   
       for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
         //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
           k=k+1;
           /* to clean */
           //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
           printf("\n#******");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
           printf("******\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
           }
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
           
           for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
           /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
             prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
             fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
             for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
             fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
           } /* Age */
           /* was end of cptcod */
       } /* cptcov */
           return 0;
   }
   
   int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
       /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
   
     int stepsize;
     int agelim;
     int hstepm;
     int nhstepm;
     int h, i, i1, j, k;
   
     double agedeb;
     double ***p3mat;
   
       strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
       if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
       }
       printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
     
       stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
       /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
   
       agelim=AGESUP;
       hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
       hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
   
       /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
       pstamp(ficrespij);
       fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
       i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
      /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
      /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
      /*   k=k+1;  */
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
         
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
           
           /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
           
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
         }
         /*}*/
       }
           return 0;
   }
   
   
   /***********************************************/
   /**************** Main Program *****************/
   /***********************************************/
   
   int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   {
   #ifdef GSL
     const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
     size_t iteri = 0, it;
     int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
     int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
     double ssval;
   #endif
     int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
     int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
   
     int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
     int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
     int num_filled;
     int itimes;
     int NDIM=2;
     int vpopbased=0;
   
     char ca[32], cb[32];
     /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
     /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
     struct stat info;
     double agedeb=0.;
   
     double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
   
     double fret;
     double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
     double ***p3mat;
     double ***mobaverage;
   
     char line[MAXLINE];
     char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
   
     char model[MAXLINE], modeltemp[MAXLINE];
     char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
     char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
     int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
     int c,  h , cpt, c2;
     int jl=0;
     int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
     int count=0;
   
     int *tab; 
     int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
     int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
     int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
     int agemortsup;
     float  sumlpop=0.;
     double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
     double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
   
     double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
     double ftolpl=FTOL;
     double **prlim;
     double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
     double  *p;
     double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
     double ***delti3; /* Scale */
     double *delti; /* Scale */
     double ***eij, ***vareij;
     double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
     double *epj, vepp;
   
     double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
     double **ximort;
     char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
     int *dcwave;
   
     char z[1]="c";
   
     /*char  *strt;*/
     char strtend[80];
   
   
   /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
   /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
   /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
   
     /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
     rstart_time = time(NULL);  
     /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
     start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
     curr_time=start_time;
     /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
     /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
     strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
   
   /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
   /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
   /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
   /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
   /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
   /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
   /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
   /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
   /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
   /*  (void) time (&time_value);
   *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
   *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
   *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
   *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
   */
   
     nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
     nbwarn=0;
   #ifdef WIN32
     _getcwd(pathcd, size);
   #else
     getcwd(pathcd, size);
   #endif
     syscompilerinfo(0);
     printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
     if(argc <=1){
       printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
       fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin);
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
         pathr[i-1]='\0';
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if(pathr[i-1]==' ') /* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
         pathr[i-1]='\0';
      for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
         printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
         while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
         printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
         strcpy (pathtot, val);
         if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
       }
     }
     else{
       strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
     }
     /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
     /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
       printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
     /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
   
     /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
     split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
    /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
     /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
     split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   #ifdef WIN32
     _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
     if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
   #else
     chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
     if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
   #endif
     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
     strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
     strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
     if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
       printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
       /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
       /* fclose(ficlog); */
   /*     exit(1); */
     }
   /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
   /*     perror("mkdir"); */
   /*   } */
   
     /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
   
     /* Main Log file */
     strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
     strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
     if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
       goto end;
     }
     fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
    path=%s \n\
    optionfile=%s\n\
    optionfilext=%s\n\
    optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   
     syscompilerinfo(1);
   
     printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
     fflush(ficlog);
   /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
   /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
   
     /* */
     strcpy(fileres,"r");
     strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
     strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
   
     /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
   
     if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
       fflush(ficlog);
       /* goto end; */
       exit(70); 
     }
   
   
   
     strcpy(filereso,"o");
     strcat(filereso,fileres);
     if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
       printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       fflush(ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
   
     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
     numlinepar=0;
   
       /* First parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                           title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled != 5) {
         printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
       }
       numlinepar++;
       printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
     }
     /* Second parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                           &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled != 8) {
         printf("Not 8\n");
       }
       printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
     }
   
     /* Third parameter line */
     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
       if (line[0] == '#') {
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
         continue;
       }else
         break;
     }
     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]\n", model)) !=EOF){
       if (num_filled != 1) {
         printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
         model[0]='\0';
         goto end;
       }
       else{
         if (model[0]=='+'){
           for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
             modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
         }
         strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
       }
       /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
     }
     /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
     /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
     /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
     if(model[strlen(model)-1]=='.') /* Suppressing leading dot in the model */
       model[strlen(model)-1]='\0';
     fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
     fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
     fflush(ficlog);
     /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
     if(model[0]=='#'){
       printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \
    'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.' or \n \
    'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n");          \
       if(mle != -1){
         printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");
         exit(1);
       }
     }
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       numlinepar++;
       if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
         z[0]=line[1];
       }
       /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
       fputs(line, stdout);
       //puts(line);
       fputs(line,ficparo);
       fputs(line,ficlog);
     }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
      
     covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
     cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
     /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
        v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
     */
     if (strlen(model)>1) 
       ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
     else
       ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
     nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
     npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
     if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
       printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fflush(stdout);
       fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
     delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
     delti=delti3[1][1];
     /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
     if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
       prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
       printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
       fclose (ficparo);
       fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
       exit(0);
     }
     else if(mle==-3) { /* Main Wizard */
       prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
       printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
       param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
       matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
     }
     else{
       /* Read guessed parameters */
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         j=0;
         for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
           if(jj==i) continue;
           j++;
           fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
           if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
             printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
   It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
   run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
             exit(1);
           }
           fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           if(mle==1)
             printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
             if(mle==1){
               printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
               fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
             }
             else
               fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
           }
           fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
           numlinepar++;
           if(mle==1)
             printf("\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
           fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
         }
       }  
       fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads scales values */
       p=param[1][1];
       
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
           fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
           if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
             printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
             exit(1);
           }
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
             printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
           }
           fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
           numlinepar++;
           printf("\n");
           fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
         }
       }
       fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads covariance matrix */
       delti=delti3[1][1];
   
   
       /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
     
       /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         numlinepar++;
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
     
       matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
         for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
         
       /* Scans npar lines */
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
         count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%1d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
         if(count != 3){
           printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
   This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
   This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
           exit(1);
         }else
         if(mle==1)
           printf("%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk);
         for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
           fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
           if(mle==1){
             printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
           }
           fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
           fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
         }
         fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
         numlinepar++;
         if(mle==1)
           printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
       }
       /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
         for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
           matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
       
       if(mle==1)
         printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       
       fflush(ficlog);
       
       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
       strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
       strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
       strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
       strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
       if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
       }
       fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
     }    /* End of mle != -3 */
   
     /*  Main data
      */
     n= lastobs;
     num=lvector(1,n);
     moisnais=vector(1,n);
     annais=vector(1,n);
     moisdc=vector(1,n);
     andc=vector(1,n);
     agedc=vector(1,n);
     cod=ivector(1,n);
     weight=vector(1,n);
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
     ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
     ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
   
     /* Reads data from file datafile */
     if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
       goto end;
   
     /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
       /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
           k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
           k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
           k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
           k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
       */
     Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
     /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
         For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
         Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
     */
     /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
       because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
       ncovcol + k1
       If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
       Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
     Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the position of a product */
     /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
        if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
     */
     Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
     Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
                               * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                               * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
     Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
                            4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                            Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                         */  
   
   /* Main decodemodel */
   
   
     if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1)
       goto end;
   
     if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
       nbwarn++;
       printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
     }
       /*  if(mle==1){*/
     if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
       for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
     }
   
       /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
   
     if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
       goto end;
   
   
     agegomp=(int)agemin;
     free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
     free_vector(annais,1,n);
     /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
        free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
     free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
     free_vector(andc,1,n);
     /* */
     
     wav=ivector(1,imx);
     dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
     bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
     mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
      
     /* Concatenates waves */
     concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
     /* */
    
     /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
   
     nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
     ncodemax[1]=1;
     Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
     if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ) /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
       tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
     /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality of jth covariate, in
        V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
     /* 1 to ncodemax[j] is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
   
     codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
     /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
     /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
     h=0;
   
   
     /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
         
    
     m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    
             /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
              * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to 2**k
              * codtabm(h,k)=  1 & (h-1) >> (k-1) ;
              *     h\k   1     2     3     4
              *______________________________  
              *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
              *     2     2     1     1     1
              *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
              *     4     2     2     1     1
              *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
              *     6     2     1     2     1
              *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
              *     8     2     2     2     1
              *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
              *    10     2     1     1     2
              *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
              *    12     2     2     1     2
              *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
              *    14     2     1     2     2
              *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
              *    16     2     2     2     2
              */
     for(h=1; h <=100 ;h++){ 
       /* printf("h=%2d ", h); */
        for(k=1; k <=10; k++){
          /* printf("k=%d %d ",k,codtabm(h,k)); */
          codtab[h][k]=codtabm(h,k);
        }
        /* printf("\n"); */
     }
     /* for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /\* scans any effective covariate *\/ */
     /*   for(i=1; i <=pow(2,cptcoveff-k);i++){ /\* i=1 to 8/1=8; i=1 to 8/2=4; i=1 to 8/8=1 *\/  */
     /*     for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){ /\* For each modality of this covariate ncodemax=2*\/ */
     /*    for(cpt=1; cpt <=pow(2,k-1); cpt++){  /\* cpt=1 to 8/2**(3+1-1 or 3+1-3) =1 or 4 *\/  */
     /*      h++; */
     /*      if (h>m)  */
     /*        h=1; */
     /*      codtab[h][k]=j; */
     /*      /\* codtab[12][3]=1; *\/ */
     /*      /\*codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;*\/ */
     /*      /\* printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d Tvar[k]=%d codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k],codtab[h][Tvar[k]]); *\/ */
     /*    }  */
     /*     } */
     /*   } */
     /* }  */
     /* printf("codtab[1][2]=%d codtab[2][2]=%d",codtab[1][2],codtab[2][2]); 
        codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */
     /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){  */
     /*    for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){ */
     /*      printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff); */
     /*    } */
     /*    printf("\n"); */
     /* } */
     /*   scanf("%d",i);*/
   
    free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
   
   
       
     /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
     strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
     if(mle==-3)
       strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-mort");
     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
   
     if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
     }
     else{
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); 
       fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
       //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
       fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
     }
     /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
   
   
     /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
   
     strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
     if(mle==-3)
       strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort");
     strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
     if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
       exit(0);
     }
   
     strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
     strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
     if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
     }
     else{
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
   <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
   Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n",\
             optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
     }
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
   <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
   Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n\
   \n\
   <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
    <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
    - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
    - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
    - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
    - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
    - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
             optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
             optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
             fileres,fileres,\
             filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
     fflush(fichtm);
   
     strcpy(pathr,path);
     strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
   #ifdef WIN32
     _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
   #else
     chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
   #endif
             
     
     /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */
     freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart);
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
   Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
   Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
             imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
     pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
       oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
       
      
     /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
        so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
     p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
   
     globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
     /* For mortality only */
     if (mle==-3){
       ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
       /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
       cens=ivector(1,n);
       ageexmed=vector(1,n);
       agecens=vector(1,n);
       dcwave=ivector(1,n);
    
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
         dcwave[i]=-1;
         for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
           if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
             dcwave[i]=m;
             /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
             break;
           }
       }
   
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
         if (wav[i]>0){
           ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
           j=wav[i];
           agecens[i]=1.; 
   
           if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
             agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
             cens[i]= 1;
           }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
             cens[i]= -1;
           if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
             cens[i]=0 ;
         }
         else cens[i]=-1;
       }
       
       for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
         for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
           ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
       }
       
       /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
       /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
       
       
   #ifdef GSL
       printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #else
       printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #endif
       strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort"); 
       strcat(filerespow,fileres);
       if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
       }
   #ifdef GSL
       fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
   #else
       fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
   #endif
       /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
           if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
       */
       fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
   #ifdef GSL
       /* gsl starts here */ 
       T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
       gsl_vector *ss, *x;
       gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
   
       /* Initial vertex size vector */
       ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (ss == NULL){
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
       /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
       gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
   
       /* Starting point */
       
       x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (x == NULL){
         gsl_vector_free(ss);
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
     
       /* Initialize method and iterate */
       /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
       /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
       /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
       gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
       gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
   
       minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
       minex_func.n = NDIM;
       minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
       
       sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
       
       printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
       printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
   
       iteri=0;
       while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
         iteri++;
         status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
         
         if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
         fflush(0);
         
         if (status) 
           break;
         
         rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
         ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
         
         if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
           printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
         
         printf("%5d ", iteri);
         for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
           printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
         }
         printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
       }
       
       printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
       
       gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
       gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
       for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
         p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
         fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
       }
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
   #endif
   #ifdef POWELL
        powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
   #endif  
       fclose(ficrespow);
       
       hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
   
       for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
         for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
           matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
       
       printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
       for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
         for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
           printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
         }
         printf("\n ");
       }
       
       printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
       for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
         printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
         fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
       }
       lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
       lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
       tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
       lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
         agemortsup=k;
         if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
       }
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
         lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
       
       for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
         lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
         sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
       }
       
       tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
       for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
         /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
         tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
       }
       
       
       printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
       for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
         printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
       
       
       replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
       if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
           printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
       }else
         printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
       printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
                        stepm, weightopt,\
                        model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
       
       free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
       free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
       free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
   #ifdef GSL
       free_ivector(cens,1,n);
       free_vector(agecens,1,n);
       free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
       free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
   #endif
     } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
     /* Standard maximisation */
     else{ /* For mle >=1 */
       globpr=0;/* debug */
       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters */
       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
       printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
       for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
         printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
       printf("\n");
       globpr=1; /* again, to print the contributions */
       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
       printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
       for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
         printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
       printf("\n");
       if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximisation */
         mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
       }
       
       /*--------- results files --------------*/
       fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
       
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
           if (k != i) {
             printf("%d%d ",i,k);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
             fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
             for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
               printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
               jk++; 
             }
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
           }
         }
       }
       if(mle!=0){
         /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
         ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
         hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
       }
       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
           if (k != i) {
             printf("%d%d ",i,k);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
             for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
               printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
               fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
               jk++; 
             }
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
           }
         }
       }
   
       fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           if (j!=i) {
             fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
             printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
             for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
               printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
               fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
               fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
               jk++;
             }
             printf("\n");
             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
           }
         }
       }
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       if(mle>=1)
         printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
       /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
       /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
       /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
       /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
       /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
       /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
       /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
       
       
       /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
          even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
       */
       for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
         jj=0;
         for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
           for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
             if(j==i) continue;
             for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
               jj++;
               ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
               if(itimes==1){
                 if(mle>=1)
                   printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               }else{
                 if(mle>=1)
                   printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                 fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
               }
               ll=0;
               for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                 for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   if(lj==li) continue;
                   for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                     ll++;
                     if(ll<=jj){
                       cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                       if(ll<jj){
                         if(itimes==1){
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                           fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                           fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                         }else{
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                         }
                       }else{
                         if(itimes==1){
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                           fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                           fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                         }else{
                           if(mle>=1)
                             printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                           fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                         }
                       }
                     }
                   } /* end lk */
                 } /* end lj */
               } /* end li */
               if(mle>=1)
                 printf("\n");
               fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
               fprintf(ficres,"\n");
               numlinepar++;
             } /* end k*/
           } /*end j */
         } /* end i */
       } /* end itimes */
       
       fflush(ficlog);
       fflush(ficres);
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       estepm=0;
       fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
       if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
       if (fage <= 2) {
         bage = ageminpar;
         fage = agemaxpar;
       }
       
       fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
       fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
       fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
   
       /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       
       dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
       dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
       
       while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
         fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);
       }
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
       fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
       /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
       
       
       
        /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
       /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
       
       replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
       if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
           printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
   This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
   Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
       }else
         printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
       
       printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
                    model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\
                    jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
         
      /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
      /*  chdir(path); */
    
       free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
       free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);   
       free_lvector(num,1,n);
       free_vector(agedc,1,n);
       /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
       /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
       fclose(ficparo);
       fclose(ficres);
   
   
       /* Other results (useful)*/
   
   
       /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
       /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
       prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
       prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar);
       fclose(ficrespl);
   
   #ifdef FREEEXIT2
   #include "freeexit2.h"
   #endif
   
       /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
       /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
       hPijx(p, bage, fage);
       fclose(ficrespij);
   
     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
       k=1;
       varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
   
   
       probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++)
           for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++)
             probs[i][j][k]=0.;
   
       /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
       /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
       if(prevfcast==1){
         /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
         prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
         /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/
         /*      }  */
         /*      else{ */
         /*        erreur=108; */
         /*        printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
         /*        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
         /*      } */
       }
    
       /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
   
       /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
   
       prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
       /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
           ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
       */
   
       if (mobilav!=0) {
         mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
         if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
           fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
           printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         }
       }
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
   
       strcpy(filerese,"e");
       strcat(filerese,fileres);
       if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           }
           fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
   
           eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart);  
         
           free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
       fclose(ficreseij);
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
   
   
       strcpy(filerest,"t");
       strcat(filerest,fileres);
       if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
       }
       printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
   
   
       strcpy(fileresstde,"stde");
       strcat(fileresstde,fileres);
       if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
   
       strcpy(filerescve,"cve");
       strcat(filerescve,fileres);
       if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
   
       strcpy(fileresv,"v");
       strcat(fileresv,fileres);
       if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
   
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
           fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
             fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           }
           fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
           fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
   
           fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
   
           eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart);  
           /*
            */
           /* goto endfree; */
    
           vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           pstamp(ficrest);
   
   
           for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
             oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
             cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
             varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
             fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
             if(vpopbased==1)
               fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
             else
               fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
             fprintf(ficrest,"# Age e.. (std) ");
             for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
             fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
             /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
             epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
             for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
               prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
               if (vpopbased==1) {
                 if(mobilav ==0){
                   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                 }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                 }
               }
           
               fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
               /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
               for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                 for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                 }
                 epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
               }
               /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
   
               for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                 for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
               fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
               for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                 fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
               fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
             }
           }
           free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
           free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
           free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
         /*}*/
       }
       free_vector(weight,1,n);
       free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
       free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
       free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
       free_ivector(cod,1,n);
       free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
       fclose(ficresstdeij);
       fclose(ficrescveij);
       fclose(ficresvij);
       fclose(ficrest);
       fclose(ficpar);
     
       /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
   
       strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
       strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
       if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
         exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
   
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
             fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
         
           varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k,strstart);
           free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
   
       fclose(ficresvpl);
   
       /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
       if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
    /* endfree:*/
       free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
       free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
       free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
       /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
       free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
       free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
       free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   
       free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
       free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
   
       free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
       free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10);
     fflush(fichtm);
     fflush(ficgp);
     
   
     if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
       printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn);
       fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn);
     }else{
       printf("End of Imach\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
     }
     printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
     /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
     /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
     rend_time = time(NULL);  
     end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
     /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
     strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
     printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
     fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
     printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
   
     printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
     /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
   /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
     fclose(fichtm);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
     fclose(fichtmcov);
     fclose(ficgp);
     fclose(ficlog);
     /*------ End -----------*/
   
   
      printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
   #ifdef WIN32
      if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
              printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
      if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
   #else
      if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
              printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
      if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
   #endif 
       printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
     /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
     sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
   #ifdef _WIN32
     sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
   #endif
     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
         printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       }else
         strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
   #ifdef __unix
       strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
       if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
         printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
       }else
         strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
   #endif
     }else
       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
     
     sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
     printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
   
     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
       printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
       printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
       sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
       if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
         printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
     }
     printf(" Successful, please wait...");
     while (z[0] != 'q') {
       /* chdir(path); */
       printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
       scanf("%s",z);
   /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
       if (z[0] == 'e') {
   #ifdef __APPLE__
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
   #elif __linux
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
   #else
         sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
   #endif
         printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
         system(pplotcmd);
       }
       else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
       else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
     }
     end:
     while (z[0] != 'q') {
       printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
       scanf("%s",z);
     }
   }

Removed from v.1.41.2.2  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.199


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