Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.27 and 1.41

version 1.27, 2002/02/28 17:49:07 version 1.41, 2002/05/07 15:53:01
Line 14 Line 14
   model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the    model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the
   Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The    Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The
   simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the    simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the
   probabibility to be observed in state j at the second wave    probability to be observed in state j at the second wave
   conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore    conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore
   the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where    the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where
   'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more    'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more
Line 56 Line 56
 #include <unistd.h>  #include <unistd.h>
   
 #define MAXLINE 256  #define MAXLINE 256
 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "wgnuplot"
   /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
 #define FILENAMELENGTH 80  #define FILENAMELENGTH 80
 /*#define DEBUG*/  /*#define DEBUG*/
 #define windows  #define windows
Line 82  int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cp Line 83  int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cp
 int npar=NPARMAX;  int npar=NPARMAX;
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
 int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */  int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
 int ncovmodel, ncov;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */  int ncovmodel, ncovcol;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
 int popbased=0;  int popbased=0;
   
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */  int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
Line 135  int imx; Line 136  int imx;
 int stepm;  int stepm;
 /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/  /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
   
   int estepm;
   /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
   
 int m,nb;  int m,nb;
 int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;  int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;
 double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;  double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
Line 686  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 690  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
     
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
         cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];          cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
         /*printf("ij=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf\n",ij, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k]);*/          /*      printf("ij=%d k=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",ij,k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k], codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]);*/
       }        }
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];          cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
   
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/        /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/        /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
         /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);      out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
   
     savm=oldm;      savm=oldm;
Line 1178  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx Line 1181  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx
 /************ Frequencies ********************/  /************ Frequencies ********************/
 void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)
 {  /* Some frequencies */  {  /* Some frequencies */
     
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *pp;    double *pp;
   double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;    double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
   FILE *ficresp;    FILE *ficresp;
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
    
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);    pp=vector(1,nlstate);
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   strcpy(fileresp,"p");    strcpy(fileresp,"p");
Line 1196  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag Line 1199  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
   }    }
   freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);    freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
   j1=0;    j1=0;
    
   j=cptcoveff;    j=cptcoveff;
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
    
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){      for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
        j1++;        j1++;
        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
          scanf("%d", i);*/          scanf("%d", i);*/
         for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)          for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
          for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)            for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
              freq[i][jk][m]=0;              freq[i][jk][m]=0;
        
         dateintsum=0;        dateintsum=0;
         k2cpt=0;        k2cpt=0;
        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
          bool=1;          bool=1;
          if  (cptcovn>0) {          if  (cptcovn>0) {
            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)
              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])
                bool=0;                bool=0;
          }          }
          if (bool==1) {          if (bool==1) {
            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];                if (m<lastpass) {
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];
                  dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;                }
                  k2cpt++;               
                }                if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {
                   dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
              }                  k2cpt++;
            }                }
          }              }
        }            }
           }
         }
                 
        fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);        fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
   
         if  (cptcovn>0) {        if  (cptcovn>0) {
          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");
          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");          fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
         }        }
        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
          fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);          fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
               
   for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){        for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
     if(i==(int)agemax+3)          if(i==(int)agemax+3)
       printf("Total");            printf("Total");
     else          else
       printf("Age %d", i);            printf("Age %d", i);
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
       for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)            for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
     }          }
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
       for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)            for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
         pos += freq[jk][m][i];              pos += freq[jk][m][i];
       if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)            if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
       else            else
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
     }          }
   
      for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
       for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
      }          }
   
     for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)
       pos += pp[jk];            pos += pp[jk];
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
       if(pos>=1.e-5)            if(pos>=1.e-5)
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
       else            else
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
       if( i <= (int) agemax){            if( i <= (int) agemax){
         if(pos>=1.e-5){              if(pos>=1.e-5){
           fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);                fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);
           probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;                probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
           /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/                /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
               }
               else
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);
             }
         }          }
       else         
           fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);          for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
             for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
               if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
           if(i <= (int) agemax)
             fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
           printf("\n");
       }        }
     }      }
     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    }
       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)  
         if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);  
     if(i <= (int) agemax)  
       fprintf(ficresp,"\n");  
     printf("\n");  
     }  
     }  
  }  
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;    dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;
     
   fclose(ficresp);    fclose(ficresp);
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);    free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);    free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
    
   /* End of Freq */    /* End of Freq */
 }  }
   
 /************ Prevalence ********************/  /************ Prevalence ********************/
 void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)
 {  /* Some frequencies */  {  /* Some frequencies */
     
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
Line 1332  void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, Line 1338  void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax,
         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)            for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;              freq[i][jk][m]=0;
             
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
         bool=1;          bool=1;
         if  (cptcovn>0) {          if  (cptcovn>0) {
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)
             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])
               bool=0;                bool=0;
         }          }
         if (bool==1) {          if (bool==1) {
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];                if (m<lastpass)
               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i];                    if (calagedate>0) freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];
                 else
                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i];
             }              }
           }            }
         }          }
       }        }
        
         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){          for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){            for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)              for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
Line 1381  void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, Line 1389  void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax,
         }          }
     }      }
   }    }
    
     
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);    free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);    free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
Line 1444  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1452  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;            if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
           if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;            if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;
           sum=sum+j;            sum=sum+j;
           /* if (j<10) printf("j=%d num=%d ",j,i); */            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */
           }            }
         }          }
         else{          else{
Line 1452  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1460  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
           k=k+1;            k=k+1;
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;            if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
           else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;            else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;
           /*   if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */            /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
           sum=sum+j;            sum=sum+j;
         }          }
         jk= j/stepm;          jk= j/stepm;
Line 1498  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in Line 1506  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in
       for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {        for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {
         if (Ndum[k] != 0) {          if (Ndum[k] != 0) {
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;            nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;
            
           ij++;            ij++;
         }          }
         if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;          if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;
Line 1514  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in Line 1523  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in
   
  ij=1;   ij=1;
  for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {   for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {
    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncov)){     if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){
      Tvaraff[ij]=i;       Tvaraff[ij]=i;
      ij++;       ij++;
    }     }
Line 1525  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in Line 1534  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in
   
 /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/  /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
   
 void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij)  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov )
   
 {  {
   /* Health expectancies */    /* Health expectancies */
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj;
   double age, agelim,hf;    double age, agelim, hf;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat,***varhe;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp;
     double **gp, **gm;
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
     int theta;
   
     varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage);
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
     
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");    fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d",i,j);        fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");    fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
   
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /*  Every j years of age (in month) */    if(estepm < stepm){
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;  
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear
      * progression inbetween and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */
   
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */      /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);
     /* Typically if 20 years = 20*12/6=40 stepm */      /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;      /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically 40/4=10 */      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
       gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
       gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
   
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored      /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */         in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);  
    
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   
       /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */
   
        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
    
         cptj=0;
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
             cptj=cptj+1;
             for(h=0, gp[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gp[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
        
        
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
        
         cptj=0;
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
             cptj=cptj+1;
             for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
        
      
   
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++)
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
           }
   
        }
      
   /* End theta */
   
        trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
   
        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
   
   
        for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
           varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
       for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]);
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
             for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
               varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
   
        
       /* Computing expectancies */
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){          for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
           eij[i][j][(int)age] +=p3mat[i][j][h];            eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
            
   /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
         }          }
      
     hf=1;      fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;      cptj=0;
     fprintf(ficreseij,"%.0f",age );  
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficreseij," %.4f", hf*eij[i][j][(int)age]);          cptj++;
           fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[cptj][cptj][(int)age]) );
       }        }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");      fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
      
       free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
       free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   }    }
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
     free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage);
 }  }
   
 /************ Variance ******************/  /************ Variance ******************/
 void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm)
 {  {
   /* Variance of health expectancies */    /* Variance of health expectancies */
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
   double **newm;    double **newm;
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
   int k, cptcode;    int k, cptcode;
   double *xp;    double *xp;
   double **gp, **gm;    double **gp, **gm;
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;    double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   double age,agelim;    double age,agelim, hf;
   int theta;    int theta;
   
    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");
Line 1600  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 1732  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    if(estepm < stepm){
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;  
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like k years */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */
   agelim = AGESUP;    agelim = AGESUP;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */  
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
Line 1661  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 1807  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)          for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];            trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;          vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);          matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)          for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)            for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j];              vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
       }        }
     }      }
     h=1;  
     if (stepm >= YEARM) h=stepm/YEARM;  
     fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", h*vareij[i][j][(int)age]);          fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
       }        }
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
Line 1778  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * Line 1925  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double *
 }  }
   
 /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/  /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
 void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij)  void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax)
 {  {
   int i, j;    int i, j, i1, k1, j1, z1;
   int k=0, cptcode;    int k=0, cptcode;
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   double *xp;    double *xp;
Line 1795  void varprob(char fileres[], double **ma Line 1942  void varprob(char fileres[], double **ma
   if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
   }    }
   printf("Computing variance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     
   fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and standard deviation in parentheses\n");
     fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
         fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
   
   
     fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
   
   
   xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     
   cov[1]=1;    cov[1]=1;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){    j=cptcoveff;
     cov[2]=age;    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);    j1=0;
     trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);    for(k1=1; k1<=1;k1++){
     gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
     gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      j1++;
   
       if  (cptcovn>0) {
         fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable ");
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#");
       }
         
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){        for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)          cov[2]=age;
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                  cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[j1][Tvar[k]]];
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);           
      
       k=0;  
       for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){  
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){  
            k=k+1;  
           gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];  
         }          }
       }          for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)            cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);         
           gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);
           trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);
           gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
           gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
      
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
            
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
            
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
            
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);            k=0;
       k=0;            for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){
       for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){              for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){                k=k+1;
           k=k+1;                gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
           gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];              }
         }            }
       }  
             
        for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)            for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)
            gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];                gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];  
     }          }
   
      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)  
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)  
       trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];  
    
      matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);  
      matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);  
   
      pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);  
   
      k=0;          for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
      for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){            for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){              trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
          k=k+1;         
          gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);
          
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
          
           k=0;
           for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
               k=k+1;
               gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
             }
         }          }
      }  
             
      /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);       /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
      for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){       for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){
          
   
        printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
      }*/       }*/
   
   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);          fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
   
   for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){  
     if (i== 2) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);  
 if (i== 4) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);  
   }  
   
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++)
             fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e (%.3e) ",gm[i],sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
    
         }
       }
     free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
 }    }
  free_vector(xp,1,npar);    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
 fclose(ficresprob);    fclose(ficresprob);
    
 }  }
   
 /******************* Printing html file ***********/  /******************* Printing html file ***********/
 void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char optionfile[],char optionfilehtm[] ){  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
    int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
    int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char optionfile[], \
    char optionfilehtm[],char rfileres[], char optionfilegnuplot[],\
    char version[], int popforecast, int estepm ){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;    int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
   FILE *fichtm;    FILE *fichtm;
   /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/    /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
Line 1894  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t Line 2072  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);      printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
   }    }
   
  fprintf(fichtm,"<body><ul> <font size=\"6\">Imach, Version 0.7 </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">   fprintf(fichtm,"<body> <font size=\"2\">%s </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n
 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n
   \n
 Total number of observations=%d <br>  Total number of observations=%d <br>\n
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>  Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n
 <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">  <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">
 <li>Outputs files<br><br>\n   <ul><li>Outputs files<br>\n
         - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n   - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n
 - Estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>   - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n
         - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>   - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n
         - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>   - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>\n
         - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>   - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>\n
         - Life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>   - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>\n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres);
         - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>  
         - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>   fprintf(fichtm,"\n
         - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>   - Parameter file with estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n
         - Prevalences and population forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>    - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"prob%s\">prob%s</a> <br>\n
         <br>",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);   - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>\n
     - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>\n
    - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>\n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
   
    if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n
    - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n
           <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
    else
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model);
 fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");  fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");
   
  m=cptcoveff;   m=cptcoveff;
Line 1953  fclose(fichtm); Line 2139  fclose(fichtm);
 }  }
   
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/  /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
 void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double agemin, double agemax, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){  void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;    int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;
   
   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);    strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".plt");    strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp.txt");
   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);      printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
   }    }
Line 1973  m=pow(2,cptcoveff); Line 2159  m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
   
 #ifdef windows  #ifdef windows
     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);      fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
 #endif  #endif
 #ifdef unix  #ifdef unix
 fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres);  fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres);
 #endif  #endif
   
 for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {  for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
Line 2003  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2189  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
   /*2 eme*/    /*2 eme*/
   
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,fage);      fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
         
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {      for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
       k=2*i;        k=2*i;
Line 2035  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2221  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
   
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=2+nlstate*(cpt-1);        k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
         /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
    for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
   fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
    for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
   
   */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
         fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);
   
       }        }
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
     }      }
Line 2048  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2243  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=3;        k=3;
       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",agemin,agemax,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
   
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);
Line 2080  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2275  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
     }      }
   
     for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {      for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,agemax);    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
    i=1;     i=1;
    for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {     for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
      k3=i;       k3=i;
Line 2125  ij=1; Line 2320  ij=1;
   
   
 /*************** Moving average **************/  /*************** Moving average **************/
 void movingaverage(double agedeb, double fage,double agemin, double ***mobaverage){  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double fage,double ageminpar, double ***mobaverage){
   
   int i, cpt, cptcod;    int i, cpt, cptcod;
     for (agedeb=agemin; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++)      for (agedeb=ageminpar; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++)
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)          for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;            mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;
         
     for (agedeb=agemin+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){      for (agedeb=ageminpar+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){          for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
           for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){            for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){
Line 2148  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double Line 2343  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double
   
   
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double agemin, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){
     
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;    int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
Line 2159  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 2354  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
   
  agelim=AGESUP;   agelim=AGESUP;
 calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
    
   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);  
   
     prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
    
     
   strcpy(fileresf,"f");    strcpy(fileresf,"f");
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);    strcat(fileresf,fileres);
Line 2174  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2369  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
   
   if (mobilav==1) {    if (mobilav==1) {
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage);      movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);
   }    }
   
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
Line 2210  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2405  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) {        for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) {
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");          fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);            fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);  
          
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2221  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2416  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
                 
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }              }
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;                kk1=0.;kk2=0;
Line 2250  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2445  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
   fclose(ficresf);    fclose(ficresf);
 }  }
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 populforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double agemin, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){  populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){
     
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;    int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
Line 2259  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 2454  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;    double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;
   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH];    char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
 tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
 tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
  agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
 calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;    calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
    
     prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
    
     
   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);  
   
    
   strcpy(filerespop,"pop");    strcpy(filerespop,"pop");
   strcat(filerespop,fileres);    strcat(filerespop,fileres);
   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 2278  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2473  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
   
   if (mobilav==1) {    if (mobilav==1) {
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage);      movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);
   }    }
   
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
Line 2312  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2507  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
         fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       }        }
       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n");        fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n");
       fprintf(ficrespop,"# StartingAge FinalAge");        fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age");
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j);        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j);
       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]");        if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]");
             
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {        for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);            fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);  
                 
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2329  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2524  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
                 
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }              }
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;                kk1=0.;kk2=0;
Line 2349  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2544  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
               kk1=0.;                kk1=0.;
                 for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){                  for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   kk1= kk1+Tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];                    kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];
                 }                  }
                   tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];                    tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
             }              }
   
 if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);              if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                 fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);
           }            }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
         }          }
Line 2362  if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1 Line 2558  if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1
     
   /******/    /******/
   
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=4;cpt++) {        for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);            fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);  
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2373  if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1 Line 2569  if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);              hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }              }
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;                kk1=0.;kk2=0;
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                 kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];                      kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    
               }                }
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);                  if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);
             }              }
           }            }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
Line 2410  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2606  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;    int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;    double agedeb, agefin,hf;
   double agemin=1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;    double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;
   
   double fret;    double fret;
   double **xi,tmp,delta;    double **xi,tmp,delta;
Line 2423  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2619  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];    char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];    char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
     
   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];    char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 2437  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2633  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;    int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;    int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
   int hstepm, nhstepm;    int hstepm, nhstepm;
   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2;    double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate;
   
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;    double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;    double ftolpl=FTOL;
Line 2455  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2651  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;    double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;
     
   
   char version[80]="Imach version 0.7, February 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";    char version[80]="Imach version 0.8a, May 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];    char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];
   
   
Line 2468  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2664  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   struct timeval start_time, end_time;    struct timeval start_time, end_time;
     
   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */    gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
     getcwd(pathcd, size);
   
   printf("\n%s",version);    printf("\n%s",version);
   if(argc <=1){    if(argc <=1){
Line 2516  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 2712  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   }    }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncov, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);    fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);
   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncov,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
 while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
Line 2623  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2819  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
   printf("\n");    printf("\n");
   
   
     /*-------- data file ----------*/      /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/
     if((ficres =fopen(fileres,"w"))==NULL) {       strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileres);goto end;       strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
        strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
        strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
       if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
     }      }
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);      fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
         
       /*-------- data file ----------*/
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {      if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;        printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
     }      }
Line 2670  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2871  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
   
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
         for (j=ncov;j>=1;j--){          for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);            cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
         }          }
         num[i]=atol(stra);          num[i]=atol(stra);
Line 2689  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2890  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;      if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;
     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;      if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;
     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;      if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;
     }      }*/
      /*  for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)       if (s[4][i]==9)  s[4][i]=-1;
     if (covar[1][i]==0) printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));*/       printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/
    
    
   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/    /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/
   Tvar=ivector(1,15);    Tvar=ivector(1,15);
   Tprod=ivector(1,15);    Tprod=ivector(1,15);
Line 2708  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2910  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     cptcovn=j+1;      cptcovn=j+1;
     cptcovprod=j1;      cptcovprod=j1;
         
      
     strcpy(modelsav,model);      strcpy(modelsav,model);
     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){      if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){
       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);        printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);
Line 2739  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2940  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         }          }
         else {          else {
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');            cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');
           Tvar[i]=ncov+k1;            Tvar[i]=ncovcol+k1;
           cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V');            cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V');
           Tprod[k1]=i;            Tprod[k1]=i;
           Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);            Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);
Line 2747  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2948  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];            Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];            Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
           for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)            for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)
             covar[ncov+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];              covar[ncovcol+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];
           k1++;            k1++;
           k2=k2+2;            k2=k2+2;
         }          }
Line 2764  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2965  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     }      }
 }  }
     
   /*printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);    /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);    printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
   scanf("%d ",i);*/    scanf("%d ",i);*/
     fclose(fic);      fclose(fic);
Line 2776  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 2977  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/      /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);      agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
   
    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
      for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++)        for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
        if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){         if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
          anint[m][i]=9999;           anint[m][i]=9999;
          s[m][i]=-1;           s[m][i]=-1;
        }         }
           if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1;
         }
       }
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);        agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){        for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
         if(s[m][i] >0){          if(s[m][i] >0){
           if (s[m][i] == nlstate+1) {            if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
             if(agedc[i]>0)              if(agedc[i]>0)
               if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)                if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)
               agev[m][i]=agedc[i];                  agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
             else {              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
              else {
               if (andc[i]!=9999){                if (andc[i]!=9999){
               printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);                printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
               agev[m][i]=-1;                agev[m][i]=-1;
Line 2866  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3071  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){         for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){
          for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){           for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){
            h++;             h++;
            if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;             if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;
              /*  printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d tvar[k]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k]);*/
          }           }
        }         }
      }       }
    }     }
      /* printf("codtab[1][2]=%d codtab[2][2]=%d",codtab[1][2],codtab[2][2]);
         codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */
    /*for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){     /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){
      for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){        for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){
        printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);        printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);
      }        }
      printf("\n");        printf("\n");
    }        }
    scanf("%d",i);*/        scanf("%d",i);*/
         
    /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age     /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */         and prints on file fileres'p'. */
Line 2901  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3107  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
     }      }
         
     /*--------- results files --------------*/      /*--------- results files --------------*/
     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle,weightopt,model);      fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
     
   
    jk=1;     jk=1;
    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters\n");     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
    printf("# Parameters\n");     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
        if (k != i)         if (k != i)
Line 2928  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3134  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */      ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);      hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
  }   }
     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales\n");      fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     printf("# Scales\n");      printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
      for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
         if (j!=i) {          if (j!=i) {
Line 2947  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3153  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
      }       }
         
     k=1;      k=1;
     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance\n");      fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
     printf("# Covariance\n");      printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){      for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){
       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;        /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;
       i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;        i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;
Line 2972  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3178  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
        estepm=0;
     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);      fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
          if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
     if (fage <= 2) {      if (fage <= 2) {
       bage = agemin;        bage = ageminpar;
       fage = agemax;        fage = agemaxpar;
     }      }
         
     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");      fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);      fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);      fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
     
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 3009  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3215  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
    dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;     dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;
   
   fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);    fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
    fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);      fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);  
    fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);      fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);  
    
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
Line 3019  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3225  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
     fputs(line,ficparo);      fputs(line,ficparo);
   }    }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilav);  
 fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);    fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilav);
 fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);  fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);
   fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav);
   
   
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       puts(line);
       fputs(line,ficparo);
     }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
     fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1);
     fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
     fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
   
  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);   freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
   
 /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
  printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, agemin,agemax,fage, pathc,p);   printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
     
 /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/  /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
  chdir(path);   chdir(path);
Line 3039  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% Line 3259  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%
  /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/   /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
  fclose(ficparo);   fclose(ficparo);
  fclose(ficres);   fclose(ficres);
    
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */  
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  
     ungetc(c,ficpar);  
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);  
     puts(line);  
     fputs(line,ficparo);  
   }  
   ungetc(c,ficpar);  
    
   fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);  
   printf("agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax, bage, fage);  
   fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);  
 /*--------- index.htm --------*/  /*--------- index.htm --------*/
   
   printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,optionfile,optionfilehtm);    printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,optionfile,optionfilehtm,rfileres,optionfilegnuplot,version,popforecast,estepm);
   
     
   /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/    /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/
Line 3077  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% Line 3285  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%
   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */    oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
   k=0;    k=0;
   agebase=agemin;    agebase=ageminpar;
   agelim=agemax;    agelim=agemaxpar;
   ftolpl=1.e-10;    ftolpl=1.e-10;
   i1=cptcoveff;    i1=cptcoveff;
   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
Line 3138  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% Line 3346  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);                fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );              fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)                for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);                  fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");              fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           }               }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
         }          }
     }      }
   }    }
   
   /* varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k);*/    varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
   
   fclose(ficrespij);    fclose(ficrespij);
   
   
   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/    /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
   if(stepm == 1) {    if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){
     prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);      prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);
 populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);      if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);
     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);    }
     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);  
     free_vector(weight,1,n);}  
   else{    else{
     erreur=108;      erreur=108;
     printf("Error %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d\n", erreur, stepm);      printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
   }    }
     
   
Line 3192  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3398  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);      printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
   }    }
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
     calagedate=-1;
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
   
   k=0;    k=0;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
Line 3204  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3412  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
   
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");        fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
         fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");        fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
   
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");        fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
         fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");        fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
   
       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);        eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k);          evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);  
    
       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);        vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
        varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);         varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm);
         
   
     
Line 3225  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3434  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
   
       hf=1;  
       if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;  
       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);        epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
Line 3235  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3442  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];              prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
         }          }
                 
         fprintf(ficrest," %.0f",age);          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
         for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
           for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
             epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*hf*eij[i][j][(int)age];              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
               /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
           }            }
           epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
         }          }
   
         for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
             vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
         fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[nlstate+1],hf*sqrt(vepp));          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
         for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
           fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[j],hf*sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
         }          }
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
       }        }
     }      }
   }    }
   free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
       free_vector(weight,1,n);
   fclose(ficreseij);    fclose(ficreseij);
   fclose(ficresvij);    fclose(ficresvij);
   fclose(ficrest);    fclose(ficrest);
Line 3305  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3516  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   
   if(erreur >0)    if(erreur >0)
     printf("End of Imach with error %d\n",erreur);      printf("End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);
   else   printf("End of Imach\n");    else   printf("End of Imach\n");
   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */    /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
     
Line 3329  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp Line 3540  populforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jp
   
 #ifdef windows  #ifdef windows
   while (z[0] != 'q') {    while (z[0] != 'q') {
     chdir(path);      /* chdir(path); */
     printf("\nType e to edit output files, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");      printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");
     scanf("%s",z);      scanf("%s",z);
     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");      if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");
     else if (z[0] == 'e') {      else if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm);
       chdir(path);      else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
       system(optionfilehtm);  
     }  
     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);      else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
   }    }
 #endif  #endif

Removed from v.1.27  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.41


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