--- imach/src/imach.c 2002/11/18 23:01:13 1.59 +++ imach/src/imach.c 2006/03/20 10:52:43 1.123 @@ -1,4 +1,224 @@ -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.59 2002/11/18 23:01:13 brouard Exp $ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.123 2006/03/20 10:52:43 brouard Exp $ + $State: Exp $ + $Log: imach.c,v $ + Revision 1.123 2006/03/20 10:52:43 brouard + * imach.c (Module): changed, corresponds to .htm file + name. <head> headers where missing. + + * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for + English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment, + otherwise the weight is truncated). + Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or + 1. + Version 0.98g + + Revision 1.122 2006/03/20 09:45:41 brouard + (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for + English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment, + otherwise the weight is truncated). + Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or + 1. + Version 0.98g + + Revision 1.121 2006/03/16 17:45:01 lievre + * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added + + * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if + status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is + not 1 month. Version 0.98f + + Revision 1.120 2006/03/16 15:10:38 lievre + (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if + status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is + not 1 month. Version 0.98f + + Revision 1.119 2006/03/15 17:42:26 brouard + (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was + computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e + + Revision 1.118 2006/03/14 18:20:07 brouard + (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second + table of variances if popbased=1 . + (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link. + (Module): Function pstamp added + (Module): Version 0.98d + + Revision 1.117 2006/03/14 17:16:22 brouard + (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second + table of variances if popbased=1 . + (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link. + (Module): Function pstamp added + (Module): Version 0.98d + + Revision 1.116 2006/03/06 10:29:27 brouard + (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and + varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito). + + Revision 1.115 2006/02/27 12:17:45 brouard + (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c + + Revision 1.114 2006/02/26 12:57:58 brouard + (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter + filename with strsep. + + Revision 1.113 2006/02/24 14:20:24 brouard + (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and: + datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix + allocation too. + + Revision 1.112 2006/01/30 09:55:26 brouard + (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe + + Revision 1.111 2006/01/25 20:38:18 brouard + (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz) + (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values + can be a simple dot '.'. + + Revision 1.110 2006/01/25 00:51:50 brouard + (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz) + + Revision 1.109 2006/01/24 19:37:15 brouard + (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data. + + Revision 1.108 2006/01/19 18:05:42 lievre + Gnuplot problem appeared... + To be fixed + + Revision 1.107 2006/01/19 16:20:37 brouard + Test existence of gnuplot in imach path + + Revision 1.106 2006/01/19 13:24:36 brouard + Some cleaning and links added in html output + + Revision 1.105 2006/01/05 20:23:19 lievre + *** empty log message *** + + Revision 1.104 2005/09/30 16:11:43 lievre + (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications. + (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know + that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2 + (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her + contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last + health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in + the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98 + + Revision 1.103 2005/09/30 15:54:49 lievre + (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications. + + Revision 1.102 2004/09/15 17:31:30 brouard + Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters. + + Revision 1.101 2004/09/15 10:38:38 brouard + Fix on curr_time + + Revision 1.100 2004/07/12 18:29:06 brouard + Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile + + Revision 1.99 2004/06/05 08:57:40 brouard + *** empty log message *** + + Revision 1.98 2004/05/16 15:05:56 brouard + New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality + directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health + state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age . + This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any + other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the + cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated + from other sources like vital statistic data. + + The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3. + + Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the + former routines in order to include the new code within the former code. + + The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of + the slope with 95% confident intervals. + + Current limitations: + A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the + model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates. + B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table. + + Revision 1.97 2004/02/20 13:25:42 lievre + Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily) + suppressed. + + Revision 1.96 2003/07/15 15:38:55 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is + rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs. + + Revision 1.95 2003/07/08 07:54:34 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): + (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance + matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers. + + Revision 1.94 2003/06/27 13:00:02 brouard + Just cleaning + + Revision 1.93 2003/06/25 16:33:55 brouard + (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't + exist so I changed back to asctime which exists. + (Module): Version 0.96b + + Revision 1.92 2003/06/25 16:30:45 brouard + (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't + exist so I changed back to asctime which exists. + + Revision 1.91 2003/06/25 15:30:29 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected. + (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It + helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time + is stamped in powell. We created a new html file for the graphs + concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm. + + Revision 1.90 2003/06/24 12:34:15 brouard + (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when + mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design + of the covariance matrix to be input. + + Revision 1.89 2003/06/24 12:30:52 brouard + (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when + mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design + of the covariance matrix to be input. + + Revision 1.88 2003/06/23 17:54:56 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things. + + Revision 1.87 2003/06/18 12:26:01 brouard + Version 0.96 + + Revision 1.86 2003/06/17 20:04:08 brouard + (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added + routine fileappend. + + Revision 1.85 2003/06/17 13:12:43 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that + current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just + prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood + was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by + assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the + interview. + (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column) + we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for + memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left + truncation) + (Repository): No more line truncation errors. + + Revision 1.84 2003/06/13 21:44:43 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct + place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called + many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with + parcimony. + Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2) + + Revision 1.83 2003/06/10 13:39:11 lievre + *** empty log message *** + + Revision 1.82 2003/06/05 15:57:20 brouard + Add log in imach.c and fullversion number is now printed. + +*/ +/* Interpolated Markov Chain Short summary of the programme: @@ -32,14 +252,14 @@ hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate - states. This elementary transition (by month or quarter trimester, - semester or year) is model as a multinomial logistic. The hPx + states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter, + semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic. The hPx matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply hPijx. Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also - of the life expectancies. It also computes the stable prevalence. + of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr). Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris. @@ -48,19 +268,70 @@ It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach . + + Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach + or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so + **********************************************************************/ +/* + main + read parameterfile + read datafile + concatwav + freqsummary + if (mle >= 1) + mlikeli + print results files + if mle==1 + computes hessian + read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm + begin-prev-date,... + open gnuplot file + open html file + period (stable) prevalence + for age prevalim() + h Pij x + variance of p varprob + forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence() + health expectancies + Variance-covariance of DFLE + prevalence() + movingaverage() + varevsij() + if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased) + total life expectancies + Variance of period (stable) prevalence + end +*/ + + + #include <math.h> #include <stdio.h> #include <stdlib.h> +#include <string.h> #include <unistd.h> +#include <limits.h> +#include <sys/types.h> +#include <sys/stat.h> +#include <errno.h> +extern int errno; + +/* #include <sys/time.h> */ +#include <time.h> +#include "timeval.h" + +/* #include <libintl.h> */ +/* #define _(String) gettext (String) */ + #define MAXLINE 256 + #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot" /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/ -#define FILENAMELENGTH 80 -/*#define DEBUG*/ -#define windows +#define FILENAMELENGTH 132 + #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH -1 /* empty path */ #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD -2 /* cannot get cwd */ @@ -75,16 +346,25 @@ #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */ #define AGESUP 130 #define AGEBASE 40 -#ifdef windows -#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\' -#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/' -#else +#define AGEGOMP 10. /* Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */ +#ifdef UNIX #define DIRSEPARATOR '/' +#define CHARSEPARATOR "/" #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\' +#else +#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\' +#define CHARSEPARATOR "\\" +#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/' #endif -char version[80]="Imach version 0.9, November 2002, INED-EUROREVES "; -int erreur; /* Error number */ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.123 2006/03/20 10:52:43 brouard Exp $ */ +/* $State: Exp $ */ + +char version[]="Imach version 0.98g, March 2006, INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite "; +char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.123 $ $Date: 2006/03/20 10:52:43 $"; +char strstart[80]; +char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH]; +int erreur, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings */ int nvar; int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov; int npar=NPARMAX; @@ -96,6 +376,9 @@ int popbased=0; int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */ int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */ int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */ +int ijmin, ijmax; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ +int gipmx, gsw; /* Global variables on the number of contributions + to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/ int mle, weightopt; int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */ int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */ @@ -104,28 +387,55 @@ int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */ double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */ double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */ -FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop; -FILE *ficlog; +FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop; +FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow; +int globpr; /* Global variable for printing or not */ +double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ +long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */ +double sw; /* Sum of weights */ +char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */ +FILE *ficresilk; FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor; FILE *ficresprobmorprev; -FILE *fichtm; /* Html File */ +FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */ FILE *ficreseij; char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH]; +FILE *ficresstdeij; +char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH]; +FILE *ficrescveij; +char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH]; FILE *ficresvij; char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH]; FILE *ficresvpl; char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH]; char title[MAXLINE]; char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH]; -char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH], tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char command[FILENAMELENGTH]; +int outcmd=0; char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH]; + char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */ char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH]; char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH]; char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH]; -char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ; + +struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; +struct timezone tzp; +extern int gettimeofday(); +struct tm tmg, tm, tmf, *gmtime(), *localtime(); +long time_value; +extern long time(); +char strcurr[80], strfor[80]; + +char *endptr; +long lval; +double dval; #define NR_END 1 #define FREE_ARG char* @@ -154,24 +464,28 @@ static double maxarg1,maxarg2; static double sqrarg; #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg) #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} +int agegomp= AGEGOMP; int imx; -int stepm; +int stepm=1; /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/ int estepm; /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/ int m,nb; -int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage; +long *num; +int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage,*cens; double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint; double **pmmij, ***probs; +double *ageexmed,*agecens; double dateintmean=0; double *weight; int **s; /* Status */ double *agedc, **covar, idx; int **nbcode, *Tcode, *Tvar, **codtab, **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff; +double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop; double ftol=FTOL; /* Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */ double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for computing hessian */ @@ -179,27 +493,26 @@ double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for comput /**************** split *************************/ static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame ) { + /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc) + the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame) + */ char *ss; /* pointer */ int l1, l2; /* length counters */ l1 = strlen(path ); /* length of path */ if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH ); ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR ); /* find last / */ - if ( ss == NULL ) { /* no directory, so use current */ + if ( ss == NULL ) { /* no directory, so determine current directory */ + strcpy( name, path ); /* we got the fullname name because no directory */ /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL) printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/ -#if defined(__bsd__) /* get current working directory */ - extern char *getwd( ); - - if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) { -#else - extern char *getcwd( ); - + /* get current working directory */ + /* extern char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/ if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) { -#endif return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD ); } - strcpy( name, path ); /* we've got it */ + /* got dirc from getcwd*/ + printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc); } else { /* strip direcotry from path */ ss++; /* after this, the filename */ l2 = strlen( ss ); /* length of filename */ @@ -207,30 +520,35 @@ static int split( char *path, char *dirc strcpy( name, ss ); /* save file name */ strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 ); /* now the directory */ dirc[l1-l2] = 0; /* add zero */ + printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc); } + /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */ l1 = strlen( dirc ); /* length of directory */ -#ifdef windows - if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; } -#else - if ( dirc[l1-1] != '/' ) { dirc[l1] = '/'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; } -#endif + if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){ + dirc[l1] = DIRSEPARATOR; + dirc[l1+1] = 0; + printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc); + } ss = strrchr( name, '.' ); /* find last / */ - ss++; - strcpy(ext,ss); /* save extension */ - l1= strlen( name); - l2= strlen(ss)+1; - strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2); - finame[l1-l2]= 0; + if (ss >0){ + ss++; + strcpy(ext,ss); /* save extension */ + l1= strlen( name); + l2= strlen(ss)+1; + strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2); + finame[l1-l2]= 0; + } + return( 0 ); /* we're done */ } /******************************************/ -void replace(char *s, char*t) +void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t) { int i; - int lg=20; + int lg=0; i=0; lg=strlen(t); for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) { @@ -253,8 +571,8 @@ int nbocc(char *s, char occ) void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) { - /* cuts string t into u and v where u is ended by char occ excluding it - and v is after occ excluding it too : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",2) + /* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before first occurence of char 'occ' + and v starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') gives u="abcedf" and v="ghi2j" */ int i,lg,j,p=0; i=0; @@ -311,6 +629,21 @@ void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END)); } +/************************lvector *******************************/ +long *lvector(long nl,long nh) +{ + long *v; + v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long))); + if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector"); + return v-nl+NR_END; +} + +/******************free lvector **************************/ +void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh) +{ + free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END)); +} + /******************* imatrix *******************************/ int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ @@ -365,6 +698,8 @@ double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; return m; + /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) + */ } /*************************free matrix ************************/ @@ -404,7 +739,10 @@ double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay; } - return m; + return m; + /* gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1]) + &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k) + */ } /*************************free ma3x ************************/ @@ -415,6 +753,41 @@ void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, lo free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END)); } +/*************** function subdirf ***********/ +char *subdirf(char fileres[]) +{ + /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */ + strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname); + strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */ + strcat(tmpout,fileres); + return tmpout; +} + +/*************** function subdirf2 ***********/ +char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop) +{ + + /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */ + strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname); + strcat(tmpout,"/"); + strcat(tmpout,preop); + strcat(tmpout,fileres); + return tmpout; +} + +/*************** function subdirf3 ***********/ +char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2) +{ + + /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */ + strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname); + strcat(tmpout,"/"); + strcat(tmpout,preop); + strcat(tmpout,preop2); + strcat(tmpout,fileres); + return tmpout; +} + /***************** f1dim *************************/ extern int ncom; extern double *pcom,*xicom; @@ -590,6 +963,19 @@ void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int free_vector(pcom,1,n); } +char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[]) +{ + long sec_left, days, hours, minutes; + days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24); + sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24); + hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ; + sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60); + minutes = (sec_left) /60; + sec_left = (sec_left) % (60); + sprintf(ascdiff,"%d day(s) %d hour(s) %d minute(s) %d second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left); + return ascdiff; +} + /*************** powell ************************/ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, double (*func)(double [])) @@ -600,6 +986,8 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit; double fp,fptt; double *xits; + int niterf, itmp; + pt=vector(1,n); ptt=vector(1,n); xit=vector(1,n); @@ -610,13 +998,42 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int fp=(*fret); ibig=0; del=0.0; - printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret); - fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret); - for (i=1;i<=n;i++) + last_time=curr_time; + (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); + printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout); + /* fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); + fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); + */ + for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]); - fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12f",i, p[i]); + fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]); + fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]); + } printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow); + if(*iter <=3){ + tm = *localtime(&curr_time.tv_sec); + strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tm)); +/* asctime_r(&tm,strcurr); */ + forecast_time=curr_time; + itmp = strlen(strcurr); + if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n') /* Windows outputs with a new line */ + strcurr[itmp-1]='\0'; + printf("\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec); + fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec); + for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){ + forecast_time.tv_sec=curr_time.tv_sec+(niterf-*iter)*(curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec); + tmf = *localtime(&forecast_time.tv_sec); +/* asctime_r(&tmf,strfor); */ + strcpy(strfor,asctime(&tmf)); + itmp = strlen(strfor); + if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n') + strfor[itmp-1]='\0'; + printf(" - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n reached in %s i.e.\n on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr); + fprintf(ficlog," - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n reached in %s i.e.\n on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr); + } + } for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; fptt=(*fret); @@ -708,7 +1125,7 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int } } -/**** Prevalence limit (stable prevalence) ****************/ +/**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence) ****************/ double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij) { @@ -779,57 +1196,57 @@ double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj; for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; j<i;j++){ - for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){ - /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/ - s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc]; - /*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/ - } - ps[i][j]=s2; - /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/ - } - for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){ - s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc]; - /*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/ + for(j=1; j<i;j++){ + for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){ + /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/ + s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc]; +/* printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */ + } + ps[i][j]=s2; +/* printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */ + } + for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){ + s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc]; +/* printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2); */ + } + ps[i][j]=s2; } - ps[i][j]=s2; } - } /*ps[3][2]=1;*/ - - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ - s1=0; - for(j=1; j<i; j++) - s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); - for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++) - s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); - ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.); - for(j=1; j<i; j++) - ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i]; - for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++) - ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i]; - /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */ - } /* end i */ - - for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ - for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ - ps[ii][jj]=0; - ps[ii][ii]=1; + + for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ + s1=0; + for(j=1; j<i; j++) + s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); + for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++) + s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); + ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.); + for(j=1; j<i; j++) + ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i]; + for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++) + ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i]; + /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */ + } /* end i */ + + for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ + for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ + ps[ii][jj]=0; + ps[ii][ii]=1; + } } - } - + - /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ - for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ - printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]); - } - printf("\n "); - } - printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/ -/* - for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]); - goto end;*/ +/* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */ +/* for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */ +/* printf("ddd %lf ",ps[ii][jj]); */ +/* } */ +/* printf("\n "); */ +/* } */ +/* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]); */ + /* + for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]); + goto end;*/ return ps; } @@ -856,11 +1273,13 @@ double **matprod2(double **out, double * double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij ) { - /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' month - duration (i.e. until - age (in years) age+nhstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying nhstepm*hstepm matrices. + /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over + 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until + age (in years) age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying + nhstepm*hstepm matrices. Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step - (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big). + (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big + for the memory). Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be included manually here. @@ -917,7 +1336,7 @@ double func( double *x) double sw; /* Sum of weights */ double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */ int s1, s2; - double bbh; + double bbh, survp; long ipmx; /*extern weight */ /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */ @@ -928,6 +1347,260 @@ double func( double *x) cov[1]=1.; for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.; + + if(mle==1){ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){ + newm=savm; + cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM; + for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { + cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; + } + out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, + 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); + savm=oldm; + oldm=newm; + } /* end mult */ + + /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */ + /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm. + * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay + * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to + * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now + * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product + * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the + * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way + * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies + * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 . + * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach. + * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. + */ + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; + bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; + /* bias bh is positive if real duration + * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. + */ + /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ + if( s2 > nlstate){ + /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known + then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to + die between last step unit time and current step unit time, + which is also equal to probability to die before dh + minus probability to die before dh-stepm . + In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed + as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other + health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state + and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was + to consider that at each interview the state was recorded + (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we + introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified + the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new + contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit + stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview + and month of death but the probability to survive from last + interview up to one month before death multiplied by the + probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris + Jackson for correcting this bug. Former versions increased + mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop + which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10% + lower mortality. + */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + + + } else if (s2==-2) { + for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) + survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j]; + /*survp += out[s1][j]; */ + lli= log(survp); + } + + else if (s2==-4) { + for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) + survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j]; + lli= log(survp); + } + + else if (s2==-5) { + for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++) + survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j]; + lli= log(survp); + } + + else{ + lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ + /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */ + } + /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ + /*if(lli ==000.0)*/ + /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + } else if(mle==2){ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){ + newm=savm; + cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM; + for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { + cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; + } + out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, + 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); + savm=oldm; + oldm=newm; + } /* end mult */ + + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; + bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + } else if(mle==3){ /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){ + newm=savm; + cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM; + for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { + cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; + } + out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, + 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); + savm=oldm; + oldm=newm; + } /* end mult */ + + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; + bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + }else if (mle==4){ /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){ + newm=savm; + cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM; + for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { + cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; + } + + out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, + 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); + savm=oldm; + oldm=newm; + } /* end mult */ + + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; + if( s2 > nlstate){ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + }else{ + lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */ + } + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; +/* printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + }else{ /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){ + newm=savm; + cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM; + for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { + cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; + } + + out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, + 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); + savm=oldm; + oldm=newm; + } /* end mult */ + + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; + lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */ + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; + /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/ + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + } /* End of if */ + for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k]; + /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */ + l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */ + return -l; +} + +/*************** log-likelihood *************/ +double funcone( double *x) +{ + /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */ + int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk; + double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX]; + double **out; + double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */ + double llt; + int s1, s2; + double bbh, survp; + /*extern weight */ + /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */ + /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/ + /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) + printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]); + */ + cov[1]=1.; + + for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.; + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ @@ -942,65 +1615,130 @@ double func( double *x) for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) { cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; } - out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); savm=oldm; oldm=newm; - - } /* end mult */ - /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */ - /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias and large stepm. - * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay - * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to - * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now - * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product - * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. The we inter(extra)polate the - * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way - * from savm to out if bh is neagtive or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies - * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 . - * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach. - * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. - */ s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; - bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; - lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.-bbh)*out[s1][s2])); - /*lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.-bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ - /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ - /*if(lli ==000.0)*/ - /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ + bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; + /* bias is positive if real duration + * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. + */ + if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){ /* Jackson */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + } else if (s2==-2) { + for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) + survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j]; + lli= log(survp); + }else if (mle==1){ + lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ + } else if(mle==2){ + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ + } else if(mle==3){ /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + } else if (mle==4){ /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */ + } else{ /* ml>=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */ + } /* End of if */ ipmx +=1; sw += weight[i]; ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; +/* printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + if(globpr){ + fprintf(ficresilk,"%9d %6d %2d %2d %1d %1d %3d %11.6f %8.4f\ + %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \ + num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i], + 2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); + for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){ + llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw; + fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw); + } + fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt); + } } /* end of wave */ } /* end of individual */ - for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k]; /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */ l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */ + if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */ + gipmx=ipmx; + gsw=sw; + } return -l; } +/*************** function likelione ***********/ +void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double [])) +{ + /* This routine should help understanding what is done with + the selection of individuals/waves and + to check the exact contribution to the likelihood. + Plotting could be done. + */ + int k; + + if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */ + strcpy(fileresilk,"ilk"); + strcat(fileresilk,fileres); + if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); + } + fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n"); + fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight 2wlli out sav "); + /* i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) + fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k); + fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n"); + } + + *fretone=(*funcone)(p); + if(*globpri !=0){ + fclose(ficresilk); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk)); + fflush(fichtm); + } + return; +} + + /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/ void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double [])) { int i,j, iter; - double **xi,*delti; + double **xi; double fret; + double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ + /* char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/ xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); printf("Powell\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n"); + strcpy(filerespow,"pow"); + strcat(filerespow,fileres); + if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + } + fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL"); + for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n"); + powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func); - printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p)); - fprintf(ficlog,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p)); + free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar); + fclose(ficrespow); + printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p)); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p)); fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p)); } @@ -1013,11 +1751,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] int i, j,jk; int *indx; - double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]); - double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j); + double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar); + double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar); void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ; void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ; - + double gompertz(double p[]); hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n"); @@ -1025,9 +1763,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog); - hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti); - /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/ - /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/ + + hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar); + + /* printf(" %f ",p[i]); + printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/ } for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { @@ -1035,7 +1775,8 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] if (j>i) { printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog); - hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j); + hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j,func,npar); + hess[j][i]=hess[i][j]; /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/ } @@ -1106,14 +1847,14 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] } /*************** hessian matrix ****************/ -double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]) +double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar) { int i; int l=1, lmax=20; double k1,k2; double p2[NPARMAX+1]; double res; - double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; + double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; double fx; int k=0,kmax=10; double l1; @@ -1153,7 +1894,7 @@ double hessii( double x[], double delta, } -double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj) +double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) { int i; int l=1, l1, lmax=20; @@ -1262,20 +2003,24 @@ void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx } } +void pstamp(FILE *fichier) +{ + fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#%s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,fullversion,strstart); +} + /************ Frequencies ********************/ -void freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2) +void freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[]) { /* Some frequencies */ int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j; int first; double ***freq; /* Frequencies */ - double *pp; - double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; - FILE *ficresp; + double *pp, **prop; + double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH]; pp=vector(1,nlstate); - probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); strcpy(fileresp,"p"); strcat(fileresp,fileres); if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) { @@ -1283,7 +2028,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp); exit(0); } - freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3); + freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3); j1=0; j=cptcoveff; @@ -1296,10 +2041,14 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag j1++; /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]); scanf("%d", i);*/ - for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) - for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++) + for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) + for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) freq[i][jk][m]=0; + + for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) + prop[i][m]=0; dateintsum=0; k2cpt=0; @@ -1313,25 +2062,26 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag if (bool==1){ for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); - if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) { - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2; + /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/ + if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; + if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; if (m<lastpass) { freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; - freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i]; + freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; } - if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) { + if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3))) { dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; k2cpt++; } - } + /*}*/ } } } - fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); - + /* fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ + pstamp(ficresp); if (cptcovn>0) { fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); @@ -1341,8 +2091,8 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i); fprintf(ficresp, "\n"); - for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ - if(i==(int)agemax+3){ + for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ + if(i==iagemax+3){ fprintf(ficlog,"Total"); }else{ if(first==1){ @@ -1373,10 +2123,11 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++) pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - - for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) + } + for(jk=1,pos=0,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ pos += pp[jk]; + posprop += prop[jk][i]; + } for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ if(pos>=1.e-5){ if(first==1) @@ -1387,14 +2138,14 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk); fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk); } - if( i <= (int) agemax){ + if( i <= iagemax){ if(pos>=1.e-5){ - fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos); - probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos; + fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop); + /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/ /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/ } else - fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos); + fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop); } } @@ -1405,7 +2156,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); } - if(i <= (int) agemax) + if(i <= iagemax) fprintf(ficresp,"\n"); if(first==1) printf("Others in log...\n"); @@ -1416,24 +2167,32 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; fclose(ficresp); - free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3); + free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3); free_vector(pp,1,nlstate); - + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3); /* End of Freq */ } /************ Prevalence ********************/ -void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate) -{ /* Some frequencies */ +void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass) +{ + /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people + in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2). + We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection. + */ int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j; double ***freq; /* Frequencies */ - double *pp; - double pos, k2; - - pp=vector(1,nlstate); - - freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3); + double *pp, **prop; + double pos,posprop; + double y2; /* in fractional years */ + int iagemin, iagemax; + + iagemin= (int) agemin; + iagemax= (int) agemax; + /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/ + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); + /* freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/ j1=0; j=cptcoveff; @@ -1443,12 +2202,11 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ j1++; - for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) - for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++) - freq[i][jk][m]=0; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) + prop[i][m]=0.0; - for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */ bool=1; if (cptcovn>0) { for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) @@ -1456,55 +2214,42 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax bool=0; } if (bool==1) { - for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ - k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); - if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) { - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2; - if (m<lastpass) { - if (calagedate>0) - freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i]; - else - freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; - freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i]; - } + for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/ + y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */ + if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */ + if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; + if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; + if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { + /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/ + prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; + prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; + } } - } + } /* end selection of waves */ } } - for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++) - pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++) - pos += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++) - pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } + for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ - for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk]; - - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - if( i <= (int) agemax){ - if(pos>=1.e-5){ - probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos; - } - } - }/* end jk */ - }/* end i */ + for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { + posprop += prop[jk][i]; + } + + for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ + if( i <= iagemax){ + if(posprop>=1.e-5){ + probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop; + } + } + }/* end jk */ + }/* end i */ } /* end i1 */ } /* end k1 */ - - - free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3); - free_vector(pp,1,nlstate); -} /* End of Freq */ + /* free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/ + /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/ + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3); +} /* End of prevalence */ /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/ @@ -1531,7 +2276,7 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int mi=0; m=firstpass; while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){ - if(s[m][i]>=1) + if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5) mw[++mi][i]=m; if(m >=lastpass) break; @@ -1547,63 +2292,105 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int wav[i]=mi; if(mi==0){ + nbwarn++; if(first==0){ - printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i); + printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i); first=1; } if(first==1){ - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i); } } /* end mi==0 */ - } + } /* End individuals */ for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){ for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ if (stepm <=0) dh[mi][i]=1; else{ - if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { + if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */ if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) { - j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); - if(j==0) j=1; /* Survives at least one month after exam */ - k=k+1; - if (j >= jmax) jmax=j; - if (j <= jmin) jmin=j; - sum=sum+j; - /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ + j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); + if(j==0) j=1; /* Survives at least one month after exam */ + else if(j<0){ + nberr++; + printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */ + printf(" We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + fprintf(ficlog," We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm); + } + k=k+1; + if (j >= jmax){ + jmax=j; + ijmax=i; + } + if (j <= jmin){ + jmin=j; + ijmin=i; + } + sum=sum+j; + /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/ + /* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ } } else{ j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12)); +/* if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */ + k=k+1; - if (j >= jmax) jmax=j; - else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j; + if (j >= jmax) { + jmax=j; + ijmax=i; + } + else if (j <= jmin){ + jmin=j; + ijmin=i; + } /* if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */ + /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/ + if(j<0){ + nberr++; + printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + } sum=sum+j; } jk= j/stepm; jl= j -jk*stepm; ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm; - if(jl <= -ju){ - dh[mi][i]=jk; - bh[mi][i]=jl; - } - else{ - dh[mi][i]=jk+1; - bh[mi][i]=ju; - } - if(dh[mi][i]==0){ - dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ - bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ - printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i); - } - if(i==298 || i==287 || i==763 ||i==1061)printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm); + if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */ + if(jl==0){ + dh[mi][i]=jk; + bh[mi][i]=0; + }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie + * at the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */ + dh[mi][i]=jk+1; + bh[mi][i]=ju; + } + }else{ + if(jl <= -ju){ + dh[mi][i]=jk; + bh[mi][i]=jl; /* bias is positive if real duration + * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. + */ + } + else{ + dh[mi][i]=jk+1; + bh[mi][i]=ju; + } + if(dh[mi][i]==0){ + dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ + bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ + /* printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/ + } + } /* end if mle */ } - } + } /* end wave */ } jmean=sum/k; - printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean); - fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean); + printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean); + fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean); } /*********** Tricode ****************************/ @@ -1649,7 +2436,7 @@ void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in for (k=0; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) { - /* Listing of all covariables in staement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ + /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ ij=Tvar[i]; Ndum[ij]++; } @@ -1667,31 +2454,27 @@ void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/ -void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov ) +void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[] ) { - /* Health expectancies */ - int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj; + /* Health expectancies, no variances */ + int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2; double age, agelim, hf; - double ***p3mat,***varhe; - double **dnewm,**doldm; - double *xp; - double **gp, **gm; - double ***gradg, ***trgradg; - int theta; + double ***p3mat; + double eip; - varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage); - xp=vector(1,npar); - dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2); - - fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n"); + pstamp(ficreseij); + fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n"); fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age"); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d (SE)",i,j); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j); + } + fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i); + } fprintf(ficreseij,"\n"); + if(estepm < stepm){ printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); } @@ -1700,7 +2483,7 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear - * progression inbetween and thus overestimating or underestimating according + * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear @@ -1722,123 +2505,256 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ agelim=AGESUP; - for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */ - /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */ - nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); - /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ - /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/ - nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2); - gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); + /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */ + nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); + /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ + /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/ + nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */ /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */ - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij); - - + + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij); + hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ + + printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout); + fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog); + + /* Computing expectancies */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf; + + /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ - /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */ + } - for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ - xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age ); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + eip=0; + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age]; + fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] ); } - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); - - cptj=0; - for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){ - cptj=cptj+1; - for(h=0, gp[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - gp[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.; - } - } + fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip ); + } + fprintf(ficreseij,"\n"); + + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + +} + +void cvevsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[] ) + +{ + /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according + to initial status i, ei. . + */ + int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji; + double age, agelim, hf; + double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe; + double **dnewm,**doldm; + double *xp, *xm; + double **gp, **gm; + double ***gradg, ***trgradg; + int theta; + + double eip, vip; + + varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + xp=vector(1,npar); + xm=vector(1,npar); + dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate); + + pstamp(ficresstdeij); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n"); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age"); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j); + fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i); + } + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n"); + + pstamp(ficrescveij); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n"); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age"); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i; + for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++) + for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){ + cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2; + if(cptj2 <= cptj) + fprintf(ficrescveij," %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2); + } + } + fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n"); + + if(estepm < stepm){ + printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); + } + else hstepm=estepm; + /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months + * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example + * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them + * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear + * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according + * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we + * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months + * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear + * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise + * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */ + + /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */ + /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. + nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim + nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. + Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size + and note for a fixed period like estepm months */ + /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the + survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it + means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if + you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same + results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision. + */ + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ + + /* If stepm=6 months */ + /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */ + agelim=AGESUP; + nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); + /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ + /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/ + nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ + + p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate); + trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + + for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ + + /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored + in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */ + + hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ + + /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */ + /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to + decrease memory allocation */ + for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ + for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ + xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); } - - - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) - xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); - - cptj=0; + hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij); + hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij); + for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ - for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){ - cptj=cptj+1; - for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){ + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.; + gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.; } } } - for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++) + + for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++) for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta]; + gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta]; } - } - -/* End theta */ - - trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++) + }/* End theta */ + + + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++) for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; - + - for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++) - varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.; + for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) + for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++) + varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.; printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog); for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){ for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){ - matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); - matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]); - for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++) - varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf; + matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); + matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]); + for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) + for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++) + varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf; } } /* Computing expectancies */ + hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf; + eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf; -/* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ + /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ } - fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age ); - cptj=0; + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age ); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + eip=0.; + vip=0.; + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + eip += eij[i][j][(int)age]; + for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */ + vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]; + fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) ); + } + fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip)); + } + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n"); + + fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age ); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ - cptj++; - fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[cptj][cptj][(int)age]) ); + cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i; + for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++) + for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){ + cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2; + if(cptj2 <= cptj) + fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]); + } } - fprintf(ficreseij,"\n"); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n"); - free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); } + free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + free_vector(xm,1,npar); free_vector(xp,1,npar); - free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); } /************ Variance ******************/ -void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav) +void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[]) { /* Variance of health expectancies */ /* double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/ @@ -1889,8 +2805,10 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev); } printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying during a year and weighted mean w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n"); + pstamp(ficresprobmorprev); + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm); fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij); for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j); @@ -1898,30 +2816,22 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j); } fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n"); - if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - exit(0); - } - else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij"); - } - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - exit(0); - } - else{ - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s (à revoir) <br>\n",digitp); - } + fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij"); + /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s <br>\n",digitp); +/* } */ varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - - fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are the stable prevalence in health states i\n"); + pstamp(ficresvij); + fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are "); + if(popbased==1) + fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1)"); + else + fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n"); fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age"); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e%1d, e%1d)",i,j); + fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j); fprintf(ficresvij,"\n"); xp=vector(1,npar); @@ -1947,7 +2857,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d and note for a fixed period like k years */ /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it - means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if + means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision. */ @@ -1963,7 +2873,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */ + for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/ xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); } hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); @@ -1985,14 +2895,17 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; } } - /* This for computing forces of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */ - for(j=nlstate+1,gpp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++) + /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; } - /* end force of mortality */ + /* end probability of death */ - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */ + for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */ xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij); @@ -2013,17 +2926,21 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; } } - /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */ - for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++) - gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; + /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) + gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; } - /* end force of mortality */ + /* end probability of death */ for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */ for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta]; } + for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */ gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta]; } @@ -2040,6 +2957,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */ for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j]; + hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) @@ -2055,7 +2973,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf; } } - + /* pptj */ matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp); @@ -2063,6 +2981,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i]; /* end ppptj */ + /* x centered again */ hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij); @@ -2075,13 +2994,16 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; } } - - /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */ - for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++) + + /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; } - /* end force of mortality */ + /* end probability of death */ fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij); for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ @@ -2111,14 +3033,18 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;set nolabel; set ter png small;set size 0.65, 0.65"); /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */ fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; set nolog x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,digitp,digit); +/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ +/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ +/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3) not w l 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit); /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit); +/* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.png\";replot;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit); free_vector(xp,1,npar); free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); @@ -2128,12 +3054,12 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficresprobmorprev); - fclose(ficgp); - fclose(fichtm); -} + fflush(ficgp); + fflush(fichtm); +} /* end varevsij */ /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/ -void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij) +void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, char strstart[]) { /* Variance of prevalence limit */ /* double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/ @@ -2146,8 +3072,9 @@ void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * double **gradg, **trgradg; double age,agelim; int theta; - - fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of stable prevalences \n"); + + pstamp(ficresvpl); + fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n"); fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age"); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i); @@ -2216,7 +3143,7 @@ void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * } /************ Variance of one-step probabilities ******************/ -void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax) +void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[]) { int i, j=0, i1, k1, l1, t, tj; int k2, l2, j1, z1; @@ -2261,13 +3188,15 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov); printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor); fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor); - + pstamp(ficresprob); fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n"); fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age"); + pstamp(ficresprobcov); fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n"); fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age"); + pstamp(ficresprobcor); fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n"); - fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age"); + fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age"); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) @@ -2276,37 +3205,33 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j); fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j); } - fprintf(ficresprob,"\n"); + /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n"); fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n"); fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n"); - xp=vector(1,npar); + */ + xp=vector(1,npar); dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar); doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath)); mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage); varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage); first=1; - if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - exit(0); - } - else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob"); - } - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - exit(0); - } - else{ - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); - - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing matrix of variance-covariance of step probabilities</h4></li>\n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\nWe have drawn ellipsoids of confidence around the p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf> to understand the covariance between two incidences. They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> We have drawn x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 where x is the column vector (pij,pkl). It means that if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2X2) matrix would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 standard deviations wide on each axis. <br> When both incidences are correlated we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix and made the appropriate rotation.<br> \n"); - - } + fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); + + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></li>\n",optionfilehtmcov); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n\ + file %s<br>\n",optionfilehtmcov); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated\ +and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\ + They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n"); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \ +It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \ +would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \ +standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\ + Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\ + and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\ +To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n"); cov[1]=1; tj=cptcoveff; @@ -2318,23 +3243,23 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do if (cptcovn>0) { fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); - fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n"); fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); - fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n"); fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); - for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, "# V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); - fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#"); + for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); + fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n"); - fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); + fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); - fprintf(fichtm, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">"); + fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">"); fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]); - fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#"); } for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ @@ -2353,7 +3278,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) - xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0); pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate); @@ -2366,7 +3291,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do } for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) - xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0); pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate); k=0; @@ -2378,7 +3303,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do } for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) - gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta]; + gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta]; } for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++) @@ -2488,10 +3413,14 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label"); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"> ",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\ + :<a href=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">\ +%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\ + subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,\ + subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2); fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2); fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\ @@ -2499,7 +3428,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2)); }else{ first=0; - fprintf(fichtm," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12); + fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12); fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2); fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\ @@ -2508,7 +3437,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do }/* if first */ } /* age mod 5 */ } /* end loop age */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\";replot;",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\";replot;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2); first=1; } /*l12 */ } /* k12 */ @@ -2518,12 +3447,14 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do } free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage); free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath)); + free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar); free_vector(xp,1,npar); fclose(ficresprob); fclose(ficresprobcov); fclose(ficresprobcor); - fclose(ficgp); - fclose(fichtm); + fflush(ficgp); + fflush(fichtmcov); } @@ -2535,19 +3466,24 @@ void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \ double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){ int jj1, k1, i1, cpt; - /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/ - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - } - fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files (first order: no variance)</h4>\n - - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n - - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>\n - - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>\n - - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): - <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>\n</li>", \ - jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,fileres,fileres,stepm,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres); + fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \ + <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \ +</ul>"); + fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n \ + - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n ", + jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileres,"p"),subdirf2(fileres,"p")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ", + stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", + subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age: ei., eij . If one or more covariate are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \ + <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", + estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e")); + fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>"); @@ -2565,44 +3501,65 @@ fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b> fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">"); } /* Pij */ - fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before: pe%s%d1.png<br> -<img src=\"pe%s%d1.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); + fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s%d1.png\">%s%d1.png</a><br> \ +<img src=\"%s%d1.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1); /* Quasi-incidences */ - fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: pe%s%d2.png<br> -<img src=\"pe%s%d2.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); - /* Stable prevalence in each health state */ + fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\ + before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: <a href=\"%s%d2.png\">%s%d2.png</a><br> \ +<img src=\"%s%d2.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1); + /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */ for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){ - fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png<br> -<img src=\"p%s%d%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); + fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Period (stable) prevalence in each health state : <a href=\"%s%d%d.png\">%s%d%d.png</a><br> \ +<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1); } for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) { - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.png <br> -<img src=\"exp%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies : <a href=\"%s%d%d.png\">%s%d%d.png</a> <br> \ +<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1); } - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and -health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.png<br> -<img src=\"e%s%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); } /* end i1 */ }/* End k1 */ fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n - - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n - - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"prob%s\">prob%s</a> <br>\n - - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcov%s\">probcov%s</a> <br>\n - - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcor%s\">probcor%s</a> <br>\n - - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>\n - - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>\n - - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>\n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); - - if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n - - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n - - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n - <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); - else - fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); -fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ +\n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\ + - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", rfileres,rfileres); + + fprintf(fichtm," - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", + subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),subdirf2(fileres,"prob")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", + subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcov")); + + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", + subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \ + <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", + estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"cve"),subdirf2(fileres,"cve")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \ + <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", + estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"stde"),subdirf2(fileres,"stde")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), eij are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences (i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n", + estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", + subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\ + subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl")); + +/* if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */ +/* - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */ +/* - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */ +/* <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */ +/* else */ +/* fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */ + fflush(fichtm); + fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>"); m=cptcoveff; if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;} @@ -2618,76 +3575,87 @@ fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></ fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">"); } for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) { - fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident -interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.png <br> -<img src=\"v%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); + fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \ +prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br>\ +<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1); } + fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \ +health expectancies in states (1) and (2): %s%d.png<br>\ +<img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1); } /* end i1 */ }/* End k1 */ fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>"); -fclose(fichtm); + fflush(fichtm); } /******************* Gnuplot file **************/ -void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ +void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ + char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132]; int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l; int ng; - if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); - } +/* if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */ +/* } */ /*#ifdef windows */ - fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc); + fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc); /*#endif */ -m=pow(2,cptcoveff); - + m=pow(2,cptcoveff); + + strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname); + strcpy(optfileres,"vpl"); /* 1eme*/ for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) { for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\ +set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\ +set ter png small\n\ +set size 0.65,0.65\n\ +plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",subdirf2(fileres,"p"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); } } /*2 eme*/ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),k1); fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage); for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) { k=2*i; - fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1); for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); } if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,"); else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1); - fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1); for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); } fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1); for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)"); else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)"); @@ -2701,9 +3669,12 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff); for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) { - k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt); + /* k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */ + k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\n\ +set size 0.65,0.65\n\ +plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt); /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1); for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) "); fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt); @@ -2713,25 +3684,30 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff); */ for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) { - fprintf(ficgp," ,\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1); + fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1); + /* fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/ } + fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt); } } - /* CV preval stat */ + /* CV preval stable (period) */ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { - for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) { + for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { k=3; - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"p%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\ +set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\n\ +unset log y\n\ +plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,k+cpt+1,k+1); for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1); fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,cpt+1); l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt; - fprintf(ficgp,",\"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",fileres,k1,l+cpt+1,l+1); + fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,l+cpt+1,l+1); for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) { l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt; fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1); @@ -2755,7 +3731,7 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff); for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/ for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) { - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk,ng); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jk,ng); if (ng==2) fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n"); else @@ -2802,7 +3778,7 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff); } /* end k2 */ } /* end jk */ } /* end ng */ - fclose(ficgp); + fflush(ficgp); } /* end gnuplot */ @@ -2849,21 +3825,23 @@ int movingaverage(double ***probs, doubl /************** Forecasting ******************/ -prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){ - - int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; +prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ + /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection + agemin, agemax range of age + dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed + anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1). + */ + int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, c, cptcod, i, h, i1; int *popage; - double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; + double agec; /* generic age */ + double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat; double ***mobaverage; char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH]; - agelim=AGESUP; - calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; - - prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate); - + agelim=AGESUP; + prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); strcpy(fileresf,"f"); strcat(fileresf,fileres); @@ -2886,12 +3864,14 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; - - agelim=AGESUP; - - hstepm=1; + if(estepm < stepm){ + printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); + } + else hstepm=estepm; + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; - yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp); + yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and + fractional in yp1 */ anprojmean=yp; yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); mprojmean=yp; @@ -2899,69 +3879,81 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr jprojmean=yp; if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; + + i1=cptcoveff; + if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - fprintf(ficresf,"# Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean); + fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); - for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ + fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n"); + +/* if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */ + for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ k=k+1; fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d, hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); } fprintf(ficresf,"******\n"); - fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge"); - for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j); - - - for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) { + fprintf(ficresf,"# Covariate valuofcovar yearproj age"); + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j); + fprintf(ficresf," p.%d",j); + } + for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); - fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt); + fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); - for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ - nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); + for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { - fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { + fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); } for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { - kk1=0.;kk2=0; - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + ppij=0.; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { if (mobilav==1) - kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; else { - kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; } - - } - if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){ - fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1); - + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { + fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + } + } /* end i */ + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { + fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij); } - } - } + }/* end j */ + } /* end h */ free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - } - } - } - } + } /* end agec */ + } /* end yearp */ + } /* end cptcod */ + } /* end cptcov */ if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficresf); } -/************** Forecasting ******************/ + +/************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/ populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; int *popage; - double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2; + double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; double ***mobaverage; @@ -2970,9 +3962,9 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); agelim=AGESUP; - calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; + calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; - prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate); + prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); @@ -3018,7 +4010,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; } - for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ k=k+1; fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); @@ -3033,7 +4025,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) { fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt); - for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; @@ -3042,7 +4034,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { + if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); } for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { @@ -3054,7 +4046,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; } } - if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){ + if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/ @@ -3065,10 +4057,10 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; } - tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; + tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; } - if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); } free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); @@ -3079,7 +4071,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt); - for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; @@ -3087,7 +4079,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp oldm=oldms;savm=savms; hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { + if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); } for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { @@ -3095,7 +4087,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; } - if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1); + if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1); } } free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); @@ -3114,85 +4106,382 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficrespop); +} /* End of popforecast */ + +int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich) +{ + if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich); + return (0); + } + fflush(fichier); + return (1); } -/***********************************************/ -/**************** Main Program *****************/ -/***********************************************/ -int main(int argc, char *argv[]) +/**************** function prwizard **********************/ +void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath, char model[], FILE *ficparo) { - int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod; - double agedeb, agefin,hf; - double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20; + /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */ - double fret; - double **xi,tmp,delta; + char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32]; + int i,j, k, l, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes; + int numlinepar; - double dum; /* Dummy variable */ - double ***p3mat; - double ***mobaverage; - int *indx; - char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE]; - char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[80]; - int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; - int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */ - int c, h , cpt,l; - int ju,jl, mi; - int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij; - int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab; - int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; - int hstepm, nhstepm; - double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate; + printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + jj=0; + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if(j==i) continue; + jj++; + /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/ + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + /* printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */ + /* fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */ + printf(" 0."); + fprintf(ficparo," 0."); + } + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + } + } + printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + jj=0; + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if(j==i) continue; + jj++; + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j); + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fflush(stdout); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + /* printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */ + /* fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */ + printf(" 0."); + fprintf(ficparo," 0."); + } + numlinepar++; + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + } + } + printf("# Covariance matrix\n"); +/* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */ +/* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */ +/* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */ +/* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */ +/* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */ +/* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */ +/* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */ +/* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */ + fflush(stdout); + fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n"); + /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */ + /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */ + /* # ...\n\ */ + /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */ + + for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){ + jj=0; + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if(j==i) continue; + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + jj++; + ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0'; + if(itimes==1){ + printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + }else{ + printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + /* printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */ + } + ll=0; + for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){ + for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){ + if(lj==li) continue; + for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){ + ll++; + if(ll<=jj){ + cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0'; + if(ll<jj){ + if(itimes==1){ + printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + }else{ + printf(" 0."); + fprintf(ficparo," 0."); + } + }else{ + if(itimes==1){ + printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + }else{ + printf(" 0."); + fprintf(ficparo," 0."); + } + } + } + } /* end lk */ + } /* end lj */ + } /* end li */ + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + } /* end k*/ + } /*end j */ + } /* end i */ + } /* end itimes */ + +} /* end of prwizard */ +/******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/ +double gompertz(double x[]) +{ + double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.; + int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */ - double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase; - double ftolpl=FTOL; - double **prlim; - double *severity; - double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */ - double *p; - double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */ - double ***delti3; /* Scale */ - double *delti; /* Scale */ - double ***eij, ***vareij; - double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */ - double *epj, vepp; - double kk1, kk2; - double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2; - /*int *movingaverage; */ + for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) { + sump=sump+weight[i]; + /* sump=sump+1;*/ + num=num+1; + } + + + /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) + if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/ - char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]; + for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) + { + if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1) + A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp))); + + if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1) + A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp))) + +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM); + + /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */ + if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */ + L=L+A*weight[i]; + /* printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/ + } + } + /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/ + + return -2*L*num/sump; +} + +/******************* Printing html file ***********/ +void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \ + int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\ + int imx, double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){ + int i,k; + + fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>"); + fprintf(fichtm," mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp); + for (i=1;i<=2;i++) + fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i])); + fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.png\">"); + fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>"); + +fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>"); + + fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge l<inf>x</inf> q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1) L<inf>x</inf> T<inf>x</inf> e<infx</inf><br>"); + + for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) + fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]); + + + fflush(fichtm); +} + +/******************* Gnuplot file **************/ +void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ + + char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132]; + int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l; + int ng; + + + /*#ifdef windows */ + fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc); + /*#endif */ + + + strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname); + strcpy(optfileres,"vpl"); + fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n "); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); + fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small\n set log y\n"); + fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); + fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp); + +} + + + + + +/***********************************************/ +/**************** Main Program *****************/ +/***********************************************/ + +int main(int argc, char *argv[]) +{ + int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav); + int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod; + int linei, month, year,iout; + int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk; + int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */ + int itimes; + int NDIM=2; + + char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32]; + char dummy[]=" "; + /* FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */ + /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */ + struct stat info; + double agedeb, agefin,hf; + double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20; + + double fret; + double **xi,tmp,delta; + + double dum; /* Dummy variable */ + double ***p3mat; + double ***mobaverage; + int *indx; + char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE]; + char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE],model[MAXLINE]; + char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; + char **bp, *tok, *val; /* pathtot */ + int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; + int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */ + int c, h , cpt,l; + int ju,jl, mi; + int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij; + int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab; + int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */ + int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; + int hstepm, nhstepm; + int agemortsup; + float sumlpop=0.; + double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000; + double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000; + + double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase; + double ftolpl=FTOL; + double **prlim; + double *severity; + double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */ + double *p; + double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */ + double ***delti3; /* Scale */ + double *delti; /* Scale */ + double ***eij, ***vareij; + double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */ + double *epj, vepp; + double kk1, kk2; + double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000; + double **ximort; + char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]; + int *dcwave; + + char z[1]="c", occ; - char z[1]="c", occ; -#include <sys/time.h> -#include <time.h> char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80]; + char *strt, strtend[80]; + char *stratrunc; + int lstra; + + long total_usecs; - /* long total_usecs; - struct timeval start_time, end_time; - - gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */ +/* setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */ +/* bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */ +/* textdomain (PACKAGE); */ +/* setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */ +/* setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */ + + /* gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */ + (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp); + curr_time=start_time; + tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); + tmg = *gmtime(&start_time.tv_sec); + strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tm)); + +/* printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */ +/* tp.tv_sec = tp.tv_sec +86400; */ +/* tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); */ +/* tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */ +/* tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */ +/* tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */ +/* tp.tv_sec = mktime(&tmg); */ +/* strt=asctime(&tmg); */ +/* printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart); */ +/* (void) time (&time_value); +* printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400); +* tm = *localtime(&time_value); +* strstart=asctime(&tm); +* printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); +*/ + + nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */ + nbwarn=0; getcwd(pathcd, size); - printf("\n%s",version); + printf("\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion); if(argc <=1){ printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: "); - scanf("%s",pathtot); + fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin); + i=strlen(pathr); + if(pathr[i-1]=='\n') + pathr[i-1]='\0'; + for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){ + printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr); + while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0'); + printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr); + strcpy (pathtot, val); + if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */ + } } else{ strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]); } - /*if(getcwd(pathcd, 80)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/ + /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/ /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile); printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/ /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/ + /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */ + printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]); + split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + /* strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */ + /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */ split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); - printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); - chdir(path); - replace(pathc,path); + printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */ + if(getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */ + printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd); + strcpy(command,"mkdir "); + strcat(command,optionfilefiname); + if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){ + printf("Problem creating directory or it already exists %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd); + /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */ + /* fclose(ficlog); */ +/* exit(1); */ + } +/* if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */ +/* perror("mkdir"); */ +/* } */ /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/ @@ -3204,10 +4493,19 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) goto end; } fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s",version); - fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: "); - fprintf(ficlog,"pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion); + fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\ + path=%s \n\ + optionfile=%s\n\ + optionfilext=%s\n\ + optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + + printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart); + fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart); fflush(ficlog); +/* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */ +/* printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec,tmpout)); */ /* */ strcpy(fileres,"r"); @@ -3219,37 +4517,49 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile); + fflush(ficlog); goto end; } + + strcpy(filereso,"o"); strcat(filereso,fileres); - if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { + if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */ printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso); + fflush(ficlog); goto end; } /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + numlinepar=0; while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); + numlinepar++; printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); + fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); + fflush(ficlog); while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); - + covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement*/ @@ -3257,136 +4567,186 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) ncovmodel=2+cptcovn; /*Number of variables = cptcovn + intercept + age */ nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */ - - /* Read guess parameters */ - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ - ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); + npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ + + delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + delti=delti3[1][1]; + /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/ + if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */ + prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo); + printf(" You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + fclose (ficparo); + fclose (ficlog); + goto end; + exit(0); } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++) - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); - fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); - if(mle==1) - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - fscanf(ficpar," %lf",¶m[i][j][k]); - if(mle==1){ - printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - } - else - fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); - if(mle==1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + else if(mle==-3) { + prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo); + printf(" You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); + } + else{ + /* Read guess parameters */ + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } - - npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + + param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + j=0; + for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ + if(jj==i) continue; + j++; + fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \ +It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \ +run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + if(mle==1) + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + fscanf(ficpar," %lf",¶m[i][j][k]); + if(mle==1){ + printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + } + else + fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + } + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + if(mle==1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + } + } + fflush(ficlog); - p=param[1][1]; - - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + p=param[1][1]; + + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */ - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]); - printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]); + printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + } + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); } - } - delti=delti3[1][1]; + fflush(ficlog); + + delti=delti3[1][1]; + + + /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */ - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); - for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str); - if(mle==1) - printf("%s",str); - fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str); - fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str); - for(j=1; j <=i; j++){ - fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]); - if(mle==1){ - printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); + for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str); + if(mle==1) + printf("%s",str); + fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str); + fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str); + for(j=1; j <=i; j++){ + fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]); + if(mle==1){ + printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + } fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); } - else - fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); - fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + if(mle==1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + for(i=1; i <=npar; i++) + for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++) + matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; + if(mle==1) printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); - } - for(i=1; i <=npar; i++) - for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++) - matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; - - if(mle==1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - - - /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/ - strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */ - strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name*/ - strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */ - strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */ - if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; - } - fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version); + fflush(ficlog); + + /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/ + strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */ + strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name*/ + strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */ + strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */ + if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; + } + fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version); + } /* End of mle != -3 */ + /*-------- data file ----------*/ if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end; + printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end; } n= lastobs; severity = vector(1,maxwav); outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); - num=ivector(1,n); + num=lvector(1,n); moisnais=vector(1,n); annais=vector(1,n); moisdc=vector(1,n); @@ -3402,34 +4762,125 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) ncodemax=ivector(1,8); i=1; - while (fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) { - if ((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs)) { - - for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){ - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); s[j][i]=atoi(strb); - strcpy(line,stra); - cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); anint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); mint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); + linei=0; + while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) { + linei=linei+1; + for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){ /* Untabifies line */ + if(line[j] == '\t') + line[j] = ' '; + } + for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){ + ; + }; + line[j+1]=0; /* Trims blanks at end of line */ + if(line[0]=='#'){ + fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line); + printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line); + continue; + } + + for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){ + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + errno=0; + lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); + /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/ + if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ + printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %d %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong. Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav); + exit(1); } - - cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); andc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisdc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - - cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); annais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){ - cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); - } - num[i]=atol(stra); - - /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){ - printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/ - - i=i+1; + s[j][i]=lval; + + strcpy(line,stra); + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){ + } + else if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.") != 0){ + month=99; + year=9999; + }else{ + printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j); + exit(1); + } + anint[j][i]= (double) year; + mint[j][i]= (double)month; + strcpy(line,stra); + } /* ENd Waves */ + + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){ } - } + else if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy) != 0){ + month=99; + year=9999; + }else{ + printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .). Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line); + exit(1); + } + andc[i]=(double) year; + moisdc[i]=(double) month; + strcpy(line,stra); + + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){ + } + else if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.") != 0){ + month=99; + year=9999; + }else{ + printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .). Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line,j); + exit(1); + } + annais[i]=(double)(year); + moisnais[i]=(double)(month); + strcpy(line,stra); + + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + errno=0; + dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); + if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ + printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %ld, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight. Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei); + exit(1); + } + weight[i]=dval; + strcpy(line,stra); + + for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){ + cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); + errno=0; + lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); + if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ + printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covar (meaning 0 for the reference or 1). Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line); + exit(1); + } + if(lval <-1 || lval >1){ + printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %ld for individual %d, '%s'\n \ + Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \ + for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \ + For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \ + build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \ + V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \ + and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \ + output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \ + Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j); + exit(1); + } + covar[j][i]=(double)(lval); + strcpy(line,stra); + } + lstra=strlen(stra); + + if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */ + stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]); + num[i]=atol(stratrunc); + } + else + num[i]=atol(stra); + /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){ + printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/ + + i=i+1; + } /* End loop reading data */ + fclose(fic); /* printf("ii=%d", ij); scanf("%d",i);*/ imx=i-1; /* Number of individuals */ @@ -3441,10 +4892,14 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) }*/ /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; - printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ + printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ + /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) */ - /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ + /*if ((s[3][i]==3) || (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08; + else weight[i]=1;*/ + + /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */ Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ Tprod=ivector(1,15); Tvaraff=ivector(1,15); @@ -3523,8 +4978,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod); fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod); - scanf("%d ",i); - fclose(fic);*/ + scanf("%d ",i);*/ /* if(mle==1){*/ if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights*/ @@ -3535,34 +4989,47 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) { - if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){ + if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){ anint[m][i]=9999; s[m][i]=-1; } - if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1; + if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ + nberr++; + printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i); + s[m][i]=-1; + } + if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ + nberr++; + printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); + s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */ + } } } for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); - for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ - if(s[m][i] >0){ + for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){ + if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { if(agedc[i]>0) - if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999) + if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999) agev[m][i]=agedc[i]; /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/ else { - if (andc[i]!=9999){ - printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i); - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i); + if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){ + nbwarn++; + printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i); agev[m][i]=-1; } } } - else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */ + else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional + years but with the precision of a month */ agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]); - if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999) + if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999) agev[m][i]=1; else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){ agemin=agev[m][i]; @@ -3586,8 +5053,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) } for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { - for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ + for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){ if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { + nberr++; printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); goto end; @@ -3595,9 +5063,18 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) } } + /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ + for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){ + printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]); +} + +}*/ + + printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); + agegomp=(int)agemin; free_vector(severity,1,maxwav); free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n); free_vector(moisnais,1,n); @@ -3649,31 +5126,233 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) } scanf("%d",i);*/ + /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/ + strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname); + if(mle==-3) + strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-mort"); + strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp"); + + if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); + } + else{ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); + fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); + fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n"); + } + /* fclose(ficgp);*/ + /*--------- index.htm --------*/ + + strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */ + if(mle==-3) + strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort"); + strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm"); + if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); + } + + strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */ + strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm"); + if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0); + } + else{ + fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s\n %s
%s
\ +
\n\ +Title=%s
Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s
\n",\ + optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model); + } + + fprintf(fichtm,"\nIMaCh %s\n %s
%s
\ +
\n\ +Title=%s
Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s
\n\ +\n\ +
\ + \n",\ + optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\ + optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\ + fileres,fileres,\ + filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart); + fflush(fichtm); + + strcpy(pathr,path); + strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname); + chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */ + /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age and prints on file fileres'p'. */ + freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"
Total number of observations=%d
\n\ +Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f
\n\ +Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf
\n",\ + imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean); + pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ + oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ + newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ + savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ + oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */ /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1] so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */ p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */ - if(mle==1){ - mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func); - } + globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/ + + if (mle==-3){ + ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); + cens=ivector(1,n); + ageexmed=vector(1,n); + agecens=vector(1,n); + dcwave=ivector(1,n); + + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ + dcwave[i]=-1; + for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++) + if (s[m][i]>nlstate) { + dcwave[i]=m; + /* printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/ + break; + } + } + + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { + if (wav[i]>0){ + ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i]; + j=wav[i]; + agecens[i]=1.; + + if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){ + agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i]; + cens[i]= 1; + }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) + cens[i]= -1; + if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass) + cens[i]=0 ; + } + else cens[i]=-1; + } - /*--------- results files --------------*/ - fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); - + for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) { + for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++) + ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + + p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; + /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/ + + + printf("Powell\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n"); + strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort"); + strcat(filerespow,fileres); + if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + } + fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL"); + /* for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j); + */ + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n"); + + powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz); + fclose(ficrespow); + + hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); - jk=1; - fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){ - if (k != i) - { + for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) + for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++) + matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; + + printf("\nCovariance matrix\n "); + for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) { + for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ + printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]); + } + printf("\n "); + } + + printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp); + for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) + printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i])); + + lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP); + lpop=vector(1,AGESUP); + tpop=vector(1,AGESUP); + lsurv[agegomp]=100000; + + for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) { + agemortsup=k; + if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break; + } + + for (k=agegomp;k=1 */ + + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); + globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */ + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); + if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */ + mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func); + } + + /*--------- results files --------------*/ + fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); + + + fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){ + if (k != i) { printf("%d%d ",i,k); fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k); fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k); @@ -3687,527 +5366,639 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); fprintf(ficres,"\n"); } + } } - } - if(mle==1){ - /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */ - ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */ - hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func); - } - fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ - if (j!=i) { - fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j); - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]); - fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]); - jk++; + if(mle!=0){ + /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */ + ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */ + hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func); + } + fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if (j!=i) { + fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j); + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]); + jk++; + } + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"\n"); } - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"\n"); } } - } - - fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); - if(mle==1) - printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); - for(i=1,k=1;i<=npar;i++){ - /* if (k>nlstate) k=1; - i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1; - fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]); - printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]); + + fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + if(mle>=1) + printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */ + /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */ + /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */ + /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */ + /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */ + /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */ + /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */ + /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */ + + + /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable + even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables */ - fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i); - if(mle==1) - printf("%3d",i); - fprintf(ficlog,"%3d",i); - for(j=1; j<=i;j++){ - fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]); - if(mle==1) - printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[i][j]); + for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){ + jj=0; + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if(j==i) continue; + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + jj++; + ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0'; + if(itimes==1){ + if(mle>=1) + printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + } + ll=0; + for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){ + for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){ + if(lj==li) continue; + for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){ + ll++; + if(ll<=jj){ + cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0'; + if(ll=1) + printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + } + }else{ + if(itimes==1){ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + } + } + } + } /* end lk */ + } /* end lj */ + } /* end li */ + if(mle>=1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + } /* end k*/ + } /*end j */ + } /* end i */ + } /* end itimes */ + + fflush(ficlog); + fflush(ficres); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); } - fprintf(ficres,"\n"); - if(mle==1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - k++; - } - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ - ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - estepm=0; - fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); - if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm; - if (fage <= 2) { - bage = ageminpar; - fage = agemaxpar; - } - - fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); - fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav); - fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + estepm=0; + fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); + if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm; + if (fage <= 2) { + bage = ageminpar; + fage = agemaxpar; + } + + fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); + fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - - dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.; - dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.; - - fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased); - fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav); + fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2); - fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2); - fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2); - - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + + dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.; + dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.; + + fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased); + fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1); - fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); - fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); - - freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); - - /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/ - strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname); - strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp"); - if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); - } - else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); - fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n"); - } - fclose(ficgp); - printinggnuplot(fileres, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); - /*--------- index.htm --------*/ - - strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile); - strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm"); - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - } - - fprintf(fichtm," %s
\n -Title=%s
Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s
\n -\n -Total number of observations=%d
\n -Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf
\n -
- \n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot); - fclose(fichtm); - - printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); - - /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ - chdir(path); + + fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ + + + + /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/ + /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ + + replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */ + printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); + + printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\ + model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\ + jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); + + /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ + /* chdir(path); */ - free_ivector(wav,1,imx); - free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_ivector(num,1,n); - free_vector(agedc,1,n); - free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n); - /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ - fclose(ficparo); - fclose(ficres); - - - /*--------------- Prevalence limit (stable prevalence) --------------*/ - - strcpy(filerespl,"pl"); - strcat(filerespl,fileres); - if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; - } - printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); - fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n"); - fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i); - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); - - prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); - pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ - oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ - newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ - savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ - oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */ - - agebase=ageminpar; - agelim=agemaxpar; - ftolpl=1.e-10; - i1=cptcoveff; - if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/ - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******"); - printf("\n#******"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******"); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - } - fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); - printf("******\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); + free_ivector(wav,1,imx); + free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_lvector(num,1,n); + free_vector(agedc,1,n); + /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ + /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ + fclose(ficparo); + fclose(ficres); + + + /*--------------- Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/ + + strcpy(filerespl,"pl"); + strcat(filerespl,fileres); + if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; + } + printf("Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); + pstamp(ficrespl); + fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence \n"); + fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i); + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + + prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + + agebase=ageminpar; + agelim=agemaxpar; + ftolpl=1.e-10; + i1=cptcoveff; + if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} + + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/ + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******"); + printf("\n#******"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******"); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + } + fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); + printf("******\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); - for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ - prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); - fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age ); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ + prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); + fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age ); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + } } } - } - fclose(ficrespl); + fclose(ficrespl); - /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ + /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ - strcpy(filerespij,"pij"); strcat(filerespij,fileres); - if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; - } - printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); + strcpy(filerespij,"pij"); strcat(filerespij,fileres); + if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; + } + printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); - stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; - /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/ - - agelim=AGESUP; - hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ - hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ + stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; + /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/ - /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ + agelim=AGESUP; + hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n"); + /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ + pstamp(ficrespij); + fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x "); + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n"); - for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */ - nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ - nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */ + for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */ - /* nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/ + /* nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/ - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); - fprintf(ficrespij,"# Age"); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); - for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %f %f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j="); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); } - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); } } - } - - varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax); - - fclose(ficrespij); - - - /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ - if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){ - prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1); - if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1); - } - else{ - erreur=108; - printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); - } - - - /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ - - strcpy(filerest,"t"); - strcat(filerest,fileres); - if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; - } - printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); - - - strcpy(filerese,"e"); - strcat(filerese,fileres); - if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); - strcpy(fileresv,"v"); - strcat(fileresv,fileres); - if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); + varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart); - calagedate=-1; + fclose(ficrespij); - prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate); + probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) + for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++) + for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++) + probs[i][j][k]=0.; + + /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ + /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/ + if(prevfcast==1){ + /* if(stepm ==1){*/ + prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff); + /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/ + /* } */ + /* else{ */ + /* erreur=108; */ + /* printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ + /* fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ + /* } */ + } + + + /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ + + strcpy(filerest,"t"); + strcat(filerest,fileres); + if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; + } + printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); + + + strcpy(filerese,"e"); + strcat(filerese,fileres); + if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); + + strcpy(fileresstde,"stde"); + strcat(fileresstde,fileres); + if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde); + + strcpy(filerescve,"cve"); + strcat(filerescve,fileres); + if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve); + + strcpy(fileresv,"v"); + strcat(fileresv,fileres); + if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); + + /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */ + prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + /* printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d, mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\ + ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + */ - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + if (mobilav!=0) { + mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ + fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + } } - } - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficrest,"******\n"); - - fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); - - fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n"); - - eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov); - - vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav); - if(popbased==1){ - varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav); - } + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficrest,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** "); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + } + fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n"); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n"); + eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart); + cvevsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart); - fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) "); - for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i); - fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); - - epj=vector(1,nlstate+1); - for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){ - prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); - if (popbased==1) { - if(mobilav ==0){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k]; - }else{ /* mobilav */ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k]; - } - } - - fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age); - for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){ - for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) { - epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age]; - /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ - } - epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j]; + vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav, strstart); + if(popbased==1){ + varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav, strstart); } - for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++) - vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age]; - fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp)); - for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){ - fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age])); - } + pstamp(ficrest); + fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n# Age ( e.. (std) "); + for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i); fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); - } - free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); - free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); - free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1); - } - } - free_vector(weight,1,n); - free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2); - free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); - free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); - free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); - free_ivector(cod,1,n); - free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX); - fclose(ficreseij); - fclose(ficresvij); - fclose(ficrest); - fclose(ficpar); - - /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/ - - strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); - strcat(fileresvpl,fileres); - if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl); - exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl); - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); + epj=vector(1,nlstate+1); + for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){ + prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); + if (popbased==1) { + if(mobilav ==0){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k]; + }else{ /* mobilav */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k]; + } + } + + fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age); + for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){ + for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) { + epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age]; + /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ + } + epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j]; + } + + for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++) + vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age]; + fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp)); + for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){ + fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age])); + } + fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); + } + free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1); + } + } + free_vector(weight,1,n); + free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2); + free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); + free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); + free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); + free_ivector(cod,1,n); + free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX); + fclose(ficreseij); + fclose(ficresstdeij); + fclose(ficrescveij); + fclose(ficresvij); + fclose(ficrest); + fclose(ficpar); + + /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/ + + strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); + strcat(fileresvpl,fileres); + if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl); + exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl); + + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); - varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k); - free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k,strstart); + free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + } } - } - - fclose(ficresvpl); - /*---------- End : free ----------------*/ - free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - - free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar); - free_vector(delti,1,npar); - free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx); - free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8); - free_ivector(Tvar,1,15); - free_ivector(Tprod,1,15); - free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15); - free_ivector(Tage,1,15); - free_ivector(Tcode,1,100); - - fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); - fclose(fichtm); - fclose(ficgp); - + fclose(ficresvpl); - if(erreur >0){ - printf("End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur); - fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur); + /*---------- End : free ----------------*/ + if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + + } /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */ + free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n); + free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar); + /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/ + free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx); + free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + + free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8); + free_ivector(Tvar,1,15); + free_ivector(Tprod,1,15); + free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15); + free_ivector(Tage,1,15); + free_ivector(Tcode,1,100); + + free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); + free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); + fflush(fichtm); + fflush(ficgp); + + + if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){ + printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn); + fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn); }else{ - printf("End of Imach\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n"); + printf("End of Imach\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n"); } printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog); - fclose(ficlog); /* gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/ /* after time */ - - /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/ - /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/ + (void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp); + tm = *localtime(&end_time.tv_sec); + tmg = *gmtime(&end_time.tv_sec); + strcpy(strtend,asctime(&tm)); + printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end %s",strstart, strtend); + fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end %s\n",strstart, strtend); + printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout)); + + printf("Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec); + fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout)); + fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec); + /* printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/ +/* if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */ + fprintf(fichtm,"
Local time at start %s
Local time at end %s
\n",strstart, strtend); + fclose(fichtm); + fprintf(fichtmcov,"
Local time at start %s
Local time at end %s
\n",strstart, strtend); + fclose(fichtmcov); + fclose(ficgp); + fclose(ficlog); /*------ End -----------*/ - end: -#ifdef windows - /* chdir(pathcd);*/ -#endif - /*system("wgnuplot graph.plt");*/ - /*system("../gp37mgw/wgnuplot graph.plt");*/ - /*system("cd ../gp37mgw");*/ - /* system("..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot graph.plt");*/ - strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM); - strcat(plotcmd," "); - strcat(plotcmd,optionfilegnuplot); - printf("Starting: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); - system(plotcmd); - /*#ifdef windows*/ + printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd); + if(chdir(pathcd) != 0) + printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path); + if(getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) + printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd); + /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/ + sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot"); +#ifndef UNIX + sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach); +#endif + if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){ + printf("Error gnuplot program not found: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); + if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){ + printf("Error gnuplot program not found: %s Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); + }else + strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd); +#ifdef UNIX + strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM); + if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){ + printf("Error gnuplot program not found: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); + }else + strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd); +#endif + }else + strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd); + + sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot); + printf("Starting graphs with: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); + + if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){ + printf("\n Problem with gnuplot\n"); + } + printf(" Wait..."); while (z[0] != 'q') { /* chdir(path); */ - printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again, c to start again, and q for exiting: "); + printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again and q for exiting: "); scanf("%s",z); - if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); - else if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm); +/* if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */ + if (z[0] == 'e') { + printf("Starting browser with: %s",optionfilehtm);fflush(stdout); + system(optionfilehtm); + } else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd); else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0); } - /*#endif */ + end: + while (z[0] != 'q') { + printf("\nType q for exiting: "); + scanf("%s",z); + } } +