Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.19

1.2       lievre      1:     
                      2: /*********************** Imach **************************************        
                      3:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies from cross-longitudinal 
                      4:   data. Cross-longitudinal consist in a first survey ("cross") where 
                      5:   individuals from different ages are interviewed on their health status
                      6:   or degree of  disability. At least a second wave of interviews 
                      7:   ("longitudinal") should  measure each new individual health status. 
                      8:   Health expectancies are computed from the transistions observed between 
                      9:   waves and are computed for each degree of severity of disability (number
                     10:   of life states). More degrees you consider, more time is necessary to
1.11      lievre     11:   reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model. 
1.2       lievre     12:   The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is
                     13:   the probabibility to be observed in state j at the second wave conditional
                     14:   to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore the model is:
                     15:   log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' 
                     16:   is a covariate. If you want to have a more complex model than "constant and
                     17:   age", you should modify the program where the markup 
                     18:     *Covariates have to be included here again* invites you to do it.
                     19:   More covariates you add, less is the speed of the convergence.
                     20: 
                     21:   The advantage that this computer programme claims, comes from that if the 
                     22:   delay between waves is not identical for each individual, or if some 
                     23:   individual missed an interview, the information is not rounded or lost, but
                     24:   taken into account using an interpolation or extrapolation.
1.12      lievre     25:   hPijx is the probability to be 
1.2       lievre     26:   observed in state i at age x+h conditional to the observed state i at age 
                     27:   x. The delay 'h' can be split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of 
                     28:   unobserved intermediate  states. This elementary transition (by month or 
                     29:   quarter trimester, semester or year) is model as a multinomial logistic. 
                     30:   The hPx matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                     31:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply hPijx.
                     32: 
                     33:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
                     34:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the prevalence limits. 
                     35:   
                     36:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                     37:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
                     38:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                     39:   from the European Union.
                     40:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                     41:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                     42:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                     43:   **********************************************************************/
                     44:  
                     45: #include <math.h>
                     46: #include <stdio.h>
                     47: #include <stdlib.h>
                     48: #include <unistd.h>
                     49: 
                     50: #define MAXLINE 256
                     51: #define FILENAMELENGTH 80
                     52: /*#define DEBUG*/
                     53: #define windows
1.5       lievre     54: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                     55: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                     56: 
1.2       lievre     57: #define MAXPARM 30 /* Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                     58: #define NPARMAX 64 /* (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
                     59: 
                     60: #define NINTERVMAX 8
                     61: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /* Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                     62: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /* Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                     63: #define NCOVMAX 8 /* Maximum number of covariates */
1.3       lievre     64: #define MAXN 20000
1.2       lievre     65: #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */
                     66: #define AGESUP 130
                     67: #define AGEBASE 40
                     68: 
                     69: 
                     70: int nvar;
1.8       lievre     71: int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;
1.2       lievre     72: int npar=NPARMAX;
                     73: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                     74: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
                     75: int ncovmodel, ncov;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.15      lievre     76: int popbased=0;
1.2       lievre     77: 
                     78: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
                     79: int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */
1.8       lievre     80: int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
1.2       lievre     81: int mle, weightopt;
                     82: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                     83: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
1.8       lievre     84: double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.2       lievre     85: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                     86: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.13      lievre     87: FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf;
1.16      lievre     88: FILE *ficgp, *fichtm,*ficresprob,*ficpop;
1.2       lievre     89: FILE *ficreseij;
                     90:   char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                     91:  FILE  *ficresvij;
                     92:   char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
                     93:  FILE  *ficresvpl;
                     94:   char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
                     95: 
                     96: #define NR_END 1
                     97: #define FREE_ARG char*
                     98: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                     99: 
                    100: #define NRANSI 
                    101: #define ITMAX 200 
                    102: 
                    103: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                    104: 
                    105: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                    106: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                    107: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                    108: 
                    109: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                    110: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                    111: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                    112: 
                    113: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                    114: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                    115: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                    116:  
                    117: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                    118: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
                    119: 
                    120: static double sqrarg;
                    121: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                    122: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                    123: 
                    124: int imx; 
                    125: int stepm;
                    126: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                    127: 
                    128: int m,nb;
1.6       lievre    129: int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;
1.2       lievre    130: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.13      lievre    131: double **pmmij, ***probs, ***mobaverage;
1.19    ! lievre    132: double dateintmean=0;
1.2       lievre    133: 
                    134: double *weight;
                    135: int **s; /* Status */
                    136: double *agedc, **covar, idx;
1.7       lievre    137: int **nbcode, *Tcode, *Tvar, **codtab, **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;
1.2       lievre    138: 
                    139: double ftol=FTOL; /* Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                    140: double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for computing hessian */
                    141: 
1.7       lievre    142: /**************** split *************************/
1.5       lievre    143: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name )
                    144: {
                    145:    char        *s;                             /* pointer */
                    146:    int l1, l2;                         /* length counters */
                    147: 
                    148:    l1 = strlen( path );                        /* length of path */
                    149:    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                    150:    s = strrchr( path, '\\' );          /* find last / */
                    151:    if ( s == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so use current */
                    152: #if    defined(__bsd__)                /* get current working directory */
                    153:       extern char      *getwd( );
                    154: 
                    155:       if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) {
                    156: #else
                    157:       extern char      *getcwd( );
                    158: 
                    159:       if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                    160: #endif
                    161:          return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                    162:       }
                    163:       strcpy( name, path );            /* we've got it */
                    164:    } else {                            /* strip direcotry from path */
                    165:       s++;                             /* after this, the filename */
                    166:       l2 = strlen( s );                        /* length of filename */
                    167:       if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                    168:       strcpy( name, s );               /* save file name */
                    169:       strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );  /* now the directory */
                    170:       dirc[l1-l2] = 0;                 /* add zero */
                    171:    }
                    172:    l1 = strlen( dirc );                        /* length of directory */
                    173:    if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }
                    174:    return( 0 );                                /* we're done */
                    175: }
                    176: 
                    177: 
1.2       lievre    178: /******************************************/
                    179: 
                    180: void replace(char *s, char*t)
                    181: {
                    182:   int i;
                    183:   int lg=20;
                    184:   i=0;
                    185:   lg=strlen(t);
                    186:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                    187:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                    188:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                    189:   }
                    190: }
                    191: 
                    192: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                    193: {
                    194:   int i,j=0;
                    195:   int lg=20;
                    196:   i=0;
                    197:   lg=strlen(s);
                    198:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                    199:   if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
                    200:   }
                    201:   return j;
                    202: }
                    203: 
                    204: void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)
                    205: {
1.6       lievre    206:   int i,lg,j,p=0;
1.2       lievre    207:   i=0;
                    208:   for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {
1.3       lievre    209:     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1;
1.2       lievre    210:   }
                    211: 
                    212:   lg=strlen(t);
                    213:   for(j=0; j<p; j++) {
                    214:     (u[j] = t[j]);
                    215:   }
1.6       lievre    216:      u[p]='\0';
1.2       lievre    217: 
                    218:    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) {
                    219:     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]);
                    220:   }
                    221: }
                    222: 
                    223: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                    224: 
                    225: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                    226: {
                    227:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                    228:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                    229:   exit(1);
                    230: }
                    231: /*********************** vector *******************/
                    232: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                    233: {
                    234:   double *v;
                    235:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                    236:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                    237:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                    238: }
                    239: 
                    240: /************************ free vector ******************/
                    241: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                    242: {
                    243:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                    244: }
                    245: 
                    246: /************************ivector *******************************/
                    247: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                    248: {
                    249:   int *v;
                    250:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                    251:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                    252:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                    253: }
                    254: 
                    255: /******************free ivector **************************/
                    256: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                    257: {
                    258:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                    259: }
                    260: 
                    261: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                    262: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                    263:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                    264: { 
                    265:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                    266:   int **m; 
                    267:   
                    268:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                    269:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                    270:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                    271:   m += NR_END; 
                    272:   m -= nrl; 
                    273:   
                    274:   
                    275:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                    276:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                    277:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                    278:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                    279:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                    280:   
                    281:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                    282:   
                    283:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                    284:   return m; 
                    285: } 
                    286: 
                    287: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                    288: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                    289:       int **m;
                    290:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                    291:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                    292: { 
                    293:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                    294:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                    295: } 
                    296: 
                    297: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                    298: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                    299: {
                    300:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                    301:   double **m;
                    302: 
                    303:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                    304:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                    305:   m += NR_END;
                    306:   m -= nrl;
                    307: 
                    308:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                    309:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                    310:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                    311:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                    312: 
                    313:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                    314:   return m;
                    315: }
                    316: 
                    317: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                    318: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                    319: {
                    320:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                    321:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                    322: }
                    323: 
                    324: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                    325: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                    326: {
                    327:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                    328:   double ***m;
                    329: 
                    330:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                    331:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                    332:   m += NR_END;
                    333:   m -= nrl;
                    334: 
                    335:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                    336:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                    337:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                    338:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                    339: 
                    340:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                    341: 
                    342:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                    343:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                    344:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                    345:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                    346:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                    347:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                    348:   
                    349:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                    350:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                    351:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                    352:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                    353:   }
                    354:   return m;
                    355: }
                    356: 
                    357: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                    358: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                    359: {
                    360:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                    361:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                    362:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                    363: }
                    364: 
                    365: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                    366: extern int ncom; 
                    367: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                    368: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                    369:  
                    370: double f1dim(double x) 
                    371: { 
                    372:   int j; 
                    373:   double f;
                    374:   double *xt; 
                    375:  
                    376:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                    377:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                    378:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                    379:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                    380:   return f; 
                    381: } 
                    382: 
                    383: /*****************brent *************************/
                    384: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
                    385: { 
                    386:   int iter; 
                    387:   double a,b,d,etemp;
                    388:   double fu,fv,fw,fx;
                    389:   double ftemp;
                    390:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                    391:   double e=0.0; 
                    392:  
                    393:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                    394:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                    395:   x=w=v=bx; 
                    396:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                    397:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                    398:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                    399:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                    400:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                    401:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                    402: #ifdef DEBUG
                    403:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                    404:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                    405: #endif
                    406:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                    407:       *xmin=x; 
                    408:       return fx; 
                    409:     } 
                    410:     ftemp=fu;
                    411:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                    412:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                    413:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                    414:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                    415:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                    416:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                    417:       q=fabs(q); 
                    418:       etemp=e; 
                    419:       e=d; 
                    420:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
                    421:        d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                    422:       else { 
                    423:        d=p/q; 
                    424:        u=x+d; 
                    425:        if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                    426:          d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
                    427:       } 
                    428:     } else { 
                    429:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                    430:     } 
                    431:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                    432:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                    433:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                    434:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                    435:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
                    436:        SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                    437:        } else { 
                    438:          if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                    439:          if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
                    440:            v=w; 
                    441:            w=u; 
                    442:            fv=fw; 
                    443:            fw=fu; 
                    444:          } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
                    445:            v=u; 
                    446:            fv=fu; 
                    447:          } 
                    448:        } 
                    449:   } 
                    450:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                    451:   *xmin=x; 
                    452:   return fx; 
                    453: } 
                    454: 
                    455: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                    456: 
                    457: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                    458:            double (*func)(double)) 
                    459: { 
                    460:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                    461:   double fu; 
                    462:  
                    463:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); 
                    464:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); 
                    465:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                    466:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
                    467:       SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                    468:       } 
                    469:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                    470:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
                    471:   while (*fb > *fc) { 
                    472:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
                    473:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); 
                    474:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
                    475:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); 
                    476:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); 
                    477:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { 
                    478:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                    479:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { 
                    480:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                    481:       if (fu < *fc) { 
                    482:        SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                    483:          SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                    484:          } 
                    485:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { 
                    486:       u=ulim; 
                    487:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                    488:     } else { 
                    489:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                    490:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                    491:     } 
                    492:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
                    493:       SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                    494:       } 
                    495: } 
                    496: 
                    497: /*************** linmin ************************/
                    498: 
                    499: int ncom; 
                    500: double *pcom,*xicom;
                    501: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                    502:  
                    503: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
                    504: { 
                    505:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                    506:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                    507:   double f1dim(double x); 
                    508:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                    509:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                    510:   int j; 
                    511:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                    512:   double fx,fb,fa;
                    513:  
                    514:   ncom=n; 
                    515:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                    516:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                    517:   nrfunc=func; 
                    518:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                    519:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
                    520:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; 
                    521:   } 
                    522:   ax=0.0; 
                    523:   xx=1.0; 
                    524:   mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim); 
                    525:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); 
                    526: #ifdef DEBUG
                    527:   printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
                    528: #endif
                    529:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                    530:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                    531:     p[j] += xi[j]; 
                    532:   } 
                    533:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                    534:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                    535: } 
                    536: 
                    537: /*************** powell ************************/
                    538: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                    539:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                    540: { 
                    541:   void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
                    542:              double (*func)(double [])); 
                    543:   int i,ibig,j; 
                    544:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
                    545:   double fp,fptt;
                    546:   double *xits;
                    547:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                    548:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                    549:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                    550:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                    551:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                    552:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
                    553:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
                    554:     fp=(*fret); 
                    555:     ibig=0; 
                    556:     del=0.0; 
                    557:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);
                    558:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) 
                    559:       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
                    560:     printf("\n");
                    561:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                    562:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; 
                    563:       fptt=(*fret); 
                    564: #ifdef DEBUG
                    565:       printf("fret=%lf \n",*fret);
                    566: #endif
                    567:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
                    568:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); 
                    569:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { 
                    570:        del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                    571:        ibig=i; 
                    572:       } 
                    573: #ifdef DEBUG
                    574:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                    575:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                    576:        xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                    577:        printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                    578:       }
                    579:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                    580:        printf(" p=%.12e",p[j]);
                    581:       printf("\n");
                    582: #endif
                    583:     } 
                    584:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) {
                    585: #ifdef DEBUG
                    586:       int k[2],l;
                    587:       k[0]=1;
                    588:       k[1]=-1;
                    589:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                    590:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                    591:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                    592:       printf("\n");
                    593:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                    594:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                    595:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                    596:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                    597:        }
                    598:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                    599:       }
                    600: #endif
                    601: 
                    602: 
                    603:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                    604:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                    605:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                    606:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                    607:       return; 
                    608:     } 
                    609:     if (*iter == ITMAX) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
                    610:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                    611:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                    612:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                    613:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                    614:     } 
                    615:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); 
                    616:     if (fptt < fp) { 
                    617:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); 
                    618:       if (t < 0.0) { 
                    619:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); 
                    620:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                    621:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; 
                    622:          xi[j][n]=xit[j]; 
                    623:        }
                    624: #ifdef DEBUG
                    625:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                    626:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++)
                    627:          printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);
                    628:        printf("\n");
                    629: #endif
                    630:       } 
                    631:     } 
                    632:   } 
                    633: } 
                    634: 
                    635: /**** Prevalence limit ****************/
                    636: 
                    637: double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)
                    638: {
                    639:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit
                    640:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached */
                    641: 
                    642:   int i, ii,j,k;
                    643:   double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                    644:   double **matprod2();
                    645:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX], **pmij();
                    646:   double **newm;
                    647:   double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */
                    648: 
                    649:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                    650:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                    651:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                    652:     }
1.6       lievre    653: 
                    654:    cov[1]=1.;
                    655:  
                    656:  /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.2       lievre    657:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
                    658:     newm=savm;
                    659:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.6       lievre    660:      cov[2]=agefin;
                    661:   
                    662:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
1.7       lievre    663:        cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
                    664:        /*printf("ij=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf\n",ij, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k]);*/
1.6       lievre    665:       }
                    666:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)
                    667:        cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
1.7       lievre    668:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                    669:        cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
                    670: 
                    671:       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                    672:       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                    673: 
1.2       lievre    674:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
                    675: 
                    676:     savm=oldm;
                    677:     oldm=newm;
                    678:     maxmax=0.;
                    679:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++){
                    680:       min=1.;
                    681:       max=0.;
                    682:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) {
                    683:        sumnew=0;
                    684:        for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                    685:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                    686:        max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);
                    687:        min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);
                    688:       }
                    689:       maxmin=max-min;
                    690:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,maxmin);
                    691:     }
                    692:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
                    693:       return prlim;
                    694:     }
                    695:   }
                    696: }
                    697: 
1.12      lievre    698: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
1.2       lievre    699: 
                    700: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                    701: {
                    702:   double s1, s2;
                    703:   /*double t34;*/
                    704:   int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;
                    705: 
                    706:     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                    707:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                    708:       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                    709:        /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                    710:        s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                    711:        /*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
                    712:       }
                    713:       ps[i][j]=s2;
                    714:       /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
                    715:     }
                    716:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                    717:       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                    718:        s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                    719:        /*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/
                    720:       }
1.12      lievre    721:       ps[i][j]=(s2);
1.2       lievre    722:     }
                    723:   }
1.12      lievre    724:     /*ps[3][2]=1;*/
                    725: 
1.2       lievre    726:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                    727:      s1=0;
                    728:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                    729:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
                    730:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                    731:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
                    732:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                    733:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                    734:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                    735:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                    736:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                    737:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                    738:   } /* end i */
                    739: 
                    740:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                    741:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                    742:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                    743:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                    744:     }
                    745:   }
                    746: 
1.12      lievre    747: 
1.2       lievre    748:   /*   for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                    749:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                    750:      printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]);
                    751:    }
                    752:     printf("\n ");
                    753:     }
                    754:     printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                    755: /*
                    756:   for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                    757:   goto end;*/
                    758:     return ps;
                    759: }
                    760: 
                    761: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                    762: 
                    763: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long ncolol, long ncoloh, double **b)
                    764: {
1.13      lievre    765:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
1.2       lievre    766:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                    767:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                    768:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                    769:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
                    770:   long i, j, k;
                    771:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
                    772:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++)
                    773:       for(j=ncl,out[i][k]=0.; j<=nch; j++)
                    774:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                    775: 
                    776:   return out;
                    777: }
                    778: 
                    779: 
                    780: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                    781: 
                    782: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )
                    783: {
                    784:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' month 
                    785:      duration (i.e. until
                    786:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    787:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                    788:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big).
                    789:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                    790:      included manually here. 
                    791: 
                    792:      */
                    793: 
                    794:   int i, j, d, h, k;
                    795:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX];
                    796:   double **newm;
                    797: 
                    798:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                    799:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                    800:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                    801:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                    802:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                    803:     }
                    804:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                    805:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                    806:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                    807:       newm=savm;
                    808:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                    809:       cov[1]=1.;
                    810:       cov[2]=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;
1.7       lievre    811:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
1.12      lievre    812:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)
1.7       lievre    813:        cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
1.12      lievre    814:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
1.7       lievre    815:        cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
                    816: 
                    817: 
1.2       lievre    818:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                    819:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
                    820:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                    821:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                    822:       savm=oldm;
                    823:       oldm=newm;
                    824:     }
                    825:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                    826:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                    827:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                    828:        /*printf("i=%d j=%d h=%d po[i][j][h]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);
                    829:         */
                    830:       }
                    831:   } /* end h */
                    832:   return po;
                    833: }
                    834: 
                    835: 
                    836: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                    837: double func( double *x)
                    838: {
1.6       lievre    839:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.2       lievre    840:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];
                    841:   double **out;
                    842:   double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                    843:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                    844:   long ipmx;
                    845:   /*extern weight */
                    846:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                    847:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                    848:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
1.8       lievre    849:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
1.2       lievre    850:   */
1.6       lievre    851:   cov[1]=1.;
1.2       lievre    852: 
                    853:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
                    854:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.6       lievre    855:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
1.8       lievre    856:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.2       lievre    857:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                    858:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.8       lievre    859:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                    860:        newm=savm;
                    861:        cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                    862:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                    863:          cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                    864:        }
                    865:        
                    866:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    867:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                    868:        savm=oldm;
                    869:        oldm=newm;
                    870:        
                    871:        
1.2       lievre    872:       } /* end mult */
1.8       lievre    873:       
1.2       lievre    874:       lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);
                    875:       /* printf(" %f ",out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/
                    876:       ipmx +=1;
                    877:       sw += weight[i];
                    878:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                    879:     } /* end of wave */
                    880:   } /* end of individual */
                    881: 
                    882:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                    883:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                    884:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                    885:   return -l;
                    886: }
                    887: 
                    888: 
                    889: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                    890: 
                    891: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                    892: {
                    893:   int i,j, iter;
                    894:   double **xi,*delti;
                    895:   double fret;
                    896:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                    897:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                    898:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                    899:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                    900:   printf("Powell\n");
                    901:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
                    902: 
                    903:    printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));
                    904:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f ",iter,func(p));
                    905: 
                    906: }
                    907: 
                    908: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
                    909: void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
                    910: {
                    911:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
                    912:   double **hess;
                    913:   int i, j,jk;
                    914:   int *indx;
                    915: 
                    916:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]);
                    917:   double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j);
                    918:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                    919:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                    920: 
                    921:   hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                    922: 
                    923:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                    924:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
                    925:     printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
                    926:     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);
                    927:     /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/
1.12      lievre    928:     /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/
1.2       lievre    929:   }
1.12      lievre    930:   
1.2       lievre    931:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                    932:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                    933:       if (j>i) { 
                    934:        printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                    935:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);
1.12      lievre    936:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                    937:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
1.2       lievre    938:       }
                    939:     }
                    940:   }
                    941:   printf("\n");
                    942: 
                    943:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                    944:   
                    945:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                    946:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                    947:   x=vector(1,npar);
                    948:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                    949:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                    950:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                    951:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                    952: 
                    953:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                    954:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                    955:     x[j]=1;
                    956:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                    957:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                    958:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                    959:     }
                    960:   }
                    961: 
                    962:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                    963:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                    964:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
                    965:       printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);
                    966:     }
                    967:     printf("\n");
                    968:   }
                    969: 
                    970:   /* Recompute Inverse */
                    971:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                    972:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j];
                    973:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                    974: 
                    975:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n");
                    976: 
                    977:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                    978:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                    979:     x[j]=1;
                    980:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                    981:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                    982:       y[i][j]=x[i];
                    983:       printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);
                    984:     }
                    985:     printf("\n");
                    986:   }
                    987:   */
                    988: 
                    989:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                    990:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                    991:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                    992:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
                    993:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                    994: 
                    995: 
                    996: }
                    997: 
                    998: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                    999: double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[])
                   1000: {
                   1001:   int i;
                   1002:   int l=1, lmax=20;
                   1003:   double k1,k2;
                   1004:   double p2[NPARMAX+1];
                   1005:   double res;
                   1006:   double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   1007:   double fx;
                   1008:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   1009:   double l1;
                   1010: 
                   1011:   fx=func(x);
                   1012:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
                   1013:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){
                   1014:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   1015:     delts=delt;
                   1016:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   1017:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   1018:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
                   1019:       k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   1020:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   1021:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   1022:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
                   1023:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */
                   1024:       
                   1025: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1026:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   1027: #endif
                   1028:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   1029:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   1030:        k=kmax;
                   1031:       }
                   1032:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
                   1033:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10.;
                   1034:       }
                   1035:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   1036:        delts=delt;
                   1037:       }
                   1038:     }
                   1039:   }
                   1040:   delti[theta]=delts;
1.12      lievre   1041:   return res; 
1.3       lievre   1042:   
1.2       lievre   1043: }
                   1044: 
                   1045: double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj)
                   1046: {
                   1047:   int i;
                   1048:   int l=1, l1, lmax=20;
                   1049:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
                   1050:   double p2[NPARMAX+1];
                   1051:   int k;
                   1052: 
                   1053:   fx=func(x);
                   1054:   for (k=1; k<=2; k++) {
                   1055:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
                   1056:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;
                   1057:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;
                   1058:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   1059:   
                   1060:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k;
                   1061:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;
                   1062:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   1063:   
                   1064:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;
                   1065:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k;
                   1066:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   1067:   
                   1068:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k;
                   1069:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k;
                   1070:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
                   1071:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   1072: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1073:     printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   1074: #endif
                   1075:   }
                   1076:   return res;
                   1077: }
                   1078: 
                   1079: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   1080: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   1081: { 
                   1082:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   1083:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   1084:   double *vv; 
                   1085:  
                   1086:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   1087:   *d=1.0; 
                   1088:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   1089:     big=0.0; 
                   1090:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   1091:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
                   1092:     if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   1093:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   1094:   } 
                   1095:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   1096:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   1097:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   1098:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   1099:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   1100:     } 
                   1101:     big=0.0; 
                   1102:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   1103:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   1104:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   1105:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   1106:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   1107:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   1108:        big=dum; 
                   1109:        imax=i; 
                   1110:       } 
                   1111:     } 
                   1112:     if (j != imax) { 
                   1113:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   1114:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   1115:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   1116:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   1117:       } 
                   1118:       *d = -(*d); 
                   1119:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   1120:     } 
                   1121:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   1122:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   1123:     if (j != n) { 
                   1124:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   1125:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   1126:     } 
                   1127:   } 
                   1128:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   1129: ;
                   1130: } 
                   1131: 
                   1132: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   1133: { 
                   1134:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   1135:   double sum; 
                   1136:  
                   1137:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   1138:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   1139:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   1140:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   1141:     if (ii) 
                   1142:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   1143:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   1144:     b[i]=sum; 
                   1145:   } 
                   1146:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   1147:     sum=b[i]; 
                   1148:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   1149:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   1150:   } 
                   1151: } 
                   1152: 
                   1153: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.19    ! lievre   1154: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2)
1.2       lievre   1155: {  /* Some frequencies */
                   1156:  
1.18      lievre   1157:   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
1.2       lievre   1158:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
                   1159:   double *pp;
1.19    ! lievre   1160:   double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
1.2       lievre   1161:   FILE *ficresp;
                   1162:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1163: 
                   1164:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.19    ! lievre   1165:   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
1.2       lievre   1166:   strcpy(fileresp,"p");
                   1167:   strcat(fileresp,fileres);
                   1168:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   1169:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   1170:     exit(0);
                   1171:   }
                   1172:   freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
                   1173:   j1=0;
                   1174: 
1.7       lievre   1175:   j=cptcoveff;
1.2       lievre   1176:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   1177: 
                   1178:   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){
                   1179:    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
                   1180:        j1++;
1.8       lievre   1181:        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   1182:         scanf("%d", i);*/
1.2       lievre   1183:         for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
                   1184:         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
                   1185:           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
                   1186:             freq[i][jk][m]=0;
1.19    ! lievre   1187: 
        !          1188:        dateintsum=0;
        !          1189:        k2cpt=0;
1.2       lievre   1190:        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   1191:         bool=1;
                   1192:         if  (cptcovn>0) {
1.7       lievre   1193:           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
1.8       lievre   1194:             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]) 
                   1195:               bool=0;
1.2       lievre   1196:         }
1.18      lievre   1197:         if (bool==1) {
1.19    ! lievre   1198:           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
        !          1199:             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
        !          1200:             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
1.18      lievre   1201:               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
                   1202:               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
                   1203:               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                   1204:               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];
1.19    ! lievre   1205:               if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {
        !          1206:                 dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
        !          1207:                 k2cpt++;
        !          1208:               }
        !          1209: 
1.18      lievre   1210:             }
                   1211:           }
1.19    ! lievre   1212:         }
1.2       lievre   1213:        }
                   1214:         if  (cptcovn>0) {
1.7       lievre   1215:         fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   1216:         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
                   1217:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
1.8       lievre   1218:        }
1.2       lievre   1219:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) 
                   1220:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
                   1221:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
                   1222:        
                   1223:   for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
                   1224:     if(i==(int)agemax+3)
                   1225:       printf("Total");
                   1226:     else
                   1227:       printf("Age %d", i);
                   1228:     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1229:       for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
1.14      lievre   1230:        pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; 
1.2       lievre   1231:     }
                   1232:     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1233:       for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
                   1234:        pos += freq[jk][m][i];
                   1235:       if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)
                   1236:        printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
                   1237:       else
                   1238:         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   1239:     }
1.14      lievre   1240: 
                   1241:      for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1242:       for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
1.2       lievre   1243:        pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
1.14      lievre   1244:      }
                   1245: 
1.2       lievre   1246:     for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)
                   1247:       pos += pp[jk];
                   1248:     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1249:       if(pos>=1.e-5)
                   1250:        printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
                   1251:       else
                   1252:        printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   1253:       if( i <= (int) agemax){
1.13      lievre   1254:        if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.2       lievre   1255:          fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);
1.13      lievre   1256:          probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
                   1257:          /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
                   1258:        }
1.2       lievre   1259:       else
                   1260:          fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);
                   1261:       }
                   1262:     }
                   1263:     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
                   1264:       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
                   1265:        if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
                   1266:     if(i <= (int) agemax)
                   1267:       fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
                   1268:     printf("\n");
                   1269:     }
                   1270:     }
                   1271:  }
1.19    ! lievre   1272:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.2       lievre   1273:  
                   1274:   fclose(ficresp);
                   1275:   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
                   1276:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   1277: 
1.19    ! lievre   1278:   /* End of Freq */
        !          1279: }
1.2       lievre   1280: 
1.15      lievre   1281: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.19    ! lievre   1282: void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)
1.15      lievre   1283: {  /* Some frequencies */
                   1284:  
                   1285:   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
                   1286:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
                   1287:   double *pp;
1.18      lievre   1288:   double pos, k2;
1.15      lievre   1289: 
                   1290:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.19    ! lievre   1291:   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
1.15      lievre   1292:   
                   1293:   freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
                   1294:   j1=0;
                   1295:   
                   1296:   j=cptcoveff;
                   1297:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   1298:   
                   1299:  for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){
                   1300:     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
                   1301:       j1++;
                   1302:  
                   1303:       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
                   1304:        for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
                   1305:          for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
1.19    ! lievre   1306:            freq[i][jk][m]=0;
1.15      lievre   1307:       
                   1308:       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   1309:        bool=1;
                   1310:        if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   1311:          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
                   1312:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]) 
                   1313:              bool=0;
1.19    ! lievre   1314:        }
        !          1315:        if (bool==1) { 
        !          1316:          for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
        !          1317:            k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
        !          1318:            if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
1.18      lievre   1319:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
                   1320:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
1.19    ! lievre   1321:              freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-1/12.)] += weight[i];
        !          1322:              freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i];   
1.18      lievre   1323:            }
1.15      lievre   1324:          }
                   1325:        }
                   1326:       }
1.19    ! lievre   1327:       
1.18      lievre   1328:        for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ 
                   1329:          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1330:            for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   1331:              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; 
                   1332:          }
                   1333:          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1334:            for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.15      lievre   1335:            pos += freq[jk][m][i];
                   1336:        }
                   1337:        
                   1338:         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   1339:           for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
                   1340:             pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
                   1341:         }
                   1342:         
                   1343:         for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];
                   1344: 
                   1345:         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){           
                   1346:           if( i <= (int) agemax){
                   1347:             if(pos>=1.e-5){
                   1348:               probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
                   1349:             }
                   1350:           }
                   1351:         }
                   1352:         
1.18      lievre   1353:        }
1.15      lievre   1354:     }
                   1355:   }
                   1356:   
                   1357:   
                   1358:   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
                   1359:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   1360:   
                   1361: }  /* End of Freq */
1.19    ! lievre   1362: 
1.2       lievre   1363: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   1364: 
                   1365: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   1366: {
                   1367:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   1368:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   1369:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   1370:      dh[m][i] of dh[mw[mi][i][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   1371:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   1372:      */
                   1373: 
                   1374:   int i, mi, m;
1.8       lievre   1375:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   1376:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.2       lievre   1377: 
1.11      lievre   1378:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   1379:   double sum=0.;
                   1380:   jmin=1e+5;
                   1381:   jmax=-1;
                   1382:   jmean=0.;
1.2       lievre   1383:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   1384:     mi=0;
                   1385:     m=firstpass;
                   1386:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){
                   1387:       if(s[m][i]>=1)
                   1388:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   1389:       if(m >=lastpass)
                   1390:        break;
                   1391:       else
                   1392:        m++;
                   1393:     }/* end while */
                   1394:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){
                   1395:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   1396:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
                   1397:         /* Only death is a correct wave */
                   1398:       mw[mi][i]=m;
                   1399:     }
                   1400: 
                   1401:     wav[i]=mi;
                   1402:     if(mi==0)
                   1403:       printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);
                   1404:   }
                   1405: 
                   1406:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   1407:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   1408:       if (stepm <=0)
                   1409:        dh[mi][i]=1;
                   1410:       else{
                   1411:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) {
1.10      lievre   1412:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
1.2       lievre   1413:          j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
1.8       lievre   1414:          if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   1415:          k=k+1;
                   1416:          if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
1.11      lievre   1417:          if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;
1.8       lievre   1418:          sum=sum+j;
1.12      lievre   1419:          /* if (j<10) printf("j=%d num=%d ",j,i); */
1.10      lievre   1420:          }
1.2       lievre   1421:        }
                   1422:        else{
                   1423:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
                   1424:          k=k+1;
                   1425:          if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
                   1426:          else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;
1.12      lievre   1427:          /*   if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
1.2       lievre   1428:          sum=sum+j;
                   1429:        }
                   1430:        jk= j/stepm;
                   1431:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   1432:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   1433:        if(jl <= -ju)
                   1434:          dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   1435:        else
                   1436:          dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   1437:        if(dh[mi][i]==0)
                   1438:          dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   1439:       }
                   1440:     }
                   1441:   }
1.8       lievre   1442:   jmean=sum/k;
                   1443:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);
1.12      lievre   1444:  }
1.2       lievre   1445: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
                   1446: void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)
                   1447: {
1.7       lievre   1448:   int Ndum[20],ij=1, k, j, i;
1.2       lievre   1449:   int cptcode=0;
1.7       lievre   1450:   cptcoveff=0; 
                   1451:  
                   1452:   for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
1.2       lievre   1453:   for (k=1; k<=7; k++) ncodemax[k]=0;
1.6       lievre   1454: 
1.7       lievre   1455:   for (j=1; j<=(cptcovn+2*cptcovprod); j++) {
1.2       lievre   1456:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   1457:       ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]);
                   1458:       Ndum[ij]++; 
1.8       lievre   1459:       /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
1.2       lievre   1460:       if (ij > cptcode) cptcode=ij; 
                   1461:     }
1.7       lievre   1462: 
1.2       lievre   1463:     for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {
                   1464:       if(Ndum[i]!=0) ncodemax[j]++;
                   1465:     }
                   1466:     ij=1; 
1.7       lievre   1467: 
1.8       lievre   1468: 
1.2       lievre   1469:     for (i=1; i<=ncodemax[j]; i++) {
1.7       lievre   1470:       for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {
1.2       lievre   1471:        if (Ndum[k] != 0) {
                   1472:          nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; 
                   1473:          ij++;
                   1474:        }
                   1475:        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break; 
                   1476:       }  
                   1477:     } 
1.7       lievre   1478:   }  
1.8       lievre   1479: 
                   1480:  for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
                   1481: 
1.12      lievre   1482:  for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {
1.7       lievre   1483:       ij=Tvar[i];
                   1484:       Ndum[ij]++; 
                   1485:     }
1.8       lievre   1486: 
1.7       lievre   1487:  ij=1;
1.8       lievre   1488:  for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {
1.7       lievre   1489:    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncov)){
1.8       lievre   1490:      Tvaraff[ij]=i; 
                   1491:      ij++;
1.7       lievre   1492:    }
                   1493:  }
                   1494:  
1.8       lievre   1495:     cptcoveff=ij-1;
1.6       lievre   1496: }
1.2       lievre   1497: 
                   1498: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   1499: 
                   1500: void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij)
                   1501: {
                   1502:   /* Health expectancies */
                   1503:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;
                   1504:   double age, agelim,hf;
                   1505:   double ***p3mat;
                   1506:   
                   1507:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");
                   1508:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   1509:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1510:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1511:       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   1512:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   1513: 
                   1514:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /*  Every j years of age (in month) */
                   1515:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   1516: 
                   1517:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   1518:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   1519:     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   1520:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   1521:     /* Typically if 20 years = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   1522:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   1523:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically 40/4=10 */
                   1524:     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   1525:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   1526:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   1527:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);  
                   1528: 
                   1529: 
                   1530:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1531:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1532:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   1533:          eij[i][j][(int)age] +=p3mat[i][j][h];
                   1534:        }
                   1535:     
                   1536:     hf=1;
                   1537:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;
                   1538:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%.0f",age );
                   1539:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1540:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   1541:        fprintf(ficreseij," %.4f", hf*eij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   1542:       }
                   1543:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   1544:     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   1545:   }
                   1546: }
                   1547: 
                   1548: /************ Variance ******************/
                   1549: void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)
                   1550: {
                   1551:   /* Variance of health expectancies */
                   1552:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   1553:   double **newm;
                   1554:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   1555:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;
                   1556:   int k, cptcode;
1.12      lievre   1557:   double *xp;
1.2       lievre   1558:   double **gp, **gm;
                   1559:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   1560:   double ***p3mat;
                   1561:   double age,agelim;
                   1562:   int theta;
                   1563: 
                   1564:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");
                   1565:   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   1566:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1567:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1568:       fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e%1d, e%1d)",i,j);
                   1569:   fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   1570: 
                   1571:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   1572:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1573:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   1574:   
                   1575:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   1576:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   1577:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   1578:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   1579:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   1580:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   1581:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   1582:     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   1583:     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   1584:     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   1585:     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   1586: 
                   1587:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   1588:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   1589:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1590:       }
                   1591:       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
                   1592:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
1.14      lievre   1593: 
                   1594:       if (popbased==1) {
                   1595:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1596:          prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   1597:       }
                   1598:       
1.2       lievre   1599:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   1600:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   1601:          for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1602:            gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   1603:        }
                   1604:       }
                   1605:     
                   1606:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   1607:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1608:       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
                   1609:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
1.14      lievre   1610: 
                   1611:       if (popbased==1) {
                   1612:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1613:          prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   1614:       }
                   1615: 
1.2       lievre   1616:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   1617:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   1618:          for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1619:            gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   1620:        }
                   1621:       }
1.14      lievre   1622: 
1.2       lievre   1623:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++)
                   1624:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   1625:          gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   1626:        }
                   1627:     } /* End theta */
                   1628: 
                   1629:     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1630: 
                   1631:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++)
                   1632:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1633:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   1634:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   1635: 
                   1636:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1637:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1638:        vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
                   1639:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   1640:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   1641:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   1642:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   1643:        for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1644:          for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1645:            vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j];
                   1646:       }
                   1647:     }
                   1648:     h=1;
                   1649:     if (stepm >= YEARM) h=stepm/YEARM;
                   1650:     fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   1651:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1652:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   1653:        fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", h*vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   1654:       }
                   1655:     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   1656:     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   1657:     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   1658:     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   1659:     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1660:     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   1661:   } /* End age */
                   1662:  
                   1663:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   1664:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1665:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   1666: 
                   1667: }
                   1668: 
                   1669: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
                   1670: void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)
                   1671: {
                   1672:   /* Variance of prevalence limit */
                   1673:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   1674:   double **newm;
                   1675:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   1676:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   1677:   int k, cptcode;
                   1678:   double *xp;
                   1679:   double *gp, *gm;
                   1680:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   1681:   double age,agelim;
                   1682:   int theta;
                   1683:    
                   1684:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of prevalences limit\n");
                   1685:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");
                   1686:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1687:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   1688:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   1689: 
                   1690:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   1691:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1692:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   1693:   
                   1694:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   1695:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   1696:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   1697:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   1698:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   1699:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   1700:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   1701:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   1702:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   1703:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   1704: 
                   1705:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   1706:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   1707:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1708:       }
                   1709:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
                   1710:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1711:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
                   1712:     
                   1713:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   1714:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1715:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
                   1716:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1717:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
                   1718: 
                   1719:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1720:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   1721:     } /* End theta */
                   1722: 
                   1723:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1724: 
                   1725:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   1726:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   1727:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   1728: 
                   1729:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1730:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   1731:     matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   1732:     matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   1733:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1734:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   1735: 
                   1736:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
                   1737:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   1738:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   1739:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   1740:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   1741:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   1742:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   1743:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1744:   } /* End age */
                   1745: 
                   1746:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   1747:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   1748:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   1749: 
                   1750: }
                   1751: 
1.13      lievre   1752: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   1753: void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij)
                   1754: {
                   1755:   int i, j;
                   1756:   int k=0, cptcode;
                   1757:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   1758:   double *xp;
                   1759:   double *gp, *gm;
                   1760:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   1761:   double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];
                   1762:   int theta;
                   1763:   char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1764: 
                   1765:   strcpy(fileresprob,"prob"); 
                   1766:   strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   1767:   if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   1768:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   1769:   }
                   1770:   printf("Computing variance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   1771:   
1.2       lievre   1772: 
1.13      lievre   1773:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   1774:   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   1775:   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   1776:   
                   1777:   cov[1]=1;
                   1778:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   1779:     cov[2]=age;
                   1780:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);
                   1781:     trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);
                   1782:     gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   1783:     gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   1784:     
                   1785:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   1786:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   1787:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1788:      
                   1789:       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   1790:    
                   1791:       k=0;
                   1792:       for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){
                   1793:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   1794:           k=k+1;
                   1795:          gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   1796:        }
                   1797:       }
                   1798: 
                   1799:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   1800:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   1801:     
                   1802: 
                   1803:       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   1804:       k=0;
                   1805:       for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){
                   1806:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   1807:          k=k+1;
                   1808:          gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   1809:        }
                   1810:       }
                   1811:      
                   1812:        for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   1813:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];  
                   1814:     }
                   1815: 
                   1816:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   1817:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   1818:       trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   1819:  
                   1820:      matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   1821:      matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);
                   1822: 
                   1823:      pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
                   1824: 
                   1825:      k=0;
                   1826:      for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){
                   1827:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   1828:         k=k+1;
                   1829:         gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   1830:        }
                   1831:      }
                   1832:      
                   1833:      /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   1834:      for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){
                   1835:        
                   1836: 
                   1837:        printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   1838:      }*/
                   1839: 
                   1840:   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   1841: 
                   1842:   for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){
                   1843:     if (i== 2) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);
                   1844: if (i== 4) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);
                   1845:   }
                   1846: 
                   1847:     free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   1848:     free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   1849:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   1850:     free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   1851: }
                   1852:  free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   1853: fclose(ficresprob);
                   1854:  exit(0);
                   1855: }
1.2       lievre   1856: 
                   1857: /***********************************************/
                   1858: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   1859: /***********************************************/
                   1860: 
                   1861: /*int main(int argc, char *argv[])*/
                   1862: int main()
                   1863: {
                   1864: 
1.8       lievre   1865:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;
1.2       lievre   1866:   double agedeb, agefin,hf;
                   1867:   double agemin=1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;
                   1868: 
                   1869:   double fret;
                   1870:   double **xi,tmp,delta;
                   1871: 
                   1872:   double dum; /* Dummy variable */
                   1873:   double ***p3mat;
                   1874:   int *indx;
                   1875:   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];
                   1876:   char title[MAXLINE];
1.9       lievre   1877:   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.13      lievre   1878:   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.2       lievre   1879:   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1880:   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.16      lievre   1881:   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.2       lievre   1882:   char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[20];
                   1883:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
                   1884:   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */
                   1885:   int c,  h , cpt,l;
                   1886:   int ju,jl, mi;
1.7       lievre   1887:   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;
1.14      lievre   1888:   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab; 
1.19    ! lievre   1889:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.2       lievre   1890:   int hstepm, nhstepm;
1.19    ! lievre   1891:   int *popage;/*boolprev=0 if date and zero if wave*/
        !          1892:   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2;
1.14      lievre   1893: 
1.2       lievre   1894:   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
                   1895:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   1896:   double **prlim;
                   1897:   double *severity;
                   1898:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
                   1899:   double  *p;
                   1900:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
                   1901:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   1902:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   1903:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   1904:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
                   1905:   double *epj, vepp;
1.16      lievre   1906:   double kk1, kk2;
                   1907:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
1.19    ! lievre   1908:   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean, calagedate;
        !          1909:   double yp,yp1,yp2;
1.13      lievre   1910: 
1.10      lievre   1911:   char version[80]="Imach version 64b, May 2001, INED-EUROREVES ";
1.2       lievre   1912:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];
1.5       lievre   1913: 
1.13      lievre   1914: 
1.2       lievre   1915:   char z[1]="c", occ;
                   1916: #include <sys/time.h>
                   1917: #include <time.h>
                   1918:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80];
1.19    ! lievre   1919:  
1.2       lievre   1920:   /* long total_usecs;
                   1921:   struct timeval start_time, end_time;
                   1922:   
                   1923:   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
                   1924: 
                   1925: 
1.16      lievre   1926:   printf("\nIMACH, Version 0.7");
1.2       lievre   1927:   printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
                   1928: 
                   1929: #ifdef windows
                   1930:   scanf("%s",pathtot);
1.5       lievre   1931:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   1932:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   1933:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   1934:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   1935: 
                   1936: split(pathtot, path,optionfile);
1.2       lievre   1937:   chdir(path);
                   1938:   replace(pathc,path);
                   1939: #endif
                   1940: #ifdef unix
                   1941:   scanf("%s",optionfile);
                   1942: #endif
                   1943: 
                   1944: /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   1945: 
                   1946:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   1947:   strcat(fileres, optionfile);
                   1948: 
                   1949:   /*---------arguments file --------*/
                   1950: 
                   1951:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
                   1952:     printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);
                   1953:     goto end;
                   1954:   }
                   1955: 
                   1956:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
                   1957:   strcat(filereso,fileres);
                   1958:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {
                   1959:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);goto end;
                   1960:   }
                   1961: 
                   1962:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   1963:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   1964:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1965:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   1966:     puts(line);
                   1967:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   1968:   }
                   1969:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1970: 
                   1971:   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncov, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);
                   1972:   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   1973:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncov,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.14      lievre   1974: while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   1975:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1976:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   1977:     puts(line);
                   1978:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   1979:   }
                   1980:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1981:   
1.19    ! lievre   1982:    
1.8       lievre   1983:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
                   1984:   cptcovn=0; 
                   1985:   if (strlen(model)>1) cptcovn=nbocc(model,'+')+1;
1.2       lievre   1986: 
                   1987:   ncovmodel=2+cptcovn;
                   1988:   nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */
                   1989:   
                   1990:   /* Read guess parameters */
                   1991:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   1992:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   1993:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1994:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   1995:     puts(line);
                   1996:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   1997:   }
                   1998:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   1999:   
                   2000:   param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   2001:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++)
                   2002:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
                   2003:       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   2004:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   2005:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   2006:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   2007:        fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   2008:        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   2009:        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   2010:       }
                   2011:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   2012:       printf("\n");
                   2013:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   2014:     }
                   2015:   
1.12      lievre   2016:     npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel;
                   2017: 
1.2       lievre   2018:   p=param[1][1];
                   2019:   
                   2020:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   2021:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   2022:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2023:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   2024:     puts(line);
                   2025:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   2026:   }
                   2027:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2028: 
                   2029:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   2030:   delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */
                   2031:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2032:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
                   2033:       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   2034:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   2035:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   2036:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   2037:        fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   2038:        printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   2039:        fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   2040:       }
                   2041:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   2042:       printf("\n");
                   2043:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   2044:     }
                   2045:   }
                   2046:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   2047:   
                   2048:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   2049:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   2050:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2051:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   2052:     puts(line);
                   2053:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   2054:   }
                   2055:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2056:   
                   2057:   matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   2058:   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
                   2059:     fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
                   2060:     printf("%s",str);
                   2061:     fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
                   2062:     for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
                   2063:       fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   2064:       printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   2065:       fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   2066:     }
                   2067:     fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   2068:     printf("\n");
                   2069:     fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   2070:   }
                   2071:   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   2072:     for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
                   2073:       matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
                   2074:    
                   2075:   printf("\n");
                   2076: 
                   2077: 
                   2078:     /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   2079:     if((ficres =fopen(fileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2080:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
                   2081:     }
                   2082:     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
                   2083:     
                   2084:     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
                   2085:       printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
                   2086:     }
                   2087: 
                   2088:     n= lastobs;
                   2089:     severity = vector(1,maxwav);
                   2090:     outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   2091:     num=ivector(1,n);
                   2092:     moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   2093:     annais=vector(1,n);
                   2094:     moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   2095:     andc=vector(1,n);
                   2096:     agedc=vector(1,n);
                   2097:     cod=ivector(1,n);
                   2098:     weight=vector(1,n);
                   2099:     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   2100:     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   2101:     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   2102:     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   2103:     adl=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);    
                   2104:     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.3       lievre   2105:     ncodemax=ivector(1,8);
1.2       lievre   2106: 
1.12      lievre   2107:     i=1;
1.2       lievre   2108:     while (fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL)    {
                   2109:       if ((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs)) {
                   2110:        
                   2111:        for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   2112:          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); s[j][i]=atoi(strb); 
                   2113:          strcpy(line,stra);
                   2114:          cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); anint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2115:          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); mint[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2116:        }
                   2117:        
                   2118:        cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); andc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2119:        cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisdc[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2120: 
                   2121:        cutv(stra, strb,line,'/'); annais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2122:        cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2123: 
                   2124:        cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2125:        for (j=ncov;j>=1;j--){
                   2126:          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
                   2127:        } 
                   2128:        num[i]=atol(stra);
1.12      lievre   2129:        
                   2130:        /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   2131:          printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
1.2       lievre   2132: 
                   2133:        i=i+1;
                   2134:       }
                   2135:     } 
1.12      lievre   2136:     /* printf("ii=%d", ij);
                   2137:        scanf("%d",i);*/
                   2138:   imx=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
1.3       lievre   2139: 
1.12      lievre   2140:   /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   2141:     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;
                   2142:     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;
                   2143:     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;
1.14      lievre   2144:     }
1.19    ! lievre   2145: 
        !          2146:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)
        !          2147:     if (covar[1][i]==0) printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));*/
1.2       lievre   2148: 
                   2149:   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/
1.7       lievre   2150:   Tvar=ivector(1,15); 
                   2151:   Tprod=ivector(1,15); 
                   2152:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,15); 
                   2153:   Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);
1.6       lievre   2154:   Tage=ivector(1,15);      
1.2       lievre   2155:    
                   2156:   if (strlen(model) >1){
1.7       lievre   2157:     j=0, j1=0, k1=1, k2=1;
1.2       lievre   2158:     j=nbocc(model,'+');
1.6       lievre   2159:     j1=nbocc(model,'*');
1.2       lievre   2160:     cptcovn=j+1;
1.7       lievre   2161:     cptcovprod=j1;
1.3       lievre   2162:     
1.8       lievre   2163:     
1.2       lievre   2164:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
1.8       lievre   2165:     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){
                   2166:       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);
                   2167:       goto end;
                   2168:     }
                   2169:     
                   2170:     for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){
                   2171:       cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+');
                   2172:       if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); 
                   2173:       /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   2174:       /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   2175:       if (strchr(strb,'*')) {
                   2176:        cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*');
                   2177:        if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) {
1.7       lievre   2178:          cptcovprod--;
1.8       lievre   2179:          cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');
                   2180:          Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);
                   2181:          cptcovage++;
                   2182:            Tage[cptcovage]=i;
                   2183:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
1.7       lievre   2184:        }
1.8       lievre   2185:        else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) {
1.7       lievre   2186:          cptcovprod--;
1.8       lievre   2187:          cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');
                   2188:          Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);
                   2189:          cptcovage++;
                   2190:          Tage[cptcovage]=i;
1.7       lievre   2191:        }
                   2192:        else {
1.8       lievre   2193:          cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');
                   2194:          Tvar[i]=ncov+k1;
                   2195:          cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V'); 
                   2196:          Tprod[k1]=i;
                   2197:          Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);
                   2198:          Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre);
                   2199:          Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];
                   2200:          Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2]; 
1.7       lievre   2201:          for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++) 
1.8       lievre   2202:            covar[ncov+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];
                   2203:          k1++;
                   2204:          k2=k2+2;
1.7       lievre   2205:        }
1.2       lievre   2206:       }
1.8       lievre   2207:       else {
                   2208:        /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   2209:        /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   2210:       cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   2211:       Tvar[i]=atoi(strc);
                   2212:       }
                   2213:       strcpy(modelsav,stra);  
                   2214:       /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
                   2215:        scanf("%d",i);*/
1.2       lievre   2216:     }
1.8       lievre   2217: }
                   2218:   
                   2219:   /*printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
                   2220:   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   2221:   scanf("%d ",i);*/
1.2       lievre   2222:     fclose(fic);
                   2223: 
1.7       lievre   2224:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.2       lievre   2225:     if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights*/
                   2226:       for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0;
                   2227:     }
                   2228:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   2229:     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.12      lievre   2230: 
                   2231:    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) 
                   2232:      for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++)
                   2233:        if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   2234:         anint[m][i]=9999;
                   2235:         s[m][i]=-1;
                   2236:        }
1.2       lievre   2237:     
                   2238:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   2239:       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   2240:       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
                   2241:        if(s[m][i] >0){
                   2242:          if (s[m][i] == nlstate+1) {
                   2243:            if(agedc[i]>0)
                   2244:              if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)
                   2245:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.8       lievre   2246:            else {
                   2247:              if (andc[i]!=9999){
1.2       lievre   2248:              printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   2249:              agev[m][i]=-1;
1.8       lievre   2250:              }
1.2       lievre   2251:            }
                   2252:          }
                   2253:          else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */
                   2254:            agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
1.3       lievre   2255:            if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)
1.2       lievre   2256:              agev[m][i]=1;
                   2257:            else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){ 
                   2258:              agemin=agev[m][i];
                   2259:              /*printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemin);*/
                   2260:            }
                   2261:            else if(agev[m][i] >agemax){
                   2262:              agemax=agev[m][i];
                   2263:             /* printf(" anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.0f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemax);*/
                   2264:            }
                   2265:            /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   2266:            /*   agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
                   2267:          }
                   2268:          else { /* =9 */
                   2269:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   2270:            s[m][i]=-1;
                   2271:          }
                   2272:        }
                   2273:        else /*= 0 Unknown */
                   2274:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   2275:       }
                   2276:     
                   2277:     }
                   2278:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   2279:       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
                   2280:        if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
                   2281:          printf("Error: Wrong value in nlstate or ndeath\n");  
                   2282:          goto end;
                   2283:        }
                   2284:       }
                   2285:     }
                   2286: 
                   2287: printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
                   2288: 
                   2289:     free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);
                   2290:     free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   2291:     free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   2292:     free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.17      lievre   2293:     /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   2294:        free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.2       lievre   2295:     free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   2296:     free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   2297: 
                   2298:    
                   2299:     wav=ivector(1,imx);
                   2300:     dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
                   2301:     mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
                   2302:    
                   2303:     /* Concatenates waves */
                   2304:       concatwav(wav, dh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
                   2305: 
                   2306: 
1.6       lievre   2307:       Tcode=ivector(1,100);
1.8       lievre   2308:       nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
1.7       lievre   2309:       ncodemax[1]=1;
                   2310:       if (cptcovn > 0) tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx);
                   2311:       
1.2       lievre   2312:    codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);
                   2313:    h=0;
1.7       lievre   2314:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.2       lievre   2315:  
1.7       lievre   2316:    for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){
1.2       lievre   2317:      for(i=1; i <=(m/pow(2,k));i++){
                   2318:        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){
1.7       lievre   2319:         for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){
1.2       lievre   2320:           h++;
                   2321:           if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;
                   2322:         } 
                   2323:        }
                   2324:      }
                   2325:    } 
                   2326:     
                   2327:    /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
                   2328:        and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.18      lievre   2329: 
1.19    ! lievre   2330:     
1.18      lievre   2331:    
1.19    ! lievre   2332:     pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.2       lievre   2333:     oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2334:     newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2335:     savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2336:     oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.12      lievre   2337:      
1.2       lievre   2338:     /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   2339:        so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   2340:     p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
1.7       lievre   2341: 
                   2342:     if(mle==1){
1.2       lievre   2343:     mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
1.7       lievre   2344:     }
1.2       lievre   2345:     
                   2346:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.16      lievre   2347:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle,weightopt,model);
1.19    ! lievre   2348:   
1.16      lievre   2349: 
1.2       lievre   2350:    jk=1;
                   2351:    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters\n");
                   2352:    printf("# Parameters\n");
                   2353:    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2354:      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2355:        if (k != i) 
                   2356:         {
                   2357:           printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2358:           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   2359:           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2360:             printf("%f ",p[jk]);
                   2361:             fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);
                   2362:             jk++; 
                   2363:           }
                   2364:           printf("\n");
                   2365:           fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   2366:         }
                   2367:      }
                   2368:    }
1.7       lievre   2369:  if(mle==1){
1.2       lievre   2370:     /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
                   2371:     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
                   2372:     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
1.7       lievre   2373:  }
1.2       lievre   2374:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales\n");
                   2375:     printf("# Scales\n");
                   2376:      for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2377:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2378:        if (j!=i) {
                   2379:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   2380:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   2381:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   2382:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   2383:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   2384:            jk++;
                   2385:          }
                   2386:          printf("\n");
                   2387:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   2388:        }
                   2389:       }
1.18      lievre   2390:      }
1.2       lievre   2391:     
                   2392:     k=1;
                   2393:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance\n");
                   2394:     printf("# Covariance\n");
                   2395:     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){
                   2396:       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;
                   2397:       i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1; 
                   2398:       fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
                   2399:       printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);*/
                   2400:       fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);
                   2401:       printf("%3d",i);
                   2402:       for(j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   2403:        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
                   2404:        printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
                   2405:       }
                   2406:       fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   2407:       printf("\n");
                   2408:       k++;
                   2409:     }
                   2410:     
                   2411:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   2412:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2413:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   2414:       puts(line);
                   2415:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   2416:     }
                   2417:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2418:   
                   2419:     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);
                   2420:     
                   2421:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   2422:       bage = agemin;
                   2423:       fage = agemax;
                   2424:     }
                   2425: 
1.19    ! lievre   2426:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy.\n");
        !          2427: 
1.2       lievre   2428:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);
1.19    ! lievre   2429:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);
        !          2430:  
        !          2431:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
        !          2432:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2433:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
        !          2434:     puts(line);
        !          2435:     fputs(line,ficparo);
        !          2436:   }
        !          2437:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2438:   
        !          2439:   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mob_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
        !          2440:   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mob_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
        !          2441:  fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mob_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
        !          2442:      
        !          2443:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
        !          2444:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2445:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
        !          2446:     puts(line);
        !          2447:     fputs(line,ficparo);
        !          2448:   }
        !          2449:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2450:  
1.7       lievre   2451: 
1.19    ! lievre   2452:    dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;
        !          2453:    dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;
        !          2454: 
        !          2455:   fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
        !          2456:    fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
        !          2457:    fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
        !          2458: 
        !          2459:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
        !          2460:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2461:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
        !          2462:     puts(line);
        !          2463:     fputs(line,ficparo);
        !          2464:   }
        !          2465:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
        !          2466:   fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2);
        !          2467: fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);
        !          2468: fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);
        !          2469: 
        !          2470:  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2);
        !          2471: 
        !          2472:  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
1.2       lievre   2473: chdir(pathcd);
                   2474:   if((ficgp=fopen("graph.plt","w"))==NULL) {
1.5       lievre   2475:     printf("Problem with file graph.gp");goto end;
1.2       lievre   2476:   }
                   2477: #ifdef windows
                   2478:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   2479: #endif
1.7       lievre   2480: m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.2       lievre   2481:   
                   2482:  /* 1eme*/
                   2483:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
                   2484:    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
                   2485: 
                   2486: #ifdef windows
                   2487:     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
                   2488: #endif
                   2489: #ifdef unix
                   2490: fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres);
                   2491: #endif
                   2492: 
                   2493: for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   2494:   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2495:   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2496: }
                   2497:     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stationary prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
                   2498:     for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   2499:   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2500:   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2501: } 
                   2502:   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); 
                   2503:      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   2504:   if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2505:   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2506: }  
                   2507:      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
                   2508: #ifdef unix
                   2509: fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300");
                   2510: #endif
                   2511: fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
                   2512:    }
                   2513:   }
                   2514:   /*2 eme*/
                   2515: 
                   2516:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
                   2517:     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,fage);
                   2518:     
                   2519:     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   2520:       k=2*i;
                   2521:       fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
                   2522:       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   2523:   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2524:   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2525: }   
                   2526:       if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,");
                   2527:       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1);
                   2528:     fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
                   2529:       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   2530:        if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2531:        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2532: }   
                   2533:       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");
                   2534:      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
                   2535:       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   2536:   if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
                   2537:   else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
                   2538: }   
                   2539:       if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");
                   2540:       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");
                   2541:     }
                   2542:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);
                   2543:   }
                   2544:  
                   2545:   /*3eme*/
                   2546: 
1.5       lievre   2547:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
1.2       lievre   2548:     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
                   2549:       k=2+nlstate*(cpt-1);
                   2550:       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
                   2551:       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
                   2552:        fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
                   2553:       } 
                   2554:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
                   2555:     }
1.5       lievre   2556:   }
1.2       lievre   2557:  
                   2558:   /* CV preval stat */
1.5       lievre   2559:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
1.2       lievre   2560:     for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {
                   2561:       k=3;
                   2562:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",agemin,agemax,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
                   2563:       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)
                   2564:        fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);
                   2565:       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,cpt+1);
                   2566:       
                   2567:       l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;
                   2568:       fprintf(ficgp,",\"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",fileres,k1,l+cpt+1,l+1);
                   2569:       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
                   2570:        l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;
                   2571:        fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);
                   2572:       }
                   2573:       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l\n",cpt+1,cpt+1);   
                   2574:       fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"p%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
                   2575:     } 
1.13      lievre   2576:   }  
1.5       lievre   2577: 
1.2       lievre   2578:   /* proba elementaires */
1.5       lievre   2579:    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.2       lievre   2580:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2581:       if (k != i) {
                   2582:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
1.5       lievre   2583:          /*fprintf(ficgp,"%s%1d%1d=%f ",alph[j],i,k,p[jk]);*/
                   2584:          /*fprintf(ficgp,"%s",alph[1]);*/
                   2585:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f ",jk,p[jk]);
1.2       lievre   2586:          jk++; 
                   2587:          fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
                   2588:        }
                   2589:       }
                   2590:     }
1.5       lievre   2591:     }
                   2592: 
1.2       lievre   2593:   for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
                   2594:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,agemax);
1.5       lievre   2595:    i=1;
                   2596:    for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   2597:      k3=i;
                   2598:      for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   2599:        if (k != k2){
                   2600:        fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
1.7       lievre   2601: ij=1;
                   2602:        for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {
                   2603:          if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {
                   2604:            fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);
                   2605:            ij++;
                   2606:          }
                   2607:          else
1.6       lievre   2608:          fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
1.7       lievre   2609:        }
                   2610:          fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.6       lievre   2611:        
                   2612:        for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){   
                   2613:          fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.7       lievre   2614: ij=1;
                   2615:          for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2616:          if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {
                   2617:            fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);
                   2618:            ij++;
                   2619:          }
                   2620:          else
1.6       lievre   2621:            fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
1.7       lievre   2622:          }
1.6       lievre   2623:          fprintf(ficgp,")");
1.5       lievre   2624:        }
                   2625:        fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                   2626:        if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");
1.6       lievre   2627:        i=i+ncovmodel;
1.5       lievre   2628:        }
                   2629:      }
                   2630:    }
1.6       lievre   2631:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk); 
                   2632:   }
1.5       lievre   2633:    
                   2634:   fclose(ficgp);
                   2635:    
                   2636: chdir(path);
1.15      lievre   2637:    
1.2       lievre   2638:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   2639:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
1.15      lievre   2640:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);   
1.2       lievre   2641:     free_ivector(num,1,n);
                   2642:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   2643:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   2644:     fclose(ficparo);
                   2645:     fclose(ficres);
1.7       lievre   2646:     /*  }*/
1.2       lievre   2647:    
                   2648:    /*________fin mle=1_________*/
                   2649:    
                   2650: 
                   2651:   
                   2652:     /* No more information from the sample is required now */
                   2653:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   2654:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   2655:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2656:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   2657:     puts(line);
                   2658:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   2659:   }
                   2660:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   2661:   
                   2662:   fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage);
                   2663:   printf("agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax, bage, fage);
                   2664:   fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage);
                   2665: /*--------- index.htm --------*/
                   2666: 
1.9       lievre   2667:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);
                   2668:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   2669:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   2670:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);goto end;
1.2       lievre   2671:   }
                   2672: 
1.16      lievre   2673:  fprintf(fichtm,"<body><ul> <font size=\"6\">Imach, Version 0.7 </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> 
1.8       lievre   2674: Titre=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>
                   2675: Total number of observations=%d <br>
                   2676: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>
                   2677: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> 
                   2678: <li>Outputs files<br><br>\n
1.2       lievre   2679:         - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n
                   2680: - Estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>
                   2681:         - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>
                   2682:         - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>
                   2683:         - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>
                   2684:         - Life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>
                   2685:         - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>
                   2686:         - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>
1.14      lievre   2687:         - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>
1.18      lievre   2688:         - Prevalences and population forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>
1.14      lievre   2689: <br>",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
1.2       lievre   2690: 
1.8       lievre   2691:  fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");
1.2       lievre   2692: 
1.7       lievre   2693:  m=cptcoveff;
1.2       lievre   2694:  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   2695: 
                   2696:  j1=0;
                   2697:  for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
                   2698:    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
                   2699:        j1++;
                   2700:        if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.8       lievre   2701:         fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.7       lievre   2702:         for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++) 
                   2703:           fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[j1][cpt]]);
1.8       lievre   2704:         fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.2       lievre   2705:        }
                   2706:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probabilities: pe%s%d.gif<br>
                   2707: <img src=\"pe%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),j1);     
                   2708:        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){
                   2709:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Prevalence of disability : p%s%d%d.gif<br>
                   2710: <img src=\"p%s%d%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);
                   2711:        }
                   2712:     for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
                   2713:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident
                   2714: interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.gif <br>
                   2715: <img src=\"v%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);  
                   2716:      }
                   2717:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
                   2718:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.gif <br>
1.5       lievre   2719: <img src=\"exp%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,j1);
1.2       lievre   2720:      }
                   2721:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and
                   2722: health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.gif<br>
                   2723: <img src=\"e%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),j1,strtok(optionfile, "."),j1);
                   2724: fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");
                   2725:    }
                   2726:  }
                   2727: fclose(fichtm);
                   2728: 
                   2729:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/
                   2730:   
                   2731:   strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
                   2732:   strcat(filerespl,fileres);
                   2733:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2734:     printf("Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
                   2735:   }
                   2736:   printf("Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   2737:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Prevalence limit\n");
                   2738:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   2739:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   2740:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
                   2741:   
                   2742:   prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   2743:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2744:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2745:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2746:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   2747:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
                   2748:   k=0;
                   2749:   agebase=agemin;
                   2750:   agelim=agemax;
                   2751:   ftolpl=1.e-10;
1.7       lievre   2752:   i1=cptcoveff;
1.2       lievre   2753:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   2754: 
                   2755:   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   2756:     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   2757:        k=k+1;
                   2758:        /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
1.6       lievre   2759:        fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
1.7       lievre   2760:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   2761:          fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
1.2       lievre   2762:        fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   2763:        
                   2764:        for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   2765:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
                   2766:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age );
                   2767:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   2768:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   2769:          fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
                   2770:        }
                   2771:       }
                   2772:     }
                   2773:   fclose(ficrespl);
1.13      lievre   2774: 
1.2       lievre   2775:   /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   2776:   
                   2777:   strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
                   2778:   if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2779:     printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
                   2780:   }
                   2781:   printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   2782:   
                   2783:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
1.13      lievre   2784:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.2       lievre   2785: 
                   2786:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   2787:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   2788:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   2789:   
                   2790:   k=0;
                   2791:   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   2792:     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   2793:       k=k+1;
                   2794:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.7       lievre   2795:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   2796:          fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
1.2       lievre   2797:        fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   2798:        
                   2799:        for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   2800:          nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   2801:          nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   2802:          p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   2803:          oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   2804:          hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
                   2805:          fprintf(ficrespij,"# Age");
                   2806:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   2807:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2808:              fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   2809:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   2810:          for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   2811:            fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   2812:            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   2813:              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2814:                fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   2815:            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   2816:          }
                   2817:          free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   2818:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   2819:        }
                   2820:     }
                   2821:   }
                   2822: 
1.13      lievre   2823:   /* varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k);*/
                   2824: 
1.2       lievre   2825:   fclose(ficrespij);
                   2826: 
1.13      lievre   2827:   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
1.19    ! lievre   2828:   calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
        !          2829: 
        !          2830:   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
        !          2831: 
1.13      lievre   2832: 
                   2833:   strcpy(fileresf,"f"); 
                   2834:   strcat(fileresf,fileres);
                   2835:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2836:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);goto end;
                   2837:   }
                   2838:   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
                   2839: 
1.18      lievre   2840:   free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   2841:   free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   2842:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.13      lievre   2843:   /* Mobile average */
                   2844: 
                   2845:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   2846: 
1.14      lievre   2847:   if (mobilav==1) {
                   2848:     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
                   2849:     for (agedeb=bage+3; agedeb<=fage-2; agedeb++)
                   2850:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   2851:        for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)
                   2852:          mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;
                   2853:     
                   2854:     for (agedeb=bage+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){
                   2855:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2856:        for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
                   2857:          for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){
                   2858:            mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]+probs[(int)agedeb-cpt][i][cptcod];
1.13      lievre   2859:          }
                   2860:          mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agedeb-2][i][cptcod]/5;
1.14      lievre   2861:        }
1.13      lievre   2862:       }
1.14      lievre   2863:     }   
1.13      lievre   2864:   }
                   2865: 
                   2866:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
1.15      lievre   2867:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
1.13      lievre   2868: 
                   2869:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.19    ! lievre   2870:   /*hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; *//* Every year of age */
        !          2871:   hstepm=1;
1.15      lievre   2872:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2 years/6 months = 4 */ 
1.19    ! lievre   2873:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);
        !          2874:   anprojmean=yp;
        !          2875:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
        !          2876:   mprojmean=yp;
        !          2877:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
        !          2878:   jprojmean=yp;
        !          2879:   fprintf(ficresf,"Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean); 
        !          2880: 
1.16      lievre   2881:   if (popforecast==1) {
                   2882:     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
                   2883:       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);goto end;
                   2884:     } 
                   2885:     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);
                   2886:     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);
                   2887:     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP);
                   2888: 
                   2889:     i=1;   
                   2890:     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF)
                   2891:       {
                   2892:        i=i+1;
                   2893:       }
                   2894:     imx=i;
1.19    ! lievre   2895:     
        !          2896:     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];
1.16      lievre   2897:   }
1.15      lievre   2898: 
1.13      lievre   2899:   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   2900:     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
                   2901:       k=k+1;
1.19    ! lievre   2902:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");
1.13      lievre   2903:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.19    ! lievre   2904:        fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
1.13      lievre   2905:       }
                   2906:       fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");
1.19    ! lievre   2907:       fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");
1.13      lievre   2908:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);
1.16      lievre   2909:       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficresf," [Population]");
1.19    ! lievre   2910:  
        !          2911:       for (cpt=0; cpt<=1;cpt++) { 
1.16      lievre   2912:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
1.19    ! lievre   2913:   fprintf(ficresf,"\nForecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);   
        !          2914:       for (agedeb=(fage-(1/12.)); agedeb>=(bage-(1/12.)); agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
1.15      lievre   2915:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   2916:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   2917:        /*printf("agedeb=%.lf stepm=%d hstepm=%d nhstepm=%d \n",agedeb,stepm,hstepm,nhstepm);*/
1.13      lievre   2918: 
                   2919:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   2920:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   2921:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
                   2922:                
                   2923:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.19    ! lievre   2924:          if (h==(int) (calagedate+12*cpt)) {
        !          2925:            fprintf(ficresf,"h=%d ", h);
        !          2926:            fprintf(ficresf,"\n %f %f ",agedeb,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
        !          2927:          }
        !          2928:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
        !          2929:            kk1=0.;kk2=0;
        !          2930:            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {        
        !          2931:              if (mobilav==1) 
        !          2932:                kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod];
        !          2933:              else {
        !          2934:                kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
        !          2935:                /*  fprintf(ficresf," p3=%.3f p=%.3f ", p3mat[i][j][h],probs[(int)(agedeb)+1][i][cptcod]);*/
        !          2936:              }
        !          2937: 
        !          2938:              if (popforecast==1) kk2=kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb];
        !          2939:            }
1.15      lievre   2940:         
1.19    ! lievre   2941:            if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){
        !          2942:              fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);
        !          2943:             
        !          2944:              if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficresf," [%.f]", kk2);
1.16      lievre   2945:            }
1.13      lievre   2946:          }
1.14      lievre   2947:        }
1.13      lievre   2948:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
1.16      lievre   2949:       }
1.13      lievre   2950:       }
                   2951:     }
1.14      lievre   2952:   }
                   2953:   if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
1.16      lievre   2954:   if (popforecast==1) {
                   2955:     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP);
                   2956:     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP);
                   2957:     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP);
                   2958:   }
1.15      lievre   2959:   free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   2960:   free_vector(weight,1,n);
1.13      lievre   2961:   fclose(ficresf);
1.2       lievre   2962:   /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
                   2963: 
                   2964:   strcpy(filerest,"t");
                   2965:   strcat(filerest,fileres);
                   2966:   if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2967:     printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   2968:   }
                   2969:   printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
                   2970: 
                   2971: 
                   2972:   strcpy(filerese,"e");
                   2973:   strcat(filerese,fileres);
                   2974:   if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2975:     printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   2976:   }
                   2977:   printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
                   2978: 
                   2979:  strcpy(fileresv,"v");
                   2980:   strcat(fileresv,fileres);
                   2981:   if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   2982:     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   2983:   }
                   2984:   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
                   2985: 
                   2986:   k=0;
                   2987:   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   2988:     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   2989:       k=k+1;
                   2990:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
1.7       lievre   2991:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   2992:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
1.2       lievre   2993:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
                   2994: 
                   2995:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.7       lievre   2996:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.2       lievre   2997:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);
                   2998:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
                   2999: 
                   3000:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.7       lievre   3001:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.2       lievre   3002:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);
                   3003:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   3004: 
                   3005:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   3006:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   3007:       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k);  
                   3008:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   3009:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   3010:       varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
                   3011:       
                   3012:       fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
                   3013:       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   3014:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   3015:        
                   3016:       hf=1;
                   3017:       if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;
                   3018:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
                   3019:       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
                   3020:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
1.14      lievre   3021:        if (popbased==1) {
                   3022:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3023:            prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   3024:        }
                   3025:        
1.2       lievre   3026:        fprintf(ficrest," %.0f",age);
                   3027:        for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   3028:          for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   3029:            epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*hf*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   3030:          }
                   3031:          epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   3032:        }
                   3033:        for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   3034:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   3035:            vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   3036:        fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[nlstate+1],hf*sqrt(vepp));
                   3037:        for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   3038:          fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[j],hf*sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   3039:        }
                   3040:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   3041:       }
                   3042:     }
                   3043:   }
                   3044:        
1.13      lievre   3045:        
                   3046: 
                   3047: 
1.2       lievre   3048:  fclose(ficreseij);
                   3049:  fclose(ficresvij);
                   3050:   fclose(ficrest);
                   3051:   fclose(ficpar);
                   3052:   free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.5       lievre   3053:   /*  scanf("%d ",i); */
1.2       lievre   3054: 
                   3055:   /*------- Variance limit prevalence------*/   
                   3056: 
                   3057: strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
                   3058:   strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
                   3059:   if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3060:     printf("Problem with variance prev lim resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   3061:     exit(0);
                   3062:   }
                   3063:   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of Prevalence limit: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
                   3064: 
                   3065:  k=0;
                   3066:  for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   3067:    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   3068:      k=k+1;
                   3069:      fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
1.7       lievre   3070:      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   3071:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
1.2       lievre   3072:      fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   3073:      
                   3074:      varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   3075:      oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   3076:      varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
                   3077:    }
                   3078:  }
                   3079: 
                   3080:   fclose(ficresvpl);
                   3081: 
                   3082:   /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
                   3083:   free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   3084:   
                   3085:   free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   3086:   free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   3087:   
                   3088:   
                   3089:   free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   3090:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   3091:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   3092:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.13      lievre   3093:  
1.2       lievre   3094:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3095:   free_vector(delti,1,npar);
                   3096:   
                   3097:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   3098: 
                   3099:   printf("End of Imach\n");
                   3100:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
                   3101:   
                   3102:   /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/
                   3103:   /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   3104:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.12      lievre   3105: 
1.2       lievre   3106: 
                   3107:  end:
                   3108: #ifdef windows
                   3109:  chdir(pathcd);
                   3110: #endif 
1.13      lievre   3111:  
1.11      lievre   3112:  system("..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot graph.plt");
1.2       lievre   3113: 
                   3114: #ifdef windows
                   3115:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   3116:     chdir(pathcd); 
                   3117:     printf("\nType e to edit output files, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");
                   3118:     scanf("%s",z);
                   3119:     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");
                   3120:     else if (z[0] == 'e') {
                   3121:       chdir(path);
1.10      lievre   3122:       system(optionfilehtm);
1.2       lievre   3123:     }
                   3124:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   3125:   }
                   3126: #endif 
                   3127: }
                   3128: 
                   3129: 

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