Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.280

1.280   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.279 2017/07/20 13:35:01 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.280   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.279  2017/07/20 13:35:01  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: temporary working
        !             6: 
1.279     brouard     7:   Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
                      8:   Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
                      9: 
1.278     brouard    10:   Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
                     11:   Summary: BOM files can be read now
                     12: 
1.277     brouard    13:   Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
                     14:   Summary: Graphs improvements
                     15: 
1.276     brouard    16:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
                     17:   Summary: Saito's color
                     18: 
1.275     brouard    19:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                     20:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                     21: 
1.274     brouard    22:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                     23:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                     24: 
1.273     brouard    25:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                     26:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                     27: 
1.272     brouard    28:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                     29:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                     30: 
1.271     brouard    31:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                     32:   *** empty log message ***
                     33: 
1.270     brouard    34:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                     35:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                     36: 
1.269     brouard    37:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                     38:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                     39: 
1.268     brouard    40:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                     41:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                     42: 
1.267     brouard    43:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                     44:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                     45: 
1.266     brouard    46:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                     47:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                     48: 
1.265     brouard    49:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                     50:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                     51: 
1.264     brouard    52:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                     53:   Summary: to save
                     54: 
1.263     brouard    55:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                     56:   *** empty log message ***
                     57: 
1.262     brouard    58:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                     59:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                     60: 
1.261     brouard    61:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                     62:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                     63: 
1.260     brouard    64:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                     65:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                     66: 
1.259     brouard    67:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                     68:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                     69: 
                     70:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                     71: 
1.258     brouard    72:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                     73:   Summary: Temp
                     74: 
1.257     brouard    75:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                     76:   Summary: Temporary
                     77: 
1.256     brouard    78:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                     79:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                     80: 
1.255     brouard    81:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                     82:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                     83: 
1.254     brouard    84:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                     85:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                     86: 
1.253     brouard    87:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                     88:   *** empty log message ***
                     89: 
1.252     brouard    90:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                     91:   Summary: not working
                     92: 
1.251     brouard    93:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                     94:   Summary: continue
                     95: 
1.250     brouard    96:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                     97:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                     98: 
1.249     brouard    99:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                    100:   *** empty log message ***
                    101: 
1.248     brouard   102:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                    103:   *** empty log message ***
                    104: 
1.247     brouard   105:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                    106:   *** empty log message ***
                    107: 
1.246     brouard   108:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                    109:   *** empty log message ***
                    110: 
1.245     brouard   111:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    112:   *** empty log message ***
                    113: 
1.244     brouard   114:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    115:   *** empty log message ***
                    116: 
1.243     brouard   117:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    118:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    119: 
1.242     brouard   120:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    121:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    122: 
1.241     brouard   123:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    124:   Summary: Better
                    125: 
1.240     brouard   126:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    127:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    128: 
                    129:   Author:
                    130: 
1.239     brouard   131:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    132:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    133: 
1.238     brouard   134:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    135:   Summary: to valgrind
                    136: 
1.237     brouard   137:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    138:   *** empty log message ***
                    139: 
1.236     brouard   140:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    141:   *** empty log message ***
                    142: 
1.235     brouard   143:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    144:   *** empty log message ***
                    145: 
1.234     brouard   146:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    147:   Summary: not working
                    148: 
1.233     brouard   149:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    150:   Summary: not working
                    151: 
1.232     brouard   152:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    153:   Summary: not working
                    154: 
1.231     brouard   155:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    156:   Summary: Not working
                    157: 
1.230     brouard   158:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    159:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    160: 
1.229     brouard   161:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    162:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    163: 
1.227     brouard   164:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    165:   Summary: temp
                    166: 
1.226     brouard   167:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    168:   Summary: saving but not running
                    169: 
1.225     brouard   170:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    171:   Summary: Fixes
                    172: 
1.224     brouard   173:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    174:   Summary: temporary
                    175: 
1.223     brouard   176:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    177:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    178: 
1.222     brouard   179:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    180:   Summary: minor bug
                    181: 
1.220     brouard   182:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    183:   *** empty log message ***
                    184: 
1.219     brouard   185:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    186:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    187: 
1.218     brouard   188:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    189:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    190: 
1.217     brouard   191:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    192:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    193: 
                    194:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    195:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    196:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    197:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    198: 
1.216     brouard   199:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    200:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    201: 
1.215     brouard   202:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    203:   Summary: temporary not working
                    204: 
1.214     brouard   205:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    206:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    207: 
1.213     brouard   208:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    209:   Summary: minor typo
                    210: 
1.212     brouard   211:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    212:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    213: 
                    214:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    215: 
1.211     brouard   216:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   217:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   218:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    219:   Author: N Brouard
                    220: 
                    221:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    222:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    223:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    224:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    225:   computation are long.
                    226: 
1.209     brouard   227:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    228:   Summary: temporary
                    229: 
1.208     brouard   230:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    231:   *** empty log message ***
                    232: 
1.207     brouard   233:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    234:   *** empty log message ***
                    235: 
1.206     brouard   236:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    237:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    238: 
1.205     brouard   239:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    240:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    241: 
1.204     brouard   242:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    243:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    244: 
                    245:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    246:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    247:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    248: 
1.203     brouard   249:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    250:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    251: 
1.202     brouard   252:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    253:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    254: 
                    255:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    256:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    257: 
1.201     brouard   258:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    259:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    260: 
                    261:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    262: 
1.200     brouard   263:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    264:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    265: 
1.199     brouard   266:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    267:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    268: 
1.198     brouard   269:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    270:   *** empty log message ***
                    271: 
1.197     brouard   272:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    273:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    274: 
1.196     brouard   275:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    276:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    277: 
                    278:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    279:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    280:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    281:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    282: 
1.195     brouard   283:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    284:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    285: 
1.194     brouard   286:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    287:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    288: 
1.193     brouard   289:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    290:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    291: 
1.192     brouard   292:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    293:   Summary: Some fixes
                    294: 
1.191     brouard   295:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    296:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    297: 
                    298:   Fix 1+age+.
                    299: 
1.190     brouard   300:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    301:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    302: 
1.189     brouard   303:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    304:   *** empty log message ***
                    305: 
1.188     brouard   306:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    307:   *** empty log message ***
                    308: 
1.187     brouard   309:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    310:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    311: 
                    312:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    313:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    314:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    315: 
1.186     brouard   316:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    317:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    318: 
1.185     brouard   319:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    320:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    321: 
1.184     brouard   322:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    323:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    324: 
                    325:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    326:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    327:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    328:   wrong results.
                    329: 
1.183     brouard   330:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    331:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    332:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    333: 
1.182     brouard   334:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    335:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    336: 
                    337:   Author:
                    338: 
1.181     brouard   339:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    340:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    341: 
1.180     brouard   342:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    343:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    344: 
1.179     brouard   345:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    346:   *** empty log message ***
                    347: 
1.178     brouard   348:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    349:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    350: 
1.177     brouard   351:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    352:   *** empty log message ***
                    353: 
1.176     brouard   354:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    355:   *** empty log message ***
                    356: 
1.175     brouard   357:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    358:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    359: 
1.174     brouard   360:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    361:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    362: 
1.173     brouard   363:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    364:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    365: 
1.172     brouard   366:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    367:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    368: 
                    369:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    370: 
1.171     brouard   371:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    372:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    373: 
                    374:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    375: 
1.170     brouard   376:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    377:   Summary: 0.98p
                    378: 
                    379:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    380: 
1.169     brouard   381:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   382:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   383: 
1.168     brouard   384:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    385:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    386: 
                    387:   Testing on Linux 64
                    388: 
1.167     brouard   389:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    390:   *** empty log message ***
                    391: 
1.166     brouard   392:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    393:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    394: 
                    395:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    396: 
1.165     brouard   397:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    398:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    399: 
                    400:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    401: 
1.164     brouard   402:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    403:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    404: 
1.163     brouard   405:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    406:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    407: 
1.162     brouard   408:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    409:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    410: 
                    411:   Author:
                    412: 
                    413:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    414:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    415: 
1.161     brouard   416:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    417:   *** empty log message ***
                    418: 
1.160     brouard   419:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    420:   Summary: WIN32
                    421:   Author: Brouard
                    422: 
1.159     brouard   423:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    424:   *** empty log message ***
                    425: 
1.158     brouard   426:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    427:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    428:   Author: Brouard
                    429: 
                    430:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    431:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    432:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    433:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    434:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    435: 
1.157     brouard   436:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    437:   *** empty log message ***
                    438: 
1.156     brouard   439:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    440:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    441:   Author: Brouard
                    442: 
1.155     brouard   443:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    444:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    445: 
1.154     brouard   446:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    447:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    448:   Author: Brouard
                    449: 
1.153     brouard   450:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    451:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    452: 
1.152     brouard   453:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    454:   *** empty log message ***
                    455: 
1.151     brouard   456:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    457:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    458:   Author: brouard
                    459: 
1.150     brouard   460:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    461:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    462:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    463: 
1.149     brouard   464:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    465:   Summary: Nothing new
                    466:   Author: Brouard
                    467: 
                    468:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    469: 
1.148     brouard   470:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    471:   *** empty log message ***
                    472: 
1.147     brouard   473:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    474:   Summary: Merge
                    475:   Author: Brouard
                    476: 
                    477:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    478: 
1.146     brouard   479:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    480:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    481:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    482: 
                    483:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    484:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    485:   improve the code.
                    486:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    487:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    488:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    489:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    490:   the source code.
                    491: 
1.144     brouard   492:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    493:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    494: 
                    495:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    496:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    497: 
1.143     brouard   498:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    499:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    500: 
                    501:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    502: 
1.142     brouard   503:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    504:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    505: 
1.141     brouard   506:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    507:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    508: 
1.140     brouard   509:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    510:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    511:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    512: 
1.139     brouard   513:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    514:   *** empty log message ***
                    515: 
1.138     brouard   516:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    517:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    518:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    519: 
1.137     brouard   520:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    521:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    522:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    523:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    524:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    525: 
1.136     brouard   526:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    527:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    528: 
1.135     brouard   529:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    530:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    531: 
1.134     brouard   532:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    533:   just nforces
                    534: 
1.133     brouard   535:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    536:   Many tings
                    537: 
1.132     brouard   538:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    539:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    540: 
1.131     brouard   541:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    542:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    543:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    544:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    545: 
1.130     brouard   546:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    547:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    548: 
1.129     lievre    549:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    550:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    551: 
1.128     brouard   552:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    553:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    554:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    555:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    556:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    557:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    558:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    559:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    560:   computation.
                    561:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    562:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    563: 
1.127     brouard   564:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    565:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    566:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    567:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    568:   Version 0.98h
                    569: 
1.126     brouard   570:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    571:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    572:   Forecasting file added.
                    573: 
                    574:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    575:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    576:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    577: 
                    578:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    579:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    580:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    581: 
                    582:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    583:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    584:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    585:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    586:   1.
                    587:   Version 0.98g
                    588: 
                    589:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    590:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    591:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    592:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    593:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    594:   1.
                    595:   Version 0.98g
                    596: 
                    597:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    598:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    599: 
                    600:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    601:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    602:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    603: 
                    604:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    605:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    606:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    607:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    608: 
                    609:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    610:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    611:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    612: 
                    613:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    614:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    615:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    616:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    617:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    618:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    619: 
                    620:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    621:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    622:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    623:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    624:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    625:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    626: 
                    627:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    628:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    629:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    630: 
                    631:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    632:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    633: 
                    634:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    635:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    636:   filename with strsep.
                    637: 
                    638:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    639:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    640:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    641:   allocation too.
                    642: 
                    643:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    644:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    645: 
                    646:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    647:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    648:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    649:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    650: 
                    651:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    652:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    653: 
                    654:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    655:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    656: 
                    657:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    658:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    659:   To be fixed
                    660: 
                    661:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    662:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    663: 
                    664:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    665:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    666: 
                    667:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    668:   *** empty log message ***
                    669: 
                    670:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    671:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    672:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    673:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    674:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    675:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    676:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    677:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    678: 
                    679:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    680:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    681: 
                    682:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    683:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    684: 
                    685:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    686:   Fix on curr_time
                    687: 
                    688:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    689:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    690: 
                    691:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    692:   *** empty log message ***
                    693: 
                    694:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    695:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    696:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    697:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    698:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    699:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    700:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    701:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    702: 
                    703:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    704: 
1.133     brouard   705:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   706:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    707: 
                    708:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    709:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    710: 
                    711:   Current limitations:
                    712:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    713:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    714:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    715: 
                    716:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    717:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    718:   suppressed.
                    719: 
                    720:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    721:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    722:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    723: 
                    724:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    725:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    726:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    727:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    728: 
                    729:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    730:   Just cleaning
                    731: 
                    732:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    733:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    734:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    735:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    736: 
                    737:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    738:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    739:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    740: 
                    741:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    742:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    743:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    744:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    745:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    746:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    747: 
                    748:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    749:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    750:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    751:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    752: 
                    753:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    754:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    755:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    756:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    757: 
                    758:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    759:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    760: 
                    761:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    762:   Version 0.96
                    763: 
                    764:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    765:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    766:   routine fileappend.
                    767: 
                    768:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    769:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    770:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    771:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    772:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    773:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    774:   interview.
                    775:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    776:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    777:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    778:   truncation)
                    779:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    780: 
                    781:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    782:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    783:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    784:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    785:   parcimony.
                    786:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    787: 
                    788:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    789:   *** empty log message ***
                    790: 
                    791:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    792:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    793: 
                    794: */
                    795: /*
                    796:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    797: 
                    798:   Short summary of the programme:
                    799:   
1.227     brouard   800:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    801:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    802:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    803: 
                    804:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    805:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    806:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    807: 
                    808:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    809:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    810:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    811:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    812:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    813:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    814:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    815:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    816:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    817:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    818:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    819:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    820:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   821:   convergence.
                    822: 
                    823:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    824:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    825:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    826:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    827:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    828: 
                    829:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    830:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    831:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    832:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    833:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    834:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    835:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    836:   hPijx.
                    837: 
                    838:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   839:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    840: 
                    841: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   842: 
                    843:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    844:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    845:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    846:    mobilavproj)
                    847: 
                    848:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    849:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    850:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    851: 
                    852:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    853:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    854: 
                    855:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   856:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    857:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    858:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   859: 
1.267     brouard   860:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard   861:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    862:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    863:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   864:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    865: 
                    866:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    867:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    868:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    869:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    870:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   871: 
                    872: Important routines
                    873: 
                    874: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    875:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    876:   o varying variables by:
                    877:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    878:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    879:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    880:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    881: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    882:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    883: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    884:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    885:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   886: 
1.226     brouard   887: 
                    888:   
1.133     brouard   889:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    890:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   891:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    892:   from the European Union.
                    893:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    894:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    895:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    896: 
                    897:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    898:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    899:   
                    900:   **********************************************************************/
                    901: /*
                    902:   main
                    903:   read parameterfile
                    904:   read datafile
                    905:   concatwav
                    906:   freqsummary
                    907:   if (mle >= 1)
                    908:     mlikeli
                    909:   print results files
                    910:   if mle==1 
                    911:      computes hessian
                    912:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    913:       begin-prev-date,...
                    914:   open gnuplot file
                    915:   open html file
1.145     brouard   916:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    917:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    918:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    919:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    920: 
                    921:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    922:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    923:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    924:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    925: 
                    926:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    927:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    928:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    929:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    930:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    931: 
1.126     brouard   932:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    933:   health expectancies
                    934:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    935:   prevalence()
                    936:    movingaverage()
                    937:   varevsij() 
                    938:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    939:   total life expectancies
                    940:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    941:  end
                    942: */
                    943: 
1.187     brouard   944: /* #define DEBUG */
                    945: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   946: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    947: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    948: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   949: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   950: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   951: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   952: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    953: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   954: 
                    955: #include <math.h>
                    956: #include <stdio.h>
                    957: #include <stdlib.h>
                    958: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   959: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   960: 
                    961: #ifdef _WIN32
                    962: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   963: #include <windows.h>
                    964: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   965: #else
1.126     brouard   966: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   967: #endif
1.126     brouard   968: 
                    969: #include <limits.h>
                    970: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   971: 
                    972: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    973: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    974: #endif
                    975: 
1.126     brouard   976: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    977: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   978: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   979: 
1.157     brouard   980: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    981: /* #include <time.h> */
                    982: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    983: /* #else */
                    984: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    985: /* #endif */
                    986: 
1.126     brouard   987: #include <time.h>
                    988: 
1.136     brouard   989: #ifdef GSL
                    990: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    991: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                    992: #endif
                    993: 
1.167     brouard   994: 
1.162     brouard   995: #ifdef NLOPT
                    996: #include <nlopt.h>
                    997: typedef struct {
                    998:   double (* function)(double [] );
                    999: } myfunc_data ;
                   1000: #endif
                   1001: 
1.126     brouard  1002: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                   1003: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                   1004: 
1.251     brouard  1005: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard  1006: 
                   1007: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                   1008: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                   1009: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                   1010: 
                   1011: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1012: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1013: 
1.144     brouard  1014: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1015: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1016: 
                   1017: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1018: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1019: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                   1020: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard  1021: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1022: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1023: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard  1024: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard  1025: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1026: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                   1027: #define AGESUP 150
1.268     brouard  1028: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1029: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1030: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1031: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1032: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1033: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1034: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1035: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1036: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1037: #else
1.126     brouard  1038: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1039: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1040: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1041: #endif
                   1042: 
1.280   ! brouard  1043: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.279 2017/07/20 13:35:01 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1044: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1045: #include "version.h"
                   1046: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard  1047: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.280   ! brouard  1048: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.279 $ $Date: 2017/07/20 13:35:01 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1049: char strstart[80];
                   1050: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1051: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1052: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1053: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1054: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1055: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1056: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1057: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1058: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1059: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1060: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1061: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1062: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1063: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1064: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1065: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1066: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1067: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1068: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1069: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1070: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard  1071: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard  1072: int npar=NPARMAX;
                   1073: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1074: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1075: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1076: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1077: int popbased=0;
                   1078: 
                   1079: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1080: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1081: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1082: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1083: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1084:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1085: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1086: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1087: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1088: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1089:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1090: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1091: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1092: 
1.130     brouard  1093: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1094: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1095: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1096: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1097: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1098: 
1.136     brouard  1099: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1100: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1101: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1102: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1103: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1104: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1105: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1106: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1107: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1108: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1109: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1110: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1111: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1112: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1113: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1114: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1115: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1116: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1117: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1118: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1119: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1120: 
1.126     brouard  1121: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1122: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1123: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1124: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1125: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1126: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1127: int  outcmd=0;
                   1128: 
1.217     brouard  1129: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1130: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1131: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1132: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1133: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1134: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1135: 
                   1136: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1137: 
1.157     brouard  1138: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1139: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1140: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1141: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1142: 
                   1143: extern time_t time();
                   1144: 
                   1145: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1146: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1147: struct tm tm;
                   1148: 
1.126     brouard  1149: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1150: 
                   1151: char *endptr;
                   1152: long lval;
                   1153: double dval;
                   1154: 
                   1155: #define NR_END 1
                   1156: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1157: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1158: 
                   1159: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1160: #define ITMAX 200
                   1161: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1162: 
                   1163: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1164: 
                   1165: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1166: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1167: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1168: 
                   1169: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1170: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1171: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1172: 
                   1173: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1174: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1175: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1176:   
                   1177: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1178: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1179: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1180: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1181: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1182: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1183: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1184: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1185: static double sqrarg;
                   1186: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1187: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1188: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1189: 
                   1190: int imx; 
                   1191: int stepm=1;
                   1192: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1193: 
                   1194: int estepm;
                   1195: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1196: 
                   1197: int m,nb;
                   1198: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1199: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1200: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1201:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1202:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1203: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1204:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1205:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1206: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1207: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1208: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1209: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1210: double dateintmean=0;
                   1211: 
                   1212: double *weight;
                   1213: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1214: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1215: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1216:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1217:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1218: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1219: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1220: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1221: double  idx; 
                   1222: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1223: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1224: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1225: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1226: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1227: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1228: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1229: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1230: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1231: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1232: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1233: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1234: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1235: /* */
                   1236: /* Type                    */
                   1237: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1238: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1239: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1240: /*                         */
                   1241: int *TvarsD;
                   1242: int *TvarsDind;
                   1243: int *TvarsQ;
                   1244: int *TvarsQind;
                   1245: 
1.235     brouard  1246: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1247: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1248: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.235     brouard  1249: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1250: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1251: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1252: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1253: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1254: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1255: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1256: 
1.234     brouard  1257: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1258: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1259: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1260: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1261: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1262: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1263: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1264: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1265: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1266: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1267: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1268: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1269: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1270: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1271: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1272: 
1.230     brouard  1273: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1274: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1275: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1276: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1277: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1278: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1279: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1280: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1281: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1282: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1283: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1284: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1285: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1286: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1287: int **Tvard;
                   1288: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1289: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1290: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1291:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1292:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1293: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1294: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1295: 
1.231     brouard  1296: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1297: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1298: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1299: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1300: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1301: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1302: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1303: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1304: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1305: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1306: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1307: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1308: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1309: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1310: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1311: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1312: 
                   1313: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1314: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1315: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1316: 
                   1317: struct kmodel{
                   1318:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1319:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1320: };
                   1321: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1322: 
1.143     brouard  1323: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1324: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1325: 
                   1326: /**************** split *************************/
                   1327: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1328: {
                   1329:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1330:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1331:   */ 
                   1332:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1333:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1334: 
                   1335:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1336:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1337:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1338:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1339:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1340:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1341:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1342:     /* get current working directory */
                   1343:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1344: #ifdef WIN32
                   1345:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1346: #else
                   1347:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1348: #endif
1.126     brouard  1349:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1350:     }
                   1351:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1352:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1353:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1354:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1355:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1356:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1357:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1358:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1359:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1360:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1361:   }
                   1362:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1363:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1364:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1365:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1366:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1367:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1368:   }
                   1369:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1370:   if (ss >0){
                   1371:     ss++;
                   1372:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1373:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1374:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1375:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1376:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1377:   }
                   1378: 
                   1379:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1380: }
                   1381: 
                   1382: 
                   1383: /******************************************/
                   1384: 
                   1385: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1386: {
                   1387:   int i;
                   1388:   int lg=0;
                   1389:   i=0;
                   1390:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1391:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1392:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1393:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1394:   }
                   1395: }
                   1396: 
1.132     brouard  1397: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1398: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1399:   char *s;
                   1400:   s=out;
                   1401:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1402:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1403:       in++;
                   1404:     }
                   1405:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1406:   }
                   1407:   *out='\0';
                   1408:   return s;
                   1409: }
                   1410: 
1.187     brouard  1411: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1412: /* { */
                   1413: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1414: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1415: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1416: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1417: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1418: /*   } */
                   1419: 
                   1420: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1421: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1422: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1423: /*   } */
                   1424: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1425: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1426: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1427: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1428: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1429: /*   } */
                   1430: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1431: /*   out=s; */
                   1432: /*   return out; */
                   1433: /* } */
                   1434: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1435: {
                   1436:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1437:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1438: 
                   1439:   char *strloc;
                   1440: 
                   1441:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1442:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1443:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1444:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1445:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1446:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1447:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1448:   }
                   1449:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1450:   return out;
                   1451: }
                   1452: 
                   1453: 
1.145     brouard  1454: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1455: {
1.187     brouard  1456:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1457:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1458:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1459:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1460:   */
1.160     brouard  1461:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1462:   t=in;s=in;
                   1463:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1464:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1465:   }
                   1466:   if( *in == occ){
                   1467:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1468:     s=++in;
                   1469:   }
                   1470:  
                   1471:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1472:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1473:     in=s;
                   1474:   }
                   1475:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1476:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1477:   }
                   1478: 
                   1479:   *blocc='\0';
                   1480:   return t;
                   1481: }
1.137     brouard  1482: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1483: {
1.187     brouard  1484:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1485:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1486:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1487:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1488:   */
                   1489:   char *s, *t;
                   1490:   t=in;s=in;
                   1491:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1492:     while( *in == occ){
                   1493:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1494:       s=in;
                   1495:     }
                   1496:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1497:   }
                   1498:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1499:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1500:   else
                   1501:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1502:   in=s;
                   1503:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1504:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1505:   }
                   1506: 
                   1507:   *alocc='\0';
                   1508:   return s;
                   1509: }
                   1510: 
1.126     brouard  1511: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1512: {
                   1513:   int i,j=0;
                   1514:   int lg=20;
                   1515:   i=0;
                   1516:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1517:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1518:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1519:   }
                   1520:   return j;
                   1521: }
                   1522: 
1.137     brouard  1523: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1524: /* { */
                   1525: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1526: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1527: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1528: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1529: /*   i=0; */
                   1530: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1531: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1532: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1533: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1534: 
1.137     brouard  1535: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1536: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1537: /*   } */
                   1538: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1539: 
1.137     brouard  1540: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1541: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1542: /*   } */
                   1543: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1544: 
1.160     brouard  1545: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1546: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1547: {
                   1548:   char *p, *q;
                   1549:          
                   1550:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1551:     return 0;
                   1552:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1553:   {
                   1554:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1555:     *q = '\0';
                   1556:   }
                   1557:   else
                   1558:     *pp = 0;
                   1559:   return p;
                   1560: }
                   1561: #endif
                   1562: 
1.126     brouard  1563: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1564: 
                   1565: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1566: {
                   1567:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1568:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1569:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1570: }
                   1571: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1572: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1573: {
                   1574:   double *v;
                   1575:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1576:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1577:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1578: }
                   1579: 
                   1580: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1581: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1582: {
                   1583:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1584: }
                   1585: 
                   1586: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1587: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1588: {
                   1589:   int *v;
                   1590:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1591:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1592:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1593: }
                   1594: 
                   1595: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1596: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1597: {
                   1598:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1599: }
                   1600: 
                   1601: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1602: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1603: {
                   1604:   long *v;
                   1605:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1606:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1607:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1608: }
                   1609: 
                   1610: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1611: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1612: {
                   1613:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1614: }
                   1615: 
                   1616: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1617: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1618:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1619: { 
                   1620:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1621:   int **m; 
                   1622:   
                   1623:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1624:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1625:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1626:   m += NR_END; 
                   1627:   m -= nrl; 
                   1628:   
                   1629:   
                   1630:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1631:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1632:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1633:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1634:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1635:   
                   1636:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1637:   
                   1638:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1639:   return m; 
                   1640: } 
                   1641: 
                   1642: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1643: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1644:       int **m;
                   1645:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1646:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1647: { 
                   1648:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1649:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1650: } 
                   1651: 
                   1652: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1653: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1654: {
                   1655:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1656:   double **m;
                   1657: 
                   1658:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1659:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1660:   m += NR_END;
                   1661:   m -= nrl;
                   1662: 
                   1663:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1664:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1665:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1666:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1667: 
                   1668:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1669:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1670:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1671: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1672: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1673:    */
                   1674: }
                   1675: 
                   1676: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1677: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1678: {
                   1679:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1680:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1681: }
                   1682: 
                   1683: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1684: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1685: {
                   1686:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1687:   double ***m;
                   1688: 
                   1689:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1690:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1691:   m += NR_END;
                   1692:   m -= nrl;
                   1693: 
                   1694:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1695:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1696:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1697:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1698: 
                   1699:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1700: 
                   1701:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1702:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1703:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1704:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1705:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1706:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1707:   
                   1708:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1709:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1710:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1711:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1712:   }
                   1713:   return m; 
                   1714:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1715:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1716:   */
                   1717: }
                   1718: 
                   1719: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1720: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1721: {
                   1722:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1723:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1724:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1725: }
                   1726: 
                   1727: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1728: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1729: {
                   1730:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1731:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1732:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1733:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1734:   return tmpout;
                   1735: }
                   1736: 
                   1737: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1738: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1739: {
                   1740:   
                   1741:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1742:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1743:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1744:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1745:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1746:   return tmpout;
                   1747: }
                   1748: 
                   1749: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1750: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1751: {
                   1752:   
                   1753:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1754:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1755:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1756:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1757:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1758:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1759:   return tmpout;
                   1760: }
1.213     brouard  1761:  
                   1762: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1763: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1764: {
                   1765:   
                   1766:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1767:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1768:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1769:   return tmpout;
                   1770: }
1.126     brouard  1771: 
1.213     brouard  1772: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1773: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1774: {
                   1775:   
                   1776:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1777:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1778:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1779:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1780:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1781:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1782:   return tmpout;
                   1783: }
                   1784:  
1.162     brouard  1785: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1786: {
                   1787:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1788:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1789:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1790:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1791:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1792:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1793:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1794:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1795:   return ascdiff;
                   1796: }
                   1797: 
1.126     brouard  1798: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1799: extern int ncom; 
                   1800: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1801: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1802:  
                   1803: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1804: { 
                   1805:   int j; 
                   1806:   double f;
                   1807:   double *xt; 
                   1808:  
                   1809:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1810:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1811:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1812:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1813:   return f; 
                   1814: } 
                   1815: 
                   1816: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1817: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1818: {
                   1819:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1820:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1821:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1822:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1823:    * returned function value. 
                   1824:   */
1.126     brouard  1825:   int iter; 
                   1826:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1827:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1828:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1829:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1830:   double e=0.0; 
                   1831:  
                   1832:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1833:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1834:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1835:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1836:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1837:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1838:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1839:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1840:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1841:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1842: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1843:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1844:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1845:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1846: #endif
                   1847:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1848:       *xmin=x; 
                   1849:       return fx; 
                   1850:     } 
                   1851:     ftemp=fu;
                   1852:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1853:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1854:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1855:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1856:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1857:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1858:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1859:       etemp=e; 
                   1860:       e=d; 
                   1861:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1862:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1863:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1864:                                d=p/q; 
                   1865:                                u=x+d; 
                   1866:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1867:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1868:       } 
                   1869:     } else { 
                   1870:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1871:     } 
                   1872:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1873:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1874:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1875:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1876:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1877:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1878:     } else { 
                   1879:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1880:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1881:                                v=w; 
                   1882:                                w=u; 
                   1883:                                fv=fw; 
                   1884:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1885:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1886:                                v=u; 
                   1887:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1888:       } 
                   1889:     } 
1.126     brouard  1890:   } 
                   1891:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1892:   *xmin=x; 
                   1893:   return fx; 
                   1894: } 
                   1895: 
                   1896: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1897: 
                   1898: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1899:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1900: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1901: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1902: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1903: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1904:    */
1.126     brouard  1905:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1906:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1907: 
                   1908:   double scale=10.;
                   1909:   int iterscale=0;
                   1910: 
                   1911:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1912:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1913: 
                   1914: 
                   1915:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1916:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1917:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1918:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1919:   /* } */
                   1920: 
1.126     brouard  1921:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1922:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1923:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1924:   } 
1.126     brouard  1925:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1926:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1927: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1928:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1929:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1930: #endif
1.224     brouard  1931:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1932:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1933:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1934:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1935:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1936:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1937:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1938:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1939: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1940:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1941:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1942:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1943:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1944:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1945:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1946:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1947:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1948:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1949:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1950: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1951: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1952: #else
1.191     brouard  1953: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1954: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1955: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1956: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1957: /* #endif */
                   1958: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1959: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1960: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1961: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1962: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1963: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1964: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1965: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1966: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1967: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1968: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1969: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1970: /* #endif */
                   1971: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1972: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1973: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1974: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1975: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1976: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1977: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1978: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1979:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1980:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1981:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1982:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1983:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1984: #endif
1.191     brouard  1985:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1986:       u = *cx;
                   1987:       *cx = dum;
                   1988:       dum = fu;
                   1989:       fu = *fc;
                   1990:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1991: #endif
1.162     brouard  1992:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  1993: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1994:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   1995:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  1996: #endif
1.126     brouard  1997:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   1998:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  1999: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2000:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2001:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2002: #endif
                   2003:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   2004:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   2005: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2006:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  2007: #endif
                   2008:       } 
1.162     brouard  2009:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  2010: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2011:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2012:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2013: #endif
1.126     brouard  2014:       u=ulim; 
                   2015:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2016:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2017: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2018:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2019:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2020: #endif
1.126     brouard  2021:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2022:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2023: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2024:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2025:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2026: #endif
1.183     brouard  2027:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2028:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2029:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2030: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2031:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2032:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2033: #endif
                   2034:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2035: } 
                   2036: 
                   2037: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2038: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2039: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2040: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2041: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2042: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2043: int ncom; 
                   2044: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2045: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2046:  
1.224     brouard  2047: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2048: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2049: #else
                   2050: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2051: #endif
1.126     brouard  2052: { 
                   2053:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2054:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2055:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2056:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2057:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2058:   int j; 
                   2059:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2060:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2061: 
1.203     brouard  2062: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2063: #else
                   2064:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2065: #endif
                   2066:   
1.126     brouard  2067:   ncom=n; 
                   2068:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2069:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2070:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2071:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2072:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2073:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2074:   } 
1.187     brouard  2075: 
1.203     brouard  2076: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2077:   xx=1.;
                   2078: #else
                   2079:   axs=0.0;
                   2080:   xxs=1.;
                   2081:   do{
                   2082:     xx= xxs;
                   2083: #endif
1.187     brouard  2084:     ax=0.;
                   2085:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2086:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2087:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2088:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2089:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2090:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2091:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2092: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2093: #else
                   2094:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2095:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2096:                        printf("|");
                   2097:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2098: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2099:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2100: #endif
                   2101:     }
1.224     brouard  2102:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2103: #endif
                   2104:   
1.191     brouard  2105: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2106:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2107:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2108: #endif
1.224     brouard  2109: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2110: #else
                   2111:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2112:                xmin=xx;
                   2113:     *flat=1;
                   2114:        }else{
                   2115:     *flat=0;
                   2116: #endif
                   2117:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2118:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2119:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2120:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2121:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2122:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2123: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2124:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2125:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2126: #endif
                   2127: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2128: #else
                   2129:                        }
1.126     brouard  2130: #endif
1.191     brouard  2131: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2132:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2133:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2134: #endif
1.126     brouard  2135:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2136: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2137:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2138: #else
                   2139: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2140:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2141:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2142: #endif
                   2143:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2144: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2145:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2146:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2147: #endif
                   2148: #endif
1.187     brouard  2149:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2150:   } 
1.191     brouard  2151: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2152:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2153:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2154:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2155:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2156:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2157:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2158:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2159:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2160:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2161:     }
1.191     brouard  2162:   }
1.203     brouard  2163: #else
1.191     brouard  2164: #endif
1.126     brouard  2165:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2166:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2167: } 
                   2168: 
                   2169: 
                   2170: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2171: /*
                   2172: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2173: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2174: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2175: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2176: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2177: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2178:  */
1.224     brouard  2179: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2180: #else
                   2181:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2182:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2183: #endif
1.126     brouard  2184: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2185:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2186: { 
1.224     brouard  2187: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2188:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2189:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2190: #else 
1.241     brouard  2191:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2192:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2193: #endif
1.239     brouard  2194:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2195:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2196:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2197:   double fp,fptt;
                   2198:   double *xits;
                   2199:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2200: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2201: #else
                   2202: 
                   2203:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2204:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2205: #endif
1.126     brouard  2206: 
                   2207:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2208:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2209:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2210:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2211:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2212:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2213:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2214:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2215:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2216:     ibig=0; 
                   2217:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2218:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2219:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2220:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2221:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2222:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2223:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2224: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2225:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2226:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2227:     }
1.239     brouard  2228:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2229:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2230:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2231:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2232:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2233:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2234:     }
                   2235:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2236:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2237:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2238:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2239:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2240:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2241:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2242:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2243:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2244:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2245:       }
                   2246:     }
1.126     brouard  2247:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2248: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2249: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2250:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2251:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2252:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2253:        if (k != i) {
                   2254:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2255:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2256:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2257:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2258:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2259:            jk++; 
                   2260:          }
                   2261:          printf("\n");
                   2262:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2263:        }
                   2264:       }
                   2265:     }
1.241     brouard  2266:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2267:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2268:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2269:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2270:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2271:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2272:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2273:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2274:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2275:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2276:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2277:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2278:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2279:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2280:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2281:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2282:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2283:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2284:       }
                   2285:     }
1.187     brouard  2286:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2287:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2288:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2289: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2290:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2291:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2292: #endif
1.203     brouard  2293:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2294:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2295: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2296:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2297: #else
                   2298:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2299:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2300: #endif
                   2301:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2302:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2303:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2304:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2305:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2306:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2307:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2308:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2309:       } 
                   2310: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2311:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2312:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2313:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2314:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2315:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2316:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2317:       }
                   2318:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2319:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2320:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2321:       }
                   2322:       printf("\n");
                   2323:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2324: #endif
1.187     brouard  2325:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2326:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2327:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2328:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2329:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2330:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2331:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2332:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2333:                                }
                   2334:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2335:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2336:                        }
1.243     brouard  2337:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2338:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2339:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2340:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2341:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2342:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2343:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2344:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2345:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2346:                        
1.188     brouard  2347:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2348:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2349:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2350:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2351: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2352:       int k[2],l;
                   2353:       k[0]=1;
                   2354:       k[1]=-1;
                   2355:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2356:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2357:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2358:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2359:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2360:       }
                   2361:       printf("\n");
                   2362:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2363:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2364:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2365:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2366:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2367:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2368:        }
                   2369:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2370:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2371:       }
                   2372: #endif
                   2373: 
1.224     brouard  2374: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2375: #else
                   2376:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2377: #endif
1.126     brouard  2378:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2379:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2380:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2381:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2382:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2383:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2384:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2385:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2386:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2387:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2388:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2389:     } 
1.181     brouard  2390:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2391: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2392:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2393: #else
                   2394: #endif
1.224     brouard  2395: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2396: #else
1.161     brouard  2397:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2398: #endif
1.162     brouard  2399:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2400:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2401:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2402:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2403:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2404:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2405:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2406:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2407:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2408:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2409:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2410:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2411:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2412:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2413:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2414: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2415:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2416: #else
                   2417:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2418:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2419: #endif
1.202     brouard  2420:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2421: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2422:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2423:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2424:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2425:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2426:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2427:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2428:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2429:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2430: #endif
1.183     brouard  2431: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2432:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2433: #else
1.182     brouard  2434:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2435:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2436:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2437:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2438:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2439:       } 
1.181     brouard  2440:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2441: #endif
1.191     brouard  2442: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2443:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2444:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2445:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2446:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2447:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2448:            printf("\n");
                   2449:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2450:          }
                   2451:        }
1.224     brouard  2452: #endif
                   2453: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2454:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2455: #else
1.234     brouard  2456:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2457:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2458: #endif
1.234     brouard  2459:        
1.191     brouard  2460: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2461:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2462:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2463:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2464:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2465:            printf("\n");
                   2466:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2467:          }
                   2468:        }
1.224     brouard  2469: #endif
1.234     brouard  2470:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2471:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2472:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2473:        }
1.224     brouard  2474: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2475: #else
1.234     brouard  2476:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2477:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2478:            flatd++;
                   2479:        }
                   2480:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2481:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2482:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2483:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2484:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2485:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2486:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2487:            }
                   2488:          }
                   2489:          printf("\n");
                   2490:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2491:        }
1.191     brouard  2492: #endif
1.234     brouard  2493:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2494:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2495:        
1.126     brouard  2496: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2497:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2498:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2499:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2500:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2501:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2502:        }
                   2503:        printf("\n");
                   2504:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2505: #endif
1.192     brouard  2506:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2507: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2508: #else
1.234     brouard  2509:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2510: #endif
1.225     brouard  2511: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2512:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2513: #else
1.224     brouard  2514: #endif
1.234     brouard  2515:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2516: } 
1.234     brouard  2517:   
1.126     brouard  2518: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2519:   
1.235     brouard  2520:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2521:   {
1.279     brouard  2522:     /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2523:      *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2524:      *  by left multiplying the unit
                   2525:      *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
                   2526:      * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
                   2527:      * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
                   2528:      * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
                   2529:      * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
                   2530:      * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
                   2531:      * Output is prlim.
                   2532:      * Initial matrix pimij 
                   2533:      */
1.206     brouard  2534:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2535:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2536:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2537:   /*
                   2538:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2539:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2540:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2541:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2542:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2543:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2544:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2545:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2546:     
1.126     brouard  2547:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2548:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2549:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2550:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2551:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2552:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2553:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2554:   
1.209     brouard  2555:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2556:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2557:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2558: 
1.218     brouard  2559:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2560:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2561:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2562:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2563:     }
1.169     brouard  2564:   
                   2565:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2566:   
                   2567:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2568:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2569:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2570:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2571:     newm=savm;
                   2572:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2573:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2574:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2575:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2576:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2577:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2578:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2579:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2580:     }
                   2581:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2582:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2583:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2584:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2585:     }
1.237     brouard  2586:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2587:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2588:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2589:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2590:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2591:       }
1.235     brouard  2592:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2593:     }
1.237     brouard  2594:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2595:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2596:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2597:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2598:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2599:        }else{
                   2600:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2601:        }
                   2602:       }else{
                   2603:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2604:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2605:        }else{
                   2606:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2607:        }
                   2608:       }
1.234     brouard  2609:     }
1.138     brouard  2610:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2611:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2612:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2613:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2614:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2615:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2616:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2617:     
1.126     brouard  2618:     savm=oldm;
                   2619:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2620: 
                   2621:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2622:       max[j]=0.;
                   2623:       min[j]=1.;
                   2624:     }
                   2625:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2626:       sumnew=0;
                   2627:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2628:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2629:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2630:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2631:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2632:       }
                   2633:     }
                   2634: 
1.126     brouard  2635:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2636:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2637:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2638:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2639:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2640:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2641:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2642:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2643:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2644:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2645:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2646:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2647:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2648:       return prlim;
                   2649:     }
1.169     brouard  2650:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2651:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2652:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2653: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2654:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2655:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2656:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2657:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2658:   
1.169     brouard  2659:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2660: }
                   2661: 
1.217     brouard  2662: 
                   2663:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2664: 
1.218     brouard  2665:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2666:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2667:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2668: {
1.264     brouard  2669:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2670:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2671:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2672:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2673:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2674:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2675:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2676:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2677:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2678:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2679:   /*
                   2680:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2681:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2682:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2683:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2684:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2685:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2686:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2687:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2688: 
                   2689:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2690:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2691:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2692:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2693:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2694:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2695:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2696:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2697: 
1.217     brouard  2698:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2699:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2700:   
                   2701:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2702:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2703:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2704: 
1.266     brouard  2705:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2706:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2707:   
                   2708:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2709:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2710:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2711:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2712:     }
                   2713:   
                   2714:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2715:   
                   2716:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2717:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2718:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2719:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2720:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2721:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2722:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2723:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2724:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2725:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2726:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2727:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2728:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2729:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2730:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2731:     }
                   2732:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2733:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2734:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2735:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2736:     /* } */
                   2737:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2738:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2739:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2740:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2741:     }
                   2742:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2743:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2744:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2745:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2746:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2747:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2748:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2749:       } else{
                   2750:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2751:       }
                   2752:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2753:     }
                   2754:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2755:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2756:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2757:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2758:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2759:        }else{
                   2760:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2761:        }
                   2762:       }else{
                   2763:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2764:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2765:        }else{
                   2766:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2767:        }
                   2768:       }
1.217     brouard  2769:     }
                   2770:     
                   2771:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2772:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2773:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2774:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2775:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2776:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2777:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2778:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2779:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2780:                 */
                   2781:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2782:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2783:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  2784:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  2785:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   2786:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   2787:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   2788:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2789:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   2790:     /*         } */
                   2791:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   2792:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2793:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   2794:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  2795:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  2796:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2797:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   2798:     /*         } */
                   2799:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   2800:     /*   } */
                   2801:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  2802:     savm=oldm;
                   2803:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  2804: 
1.217     brouard  2805:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2806:       max[j]=0.;
                   2807:       min[j]=1.;
                   2808:     }
                   2809:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2810:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2811:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2812:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2813:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2814:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2815:       }
                   2816:     }
1.218     brouard  2817:                
1.217     brouard  2818:     maxmax=0.;
                   2819:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2820:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2821:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2822:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  2823:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  2824:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  2825:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2826:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2827:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2828:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2829:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2830:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2831:       return bprlim;
                   2832:     }
                   2833:   } /* age loop */
                   2834:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2835:   if(first){
                   2836:     first=1;
                   2837:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2838: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2839:   }
                   2840:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2841: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2842:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2843:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2844:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2845:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2846:   
                   2847:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2848: }
                   2849: 
1.126     brouard  2850: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2851: 
                   2852: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2853: {
1.138     brouard  2854:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  2855:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  2856:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2857:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2858:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2859:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2860:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2861:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2862:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2863:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  2864:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  2865:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  2866:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  2867:   */
                   2868:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2869:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2870:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2871: 
1.223     brouard  2872:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2873:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2874:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2875:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2876:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2877:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2878:       }
                   2879:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2880:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2881:     }
                   2882:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2883:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2884:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2885:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2886:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2887:       }
                   2888:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2889:     }
                   2890:   }
1.218     brouard  2891:   
1.223     brouard  2892:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2893:     s1=0;
                   2894:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2895:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2896:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2897:     }
                   2898:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2899:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2900:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2901:     }
                   2902:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2903:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2904:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2905:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2906:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2907:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2908:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2909:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2910:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2911:   
1.223     brouard  2912:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2913:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2914:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2915:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2916:     }
                   2917:   }
1.218     brouard  2918:   
                   2919:   
1.223     brouard  2920:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2921:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2922:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2923:   /*   } */
                   2924:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2925:   /* } */
                   2926:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2927:   /*
                   2928:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2929:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  2930:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  2931: }
                   2932: 
1.218     brouard  2933: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2934: 
                   2935:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2936: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2937:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2938: {
1.266     brouard  2939:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate combination ij. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
                   2940:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  2941:    */
1.218     brouard  2942:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2943:   
                   2944:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2945:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2946:   double agefin;
1.268     brouard  2947:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  2948:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2949:   double **bbmij;
                   2950:   
1.218     brouard  2951:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2952:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2953:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2954:   
                   2955:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  2956:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  2957:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  2958:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   2959:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  2960: 
                   2961:   /* P_x */
1.266     brouard  2962:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm */
1.268     brouard  2963:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   2964: 
                   2965:   /* Diag(w_x) */
                   2966:   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
                   2967:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  2968:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  2969:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.269     brouard  2970:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
1.268     brouard  2971:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2972:   }
                   2973:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   2974:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2975:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  2976:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  2977:     }
                   2978:   }else{
                   2979:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2980:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2981:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   2982:     }
                   2983:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   2984:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   2985:     /* } */
                   2986:   }
                   2987:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   2988:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2989:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   2990:   }
                   2991:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   2992:   
                   2993:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   2994:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   2995: 
                   2996:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
                   2997:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  2998:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  2999:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  3000:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  3001:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  3002:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  3003:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  3004:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  3005:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3006:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3007:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3008:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3009:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  3010:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   3011:     } /*End ii */
                   3012:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   3013: 
                   3014:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3015:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3016:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3017:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3018: }
1.217     brouard  3019: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3020: 
1.218     brouard  3021: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3022: {
                   3023:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3024:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3025:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3026:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3027:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3028:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3029:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3030:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3031:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3032:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3033:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3034:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3035:   */
                   3036:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3037:   /*double t34;*/
                   3038:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3039: 
1.234     brouard  3040:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3041:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3042:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3043:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3044:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3045:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3046:       }
                   3047:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3048:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3049:     }
                   3050:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3051:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3052:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3053:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3054:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3055:       }
                   3056:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3057:     }
                   3058:   }
                   3059:   
                   3060:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3061:     s1=0;
                   3062:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3063:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3064:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3065:     }
                   3066:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3067:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3068:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3069:     }
                   3070:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3071:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3072:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3073:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3074:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3075:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3076:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3077:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3078:   } /* end i */
                   3079:   
                   3080:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3081:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3082:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3083:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3084:     }
                   3085:   }
                   3086:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   3087:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3088:     s1=0.;
                   3089:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3090:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3091:     }
                   3092:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3093:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3094:     }
                   3095:   }
                   3096:   /* Transposition */
                   3097:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3098:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3099:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3100:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3101:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3102:     }
                   3103:   }
                   3104:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3105:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3106:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3107:   /*   } */
                   3108:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3109:   /* } */
                   3110:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3111:   /*
                   3112:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3113:     goto end;*/
                   3114:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3115: }
                   3116: 
                   3117: 
1.126     brouard  3118: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3119: 
1.145     brouard  3120: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3121: {
                   3122:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3123:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3124:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3125:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3126:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3127:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3128:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3129:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3130:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3131:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3132:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3133:     }
1.126     brouard  3134:   return out;
                   3135: }
                   3136: 
                   3137: 
                   3138: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3139: 
1.235     brouard  3140: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3141: {
1.218     brouard  3142:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3143:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3144:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3145:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3146:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3147:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3148:      for the memory).
                   3149:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3150:      included manually here. 
                   3151: 
                   3152:      */
                   3153: 
                   3154:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3155:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3156:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3157:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3158:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3159: 
                   3160:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3161:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3162:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3163:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3164:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3165:     }
                   3166:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3167:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3168:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3169:       newm=savm;
                   3170:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3171:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3172:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3173:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3174:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3175:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3176:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3177:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3178:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3179:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3180:       }
                   3181:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3182:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3183:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3184:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3185:       }
                   3186:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3187:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3188:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3189:        } else{
                   3190:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3191:        }
                   3192:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3193:       }
                   3194:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3195:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3196:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3197:       }
                   3198:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3199:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3200:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3201:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3202:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3203:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3204:       
                   3205:       
1.126     brouard  3206:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3207:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3208:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3209:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3210:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3211:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3212:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3213:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3214:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3215:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3216:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3217:       /*         } */
                   3218:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3219:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3220:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3221:       /*         } */
                   3222:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3223:       /*       } */
                   3224:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3225:       savm=oldm;
                   3226:       oldm=newm;
                   3227:     }
                   3228:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3229:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3230:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3231:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3232:       }
1.128     brouard  3233:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3234:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3235:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3236:   return po;
                   3237: }
                   3238: 
1.217     brouard  3239: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3240: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3241: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3242: {
1.266     brouard  3243:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3244:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3245:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3246:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3247:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3248:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3249:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3250:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3251:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3252:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3253:   */
1.217     brouard  3254: 
                   3255:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3256:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3257:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3258:   double agexact;
                   3259:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3260:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3261: 
1.266     brouard  3262:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3263:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3264:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3265:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3266:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3267:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3268:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3269:     }
                   3270:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3271:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3272:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3273:       newm=savm;
                   3274:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3275:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3276:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3277:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3278:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3279:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3280:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.266     brouard  3281:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){
                   3282:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3283:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   3284:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3285:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3286:       }
1.267     brouard  3287:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3288:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3289:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3290:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3291:       }
                   3292:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
                   3293:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3294:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3295:        } else{
                   3296:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3297:        }
                   3298:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3299:       }
                   3300:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3301:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.267     brouard  3302:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3303:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3304:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3305: 
1.218     brouard  3306:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3307:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3308:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3309:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3310:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3311:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3312:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3313:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3314:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3315:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3316:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3317:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3318:       /*         } */
                   3319:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3320:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3321:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3322:       /*         } */
                   3323:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3324:       /*       } */
                   3325:       /* } */
                   3326:       savm=oldm;
                   3327:       oldm=newm;
                   3328:     }
                   3329:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3330:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3331:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3332:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3333:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3334:       }
1.268     brouard  3335:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3336:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3337:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3338:   return po;
                   3339: }
                   3340: 
                   3341: 
1.162     brouard  3342: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3343:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3344:   double fret;
                   3345:   double *xt;
                   3346:   int j;
                   3347:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3348: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3349:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3350:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3351: 
                   3352:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3353:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3354:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3355:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3356:   printf("\n");
                   3357:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3358:   return fret;
                   3359: }
                   3360: #endif
1.126     brouard  3361: 
                   3362: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3363: double func( double *x)
                   3364: {
1.226     brouard  3365:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3366:   int ioffset=0;
                   3367:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3368:   double **out;
                   3369:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3370:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3371:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3372:   double bbh, survp;
                   3373:   long ipmx;
                   3374:   double agexact;
                   3375:   /*extern weight */
                   3376:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3377:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3378:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3379:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3380:   */
1.162     brouard  3381: 
1.226     brouard  3382:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3383: 
1.226     brouard  3384:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3385: 
1.226     brouard  3386:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3387:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3388:   if(mle==1){
                   3389:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3390:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3391:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3392:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3393:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3394:       */
1.243     brouard  3395:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3396:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3397:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3398:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3399:       }
1.226     brouard  3400:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3401:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3402:         has been calculated etc */
                   3403:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3404:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3405:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3406:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3407:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3408:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3409:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3410:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3411:       */
                   3412:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3413:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3414:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3415:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3416:        }
                   3417:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3418:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3419:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3420:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3421:          }
                   3422:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3423:          newm=savm;
                   3424:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3425:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3426:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3427:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3428:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3429:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3430:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3431:          else
                   3432:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3433:          }
                   3434:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3435:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3436:          savm=oldm;
                   3437:          oldm=newm;
                   3438:        } /* end mult */
                   3439:        
                   3440:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3441:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3442:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3443:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3444:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3445:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3446:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3447:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3448:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3449:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3450:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3451:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3452:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3453:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3454:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3455:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3456:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3457:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3458:         */
                   3459:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3460:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3461:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3462:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3463:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3464:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3465:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3466:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3467:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3468:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3469:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3470:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3471:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3472:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3473:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3474:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3475:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3476:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3477:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3478:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3479:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3480:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3481:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3482:             lower mortality.
                   3483:          */
                   3484:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3485:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3486:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3487:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3488:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3489:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3490:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3491:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3492:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3493:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3494:             infinity.
                   3495:          */
1.183     brouard  3496: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3497: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3498: /* #else */
                   3499: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3500: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3501: /*       else */
                   3502: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3503: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3504:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3505:          
1.226     brouard  3506:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3507:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3508:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3509:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3510:          lli= log(survp);
                   3511:        }
                   3512:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3513:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3514:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3515:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3516:        } 
                   3517:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3518:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3519:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3520:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3521:        } 
                   3522:        else{
                   3523:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3524:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3525:        } 
                   3526:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3527:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3528:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3529:        ipmx +=1;
                   3530:        sw += weight[i];
                   3531:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3532:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3533:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3534:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3535:        /* } */
                   3536:       } /* end of wave */
                   3537:     } /* end of individual */
                   3538:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3539:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3540:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3541:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3542:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3543:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3544:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3545:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3546:          }
                   3547:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3548:          newm=savm;
                   3549:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3550:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3551:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3552:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3553:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3554:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3555:          }
                   3556:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3557:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3558:          savm=oldm;
                   3559:          oldm=newm;
                   3560:        } /* end mult */
                   3561:       
                   3562:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3563:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3564:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3565:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3566:        ipmx +=1;
                   3567:        sw += weight[i];
                   3568:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3569:       } /* end of wave */
                   3570:     } /* end of individual */
                   3571:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3572:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3573:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3574:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3575:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3576:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3577:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3578:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3579:          }
                   3580:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3581:          newm=savm;
                   3582:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3583:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3584:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3585:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3586:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3587:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3588:          }
                   3589:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3590:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3591:          savm=oldm;
                   3592:          oldm=newm;
                   3593:        } /* end mult */
                   3594:       
                   3595:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3596:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3597:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3598:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3599:        ipmx +=1;
                   3600:        sw += weight[i];
                   3601:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3602:       } /* end of wave */
                   3603:     } /* end of individual */
                   3604:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3605:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3606:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3607:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3608:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3609:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3610:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3611:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3612:          }
                   3613:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3614:          newm=savm;
                   3615:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3616:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3617:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3618:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3619:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3620:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3621:          }
1.126     brouard  3622:        
1.226     brouard  3623:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3624:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3625:          savm=oldm;
                   3626:          oldm=newm;
                   3627:        } /* end mult */
                   3628:       
                   3629:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3630:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3631:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3632:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3633:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3634:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3635:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3636:          lli= log(survp);
                   3637:        }else{
                   3638:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3639:        }
                   3640:        ipmx +=1;
                   3641:        sw += weight[i];
                   3642:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3643: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3644:       } /* end of wave */
                   3645:     } /* end of individual */
                   3646:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3647:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3648:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3649:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3650:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3651:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3652:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3653:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3654:          }
                   3655:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3656:          newm=savm;
                   3657:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3658:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3659:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3660:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3661:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3662:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3663:          }
1.126     brouard  3664:        
1.226     brouard  3665:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3666:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3667:          savm=oldm;
                   3668:          oldm=newm;
                   3669:        } /* end mult */
                   3670:       
                   3671:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3672:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3673:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3674:        ipmx +=1;
                   3675:        sw += weight[i];
                   3676:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3677:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3678:       } /* end of wave */
                   3679:     } /* end of individual */
                   3680:   } /* End of if */
                   3681:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3682:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3683:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3684:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3685: }
                   3686: 
                   3687: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3688: double funcone( double *x)
                   3689: {
1.228     brouard  3690:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3691:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3692:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3693:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3694:   double **out;
                   3695:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3696:   double llt;
                   3697:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3698:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3699: 
1.126     brouard  3700:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3701:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3702:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3703:   /*extern weight */
                   3704:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3705:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3706:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3707:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3708:   */
                   3709:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3710: 
                   3711:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3712:   ioffset=0;
                   3713:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3714:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3715:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3716:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3717:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3718:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3719:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3720:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3721: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3722: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3723: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3724: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3725: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3726: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3727: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3728: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3729: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3730:     }
1.232     brouard  3731:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3732:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3733:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3734:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3735:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3736:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3737:     
1.233     brouard  3738: 
                   3739:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3740:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3741:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3742:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3743:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3744:       }
1.232     brouard  3745:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3746:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3747:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3748:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3749:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3750:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3751:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3752:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3753:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3754:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3755:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3756:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3757:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3758:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3759:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3760:        }
1.214     brouard  3761:       
                   3762:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3763:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3764:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3765:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3766:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3767:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3768:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3769:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3770:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3771:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3772:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3773:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3774:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3775:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3776:          else
                   3777:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3778:        }
                   3779:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3780:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3781:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3782:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3783:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3784:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3785:        savm=oldm;
                   3786:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3787:       } /* end mult */
                   3788:       
                   3789:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3790:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3791:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  3792:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  3793:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3794:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3795:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3796:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3797:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3798:        */
                   3799:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3800:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3801:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3802:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3803:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3804:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3805:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3806:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3807:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3808:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3809:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3810:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3811:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3812:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3813:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3814:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3815:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3816:       } /* End of if */
                   3817:       ipmx +=1;
                   3818:       sw += weight[i];
                   3819:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3820:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3821:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3822:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3823:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3824:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  3825:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  3826:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3827:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3828:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3829:        }
                   3830:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3831:       }
1.232     brouard  3832:        } /* end of wave */
                   3833: } /* end of individual */
                   3834: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3835: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3836: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3837: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3838:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3839:        gsw=sw;
                   3840: }
                   3841: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3842: }
                   3843: 
                   3844: 
                   3845: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3846: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3847: {
                   3848:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3849:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3850:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3851:      Plotting could be done.
                   3852:    */
                   3853:   int k;
                   3854: 
                   3855:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3856:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3857:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3858:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3859:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3860:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3861:     }
1.214     brouard  3862:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3863:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3864:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3865:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3866:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3867:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3868:   }
                   3869: 
                   3870:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3871:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3872:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3873:     if (mle ==0)
                   3874:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3875:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3876:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3877:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  3878:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  3879:       
                   3880:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3881:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3882: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3883:     }
1.207     brouard  3884:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3885: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3886:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3887: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3888:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3889:   }
1.126     brouard  3890:   return;
                   3891: }
                   3892: 
                   3893: 
                   3894: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3895: 
                   3896: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3897: {
1.165     brouard  3898:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3899:   double **xi;
                   3900:   double fret;
                   3901:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3902:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3903: 
                   3904: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3905:   int creturn;
                   3906:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3907:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3908:   double *lb;
                   3909:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3910:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3911:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3912: #endif
                   3913: 
                   3914: 
1.126     brouard  3915:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3916:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3917:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3918:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3919:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3920:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3921:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3922:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3923:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3924:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3925:   }
                   3926:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3927:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3928:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3929:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3930:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3931: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3932:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3933: #endif
1.126     brouard  3934: 
1.162     brouard  3935: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3936: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3937:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3938: #else
                   3939:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3940: #endif
                   3941:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3942:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3943:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3944:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3945:   
                   3946:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3947:   d->function = func;
                   3948:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3949:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3950:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3951:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3952:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3953:   }
                   3954:   else {
                   3955:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3956:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3957:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3958:   }
                   3959:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3960: #endif
1.126     brouard  3961:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3962:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3963:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3964:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3965:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3966: 
                   3967: }
                   3968: 
                   3969: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3970: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3971: {
                   3972:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3973:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3974:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3975:   int *indx;
                   3976: 
                   3977:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3978:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3979:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3980:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3981:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3982:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3983: 
                   3984:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3985:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3986:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3987:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3988:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3989:    
                   3990:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3991:     
                   3992:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   3993:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   3994:   }
                   3995:   
                   3996:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   3997:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   3998:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  3999:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   4000:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   4001:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  4002:        
                   4003:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   4004:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   4005:       }
                   4006:     }
                   4007:   }
                   4008:   printf("\n");
                   4009:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4010: 
                   4011:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4012:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4013:   
                   4014:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4015:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4016:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4017:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4018:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4019:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4020:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4021: 
                   4022:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4023:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4024:     x[j]=1;
                   4025:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4026:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4027:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4028:     }
                   4029:   }
                   4030: 
                   4031:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4032:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4033:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4034:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4035:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4036:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4037:     }
                   4038:     printf("\n");
                   4039:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4040:   }
                   4041: 
1.203     brouard  4042:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4043:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4044:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4045:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4046:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4047:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4048:   /*   } */
                   4049:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4050:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4051:   /* } */
                   4052: 
1.126     brouard  4053:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4054:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4055:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4056:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4057: 
                   4058:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4059: 
                   4060:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4061:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4062:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4063:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4064:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4065:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4066:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4067:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4068:   /*   } */
                   4069:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4070:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4071:   /* } */
                   4072: 
                   4073:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4074: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4075:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4076: 
1.203     brouard  4077:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4078:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4079: 
                   4080:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4081:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4082:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4083:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4084:     }
                   4085:     printf("\n");
                   4086:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4087:   }
1.203     brouard  4088: #endif
1.126     brouard  4089: 
                   4090:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4091:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4092:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4093:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4094:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4095: 
                   4096: 
                   4097: }
                   4098: 
                   4099: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4100: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4101: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4102:   int i;
                   4103:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4104:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4105:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4106:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4107:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4108:   double l1;
                   4109: 
                   4110:   fx=func(x);
                   4111:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4112:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4113:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4114:     delts=delt;
                   4115:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4116:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4117:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4118:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4119:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4120:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4121:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4122:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4123:       
1.203     brouard  4124: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4125:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4126:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4127: #endif
                   4128:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4129:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4130:        k=kmax;
                   4131:       }
                   4132:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4133:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4134:       }
                   4135:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4136:        delts=delt;
                   4137:       }
1.203     brouard  4138:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4139:   }
                   4140:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4141:   return res; 
                   4142:   
                   4143: }
                   4144: 
1.203     brouard  4145: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4146: {
                   4147:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4148:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4149:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4150:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4151:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4152:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4153: 
                   4154:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4155:   
1.126     brouard  4156:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4157:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4158:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4159:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4160:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4161:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4162:   
1.203     brouard  4163:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4164:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4165:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4166:   
1.203     brouard  4167:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4168:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4169:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4170:   
1.203     brouard  4171:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4172:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4173:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4174:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4175:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4176:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4177:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4178:     }
                   4179:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4180:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4181:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4182:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4183:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4184:     }
                   4185: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4186:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4187:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4188:     cv12=res;
                   4189:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4190:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4191:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4192:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4193:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4194:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4195:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4196:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4197:     }
1.126     brouard  4198: #endif
                   4199:   }
                   4200:   return res;
                   4201: }
                   4202: 
1.203     brouard  4203:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4204: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4205: /* { */
                   4206: /*   int i; */
                   4207: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4208: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4209: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4210: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4211: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4212: /*   double l1; */
                   4213:   
                   4214: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4215: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4216: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4217: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4218: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4219: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4220: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4221: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4222: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4223: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4224:       
                   4225: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4226: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4227: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4228:       
                   4229: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4230: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4231: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4232:       
                   4233: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4234: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4235: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4236: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4237: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4238: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4239: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4240: /* #endif */
                   4241: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4242: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4243: /*       } */
                   4244: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4245: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4246: /*       } */
                   4247: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4248: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4249: /*       } */
                   4250: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4251: /*   } */
                   4252: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4253: /*   return res;  */
                   4254: /* } */
                   4255: 
                   4256: 
1.126     brouard  4257: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4258: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4259: { 
                   4260:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4261:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4262:   double *vv; 
                   4263:  
                   4264:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4265:   *d=1.0; 
                   4266:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4267:     big=0.0; 
                   4268:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4269:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4270:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4271:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4272:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4273:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4274:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4275:       }
                   4276:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4277:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4278:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4279:     }
1.126     brouard  4280:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4281:   } 
                   4282:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4283:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4284:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4285:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4286:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4287:     } 
                   4288:     big=0.0; 
                   4289:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4290:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4291:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4292:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4293:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4294:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4295:        big=dum; 
                   4296:        imax=i; 
                   4297:       } 
                   4298:     } 
                   4299:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4300:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4301:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4302:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4303:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4304:       } 
                   4305:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4306:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4307:     } 
                   4308:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4309:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4310:     if (j != n) { 
                   4311:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4312:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4313:     } 
                   4314:   } 
                   4315:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4316: ;
                   4317: } 
                   4318: 
                   4319: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4320: { 
                   4321:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4322:   double sum; 
                   4323:  
                   4324:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4325:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4326:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4327:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4328:     if (ii) 
                   4329:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4330:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4331:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4332:   } 
                   4333:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4334:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4335:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4336:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4337:   } 
                   4338: } 
                   4339: 
                   4340: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4341: {
1.196     brouard  4342:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4343: }
                   4344: 
1.253     brouard  4345: 
                   4346: 
1.126     brouard  4347: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4348: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4349:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4350:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4351: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4352:   
1.265     brouard  4353:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4354:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4355:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4356:   int first;
                   4357:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4358:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4359:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.226     brouard  4360:   double *meanq;
                   4361:   double **meanqt;
                   4362:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4363:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4364:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4365:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4366:     
                   4367:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4368:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4369:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4370:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4371:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4372:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4373:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4374:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4375:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4376:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4377:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4378:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4379:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4380:     exit(0);
                   4381:   }
1.240     brouard  4382:   
1.226     brouard  4383:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4384:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4385:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4386:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4387:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4388:     exit(70); 
                   4389:   }
                   4390:   else{
                   4391:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4392: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4393: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4394:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4395:   }
1.237     brouard  4396:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4397:   
1.226     brouard  4398:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4399:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4400:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4401:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4402:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4403:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4404:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4405:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4406: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4407: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4408:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4409:   }
1.240     brouard  4410:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4411:   
1.253     brouard  4412:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4413:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4414:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4415:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4416:   
1.227     brouard  4417:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4418:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4419:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4420:   
                   4421:   
1.226     brouard  4422:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4423:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4424:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4425:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4426:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4427:   */
1.249     brouard  4428:   dateintsum=0;
                   4429:   k2cpt=0;
                   4430: 
1.253     brouard  4431:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4432:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4433:   else
                   4434:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4435: 
                   4436:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4437:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4438:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4439:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4440:    *     Loop on iind
                   4441:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4442:    *     end iind
                   4443:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4444:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4445:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4446:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4447:    *     Loop on age
                   4448:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4449:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4450:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4451:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4452:    *       end s1
                   4453:    *     end age
                   4454:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4455:    *     end compute starting values
                   4456:    *   end j1
                   4457:    * end nl 
                   4458:    */
1.253     brouard  4459:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4460:     if(nj==1)
                   4461:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4462:     else{
1.253     brouard  4463:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4464:     }
1.251     brouard  4465:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4466:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4467:       posproptt=0.;
                   4468:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4469:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4470:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4471:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4472:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4473:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4474:       
                   4475:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4476:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4477:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4478:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4479:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4480:       }
                   4481:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4482:       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4483:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4484:       /*       meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4485:       /*   } */
                   4486:       /* } */
                   4487:       
                   4488:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4489:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4490:       
1.265     brouard  4491:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4492:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4493:        bool=1;
                   4494:        if(j !=0){
                   4495:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4496:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4497:              /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4498:              /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4499:              /* } */
                   4500:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4501:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4502:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4503:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4504:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4505:                /* }else  */
                   4506:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4507:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4508:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4509:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4510:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4511:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4512:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4513:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4514:              } /* end z1 */
                   4515:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4516:          } /* end any */
                   4517:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4518:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4519:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4520:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4521:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4522:            if(j!=0){
                   4523:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4524:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4525:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4526:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4527:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4528:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4529:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4530:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4531:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4532:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4533:                      bool=0;
                   4534:                    }
                   4535:                  }
                   4536:                }
                   4537:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4538:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4539:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4540:            if(bool==1){
                   4541:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4542:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4543:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4544:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4545:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4546:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4547:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4548:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4549:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4550:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4551:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4552:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4553:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4554:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4555:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4556:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4557:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4558:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4559:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4560:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4561:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4562:                }
1.251     brouard  4563:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4564:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4565:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4566:                k2cpt++;
                   4567:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4568:              }
1.251     brouard  4569:            }else{
                   4570:              bool=1;
                   4571:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4572:          } /* end m */
                   4573:        } /* end bool */
                   4574:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4575:       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4576:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4577:       
                   4578:       
                   4579:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4580:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4581:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4582:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4583:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4584:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4585:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4586:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4587:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4588:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4589:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4590:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4591:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4592:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4593:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4594:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4595:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4596:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4597:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4598:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4599:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4600:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4601:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4602:          }
                   4603:        }
                   4604:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4605:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4606:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4607:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4608:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4609:       }
                   4610:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  4611:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4612:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   4613:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  4614:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  4615:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  4616:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4617:       }
1.265     brouard  4618:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  4619:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   4620:       
                   4621:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4622:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4623:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  4624:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  4625:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4626:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   4627:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  4628:        }
1.226     brouard  4629:       }
1.251     brouard  4630:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   4631:     
                   4632:       /* For each age */
                   4633:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4634:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4635:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   4636:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4637:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   4638:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   4639:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4640:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   4641:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   4642:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4643:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   4644:        }else{
1.240     brouard  4645:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  4646:            first=0;
                   4647:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4648:          }
                   4649:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4650:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   4651:        }
1.265     brouard  4652:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4653:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4654:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  4655:        }
1.265     brouard  4656:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4657:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  4658:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4659:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  4660:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4661:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4662:            }
1.265     brouard  4663:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4664:          }else{
                   4665:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4666:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4667:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  4668:          }
                   4669:        }
                   4670:       
1.265     brouard  4671:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   4672:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   4673:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4674:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4675:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   4676:       
                   4677:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4678:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4679:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4680:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4681:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4682:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4683:        }
                   4684:        
                   4685:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   4686:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4687:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4688:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4689:           }
                   4690:         }else if( nj==2){
                   4691:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4692:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4693:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4694:           }
1.240     brouard  4695:        }
1.265     brouard  4696:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  4697:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4698:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4699:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   4700:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  4701:          }else{
                   4702:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4703:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4704:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  4705:          }
                   4706:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4707:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4708:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4709:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4710:               }else if( nj==2){
                   4711:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4712:               }
                   4713:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4714:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   4715:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   4716:            } else{
                   4717:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4718:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  4719:            }
1.240     brouard  4720:          }
1.265     brouard  4721:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   4722:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4723:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  4724:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4725:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4726:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  4727:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4728:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4729:              }
1.265     brouard  4730:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   4731:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4732:            }
1.265     brouard  4733:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   4734:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  4735:          }
1.265     brouard  4736:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4737:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  4738:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   4739:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  4740:        }
                   4741:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  4742:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4743:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   4744:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   4745:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  4746:        }
1.251     brouard  4747:        if(first==1)
                   4748:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   4749:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4750:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  4751:       
1.251     brouard  4752:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  4753:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4754:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4755:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  4756:        }else{
1.265     brouard  4757:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  4758:        }
1.226     brouard  4759:       }
1.251     brouard  4760:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4761:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4762:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  4763:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4764:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4765:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  4766:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   4767:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  4768:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  4769:       }else{
1.251     brouard  4770:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4771:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  4772:       }
1.251     brouard  4773:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4774:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4775:       if(j!=0){
                   4776:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  4777:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4778:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4779:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  4780:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  4781:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  4782:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   4783:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   4784:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  4785:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4786:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4787:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4788:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4789:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  4790:                  }
1.253     brouard  4791:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   4792:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4793:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   4794:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  4795:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  4796:                  }
1.268     brouard  4797:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   4798:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  4799:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  4800:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   4801:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  4802:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   4803:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   4804:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  4805:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  4806:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4807:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4808:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  4809:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   4810:                  ;
                   4811:                }
                   4812:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4813:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4814:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  4815:              } /* end jj */
                   4816:            } /* end k!= i */
                   4817:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  4818:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  4819:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   4820:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   4821:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   4822:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   4823:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4824:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4825:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4826:          if (k != i) {
                   4827:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4828:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   4829:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  4830:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  4831:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  4832:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   4833:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4834:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  4835:              }
                   4836:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4837:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4838:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  4839:            }
1.251     brouard  4840:            printf("\n");
                   4841:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  4842:          }
                   4843:        }
                   4844:       }
1.251     brouard  4845:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   4846:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4847:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   4848:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   4849:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   4850:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4851:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4852:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   4853:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   4854:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  4855:          /* } */
                   4856:        }
1.265     brouard  4857:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4858:       
                   4859:       printf("\n");
                   4860:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4861:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  4862:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  4863: 
1.253     brouard  4864:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  4865:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4866:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   4867:        if(j!=i){
                   4868:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   4869:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4870:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4871:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   4872:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4873:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4874:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   4875:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4876:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4877:            jk++;
                   4878:          }
                   4879:          printf("\n");
                   4880:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   4881:        }
                   4882:       }
                   4883:     }
                   4884:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  4885:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4886:   
1.226     brouard  4887:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4888:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4889:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4890:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4891:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  4892:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4893:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4894:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4895:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4896:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4897:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4898:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4899:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4900: }
1.126     brouard  4901: 
1.268     brouard  4902: /* Simple linear regression */
                   4903: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   4904: 
                   4905:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   4906:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   4907:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   4908:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   4909:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   4910:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   4911:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   4912:   double yhat;
                   4913:   
                   4914:   double denom=0;
                   4915:   int i;
                   4916:   int ne=*no;
                   4917:   
                   4918:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4919:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4920:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4921:       continue;
                   4922:     }
                   4923:     ne=ne+1;
                   4924:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   4925:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   4926:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   4927:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   4928:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   4929:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4930:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4931:   } 
                   4932:   
                   4933:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4934:   if (denom == 0) {
                   4935:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   4936:     *b = INFINITY;
                   4937:     *a = 0;
                   4938:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   4939:     return 1;
                   4940:   }
                   4941:   
                   4942:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   4943:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   4944:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   4945:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   4946:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   4947:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   4948:   }
                   4949:   *no=ne;
                   4950:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4951:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4952:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4953:       continue;
                   4954:     }
                   4955:     ne=ne+1;
                   4956:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   4957:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   4958:     
                   4959:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4960:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4961:   } 
                   4962:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   4963:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   4964:   
                   4965:   return 0; 
                   4966: }
                   4967: 
1.126     brouard  4968: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4969: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4970: {  
                   4971:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4972:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4973:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4974:   */
1.126     brouard  4975:  
1.227     brouard  4976:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4977:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4978:   int iage;
                   4979:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4980: 
                   4981:   double **prop;
                   4982:   double posprop; 
                   4983:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4984:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4985:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4986: 
                   4987:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4988:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4989:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  4990:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  4991:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   4992:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  4993:   
1.227     brouard  4994:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   4995:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  4996:   
1.227     brouard  4997:   first=1;
                   4998:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   4999:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  5000:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  5001:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   5002:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5003:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   5004:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5005:     
                   5006:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   5007:       bool=1;
                   5008:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   5009:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   5010:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   5011:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   5012:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   5013:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   5014:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5015:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5016:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5017:              bool=0;
                   5018:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5019:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5020:              bool=0;
                   5021:            }
                   5022:        }
                   5023:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5024:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5025:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5026:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5027:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5028:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5029:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5030:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5031:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5032:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5033:                exit(1);
                   5034:              }
                   5035:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5036:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5037:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5038:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5039:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5040:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5041:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5042:        } /* end bool */
                   5043:       } /* end wave */
                   5044:     } /* end individual */
                   5045:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5046:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5047:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5048:       } 
                   5049:       
                   5050:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5051:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5052:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5053:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5054:          } else{
                   5055:            if(first==1){
                   5056:              first=0;
1.266     brouard  5057:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5058:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5059:            }else{
                   5060:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5061:            }
                   5062:          }
                   5063:        } 
                   5064:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5065:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5066:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5067:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5068:   
1.227     brouard  5069:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5070:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5071:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5072: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5073: 
                   5074: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5075: 
                   5076: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5077: {
                   5078:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   5079:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5080:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5081:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   5082:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  5083:   */
1.126     brouard  5084: 
1.224     brouard  5085:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5086:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5087:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5088:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5089:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5090:   double sum=0.;
                   5091:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5092:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5093:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5094:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5095:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5096:   jmax=-1;
                   5097:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5098: 
                   5099: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5100:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5101:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5102:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  5103:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  5104:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  5105:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5106:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5107:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   5108:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5109:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5110:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5111:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5112:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5113:       }
1.227     brouard  5114:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5115: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5116:        break;
1.224     brouard  5117: #else
1.227     brouard  5118:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   5119:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.262     brouard  5120:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5121:            firsthree=1;
                   5122:          }
1.262     brouard  5123:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5124:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5125:          mli=m;
                   5126:        }
                   5127:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5128:          nbwarn++;
                   5129:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   5130:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5131:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5132:          }
                   5133:          break;
                   5134:        }
                   5135:        break;
1.224     brouard  5136: #endif
1.227     brouard  5137:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5138:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5139: 
1.227     brouard  5140:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5141:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5142: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5143:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5144:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5145:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5146:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5147:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5148:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5149:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5150:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5151: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5152:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5153:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  5154:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   5155:          nbwarn++;
                   5156:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   5157:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5158:            firstfiv=1;
                   5159:          }else{
                   5160:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5161:          }
                   5162:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   5163:          nberr++;
                   5164:          if(firstwo==0){
1.257     brouard  5165:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5166:            firstwo=1;
                   5167:          }
1.257     brouard  5168:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5169:        }
1.257     brouard  5170:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5171:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5172:        if(firstfour==0){
                   5173:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   5174:          firstfour=1;
                   5175:        }
                   5176:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5177:       }
1.224     brouard  5178:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5179: #endif
                   5180:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   5181:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  5182:     if(mi==0){
                   5183:       nbwarn++;
                   5184:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5185:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5186:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5187:       }
                   5188:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5189:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5190:       }
                   5191:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5192:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5193:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5194:        
1.214     brouard  5195:   
1.126     brouard  5196:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5197:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5198:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5199:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5200:       else{
1.260     brouard  5201:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5202:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5203:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5204:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5205:            else if(j<0){
                   5206:              nberr++;
                   5207:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5208:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5209:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5210:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5211:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5212:            }
                   5213:            k=k+1;
                   5214:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5215:              jmax=j;
                   5216:              ijmax=i;
                   5217:            }
                   5218:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5219:              jmin=j;
                   5220:              ijmin=i;
                   5221:            }
                   5222:            sum=sum+j;
                   5223:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5224:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5225:          }
                   5226:        }
                   5227:        else{
                   5228:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5229: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5230:                                        
1.227     brouard  5231:          k=k+1;
                   5232:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5233:            jmax=j;
                   5234:            ijmax=i;
                   5235:          }
                   5236:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5237:            jmin=j;
                   5238:            ijmin=i;
                   5239:          }
                   5240:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5241:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5242:          if(j<0){
                   5243:            nberr++;
                   5244:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5245:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5246:          }
                   5247:          sum=sum+j;
                   5248:        }
                   5249:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5250:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5251:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5252:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5253:          if(jl==0){
                   5254:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5255:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5256:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5257:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5258:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5259:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5260:          }
                   5261:        }else{
                   5262:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5263:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5264:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5265:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5266:                                 */
                   5267:          }
                   5268:          else{
                   5269:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5270:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5271:          }
                   5272:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5273:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5274:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5275:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5276:          }
                   5277:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5278:       }
                   5279:     } /* end wave */
                   5280:   }
                   5281:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5282:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5283:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5284: }
1.126     brouard  5285: 
                   5286: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5287:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5288:  {
                   5289:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5290:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5291:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5292:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5293:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5294:     */
1.130     brouard  5295: 
1.242     brouard  5296:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5297:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5298:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5299:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5300: 
                   5301: 
1.242     brouard  5302:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5303:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5304:  
1.242     brouard  5305:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  5306: 
1.242     brouard  5307:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5308:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   5309:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5310:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5311:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5312:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5313:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   5314:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5315:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5316:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5317:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5318:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5319:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5320:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5321:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5322:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5323:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5324:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5325:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   5326:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   5327:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5328:             exit(1);
                   5329:           }else
                   5330:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5331:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5332:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5333:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5334:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5335:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5336:           */
                   5337:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5338:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5339:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5340:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5341:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5342:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5343:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5344:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5345:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5346:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5347:             if( j != -1){
                   5348:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5349:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5350:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5351:             }
                   5352:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5353:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5354:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5355:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5356:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5357:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5358:                        
1.242     brouard  5359:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5360:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5361:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5362:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5363:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5364:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5365:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5366:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5367:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5368:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5369:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5370:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5371:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   5372:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5373:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5374:             break;
                   5375:           }
                   5376:           ij++;
                   5377:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   5378:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5379:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5380:         break;
                   5381:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5382:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5383:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5384:         ij=0;
                   5385:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5386:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5387:         }
                   5388:         break;
                   5389:        default:
                   5390:         break;
                   5391:        } /* end switch */
                   5392:      } /* end dummy test */
                   5393:     
                   5394:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   5395:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   5396:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   5397:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   5398:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5399:      /*        } */
                   5400:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5401:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5402:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5403:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5404:      /*          break; */
                   5405:      /*        } */
                   5406:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5407:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5408:   
                   5409:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5410:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5411:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5412:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5413:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5414:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5415:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5416:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5417:   
                   5418:    ij=0;
                   5419:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5420:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5421:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5422:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5423:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5424:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5425:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5426:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5427:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5428:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5429:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5430:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5431:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5432:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5433:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5434:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5435:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5436:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5437:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5438:      } 
                   5439:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5440:    /* ij--; */
                   5441:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5442:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5443:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5444:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5445:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5446:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5447:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5448:    }
                   5449:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5450:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5451:    }
                   5452:    /* To be sorted */
                   5453:    ;
                   5454:  }
1.126     brouard  5455: 
1.145     brouard  5456: 
1.126     brouard  5457: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5458: 
1.235     brouard  5459:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5460: 
                   5461: {
                   5462:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5463:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5464:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5465:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5466:   double ***p3mat;
                   5467:   double eip;
                   5468: 
1.238     brouard  5469:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5470:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5471:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5472:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5473:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5474:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5475:     }
                   5476:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5477:   }
                   5478:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5479: 
                   5480:   
                   5481:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5482:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5483:   }
                   5484:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5485:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5486:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5487:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5488:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5489:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5490:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5491:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5492:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5493:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5494:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5495: 
                   5496:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5497:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5498:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5499:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5500:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5501:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5502:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5503:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5504:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5505:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5506:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5507:   */
                   5508:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5509: 
                   5510:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5511:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5512:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5513:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5514:     
                   5515: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5516:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5517:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5518:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5519:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5520:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5521: 
                   5522:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5523:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5524:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5525:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5526:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5527: 
                   5528:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5529:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5530:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5531:     
1.235     brouard  5532:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5533:     
                   5534:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5535:     
                   5536:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5537:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5538:     
                   5539:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5540:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5541:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5542:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5543:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5544:          
                   5545:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5546: 
                   5547:        }
                   5548: 
                   5549:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5550:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5551:       eip=0;
                   5552:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5553:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5554:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5555:       }
                   5556:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5557:     }
                   5558:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5559:     
                   5560:   }
                   5561:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5562:   printf("\n");
                   5563:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5564:   
                   5565: }
                   5566: 
1.235     brouard  5567:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5568: 
                   5569: {
                   5570:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5571:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5572:   */
                   5573:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5574:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5575:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5576:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5577:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5578:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5579:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5580:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5581:   int theta;
                   5582: 
                   5583:   double eip, vip;
                   5584: 
                   5585:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5586:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5587:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5588:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5589:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5590:   
                   5591:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5592:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5593:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5594:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5595:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5596:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5597:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5598:   }
                   5599:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5600: 
                   5601:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5602:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5603:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5604:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5605:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5606:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5607:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5608:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5609:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5610:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5611:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5612:        }
                   5613:     }
                   5614:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5615:   
                   5616:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5617:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5618:   }
                   5619:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5620:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5621:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5622:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5623:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5624:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5625:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5626:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5627:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5628:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5629:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5630: 
                   5631:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5632:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5633:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5634:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5635:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5636:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5637:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5638:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5639:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5640:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5641:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5642:   */
                   5643:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5644: 
                   5645:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5646:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5647:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5648:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5649:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5650:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5651:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5652:   
                   5653:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5654:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5655:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5656:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5657:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5658:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5659: 
                   5660:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5661:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5662:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5663:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5664:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5665:                
1.126     brouard  5666:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5667:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5668:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5669:     
                   5670:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5671:                
1.126     brouard  5672:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5673:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5674:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5675:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5676:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5677:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5678:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5679:       }
1.235     brouard  5680:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5681:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5682:                        
1.126     brouard  5683:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5684:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5685:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5686:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5687:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5688:          }
                   5689:        }
1.126     brouard  5690:       }
1.218     brouard  5691:                        
1.126     brouard  5692:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5693:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5694:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5695:        }
1.126     brouard  5696:     }/* End theta */
                   5697:     
                   5698:     
                   5699:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5700:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5701:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5702:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5703:     
1.218     brouard  5704:                
1.222     brouard  5705:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5706:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5707:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5708:                
1.222     brouard  5709:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5710:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5711:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5712:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5713:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5714:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5715:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5716:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5717:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5718:       }
                   5719:     }
1.218     brouard  5720:                
1.126     brouard  5721:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5722:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5723:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5724:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5725:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5726:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5727:                                        
1.222     brouard  5728:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5729:                                        
1.222     brouard  5730:        }
1.269     brouard  5731: 
                   5732:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  5733:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5734:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5735:       eip=0.;
                   5736:       vip=0.;
                   5737:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5738:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5739:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5740:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5741:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5742:       }
                   5743:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5744:     }
                   5745:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5746:                
1.269     brouard  5747:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  5748:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5749:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5750:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5751:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5752:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5753:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5754:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5755:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5756:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5757:          }
1.126     brouard  5758:       }
                   5759:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5760:                
1.126     brouard  5761:   }
                   5762:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5763:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5764:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5765:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5766:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5767:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5768:   printf("\n");
                   5769:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5770:        
1.126     brouard  5771:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5772:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5773:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5774:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5775:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5776: }
1.218     brouard  5777:  
1.126     brouard  5778: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5779:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5780:  {
1.279     brouard  5781:    /** Variance of health expectancies 
                   5782:     *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
                   5783:     * double **newm;
                   5784:     * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
                   5785:     */
1.218     brouard  5786:   
                   5787:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5788:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5789:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5790:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5791:    int k;
                   5792:    double *xp;
1.279     brouard  5793:    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
                   5794:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
                   5795:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5796:    double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5797:    double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
1.218     brouard  5798:    double ***p3mat;
                   5799:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5800:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5801:    int theta;
                   5802:    char digit[4];
                   5803:    char digitp[25];
                   5804: 
                   5805:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5806: 
                   5807:    if(popbased==1){
                   5808:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5809:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5810:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5811:    }
                   5812:    else 
                   5813:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5814: 
1.218     brouard  5815:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5816:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5817:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5818:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5819:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5820:    /*   } */
                   5821:    /* } */
                   5822: 
                   5823:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5824:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5825:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5826:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5827:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5828:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5829:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5830:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5831:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5832:    }
                   5833:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5834:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5835:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5836:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5837:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5838:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5839:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5840:    }
                   5841:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5842:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5843:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5844: 
1.218     brouard  5845:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5846:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5847:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5848:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5849:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5850:    }  
                   5851:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5852:   
                   5853:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5854:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5855:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5856:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5857:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
1.279     brouard  5858: 
1.218     brouard  5859:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5860:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5861:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5862:    if(popbased==1)
                   5863:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5864:    else
                   5865:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5866:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5867:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5868:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5869:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5870:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5871: 
                   5872:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5873:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5874:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5875:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5876:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5877: 
                   5878:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5879:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5880:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5881:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5882:   
1.218     brouard  5883:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5884:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5885:    }
                   5886:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5887:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5888:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5889:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5890:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5891:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5892:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5893:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5894:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5895:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5896:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5897:    */
                   5898:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5899:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5900:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5901:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5902:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5903:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5904:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5905:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5906:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5907:                
                   5908:                
                   5909:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5910:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5911:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5912:        }
1.279     brouard  5913:        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
                   5914:        * returns into prlim .
                   5915:        */              
1.242     brouard  5916:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.279     brouard  5917: 
                   5918:        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
1.218     brouard  5919:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5920:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5921:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5922:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5923:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5924:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5925:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5926:         }
                   5927:        }
1.279     brouard  5928:        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
                   5929:        */                      
                   5930:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
                   5931:        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
                   5932:        * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
                   5933:        */
1.218     brouard  5934:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5935:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5936:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5937:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5938:         }
                   5939:        }
1.279     brouard  5940:        /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
1.218     brouard  5941:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
1.279     brouard  5942:          as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
1.218     brouard  5943:        */
                   5944:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5945:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5946:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
1.279     brouard  5947:        }
                   5948:        
                   5949:        /* Again with minus shift */
1.218     brouard  5950:                        
                   5951:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5952:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5953:                        
1.242     brouard  5954:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5955:                        
                   5956:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5957:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5958:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5959:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5960:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5961:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5962:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5963:         }
                   5964:        }
                   5965:                        
1.235     brouard  5966:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5967:                        
                   5968:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5969:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5970:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5971:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5972:         }
                   5973:        }
                   5974:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5975:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5976:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5977:        */
                   5978:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5979:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5980:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5981:        }    
1.279     brouard  5982:        /* end shifting computations */
                   5983: 
                   5984:        /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
                   5985:        */
1.218     brouard  5986:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5987:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5988:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5989:         }
1.279     brouard  5990:        /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
                   5991:        */
                   5992:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
1.218     brouard  5993:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5994:        }
                   5995:                        
                   5996:      } /* End theta */
1.279     brouard  5997:      
                   5998:      /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */               
1.218     brouard  5999:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   6000:                
                   6001:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   6002:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6003:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6004:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   6005:                
                   6006:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   6007:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6008:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
1.279     brouard  6009:      /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
                   6010:       */               
1.218     brouard  6011:                
                   6012:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   6013:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6014:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6015:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
1.279     brouard  6016: 
                   6017:      /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
                   6018:       * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
                   6019:       * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
                   6020:       */
                   6021:      
1.218     brouard  6022:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   6023:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   6024:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6025:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6026:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6027:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6028:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   6029:        }
                   6030:      }
                   6031:                
1.279     brouard  6032:      /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
                   6033:       * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
                   6034:       * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
                   6035:       * wix is independent of theta.
                   6036:       */
1.218     brouard  6037:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6038:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6039:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6040:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6041:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6042:      /* end ppptj */
                   6043:      /*  x centered again */
                   6044:                
1.242     brouard  6045:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6046:                
                   6047:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6048:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6049:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6050:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6051:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6052:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6053:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6054:        }
                   6055:      }
                   6056:                
                   6057:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6058:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6059:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6060:      */
1.235     brouard  6061:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6062:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6063:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6064:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6065:      }    
                   6066:      /* end probability of death */
                   6067:                
                   6068:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6069:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6070:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6071:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6072:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6073:        }
                   6074:      } 
                   6075:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6076:                
                   6077:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6078:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6079:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6080:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6081:        }
                   6082:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6083:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6084:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6085:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6086:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6087:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6088:    } /* End age */
                   6089:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6090:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6091:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6092:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6093:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6094:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6095:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6096:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6097:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6098:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6099:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6100:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6101:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6102:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6103:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6104:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6105:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6106:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6107:     */
1.218     brouard  6108:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6109:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6110: 
1.218     brouard  6111:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6112:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6113:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6114:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6115:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6116:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6117:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6118:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6119:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6120:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6121:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6122: 
                   6123: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6124:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6125: {
1.205     brouard  6126:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6127:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6128: 
1.268     brouard  6129:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6130:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6131:   double *xp;
                   6132:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6133:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6134:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6135:   double age,agelim;
                   6136:   int theta;
                   6137:   
                   6138:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   6139:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6140:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6141:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6142:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6143:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6144:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6145:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6146: 
                   6147:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6148:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6149:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6150:   
                   6151:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6152:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6153:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6154:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6155:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6156:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6157:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6158:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6159:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6160:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6161:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6162:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6163: 
                   6164:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6165:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6166:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6167:       }
1.209     brouard  6168:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6169:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6170:       else
1.235     brouard  6171:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6172:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6173:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6174:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6175:       }
1.126     brouard  6176:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6177:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  6178:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6179:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6180:       else
1.235     brouard  6181:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6182:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6183:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6184:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6185:       }
1.126     brouard  6186:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6187:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6188:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6189:     } /* End theta */
                   6190: 
                   6191:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6192: 
                   6193:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6194:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6195:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6196:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6197:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6198:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6199:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6200:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6201:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6202:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6203:     /*   } */
                   6204:     /* } */
                   6205:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6206:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6207:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6208:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6209:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6210:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6211:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6212:     /*   } */
                   6213:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6214: 
                   6215:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6216:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6217:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6218:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6219:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6220:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6221:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6222:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6223:     }
1.126     brouard  6224:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6225:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6226: 
                   6227:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6228:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6229:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  6230:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6231:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6232:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6233:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6234:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6235:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6236:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6237:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6238:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6239:   } /* End age */
                   6240: 
                   6241:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6242:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6243:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6244: 
                   6245: }
                   6246: 
                   6247: 
                   6248: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6249:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6250: {
                   6251:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6252:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6253: 
                   6254:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6255:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6256:   double *xp;
                   6257:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6258:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6259:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6260:   double age,agelim;
                   6261:   int theta;
                   6262:   
                   6263:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6264:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6265:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6266:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6267:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6268:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6269:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6270:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6271: 
                   6272:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6273:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6274:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6275:   
                   6276:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6277:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6278:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6279:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6280:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6281:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6282:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6283:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6284:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6285:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6286:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6287:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6288: 
                   6289:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6290:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6291:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6292:       }
                   6293:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6294:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6295:       else
                   6296:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6297:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6298:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6299:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6300:       }
                   6301:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6302:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6303:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6304:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6305:        else
                   6306:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6307:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6308:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6309:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6310:       }
                   6311:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6312:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6313:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6314:     } /* End theta */
                   6315: 
                   6316:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6317: 
                   6318:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6319:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6320:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6321:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6322:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6323:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6324:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6325:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6326:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6327:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6328:     /*   } */
                   6329:     /* } */
                   6330:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6331:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6332:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6333:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6334:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6335:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6336:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6337:     /*   } */
                   6338:     /* } */
                   6339: 
                   6340:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6341:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6342:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6343:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6344:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6345:     }else{
                   6346:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6347:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6348:     }
                   6349:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6350:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6351: 
                   6352:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6353:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6354:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6355:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6356:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6357:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6358:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6359:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6360:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6361:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6362:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6363:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6364:   } /* End age */
                   6365: 
                   6366:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6367:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6368:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6369: 
                   6370: }
                   6371: 
                   6372: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6373: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6374:  {
                   6375:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6376:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6377:    int k=0, l;
                   6378:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   6379:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6380:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6381:    double *xp;
                   6382:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6383:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6384:    double **mu;
                   6385:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6386:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6387:    int theta;
                   6388:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6389:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6390:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6391:    double ***varpij;
                   6392: 
                   6393:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6394:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6395:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6396:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6397:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6398:    }
                   6399:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6400:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6401:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6402:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6403:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6404:    }
                   6405:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6406:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6407:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6408:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6409:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6410:    }
                   6411:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6412:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6413:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6414:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6415:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6416:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6417:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6418:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6419:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6420:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6421:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6422:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6423:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6424:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6425:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6426: 
                   6427: 
1.222     brouard  6428:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6429:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6430:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6431:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6432:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6433:      }  
                   6434:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6435:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6436:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6437:    */
                   6438:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6439:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6440:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6441:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6442:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6443:    first=1;
                   6444:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6445:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6446:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6447: 
1.266     brouard  6448:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6449:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6450:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6451: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6452:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6453:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6454: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6455: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6456: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6457:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6458:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6459: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6460: 
1.222     brouard  6461:    cov[1]=1;
                   6462:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6463:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6464:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6465:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6466:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  6467:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6468:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6469:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6470:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6471:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6472:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6473:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6474:                        
1.222     brouard  6475:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6476:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6477:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6478:                        
                   6479:                        
1.222     brouard  6480:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6481:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6482:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6483:                        
1.222     brouard  6484:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6485:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6486:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6487:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6488:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6489:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6490:         continue;
                   6491:        }
                   6492:      }
                   6493:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6494:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6495:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6496:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6497:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6498:        cov[2]=age;
                   6499:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6500:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   6501:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   6502:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   6503:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6504:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6505:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6506:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6507:                                                                    */
                   6508:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6509:        }
                   6510:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   6511:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   6512:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   6513:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  6514:                        
                   6515:                        
1.222     brouard  6516:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6517:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6518:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6519:                                
1.222     brouard  6520:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6521:                                
1.222     brouard  6522:         k=0;
                   6523:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   6524:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6525:             k=k+1;
                   6526:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6527:           }
                   6528:         }
1.220     brouard  6529:                                
1.222     brouard  6530:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6531:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6532:                                
1.222     brouard  6533:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   6534:         k=0;
                   6535:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6536:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6537:             k=k+1;
                   6538:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6539:           }
                   6540:         }
1.220     brouard  6541:                                
1.222     brouard  6542:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   6543:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   6544:        }
1.126     brouard  6545: 
1.222     brouard  6546:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6547:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6548:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6549:                        
1.222     brouard  6550:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6551:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6552:                        
1.222     brouard  6553:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6554:                        
1.222     brouard  6555:        k=0;
                   6556:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6557:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6558:           k=k+1;
                   6559:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6560:         }
                   6561:        }
                   6562:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6563:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6564:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6565:                        
1.222     brouard  6566:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6567:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6568:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6569:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6570:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6571:                        
1.222     brouard  6572:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6573:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6574:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6575:                        
1.222     brouard  6576:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6577:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6578:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6579:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6580:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6581:        }
                   6582:        i=0;
                   6583:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6584:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6585:           i++;
                   6586:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6587:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6588:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6589:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6590:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6591:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6592:           }
                   6593:         }
                   6594:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6595:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6596:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6597:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6598:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6599:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6600:     
                   6601:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6602:      /*
                   6603:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6604:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6605:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6606:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6607:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6608:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6609:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6610:      */
                   6611:                
                   6612:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6613:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6614:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6615:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6616:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6617:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6618:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6619:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6620:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6621:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6622:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6623:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6624:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6625:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6626:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6627:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6628:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6629:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6630:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6631:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6632:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6633:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6634:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6635:                   if(first2==1){
                   6636:                     first1=0;
                   6637:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6638:                   }
                   6639:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6640:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6641:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6642:                 }
1.220     brouard  6643:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6644:                 /* Eigen vectors */
1.280   ! brouard  6645:                 if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
        !          6646:                   printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
        !          6647:                   fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
        !          6648:                   v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
        !          6649:                 }else
        !          6650:                   v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
1.222     brouard  6651:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6652:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6653:                 v12=-v21;
                   6654:                 v22=v11;
                   6655:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6656:                 if(first1==1){
                   6657:                   first1=0;
                   6658:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6659:                 }
                   6660:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6661:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6662:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6663:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6664:                 if(first==1){
                   6665:                   first=0;
                   6666:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6667:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6668:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6669:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  6670:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6671:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6672: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6673:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6674:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6675:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6676:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6677:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6678:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6679:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6680:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.280   ! brouard  6681:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
        !          6682:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  6683:                 }else{
                   6684:                   first=0;
                   6685:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6686:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6687:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6688:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  6689:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6690:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  6691:                 }/* if first */
                   6692:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6693:             } /* end loop age */
                   6694:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6695:             first=1;
                   6696:           } /*l12 */
                   6697:         } /* k12 */
                   6698:        } /*l1 */
                   6699:      }/* k1 */
                   6700:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6701:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6702:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6703:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6704:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6705:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6706:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6707:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6708:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6709:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6710:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6711:  }
1.126     brouard  6712: 
                   6713: 
                   6714: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6715: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6716:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6717:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.258     brouard  6718:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.273     brouard  6719:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   6720:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  6721:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6722: 
                   6723:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6724:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6725: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6726:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6727: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6728:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6729:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6730:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6731:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6732:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6733:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6734:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6735:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6736:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6737:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6738:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6739:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6740:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6741:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6742:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6743:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6744:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6745:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6746:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6747:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6748:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6749:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6750:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6751:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6752:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6753:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6754:    }
1.126     brouard  6755: 
                   6756: 
1.225     brouard  6757:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6758:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6759: 
1.264     brouard  6760:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
                   6761: 
                   6762:    jj1=0;
                   6763: 
                   6764:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   6765:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   6766:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6767:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6768:        continue;
                   6769:      jj1++;
                   6770:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6771:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   6772:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6773:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6774:        }
                   6775:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6776:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6777:        }
                   6778:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   6779:        
                   6780:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   6781:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   6782:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6783:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6784:        }
                   6785:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6786:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6787:        }
                   6788:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6789:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   6790:         continue;
                   6791:        }
                   6792:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   6793:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   6794:    }
                   6795:      fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   6796: 
1.222     brouard  6797:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6798: 
                   6799:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6800:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  6801:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6802:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6803: 
1.222     brouard  6804:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6805:      jj1++;
                   6806:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  6807:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   6808:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6809:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6810:        }
                   6811:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6812:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6813:        }
                   6814:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   6815:  
1.222     brouard  6816:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6817:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6818:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6819:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6820:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6821:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6822:        }
1.237     brouard  6823:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6824:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6825:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6826:       }
                   6827:        
1.230     brouard  6828:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6829:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6830:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6831:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6832:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6833:         continue;
                   6834:        }
                   6835:      }
                   6836:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  6837:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6838: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6839:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6840:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6841: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6842:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6843:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6844:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6845:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6846: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6847: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6848:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6849:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6850:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6851: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6852:      }
                   6853:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6854:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6855:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6856:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6857:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6858:      }
                   6859:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6860:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6861:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6862: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6863:      }
                   6864:      if(backcast==1){
                   6865:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6866:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6867:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6868: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6869:        }
1.217     brouard  6870:      }
1.222     brouard  6871:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6872:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6873:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6874:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6875: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6876:        }
                   6877:      }
1.268     brouard  6878:      if(backcast==1){
                   6879:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   6880:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6881:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   6882:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   6883:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
                   6884: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6885:  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  6886:        }
                   6887:      }
1.220     brouard  6888:         
1.222     brouard  6889:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6890:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6891: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6892:      }
                   6893:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6894:    }/* End k1 */
                   6895:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6896: 
1.222     brouard  6897:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6898: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6899:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6900:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6901: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6902: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6903: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6904: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6905: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6906: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6907: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6908: 
1.222     brouard  6909:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6910:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6911:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6912:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6913:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6914: 
1.222     brouard  6915:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6916:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6917:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6918:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6919:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6920:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6921:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6922:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6923:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6924:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6925:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6926:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6927:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6928:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6929:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6930:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6931:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6932:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6933:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6934:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6935: 
                   6936: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6937: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6938: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6939: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6940: /*  else  */
                   6941: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6942:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6943:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6944: 
1.225     brouard  6945:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6946:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6947: 
1.222     brouard  6948:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6949: 
1.241     brouard  6950:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6951:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  6952:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6953:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6954:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6955:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6956:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6957:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6958:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6959:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6960:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6961:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6962:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6963:       }
                   6964: 
1.126     brouard  6965:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6966: 
1.222     brouard  6967:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6968:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6969:         continue;
                   6970:        }
1.126     brouard  6971:      }
                   6972:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  6973:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6974: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
1.258     brouard  6975: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6976:      }
                   6977:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6978: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6979: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6980:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6981:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6982: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6983:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6984:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6985:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6986:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6987:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6988: }
                   6989: 
                   6990: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.270     brouard  6991: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  6992: 
                   6993:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  6994:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  6995:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  6996:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  6997:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  6998:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  6999:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  7000:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   7001:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  7002:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  7003:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  7004: 
1.126     brouard  7005: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   7006: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7007: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7008: /*   } */
                   7009: 
                   7010:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7011:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  7012:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  7013:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7014: 
1.274     brouard  7015:   /* diagram of the model */
                   7016:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   7017:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   7018:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   7019:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7020: 
                   7021:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7022:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   7023:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7024:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   7025:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   7026:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   7027:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   7028: 
1.202     brouard  7029:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   7030:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  7031:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   7032:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   7033:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   7034:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  7035: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  7036:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   7037: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  7038:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   7039:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7040:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7041:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7042:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7043:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7044:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7045:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7046:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7047:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7048:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7049:     }
                   7050:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7051:   }
                   7052:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7053:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7054:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7055:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7056:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7057: 
1.126     brouard  7058:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7059:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7060:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7061:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7062:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7063:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7064:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7065:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7066:          continue;
                   7067:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7068:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  7069:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7070:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7071:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7072:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7073:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7074:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7075:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7076:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7077:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7078:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7079:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7080:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7081:        }
                   7082:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7083:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7084:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7085:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7086:        }
                   7087:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7088:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7089:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7090:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7091:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7092:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7093:          continue;
                   7094:        }
1.235     brouard  7095:       
1.241     brouard  7096:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7097:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276     brouard  7098:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
                   7099:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.260     brouard  7100:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7101:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7102:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7103:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7104:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7105:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7106:        }
1.260     brouard  7107:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7108:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7109:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7110:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7111:        } 
1.260     brouard  7112:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7113:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7114:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7115:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7116:        }  
1.265     brouard  7117:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7118:        
                   7119:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7120:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7121:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7122:        }else{
                   7123:          kl=0;
                   7124:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7125:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7126:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7127:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7128:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7129:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7130:            kl++;
                   7131:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7132:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7133:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7134:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7135:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7136:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7137:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7138:            }else{
                   7139:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7140:              kl++;
                   7141:            }
                   7142:          } /* end covariate */
                   7143:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7144: 
1.238     brouard  7145:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   7146:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7147:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7148:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7149:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7150:          }else{
                   7151:            kl=0;
                   7152:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7153:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7154:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7155:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7156:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7157:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7158:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7159:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7160:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7161:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7162:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7163:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7164:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7165:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7166:              }else{
                   7167:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7168:                kl++;
                   7169:              }
                   7170:            } /* end covariate */
                   7171:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.268     brouard  7172:          if(backcast == 1){
                   7173:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7174:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7175:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7176:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7177:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7178:            }
1.271     brouard  7179:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7180:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7181:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7182:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7183:            } 
1.276     brouard  7184:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7185:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7186:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7187:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7188:            } 
1.274     brouard  7189:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7190:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.238     brouard  7191:        } /* end if backcast */
1.276     brouard  7192:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
                   7193:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7194:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7195:     } /* k1 */
                   7196:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7197: 
                   7198:   
1.126     brouard  7199:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7200:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7201:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7202:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7203:        continue;
                   7204:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7205:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7206:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7207:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7208:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7209:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7210:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7211:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7212:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7213:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7214:       }
1.237     brouard  7215:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7216:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7217:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7218:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7219:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7220:       }
1.264     brouard  7221:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7222:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7223:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7224:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7225:        continue;
                   7226:       }
1.219     brouard  7227:                        
1.241     brouard  7228:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7229:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7230:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7231:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7232:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7233:        }else
1.238     brouard  7234:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7235:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7236:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7237:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7238:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7239:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7240:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7241:          }   
                   7242:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7243:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7244:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7245:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7246:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7247:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7248:          }   
                   7249:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7250:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7251:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7252:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7253:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7254:          }   
                   7255:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7256:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7257:        } /* state */
                   7258:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7259:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7260:     } /* end nres */
                   7261:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7262:        
                   7263:        
                   7264:   /*3eme*/
                   7265:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7266:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7267:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7268:        continue;
                   7269: 
                   7270:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7271:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7272:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7273:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7274:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7275:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7276:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7277:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7278:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7279:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7280:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7281:        }
                   7282:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7283:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7284:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7285:        }       
1.264     brouard  7286:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7287:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7288:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7289:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7290:          continue;
                   7291:        }
                   7292:                        
                   7293:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7294:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7295:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7296:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7297:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7298: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7299:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7300:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7301:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7302:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7303:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7304:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7305:                                
1.238     brouard  7306:        */
                   7307:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7308:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7309:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7310:                                
1.238     brouard  7311:        } 
1.261     brouard  7312:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7313:       }
1.264     brouard  7314:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7315:     } /* end nres */
                   7316:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7317:   
1.223     brouard  7318:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7319:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7320:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7321:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7322:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7323:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7324:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7325:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7326:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7327:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7328:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7329:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7330:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7331:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7332:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7333:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7334:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7335:        }
                   7336:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7337:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7338:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7339:        }       
1.264     brouard  7340:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7341:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7342:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7343:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7344:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7345:        }
1.238     brouard  7346:       
1.241     brouard  7347:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7348:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7349:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7350: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7351:        k=3;
                   7352:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7353:          if(i==1){
                   7354:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7355:          }else{
                   7356:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7357:          }
                   7358:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7359:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7360:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7361:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7362:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7363:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7364:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7365:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7366:     } /* end nres */
                   7367:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7368: 
1.220     brouard  7369: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7370:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7371:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7372:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7373:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7374:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7375:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7376:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7377:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7378:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7379:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7380:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7381:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7382:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7383:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7384:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7385:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7386:        }
                   7387:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7388:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7389:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7390:        }       
1.264     brouard  7391:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7392:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7393:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7394:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7395:          continue;
                   7396:        }
1.227     brouard  7397:       
1.241     brouard  7398:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7399:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7400:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7401: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7402:        k=3;
                   7403:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7404:          if(j==1)
                   7405:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7406:          else
                   7407:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7408:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7409:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7410:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7411:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7412:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7413:        } /* nlstate */
                   7414:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7415:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7416:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7417:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7418:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7419:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7420:          else
                   7421:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7422:        }
1.264     brouard  7423:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7424:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7425:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7426:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7427:   
1.220     brouard  7428: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7429:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7430:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7431:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7432:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7433:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7434:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7435:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.211     brouard  7436:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7437:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7438:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7439:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7440:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7441:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7442:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7443:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7444:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7445:       }
1.237     brouard  7446:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7447:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7448:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7449:       }        
1.264     brouard  7450:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7451:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7452:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7453:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7454:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7455:       }
1.227     brouard  7456:       
1.241     brouard  7457:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7458:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7459:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7460: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7461:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7462:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7463:        if(i==1)
                   7464:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7465:        else
                   7466:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7467:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7468:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7469:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   7470:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7471:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  7472:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7473:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  7474:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7475:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  7476:   
                   7477:   
1.220     brouard  7478: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  7479:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  7480:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7481:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7482:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7483:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7484:        continue;
1.268     brouard  7485:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  7486:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7487:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  7488:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7489:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7490:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7491:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  7492:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  7493:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7494:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7495:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7496:        }
1.237     brouard  7497:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7498:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7499:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7500:        }       
1.264     brouard  7501:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7502:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7503:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7504:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7505:          continue;
                   7506:        }
                   7507:        
1.241     brouard  7508:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7509:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7510:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7511: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  7512:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  7513:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  7514:          if(i==1)
                   7515:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7516:          else
                   7517:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7518:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  7519:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7520:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   7521:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  7522:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  7523:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   7524:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   7525:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  7526:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  7527:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7528:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  7529:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7530:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7531:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7532:   
1.223     brouard  7533:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  7534:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   7535:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   7536:     
1.237     brouard  7537:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7538:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7539:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7540:        continue;
1.211     brouard  7541:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  7542:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.227     brouard  7543:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7544:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7545:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7546:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7547:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7548:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7549:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7550:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7551:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7552:        }
1.237     brouard  7553:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7554:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7555:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7556:        }       
1.264     brouard  7557:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7558:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7559:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7560:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7561:          continue;
                   7562:        }
                   7563:        
                   7564:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  7565:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7566:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7567:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7568: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  7569: 
                   7570:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7571:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7572:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7573:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  7574:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7575:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7576:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7577:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  7578:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  7579:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   7580:          }else{
                   7581:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7582:          }
                   7583:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7584:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7585:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7586:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7587:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7588:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7589:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  7590:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7591:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  7592:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7593:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7594:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7595:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  7596:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  7597:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  7598:            }else
1.227     brouard  7599:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7600:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7601:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7602:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7603:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7604:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7605:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7606:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  7607:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7608:            kl=0;
                   7609:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7610:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7611:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7612:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7613:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7614:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7615:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7616:              kl++;
                   7617:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7618:              kl++;
                   7619:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7620:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7621:            }
                   7622:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7623:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7624:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7625:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7626:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7627:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7628:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7629:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  7630:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7631:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   7632:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7633:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   7634:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  7635: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  7636:            }else{
                   7637:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7638:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7639:            }
                   7640:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7641:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7642:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  7643:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7644:     } /* end covariate */
                   7645:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  7646:   
1.268     brouard  7647:   if(backcast==1){
                   7648:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   7649:     
                   7650:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7651:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   7652:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7653:        continue;
                   7654:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   7655:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7656:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7657:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7658:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7659:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7660:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7661:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7662:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7663:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7664:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7665:        }
                   7666:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7667:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7668:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7669:        }       
                   7670:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   7671:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7672:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7673:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7674:          continue;
                   7675:        }
                   7676:        
                   7677:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   7678:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7679:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   7680:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   7681: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7682: 
                   7683:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7684:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7685:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7686:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   7687:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7688:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7689:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7690:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7691:          if(i==istart){
                   7692:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   7693:          }else{
                   7694:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7695:          }
                   7696:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7697:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7698:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7699:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7700:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7701:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7702:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   7703:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7704:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  7705:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7706:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7707:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7708:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  7709:                     offbyear,                          \
                   7710:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   7711:            }else
                   7712:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7713:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   7714:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7715:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7716:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7717:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7718:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7719:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  7720:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7721:            kl=0;
                   7722:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7723:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7724:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7725:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7726:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7727:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7728:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7729:              kl++;
                   7730:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7731:              kl++;
                   7732:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7733:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7734:            }
                   7735:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7736:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7737:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7738:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7739:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7740:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7741:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7742:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  7743:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7744:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  7745:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  7746:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7747:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   7748:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  7749: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   7750:            }else{
                   7751:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   7752:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7753:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   7754:            }
                   7755:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7756:        } /* nlstate */
                   7757:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   7758:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7759:     } /* end covariate */
                   7760:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7761:   
1.227     brouard  7762:   
1.238     brouard  7763:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   7764:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  7765:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  7766:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  7767:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   7768:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  7769:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   7770:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   7771:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   7772:          jk++; 
                   7773:        }
                   7774:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  7775:       }
                   7776:     }
1.223     brouard  7777:   }
1.187     brouard  7778:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  7779:   
1.145     brouard  7780:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  7781:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   7782:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  7783:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   7784:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   7785:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   7786:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   7787:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7788:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7789:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7790:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7791:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   7792:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7793:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   7794:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7795:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  7796:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  7797:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  7798:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  7799:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  7800:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   7801:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  7802:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  7803:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7804:        continue;
1.264     brouard  7805:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   7806:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276     brouard  7807:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  7808:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7809:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7810:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7811:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7812:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7813:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7814:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7815:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7816:       }
1.237     brouard  7817:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7818:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7819:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7820:       }        
1.264     brouard  7821:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  7822:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  7823:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276     brouard  7824:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
                   7825:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
                   7826:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  7827:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   7828:       if (ng==1){
                   7829:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   7830:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   7831:       }else if (ng==2){
                   7832:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   7833:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7834:       }else if (ng==3){
                   7835:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   7836:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7837:       }else
                   7838:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   7839:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   7840:       i=1;
                   7841:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   7842:        k3=i;
                   7843:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   7844:          if (k != k2){
                   7845:            switch( ng) {
                   7846:            case 1:
                   7847:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7848:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7849:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7850:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7851:              break;
                   7852:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   7853:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7854:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7855:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7856:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7857:              break;
                   7858:            case 3:
                   7859:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7860:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7861:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7862:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7863:              break;
                   7864:            }
                   7865:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7866:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7867:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7868:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7869:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  7870:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7871:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*/
                   7872:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7873:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){
                   7874:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7875:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7876:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7877:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7878:                    }
                   7879:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  7880:                  }
1.268     brouard  7881:                } 
                   7882:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   7883:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7884:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7885:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   7886:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7887:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   7888:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   7889:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7890:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7891:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7892:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7893:                      }
                   7894:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   7895:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   7896:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7897:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7898:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7899:                      }
1.237     brouard  7900:                    }
1.268     brouard  7901:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7902:                  }
1.268     brouard  7903:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  7904:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  7905:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  7906:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7907:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7908:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7909:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  7910:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  7911:                }
1.237     brouard  7912:              } /* end simple */
                   7913:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7914:          }else{
                   7915:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7916:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7917:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7918:          }
1.227     brouard  7919:          
1.223     brouard  7920:          if(ng != 1){
                   7921:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7922:            
1.264     brouard  7923:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  7924:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  7925:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  7926:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  7927:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7928:               
1.223     brouard  7929:              ij=1;
                   7930:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  7931:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   7932:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7933:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7934:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   7935:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7936:                       ij++;
                   7937:                     }
                   7938:                   }
                   7939:                 }else
                   7940:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7941:              }
                   7942:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7943:            }
                   7944:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7945:            if(ng ==2)
1.276     brouard  7946:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7947:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276     brouard  7948:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7949:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7950:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276     brouard  7951:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7952:          }
                   7953:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7954:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7955:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7956:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7957:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7958:        } /* end k */
                   7959:       } /* end k2 */
1.276     brouard  7960:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
                   7961:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  7962:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  7963:   } /* end ng */
                   7964:   /* avoid: */
                   7965:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7966: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7967: 
                   7968: 
                   7969: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7970: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7971:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7972:    
1.222     brouard  7973:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7974:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7975:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7976:    int iage=0;
                   7977: 
1.266     brouard  7978:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  7979:    double age;
1.266     brouard  7980:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   7981:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   7982:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  7983:   
                   7984:   
1.278     brouard  7985:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
                   7986:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
1.222     brouard  7987: 
                   7988:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7989:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7990:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7991:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  7992:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  7993:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7994:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7995: 
                   7996:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  7997:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  7998:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  7999:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   8000:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  8001:    }
                   8002:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   8003:   
1.266     brouard  8004:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   8005:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  8006:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   8007:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   8008:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8009:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   8010:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8011:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   8012:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   8013:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   8014:      */ 
                   8015:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   8016:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  8017:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   8018:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8019:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  8020:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8021:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   8022:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8023:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8024:             }
                   8025:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  8026:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8027:           } /* end i */
                   8028:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   8029:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  8030:        }/* end age */
                   8031:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  8032:    }else{
                   8033:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  8034:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  8035:    }
                   8036: 
                   8037:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  8038:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   8039:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   8040:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   8041:        continue;
                   8042:      }
1.219     brouard  8043: 
1.266     brouard  8044:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8045:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8046:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8047:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8048:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8049:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8050:        }
                   8051:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8052:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8053:        }
                   8054:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8055:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8056:        }
                   8057:      } /* age */
                   8058:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8059:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8060:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8061:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8062:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8063:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8064:        }
                   8065:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8066:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8067:        }
                   8068:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8069:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8070:        }
                   8071:      } /* age */
                   8072:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8073:      /* but they will change */
                   8074:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8075:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8076:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8077:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8078:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8079:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8080:        }
                   8081:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8082:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8083:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8084:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8085:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8086:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8087:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8088:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8089:           } /* i */
                   8090:         } /* end bad */
                   8091:        }else{
                   8092:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8093:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8094:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8095:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8096:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8097:           } /* i */
                   8098:         } /* end bad */
                   8099:        }/* end else */
                   8100:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8101:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8102:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8103:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8104:        }
                   8105:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8106:         printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8107:        } /* end bad */
                   8108:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8109:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8110:         printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8111:        } /* end bad */
                   8112:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8113: 
                   8114:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8115:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8116:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8117:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8118:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8119:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8120:        } 
                   8121:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8122:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8123:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8124:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8125:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8126:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8127:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8128:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8129:           } /* i */
                   8130:         } /* end bad */
                   8131:        }else{
                   8132:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8133:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8134:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8135:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8136:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8137:           } /* i */
                   8138:         } /* end bad */
                   8139:        }/* end else */
                   8140:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8141:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8142:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8143:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8144:        }
1.266     brouard  8145:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8146:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8147:        } /* end bad */
                   8148:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8149:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8150:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8151:        } /* end bad */
                   8152:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8153: 
1.222     brouard  8154:                
                   8155:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8156:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8157:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8158:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8159:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8160:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8161:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8162:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8163:        }
                   8164:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8165:      }
                   8166:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8167:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8168: 
1.222     brouard  8169:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8170:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8171:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8172:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8173:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8174:      /*   }     */
                   8175:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8176:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8177:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8178:      /*   } */
                   8179:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8180:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8181:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8182:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8183:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8184:      /*   } */
                   8185:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8186:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8187:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8188:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8189:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8190:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8191:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8192:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8193:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8194:    return 0;
                   8195:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8196:  
1.126     brouard  8197: 
                   8198: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.269     brouard  8199:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  8200:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8201:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8202:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8203:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   8204:   */
1.267     brouard  8205:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8206:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   8207:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   8208:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8209:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8210:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8211:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8212: 
                   8213:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8214:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8215:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8216:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8217:   */
1.214     brouard  8218:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8219:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8220:  
1.201     brouard  8221:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8222:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8223:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8224:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8225:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8226:   }
1.235     brouard  8227:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8228:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8229: 
1.225     brouard  8230:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8231: 
                   8232: 
                   8233:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8234:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8235:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8236:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8237:   }
1.270     brouard  8238:   else{
                   8239:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8240:   }
                   8241:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8242:     stepsize=2;
                   8243:   }
1.126     brouard  8244: 
                   8245:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   8246:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8247:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8248:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8249:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8250:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8251:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8252:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8253:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8254:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8255: 
1.227     brouard  8256:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8257:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8258:   
                   8259:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   8260:   
                   8261:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8262:   
1.126     brouard  8263: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8264:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8265:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8266:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8267:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8268:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8269:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8270:       continue;
                   8271:     }
                   8272:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8273:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8274:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8275:     }
1.235     brouard  8276:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8277:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8278:     }
1.227     brouard  8279:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8280:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8281:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8282:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8283:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8284:     }
                   8285:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   8286:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8287:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8288:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8289:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8290:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8291:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8292:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8293:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8294:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8295:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8296:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8297:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8298:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8299:            break;
                   8300:          }
                   8301:        }
                   8302:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8303:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8304:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8305:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8306:        
                   8307:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8308:          ppij=0.;
                   8309:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.278     brouard  8310:            if (mobilav>=1)
                   8311:             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
                   8312:            else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
                   8313:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   8314:            }
1.268     brouard  8315:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8316:          } /* end i */
                   8317:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8318:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8319:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8320:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8321:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8322:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8323:     } /* end yearp */
                   8324:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8325:        
1.126     brouard  8326:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8327:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8328:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8329: 
1.126     brouard  8330: }
                   8331: 
1.269     brouard  8332: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
                   8333:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.267     brouard  8334:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
                   8335:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8336:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8337:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8338:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8339:   */
                   8340:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8341:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.268     brouard  8342:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
1.267     brouard  8343:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8344:   double ***p3mat;
                   8345:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8346:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8347:  
1.268     brouard  8348:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8349:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8350:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8351:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8352:   */
                   8353:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8354:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8355: 
                   8356:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8357: 
                   8358:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8359:   
                   8360:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8361:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8362:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8363:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8364:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8365:   }
                   8366:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8367:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8368:   
                   8369:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8370:   
                   8371:    
                   8372:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8373:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8374:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8375:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8376:   }
1.270     brouard  8377:   else{
                   8378:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8379:   }
                   8380:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8381:     stepsize=2;
                   8382:   }
1.267     brouard  8383:   
                   8384:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
                   8385:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8386:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8387:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8388:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8389:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8390:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8391:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8392:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8393:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8394:   
                   8395:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8396:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8397:   
                   8398:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.268     brouard  8399:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8400:   
                   8401:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8402:   
                   8403:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8404:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8405:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8406:       continue;
                   8407:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8408:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8409:       continue;
                   8410:     }
1.268     brouard  8411:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8412:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8413:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8414:     }
                   8415:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8416:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8417:     }
                   8418:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8419:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8420:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8421:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8422:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8423:     }
                   8424:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {
                   8425:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8426:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8427:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8428:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8429:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8430:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8431:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8432:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8433:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8434:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8435:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8436:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8437:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8438:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8439:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8440:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8441:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8442:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8443:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8444:            break;
                   8445:          }
                   8446:        }
                   8447:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8448:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   8449:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8450:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8451:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   8452:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   8453:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   8454:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  8455:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8456:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8457:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   8458:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  8459:              /* else { */
                   8460:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8461:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  8462:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8463:          } /* end j */
                   8464:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   8465:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8466:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8467:          }
                   8468:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   8469:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  8470:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8471:       } /* end agec */
                   8472:     } /* end yearp */
                   8473:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  8474:   
1.267     brouard  8475:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  8476:   
1.267     brouard  8477:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   8478:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   8479:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  8480:        
1.267     brouard  8481: }
1.217     brouard  8482: 
1.269     brouard  8483: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   8484:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8485:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
                   8486:  
                   8487:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8488:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   8489:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8490:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   8491:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8492:    
                   8493:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   8494:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   8495:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8496:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   8497:       exit(0);
                   8498:     }
                   8499:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   8500:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8501:     
                   8502:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   8503:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   8504:     
                   8505:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8506:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8507: 
                   8508:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8509:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8510:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8511:        continue;
                   8512:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   8513:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   8514:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8515:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8516:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8517:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8518:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8519:       }
                   8520:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8521:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8522:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8523:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8524:       }        
                   8525:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   8526:       printf("******\n");
                   8527:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8528:       
                   8529:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8530:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8531:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8532:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8533:       /*}*/
                   8534:     }
                   8535:     
                   8536:     fclose(ficresvpl);
                   8537:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8538:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8539: 
                   8540:  }
                   8541: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   8542:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8543:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   8544: 
                   8545:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8546:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   8547: 
                   8548:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8549:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   8550:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8551: 
                   8552:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   8553:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   8554:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8555:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   8556:      exit(0);
                   8557:    }
                   8558:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   8559:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8560:    
                   8561:    
                   8562:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8563:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8564:    
                   8565:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8566:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8567:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8568:         continue;
                   8569:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   8570:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   8571:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8572:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8573:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8574:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8575:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8576:        }
                   8577:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8578:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8579:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8580:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8581:        }
                   8582:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   8583:        printf("******\n");
                   8584:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8585:        
                   8586:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8587:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8588:        
                   8589:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8590:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8591:        /*}*/
                   8592:      }
                   8593:    
                   8594:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   8595:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8596:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8597: 
                   8598:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   8599: 
1.126     brouard  8600: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  8601: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  8602:   
1.227     brouard  8603: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   8604: /*   int *popage; */
                   8605: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   8606: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   8607: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   8608: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   8609: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  8610: 
1.227     brouard  8611: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8612: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8613: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   8614: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  8615:   
1.227     brouard  8616: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  8617:   
                   8618:   
1.227     brouard  8619: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   8620: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   8621: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   8622: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8623: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8624: /*   } */
                   8625: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   8626: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  8627: 
1.227     brouard  8628: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  8629: 
1.227     brouard  8630: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   8631: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   8632: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   8633: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8634: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8635: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   8636: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  8637: 
1.227     brouard  8638: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   8639: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  8640:   
1.227     brouard  8641: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  8642:   
1.227     brouard  8643: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   8644: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  8645:        
1.227     brouard  8646: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8647: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   8648: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8649: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8650: /*     }  */
                   8651: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8652: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8653: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  8654:     
1.227     brouard  8655: /*     i=1;    */
                   8656: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  8657:     
1.227     brouard  8658: /*     imx=i; */
                   8659: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   8660: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8661:   
1.227     brouard  8662: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   8663: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   8664: /*       k=k+1; */
                   8665: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   8666: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   8667: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   8668: /*       } */
                   8669: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   8670: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   8671: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   8672: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  8673:       
1.227     brouard  8674: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   8675: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  8676:        
1.227     brouard  8677: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8678: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8679: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8680:          
1.227     brouard  8681: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8682: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8683: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  8684:          
1.227     brouard  8685: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8686: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8687: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8688: /*         }  */
                   8689: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8690: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8691: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8692: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   8693: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   8694: /*             else { */
                   8695: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   8696: /*             } */
                   8697: /*           } */
                   8698: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   8699: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   8700: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   8701: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   8702: /*           } */
                   8703: /*         } */
                   8704: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8705: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   8706: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   8707: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   8708: /*           } */
                   8709: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   8710: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  8711:            
1.227     brouard  8712: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   8713: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   8714: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   8715: /*       } */
                   8716: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8717: /*     } */
                   8718: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  8719:       
1.227     brouard  8720: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  8721:       
1.227     brouard  8722: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   8723: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   8724: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8725: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8726: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8727:          
1.227     brouard  8728: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8729: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8730: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   8731: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8732: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8733: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8734: /*         }  */
                   8735: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8736: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8737: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8738: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   8739: /*           } */
                   8740: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   8741: /*         } */
                   8742: /*       } */
                   8743: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8744: /*     } */
                   8745: /*       } */
                   8746: /*     }  */
                   8747: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8748:   
1.227     brouard  8749: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8750:   
1.227     brouard  8751: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8752: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   8753: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   8754: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   8755: /*   } */
                   8756: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8757: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8758: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   8759: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8760:  
1.126     brouard  8761: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   8762: {
                   8763:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   8764:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8765:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8766:     return (0);
                   8767:   }
                   8768:   fflush(fichier);
                   8769:   return (1);
                   8770: }
                   8771: 
                   8772: 
                   8773: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   8774: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   8775: {
                   8776: 
                   8777:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   8778: 
1.164     brouard  8779:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   8780:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  8781:   int numlinepar;
                   8782: 
                   8783:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8784:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8785:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8786:     jj=0;
                   8787:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8788:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8789:       jj++;
                   8790:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   8791:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8792:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8793:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8794:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8795:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8796:        printf(" 0.");
                   8797:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8798:       }
                   8799:       printf("\n");
                   8800:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8801:     }
                   8802:   }
                   8803:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8804:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8805:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   8806:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8807:     jj=0;
                   8808:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8809:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8810:       jj++;
                   8811:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8812:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8813:       fflush(stdout);
                   8814:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8815:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8816:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8817:        printf(" 0.");
                   8818:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8819:       }
                   8820:       numlinepar++;
                   8821:       printf("\n");
                   8822:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8823:     }
                   8824:   }
                   8825:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8826: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8827: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8828: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   8829: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   8830: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   8831: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   8832: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   8833: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8834:   fflush(stdout);
                   8835:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8836:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8837:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8838:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   8839:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8840:   
                   8841:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   8842:     jj=0;
                   8843:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8844:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8845:        if(j==i) continue;
                   8846:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8847:          jj++;
                   8848:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   8849:          if(itimes==1){
                   8850:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8851:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8852:          }else{
                   8853:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8854:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8855:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   8856:          }
                   8857:          ll=0;
                   8858:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   8859:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   8860:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   8861:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   8862:                ll++;
                   8863:                if(ll<=jj){
                   8864:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   8865:                  if(ll<jj){
                   8866:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8867:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8868:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8869:                    }else{
                   8870:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8871:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8872:                    }
                   8873:                  }else{
                   8874:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8875:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8876:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8877:                    }else{
                   8878:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8879:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8880:                    }
                   8881:                  }
                   8882:                }
                   8883:              } /* end lk */
                   8884:            } /* end lj */
                   8885:          } /* end li */
                   8886:          printf("\n");
                   8887:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8888:          numlinepar++;
                   8889:        } /* end k*/
                   8890:       } /*end j */
                   8891:     } /* end i */
                   8892:   } /* end itimes */
                   8893: 
                   8894: } /* end of prwizard */
                   8895: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   8896: double gompertz(double x[])
                   8897: { 
                   8898:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8899:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8900: 
1.220     brouard  8901:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  8902:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8903:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8904:     num=num+1;
                   8905:   }
                   8906:  
                   8907:  
                   8908:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8909:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8910: 
                   8911:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8912:     {
                   8913:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8914:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8915:       
                   8916:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8917:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8918:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8919:       
                   8920:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8921:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8922:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   8923:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8924:       }
                   8925:     }
                   8926: 
                   8927:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8928:  
                   8929:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   8930: }
                   8931: 
1.136     brouard  8932: #ifdef GSL
                   8933: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   8934: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   8935: { 
                   8936:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8937:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   8938:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8939: 
                   8940:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   8941:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8942:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8943:     num=num+1;
                   8944:   }
                   8945:  
                   8946:  
                   8947:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8948:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8949:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   8950:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8951:     {
                   8952:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8953:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8954:       
                   8955:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8956:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8957:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8958:       
                   8959:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8960:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8961:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   8962:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8963:       }
                   8964:     }
                   8965: 
                   8966:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8967:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   8968:  
                   8969:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   8970: }
                   8971: #endif
                   8972: 
1.126     brouard  8973: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  8974: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  8975:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   8976:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   8977:   int i,k;
                   8978: 
                   8979:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   8980:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8981:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   8982:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  8983:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  8984:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   8985: 
                   8986: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   8987: 
                   8988:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   8989: 
                   8990:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   8991:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   8992: 
                   8993:  
                   8994:   fflush(fichtm);
                   8995: }
                   8996: 
                   8997: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  8998: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  8999: 
                   9000:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  9001: 
1.126     brouard  9002:   int ng;
                   9003: 
                   9004: 
                   9005:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   9006:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   9007:     /*#endif */
                   9008: 
                   9009: 
                   9010:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   9011:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  9012:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  9013:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  9014:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  9015:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  9016:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9017: 
                   9018: } 
                   9019: 
1.136     brouard  9020: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   9021: {
1.126     brouard  9022: 
1.136     brouard  9023:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   9024:   FILE *fic;
                   9025:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  9026:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  9027:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  9028:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   9029:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  9030:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  9031:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  9032: 
1.240     brouard  9033:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   9034:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  9035: 
1.240     brouard  9036:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   9037:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9038:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9039:   }
                   9040:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   9041:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9042:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9043:   }
                   9044:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9045:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9046:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9047:   }
                   9048:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9049:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9050:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9051:   }
                   9052:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9053:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9054:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9055:   }
1.126     brouard  9056: 
1.136     brouard  9057:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9058:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9059:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9060:   }
1.126     brouard  9061: 
1.136     brouard  9062:   i=1;
                   9063:   linei=0;
                   9064:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9065:     linei=linei+1;
                   9066:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9067:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9068:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9069:     }
                   9070:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9071:       ;
                   9072:     };
                   9073:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9074:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9075:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9076:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9077:       continue;
                   9078:     }
                   9079:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9080:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9081:     
                   9082:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9083:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9084:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9085:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9086:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9087:          lval=-1;
                   9088:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9089:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9090:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9091:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9092:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9093:            return 1;
                   9094:          }
                   9095:        }else{
                   9096:          errno=0;
                   9097:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9098:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9099:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9100:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9101:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9102:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9103:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9104:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9105:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9106:            return 1;
                   9107:          }
                   9108:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9109:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9110:        }
                   9111:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9112:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9113:       
1.223     brouard  9114:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9115:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9116:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9117:          lval=-1;
                   9118:        }else{
                   9119:          errno=0;
                   9120:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9121:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9122:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9123:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9124:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9125:            return 1;
                   9126:          }
                   9127:        }
                   9128:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9129:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9130:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9131:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9132:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9133:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9134:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9135:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9136:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9137:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  9138:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9139:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9140:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9141:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9142:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9143:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9144:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9145:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9146:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9147:          return 1;
                   9148:        }
                   9149:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9150:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9151:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9152:       
1.223     brouard  9153:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9154:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9155:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9156:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9157:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9158:        errno=0;
                   9159:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9160:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9161:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9162:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9163:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9164:          return 1;
                   9165:        }
1.136     brouard  9166:       }
1.225     brouard  9167:       
1.136     brouard  9168:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9169:       
1.223     brouard  9170:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9171:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9172:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9173:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9174:       }
1.169     brouard  9175:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9176:        month=99;
                   9177:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9178:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9179:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9180:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9181:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9182:       }
                   9183:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   9184:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   9185:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9186:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9187:     
1.223     brouard  9188:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9189:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9190:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9191:     }
1.169     brouard  9192:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9193:       month=99;
                   9194:       year=9999;
                   9195:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9196:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9197:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9198:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9199:     }
                   9200:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9201:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9202:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9203:     
1.223     brouard  9204:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9205:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9206:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9207:     }
1.169     brouard  9208:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9209:       month=99;
                   9210:       year=9999;
                   9211:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9212:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9213:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9214:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9215:     }
                   9216:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9217:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9218:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9219:       return 1;
                   9220:       
1.136     brouard  9221:     }
                   9222:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   9223:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   9224:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9225:     
1.223     brouard  9226:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9227:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9228:     errno=0;
                   9229:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9230:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9231:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9232:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9233:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9234:       return 1;
                   9235:     }
                   9236:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9237:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9238:     
1.223     brouard  9239:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9240:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9241:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9242:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  9243:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9244:        errno=0;
                   9245:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9246:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9247:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9248:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9249:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9250:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9251:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9252:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9253:          return 1;
                   9254:        }
                   9255:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9256:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9257:       }
                   9258:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9259:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9260:     
1.223     brouard  9261:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9262:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9263:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9264:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9265:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9266:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9267:        errno=0;
                   9268:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9269:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9270:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9271:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9272:          return 1;
                   9273:        }
1.136     brouard  9274:       }
                   9275:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9276:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9277:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9278:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9279:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9280:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9281:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9282:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9283:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9284:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9285:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9286:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9287:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9288:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9289:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9290:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9291:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9292:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9293:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9294:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9295:       }
                   9296:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9297:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9298:     }  
                   9299:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9300:     
1.136     brouard  9301:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9302:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9303:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9304:     }
                   9305:     else
                   9306:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9307:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9308:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9309:     
                   9310:     i=i+1;
                   9311:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9312:   
1.136     brouard  9313:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9314:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9315:   
1.136     brouard  9316:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9317:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9318:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9319:   fclose(fic);
                   9320:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9321: }
1.126     brouard  9322: 
1.234     brouard  9323: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9324:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9325:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9326:     p2++; 
                   9327:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9328:   /*   ; */
                   9329:   /* do */
                   9330:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9331:   /*     p2++; */
                   9332:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9333:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9334: }
                   9335: 
1.235     brouard  9336: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9337: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9338: {
1.235     brouard  9339:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9340:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9341:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9342:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9343:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9344: 
1.234     brouard  9345:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  9346:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  9347: 
                   9348:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9349:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9350:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9351:     return 1;
                   9352:   }
                   9353:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9354:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9355:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9356:   }
1.253     brouard  9357:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9358:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9359:     return (0);
                   9360:   }
                   9361:     
1.234     brouard  9362:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   9363:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9364:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9365:   }
                   9366:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9367:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   9368:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   9369:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   9370:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   9371:     }else
                   9372:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  9373:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  9374:     
1.230     brouard  9375:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   9376:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   9377:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9378:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9379:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9380:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9381:   }
1.235     brouard  9382:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  9383:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9384:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  9385:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  9386:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  9387:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  9388:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9389:          match=1;
                   9390:          break;
                   9391:        }
                   9392:       }
                   9393:       if(match == 0){
                   9394:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9395:       }
                   9396:     }
                   9397:   }
1.235     brouard  9398:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   9399:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  9400:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  9401:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9402:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  9403:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  9404:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9405:          ++match;
                   9406:        }
                   9407:       }
                   9408:     }
                   9409:     if(match == 0){
                   9410:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9411:     }else if(match > 1){
                   9412:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   9413:     }
                   9414:   }
1.235     brouard  9415:       
1.234     brouard  9416:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  9417:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9418:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   9419:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   9420:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   9421:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   9422:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   9423:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   9424:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   9425:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   9426:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   9427:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   9428:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   9429:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  9430:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   9431:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   9432:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   9433:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  9434:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   9435:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  9436:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  9437:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   9438:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  9439:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   9440:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   9441:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  9442:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   9443:       k4++;;
                   9444:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   9445:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   9446:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  9447:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   9448:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   9449:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  9450:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   9451:       k4q++;;
                   9452:     }
                   9453:   }
1.234     brouard  9454:   
1.235     brouard  9455:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  9456:   return (0);
                   9457: }
1.235     brouard  9458: 
1.230     brouard  9459: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   9460:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  9461:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   9462:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   9463:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   9464:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   9465:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   9466:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   9467:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   9468:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   9469:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   9470:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   9471:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   9472:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   9473:        */
1.136     brouard  9474: {
1.238     brouard  9475:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  9476:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  9477:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  9478:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  9479:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  9480: 
1.145     brouard  9481:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  9482:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  9483:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  9484:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  9485:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   9486:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  9487:       return 1;
                   9488:     }
1.141     brouard  9489:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   9490:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   9491:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   9492:       return 1;
                   9493:     }
1.187     brouard  9494:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   9495:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   9496:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   9497:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  9498:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9499:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9500:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  9501:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9502:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9503:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9504:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  9505:       }
1.187     brouard  9506:       nagesqr=1;
                   9507:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9508:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  9509:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9510:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  9511:       else 
1.234     brouard  9512:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  9513:     }else
                   9514:       nagesqr=0;
                   9515:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   9516:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   9517:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  9518:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  9519:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  9520:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   9521:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   9522:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   9523:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   9524:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  9525:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   9526:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  9527:       
                   9528:       
1.187     brouard  9529:       /*   Design
                   9530:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   9531:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9532:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   9533:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   9534:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   9535:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  9536:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   9537:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  9538:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   9539:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   9540:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   9541:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   9542:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   9543:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   9544:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   9545:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   9546:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   9547:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9548:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   9549:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   9550:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   9551:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9552:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   9553:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   9554:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   9555:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   9556:        *How to reorganize?
                   9557:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   9558:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9559:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   9560:        * Struct []
                   9561:        */
1.225     brouard  9562:       
1.187     brouard  9563:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   9564:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   9565:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   9566:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   9567:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   9568:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   9569:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   9570:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   9571:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  9572:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  9573:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  9574:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  9575:       /*
                   9576:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  9577:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   9578:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   9579:       }
1.187     brouard  9580:       cptcovage=0;
                   9581:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  9582:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  9583:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  9584:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   9585:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   9586:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9587:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   9588:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   9589:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   9590:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   9591:            cptcovprod--;
                   9592:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   9593:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   9594:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9595:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   9596:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   9597:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   9598:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   9599:            cptcovprod--;
                   9600:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   9601:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   9602:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9603:            cptcovage++;
                   9604:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   9605:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   9606:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   9607:            cptcovn++;
                   9608:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   9609:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   9610:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   9611:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   9612:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   9613:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   9614:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   9615:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   9616:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   9617:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   9618:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   9619:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   9620:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   9621:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   9622:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   9623:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  9624:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  9625:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   9626:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   9627:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   9628:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   9629:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   9630:            }
                   9631:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   9632:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   9633:        else { /* no more sum */
                   9634:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   9635:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9636:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   9637:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   9638:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   9639:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   9640:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   9641:        }
                   9642:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  9643:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  9644:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  9645:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   9646:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   9647:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  9648:   
                   9649:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   9650:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  9651:   
1.136     brouard  9652:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  9653:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9654:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9655:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   9656: 
                   9657: 
1.230     brouard  9658: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   9659:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  9660: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   9661:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   9662:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   9663:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   9664:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  9665:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   9666:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   9667:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  9668: */  
                   9669: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  9670:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  9671:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  9672:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  9673:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   9674: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9675: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9676: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   9677:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   9678: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9679: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9680: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  9681:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  9682:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   9683:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  9684:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9685:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9686:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  9687:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9688:       nsd++;
                   9689:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9690:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9691:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9692:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9693:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9694:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9695:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9696:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   9697:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9698:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9699:       ncoveff++;
                   9700:       ncovf++;
                   9701:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9702:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9703:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  9704:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  9705:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  9706:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  9707:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9708:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  9709:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  9710:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9711:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   9712:       nsq++;
                   9713:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9714:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  9715:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9716:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9717:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  9718:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  9719:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  9720:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  9721:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9722:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9723:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  9724:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9725:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   9726:       nsd++;
                   9727:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9728:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9729:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9730:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9731:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9732:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   9733:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  9734:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   9735:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  9736:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  9737:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9738:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9739:       nqtveff++;
                   9740:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9741:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   9742:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9743:       nsq++;
                   9744:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9745:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   9746:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9747:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9748:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9749:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  9750:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9751:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   9752:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  9753:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  9754:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  9755:       ncova++;
                   9756:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   9757:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  9758:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  9759:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9760:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9761:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9762:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   9763:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  9764:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  9765:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9766:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9767:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9768:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   9769:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9770:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  9771:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9772:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9773:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9774:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   9775:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9776:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9777:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9778:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9779:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9780:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   9781:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9782:       }
                   9783:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   9784:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   9785:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  9786:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9787:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9788:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9789:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9790:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9791:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9792:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9793:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9794:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9795:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9796:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9797:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9798:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9799:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9800:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9801:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9802:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9803:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9804:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9805:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9806:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   9807:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9808:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9809:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9810:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9811:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9812:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9813:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9814:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   9815:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9816:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9817:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9818:        }
1.227     brouard  9819:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  9820:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9821:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9822:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9823:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9824:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9825:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9826:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9827:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9828:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9829:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9830:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9831:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9832:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   9833:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9834:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9835:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9836:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9837:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9838:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9839:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9840:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   9841:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9842:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9843:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9844:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9845:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9846:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9847:        }
1.227     brouard  9848:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  9849:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9850:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9851:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9852:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9853:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9854:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9855:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9856:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9857:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9858:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9859:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9860:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9861:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9862:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9863:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9864:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9865:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9866:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9867:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9868:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9869:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   9870:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9871:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9872:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9873:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9874:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9875:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9876:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9877:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   9878:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9879:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9880:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9881:        }
1.227     brouard  9882:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9883:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9884:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9885:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9886:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9887:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9888:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9889:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9890:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9891:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9892:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9893:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9894:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9895:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   9896:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9897:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9898:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9899:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9900:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9901:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9902:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9903:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   9904:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9905:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9906:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9907:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9908:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9909:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9910:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9911:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   9912:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9913:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9914:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9915:        }
1.227     brouard  9916:       }else{
1.240     brouard  9917:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9918:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9919:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  9920:     }else{
1.226     brouard  9921:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   9922:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  9923:     }
1.227     brouard  9924:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  9925:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  9926:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   9927:   }
                   9928:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   9929:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   9930:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   9931:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  9932:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   9933:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   9934:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9935:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9936:            return(1);
                   9937:          }
                   9938:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   9939:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   9940:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   9941:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   9942:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9943:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9944:            return(1);
                   9945:          }
                   9946:        }
1.227     brouard  9947:       }
                   9948:     }
1.225     brouard  9949:   }
                   9950:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   9951:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  9952:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   9953:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  9954:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  9955:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  9956:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   9957:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  9958: }
                   9959: 
1.169     brouard  9960: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  9961: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  9962:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  9963:   int firstone=0;
                   9964:   
1.136     brouard  9965:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   9966:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   9967:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   9968:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  9969:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   9970:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  9971:       }
                   9972:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  9973:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  9974:        if(firstone == 0){
                   9975:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  9976:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  9977:        }
1.262     brouard  9978:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  9979:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  9980:       }
                   9981:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  9982:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  9983:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  9984:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  9985:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  9986:       }
                   9987:     }
                   9988:   }
                   9989: 
                   9990:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9991:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   9992:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  9993:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  9994:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  9995:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   9996:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  9997:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  9998:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  9999:            }else {
1.136     brouard  10000:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   10001:                nbwarn++;
                   10002:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10003:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10004:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   10005:              }
                   10006:            }
1.169     brouard  10007:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  10008:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  10009:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   10010:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   10011:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   10012:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   10013:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   10014:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   10015:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   10016:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   10017:          }
                   10018:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   10019:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  10020:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  10021:          }
                   10022:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   10023:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  10024:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  10025:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  10026:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  10027:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   10028:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   10029:        }
                   10030:       }
1.214     brouard  10031:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  10032:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  10033:       else{
                   10034:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10035:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10036:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   10037:       }
                   10038:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   10039:   }
1.136     brouard  10040:     
                   10041:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10042:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10043:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10044:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10045:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10046:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10047:        return 1;
                   10048:       }
                   10049:     }
                   10050:   }
                   10051: 
                   10052:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10053:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10054:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10055: }
                   10056: 
                   10057: }*/
                   10058: 
                   10059: 
1.139     brouard  10060:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10061:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10062: 
                   10063:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10064:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10065:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10066:     return (1);
                   10067: }
                   10068: 
1.172     brouard  10069: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10070: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10071: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10072: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10073: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10074: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10075: //#include <windows.h>
                   10076: //#include <iostream>
                   10077: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10078: 
                   10079: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10080: 
                   10081: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10082: {
                   10083:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10084: 
                   10085:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10086:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10087: 
                   10088:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10089: 
                   10090:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10091:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10092:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10093:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10094: 
                   10095:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10096:        {
                   10097:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10098:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10099:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10100:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10101:        }
                   10102:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10103: }
                   10104: #endif
1.177     brouard  10105: 
1.191     brouard  10106: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  10107:  {
                   10108:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10109:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10110:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10111:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10112:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10113:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10114:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10115:    */ 
                   10116:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10117:    /*
                   10118:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10119:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10120:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10121:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10122:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10123:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10124:    /*
                   10125:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10126:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10127:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10128:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10129:    */
1.186     brouard  10130:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10131:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10132:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10133:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10134:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10135:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10136:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10137:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10138:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10139:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10140:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10141:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10142:    */
1.177     brouard  10143: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10144: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10145:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10146: #endif
1.177     brouard  10147: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10148: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10149: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10150: #endif
1.177     brouard  10151:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10152:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10153:    if (cross){
                   10154:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10155:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10156:    }
1.174     brouard  10157: #endif
                   10158: 
1.171     brouard  10159: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  10160: 
1.191     brouard  10161:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10162: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10163:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10164: #endif
                   10165: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10166:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10167: #endif
                   10168: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10169:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10170: #endif
                   10171: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10172:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10173: #endif
                   10174: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10175:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10176: #endif
                   10177: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10178:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10179: #endif
                   10180: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10181:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10182: #endif
                   10183: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10184:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10185: #endif
1.191     brouard  10186:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10187:    
1.167     brouard  10188: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10189: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10190:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10191:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10192: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10193:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10194:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10195: #elif __linux__
                   10196:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10197:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10198: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10199:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10200:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10201: #endif
                   10202: 
                   10203: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10204: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10205: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10206: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10207: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10208: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10209: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10210: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10211: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10212: 
1.167     brouard  10213: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10214:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10215: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10216:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10217: #else
1.191     brouard  10218:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10219: #endif
                   10220: 
1.169     brouard  10221: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10222: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10223: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10224:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10225:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10226: # else
                   10227: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10228:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10229: # endif
1.174     brouard  10230:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10231:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10232: 
                   10233:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10234:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10235:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10236:    }
                   10237:    else
                   10238:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10239:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10240: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10241:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10242:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10243: #endif
1.169     brouard  10244: #endif
1.172     brouard  10245: 
                   10246:    //   void main()
                   10247:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10248: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10249:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10250:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10251:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10252:    }
                   10253:    else{
1.191     brouard  10254:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10255:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10256:    }
1.172     brouard  10257:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10258:    //     getchar();
                   10259:    //   }
                   10260: 
1.169     brouard  10261: #endif
                   10262:    
1.167     brouard  10263: 
1.219     brouard  10264: }
1.136     brouard  10265: 
1.219     brouard  10266: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  10267:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10268:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10269:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10270:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10271:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10272: 
1.202     brouard  10273:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10274:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10275:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10276:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10277:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10278:   }
1.227     brouard  10279:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10280:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10281:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  10282:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10283:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10284:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10285:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10286:   
1.219     brouard  10287:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10288: 
1.219     brouard  10289:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10290:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10291: 
1.227     brouard  10292:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10293:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10294:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10295: 
1.238     brouard  10296:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10297:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10298:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10299:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10300: 
1.238     brouard  10301:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10302:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10303:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10304:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10305:       /* to clean */
                   10306:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10307:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10308:       printf("#******");
                   10309:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10310:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10311:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10312:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10313:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10314:       }
                   10315:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10316:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10317:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10318:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10319:       }
                   10320:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10321:       printf("******\n");
                   10322:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10323:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10324:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10325:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10326:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10327:        continue;
                   10328:       }
1.219     brouard  10329: 
1.238     brouard  10330:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10331:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10332:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10333:       }
                   10334:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10335:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10336:     
1.238     brouard  10337:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10338:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10339:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10340:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10341:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10342:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10343:        tot=0.;
                   10344:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10345:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10346:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10347:        }
                   10348:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10349:       } /* Age */
                   10350:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10351:     } /* cptcov */
                   10352:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10353:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10354: }
                   10355: 
1.218     brouard  10356: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   10357:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   10358:        
                   10359:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10360:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10361:         */
1.235     brouard  10362:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10363:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10364:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10365:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10366:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10367:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10368: 
                   10369:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10370:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10371:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10372:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10373:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10374:   }
                   10375:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10376:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10377:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   10378:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   10379:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10380:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10381:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   10382:   
1.218     brouard  10383:   
                   10384:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   10385:   
                   10386:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10387:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   10388:   
                   10389:   
1.227     brouard  10390:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10391:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  10392:   
1.238     brouard  10393:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10394:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10395:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10396:        continue;
                   10397:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10398:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   10399:       printf("#******");
                   10400:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10401:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10402:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10403:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10404:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10405:       }
                   10406:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10407:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10408:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10409:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10410:       }
                   10411:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   10412:       printf("******\n");
                   10413:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10414:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10415:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10416:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10417:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10418:        continue;
                   10419:       }
1.218     brouard  10420:     
1.238     brouard  10421:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10422:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10423:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10424:       }
                   10425:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10426:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  10427:     
                   10428:     
1.238     brouard  10429:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10430:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10431:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   10432:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   10433:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10434:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10435:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   10436:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10437:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10438:          exit(1);
                   10439:        }else{
                   10440:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10441:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  10442:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   10443:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  10444:        }
                   10445:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   10446:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10447:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10448:        tot=0.;
                   10449:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10450:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   10451:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   10452:        }
                   10453:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10454:       } /* Age */
                   10455:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  10456:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  10457:     } /* end of any combination */
                   10458:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  10459:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   10460:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   10461:   
                   10462:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  10463: }
1.218     brouard  10464:  
1.180     brouard  10465: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   10466:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10467: 
                   10468:   int stepsize;
                   10469:   int agelim;
                   10470:   int hstepm;
                   10471:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  10472:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  10473: 
                   10474:   double agedeb;
                   10475:   double ***p3mat;
                   10476: 
1.201     brouard  10477:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  10478:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10479:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10480:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10481:     }
                   10482:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10483:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10484:   
                   10485:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10486:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   10487: 
                   10488:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   10489:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10490:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  10491:                
1.180     brouard  10492:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10493:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   10494:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  10495:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10496:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10497:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10498:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  10499:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   10500:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  10501:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  10502:        continue;
1.183     brouard  10503:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  10504:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  10505:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  10506:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10507:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10508:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10509:       }
1.183     brouard  10510:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   10511:       
                   10512:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   10513:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   10514:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   10515:        
                   10516:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  10517:        
1.183     brouard  10518:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10519:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  10520:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  10521:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   10522:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10523:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10524:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   10525:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10526:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10527:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10528:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  10529:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10530:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  10531:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  10532:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10533:        }
1.183     brouard  10534:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10535:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10536:       }
1.180     brouard  10537:       /*}*/
                   10538:     }
1.218     brouard  10539:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  10540: }
1.218     brouard  10541:  
                   10542:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  10543:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10544: 
                   10545:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  10546:   /* int agelim; */
                   10547:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  10548:   int hstepm;
                   10549:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  10550:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  10551:        
1.217     brouard  10552:   double agedeb;
                   10553:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10554:        
                   10555:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   10556:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10557:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10558:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10559:   }
                   10560:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10561:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10562:   
                   10563:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10564:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  10565:   
1.218     brouard  10566:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   10567:   ageminl=30;
                   10568:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10569:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   10570:   
                   10571:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10572:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  10573:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  10574:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10575:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10576:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10577:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  10578:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10579:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10580:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10581:        continue;
                   10582:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   10583:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10584:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10585:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10586:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10587:       }
                   10588:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  10589:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  10590:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10591:        continue;
                   10592:       }
                   10593:       
                   10594:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   10595:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   10596:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   10597:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   10598:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   10599:        
                   10600:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   10601:        
1.266     brouard  10602:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   10603:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   10604: 
1.238     brouard  10605:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   10606:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.267     brouard  10607:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10608:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  10609:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  10610:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10611:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  10612:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  10613:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  10614:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10615:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10616:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   10617:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   10618:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10619:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10620:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   10621:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10622:        }
                   10623:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10624:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10625:       } /* end age deb */
                   10626:     } /* end combination */
                   10627:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  10628:   return 0;
                   10629:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  10630: 
1.180     brouard  10631: 
1.136     brouard  10632: /***********************************************/
                   10633: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   10634: /***********************************************/
                   10635: 
                   10636: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   10637: {
                   10638: #ifdef GSL
                   10639:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   10640:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   10641:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   10642:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   10643:   double ssval;
                   10644: #endif
                   10645:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  10646:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  10647:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  10648:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  10649:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  10650:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  10651:   int itimes;
                   10652:   int NDIM=2;
                   10653:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  10654:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  10655:   int endishere=0;
1.277     brouard  10656:   int noffset=0;
1.274     brouard  10657:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   10658:   
1.164     brouard  10659:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  10660:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   10661:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   10662:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  10663:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  10664: 
                   10665:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  10666:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  10667: 
1.165     brouard  10668:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  10669:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  10670:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10671:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  10672: 
                   10673:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  10674:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   10675: 
1.234     brouard  10676:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  10677:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   10678:   
1.136     brouard  10679:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  10680:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  10681:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  10682:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  10683:   int jl=0;
                   10684:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  10685:   int count=0;
                   10686: 
1.164     brouard  10687:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  10688:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  10689:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  10690:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  10691:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  10692:   int agemortsup;
                   10693:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   10694:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   10695:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   10696: 
1.191     brouard  10697:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  10698:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   10699:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  10700:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  10701:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
1.251     brouard  10702:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   10703:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  10704:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  10705:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  10706:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   10707:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   10708:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   10709:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  10710: 
1.136     brouard  10711:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  10712: 
1.273     brouard  10713:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
                   10714:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
                   10715:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
1.217     brouard  10716: 
1.136     brouard  10717:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  10718:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  10719:   int *dcwave;
                   10720: 
1.164     brouard  10721:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  10722: 
                   10723:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   10724:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  10725: 
1.164     brouard  10726: 
1.126     brouard  10727: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   10728: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   10729: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   10730: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   10731: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   10732: 
                   10733:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  10734:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   10735:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   10736:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  10737:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  10738:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   10739:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   10740:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  10741: 
                   10742: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  10743: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   10744: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  10745: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   10746: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   10747: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  10748: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  10749: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   10750: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   10751: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   10752: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   10753: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   10754: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   10755: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   10756: */
                   10757: 
                   10758:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   10759:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  10760: #ifdef WIN32
                   10761:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   10762: #else
1.126     brouard  10763:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  10764: #endif
1.191     brouard  10765:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  10766:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10767:   if(argc <=1){
                   10768:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  10769:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   10770:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10771:       goto end;
                   10772:     }
1.126     brouard  10773:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10774:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   10775:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  10776:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  10777:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  10778:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  10779:     }
                   10780:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10781:     if( i==0 ){
                   10782:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10783:       goto end;
                   10784:     }
                   10785:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  10786:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   10787:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   10788:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   10789:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   10790:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   10791:     }
                   10792:   }
                   10793:   else{
                   10794:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   10795:   }
                   10796:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   10797:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   10798:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   10799:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   10800: 
                   10801:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   10802:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   10803:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10804:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10805:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   10806:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   10807:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10808:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10809: #ifdef WIN32
                   10810:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   10811:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10812: #else
1.126     brouard  10813:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  10814:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10815: #endif
                   10816:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  10817:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   10818:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   10819:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  10820:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  10821:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   10822:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   10823: /*     exit(1); */
                   10824:   }
                   10825: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   10826: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   10827: /*   } */
                   10828: 
                   10829:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   10830: 
1.186     brouard  10831:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  10832:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   10833:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   10834:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10835:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   10836:     goto end;
                   10837:   }
                   10838:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  10839:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10840:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   10841:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   10842:  path=%s \n\
                   10843:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   10844:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  10845:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  10846: 
1.197     brouard  10847:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  10848: 
1.126     brouard  10849:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   10850:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   10851:   fflush(ficlog);
                   10852: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  10853: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  10854: 
                   10855:   /* */
                   10856:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   10857:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  10858:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  10859:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  10860:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  10861: 
1.186     brouard  10862:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  10863: 
                   10864:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  10865:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   10866:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  10867:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  10868:     /* goto end; */
                   10869:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  10870:   }
                   10871: 
                   10872: 
                   10873: 
                   10874:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  10875:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10876:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   10877:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10878:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10879:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10880:     goto end;
                   10881:   }
1.278     brouard  10882:       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   10883:   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   10884:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
                   10885:   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   10886:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   10887:   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10888:     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10889:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10890:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10891:     goto end;
                   10892:   }
                   10893:   fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
1.126     brouard  10894: 
1.278     brouard  10895:                                      
1.126     brouard  10896:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10897:   numlinepar=0;
1.277     brouard  10898:   /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   10899:   /* First parameter line */
1.197     brouard  10900:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.277     brouard  10901:     noffset=0;
                   10902:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   10903:     {
                   10904:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   10905:       printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
                   10906:     }
                   10907:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
                   10908:     {
                   10909:       noffset=noffset+2;
                   10910:       printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10911:     }
                   10912:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   10913:     {
                   10914:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   10915:        noffset=noffset+4;
                   10916:        printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10917:       }
                   10918:     } else{
                   10919:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   10920:     }
                   10921:   
1.197     brouard  10922:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.277     brouard  10923:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
1.197     brouard  10924:       numlinepar++;
                   10925:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10926:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10927:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10928:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10929:       continue;
                   10930:     }else
                   10931:       break;
                   10932:   }
                   10933:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   10934:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   10935:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   10936:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   10937:     }
1.126     brouard  10938:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  10939:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   10940:   }
                   10941:   /* Second parameter line */
                   10942:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10943:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10944:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10945:       numlinepar++;
                   10946:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10947:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10948:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10949:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10950:       continue;
                   10951:     }else
                   10952:       break;
                   10953:   }
1.223     brouard  10954:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   10955:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   10956:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   10957:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  10958:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  10959:     }
1.223     brouard  10960:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  10961:   }
1.203     brouard  10962:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  10963:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  10964:   /* Third parameter line */
                   10965:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10966:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10967:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10968:       numlinepar++;
                   10969:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10970:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10971:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10972:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10973:       continue;
                   10974:     }else
                   10975:       break;
                   10976:   }
1.201     brouard  10977:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.279     brouard  10978:     if (num_filled != 1){
                   10979:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   10980:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
1.197     brouard  10981:       model[0]='\0';
                   10982:       goto end;
                   10983:     }
                   10984:     else{
                   10985:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   10986:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   10987:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  10988:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  10989:       }
                   10990:     }
1.199     brouard  10991:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  10992:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  10993:   }
                   10994:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   10995:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   10996:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  10997:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   10998:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  10999:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  11000:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   11001:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.279     brouard  11002:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
                   11003:  'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
                   11004:  'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");           \
1.187     brouard  11005:     if(mle != -1){
1.279     brouard  11006:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
1.187     brouard  11007:       exit(1);
                   11008:     }
                   11009:   }
1.126     brouard  11010:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11011:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11012:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11013:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  11014:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   11015:       z[0]=line[1];
                   11016:     }
                   11017:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  11018:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   11019:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  11020:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11021:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11022:   }
                   11023:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11024: 
                   11025:    
1.145     brouard  11026:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.268     brouard  11027:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   11028:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   11029:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  11030:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   11031:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   11032:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   11033:   */
                   11034:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  11035:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  11036:   else
1.187     brouard  11037:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  11038:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   11039:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  11040:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   11041:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11042:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11043:     fflush(stdout);
                   11044:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11045:     goto end;
                   11046:   }
1.126     brouard  11047:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11048:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   11049:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   11050:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  11051: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   11052:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   11053:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11054:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11055:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11056:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  11057:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  11058:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11059:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11060:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11061:     fclose (ficparo);
                   11062:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11063:     goto end;
                   11064:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  11065:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  11066:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  11067:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11068:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11069:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11070:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11071:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  11072:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  11073:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  11074:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11075:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11076:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11077:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11078:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11079:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11080:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11081:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11082:     }
                   11083:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11084:     
                   11085:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11086:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11087:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11088:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11089:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11090:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11091:        j++;
                   11092:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11093:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11094:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11095: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11096: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11097:          exit(1);
                   11098:        }
                   11099:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11100:        if(mle==1)
                   11101:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11102:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11103:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11104:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11105:          if(mle==1){
                   11106:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11107:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11108:          }
                   11109:          else
                   11110:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11111:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11112:        }
                   11113:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11114:        numlinepar++;
                   11115:        if(mle==1)
                   11116:          printf("\n");
                   11117:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11118:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11119:       }
                   11120:     }  
                   11121:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11122:     
1.251     brouard  11123:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11124:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11125:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11126:     
                   11127:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11128:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11129:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11130:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11131:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11132:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11133:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11134:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11135:     }
                   11136:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11137: 
                   11138:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11139:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11140:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11141:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11142:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11143:          exit(1);
                   11144:        }
                   11145:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11146:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11147:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11148:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11149:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11150:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11151:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11152:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11153:        }
                   11154:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11155:        numlinepar++;
                   11156:        printf("\n");
                   11157:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11158:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11159:       }
                   11160:     }
                   11161:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11162:     
1.145     brouard  11163:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11164:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11165:                
                   11166:                
1.126     brouard  11167:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11168:                
1.126     brouard  11169:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11170:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11171:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11172:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11173:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11174:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11175:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11176:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11177:     }
                   11178:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11179:                
1.126     brouard  11180:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11181:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11182:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11183:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11184:                
1.194     brouard  11185:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11186:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11187:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11188:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11189:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11190: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11191: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11192:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11193: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11194: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11195:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11196:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11197:        if(mle==1)
                   11198:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11199:       }
                   11200:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11201:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11202:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11203:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11204:        if(mle==1){
                   11205:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11206:        }
                   11207:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11208:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11209:       }
                   11210:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11211:       numlinepar++;
                   11212:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11213:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11214:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11215:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11216:     }
1.194     brouard  11217:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11218:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11219:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11220:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11221:     
                   11222:     if(mle==1)
                   11223:       printf("\n");
                   11224:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11225:     
                   11226:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11227:     
                   11228:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11229:   
1.186     brouard  11230:   /*  Main data
                   11231:    */
1.126     brouard  11232:   n= lastobs;
                   11233:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   11234:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   11235:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   11236:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   11237:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11238:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  11239:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   11240:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11241:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  11242:     num[i]=0;
                   11243:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11244:     annais[i]=0;
                   11245:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11246:     andc[i]=0;
                   11247:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11248:     cod[i]=0;
                   11249:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11250:   }
1.126     brouard  11251:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11252:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  11253:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  11254:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11255:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11256:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11257: 
1.136     brouard  11258:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11259:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11260:     goto end;
                   11261: 
                   11262:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11263:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11264:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11265:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11266:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11267:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11268:   */
                   11269:   
                   11270:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11271:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11272:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11273:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11274:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11275:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11276:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11277:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11278:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11279:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11280:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11281:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11282:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11283:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11284:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11285:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11286:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11287:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11288:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11289: 
1.230     brouard  11290:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11291:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11292:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11293:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11294:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11295:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11296:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11297:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11298:   */
                   11299:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11300:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11301:     ncovcol + k1
                   11302:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11303:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11304:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11305:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11306:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11307:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11308:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11309:   */
1.145     brouard  11310:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11311:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11312:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11313:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11314:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11315:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11316:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11317:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11318:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11319:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   11320:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11321:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  11322:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   11323:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   11324:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   11325:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   11326:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  11327:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   11328:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11329:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   11330:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  11331: /* Main decodemodel */
                   11332: 
1.187     brouard  11333: 
1.223     brouard  11334:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  11335:     goto end;
                   11336: 
1.137     brouard  11337:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   11338:     nbwarn++;
                   11339:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11340:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11341:   }
1.136     brouard  11342:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  11343:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   11344:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  11345:   }
                   11346: 
                   11347:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   11348:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11349: 
                   11350:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   11351:     goto end;
                   11352: 
1.126     brouard  11353: 
1.136     brouard  11354:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   11355:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   11356:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  11357:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11358:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  11359:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   11360:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  11361:   /* */
                   11362:   
1.126     brouard  11363:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  11364:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11365:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11366:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11367:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   11368:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11369:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  11370:    
                   11371:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  11372:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   11373:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   11374:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   11375:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   11376:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   11377:   */
                   11378: 
1.126     brouard  11379:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  11380:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  11381:  
1.215     brouard  11382:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   11383:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   11384: 
1.126     brouard  11385:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   11386:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   11387:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  11388:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  11389:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  11390:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   11391:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  11392:   }
                   11393:   
                   11394:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11395:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   11396:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   11397:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   11398:   
1.211     brouard  11399:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  11400:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  11401:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  11402:   
1.200     brouard  11403:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  11404:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  11405:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  11406:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   11407:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   11408:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   11409:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   11410:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   11411:    */
                   11412: 
1.145     brouard  11413:   h=0;
                   11414:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  11415:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11416:  
1.144     brouard  11417:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  11418:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   11419:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   11420:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  11421:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  11422:           *______________________________  
                   11423:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   11424:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   11425:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   11426:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   11427:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   11428:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   11429:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   11430:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  11431:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   11432:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   11433:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   11434:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   11435:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   11436:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   11437:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   11438:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  11439:           */
1.212     brouard  11440:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  11441:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   11442:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   11443:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   11444:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   11445:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   11446:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   11447:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   11448:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   11449:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   11450:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   11451:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   11452:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   11453:      *              76543210     
                   11454:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  11455:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  11456:      *           &
                   11457:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  11458:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   11459:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  11460:      *
                   11461:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   11462:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11463:      *    >>k'            11
                   11464:      *          &   00000001
                   11465:      *            = 00000001
                   11466:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   11467:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   11468:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   11469:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   11470:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   11471:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   11472:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   11473:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11474:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   11475:      *          &1 000000001
                   11476:      *           = 000000001
                   11477:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   11478:      *                  2211
                   11479:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   11480:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  11481:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  11482:      */
                   11483: 
1.145     brouard  11484: 
                   11485:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11486: 
                   11487: 
1.126     brouard  11488:     
1.186     brouard  11489:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  11490:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   11491:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11492:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11493:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   11494: 
                   11495:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11496:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   11497:   }
                   11498:   else{
1.204     brouard  11499:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  11500:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  11501:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   11502:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  11503:   }
                   11504:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  11505: 
                   11506: 
                   11507:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  11508: 
                   11509:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   11510:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11511:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11512:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   11513:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  11514:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   11515:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11516:   }
                   11517: 
                   11518:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   11519:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   11520:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11521:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   11522:   }
                   11523:   else{
                   11524:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   11525: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11526: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  11527:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   11528:   }
                   11529: 
1.213     brouard  11530:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  11531: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   11532: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  11533: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11534: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11535: \n\
                   11536: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   11537:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   11538:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   11539:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   11540:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11541:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11542:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   11543:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   11544:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   11545:          fileres,fileres,\
                   11546:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   11547:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11548: 
                   11549:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   11550:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11551: #ifdef WIN32
                   11552:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   11553: #else
1.126     brouard  11554:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  11555: #endif
                   11556:          
1.126     brouard  11557:   
1.220     brouard  11558:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   11559:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  11560:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  11561:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  11562:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  11563: 
                   11564:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.274     brouard  11565:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
                   11566:          ftol, stepm);
                   11567:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   11568:   ncurrv=1;
                   11569:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11570:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   11571:   ncurrv=i;
                   11572:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11573:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
                   11574:   ncurrv=i;
                   11575:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11576:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
                   11577:   ncurrv=i;
                   11578:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11579:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   11580:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   11581: 
                   11582:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   11583: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   11584: 
                   11585:   
                   11586:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11587: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   11588: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  11589:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  11590:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  11591:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11592:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11593:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11594:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  11595: 
1.126     brouard  11596:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   11597:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   11598:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   11599: 
                   11600:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  11601:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  11602:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  11603:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  11604:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   11605:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   11606:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  11607:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  11608:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   11609:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   11610:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   11611:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  11612:                
1.126     brouard  11613:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   11614:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   11615:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  11616:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   11617:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   11618:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   11619:          break;
                   11620:        }
1.126     brouard  11621:     }
1.226     brouard  11622:     
1.126     brouard  11623:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   11624:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  11625:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   11626:        j=wav[i];
                   11627:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   11628:        
                   11629:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   11630:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   11631:          cens[i]= 1;
                   11632:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   11633:          cens[i]= -1;
                   11634:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   11635:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  11636:       }
                   11637:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   11638:     }
                   11639:     
                   11640:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   11641:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  11642:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  11643:     }
                   11644:     
1.145     brouard  11645:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  11646:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   11647:     
                   11648:     
1.136     brouard  11649: #ifdef GSL
                   11650:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  11651: #else
1.126     brouard  11652:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  11653: #endif
1.201     brouard  11654:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   11655:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11656:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11657:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11658:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11659:     }
1.136     brouard  11660: #ifdef GSL
                   11661:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  11662: #else
1.126     brouard  11663:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  11664: #endif
1.126     brouard  11665:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11666:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11667:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11668:     */
                   11669:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  11670: #ifdef GSL
                   11671:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   11672:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   11673:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   11674:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   11675:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   11676: 
                   11677:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   11678:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11679:     
                   11680:     if (ss == NULL){
                   11681:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11682:     }
                   11683:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   11684:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   11685: 
                   11686:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  11687:     
1.136     brouard  11688:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11689:     
                   11690:     if (x == NULL){
                   11691:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   11692:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11693:     }
                   11694:   
                   11695:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   11696:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  11697:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   11698:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  11699:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   11700:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   11701: 
                   11702:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   11703:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   11704:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   11705:     
                   11706:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   11707:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   11708:     
                   11709:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   11710:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   11711: 
                   11712:     iteri=0;
                   11713:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   11714:       iteri++;
                   11715:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   11716:       
                   11717:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   11718:       fflush(0);
                   11719:       
                   11720:       if (status) 
                   11721:         break;
                   11722:       
                   11723:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   11724:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   11725:       
                   11726:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   11727:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   11728:       
                   11729:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   11730:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   11731:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   11732:       }
                   11733:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   11734:     }
                   11735:     
                   11736:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   11737:     
                   11738:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   11739:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   11740:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   11741:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   11742:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   11743:     }
                   11744:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   11745: #endif
                   11746: #ifdef POWELL
                   11747:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   11748: #endif  
1.126     brouard  11749:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   11750:     
1.203     brouard  11751:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  11752: 
                   11753:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   11754:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  11755:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11756:     
                   11757:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  11758:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  11759:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   11760:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  11761:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   11762:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11763:       }
1.203     brouard  11764:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  11765:     }
                   11766:     
                   11767:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  11768:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  11769:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  11770:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   11771:     }
1.126     brouard  11772:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11773:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11774:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11775:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   11776:     
                   11777:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   11778:       agemortsup=k;
                   11779:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   11780:     }
                   11781:     
                   11782:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   11783:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   11784:     
                   11785:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   11786:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   11787:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   11788:     }
                   11789:     
                   11790:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   11791:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   11792:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   11793:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   11794:     }
                   11795:     
                   11796:     
                   11797:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   11798:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   11799:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   11800:     
                   11801:     
                   11802:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  11803:                ageminpar=50;
                   11804:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  11805:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   11806:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11807: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11808: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11809:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11810: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11811: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11812:     }else{
                   11813:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11814:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  11815:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11816:                }
1.201     brouard  11817:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  11818:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   11819:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   11820:     
                   11821:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   11822:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   11823:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  11824:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  11825:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   11826:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   11827:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  11828: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  11829: #endif
1.186     brouard  11830:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  11831:   /* Standard  */
                   11832:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   11833:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11834:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  11835:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  11836:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11837:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11838:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11839:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  11840:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   11841:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  11842:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11843:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11844:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11845:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  11846:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   11847:     }
                   11848:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   11849:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11850:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   11851:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11852:     }
                   11853:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  11854:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11855:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11856:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11857:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11858:     printf("\n");
                   11859:     
                   11860:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  11861:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11862:     
                   11863:     
                   11864:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11865:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11866:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11867:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11868:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  11869:        if (k != i) {
                   11870:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11871:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11872:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   11873:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11874:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11875:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11876:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11877:            jk++; 
                   11878:          }
                   11879:          printf("\n");
                   11880:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11881:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11882:        }
1.126     brouard  11883:       }
                   11884:     }
1.203     brouard  11885:     if(mle != 0){
                   11886:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  11887:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  11888:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   11889:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11890:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11891:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11892:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   11893:          if (k != i) {
                   11894:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11895:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11896:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11897:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11898:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11899:              jk++; 
                   11900:            }
                   11901:            printf("\n");
                   11902:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11903:          }
                   11904:        }
1.193     brouard  11905:       }
1.203     brouard  11906:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  11907:     
1.203     brouard  11908:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  11909:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11910:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11911:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11912:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11913:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  11914:        if (j!=i) {
                   11915:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11916:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11917:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11918:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11919:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11920:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11921:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11922:            jk++;
                   11923:          }
                   11924:          printf("\n");
                   11925:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11926:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11927:        }
1.126     brouard  11928:       }
                   11929:     }
                   11930:     
                   11931:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  11932:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  11933:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11934:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11935:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   11936:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   11937:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   11938:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   11939:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   11940:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   11941:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   11942:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   11943:     
                   11944:     
                   11945:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   11946:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   11947:     */
                   11948:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   11949:       jj=0;
                   11950:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11951:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   11952:          if(j==i) continue;
                   11953:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11954:            jj++;
                   11955:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   11956:            if(itimes==1){
                   11957:              if(mle>=1)
                   11958:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11959:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11960:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11961:            }else{
                   11962:              if(mle>=1)
                   11963:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11964:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11965:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11966:            }
                   11967:            ll=0;
                   11968:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   11969:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   11970:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   11971:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   11972:                  ll++;
                   11973:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   11974:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   11975:                    if(ll<jj){
                   11976:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11977:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11978:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11979:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11980:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11981:                      }else{
                   11982:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11983:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11984:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11985:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11986:                      }
                   11987:                    }else{
                   11988:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11989:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11990:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11991:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11992:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11993:                      }else{
                   11994:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11995:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11996:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11997:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11998:                      }
                   11999:                    }
                   12000:                  }
                   12001:                } /* end lk */
                   12002:              } /* end lj */
                   12003:            } /* end li */
                   12004:            if(mle>=1)
                   12005:              printf("\n");
                   12006:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12007:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12008:            numlinepar++;
                   12009:          } /* end k*/
                   12010:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  12011:       } /* end i */
                   12012:     } /* end itimes */
                   12013:     
                   12014:     fflush(ficlog);
                   12015:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  12016:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12017:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12018:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12019:        numlinepar++;
                   12020:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12021:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12022:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12023:        continue;
                   12024:       }else
                   12025:        break;
                   12026:     }
                   12027:     
1.209     brouard  12028:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   12029:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   12030:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   12031:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   12032:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   12033:     /* } */
                   12034:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  12035:     
                   12036:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  12037:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  12038:       
                   12039:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   12040:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12041:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12042:        goto end;
                   12043:       }
                   12044:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12045:     }
                   12046:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   12047:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   12048:     
1.209     brouard  12049:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  12050:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   12051:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   12052:       bage = ageminpar;
                   12053:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   12054:     }
                   12055:     
                   12056:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  12057:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12058:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  12059:                
1.186     brouard  12060:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  12061:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12062:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12063:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12064:        numlinepar++;
                   12065:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12066:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12067:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12068:        continue;
                   12069:       }else
                   12070:        break;
                   12071:     }
                   12072: 
                   12073:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12074:       
                   12075:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12076:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12077:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12078:        goto end;
                   12079:       }
                   12080:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12081:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12082:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12083:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12084:     }
1.254     brouard  12085: 
                   12086:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12087:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12088:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12089:        numlinepar++;
                   12090:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12091:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12092:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12093:        continue;
                   12094:       }else
                   12095:        break;
1.126     brouard  12096:     }
                   12097:     
                   12098:     
                   12099:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12100:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12101:     
1.254     brouard  12102:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12103:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12104:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12105:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12106:        goto end;
                   12107:       }
                   12108:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12109:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12110:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12111:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12112:     }
                   12113:      
1.258     brouard  12114:     /* Results */
                   12115:     nresult=0;
                   12116:     do{
                   12117:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12118:        endishere=1;
                   12119:        parameterline=14;
                   12120:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12121:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12122:        numlinepar++;
                   12123:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12124:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12125:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12126:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12127:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12128:        parameterline=11;
                   12129:       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12130:        parameterline=12;
                   12131:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12132:        parameterline=13;
                   12133:       else{
                   12134:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12135:       }
1.258     brouard  12136:       switch (parameterline){ 
                   12137:       case 11:
                   12138:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12139:          if (num_filled != 8) {
                   12140:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12141:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12142:            goto end;
                   12143:          }
                   12144:          fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12145:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12146:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12147:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12148:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12149:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12150:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
                   12151: 
1.258     brouard  12152:        }
1.254     brouard  12153:        break;
1.258     brouard  12154:       case 12:
                   12155:        /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/
                   12156:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12157:          if (num_filled != 8) {
1.262     brouard  12158:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12159:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
1.258     brouard  12160:            goto end;
                   12161:          }
                   12162:          printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12163:          fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12164:          fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12165:          fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12166:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12167:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12168:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.258     brouard  12169:        }
1.230     brouard  12170:        break;
1.258     brouard  12171:       case 13:
                   12172:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
                   12173:          if (num_filled == 0){
                   12174:            resultline[0]='\0';
                   12175:            printf("Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12176:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12177:            break;
                   12178:          } else if (num_filled != 1){
                   12179:            printf("ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12180:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12181:          }
                   12182:          nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12183:          printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   12184:          if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   12185:            printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12186:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12187:            goto end;
                   12188:          }
                   12189:          decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
                   12190:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12191:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12192:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  12193:          break;
1.258     brouard  12194:        case 14: 
1.259     brouard  12195:          if(ncovmodel >2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12196:            printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12197:            goto end;
                   12198:          }
1.259     brouard  12199:          break;
1.258     brouard  12200:        default:
                   12201:          nresult=1;
                   12202:          decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
                   12203:        }
                   12204:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12205:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12206:     
1.230     brouard  12207:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12208:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12209:     
                   12210:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12211:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12212:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12213: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12214: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  12215:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12216: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12217: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12218:     }else{
1.270     brouard  12219:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
                   12220:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
1.220     brouard  12221:     }
                   12222:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.258     brouard  12223:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
1.273     brouard  12224:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
1.220     brouard  12225:                
1.225     brouard  12226:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   12227:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  12228:                
1.215     brouard  12229:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   12230:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12231:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12232:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  12233:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   12234:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   12235:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12236:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12237:     fclose(ficparo);
                   12238:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  12239:                
                   12240:                
1.186     brouard  12241:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  12242:                
                   12243:                
1.126     brouard  12244:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  12245:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   12246:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  12247:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  12248:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   12249: 
                   12250:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  12251:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   12252:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  12253:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  12254:     
1.220     brouard  12255:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  12256:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  12257:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  12258:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  12259:     
1.269     brouard  12260:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   12261:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12262:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  12263:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  12264:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12265:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  12266:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   12267:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  12268:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  12269:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12270:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  12271:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  12272:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12273:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  12274:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   12275:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  12276:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12277:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12278:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   12279:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12280:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12281:        }
1.269     brouard  12282:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  12283:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12284:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12285:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   12286:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12287:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12288:        }
1.269     brouard  12289:       }else{
                   12290:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   12291:        fflush(stdout);
                   12292:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  12293:       }
                   12294:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  12295:     
1.126     brouard  12296:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   12297:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   12298:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.269     brouard  12299:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  12300:     }
1.269     brouard  12301: 
                   12302:     /* Backcasting */
1.217     brouard  12303:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  12304:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12305:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12306:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12307: 
                   12308:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   12309: 
                   12310:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  12311: 
1.219     brouard  12312:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   12313:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   12314: 
1.222     brouard  12315:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   12316:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  12317: 
1.269     brouard  12318:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   12319:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
                   12320:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12321: 
                   12322:       
1.269     brouard  12323:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  12324:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12325:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12326:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.269     brouard  12327:     }    /* end  Backcasting */
1.268     brouard  12328:  
1.186     brouard  12329:  
                   12330:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  12331: 
1.215     brouard  12332:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   12333:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12334:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12335:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  12336:                
                   12337:                
1.127     brouard  12338:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12339:                
1.201     brouard  12340:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   12341:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12342:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12343:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12344:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12345:     }
1.208     brouard  12346:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   12347:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  12348: 
                   12349:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  12350:                
1.235     brouard  12351:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12352:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12353:     
                   12354:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12355:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12356:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12357:        continue;
1.219     brouard  12358:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  12359:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12360:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12361:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12362:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12363:       }
                   12364:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12365:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12366:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  12367:       }
                   12368:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  12369:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  12370:       
                   12371:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12372:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12373:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  12374:       
1.219     brouard  12375:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  12376:     }
                   12377:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  12378:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12379:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  12380: 
1.218     brouard  12381:                
1.227     brouard  12382:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12383:                
1.201     brouard  12384:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   12385:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  12386:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12387:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12388:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12389:     }
1.208     brouard  12390:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   12391:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  12392:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   12393:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12394:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12395:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   12396:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12397:     }
1.227     brouard  12398:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   12399:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  12400: 
1.201     brouard  12401:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   12402:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12403:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12404:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   12405:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12406:     }
1.227     brouard  12407:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   12408:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  12409: 
1.201     brouard  12410:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   12411:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12412:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12413:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12414:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12415:     }
1.227     brouard  12416:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   12417:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  12418: 
1.235     brouard  12419:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12420:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12421:     
                   12422:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12423:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12424:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12425:        continue;
1.242     brouard  12426:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   12427:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   12428:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  12429:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   12430:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12431:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12432:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12433:       }
1.235     brouard  12434:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12435:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12436:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12437:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12438:       }        
1.208     brouard  12439:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  12440:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   12441:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  12442:       
                   12443:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   12444:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12445:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12446:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12447:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  12448:       }
1.235     brouard  12449:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12450:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12451:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12452:       }        
1.208     brouard  12453:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   12454:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   12455:       
                   12456:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  12457:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  12458:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  12459:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12460:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12461:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12462:       }        
1.208     brouard  12463:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   12464:       
                   12465:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12466:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12467:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   12468:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   12469:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  12470:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   12471:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   12472:       
                   12473:       /*
                   12474:        */
                   12475:       /* goto endfree; */
                   12476:       
                   12477:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12478:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   12479:       
1.269     brouard  12480:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12481:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  12482:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   12483:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   12484:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   12485:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  12486:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  12487:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   12488:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   12489:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   12490:        else
                   12491:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12492:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   12493:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   12494:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12495:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   12496:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12497:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12498:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  12499:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  12500:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   12501:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   12502:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12503:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   12504:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   12505:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12506:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   12507:            }
                   12508:          }
1.219     brouard  12509:          
1.227     brouard  12510:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   12511:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   12512:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   12513:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12514:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   12515:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12516:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   12517:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   12518:            }
                   12519:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   12520:          }
                   12521:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  12522:          
1.227     brouard  12523:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   12524:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   12525:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12526:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   12527:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12528:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   12529:          }
                   12530:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12531:        }
1.208     brouard  12532:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  12533:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12534:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   12535:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  12536:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12537:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  12538:       
1.235     brouard  12539:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  12540: 
                   12541:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12542:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   12543: 
1.269     brouard  12544:     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
                   12545:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12546: 
1.227     brouard  12547:     
                   12548:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   12549:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   12550:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   12551:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   12552:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12553:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   12554:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12555:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   12556:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   12557:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   12558:     fclose(ficrest);
                   12559:     fclose(ficpar);
                   12560:     
                   12561:     
1.126     brouard  12562:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  12563:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  12564:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   12565:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  12566:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   12567:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  12568:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  12569:   /* endfree:*/
                   12570:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12571:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12572:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.268     brouard  12573:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
                   12574:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
                   12575:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  12576:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   12577:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12578:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12579:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   12580:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   12581:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  12582:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  12583:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   12584:   
                   12585:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12586:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12587:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12588:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  12589:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12590:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12591:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12592:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  12593:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12594:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12595:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12596:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12597:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12598:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  12599:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12600:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12601:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12602:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12603:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12604:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12605:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12606:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12607:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12608:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12609:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12610:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  12611:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12612:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12613:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12614:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12615:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12616:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   12617:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12618:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  12619:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12620:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12621:   
                   12622:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   12623:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  12624:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12625:   fflush(ficgp);
                   12626:   
1.227     brouard  12627:   
1.126     brouard  12628:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  12629:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   12630:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  12631:   }else{
                   12632:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   12633:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   12634:   }
                   12635:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   12636:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  12637:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   12638:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   12639:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   12640:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   12641:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  12642:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   12643:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  12644:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  12645:   
1.157     brouard  12646:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   12647:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   12648:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  12649:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   12650: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   12651:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12652:   fclose(fichtm);
                   12653:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12654:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   12655:   fclose(ficgp);
                   12656:   fclose(ficlog);
                   12657:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  12658:   
                   12659:   
                   12660:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  12661: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  12662:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12663:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   12664:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12665: #else
1.227     brouard  12666:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12667:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   12668:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12669: #endif 
1.126     brouard  12670:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   12671:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   12672:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  12673: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  12674:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   12675: #endif
                   12676:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12677:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12678:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  12679:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12680:     }else
                   12681:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  12682: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  12683:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   12684:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12685:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12686:     }else
                   12687:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12688: #endif
                   12689:   }else
                   12690:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12691:   
                   12692:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  12693:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  12694:   
1.126     brouard  12695:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  12696:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  12697:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  12698:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  12699:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  12700:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  12701:   }
1.158     brouard  12702:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  12703:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   12704:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  12705:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  12706:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12707: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   12708:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  12709: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  12710:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  12711: #elif __linux
                   12712:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12713: #else
1.152     brouard  12714:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12715: #endif
                   12716:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   12717:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  12718:     }
                   12719:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   12720:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   12721:   }
1.227     brouard  12722: end:
1.126     brouard  12723:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  12724:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12725:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12726:   }
                   12727: }

FreeBSD-CVSweb <freebsd-cvsweb@FreeBSD.org>