Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.281

1.281   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.280 2018/02/21 07:58:13 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.281   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.280  2018/02/21 07:58:13  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: 0.99r15
        !             6: 
        !             7:   New Makefile with recent VirtualBox 5.26. Bug in sqrt negatve in imach.c
        !             8: 
1.280     brouard     9:   Revision 1.279  2017/07/20 13:35:01  brouard
                     10:   Summary: temporary working
                     11: 
1.279     brouard    12:   Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
                     13:   Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
                     14: 
1.278     brouard    15:   Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
                     16:   Summary: BOM files can be read now
                     17: 
1.277     brouard    18:   Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
                     19:   Summary: Graphs improvements
                     20: 
1.276     brouard    21:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
                     22:   Summary: Saito's color
                     23: 
1.275     brouard    24:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                     25:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                     26: 
1.274     brouard    27:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                     28:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                     29: 
1.273     brouard    30:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                     31:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                     32: 
1.272     brouard    33:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                     34:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                     35: 
1.271     brouard    36:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                     37:   *** empty log message ***
                     38: 
1.270     brouard    39:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                     40:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                     41: 
1.269     brouard    42:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                     43:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                     44: 
1.268     brouard    45:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                     46:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                     47: 
1.267     brouard    48:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                     49:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                     50: 
1.266     brouard    51:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                     52:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                     53: 
1.265     brouard    54:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                     55:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                     56: 
1.264     brouard    57:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                     58:   Summary: to save
                     59: 
1.263     brouard    60:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                     61:   *** empty log message ***
                     62: 
1.262     brouard    63:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                     64:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                     65: 
1.261     brouard    66:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                     67:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                     68: 
1.260     brouard    69:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                     70:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                     71: 
1.259     brouard    72:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                     73:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                     74: 
                     75:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                     76: 
1.258     brouard    77:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                     78:   Summary: Temp
                     79: 
1.257     brouard    80:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                     81:   Summary: Temporary
                     82: 
1.256     brouard    83:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                     84:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                     85: 
1.255     brouard    86:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                     87:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                     88: 
1.254     brouard    89:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                     90:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                     91: 
1.253     brouard    92:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                     93:   *** empty log message ***
                     94: 
1.252     brouard    95:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                     96:   Summary: not working
                     97: 
1.251     brouard    98:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                     99:   Summary: continue
                    100: 
1.250     brouard   101:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                    102:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                    103: 
1.249     brouard   104:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                    105:   *** empty log message ***
                    106: 
1.248     brouard   107:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                    108:   *** empty log message ***
                    109: 
1.247     brouard   110:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                    111:   *** empty log message ***
                    112: 
1.246     brouard   113:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                    114:   *** empty log message ***
                    115: 
1.245     brouard   116:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    117:   *** empty log message ***
                    118: 
1.244     brouard   119:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    120:   *** empty log message ***
                    121: 
1.243     brouard   122:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    123:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    124: 
1.242     brouard   125:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    126:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    127: 
1.241     brouard   128:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    129:   Summary: Better
                    130: 
1.240     brouard   131:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    132:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    133: 
                    134:   Author:
                    135: 
1.239     brouard   136:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    137:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    138: 
1.238     brouard   139:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    140:   Summary: to valgrind
                    141: 
1.237     brouard   142:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    143:   *** empty log message ***
                    144: 
1.236     brouard   145:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    146:   *** empty log message ***
                    147: 
1.235     brouard   148:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    149:   *** empty log message ***
                    150: 
1.234     brouard   151:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    152:   Summary: not working
                    153: 
1.233     brouard   154:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    155:   Summary: not working
                    156: 
1.232     brouard   157:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    158:   Summary: not working
                    159: 
1.231     brouard   160:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    161:   Summary: Not working
                    162: 
1.230     brouard   163:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    164:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    165: 
1.229     brouard   166:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    167:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    168: 
1.227     brouard   169:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    170:   Summary: temp
                    171: 
1.226     brouard   172:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    173:   Summary: saving but not running
                    174: 
1.225     brouard   175:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    176:   Summary: Fixes
                    177: 
1.224     brouard   178:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    179:   Summary: temporary
                    180: 
1.223     brouard   181:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    182:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    183: 
1.222     brouard   184:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    185:   Summary: minor bug
                    186: 
1.220     brouard   187:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    188:   *** empty log message ***
                    189: 
1.219     brouard   190:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    191:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    192: 
1.218     brouard   193:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    194:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    195: 
1.217     brouard   196:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    197:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    198: 
                    199:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    200:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    201:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    202:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    203: 
1.216     brouard   204:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    205:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    206: 
1.215     brouard   207:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    208:   Summary: temporary not working
                    209: 
1.214     brouard   210:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    211:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    212: 
1.213     brouard   213:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    214:   Summary: minor typo
                    215: 
1.212     brouard   216:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    217:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    218: 
                    219:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    220: 
1.211     brouard   221:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   222:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   223:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    224:   Author: N Brouard
                    225: 
                    226:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    227:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    228:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    229:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    230:   computation are long.
                    231: 
1.209     brouard   232:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    233:   Summary: temporary
                    234: 
1.208     brouard   235:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    236:   *** empty log message ***
                    237: 
1.207     brouard   238:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    239:   *** empty log message ***
                    240: 
1.206     brouard   241:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    242:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    243: 
1.205     brouard   244:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    245:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    246: 
1.204     brouard   247:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    248:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    249: 
                    250:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    251:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    252:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    253: 
1.203     brouard   254:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    255:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    256: 
1.202     brouard   257:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    258:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    259: 
                    260:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    261:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    262: 
1.201     brouard   263:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    264:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    265: 
                    266:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    267: 
1.200     brouard   268:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    269:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    270: 
1.199     brouard   271:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    272:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    273: 
1.198     brouard   274:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    275:   *** empty log message ***
                    276: 
1.197     brouard   277:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    278:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    279: 
1.196     brouard   280:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    281:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    282: 
                    283:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    284:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    285:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    286:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    287: 
1.195     brouard   288:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    289:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    290: 
1.194     brouard   291:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    292:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    293: 
1.193     brouard   294:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    295:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    296: 
1.192     brouard   297:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    298:   Summary: Some fixes
                    299: 
1.191     brouard   300:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    301:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    302: 
                    303:   Fix 1+age+.
                    304: 
1.190     brouard   305:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    306:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    307: 
1.189     brouard   308:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    309:   *** empty log message ***
                    310: 
1.188     brouard   311:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    312:   *** empty log message ***
                    313: 
1.187     brouard   314:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    315:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    316: 
                    317:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    318:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    319:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    320: 
1.186     brouard   321:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    322:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    323: 
1.185     brouard   324:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    325:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    326: 
1.184     brouard   327:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    328:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    329: 
                    330:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    331:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    332:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    333:   wrong results.
                    334: 
1.183     brouard   335:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    336:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    337:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    338: 
1.182     brouard   339:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    340:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    341: 
                    342:   Author:
                    343: 
1.181     brouard   344:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    345:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    346: 
1.180     brouard   347:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    348:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    349: 
1.179     brouard   350:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    351:   *** empty log message ***
                    352: 
1.178     brouard   353:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    354:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    355: 
1.177     brouard   356:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    357:   *** empty log message ***
                    358: 
1.176     brouard   359:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    360:   *** empty log message ***
                    361: 
1.175     brouard   362:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    363:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    364: 
1.174     brouard   365:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    366:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    367: 
1.173     brouard   368:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    369:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    370: 
1.172     brouard   371:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    372:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    373: 
                    374:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    375: 
1.171     brouard   376:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    377:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    378: 
                    379:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    380: 
1.170     brouard   381:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    382:   Summary: 0.98p
                    383: 
                    384:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    385: 
1.169     brouard   386:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   387:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   388: 
1.168     brouard   389:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    390:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    391: 
                    392:   Testing on Linux 64
                    393: 
1.167     brouard   394:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    395:   *** empty log message ***
                    396: 
1.166     brouard   397:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    398:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    399: 
                    400:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    401: 
1.165     brouard   402:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    403:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    404: 
                    405:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    406: 
1.164     brouard   407:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    408:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    409: 
1.163     brouard   410:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    411:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    412: 
1.162     brouard   413:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    414:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    415: 
                    416:   Author:
                    417: 
                    418:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    419:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    420: 
1.161     brouard   421:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    422:   *** empty log message ***
                    423: 
1.160     brouard   424:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    425:   Summary: WIN32
                    426:   Author: Brouard
                    427: 
1.159     brouard   428:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    429:   *** empty log message ***
                    430: 
1.158     brouard   431:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    432:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    433:   Author: Brouard
                    434: 
                    435:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    436:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    437:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    438:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    439:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    440: 
1.157     brouard   441:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    442:   *** empty log message ***
                    443: 
1.156     brouard   444:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    445:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    446:   Author: Brouard
                    447: 
1.155     brouard   448:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    449:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    450: 
1.154     brouard   451:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    452:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    453:   Author: Brouard
                    454: 
1.153     brouard   455:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    456:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    457: 
1.152     brouard   458:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    459:   *** empty log message ***
                    460: 
1.151     brouard   461:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    462:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    463:   Author: brouard
                    464: 
1.150     brouard   465:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    466:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    467:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    468: 
1.149     brouard   469:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    470:   Summary: Nothing new
                    471:   Author: Brouard
                    472: 
                    473:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    474: 
1.148     brouard   475:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    476:   *** empty log message ***
                    477: 
1.147     brouard   478:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    479:   Summary: Merge
                    480:   Author: Brouard
                    481: 
                    482:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    483: 
1.146     brouard   484:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    485:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    486:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    487: 
                    488:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    489:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    490:   improve the code.
                    491:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    492:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    493:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    494:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    495:   the source code.
                    496: 
1.144     brouard   497:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    498:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    499: 
                    500:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    501:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    502: 
1.143     brouard   503:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    504:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    505: 
                    506:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    507: 
1.142     brouard   508:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    509:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    510: 
1.141     brouard   511:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    512:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    513: 
1.140     brouard   514:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    515:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    516:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    517: 
1.139     brouard   518:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    519:   *** empty log message ***
                    520: 
1.138     brouard   521:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    522:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    523:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    524: 
1.137     brouard   525:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    526:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    527:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    528:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    529:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    530: 
1.136     brouard   531:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    532:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    533: 
1.135     brouard   534:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    535:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    536: 
1.134     brouard   537:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    538:   just nforces
                    539: 
1.133     brouard   540:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    541:   Many tings
                    542: 
1.132     brouard   543:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    544:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    545: 
1.131     brouard   546:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    547:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    548:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    549:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    550: 
1.130     brouard   551:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    552:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    553: 
1.129     lievre    554:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    555:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    556: 
1.128     brouard   557:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    558:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    559:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    560:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    561:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    562:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    563:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    564:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    565:   computation.
                    566:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    567:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    568: 
1.127     brouard   569:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    570:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    571:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    572:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    573:   Version 0.98h
                    574: 
1.126     brouard   575:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    576:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    577:   Forecasting file added.
                    578: 
                    579:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    580:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    581:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    582: 
                    583:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    584:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    585:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    586: 
                    587:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    588:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    589:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    590:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    591:   1.
                    592:   Version 0.98g
                    593: 
                    594:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    595:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    596:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    597:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    598:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    599:   1.
                    600:   Version 0.98g
                    601: 
                    602:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    603:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    604: 
                    605:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    606:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    607:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    608: 
                    609:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    610:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    611:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    612:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    613: 
                    614:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    615:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    616:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    617: 
                    618:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    619:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    620:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    621:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    622:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    623:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    624: 
                    625:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    626:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    627:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    628:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    629:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    630:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    631: 
                    632:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    633:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    634:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    635: 
                    636:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    637:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    638: 
                    639:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    640:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    641:   filename with strsep.
                    642: 
                    643:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    644:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    645:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    646:   allocation too.
                    647: 
                    648:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    649:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    650: 
                    651:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    652:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    653:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    654:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    655: 
                    656:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    657:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    658: 
                    659:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    660:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    661: 
                    662:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    663:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    664:   To be fixed
                    665: 
                    666:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    667:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    668: 
                    669:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    670:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    671: 
                    672:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    673:   *** empty log message ***
                    674: 
                    675:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    676:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    677:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    678:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    679:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    680:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    681:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    682:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    683: 
                    684:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    685:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    686: 
                    687:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    688:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    689: 
                    690:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    691:   Fix on curr_time
                    692: 
                    693:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    694:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    695: 
                    696:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    697:   *** empty log message ***
                    698: 
                    699:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    700:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    701:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    702:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    703:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    704:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    705:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    706:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    707: 
                    708:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    709: 
1.133     brouard   710:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   711:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    712: 
                    713:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    714:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    715: 
                    716:   Current limitations:
                    717:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    718:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    719:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    720: 
                    721:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    722:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    723:   suppressed.
                    724: 
                    725:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    726:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    727:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    728: 
                    729:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    730:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    731:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    732:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    733: 
                    734:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    735:   Just cleaning
                    736: 
                    737:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    738:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    739:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    740:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    741: 
                    742:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    743:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    744:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    745: 
                    746:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    747:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    748:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    749:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    750:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    751:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    752: 
                    753:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    754:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    755:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    756:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    757: 
                    758:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    759:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    760:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    761:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    762: 
                    763:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    764:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    765: 
                    766:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    767:   Version 0.96
                    768: 
                    769:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    770:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    771:   routine fileappend.
                    772: 
                    773:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    774:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    775:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    776:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    777:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    778:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    779:   interview.
                    780:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    781:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    782:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    783:   truncation)
                    784:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    785: 
                    786:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    787:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    788:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    789:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    790:   parcimony.
                    791:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    792: 
                    793:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    794:   *** empty log message ***
                    795: 
                    796:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    797:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    798: 
                    799: */
                    800: /*
                    801:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    802: 
                    803:   Short summary of the programme:
                    804:   
1.227     brouard   805:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    806:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    807:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    808: 
                    809:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    810:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    811:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    812: 
                    813:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    814:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    815:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    816:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    817:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    818:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    819:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    820:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    821:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    822:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    823:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    824:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    825:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   826:   convergence.
                    827: 
                    828:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    829:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    830:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    831:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    832:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    833: 
                    834:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    835:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    836:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    837:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    838:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    839:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    840:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    841:   hPijx.
                    842: 
                    843:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   844:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    845: 
                    846: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   847: 
                    848:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    849:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    850:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    851:    mobilavproj)
                    852: 
                    853:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    854:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    855:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    856: 
                    857:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    858:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    859: 
                    860:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   861:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    862:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    863:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   864: 
1.267     brouard   865:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard   866:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    867:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    868:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   869:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    870: 
                    871:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    872:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    873:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    874:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    875:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   876: 
                    877: Important routines
                    878: 
                    879: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    880:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    881:   o varying variables by:
                    882:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    883:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    884:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    885:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    886: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    887:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    888: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    889:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    890:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   891: 
1.226     brouard   892: 
                    893:   
1.133     brouard   894:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    895:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   896:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    897:   from the European Union.
                    898:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    899:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    900:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    901: 
                    902:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    903:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    904:   
                    905:   **********************************************************************/
                    906: /*
                    907:   main
                    908:   read parameterfile
                    909:   read datafile
                    910:   concatwav
                    911:   freqsummary
                    912:   if (mle >= 1)
                    913:     mlikeli
                    914:   print results files
                    915:   if mle==1 
                    916:      computes hessian
                    917:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    918:       begin-prev-date,...
                    919:   open gnuplot file
                    920:   open html file
1.145     brouard   921:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    922:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    923:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    924:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    925: 
                    926:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    927:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    928:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    929:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    930: 
                    931:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    932:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    933:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    934:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    935:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    936: 
1.126     brouard   937:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    938:   health expectancies
                    939:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    940:   prevalence()
                    941:    movingaverage()
                    942:   varevsij() 
                    943:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    944:   total life expectancies
                    945:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    946:  end
                    947: */
                    948: 
1.187     brouard   949: /* #define DEBUG */
                    950: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   951: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    952: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    953: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   954: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   955: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   956: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   957: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    958: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   959: 
                    960: #include <math.h>
                    961: #include <stdio.h>
                    962: #include <stdlib.h>
                    963: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   964: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   965: 
                    966: #ifdef _WIN32
                    967: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   968: #include <windows.h>
                    969: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   970: #else
1.126     brouard   971: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   972: #endif
1.126     brouard   973: 
                    974: #include <limits.h>
                    975: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   976: 
                    977: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    978: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    979: #endif
                    980: 
1.126     brouard   981: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    982: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   983: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   984: 
1.157     brouard   985: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    986: /* #include <time.h> */
                    987: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    988: /* #else */
                    989: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    990: /* #endif */
                    991: 
1.126     brouard   992: #include <time.h>
                    993: 
1.136     brouard   994: #ifdef GSL
                    995: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    996: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                    997: #endif
                    998: 
1.167     brouard   999: 
1.162     brouard  1000: #ifdef NLOPT
                   1001: #include <nlopt.h>
                   1002: typedef struct {
                   1003:   double (* function)(double [] );
                   1004: } myfunc_data ;
                   1005: #endif
                   1006: 
1.126     brouard  1007: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                   1008: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                   1009: 
1.251     brouard  1010: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard  1011: 
                   1012: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                   1013: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                   1014: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                   1015: 
                   1016: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1017: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1018: 
1.144     brouard  1019: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1020: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1021: 
                   1022: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1023: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1024: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                   1025: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard  1026: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1027: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1028: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard  1029: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard  1030: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1031: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                   1032: #define AGESUP 150
1.268     brouard  1033: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1034: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1035: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1036: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1037: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1038: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1039: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1040: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1041: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1042: #else
1.126     brouard  1043: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1044: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1045: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1046: #endif
                   1047: 
1.281   ! brouard  1048: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.280 2018/02/21 07:58:13 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1049: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1050: #include "version.h"
                   1051: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard  1052: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.281   ! brouard  1053: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.280 $ $Date: 2018/02/21 07:58:13 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1054: char strstart[80];
                   1055: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1056: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1057: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1058: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1059: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1060: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1061: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1062: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1063: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1064: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1065: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1066: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1067: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1068: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1069: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1070: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1071: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1072: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1073: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1074: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1075: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard  1076: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard  1077: int npar=NPARMAX;
                   1078: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1079: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1080: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1081: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1082: int popbased=0;
                   1083: 
                   1084: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1085: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1086: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1087: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1088: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1089:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1090: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1091: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1092: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1093: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1094:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1095: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1096: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1097: 
1.130     brouard  1098: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1099: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1100: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1101: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1102: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1103: 
1.136     brouard  1104: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1105: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1106: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1107: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1108: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1109: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1110: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1111: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1112: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1113: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1114: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1115: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1116: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1117: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1118: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1119: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1120: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1121: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1122: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1123: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1124: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1125: 
1.126     brouard  1126: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1127: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1128: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1129: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1130: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1131: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1132: int  outcmd=0;
                   1133: 
1.217     brouard  1134: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1135: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1136: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1137: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1138: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1139: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1140: 
                   1141: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1142: 
1.157     brouard  1143: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1144: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1145: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1146: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1147: 
                   1148: extern time_t time();
                   1149: 
                   1150: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1151: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1152: struct tm tm;
                   1153: 
1.126     brouard  1154: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1155: 
                   1156: char *endptr;
                   1157: long lval;
                   1158: double dval;
                   1159: 
                   1160: #define NR_END 1
                   1161: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1162: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1163: 
                   1164: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1165: #define ITMAX 200
                   1166: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1167: 
                   1168: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1169: 
                   1170: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1171: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1172: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1173: 
                   1174: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1175: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1176: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1177: 
                   1178: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1179: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1180: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1181:   
                   1182: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1183: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1184: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1185: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1186: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1187: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1188: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1189: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1190: static double sqrarg;
                   1191: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1192: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1193: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1194: 
                   1195: int imx; 
                   1196: int stepm=1;
                   1197: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1198: 
                   1199: int estepm;
                   1200: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1201: 
                   1202: int m,nb;
                   1203: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1204: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1205: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1206:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1207:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1208: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1209:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1210:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1211: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1212: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1213: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1214: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1215: double dateintmean=0;
                   1216: 
                   1217: double *weight;
                   1218: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1219: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1220: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1221:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1222:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1223: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1224: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1225: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1226: double  idx; 
                   1227: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1228: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1229: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1230: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1231: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1232: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1233: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1234: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1235: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1236: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1237: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1238: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1239: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1240: /* */
                   1241: /* Type                    */
                   1242: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1243: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1244: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1245: /*                         */
                   1246: int *TvarsD;
                   1247: int *TvarsDind;
                   1248: int *TvarsQ;
                   1249: int *TvarsQind;
                   1250: 
1.235     brouard  1251: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1252: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1253: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.235     brouard  1254: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1255: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1256: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1257: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1258: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1259: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1260: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1261: 
1.234     brouard  1262: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1263: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1264: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1265: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1266: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1267: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1268: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1269: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1270: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1271: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1272: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1273: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1274: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1275: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1276: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1277: 
1.230     brouard  1278: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1279: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1280: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1281: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1282: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1283: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1284: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1285: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1286: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1287: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1288: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1289: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1290: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1291: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1292: int **Tvard;
                   1293: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1294: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1295: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1296:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1297:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1298: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1299: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1300: 
1.231     brouard  1301: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1302: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1303: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1304: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1305: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1306: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1307: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1308: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1309: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1310: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1311: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1312: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1313: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1314: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1315: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1316: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1317: 
                   1318: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1319: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1320: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1321: 
                   1322: struct kmodel{
                   1323:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1324:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1325: };
                   1326: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1327: 
1.143     brouard  1328: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1329: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1330: 
                   1331: /**************** split *************************/
                   1332: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1333: {
                   1334:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1335:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1336:   */ 
                   1337:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1338:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1339: 
                   1340:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1341:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1342:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1343:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1344:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1345:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1346:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1347:     /* get current working directory */
                   1348:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1349: #ifdef WIN32
                   1350:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1351: #else
                   1352:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1353: #endif
1.126     brouard  1354:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1355:     }
                   1356:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1357:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1358:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1359:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1360:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1361:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1362:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1363:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1364:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1365:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1366:   }
                   1367:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1368:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1369:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1370:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1371:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1372:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1373:   }
                   1374:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1375:   if (ss >0){
                   1376:     ss++;
                   1377:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1378:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1379:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1380:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1381:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1382:   }
                   1383: 
                   1384:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1385: }
                   1386: 
                   1387: 
                   1388: /******************************************/
                   1389: 
                   1390: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1391: {
                   1392:   int i;
                   1393:   int lg=0;
                   1394:   i=0;
                   1395:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1396:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1397:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1398:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1399:   }
                   1400: }
                   1401: 
1.132     brouard  1402: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1403: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1404:   char *s;
                   1405:   s=out;
                   1406:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1407:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1408:       in++;
                   1409:     }
                   1410:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1411:   }
                   1412:   *out='\0';
                   1413:   return s;
                   1414: }
                   1415: 
1.187     brouard  1416: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1417: /* { */
                   1418: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1419: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1420: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1421: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1422: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1423: /*   } */
                   1424: 
                   1425: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1426: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1427: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1428: /*   } */
                   1429: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1430: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1431: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1432: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1433: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1434: /*   } */
                   1435: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1436: /*   out=s; */
                   1437: /*   return out; */
                   1438: /* } */
                   1439: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1440: {
                   1441:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1442:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1443: 
                   1444:   char *strloc;
                   1445: 
                   1446:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1447:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1448:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1449:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1450:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1451:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1452:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1453:   }
                   1454:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1455:   return out;
                   1456: }
                   1457: 
                   1458: 
1.145     brouard  1459: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1460: {
1.187     brouard  1461:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1462:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1463:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1464:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1465:   */
1.160     brouard  1466:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1467:   t=in;s=in;
                   1468:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1469:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1470:   }
                   1471:   if( *in == occ){
                   1472:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1473:     s=++in;
                   1474:   }
                   1475:  
                   1476:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1477:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1478:     in=s;
                   1479:   }
                   1480:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1481:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1482:   }
                   1483: 
                   1484:   *blocc='\0';
                   1485:   return t;
                   1486: }
1.137     brouard  1487: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1488: {
1.187     brouard  1489:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1490:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1491:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1492:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1493:   */
                   1494:   char *s, *t;
                   1495:   t=in;s=in;
                   1496:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1497:     while( *in == occ){
                   1498:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1499:       s=in;
                   1500:     }
                   1501:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1502:   }
                   1503:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1504:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1505:   else
                   1506:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1507:   in=s;
                   1508:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1509:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1510:   }
                   1511: 
                   1512:   *alocc='\0';
                   1513:   return s;
                   1514: }
                   1515: 
1.126     brouard  1516: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1517: {
                   1518:   int i,j=0;
                   1519:   int lg=20;
                   1520:   i=0;
                   1521:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1522:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1523:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1524:   }
                   1525:   return j;
                   1526: }
                   1527: 
1.137     brouard  1528: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1529: /* { */
                   1530: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1531: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1532: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1533: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1534: /*   i=0; */
                   1535: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1536: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1537: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1538: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1539: 
1.137     brouard  1540: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1541: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1542: /*   } */
                   1543: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1544: 
1.137     brouard  1545: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1546: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1547: /*   } */
                   1548: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1549: 
1.160     brouard  1550: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1551: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1552: {
                   1553:   char *p, *q;
                   1554:          
                   1555:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1556:     return 0;
                   1557:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1558:   {
                   1559:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1560:     *q = '\0';
                   1561:   }
                   1562:   else
                   1563:     *pp = 0;
                   1564:   return p;
                   1565: }
                   1566: #endif
                   1567: 
1.126     brouard  1568: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1569: 
                   1570: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1571: {
                   1572:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1573:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1574:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1575: }
                   1576: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1577: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1578: {
                   1579:   double *v;
                   1580:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1581:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1582:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1583: }
                   1584: 
                   1585: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1586: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1587: {
                   1588:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1589: }
                   1590: 
                   1591: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1592: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1593: {
                   1594:   int *v;
                   1595:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1596:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1597:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1598: }
                   1599: 
                   1600: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1601: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1602: {
                   1603:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1604: }
                   1605: 
                   1606: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1607: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1608: {
                   1609:   long *v;
                   1610:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1611:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1612:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1613: }
                   1614: 
                   1615: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1616: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1617: {
                   1618:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1619: }
                   1620: 
                   1621: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1622: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1623:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1624: { 
                   1625:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1626:   int **m; 
                   1627:   
                   1628:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1629:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1630:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1631:   m += NR_END; 
                   1632:   m -= nrl; 
                   1633:   
                   1634:   
                   1635:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1636:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1637:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1638:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1639:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1640:   
                   1641:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1642:   
                   1643:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1644:   return m; 
                   1645: } 
                   1646: 
                   1647: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1648: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1649:       int **m;
                   1650:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1651:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1652: { 
                   1653:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1654:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1655: } 
                   1656: 
                   1657: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1658: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1659: {
                   1660:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1661:   double **m;
                   1662: 
                   1663:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1664:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1665:   m += NR_END;
                   1666:   m -= nrl;
                   1667: 
                   1668:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1669:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1670:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1671:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1672: 
                   1673:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1674:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1675:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1676: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1677: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1678:    */
                   1679: }
                   1680: 
                   1681: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1682: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1683: {
                   1684:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1685:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1686: }
                   1687: 
                   1688: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1689: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1690: {
                   1691:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1692:   double ***m;
                   1693: 
                   1694:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1695:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1696:   m += NR_END;
                   1697:   m -= nrl;
                   1698: 
                   1699:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1700:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1701:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1702:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1703: 
                   1704:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1705: 
                   1706:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1707:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1708:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1709:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1710:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1711:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1712:   
                   1713:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1714:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1715:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1716:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1717:   }
                   1718:   return m; 
                   1719:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1720:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1721:   */
                   1722: }
                   1723: 
                   1724: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1725: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1726: {
                   1727:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1728:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1729:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1730: }
                   1731: 
                   1732: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1733: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1734: {
                   1735:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1736:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1737:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1738:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1739:   return tmpout;
                   1740: }
                   1741: 
                   1742: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1743: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1744: {
                   1745:   
                   1746:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1747:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1748:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1749:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1750:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1751:   return tmpout;
                   1752: }
                   1753: 
                   1754: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1755: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1756: {
                   1757:   
                   1758:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1759:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1760:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1761:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1762:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1763:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1764:   return tmpout;
                   1765: }
1.213     brouard  1766:  
                   1767: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1768: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1769: {
                   1770:   
                   1771:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1772:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1773:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1774:   return tmpout;
                   1775: }
1.126     brouard  1776: 
1.213     brouard  1777: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1778: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1779: {
                   1780:   
                   1781:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1782:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1783:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1784:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1785:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1786:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1787:   return tmpout;
                   1788: }
                   1789:  
1.162     brouard  1790: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1791: {
                   1792:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1793:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1794:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1795:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1796:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1797:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1798:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1799:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1800:   return ascdiff;
                   1801: }
                   1802: 
1.126     brouard  1803: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1804: extern int ncom; 
                   1805: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1806: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1807:  
                   1808: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1809: { 
                   1810:   int j; 
                   1811:   double f;
                   1812:   double *xt; 
                   1813:  
                   1814:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1815:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1816:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1817:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1818:   return f; 
                   1819: } 
                   1820: 
                   1821: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1822: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1823: {
                   1824:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1825:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1826:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1827:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1828:    * returned function value. 
                   1829:   */
1.126     brouard  1830:   int iter; 
                   1831:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1832:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1833:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1834:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1835:   double e=0.0; 
                   1836:  
                   1837:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1838:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1839:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1840:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1841:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1842:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1843:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1844:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1845:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1846:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1847: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1848:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1849:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1850:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1851: #endif
                   1852:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1853:       *xmin=x; 
                   1854:       return fx; 
                   1855:     } 
                   1856:     ftemp=fu;
                   1857:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1858:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1859:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1860:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1861:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1862:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1863:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1864:       etemp=e; 
                   1865:       e=d; 
                   1866:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1867:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1868:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1869:                                d=p/q; 
                   1870:                                u=x+d; 
                   1871:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1872:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1873:       } 
                   1874:     } else { 
                   1875:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1876:     } 
                   1877:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1878:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1879:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1880:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1881:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1882:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1883:     } else { 
                   1884:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1885:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1886:                                v=w; 
                   1887:                                w=u; 
                   1888:                                fv=fw; 
                   1889:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1890:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1891:                                v=u; 
                   1892:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1893:       } 
                   1894:     } 
1.126     brouard  1895:   } 
                   1896:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1897:   *xmin=x; 
                   1898:   return fx; 
                   1899: } 
                   1900: 
                   1901: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1902: 
                   1903: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1904:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1905: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1906: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1907: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1908: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1909:    */
1.126     brouard  1910:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1911:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1912: 
                   1913:   double scale=10.;
                   1914:   int iterscale=0;
                   1915: 
                   1916:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1917:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1918: 
                   1919: 
                   1920:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1921:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1922:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1923:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1924:   /* } */
                   1925: 
1.126     brouard  1926:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1927:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1928:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1929:   } 
1.126     brouard  1930:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1931:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1932: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1933:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1934:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1935: #endif
1.224     brouard  1936:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1937:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1938:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1939:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1940:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1941:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1942:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1943:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1944: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1945:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1946:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1947:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1948:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1949:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1950:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1951:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1952:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1953:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1954:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1955: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1956: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1957: #else
1.191     brouard  1958: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1959: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1960: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1961: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1962: /* #endif */
                   1963: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1964: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1965: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1966: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1967: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1968: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1969: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1970: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1971: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1972: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1973: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1974: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1975: /* #endif */
                   1976: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1977: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1978: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1979: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1980: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1981: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1982: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1983: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1984:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1985:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1986:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1987:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1988:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1989: #endif
1.191     brouard  1990:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1991:       u = *cx;
                   1992:       *cx = dum;
                   1993:       dum = fu;
                   1994:       fu = *fc;
                   1995:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1996: #endif
1.162     brouard  1997:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  1998: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1999:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   2000:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2001: #endif
1.126     brouard  2002:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   2003:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  2004: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2005:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2006:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2007: #endif
                   2008:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   2009:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   2010: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2011:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  2012: #endif
                   2013:       } 
1.162     brouard  2014:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  2015: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2016:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2017:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2018: #endif
1.126     brouard  2019:       u=ulim; 
                   2020:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2021:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2022: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2023:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2024:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2025: #endif
1.126     brouard  2026:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2027:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2028: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2029:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2030:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2031: #endif
1.183     brouard  2032:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2033:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2034:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2035: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2036:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2037:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2038: #endif
                   2039:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2040: } 
                   2041: 
                   2042: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2043: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2044: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2045: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2046: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2047: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2048: int ncom; 
                   2049: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2050: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2051:  
1.224     brouard  2052: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2053: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2054: #else
                   2055: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2056: #endif
1.126     brouard  2057: { 
                   2058:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2059:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2060:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2061:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2062:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2063:   int j; 
                   2064:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2065:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2066: 
1.203     brouard  2067: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2068: #else
                   2069:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2070: #endif
                   2071:   
1.126     brouard  2072:   ncom=n; 
                   2073:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2074:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2075:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2076:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2077:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2078:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2079:   } 
1.187     brouard  2080: 
1.203     brouard  2081: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2082:   xx=1.;
                   2083: #else
                   2084:   axs=0.0;
                   2085:   xxs=1.;
                   2086:   do{
                   2087:     xx= xxs;
                   2088: #endif
1.187     brouard  2089:     ax=0.;
                   2090:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2091:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2092:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2093:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2094:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2095:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2096:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2097: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2098: #else
                   2099:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2100:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2101:                        printf("|");
                   2102:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2103: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2104:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2105: #endif
                   2106:     }
1.224     brouard  2107:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2108: #endif
                   2109:   
1.191     brouard  2110: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2111:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2112:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2113: #endif
1.224     brouard  2114: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2115: #else
                   2116:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2117:                xmin=xx;
                   2118:     *flat=1;
                   2119:        }else{
                   2120:     *flat=0;
                   2121: #endif
                   2122:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2123:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2124:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2125:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2126:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2127:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2128: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2129:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2130:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2131: #endif
                   2132: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2133: #else
                   2134:                        }
1.126     brouard  2135: #endif
1.191     brouard  2136: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2137:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2138:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2139: #endif
1.126     brouard  2140:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2141: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2142:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2143: #else
                   2144: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2145:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2146:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2147: #endif
                   2148:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2149: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2150:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2151:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2152: #endif
                   2153: #endif
1.187     brouard  2154:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2155:   } 
1.191     brouard  2156: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2157:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2158:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2159:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2160:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2161:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2162:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2163:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2164:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2165:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2166:     }
1.191     brouard  2167:   }
1.203     brouard  2168: #else
1.191     brouard  2169: #endif
1.126     brouard  2170:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2171:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2172: } 
                   2173: 
                   2174: 
                   2175: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2176: /*
                   2177: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2178: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2179: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2180: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2181: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2182: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2183:  */
1.224     brouard  2184: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2185: #else
                   2186:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2187:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2188: #endif
1.126     brouard  2189: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2190:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2191: { 
1.224     brouard  2192: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2193:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2194:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2195: #else 
1.241     brouard  2196:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2197:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2198: #endif
1.239     brouard  2199:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2200:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2201:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2202:   double fp,fptt;
                   2203:   double *xits;
                   2204:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2205: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2206: #else
                   2207: 
                   2208:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2209:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2210: #endif
1.126     brouard  2211: 
                   2212:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2213:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2214:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2215:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2216:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2217:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2218:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2219:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2220:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2221:     ibig=0; 
                   2222:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2223:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2224:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2225:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2226:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2227:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2228:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2229: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2230:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2231:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2232:     }
1.239     brouard  2233:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2234:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2235:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2236:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2237:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2238:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2239:     }
                   2240:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2241:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2242:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2243:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2244:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2245:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2246:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2247:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2248:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2249:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2250:       }
                   2251:     }
1.126     brouard  2252:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2253: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2254: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2255:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2256:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2257:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2258:        if (k != i) {
                   2259:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2260:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2261:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2262:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2263:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2264:            jk++; 
                   2265:          }
                   2266:          printf("\n");
                   2267:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2268:        }
                   2269:       }
                   2270:     }
1.241     brouard  2271:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2272:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2273:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2274:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2275:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2276:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2277:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2278:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2279:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2280:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2281:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2282:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2283:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2284:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2285:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2286:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2287:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2288:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2289:       }
                   2290:     }
1.187     brouard  2291:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2292:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2293:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2294: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2295:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2296:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2297: #endif
1.203     brouard  2298:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2299:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2300: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2301:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2302: #else
                   2303:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2304:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2305: #endif
                   2306:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2307:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2308:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2309:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2310:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2311:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2312:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2313:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2314:       } 
                   2315: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2316:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2317:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2318:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2319:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2320:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2321:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2322:       }
                   2323:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2324:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2325:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2326:       }
                   2327:       printf("\n");
                   2328:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2329: #endif
1.187     brouard  2330:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2331:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2332:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2333:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2334:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2335:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2336:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2337:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2338:                                }
                   2339:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2340:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2341:                        }
1.243     brouard  2342:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2343:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2344:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2345:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2346:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2347:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2348:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2349:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2350:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2351:                        
1.188     brouard  2352:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2353:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2354:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2355:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2356: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2357:       int k[2],l;
                   2358:       k[0]=1;
                   2359:       k[1]=-1;
                   2360:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2361:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2362:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2363:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2364:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2365:       }
                   2366:       printf("\n");
                   2367:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2368:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2369:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2370:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2371:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2372:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2373:        }
                   2374:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2375:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2376:       }
                   2377: #endif
                   2378: 
1.224     brouard  2379: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2380: #else
                   2381:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2382: #endif
1.126     brouard  2383:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2384:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2385:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2386:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2387:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2388:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2389:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2390:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2391:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2392:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2393:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2394:     } 
1.181     brouard  2395:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2396: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2397:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2398: #else
                   2399: #endif
1.224     brouard  2400: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2401: #else
1.161     brouard  2402:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2403: #endif
1.162     brouard  2404:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2405:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2406:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2407:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2408:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2409:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2410:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2411:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2412:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2413:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2414:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2415:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2416:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2417:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2418:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2419: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2420:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2421: #else
                   2422:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2423:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2424: #endif
1.202     brouard  2425:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2426: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2427:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2428:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2429:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2430:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2431:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2432:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2433:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2434:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2435: #endif
1.183     brouard  2436: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2437:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2438: #else
1.182     brouard  2439:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2440:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2441:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2442:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2443:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2444:       } 
1.181     brouard  2445:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2446: #endif
1.191     brouard  2447: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2448:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2449:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2450:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2451:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2452:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2453:            printf("\n");
                   2454:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2455:          }
                   2456:        }
1.224     brouard  2457: #endif
                   2458: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2459:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2460: #else
1.234     brouard  2461:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2462:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2463: #endif
1.234     brouard  2464:        
1.191     brouard  2465: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2466:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2467:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2468:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2469:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2470:            printf("\n");
                   2471:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2472:          }
                   2473:        }
1.224     brouard  2474: #endif
1.234     brouard  2475:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2476:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2477:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2478:        }
1.224     brouard  2479: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2480: #else
1.234     brouard  2481:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2482:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2483:            flatd++;
                   2484:        }
                   2485:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2486:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2487:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2488:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2489:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2490:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2491:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2492:            }
                   2493:          }
                   2494:          printf("\n");
                   2495:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2496:        }
1.191     brouard  2497: #endif
1.234     brouard  2498:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2499:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2500:        
1.126     brouard  2501: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2502:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2503:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2504:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2505:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2506:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2507:        }
                   2508:        printf("\n");
                   2509:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2510: #endif
1.192     brouard  2511:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2512: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2513: #else
1.234     brouard  2514:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2515: #endif
1.225     brouard  2516: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2517:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2518: #else
1.224     brouard  2519: #endif
1.234     brouard  2520:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2521: } 
1.234     brouard  2522:   
1.126     brouard  2523: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2524:   
1.235     brouard  2525:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2526:   {
1.279     brouard  2527:     /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2528:      *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2529:      *  by left multiplying the unit
                   2530:      *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
                   2531:      * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
                   2532:      * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
                   2533:      * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
                   2534:      * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
                   2535:      * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
                   2536:      * Output is prlim.
                   2537:      * Initial matrix pimij 
                   2538:      */
1.206     brouard  2539:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2540:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2541:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2542:   /*
                   2543:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2544:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2545:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2546:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2547:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2548:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2549:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2550:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2551:     
1.126     brouard  2552:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2553:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2554:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2555:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2556:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2557:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2558:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2559:   
1.209     brouard  2560:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2561:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2562:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2563: 
1.218     brouard  2564:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2565:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2566:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2567:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2568:     }
1.169     brouard  2569:   
                   2570:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2571:   
                   2572:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2573:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2574:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2575:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2576:     newm=savm;
                   2577:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2578:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2579:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2580:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2581:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2582:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2583:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2584:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2585:     }
                   2586:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2587:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2588:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2589:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2590:     }
1.237     brouard  2591:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2592:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2593:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2594:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2595:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2596:       }
1.235     brouard  2597:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2598:     }
1.237     brouard  2599:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2600:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2601:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2602:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2603:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2604:        }else{
                   2605:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2606:        }
                   2607:       }else{
                   2608:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2609:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2610:        }else{
                   2611:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2612:        }
                   2613:       }
1.234     brouard  2614:     }
1.138     brouard  2615:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2616:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2617:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2618:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2619:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2620:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2621:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2622:     
1.126     brouard  2623:     savm=oldm;
                   2624:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2625: 
                   2626:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2627:       max[j]=0.;
                   2628:       min[j]=1.;
                   2629:     }
                   2630:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2631:       sumnew=0;
                   2632:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2633:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2634:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2635:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2636:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2637:       }
                   2638:     }
                   2639: 
1.126     brouard  2640:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2641:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2642:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2643:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2644:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2645:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2646:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2647:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2648:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2649:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2650:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2651:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2652:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2653:       return prlim;
                   2654:     }
1.169     brouard  2655:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2656:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2657:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2658: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2659:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2660:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2661:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2662:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2663:   
1.169     brouard  2664:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2665: }
                   2666: 
1.217     brouard  2667: 
                   2668:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2669: 
1.218     brouard  2670:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2671:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2672:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2673: {
1.264     brouard  2674:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2675:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2676:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2677:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2678:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2679:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2680:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2681:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2682:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2683:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2684:   /*
                   2685:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2686:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2687:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2688:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2689:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2690:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2691:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2692:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2693: 
                   2694:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2695:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2696:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2697:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2698:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2699:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2700:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2701:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2702: 
1.217     brouard  2703:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2704:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2705:   
                   2706:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2707:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2708:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2709: 
1.266     brouard  2710:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2711:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2712:   
                   2713:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2714:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2715:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2716:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2717:     }
                   2718:   
                   2719:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2720:   
                   2721:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2722:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2723:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2724:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2725:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2726:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2727:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2728:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2729:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2730:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2731:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2732:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2733:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2734:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2735:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2736:     }
                   2737:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2738:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2739:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2740:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2741:     /* } */
                   2742:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2743:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2744:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2745:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2746:     }
                   2747:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2748:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2749:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2750:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2751:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2752:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2753:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2754:       } else{
                   2755:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2756:       }
                   2757:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2758:     }
                   2759:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2760:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2761:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2762:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2763:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2764:        }else{
                   2765:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2766:        }
                   2767:       }else{
                   2768:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2769:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2770:        }else{
                   2771:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2772:        }
                   2773:       }
1.217     brouard  2774:     }
                   2775:     
                   2776:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2777:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2778:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2779:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2780:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2781:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2782:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2783:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2784:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2785:                 */
                   2786:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2787:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2788:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  2789:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  2790:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   2791:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   2792:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   2793:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2794:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   2795:     /*         } */
                   2796:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   2797:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2798:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   2799:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  2800:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  2801:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2802:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   2803:     /*         } */
                   2804:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   2805:     /*   } */
                   2806:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  2807:     savm=oldm;
                   2808:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  2809: 
1.217     brouard  2810:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2811:       max[j]=0.;
                   2812:       min[j]=1.;
                   2813:     }
                   2814:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2815:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2816:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2817:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2818:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2819:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2820:       }
                   2821:     }
1.218     brouard  2822:                
1.217     brouard  2823:     maxmax=0.;
                   2824:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2825:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2826:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2827:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  2828:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  2829:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  2830:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2831:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2832:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2833:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2834:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2835:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2836:       return bprlim;
                   2837:     }
                   2838:   } /* age loop */
                   2839:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2840:   if(first){
                   2841:     first=1;
                   2842:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2843: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2844:   }
                   2845:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2846: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2847:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2848:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2849:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2850:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2851:   
                   2852:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2853: }
                   2854: 
1.126     brouard  2855: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2856: 
                   2857: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2858: {
1.138     brouard  2859:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  2860:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  2861:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2862:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2863:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2864:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2865:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2866:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2867:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2868:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  2869:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  2870:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  2871:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  2872:   */
                   2873:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2874:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2875:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2876: 
1.223     brouard  2877:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2878:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2879:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2880:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2881:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2882:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2883:       }
                   2884:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2885:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2886:     }
                   2887:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2888:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2889:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2890:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2891:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2892:       }
                   2893:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2894:     }
                   2895:   }
1.218     brouard  2896:   
1.223     brouard  2897:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2898:     s1=0;
                   2899:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2900:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2901:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2902:     }
                   2903:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2904:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2905:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2906:     }
                   2907:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2908:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2909:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2910:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2911:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2912:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2913:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2914:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2915:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2916:   
1.223     brouard  2917:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2918:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2919:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2920:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2921:     }
                   2922:   }
1.218     brouard  2923:   
                   2924:   
1.223     brouard  2925:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2926:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2927:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2928:   /*   } */
                   2929:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2930:   /* } */
                   2931:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2932:   /*
                   2933:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2934:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  2935:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  2936: }
                   2937: 
1.218     brouard  2938: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2939: 
                   2940:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2941: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2942:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2943: {
1.266     brouard  2944:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate combination ij. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
                   2945:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  2946:    */
1.218     brouard  2947:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2948:   
                   2949:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2950:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2951:   double agefin;
1.268     brouard  2952:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  2953:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2954:   double **bbmij;
                   2955:   
1.218     brouard  2956:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2957:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2958:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2959:   
                   2960:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  2961:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  2962:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  2963:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   2964:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  2965: 
                   2966:   /* P_x */
1.266     brouard  2967:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm */
1.268     brouard  2968:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   2969: 
                   2970:   /* Diag(w_x) */
                   2971:   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
                   2972:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  2973:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  2974:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.269     brouard  2975:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
1.268     brouard  2976:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2977:   }
                   2978:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   2979:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2980:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  2981:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  2982:     }
                   2983:   }else{
                   2984:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2985:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2986:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   2987:     }
                   2988:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   2989:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   2990:     /* } */
                   2991:   }
                   2992:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   2993:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2994:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   2995:   }
                   2996:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   2997:   
                   2998:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   2999:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3000: 
                   3001:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
                   3002:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  3003:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  3004:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  3005:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  3006:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  3007:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  3008:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  3009:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  3010:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3011:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3012:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3013:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3014:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  3015:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   3016:     } /*End ii */
                   3017:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   3018: 
                   3019:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3020:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3021:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3022:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3023: }
1.217     brouard  3024: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3025: 
1.218     brouard  3026: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3027: {
                   3028:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3029:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3030:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3031:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3032:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3033:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3034:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3035:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3036:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3037:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3038:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3039:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3040:   */
                   3041:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3042:   /*double t34;*/
                   3043:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3044: 
1.234     brouard  3045:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3046:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3047:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3048:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3049:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3050:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3051:       }
                   3052:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3053:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3054:     }
                   3055:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3056:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3057:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3058:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3059:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3060:       }
                   3061:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3062:     }
                   3063:   }
                   3064:   
                   3065:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3066:     s1=0;
                   3067:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3068:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3069:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3070:     }
                   3071:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3072:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3073:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3074:     }
                   3075:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3076:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3077:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3078:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3079:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3080:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3081:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3082:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3083:   } /* end i */
                   3084:   
                   3085:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3086:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3087:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3088:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3089:     }
                   3090:   }
                   3091:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   3092:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3093:     s1=0.;
                   3094:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3095:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3096:     }
                   3097:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3098:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3099:     }
                   3100:   }
                   3101:   /* Transposition */
                   3102:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3103:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3104:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3105:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3106:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3107:     }
                   3108:   }
                   3109:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3110:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3111:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3112:   /*   } */
                   3113:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3114:   /* } */
                   3115:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3116:   /*
                   3117:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3118:     goto end;*/
                   3119:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3120: }
                   3121: 
                   3122: 
1.126     brouard  3123: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3124: 
1.145     brouard  3125: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3126: {
                   3127:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3128:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3129:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3130:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3131:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3132:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3133:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3134:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3135:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3136:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3137:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3138:     }
1.126     brouard  3139:   return out;
                   3140: }
                   3141: 
                   3142: 
                   3143: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3144: 
1.235     brouard  3145: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3146: {
1.218     brouard  3147:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3148:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3149:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3150:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3151:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3152:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3153:      for the memory).
                   3154:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3155:      included manually here. 
                   3156: 
                   3157:      */
                   3158: 
                   3159:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3160:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3161:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3162:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3163:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3164: 
                   3165:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3166:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3167:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3168:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3169:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3170:     }
                   3171:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3172:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3173:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3174:       newm=savm;
                   3175:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3176:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3177:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3178:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3179:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3180:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3181:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3182:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3183:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3184:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3185:       }
                   3186:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3187:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3188:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3189:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3190:       }
                   3191:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3192:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3193:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3194:        } else{
                   3195:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3196:        }
                   3197:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3198:       }
                   3199:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3200:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3201:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3202:       }
                   3203:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3204:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3205:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3206:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3207:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3208:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3209:       
                   3210:       
1.126     brouard  3211:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3212:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3213:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3214:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3215:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3216:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3217:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3218:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3219:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3220:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3221:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3222:       /*         } */
                   3223:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3224:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3225:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3226:       /*         } */
                   3227:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3228:       /*       } */
                   3229:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3230:       savm=oldm;
                   3231:       oldm=newm;
                   3232:     }
                   3233:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3234:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3235:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3236:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3237:       }
1.128     brouard  3238:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3239:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3240:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3241:   return po;
                   3242: }
                   3243: 
1.217     brouard  3244: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3245: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3246: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3247: {
1.266     brouard  3248:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3249:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3250:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3251:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3252:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3253:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3254:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3255:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3256:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3257:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3258:   */
1.217     brouard  3259: 
                   3260:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3261:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3262:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3263:   double agexact;
                   3264:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3265:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3266: 
1.266     brouard  3267:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3268:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3269:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3270:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3271:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3272:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3273:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3274:     }
                   3275:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3276:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3277:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3278:       newm=savm;
                   3279:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3280:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3281:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3282:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3283:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3284:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3285:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.266     brouard  3286:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){
                   3287:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3288:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   3289:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3290:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3291:       }
1.267     brouard  3292:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3293:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3294:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3295:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3296:       }
                   3297:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
                   3298:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3299:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3300:        } else{
                   3301:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3302:        }
                   3303:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3304:       }
                   3305:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3306:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.267     brouard  3307:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3308:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3309:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3310: 
1.218     brouard  3311:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3312:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3313:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3314:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3315:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3316:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3317:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3318:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3319:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3320:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3321:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3322:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3323:       /*         } */
                   3324:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3325:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3326:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3327:       /*         } */
                   3328:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3329:       /*       } */
                   3330:       /* } */
                   3331:       savm=oldm;
                   3332:       oldm=newm;
                   3333:     }
                   3334:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3335:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3336:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3337:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3338:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3339:       }
1.268     brouard  3340:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3341:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3342:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3343:   return po;
                   3344: }
                   3345: 
                   3346: 
1.162     brouard  3347: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3348:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3349:   double fret;
                   3350:   double *xt;
                   3351:   int j;
                   3352:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3353: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3354:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3355:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3356: 
                   3357:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3358:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3359:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3360:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3361:   printf("\n");
                   3362:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3363:   return fret;
                   3364: }
                   3365: #endif
1.126     brouard  3366: 
                   3367: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3368: double func( double *x)
                   3369: {
1.226     brouard  3370:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3371:   int ioffset=0;
                   3372:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3373:   double **out;
                   3374:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3375:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3376:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3377:   double bbh, survp;
                   3378:   long ipmx;
                   3379:   double agexact;
                   3380:   /*extern weight */
                   3381:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3382:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3383:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3384:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3385:   */
1.162     brouard  3386: 
1.226     brouard  3387:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3388: 
1.226     brouard  3389:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3390: 
1.226     brouard  3391:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3392:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3393:   if(mle==1){
                   3394:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3395:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3396:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3397:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3398:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3399:       */
1.243     brouard  3400:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3401:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3402:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3403:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3404:       }
1.226     brouard  3405:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3406:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3407:         has been calculated etc */
                   3408:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3409:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3410:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3411:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3412:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3413:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3414:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3415:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3416:       */
                   3417:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3418:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3419:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3420:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3421:        }
                   3422:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3423:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3424:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3425:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3426:          }
                   3427:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3428:          newm=savm;
                   3429:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3430:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3431:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3432:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3433:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3434:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3435:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3436:          else
                   3437:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3438:          }
                   3439:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3440:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3441:          savm=oldm;
                   3442:          oldm=newm;
                   3443:        } /* end mult */
                   3444:        
                   3445:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3446:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3447:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3448:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3449:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3450:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3451:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3452:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3453:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3454:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3455:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3456:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3457:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3458:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3459:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3460:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3461:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3462:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3463:         */
                   3464:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3465:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3466:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3467:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3468:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3469:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3470:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3471:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3472:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3473:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3474:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3475:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3476:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3477:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3478:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3479:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3480:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3481:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3482:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3483:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3484:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3485:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3486:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3487:             lower mortality.
                   3488:          */
                   3489:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3490:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3491:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3492:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3493:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3494:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3495:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3496:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3497:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3498:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3499:             infinity.
                   3500:          */
1.183     brouard  3501: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3502: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3503: /* #else */
                   3504: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3505: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3506: /*       else */
                   3507: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3508: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3509:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3510:          
1.226     brouard  3511:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3512:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3513:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3514:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3515:          lli= log(survp);
                   3516:        }
                   3517:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3518:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3519:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3520:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3521:        } 
                   3522:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3523:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3524:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3525:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3526:        } 
                   3527:        else{
                   3528:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3529:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3530:        } 
                   3531:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3532:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3533:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3534:        ipmx +=1;
                   3535:        sw += weight[i];
                   3536:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3537:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3538:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3539:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3540:        /* } */
                   3541:       } /* end of wave */
                   3542:     } /* end of individual */
                   3543:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3544:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3545:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3546:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3547:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3548:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3549:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3550:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3551:          }
                   3552:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3553:          newm=savm;
                   3554:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3555:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3556:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3557:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3558:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3559:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3560:          }
                   3561:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3562:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3563:          savm=oldm;
                   3564:          oldm=newm;
                   3565:        } /* end mult */
                   3566:       
                   3567:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3568:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3569:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3570:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3571:        ipmx +=1;
                   3572:        sw += weight[i];
                   3573:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3574:       } /* end of wave */
                   3575:     } /* end of individual */
                   3576:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3577:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3578:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3579:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3580:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3581:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3582:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3583:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3584:          }
                   3585:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3586:          newm=savm;
                   3587:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3588:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3589:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3590:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3591:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3592:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3593:          }
                   3594:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3595:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3596:          savm=oldm;
                   3597:          oldm=newm;
                   3598:        } /* end mult */
                   3599:       
                   3600:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3601:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3602:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3603:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3604:        ipmx +=1;
                   3605:        sw += weight[i];
                   3606:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3607:       } /* end of wave */
                   3608:     } /* end of individual */
                   3609:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3610:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3611:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3612:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3613:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3614:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3615:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3616:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3617:          }
                   3618:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3619:          newm=savm;
                   3620:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3621:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3622:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3623:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3624:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3625:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3626:          }
1.126     brouard  3627:        
1.226     brouard  3628:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3629:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3630:          savm=oldm;
                   3631:          oldm=newm;
                   3632:        } /* end mult */
                   3633:       
                   3634:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3635:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3636:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3637:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3638:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3639:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3640:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3641:          lli= log(survp);
                   3642:        }else{
                   3643:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3644:        }
                   3645:        ipmx +=1;
                   3646:        sw += weight[i];
                   3647:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3648: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3649:       } /* end of wave */
                   3650:     } /* end of individual */
                   3651:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3652:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3653:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3654:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3655:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3656:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3657:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3658:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3659:          }
                   3660:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3661:          newm=savm;
                   3662:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3663:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3664:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3665:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3666:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3667:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3668:          }
1.126     brouard  3669:        
1.226     brouard  3670:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3671:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3672:          savm=oldm;
                   3673:          oldm=newm;
                   3674:        } /* end mult */
                   3675:       
                   3676:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3677:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3678:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3679:        ipmx +=1;
                   3680:        sw += weight[i];
                   3681:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3682:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3683:       } /* end of wave */
                   3684:     } /* end of individual */
                   3685:   } /* End of if */
                   3686:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3687:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3688:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3689:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3690: }
                   3691: 
                   3692: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3693: double funcone( double *x)
                   3694: {
1.228     brouard  3695:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3696:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3697:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3698:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3699:   double **out;
                   3700:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3701:   double llt;
                   3702:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3703:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3704: 
1.126     brouard  3705:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3706:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3707:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3708:   /*extern weight */
                   3709:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3710:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3711:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3712:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3713:   */
                   3714:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3715: 
                   3716:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3717:   ioffset=0;
                   3718:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3719:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3720:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3721:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3722:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3723:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3724:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3725:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3726: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3727: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3728: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3729: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3730: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3731: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3732: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3733: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3734: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3735:     }
1.232     brouard  3736:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3737:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3738:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3739:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3740:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3741:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3742:     
1.233     brouard  3743: 
                   3744:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3745:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3746:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3747:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3748:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3749:       }
1.232     brouard  3750:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3751:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3752:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3753:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3754:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3755:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3756:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3757:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3758:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3759:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3760:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3761:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3762:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3763:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3764:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3765:        }
1.214     brouard  3766:       
                   3767:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3768:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3769:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3770:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3771:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3772:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3773:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3774:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3775:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3776:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3777:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3778:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3779:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3780:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3781:          else
                   3782:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3783:        }
                   3784:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3785:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3786:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3787:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3788:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3789:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3790:        savm=oldm;
                   3791:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3792:       } /* end mult */
                   3793:       
                   3794:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3795:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3796:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  3797:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  3798:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3799:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3800:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3801:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3802:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3803:        */
                   3804:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3805:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3806:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3807:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3808:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3809:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3810:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3811:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3812:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3813:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3814:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3815:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3816:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3817:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3818:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3819:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3820:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3821:       } /* End of if */
                   3822:       ipmx +=1;
                   3823:       sw += weight[i];
                   3824:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3825:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3826:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3827:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3828:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3829:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  3830:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  3831:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3832:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3833:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3834:        }
                   3835:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3836:       }
1.232     brouard  3837:        } /* end of wave */
                   3838: } /* end of individual */
                   3839: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3840: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3841: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3842: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3843:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3844:        gsw=sw;
                   3845: }
                   3846: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3847: }
                   3848: 
                   3849: 
                   3850: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3851: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3852: {
                   3853:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3854:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3855:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3856:      Plotting could be done.
                   3857:    */
                   3858:   int k;
                   3859: 
                   3860:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3861:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3862:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3863:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3864:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3865:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3866:     }
1.214     brouard  3867:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3868:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3869:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3870:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3871:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3872:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3873:   }
                   3874: 
                   3875:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3876:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3877:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3878:     if (mle ==0)
                   3879:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3880:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3881:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3882:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  3883:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  3884:       
                   3885:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3886:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3887: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3888:     }
1.207     brouard  3889:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3890: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3891:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3892: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3893:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3894:   }
1.126     brouard  3895:   return;
                   3896: }
                   3897: 
                   3898: 
                   3899: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3900: 
                   3901: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3902: {
1.165     brouard  3903:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3904:   double **xi;
                   3905:   double fret;
                   3906:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3907:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3908: 
                   3909: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3910:   int creturn;
                   3911:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3912:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3913:   double *lb;
                   3914:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3915:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3916:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3917: #endif
                   3918: 
                   3919: 
1.126     brouard  3920:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3921:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3922:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3923:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3924:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3925:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3926:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3927:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3928:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3929:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3930:   }
                   3931:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3932:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3933:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3934:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3935:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3936: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3937:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3938: #endif
1.126     brouard  3939: 
1.162     brouard  3940: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3941: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3942:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3943: #else
                   3944:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3945: #endif
                   3946:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3947:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3948:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3949:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3950:   
                   3951:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3952:   d->function = func;
                   3953:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3954:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3955:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3956:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3957:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3958:   }
                   3959:   else {
                   3960:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3961:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3962:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3963:   }
                   3964:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3965: #endif
1.126     brouard  3966:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3967:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3968:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3969:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3970:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3971: 
                   3972: }
                   3973: 
                   3974: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3975: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3976: {
                   3977:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3978:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3979:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3980:   int *indx;
                   3981: 
                   3982:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3983:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3984:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3985:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3986:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3987:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3988: 
                   3989:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3990:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3991:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3992:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3993:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3994:    
                   3995:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3996:     
                   3997:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   3998:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   3999:   }
                   4000:   
                   4001:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   4002:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   4003:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  4004:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   4005:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   4006:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  4007:        
                   4008:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   4009:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   4010:       }
                   4011:     }
                   4012:   }
                   4013:   printf("\n");
                   4014:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4015: 
                   4016:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4017:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4018:   
                   4019:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4020:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4021:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4022:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4023:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4024:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4025:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4026: 
                   4027:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4028:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4029:     x[j]=1;
                   4030:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4031:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4032:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4033:     }
                   4034:   }
                   4035: 
                   4036:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4037:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4038:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4039:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4040:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4041:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4042:     }
                   4043:     printf("\n");
                   4044:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4045:   }
                   4046: 
1.203     brouard  4047:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4048:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4049:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4050:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4051:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4052:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4053:   /*   } */
                   4054:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4055:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4056:   /* } */
                   4057: 
1.126     brouard  4058:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4059:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4060:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4061:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4062: 
                   4063:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4064: 
                   4065:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4066:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4067:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4068:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4069:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4070:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4071:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4072:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4073:   /*   } */
                   4074:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4075:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4076:   /* } */
                   4077: 
                   4078:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4079: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4080:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4081: 
1.203     brouard  4082:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4083:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4084: 
                   4085:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4086:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4087:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4088:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4089:     }
                   4090:     printf("\n");
                   4091:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4092:   }
1.203     brouard  4093: #endif
1.126     brouard  4094: 
                   4095:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4096:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4097:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4098:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4099:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4100: 
                   4101: 
                   4102: }
                   4103: 
                   4104: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4105: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4106: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4107:   int i;
                   4108:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4109:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4110:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4111:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4112:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4113:   double l1;
                   4114: 
                   4115:   fx=func(x);
                   4116:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4117:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4118:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4119:     delts=delt;
                   4120:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4121:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4122:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4123:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4124:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4125:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4126:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4127:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4128:       
1.203     brouard  4129: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4130:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4131:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4132: #endif
                   4133:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4134:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4135:        k=kmax;
                   4136:       }
                   4137:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4138:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4139:       }
                   4140:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4141:        delts=delt;
                   4142:       }
1.203     brouard  4143:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4144:   }
                   4145:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4146:   return res; 
                   4147:   
                   4148: }
                   4149: 
1.203     brouard  4150: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4151: {
                   4152:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4153:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4154:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4155:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4156:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4157:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4158: 
                   4159:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4160:   
1.126     brouard  4161:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4162:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4163:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4164:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4165:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4166:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4167:   
1.203     brouard  4168:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4169:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4170:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4171:   
1.203     brouard  4172:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4173:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4174:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4175:   
1.203     brouard  4176:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4177:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4178:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4179:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4180:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4181:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4182:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4183:     }
                   4184:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4185:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4186:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4187:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4188:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4189:     }
                   4190: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4191:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4192:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4193:     cv12=res;
                   4194:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4195:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4196:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4197:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4198:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4199:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4200:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4201:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4202:     }
1.126     brouard  4203: #endif
                   4204:   }
                   4205:   return res;
                   4206: }
                   4207: 
1.203     brouard  4208:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4209: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4210: /* { */
                   4211: /*   int i; */
                   4212: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4213: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4214: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4215: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4216: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4217: /*   double l1; */
                   4218:   
                   4219: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4220: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4221: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4222: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4223: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4224: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4225: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4226: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4227: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4228: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4229:       
                   4230: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4231: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4232: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4233:       
                   4234: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4235: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4236: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4237:       
                   4238: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4239: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4240: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4241: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4242: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4243: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4244: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4245: /* #endif */
                   4246: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4247: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4248: /*       } */
                   4249: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4250: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4251: /*       } */
                   4252: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4253: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4254: /*       } */
                   4255: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4256: /*   } */
                   4257: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4258: /*   return res;  */
                   4259: /* } */
                   4260: 
                   4261: 
1.126     brouard  4262: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4263: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4264: { 
                   4265:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4266:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4267:   double *vv; 
                   4268:  
                   4269:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4270:   *d=1.0; 
                   4271:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4272:     big=0.0; 
                   4273:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4274:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4275:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4276:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4277:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4278:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4279:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4280:       }
                   4281:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4282:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4283:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4284:     }
1.126     brouard  4285:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4286:   } 
                   4287:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4288:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4289:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4290:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4291:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4292:     } 
                   4293:     big=0.0; 
                   4294:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4295:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4296:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4297:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4298:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4299:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4300:        big=dum; 
                   4301:        imax=i; 
                   4302:       } 
                   4303:     } 
                   4304:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4305:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4306:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4307:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4308:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4309:       } 
                   4310:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4311:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4312:     } 
                   4313:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4314:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4315:     if (j != n) { 
                   4316:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4317:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4318:     } 
                   4319:   } 
                   4320:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4321: ;
                   4322: } 
                   4323: 
                   4324: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4325: { 
                   4326:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4327:   double sum; 
                   4328:  
                   4329:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4330:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4331:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4332:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4333:     if (ii) 
                   4334:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4335:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4336:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4337:   } 
                   4338:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4339:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4340:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4341:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4342:   } 
                   4343: } 
                   4344: 
                   4345: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4346: {
1.196     brouard  4347:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4348: }
                   4349: 
1.253     brouard  4350: 
                   4351: 
1.126     brouard  4352: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4353: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4354:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4355:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4356: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4357:   
1.265     brouard  4358:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4359:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4360:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4361:   int first;
                   4362:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4363:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4364:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.226     brouard  4365:   double *meanq;
                   4366:   double **meanqt;
                   4367:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4368:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4369:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4370:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4371:     
                   4372:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4373:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4374:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4375:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4376:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4377:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4378:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4379:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4380:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4381:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4382:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4383:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4384:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4385:     exit(0);
                   4386:   }
1.240     brouard  4387:   
1.226     brouard  4388:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4389:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4390:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4391:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4392:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4393:     exit(70); 
                   4394:   }
                   4395:   else{
                   4396:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4397: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4398: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4399:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4400:   }
1.237     brouard  4401:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4402:   
1.226     brouard  4403:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4404:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4405:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4406:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4407:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4408:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4409:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4410:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4411: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4412: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4413:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4414:   }
1.240     brouard  4415:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4416:   
1.253     brouard  4417:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4418:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4419:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4420:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4421:   
1.227     brouard  4422:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4423:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4424:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4425:   
                   4426:   
1.226     brouard  4427:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4428:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4429:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4430:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4431:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4432:   */
1.249     brouard  4433:   dateintsum=0;
                   4434:   k2cpt=0;
                   4435: 
1.253     brouard  4436:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4437:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4438:   else
                   4439:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4440: 
                   4441:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4442:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4443:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4444:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4445:    *     Loop on iind
                   4446:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4447:    *     end iind
                   4448:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4449:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4450:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4451:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4452:    *     Loop on age
                   4453:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4454:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4455:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4456:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4457:    *       end s1
                   4458:    *     end age
                   4459:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4460:    *     end compute starting values
                   4461:    *   end j1
                   4462:    * end nl 
                   4463:    */
1.253     brouard  4464:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4465:     if(nj==1)
                   4466:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4467:     else{
1.253     brouard  4468:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4469:     }
1.251     brouard  4470:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4471:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4472:       posproptt=0.;
                   4473:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4474:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4475:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4476:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4477:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4478:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4479:       
                   4480:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4481:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4482:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4483:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4484:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4485:       }
                   4486:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4487:       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4488:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4489:       /*       meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4490:       /*   } */
                   4491:       /* } */
                   4492:       
                   4493:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4494:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4495:       
1.265     brouard  4496:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4497:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4498:        bool=1;
                   4499:        if(j !=0){
                   4500:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4501:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4502:              /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4503:              /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4504:              /* } */
                   4505:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4506:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4507:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4508:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4509:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4510:                /* }else  */
                   4511:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4512:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4513:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4514:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4515:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4516:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4517:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4518:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4519:              } /* end z1 */
                   4520:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4521:          } /* end any */
                   4522:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4523:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4524:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4525:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4526:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4527:            if(j!=0){
                   4528:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4529:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4530:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4531:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4532:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4533:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4534:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4535:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4536:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4537:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4538:                      bool=0;
                   4539:                    }
                   4540:                  }
                   4541:                }
                   4542:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4543:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4544:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4545:            if(bool==1){
                   4546:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4547:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4548:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4549:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4550:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4551:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4552:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4553:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4554:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4555:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4556:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4557:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4558:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4559:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4560:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4561:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4562:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4563:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4564:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4565:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4566:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4567:                }
1.251     brouard  4568:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4569:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4570:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4571:                k2cpt++;
                   4572:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4573:              }
1.251     brouard  4574:            }else{
                   4575:              bool=1;
                   4576:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4577:          } /* end m */
                   4578:        } /* end bool */
                   4579:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4580:       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4581:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4582:       
                   4583:       
                   4584:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4585:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4586:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4587:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4588:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4589:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4590:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4591:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4592:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4593:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4594:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4595:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4596:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4597:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4598:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4599:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4600:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4601:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4602:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4603:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4604:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4605:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4606:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4607:          }
                   4608:        }
                   4609:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4610:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4611:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4612:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4613:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4614:       }
                   4615:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  4616:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4617:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   4618:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  4619:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  4620:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  4621:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4622:       }
1.265     brouard  4623:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  4624:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   4625:       
                   4626:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4627:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4628:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  4629:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  4630:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4631:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   4632:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  4633:        }
1.226     brouard  4634:       }
1.251     brouard  4635:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   4636:     
                   4637:       /* For each age */
                   4638:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4639:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4640:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   4641:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4642:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   4643:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   4644:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4645:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   4646:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   4647:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4648:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   4649:        }else{
1.240     brouard  4650:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  4651:            first=0;
                   4652:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4653:          }
                   4654:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4655:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   4656:        }
1.265     brouard  4657:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4658:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4659:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  4660:        }
1.265     brouard  4661:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4662:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  4663:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4664:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  4665:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4666:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4667:            }
1.265     brouard  4668:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4669:          }else{
                   4670:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4671:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4672:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  4673:          }
                   4674:        }
                   4675:       
1.265     brouard  4676:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   4677:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   4678:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4679:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4680:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   4681:       
                   4682:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4683:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4684:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4685:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4686:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4687:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4688:        }
                   4689:        
                   4690:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   4691:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4692:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4693:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4694:           }
                   4695:         }else if( nj==2){
                   4696:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4697:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4698:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4699:           }
1.240     brouard  4700:        }
1.265     brouard  4701:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  4702:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4703:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4704:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   4705:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  4706:          }else{
                   4707:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4708:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4709:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  4710:          }
                   4711:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4712:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4713:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4714:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4715:               }else if( nj==2){
                   4716:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4717:               }
                   4718:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4719:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   4720:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   4721:            } else{
                   4722:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4723:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  4724:            }
1.240     brouard  4725:          }
1.265     brouard  4726:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   4727:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4728:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  4729:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4730:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4731:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  4732:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4733:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4734:              }
1.265     brouard  4735:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   4736:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4737:            }
1.265     brouard  4738:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   4739:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  4740:          }
1.265     brouard  4741:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4742:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  4743:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   4744:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  4745:        }
                   4746:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  4747:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4748:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   4749:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   4750:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  4751:        }
1.251     brouard  4752:        if(first==1)
                   4753:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   4754:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4755:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  4756:       
1.251     brouard  4757:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  4758:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4759:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4760:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  4761:        }else{
1.265     brouard  4762:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  4763:        }
1.226     brouard  4764:       }
1.251     brouard  4765:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4766:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4767:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  4768:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4769:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4770:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  4771:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   4772:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  4773:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  4774:       }else{
1.251     brouard  4775:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4776:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  4777:       }
1.251     brouard  4778:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4779:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4780:       if(j!=0){
                   4781:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  4782:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4783:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4784:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  4785:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  4786:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  4787:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   4788:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   4789:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  4790:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4791:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4792:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4793:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4794:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  4795:                  }
1.253     brouard  4796:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   4797:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4798:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   4799:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  4800:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  4801:                  }
1.268     brouard  4802:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   4803:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  4804:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  4805:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   4806:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  4807:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   4808:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   4809:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  4810:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  4811:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4812:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4813:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  4814:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   4815:                  ;
                   4816:                }
                   4817:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4818:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4819:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  4820:              } /* end jj */
                   4821:            } /* end k!= i */
                   4822:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  4823:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  4824:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   4825:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   4826:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   4827:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   4828:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4829:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4830:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4831:          if (k != i) {
                   4832:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4833:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   4834:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  4835:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  4836:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  4837:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   4838:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4839:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  4840:              }
                   4841:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4842:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4843:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  4844:            }
1.251     brouard  4845:            printf("\n");
                   4846:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  4847:          }
                   4848:        }
                   4849:       }
1.251     brouard  4850:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   4851:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4852:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   4853:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   4854:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   4855:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4856:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4857:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   4858:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   4859:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  4860:          /* } */
                   4861:        }
1.265     brouard  4862:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4863:       
                   4864:       printf("\n");
                   4865:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4866:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  4867:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  4868: 
1.253     brouard  4869:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  4870:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4871:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   4872:        if(j!=i){
                   4873:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   4874:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4875:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4876:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   4877:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4878:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4879:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   4880:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4881:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4882:            jk++;
                   4883:          }
                   4884:          printf("\n");
                   4885:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   4886:        }
                   4887:       }
                   4888:     }
                   4889:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  4890:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4891:   
1.226     brouard  4892:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4893:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4894:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4895:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4896:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  4897:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4898:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4899:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4900:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4901:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4902:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4903:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4904:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4905: }
1.126     brouard  4906: 
1.268     brouard  4907: /* Simple linear regression */
                   4908: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   4909: 
                   4910:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   4911:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   4912:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   4913:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   4914:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   4915:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   4916:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   4917:   double yhat;
                   4918:   
                   4919:   double denom=0;
                   4920:   int i;
                   4921:   int ne=*no;
                   4922:   
                   4923:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4924:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4925:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4926:       continue;
                   4927:     }
                   4928:     ne=ne+1;
                   4929:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   4930:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   4931:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   4932:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   4933:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   4934:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4935:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4936:   } 
                   4937:   
                   4938:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4939:   if (denom == 0) {
                   4940:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   4941:     *b = INFINITY;
                   4942:     *a = 0;
                   4943:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   4944:     return 1;
                   4945:   }
                   4946:   
                   4947:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   4948:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   4949:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   4950:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   4951:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   4952:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   4953:   }
                   4954:   *no=ne;
                   4955:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4956:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4957:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4958:       continue;
                   4959:     }
                   4960:     ne=ne+1;
                   4961:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   4962:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   4963:     
                   4964:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4965:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4966:   } 
                   4967:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   4968:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   4969:   
                   4970:   return 0; 
                   4971: }
                   4972: 
1.126     brouard  4973: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4974: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4975: {  
                   4976:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4977:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4978:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4979:   */
1.126     brouard  4980:  
1.227     brouard  4981:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4982:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4983:   int iage;
                   4984:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4985: 
                   4986:   double **prop;
                   4987:   double posprop; 
                   4988:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4989:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4990:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4991: 
                   4992:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4993:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4994:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  4995:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  4996:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   4997:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  4998:   
1.227     brouard  4999:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   5000:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  5001:   
1.227     brouard  5002:   first=1;
                   5003:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   5004:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  5005:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  5006:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   5007:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5008:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   5009:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5010:     
                   5011:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   5012:       bool=1;
                   5013:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   5014:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   5015:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   5016:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   5017:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   5018:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   5019:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5020:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5021:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5022:              bool=0;
                   5023:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5024:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5025:              bool=0;
                   5026:            }
                   5027:        }
                   5028:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5029:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5030:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5031:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5032:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5033:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5034:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5035:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5036:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5037:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5038:                exit(1);
                   5039:              }
                   5040:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5041:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5042:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5043:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5044:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5045:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5046:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5047:        } /* end bool */
                   5048:       } /* end wave */
                   5049:     } /* end individual */
                   5050:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5051:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5052:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5053:       } 
                   5054:       
                   5055:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5056:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5057:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5058:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5059:          } else{
                   5060:            if(first==1){
                   5061:              first=0;
1.266     brouard  5062:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5063:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5064:            }else{
                   5065:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5066:            }
                   5067:          }
                   5068:        } 
                   5069:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5070:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5071:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5072:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5073:   
1.227     brouard  5074:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5075:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5076:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5077: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5078: 
                   5079: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5080: 
                   5081: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5082: {
                   5083:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   5084:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5085:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5086:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   5087:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  5088:   */
1.126     brouard  5089: 
1.224     brouard  5090:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5091:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5092:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5093:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5094:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5095:   double sum=0.;
                   5096:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5097:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5098:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5099:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5100:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5101:   jmax=-1;
                   5102:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5103: 
                   5104: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5105:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5106:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5107:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  5108:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  5109:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  5110:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5111:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5112:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   5113:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5114:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5115:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5116:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5117:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5118:       }
1.227     brouard  5119:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5120: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5121:        break;
1.224     brouard  5122: #else
1.227     brouard  5123:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   5124:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.262     brouard  5125:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5126:            firsthree=1;
                   5127:          }
1.262     brouard  5128:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5129:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5130:          mli=m;
                   5131:        }
                   5132:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5133:          nbwarn++;
                   5134:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   5135:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5136:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5137:          }
                   5138:          break;
                   5139:        }
                   5140:        break;
1.224     brouard  5141: #endif
1.227     brouard  5142:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5143:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5144: 
1.227     brouard  5145:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5146:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5147: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5148:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5149:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5150:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5151:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5152:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5153:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5154:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5155:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5156: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5157:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5158:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  5159:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   5160:          nbwarn++;
                   5161:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   5162:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5163:            firstfiv=1;
                   5164:          }else{
                   5165:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5166:          }
                   5167:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   5168:          nberr++;
                   5169:          if(firstwo==0){
1.257     brouard  5170:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5171:            firstwo=1;
                   5172:          }
1.257     brouard  5173:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5174:        }
1.257     brouard  5175:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5176:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5177:        if(firstfour==0){
                   5178:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   5179:          firstfour=1;
                   5180:        }
                   5181:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5182:       }
1.224     brouard  5183:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5184: #endif
                   5185:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   5186:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  5187:     if(mi==0){
                   5188:       nbwarn++;
                   5189:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5190:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5191:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5192:       }
                   5193:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5194:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5195:       }
                   5196:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5197:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5198:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5199:        
1.214     brouard  5200:   
1.126     brouard  5201:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5202:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5203:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5204:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5205:       else{
1.260     brouard  5206:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5207:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5208:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5209:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5210:            else if(j<0){
                   5211:              nberr++;
                   5212:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5213:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5214:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5215:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5216:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5217:            }
                   5218:            k=k+1;
                   5219:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5220:              jmax=j;
                   5221:              ijmax=i;
                   5222:            }
                   5223:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5224:              jmin=j;
                   5225:              ijmin=i;
                   5226:            }
                   5227:            sum=sum+j;
                   5228:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5229:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5230:          }
                   5231:        }
                   5232:        else{
                   5233:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5234: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5235:                                        
1.227     brouard  5236:          k=k+1;
                   5237:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5238:            jmax=j;
                   5239:            ijmax=i;
                   5240:          }
                   5241:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5242:            jmin=j;
                   5243:            ijmin=i;
                   5244:          }
                   5245:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5246:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5247:          if(j<0){
                   5248:            nberr++;
                   5249:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5250:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5251:          }
                   5252:          sum=sum+j;
                   5253:        }
                   5254:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5255:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5256:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5257:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5258:          if(jl==0){
                   5259:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5260:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5261:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5262:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5263:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5264:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5265:          }
                   5266:        }else{
                   5267:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5268:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5269:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5270:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5271:                                 */
                   5272:          }
                   5273:          else{
                   5274:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5275:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5276:          }
                   5277:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5278:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5279:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5280:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5281:          }
                   5282:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5283:       }
                   5284:     } /* end wave */
                   5285:   }
                   5286:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5287:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5288:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5289: }
1.126     brouard  5290: 
                   5291: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5292:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5293:  {
                   5294:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5295:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5296:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5297:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5298:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5299:     */
1.130     brouard  5300: 
1.242     brouard  5301:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5302:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5303:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5304:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5305: 
                   5306: 
1.242     brouard  5307:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5308:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5309:  
1.242     brouard  5310:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  5311: 
1.242     brouard  5312:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5313:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   5314:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5315:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5316:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5317:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5318:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   5319:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5320:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5321:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5322:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5323:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5324:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5325:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5326:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5327:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5328:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5329:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5330:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   5331:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   5332:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5333:             exit(1);
                   5334:           }else
                   5335:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5336:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5337:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5338:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5339:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5340:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5341:           */
                   5342:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5343:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5344:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5345:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5346:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5347:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5348:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5349:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5350:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5351:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5352:             if( j != -1){
                   5353:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5354:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5355:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5356:             }
                   5357:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5358:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5359:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5360:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5361:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5362:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5363:                        
1.242     brouard  5364:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5365:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5366:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5367:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5368:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5369:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5370:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5371:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5372:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5373:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5374:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5375:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5376:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   5377:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5378:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5379:             break;
                   5380:           }
                   5381:           ij++;
                   5382:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   5383:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5384:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5385:         break;
                   5386:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5387:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5388:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5389:         ij=0;
                   5390:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5391:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5392:         }
                   5393:         break;
                   5394:        default:
                   5395:         break;
                   5396:        } /* end switch */
                   5397:      } /* end dummy test */
                   5398:     
                   5399:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   5400:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   5401:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   5402:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   5403:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5404:      /*        } */
                   5405:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5406:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5407:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5408:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5409:      /*          break; */
                   5410:      /*        } */
                   5411:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5412:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5413:   
                   5414:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5415:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5416:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5417:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5418:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5419:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5420:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5421:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5422:   
                   5423:    ij=0;
                   5424:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5425:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5426:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5427:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5428:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5429:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5430:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5431:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5432:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5433:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5434:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5435:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5436:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5437:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5438:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5439:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5440:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5441:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5442:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5443:      } 
                   5444:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5445:    /* ij--; */
                   5446:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5447:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5448:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5449:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5450:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5451:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5452:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5453:    }
                   5454:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5455:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5456:    }
                   5457:    /* To be sorted */
                   5458:    ;
                   5459:  }
1.126     brouard  5460: 
1.145     brouard  5461: 
1.126     brouard  5462: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5463: 
1.235     brouard  5464:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5465: 
                   5466: {
                   5467:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5468:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5469:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5470:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5471:   double ***p3mat;
                   5472:   double eip;
                   5473: 
1.238     brouard  5474:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5475:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5476:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5477:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5478:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5479:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5480:     }
                   5481:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5482:   }
                   5483:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5484: 
                   5485:   
                   5486:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5487:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5488:   }
                   5489:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5490:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5491:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5492:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5493:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5494:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5495:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5496:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5497:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5498:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5499:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5500: 
                   5501:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5502:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5503:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5504:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5505:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5506:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5507:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5508:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5509:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5510:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5511:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5512:   */
                   5513:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5514: 
                   5515:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5516:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5517:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5518:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5519:     
                   5520: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5521:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5522:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5523:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5524:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5525:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5526: 
                   5527:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5528:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5529:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5530:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5531:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5532: 
                   5533:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5534:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5535:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5536:     
1.235     brouard  5537:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5538:     
                   5539:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5540:     
                   5541:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5542:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5543:     
                   5544:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5545:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5546:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5547:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5548:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5549:          
                   5550:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5551: 
                   5552:        }
                   5553: 
                   5554:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5555:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5556:       eip=0;
                   5557:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5558:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5559:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5560:       }
                   5561:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5562:     }
                   5563:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5564:     
                   5565:   }
                   5566:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5567:   printf("\n");
                   5568:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5569:   
                   5570: }
                   5571: 
1.235     brouard  5572:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5573: 
                   5574: {
                   5575:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5576:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5577:   */
                   5578:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5579:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5580:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5581:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5582:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5583:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5584:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5585:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5586:   int theta;
                   5587: 
                   5588:   double eip, vip;
                   5589: 
                   5590:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5591:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5592:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5593:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5594:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5595:   
                   5596:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5597:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5598:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5599:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5600:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5601:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5602:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5603:   }
                   5604:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5605: 
                   5606:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5607:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5608:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5609:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5610:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5611:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5612:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5613:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5614:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5615:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5616:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5617:        }
                   5618:     }
                   5619:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5620:   
                   5621:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5622:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5623:   }
                   5624:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5625:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5626:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5627:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5628:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5629:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5630:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5631:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5632:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5633:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5634:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5635: 
                   5636:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5637:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5638:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5639:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5640:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5641:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5642:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5643:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5644:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5645:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5646:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5647:   */
                   5648:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5649: 
                   5650:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5651:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5652:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5653:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5654:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5655:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5656:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5657:   
                   5658:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5659:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5660:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5661:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5662:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5663:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5664: 
                   5665:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5666:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5667:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5668:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5669:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5670:                
1.126     brouard  5671:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5672:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5673:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5674:     
                   5675:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5676:                
1.126     brouard  5677:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5678:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5679:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5680:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5681:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5682:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5683:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5684:       }
1.235     brouard  5685:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5686:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5687:                        
1.126     brouard  5688:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5689:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5690:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5691:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5692:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5693:          }
                   5694:        }
1.126     brouard  5695:       }
1.218     brouard  5696:                        
1.126     brouard  5697:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5698:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5699:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5700:        }
1.126     brouard  5701:     }/* End theta */
                   5702:     
                   5703:     
                   5704:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5705:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5706:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5707:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5708:     
1.218     brouard  5709:                
1.222     brouard  5710:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5711:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5712:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5713:                
1.222     brouard  5714:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5715:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5716:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5717:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5718:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5719:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5720:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5721:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5722:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5723:       }
                   5724:     }
1.218     brouard  5725:                
1.126     brouard  5726:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5727:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5728:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5729:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5730:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5731:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5732:                                        
1.222     brouard  5733:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5734:                                        
1.222     brouard  5735:        }
1.269     brouard  5736: 
                   5737:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  5738:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5739:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5740:       eip=0.;
                   5741:       vip=0.;
                   5742:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5743:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5744:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5745:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5746:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5747:       }
                   5748:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5749:     }
                   5750:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5751:                
1.269     brouard  5752:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  5753:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5754:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5755:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5756:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5757:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5758:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5759:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5760:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5761:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5762:          }
1.126     brouard  5763:       }
                   5764:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5765:                
1.126     brouard  5766:   }
                   5767:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5768:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5769:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5770:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5771:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5772:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5773:   printf("\n");
                   5774:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5775:        
1.126     brouard  5776:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5777:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5778:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5779:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5780:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5781: }
1.218     brouard  5782:  
1.126     brouard  5783: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5784:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5785:  {
1.279     brouard  5786:    /** Variance of health expectancies 
                   5787:     *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
                   5788:     * double **newm;
                   5789:     * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
                   5790:     */
1.218     brouard  5791:   
                   5792:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5793:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5794:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5795:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5796:    int k;
                   5797:    double *xp;
1.279     brouard  5798:    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
                   5799:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
                   5800:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5801:    double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5802:    double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
1.218     brouard  5803:    double ***p3mat;
                   5804:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5805:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5806:    int theta;
                   5807:    char digit[4];
                   5808:    char digitp[25];
                   5809: 
                   5810:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5811: 
                   5812:    if(popbased==1){
                   5813:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5814:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5815:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5816:    }
                   5817:    else 
                   5818:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5819: 
1.218     brouard  5820:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5821:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5822:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5823:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5824:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5825:    /*   } */
                   5826:    /* } */
                   5827: 
                   5828:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5829:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5830:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5831:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5832:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5833:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5834:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5835:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5836:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5837:    }
                   5838:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5839:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5840:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5841:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5842:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5843:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5844:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5845:    }
                   5846:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5847:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5848:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5849: 
1.218     brouard  5850:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5851:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5852:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5853:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5854:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5855:    }  
                   5856:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5857:   
                   5858:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5859:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5860:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5861:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5862:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
1.279     brouard  5863: 
1.218     brouard  5864:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5865:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5866:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5867:    if(popbased==1)
                   5868:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5869:    else
                   5870:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5871:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5872:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5873:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5874:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5875:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5876: 
                   5877:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5878:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5879:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5880:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5881:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5882: 
                   5883:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5884:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5885:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5886:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5887:   
1.218     brouard  5888:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5889:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5890:    }
                   5891:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5892:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5893:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5894:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5895:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5896:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5897:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5898:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5899:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5900:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5901:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5902:    */
                   5903:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5904:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5905:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5906:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5907:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5908:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5909:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5910:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5911:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5912:                
                   5913:                
                   5914:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5915:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5916:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5917:        }
1.279     brouard  5918:        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
                   5919:        * returns into prlim .
                   5920:        */              
1.242     brouard  5921:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.279     brouard  5922: 
                   5923:        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
1.218     brouard  5924:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5925:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5926:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5927:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5928:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5929:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5930:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5931:         }
                   5932:        }
1.279     brouard  5933:        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
                   5934:        */                      
                   5935:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
                   5936:        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
                   5937:        * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
                   5938:        */
1.218     brouard  5939:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5940:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5941:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5942:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5943:         }
                   5944:        }
1.279     brouard  5945:        /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
1.218     brouard  5946:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
1.279     brouard  5947:          as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
1.218     brouard  5948:        */
                   5949:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5950:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5951:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
1.279     brouard  5952:        }
                   5953:        
                   5954:        /* Again with minus shift */
1.218     brouard  5955:                        
                   5956:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5957:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5958:                        
1.242     brouard  5959:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5960:                        
                   5961:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5962:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5963:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5964:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5965:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5966:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5967:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5968:         }
                   5969:        }
                   5970:                        
1.235     brouard  5971:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5972:                        
                   5973:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5974:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5975:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5976:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5977:         }
                   5978:        }
                   5979:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5980:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5981:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5982:        */
                   5983:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5984:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5985:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5986:        }    
1.279     brouard  5987:        /* end shifting computations */
                   5988: 
                   5989:        /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
                   5990:        */
1.218     brouard  5991:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5992:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5993:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5994:         }
1.279     brouard  5995:        /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
                   5996:        */
                   5997:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
1.218     brouard  5998:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5999:        }
                   6000:                        
                   6001:      } /* End theta */
1.279     brouard  6002:      
                   6003:      /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */               
1.218     brouard  6004:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   6005:                
                   6006:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   6007:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6008:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6009:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   6010:                
                   6011:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   6012:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6013:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
1.279     brouard  6014:      /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
                   6015:       */               
1.218     brouard  6016:                
                   6017:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   6018:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6019:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6020:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
1.279     brouard  6021: 
                   6022:      /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
                   6023:       * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
                   6024:       * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
                   6025:       */
                   6026:      
1.218     brouard  6027:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   6028:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   6029:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6030:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6031:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6032:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6033:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   6034:        }
                   6035:      }
                   6036:                
1.279     brouard  6037:      /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
                   6038:       * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
                   6039:       * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
                   6040:       * wix is independent of theta.
                   6041:       */
1.218     brouard  6042:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6043:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6044:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6045:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6046:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6047:      /* end ppptj */
                   6048:      /*  x centered again */
                   6049:                
1.242     brouard  6050:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6051:                
                   6052:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6053:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6054:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6055:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6056:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6057:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6058:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6059:        }
                   6060:      }
                   6061:                
                   6062:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6063:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6064:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6065:      */
1.235     brouard  6066:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6067:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6068:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6069:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6070:      }    
                   6071:      /* end probability of death */
                   6072:                
                   6073:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6074:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6075:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6076:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6077:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6078:        }
                   6079:      } 
                   6080:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6081:                
                   6082:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6083:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6084:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6085:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6086:        }
                   6087:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6088:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6089:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6090:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6091:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6092:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6093:    } /* End age */
                   6094:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6095:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6096:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6097:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6098:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6099:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6100:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6101:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6102:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6103:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6104:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6105:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6106:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6107:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6108:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6109:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6110:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6111:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6112:     */
1.218     brouard  6113:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6114:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6115: 
1.218     brouard  6116:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6117:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6118:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6119:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6120:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6121:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6122:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6123:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6124:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6125:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6126:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6127: 
                   6128: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6129:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6130: {
1.205     brouard  6131:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6132:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6133: 
1.268     brouard  6134:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6135:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6136:   double *xp;
                   6137:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6138:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6139:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6140:   double age,agelim;
                   6141:   int theta;
                   6142:   
                   6143:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   6144:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6145:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6146:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6147:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6148:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6149:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6150:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6151: 
                   6152:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6153:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6154:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6155:   
                   6156:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6157:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6158:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6159:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6160:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6161:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6162:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6163:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6164:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6165:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6166:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6167:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6168: 
                   6169:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6170:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6171:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6172:       }
1.209     brouard  6173:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6174:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6175:       else
1.235     brouard  6176:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6177:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6178:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6179:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6180:       }
1.126     brouard  6181:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6182:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  6183:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6184:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6185:       else
1.235     brouard  6186:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6187:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6188:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6189:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6190:       }
1.126     brouard  6191:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6192:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6193:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6194:     } /* End theta */
                   6195: 
                   6196:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6197: 
                   6198:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6199:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6200:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6201:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6202:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6203:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6204:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6205:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6206:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6207:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6208:     /*   } */
                   6209:     /* } */
                   6210:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6211:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6212:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6213:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6214:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6215:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6216:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6217:     /*   } */
                   6218:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6219: 
                   6220:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6221:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6222:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6223:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6224:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6225:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6226:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6227:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6228:     }
1.126     brouard  6229:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6230:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6231: 
                   6232:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6233:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6234:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  6235:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6236:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6237:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6238:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6239:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6240:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6241:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6242:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6243:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6244:   } /* End age */
                   6245: 
                   6246:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6247:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6248:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6249: 
                   6250: }
                   6251: 
                   6252: 
                   6253: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6254:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6255: {
                   6256:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6257:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6258: 
                   6259:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6260:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6261:   double *xp;
                   6262:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6263:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6264:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6265:   double age,agelim;
                   6266:   int theta;
                   6267:   
                   6268:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6269:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6270:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6271:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6272:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6273:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6274:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6275:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6276: 
                   6277:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6278:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6279:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6280:   
                   6281:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6282:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6283:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6284:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6285:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6286:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6287:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6288:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6289:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6290:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6291:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6292:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6293: 
                   6294:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6295:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6296:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6297:       }
                   6298:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6299:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6300:       else
                   6301:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6302:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6303:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6304:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6305:       }
                   6306:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6307:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6308:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6309:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6310:        else
                   6311:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6312:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6313:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6314:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6315:       }
                   6316:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6317:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6318:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6319:     } /* End theta */
                   6320: 
                   6321:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6322: 
                   6323:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6324:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6325:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6326:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6327:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6328:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6329:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6330:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6331:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6332:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6333:     /*   } */
                   6334:     /* } */
                   6335:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6336:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6337:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6338:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6339:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6340:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6341:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6342:     /*   } */
                   6343:     /* } */
                   6344: 
                   6345:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6346:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6347:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6348:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6349:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6350:     }else{
                   6351:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6352:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6353:     }
                   6354:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6355:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6356: 
                   6357:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6358:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6359:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6360:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6361:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6362:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6363:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6364:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6365:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6366:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6367:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6368:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6369:   } /* End age */
                   6370: 
                   6371:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6372:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6373:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6374: 
                   6375: }
                   6376: 
                   6377: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6378: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6379:  {
                   6380:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6381:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6382:    int k=0, l;
                   6383:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   6384:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6385:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6386:    double *xp;
                   6387:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6388:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6389:    double **mu;
                   6390:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6391:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6392:    int theta;
                   6393:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6394:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6395:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6396:    double ***varpij;
                   6397: 
                   6398:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6399:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6400:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6401:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6402:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6403:    }
                   6404:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6405:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6406:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6407:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6408:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6409:    }
                   6410:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6411:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6412:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6413:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6414:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6415:    }
                   6416:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6417:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6418:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6419:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6420:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6421:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6422:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6423:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6424:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6425:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6426:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6427:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6428:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6429:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6430:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6431: 
                   6432: 
1.222     brouard  6433:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6434:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6435:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6436:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6437:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6438:      }  
                   6439:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6440:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6441:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6442:    */
                   6443:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6444:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6445:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6446:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6447:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6448:    first=1;
                   6449:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6450:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6451:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6452: 
1.266     brouard  6453:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6454:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6455:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6456: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6457:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6458:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6459: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6460: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6461: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6462:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6463:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6464: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6465: 
1.222     brouard  6466:    cov[1]=1;
                   6467:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6468:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6469:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6470:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6471:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  6472:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6473:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6474:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6475:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6476:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6477:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6478:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6479:                        
1.222     brouard  6480:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6481:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6482:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6483:                        
                   6484:                        
1.222     brouard  6485:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6486:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6487:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6488:                        
1.222     brouard  6489:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6490:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6491:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6492:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6493:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6494:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6495:         continue;
                   6496:        }
                   6497:      }
                   6498:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6499:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6500:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6501:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6502:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6503:        cov[2]=age;
                   6504:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6505:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   6506:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   6507:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   6508:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6509:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6510:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6511:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6512:                                                                    */
                   6513:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6514:        }
                   6515:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   6516:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   6517:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   6518:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  6519:                        
                   6520:                        
1.222     brouard  6521:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6522:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6523:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6524:                                
1.222     brouard  6525:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6526:                                
1.222     brouard  6527:         k=0;
                   6528:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   6529:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6530:             k=k+1;
                   6531:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6532:           }
                   6533:         }
1.220     brouard  6534:                                
1.222     brouard  6535:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6536:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6537:                                
1.222     brouard  6538:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   6539:         k=0;
                   6540:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6541:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6542:             k=k+1;
                   6543:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6544:           }
                   6545:         }
1.220     brouard  6546:                                
1.222     brouard  6547:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   6548:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   6549:        }
1.126     brouard  6550: 
1.222     brouard  6551:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6552:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6553:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6554:                        
1.222     brouard  6555:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6556:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6557:                        
1.222     brouard  6558:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6559:                        
1.222     brouard  6560:        k=0;
                   6561:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6562:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6563:           k=k+1;
                   6564:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6565:         }
                   6566:        }
                   6567:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6568:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6569:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6570:                        
1.222     brouard  6571:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6572:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6573:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6574:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6575:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6576:                        
1.222     brouard  6577:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6578:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6579:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6580:                        
1.222     brouard  6581:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6582:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6583:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6584:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6585:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6586:        }
                   6587:        i=0;
                   6588:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6589:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6590:           i++;
                   6591:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6592:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6593:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6594:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6595:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6596:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6597:           }
                   6598:         }
                   6599:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6600:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6601:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6602:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6603:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6604:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6605:     
                   6606:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6607:      /*
                   6608:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6609:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6610:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6611:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6612:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6613:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6614:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6615:      */
                   6616:                
                   6617:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6618:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6619:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6620:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6621:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6622:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6623:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6624:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6625:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6626:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6627:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6628:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6629:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6630:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6631:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6632:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6633:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6634:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6635:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6636:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6637:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6638:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6639:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6640:                   if(first2==1){
                   6641:                     first1=0;
                   6642:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6643:                   }
                   6644:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6645:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6646:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6647:                 }
1.220     brouard  6648:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6649:                 /* Eigen vectors */
1.280     brouard  6650:                 if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
                   6651:                   printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   6652:                   fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   6653:                   v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
                   6654:                 }else
                   6655:                   v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
1.222     brouard  6656:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6657:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6658:                 v12=-v21;
                   6659:                 v22=v11;
                   6660:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6661:                 if(first1==1){
                   6662:                   first1=0;
                   6663:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6664:                 }
                   6665:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6666:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6667:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6668:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6669:                 if(first==1){
                   6670:                   first=0;
                   6671:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6672:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6673:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6674:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  6675:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6676:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6677: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6678:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6679:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6680:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6681:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6682:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6683:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6684:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6685:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.280     brouard  6686:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
                   6687:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  6688:                 }else{
                   6689:                   first=0;
                   6690:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6691:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6692:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6693:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  6694:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6695:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  6696:                 }/* if first */
                   6697:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6698:             } /* end loop age */
                   6699:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6700:             first=1;
                   6701:           } /*l12 */
                   6702:         } /* k12 */
                   6703:        } /*l1 */
                   6704:      }/* k1 */
                   6705:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6706:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6707:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6708:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6709:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6710:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6711:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6712:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6713:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6714:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6715:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6716:  }
1.126     brouard  6717: 
                   6718: 
                   6719: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6720: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6721:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6722:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.258     brouard  6723:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.273     brouard  6724:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   6725:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  6726:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6727: 
                   6728:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6729:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6730: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6731:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6732: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6733:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6734:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6735:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6736:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6737:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6738:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6739:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6740:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6741:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6742:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6743:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6744:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6745:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6746:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6747:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6748:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6749:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6750:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6751:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6752:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6753:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6754:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6755:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6756:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6757:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6758:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6759:    }
1.126     brouard  6760: 
                   6761: 
1.225     brouard  6762:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6763:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6764: 
1.264     brouard  6765:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
                   6766: 
                   6767:    jj1=0;
                   6768: 
                   6769:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   6770:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   6771:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6772:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6773:        continue;
                   6774:      jj1++;
                   6775:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6776:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   6777:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6778:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6779:        }
                   6780:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6781:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6782:        }
                   6783:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   6784:        
                   6785:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   6786:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   6787:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6788:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6789:        }
                   6790:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6791:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6792:        }
                   6793:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6794:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   6795:         continue;
                   6796:        }
                   6797:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   6798:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   6799:    }
                   6800:      fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   6801: 
1.222     brouard  6802:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6803: 
                   6804:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6805:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  6806:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6807:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6808: 
1.222     brouard  6809:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6810:      jj1++;
                   6811:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  6812:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   6813:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6814:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6815:        }
                   6816:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6817:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6818:        }
                   6819:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   6820:  
1.222     brouard  6821:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6822:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6823:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6824:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6825:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6826:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6827:        }
1.237     brouard  6828:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6829:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6830:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6831:       }
                   6832:        
1.230     brouard  6833:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6834:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6835:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6836:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6837:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6838:         continue;
                   6839:        }
                   6840:      }
                   6841:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  6842:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6843: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6844:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6845:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6846: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6847:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6848:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6849:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6850:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6851: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6852: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6853:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6854:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6855:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6856: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6857:      }
                   6858:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6859:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6860:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6861:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6862:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6863:      }
                   6864:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6865:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6866:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6867: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6868:      }
                   6869:      if(backcast==1){
                   6870:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6871:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6872:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6873: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6874:        }
1.217     brouard  6875:      }
1.222     brouard  6876:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6877:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6878:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6879:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6880: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6881:        }
                   6882:      }
1.268     brouard  6883:      if(backcast==1){
                   6884:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   6885:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6886:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   6887:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   6888:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
                   6889: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6890:  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  6891:        }
                   6892:      }
1.220     brouard  6893:         
1.222     brouard  6894:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6895:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6896: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6897:      }
                   6898:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6899:    }/* End k1 */
                   6900:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6901: 
1.222     brouard  6902:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6903: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6904:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6905:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6906: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6907: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6908: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6909: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6910: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6911: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6912: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6913: 
1.222     brouard  6914:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6915:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6916:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6917:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6918:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6919: 
1.222     brouard  6920:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6921:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6922:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6923:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6924:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6925:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6926:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6927:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6928:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6929:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6930:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6931:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6932:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6933:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6934:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6935:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6936:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6937:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6938:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6939:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6940: 
                   6941: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6942: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6943: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6944: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6945: /*  else  */
                   6946: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6947:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6948:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6949: 
1.225     brouard  6950:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6951:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6952: 
1.222     brouard  6953:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6954: 
1.241     brouard  6955:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6956:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  6957:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6958:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6959:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6960:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6961:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6962:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6963:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6964:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6965:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6966:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6967:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6968:       }
                   6969: 
1.126     brouard  6970:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6971: 
1.222     brouard  6972:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6973:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6974:         continue;
                   6975:        }
1.126     brouard  6976:      }
                   6977:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  6978:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6979: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
1.258     brouard  6980: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6981:      }
                   6982:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6983: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6984: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6985:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6986:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6987: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6988:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6989:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6990:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6991:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6992:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6993: }
                   6994: 
                   6995: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.270     brouard  6996: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  6997: 
                   6998:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  6999:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  7000:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  7001:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  7002:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  7003:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  7004:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  7005:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   7006:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  7007:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  7008:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  7009: 
1.126     brouard  7010: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   7011: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7012: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7013: /*   } */
                   7014: 
                   7015:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7016:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  7017:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  7018:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7019: 
1.274     brouard  7020:   /* diagram of the model */
                   7021:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   7022:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   7023:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   7024:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7025: 
                   7026:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7027:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   7028:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7029:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   7030:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   7031:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   7032:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   7033: 
1.202     brouard  7034:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   7035:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  7036:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   7037:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   7038:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   7039:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  7040: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  7041:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   7042: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  7043:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   7044:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7045:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7046:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7047:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7048:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7049:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7050:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7051:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7052:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7053:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7054:     }
                   7055:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7056:   }
                   7057:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7058:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7059:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7060:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7061:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7062: 
1.126     brouard  7063:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7064:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7065:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7066:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7067:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7068:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7069:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7070:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7071:          continue;
                   7072:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7073:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  7074:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7075:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7076:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7077:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7078:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7079:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7080:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7081:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7082:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7083:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7084:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7085:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7086:        }
                   7087:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7088:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7089:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7090:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7091:        }
                   7092:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7093:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7094:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7095:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7096:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7097:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7098:          continue;
                   7099:        }
1.235     brouard  7100:       
1.241     brouard  7101:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7102:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276     brouard  7103:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
                   7104:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.260     brouard  7105:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7106:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7107:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7108:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7109:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7110:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7111:        }
1.260     brouard  7112:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7113:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7114:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7115:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7116:        } 
1.260     brouard  7117:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7118:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7119:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7120:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7121:        }  
1.265     brouard  7122:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7123:        
                   7124:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7125:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7126:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7127:        }else{
                   7128:          kl=0;
                   7129:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7130:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7131:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7132:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7133:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7134:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7135:            kl++;
                   7136:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7137:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7138:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7139:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7140:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7141:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7142:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7143:            }else{
                   7144:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7145:              kl++;
                   7146:            }
                   7147:          } /* end covariate */
                   7148:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7149: 
1.238     brouard  7150:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   7151:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7152:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7153:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7154:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7155:          }else{
                   7156:            kl=0;
                   7157:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7158:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7159:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7160:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7161:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7162:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7163:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7164:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7165:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7166:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7167:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7168:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7169:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7170:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7171:              }else{
                   7172:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7173:                kl++;
                   7174:              }
                   7175:            } /* end covariate */
                   7176:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.268     brouard  7177:          if(backcast == 1){
                   7178:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7179:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7180:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7181:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7182:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7183:            }
1.271     brouard  7184:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7185:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7186:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7187:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7188:            } 
1.276     brouard  7189:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7190:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7191:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7192:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7193:            } 
1.274     brouard  7194:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7195:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.238     brouard  7196:        } /* end if backcast */
1.276     brouard  7197:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
                   7198:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7199:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7200:     } /* k1 */
                   7201:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7202: 
                   7203:   
1.126     brouard  7204:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7205:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7206:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7207:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7208:        continue;
                   7209:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7210:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7211:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7212:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7213:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7214:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7215:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7216:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7217:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7218:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7219:       }
1.237     brouard  7220:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7221:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7222:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7223:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7224:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7225:       }
1.264     brouard  7226:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7227:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7228:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7229:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7230:        continue;
                   7231:       }
1.219     brouard  7232:                        
1.241     brouard  7233:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7234:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7235:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7236:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7237:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7238:        }else
1.238     brouard  7239:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7240:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7241:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7242:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7243:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7244:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7245:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7246:          }   
                   7247:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7248:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7249:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7250:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7251:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7252:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7253:          }   
                   7254:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7255:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7256:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7257:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7258:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7259:          }   
                   7260:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7261:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7262:        } /* state */
                   7263:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7264:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7265:     } /* end nres */
                   7266:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7267:        
                   7268:        
                   7269:   /*3eme*/
                   7270:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7271:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7272:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7273:        continue;
                   7274: 
                   7275:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7276:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7277:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7278:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7279:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7280:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7281:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7282:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7283:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7284:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7285:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7286:        }
                   7287:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7288:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7289:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7290:        }       
1.264     brouard  7291:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7292:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7293:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7294:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7295:          continue;
                   7296:        }
                   7297:                        
                   7298:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7299:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7300:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7301:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7302:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7303: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7304:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7305:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7306:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7307:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7308:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7309:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7310:                                
1.238     brouard  7311:        */
                   7312:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7313:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7314:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7315:                                
1.238     brouard  7316:        } 
1.261     brouard  7317:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7318:       }
1.264     brouard  7319:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7320:     } /* end nres */
                   7321:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7322:   
1.223     brouard  7323:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7324:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7325:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7326:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7327:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7328:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7329:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7330:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7331:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7332:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7333:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7334:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7335:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7336:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7337:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7338:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7339:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7340:        }
                   7341:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7342:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7343:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7344:        }       
1.264     brouard  7345:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7346:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7347:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7348:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7349:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7350:        }
1.238     brouard  7351:       
1.241     brouard  7352:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7353:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7354:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7355: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7356:        k=3;
                   7357:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7358:          if(i==1){
                   7359:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7360:          }else{
                   7361:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7362:          }
                   7363:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7364:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7365:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7366:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7367:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7368:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7369:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7370:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7371:     } /* end nres */
                   7372:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7373: 
1.220     brouard  7374: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7375:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7376:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7377:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7378:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7379:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7380:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7381:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7382:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7383:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7384:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7385:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7386:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7387:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7388:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7389:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7390:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7391:        }
                   7392:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7393:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7394:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7395:        }       
1.264     brouard  7396:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7397:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7398:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7399:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7400:          continue;
                   7401:        }
1.227     brouard  7402:       
1.241     brouard  7403:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7404:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7405:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7406: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7407:        k=3;
                   7408:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7409:          if(j==1)
                   7410:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7411:          else
                   7412:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7413:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7414:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7415:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7416:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7417:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7418:        } /* nlstate */
                   7419:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7420:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7421:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7422:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7423:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7424:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7425:          else
                   7426:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7427:        }
1.264     brouard  7428:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7429:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7430:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7431:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7432:   
1.220     brouard  7433: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7434:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7435:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7436:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7437:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7438:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7439:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7440:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.211     brouard  7441:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7442:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7443:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7444:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7445:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7446:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7447:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7448:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7449:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7450:       }
1.237     brouard  7451:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7452:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7453:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7454:       }        
1.264     brouard  7455:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7456:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7457:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7458:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7459:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7460:       }
1.227     brouard  7461:       
1.241     brouard  7462:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7463:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7464:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7465: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7466:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7467:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7468:        if(i==1)
                   7469:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7470:        else
                   7471:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7472:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7473:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7474:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   7475:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7476:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  7477:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7478:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  7479:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7480:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  7481:   
                   7482:   
1.220     brouard  7483: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  7484:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  7485:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7486:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7487:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7488:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7489:        continue;
1.268     brouard  7490:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  7491:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7492:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  7493:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7494:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7495:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7496:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  7497:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  7498:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7499:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7500:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7501:        }
1.237     brouard  7502:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7503:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7504:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7505:        }       
1.264     brouard  7506:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7507:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7508:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7509:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7510:          continue;
                   7511:        }
                   7512:        
1.241     brouard  7513:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7514:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7515:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7516: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  7517:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  7518:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  7519:          if(i==1)
                   7520:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7521:          else
                   7522:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7523:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  7524:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7525:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   7526:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  7527:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  7528:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   7529:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   7530:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  7531:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  7532:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7533:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  7534:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7535:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7536:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7537:   
1.223     brouard  7538:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  7539:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   7540:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   7541:     
1.237     brouard  7542:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7543:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7544:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7545:        continue;
1.211     brouard  7546:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  7547:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.227     brouard  7548:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7549:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7550:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7551:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7552:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7553:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7554:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7555:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7556:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7557:        }
1.237     brouard  7558:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7559:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7560:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7561:        }       
1.264     brouard  7562:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7563:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7564:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7565:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7566:          continue;
                   7567:        }
                   7568:        
                   7569:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  7570:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7571:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7572:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7573: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  7574: 
                   7575:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7576:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7577:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7578:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  7579:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7580:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7581:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7582:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  7583:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  7584:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   7585:          }else{
                   7586:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7587:          }
                   7588:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7589:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7590:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7591:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7592:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7593:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7594:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  7595:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7596:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  7597:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7598:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7599:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7600:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  7601:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  7602:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  7603:            }else
1.227     brouard  7604:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7605:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7606:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7607:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7608:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7609:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7610:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7611:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  7612:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7613:            kl=0;
                   7614:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7615:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7616:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7617:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7618:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7619:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7620:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7621:              kl++;
                   7622:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7623:              kl++;
                   7624:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7625:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7626:            }
                   7627:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7628:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7629:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7630:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7631:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7632:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7633:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7634:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  7635:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7636:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   7637:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7638:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   7639:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  7640: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  7641:            }else{
                   7642:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7643:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7644:            }
                   7645:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7646:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7647:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  7648:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7649:     } /* end covariate */
                   7650:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  7651:   
1.268     brouard  7652:   if(backcast==1){
                   7653:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   7654:     
                   7655:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7656:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   7657:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7658:        continue;
                   7659:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   7660:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7661:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7662:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7663:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7664:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7665:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7666:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7667:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7668:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7669:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7670:        }
                   7671:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7672:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7673:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7674:        }       
                   7675:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   7676:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7677:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7678:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7679:          continue;
                   7680:        }
                   7681:        
                   7682:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   7683:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7684:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   7685:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   7686: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7687: 
                   7688:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7689:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7690:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7691:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   7692:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7693:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7694:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7695:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7696:          if(i==istart){
                   7697:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   7698:          }else{
                   7699:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7700:          }
                   7701:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7702:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7703:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7704:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7705:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7706:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7707:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   7708:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7709:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  7710:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7711:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7712:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7713:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  7714:                     offbyear,                          \
                   7715:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   7716:            }else
                   7717:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7718:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   7719:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7720:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7721:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7722:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7723:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7724:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  7725:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7726:            kl=0;
                   7727:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7728:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7729:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7730:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7731:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7732:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7733:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7734:              kl++;
                   7735:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7736:              kl++;
                   7737:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7738:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7739:            }
                   7740:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7741:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7742:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7743:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7744:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7745:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7746:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7747:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  7748:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7749:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  7750:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  7751:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7752:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   7753:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  7754: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   7755:            }else{
                   7756:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   7757:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7758:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   7759:            }
                   7760:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7761:        } /* nlstate */
                   7762:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   7763:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7764:     } /* end covariate */
                   7765:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7766:   
1.227     brouard  7767:   
1.238     brouard  7768:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   7769:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  7770:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  7771:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  7772:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   7773:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  7774:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   7775:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   7776:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   7777:          jk++; 
                   7778:        }
                   7779:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  7780:       }
                   7781:     }
1.223     brouard  7782:   }
1.187     brouard  7783:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  7784:   
1.145     brouard  7785:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  7786:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   7787:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  7788:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   7789:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   7790:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   7791:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   7792:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7793:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7794:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7795:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7796:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   7797:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7798:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   7799:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7800:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  7801:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  7802:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  7803:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  7804:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  7805:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   7806:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  7807:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  7808:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7809:        continue;
1.264     brouard  7810:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   7811:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276     brouard  7812:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  7813:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7814:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7815:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7816:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7817:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7818:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7819:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7820:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7821:       }
1.237     brouard  7822:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7823:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7824:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7825:       }        
1.264     brouard  7826:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  7827:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  7828:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276     brouard  7829:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
                   7830:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
                   7831:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  7832:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   7833:       if (ng==1){
                   7834:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   7835:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   7836:       }else if (ng==2){
                   7837:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   7838:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7839:       }else if (ng==3){
                   7840:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   7841:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7842:       }else
                   7843:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   7844:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   7845:       i=1;
                   7846:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   7847:        k3=i;
                   7848:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   7849:          if (k != k2){
                   7850:            switch( ng) {
                   7851:            case 1:
                   7852:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7853:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7854:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7855:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7856:              break;
                   7857:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   7858:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7859:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7860:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7861:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7862:              break;
                   7863:            case 3:
                   7864:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7865:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7866:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7867:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7868:              break;
                   7869:            }
                   7870:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7871:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7872:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7873:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7874:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  7875:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7876:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*/
                   7877:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7878:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){
                   7879:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7880:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7881:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7882:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7883:                    }
                   7884:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  7885:                  }
1.268     brouard  7886:                } 
                   7887:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   7888:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7889:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7890:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   7891:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7892:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   7893:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   7894:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7895:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7896:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7897:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7898:                      }
                   7899:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   7900:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   7901:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7902:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7903:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7904:                      }
1.237     brouard  7905:                    }
1.268     brouard  7906:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7907:                  }
1.268     brouard  7908:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  7909:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  7910:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  7911:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7912:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7913:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7914:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  7915:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  7916:                }
1.237     brouard  7917:              } /* end simple */
                   7918:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7919:          }else{
                   7920:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7921:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7922:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7923:          }
1.227     brouard  7924:          
1.223     brouard  7925:          if(ng != 1){
                   7926:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7927:            
1.264     brouard  7928:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  7929:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  7930:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  7931:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  7932:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7933:               
1.223     brouard  7934:              ij=1;
                   7935:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  7936:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   7937:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7938:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7939:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   7940:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7941:                       ij++;
                   7942:                     }
                   7943:                   }
                   7944:                 }else
                   7945:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7946:              }
                   7947:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7948:            }
                   7949:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7950:            if(ng ==2)
1.276     brouard  7951:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7952:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276     brouard  7953:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7954:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7955:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276     brouard  7956:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7957:          }
                   7958:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7959:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7960:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7961:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7962:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7963:        } /* end k */
                   7964:       } /* end k2 */
1.276     brouard  7965:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
                   7966:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  7967:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  7968:   } /* end ng */
                   7969:   /* avoid: */
                   7970:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7971: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7972: 
                   7973: 
                   7974: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7975: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7976:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7977:    
1.222     brouard  7978:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7979:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7980:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7981:    int iage=0;
                   7982: 
1.266     brouard  7983:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  7984:    double age;
1.266     brouard  7985:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   7986:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   7987:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  7988:   
                   7989:   
1.278     brouard  7990:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
                   7991:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
1.222     brouard  7992: 
                   7993:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7994:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7995:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7996:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  7997:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  7998:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7999:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8000: 
                   8001:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  8002:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8003:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8004:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   8005:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  8006:    }
                   8007:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   8008:   
1.266     brouard  8009:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   8010:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  8011:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   8012:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   8013:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8014:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   8015:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8016:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   8017:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   8018:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   8019:      */ 
                   8020:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   8021:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  8022:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   8023:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8024:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  8025:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8026:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   8027:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8028:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8029:             }
                   8030:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  8031:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8032:           } /* end i */
                   8033:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   8034:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  8035:        }/* end age */
                   8036:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  8037:    }else{
                   8038:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  8039:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  8040:    }
                   8041: 
                   8042:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  8043:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   8044:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   8045:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   8046:        continue;
                   8047:      }
1.219     brouard  8048: 
1.266     brouard  8049:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8050:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8051:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8052:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8053:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8054:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8055:        }
                   8056:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8057:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8058:        }
                   8059:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8060:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8061:        }
                   8062:      } /* age */
                   8063:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8064:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8065:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8066:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8067:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8068:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8069:        }
                   8070:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8071:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8072:        }
                   8073:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8074:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8075:        }
                   8076:      } /* age */
                   8077:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8078:      /* but they will change */
                   8079:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8080:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8081:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8082:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8083:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8084:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8085:        }
                   8086:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8087:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8088:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8089:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8090:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8091:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8092:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8093:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8094:           } /* i */
                   8095:         } /* end bad */
                   8096:        }else{
                   8097:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8098:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8099:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8100:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8101:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8102:           } /* i */
                   8103:         } /* end bad */
                   8104:        }/* end else */
                   8105:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8106:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8107:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8108:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8109:        }
                   8110:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8111:         printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8112:        } /* end bad */
                   8113:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8114:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8115:         printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8116:        } /* end bad */
                   8117:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8118: 
                   8119:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8120:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8121:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8122:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8123:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8124:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8125:        } 
                   8126:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8127:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8128:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8129:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8130:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8131:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8132:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8133:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8134:           } /* i */
                   8135:         } /* end bad */
                   8136:        }else{
                   8137:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8138:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8139:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8140:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8141:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8142:           } /* i */
                   8143:         } /* end bad */
                   8144:        }/* end else */
                   8145:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8146:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8147:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8148:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8149:        }
1.266     brouard  8150:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8151:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8152:        } /* end bad */
                   8153:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8154:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8155:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8156:        } /* end bad */
                   8157:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8158: 
1.222     brouard  8159:                
                   8160:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8161:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8162:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8163:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8164:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8165:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8166:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8167:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8168:        }
                   8169:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8170:      }
                   8171:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8172:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8173: 
1.222     brouard  8174:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8175:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8176:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8177:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8178:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8179:      /*   }     */
                   8180:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8181:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8182:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8183:      /*   } */
                   8184:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8185:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8186:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8187:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8188:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8189:      /*   } */
                   8190:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8191:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8192:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8193:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8194:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8195:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8196:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8197:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8198:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8199:    return 0;
                   8200:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8201:  
1.126     brouard  8202: 
                   8203: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.269     brouard  8204:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  8205:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8206:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8207:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8208:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   8209:   */
1.267     brouard  8210:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8211:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   8212:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   8213:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8214:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8215:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8216:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8217: 
                   8218:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8219:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8220:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8221:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8222:   */
1.214     brouard  8223:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8224:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8225:  
1.201     brouard  8226:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8227:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8228:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8229:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8230:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8231:   }
1.235     brouard  8232:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8233:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8234: 
1.225     brouard  8235:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8236: 
                   8237: 
                   8238:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8239:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8240:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8241:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8242:   }
1.270     brouard  8243:   else{
                   8244:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8245:   }
                   8246:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8247:     stepsize=2;
                   8248:   }
1.126     brouard  8249: 
                   8250:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   8251:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8252:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8253:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8254:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8255:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8256:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8257:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8258:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8259:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8260: 
1.227     brouard  8261:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8262:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8263:   
                   8264:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   8265:   
                   8266:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8267:   
1.126     brouard  8268: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8269:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8270:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8271:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8272:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8273:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8274:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8275:       continue;
                   8276:     }
                   8277:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8278:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8279:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8280:     }
1.235     brouard  8281:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8282:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8283:     }
1.227     brouard  8284:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8285:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8286:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8287:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8288:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8289:     }
                   8290:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   8291:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8292:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8293:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8294:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8295:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8296:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8297:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8298:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8299:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8300:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8301:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8302:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8303:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8304:            break;
                   8305:          }
                   8306:        }
                   8307:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8308:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8309:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8310:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8311:        
                   8312:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8313:          ppij=0.;
                   8314:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.278     brouard  8315:            if (mobilav>=1)
                   8316:             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
                   8317:            else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
                   8318:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   8319:            }
1.268     brouard  8320:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8321:          } /* end i */
                   8322:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8323:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8324:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8325:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8326:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8327:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8328:     } /* end yearp */
                   8329:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8330:        
1.126     brouard  8331:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8332:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8333:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8334: 
1.126     brouard  8335: }
                   8336: 
1.269     brouard  8337: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
                   8338:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.267     brouard  8339:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
                   8340:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8341:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8342:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8343:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8344:   */
                   8345:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8346:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.268     brouard  8347:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
1.267     brouard  8348:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8349:   double ***p3mat;
                   8350:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8351:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8352:  
1.268     brouard  8353:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8354:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8355:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8356:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8357:   */
                   8358:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8359:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8360: 
                   8361:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8362: 
                   8363:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8364:   
                   8365:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8366:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8367:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8368:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8369:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8370:   }
                   8371:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8372:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8373:   
                   8374:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8375:   
                   8376:    
                   8377:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8378:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8379:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8380:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8381:   }
1.270     brouard  8382:   else{
                   8383:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8384:   }
                   8385:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8386:     stepsize=2;
                   8387:   }
1.267     brouard  8388:   
                   8389:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
                   8390:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8391:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8392:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8393:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8394:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8395:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8396:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8397:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8398:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8399:   
                   8400:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8401:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8402:   
                   8403:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.268     brouard  8404:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8405:   
                   8406:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8407:   
                   8408:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8409:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8410:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8411:       continue;
                   8412:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8413:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8414:       continue;
                   8415:     }
1.268     brouard  8416:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8417:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8418:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8419:     }
                   8420:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8421:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8422:     }
                   8423:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8424:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8425:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8426:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8427:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8428:     }
                   8429:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {
                   8430:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8431:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8432:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8433:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8434:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8435:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8436:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8437:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8438:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8439:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8440:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8441:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8442:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8443:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8444:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8445:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8446:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8447:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8448:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8449:            break;
                   8450:          }
                   8451:        }
                   8452:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8453:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   8454:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8455:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8456:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   8457:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   8458:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   8459:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  8460:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8461:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8462:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   8463:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  8464:              /* else { */
                   8465:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8466:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  8467:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8468:          } /* end j */
                   8469:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   8470:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8471:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8472:          }
                   8473:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   8474:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  8475:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8476:       } /* end agec */
                   8477:     } /* end yearp */
                   8478:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  8479:   
1.267     brouard  8480:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  8481:   
1.267     brouard  8482:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   8483:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   8484:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  8485:        
1.267     brouard  8486: }
1.217     brouard  8487: 
1.269     brouard  8488: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   8489:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8490:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
                   8491:  
                   8492:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8493:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   8494:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8495:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   8496:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8497:    
                   8498:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   8499:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   8500:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8501:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   8502:       exit(0);
                   8503:     }
                   8504:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   8505:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8506:     
                   8507:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   8508:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   8509:     
                   8510:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8511:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8512: 
                   8513:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8514:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8515:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8516:        continue;
                   8517:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   8518:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   8519:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8520:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8521:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8522:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8523:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8524:       }
                   8525:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8526:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8527:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8528:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8529:       }        
                   8530:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   8531:       printf("******\n");
                   8532:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8533:       
                   8534:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8535:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8536:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8537:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8538:       /*}*/
                   8539:     }
                   8540:     
                   8541:     fclose(ficresvpl);
                   8542:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8543:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8544: 
                   8545:  }
                   8546: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   8547:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8548:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   8549: 
                   8550:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8551:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   8552: 
                   8553:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8554:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   8555:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8556: 
                   8557:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   8558:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   8559:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8560:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   8561:      exit(0);
                   8562:    }
                   8563:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   8564:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8565:    
                   8566:    
                   8567:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8568:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8569:    
                   8570:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8571:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8572:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8573:         continue;
                   8574:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   8575:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   8576:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8577:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8578:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8579:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8580:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8581:        }
                   8582:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8583:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8584:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8585:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8586:        }
                   8587:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   8588:        printf("******\n");
                   8589:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8590:        
                   8591:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8592:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8593:        
                   8594:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8595:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8596:        /*}*/
                   8597:      }
                   8598:    
                   8599:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   8600:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8601:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8602: 
                   8603:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   8604: 
1.126     brouard  8605: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  8606: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  8607:   
1.227     brouard  8608: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   8609: /*   int *popage; */
                   8610: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   8611: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   8612: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   8613: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   8614: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  8615: 
1.227     brouard  8616: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8617: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8618: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   8619: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  8620:   
1.227     brouard  8621: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  8622:   
                   8623:   
1.227     brouard  8624: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   8625: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   8626: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   8627: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8628: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8629: /*   } */
                   8630: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   8631: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  8632: 
1.227     brouard  8633: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  8634: 
1.227     brouard  8635: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   8636: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   8637: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   8638: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8639: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8640: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   8641: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  8642: 
1.227     brouard  8643: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   8644: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  8645:   
1.227     brouard  8646: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  8647:   
1.227     brouard  8648: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   8649: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  8650:        
1.227     brouard  8651: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8652: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   8653: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8654: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8655: /*     }  */
                   8656: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8657: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8658: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  8659:     
1.227     brouard  8660: /*     i=1;    */
                   8661: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  8662:     
1.227     brouard  8663: /*     imx=i; */
                   8664: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   8665: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8666:   
1.227     brouard  8667: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   8668: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   8669: /*       k=k+1; */
                   8670: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   8671: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   8672: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   8673: /*       } */
                   8674: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   8675: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   8676: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   8677: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  8678:       
1.227     brouard  8679: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   8680: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  8681:        
1.227     brouard  8682: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8683: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8684: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8685:          
1.227     brouard  8686: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8687: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8688: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  8689:          
1.227     brouard  8690: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8691: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8692: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8693: /*         }  */
                   8694: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8695: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8696: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8697: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   8698: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   8699: /*             else { */
                   8700: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   8701: /*             } */
                   8702: /*           } */
                   8703: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   8704: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   8705: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   8706: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   8707: /*           } */
                   8708: /*         } */
                   8709: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8710: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   8711: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   8712: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   8713: /*           } */
                   8714: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   8715: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  8716:            
1.227     brouard  8717: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   8718: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   8719: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   8720: /*       } */
                   8721: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8722: /*     } */
                   8723: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  8724:       
1.227     brouard  8725: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  8726:       
1.227     brouard  8727: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   8728: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   8729: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8730: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8731: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8732:          
1.227     brouard  8733: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8734: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8735: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   8736: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8737: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8738: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8739: /*         }  */
                   8740: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8741: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8742: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8743: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   8744: /*           } */
                   8745: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   8746: /*         } */
                   8747: /*       } */
                   8748: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8749: /*     } */
                   8750: /*       } */
                   8751: /*     }  */
                   8752: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8753:   
1.227     brouard  8754: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8755:   
1.227     brouard  8756: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8757: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   8758: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   8759: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   8760: /*   } */
                   8761: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8762: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8763: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   8764: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8765:  
1.126     brouard  8766: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   8767: {
                   8768:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   8769:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8770:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8771:     return (0);
                   8772:   }
                   8773:   fflush(fichier);
                   8774:   return (1);
                   8775: }
                   8776: 
                   8777: 
                   8778: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   8779: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   8780: {
                   8781: 
                   8782:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   8783: 
1.164     brouard  8784:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   8785:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  8786:   int numlinepar;
                   8787: 
                   8788:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8789:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8790:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8791:     jj=0;
                   8792:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8793:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8794:       jj++;
                   8795:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   8796:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8797:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8798:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8799:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8800:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8801:        printf(" 0.");
                   8802:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8803:       }
                   8804:       printf("\n");
                   8805:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8806:     }
                   8807:   }
                   8808:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8809:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8810:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   8811:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8812:     jj=0;
                   8813:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8814:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8815:       jj++;
                   8816:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8817:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8818:       fflush(stdout);
                   8819:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8820:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8821:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8822:        printf(" 0.");
                   8823:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8824:       }
                   8825:       numlinepar++;
                   8826:       printf("\n");
                   8827:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8828:     }
                   8829:   }
                   8830:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8831: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8832: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8833: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   8834: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   8835: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   8836: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   8837: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   8838: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8839:   fflush(stdout);
                   8840:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8841:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8842:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8843:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   8844:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8845:   
                   8846:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   8847:     jj=0;
                   8848:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8849:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8850:        if(j==i) continue;
                   8851:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8852:          jj++;
                   8853:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   8854:          if(itimes==1){
                   8855:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8856:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8857:          }else{
                   8858:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8859:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8860:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   8861:          }
                   8862:          ll=0;
                   8863:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   8864:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   8865:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   8866:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   8867:                ll++;
                   8868:                if(ll<=jj){
                   8869:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   8870:                  if(ll<jj){
                   8871:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8872:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8873:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8874:                    }else{
                   8875:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8876:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8877:                    }
                   8878:                  }else{
                   8879:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8880:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8881:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8882:                    }else{
                   8883:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8884:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8885:                    }
                   8886:                  }
                   8887:                }
                   8888:              } /* end lk */
                   8889:            } /* end lj */
                   8890:          } /* end li */
                   8891:          printf("\n");
                   8892:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8893:          numlinepar++;
                   8894:        } /* end k*/
                   8895:       } /*end j */
                   8896:     } /* end i */
                   8897:   } /* end itimes */
                   8898: 
                   8899: } /* end of prwizard */
                   8900: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   8901: double gompertz(double x[])
                   8902: { 
                   8903:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8904:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8905: 
1.220     brouard  8906:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  8907:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8908:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8909:     num=num+1;
                   8910:   }
                   8911:  
                   8912:  
                   8913:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8914:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8915: 
                   8916:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8917:     {
                   8918:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8919:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8920:       
                   8921:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8922:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8923:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8924:       
                   8925:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8926:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8927:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   8928:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8929:       }
                   8930:     }
                   8931: 
                   8932:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8933:  
                   8934:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   8935: }
                   8936: 
1.136     brouard  8937: #ifdef GSL
                   8938: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   8939: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   8940: { 
                   8941:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8942:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   8943:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8944: 
                   8945:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   8946:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8947:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8948:     num=num+1;
                   8949:   }
                   8950:  
                   8951:  
                   8952:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8953:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8954:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   8955:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8956:     {
                   8957:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8958:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8959:       
                   8960:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8961:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8962:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8963:       
                   8964:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8965:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8966:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   8967:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8968:       }
                   8969:     }
                   8970: 
                   8971:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8972:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   8973:  
                   8974:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   8975: }
                   8976: #endif
                   8977: 
1.126     brouard  8978: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  8979: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  8980:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   8981:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   8982:   int i,k;
                   8983: 
                   8984:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   8985:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8986:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   8987:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  8988:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  8989:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   8990: 
                   8991: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   8992: 
                   8993:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   8994: 
                   8995:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   8996:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   8997: 
                   8998:  
                   8999:   fflush(fichtm);
                   9000: }
                   9001: 
                   9002: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  9003: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  9004: 
                   9005:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  9006: 
1.126     brouard  9007:   int ng;
                   9008: 
                   9009: 
                   9010:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   9011:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   9012:     /*#endif */
                   9013: 
                   9014: 
                   9015:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   9016:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  9017:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  9018:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  9019:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  9020:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  9021:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9022: 
                   9023: } 
                   9024: 
1.136     brouard  9025: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   9026: {
1.126     brouard  9027: 
1.136     brouard  9028:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   9029:   FILE *fic;
                   9030:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  9031:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  9032:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  9033:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   9034:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  9035:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  9036:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  9037: 
1.240     brouard  9038:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   9039:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  9040: 
1.240     brouard  9041:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   9042:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9043:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9044:   }
                   9045:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   9046:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9047:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9048:   }
                   9049:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9050:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9051:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9052:   }
                   9053:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9054:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9055:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9056:   }
                   9057:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9058:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9059:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9060:   }
1.126     brouard  9061: 
1.136     brouard  9062:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9063:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9064:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9065:   }
1.126     brouard  9066: 
1.136     brouard  9067:   i=1;
                   9068:   linei=0;
                   9069:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9070:     linei=linei+1;
                   9071:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9072:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9073:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9074:     }
                   9075:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9076:       ;
                   9077:     };
                   9078:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9079:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9080:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9081:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9082:       continue;
                   9083:     }
                   9084:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9085:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9086:     
                   9087:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9088:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9089:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9090:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9091:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9092:          lval=-1;
                   9093:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9094:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9095:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9096:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9097:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9098:            return 1;
                   9099:          }
                   9100:        }else{
                   9101:          errno=0;
                   9102:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9103:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9104:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9105:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9106:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9107:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9108:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9109:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9110:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9111:            return 1;
                   9112:          }
                   9113:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9114:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9115:        }
                   9116:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9117:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9118:       
1.223     brouard  9119:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9120:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9121:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9122:          lval=-1;
                   9123:        }else{
                   9124:          errno=0;
                   9125:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9126:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9127:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9128:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9129:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9130:            return 1;
                   9131:          }
                   9132:        }
                   9133:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9134:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9135:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9136:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9137:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9138:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9139:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9140:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9141:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9142:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  9143:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9144:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9145:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9146:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9147:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9148:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9149:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9150:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9151:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9152:          return 1;
                   9153:        }
                   9154:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9155:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9156:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9157:       
1.223     brouard  9158:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9159:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9160:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9161:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9162:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9163:        errno=0;
                   9164:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9165:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9166:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9167:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9168:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9169:          return 1;
                   9170:        }
1.136     brouard  9171:       }
1.225     brouard  9172:       
1.136     brouard  9173:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9174:       
1.223     brouard  9175:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9176:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9177:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9178:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9179:       }
1.169     brouard  9180:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9181:        month=99;
                   9182:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9183:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9184:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9185:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9186:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9187:       }
                   9188:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   9189:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   9190:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9191:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9192:     
1.223     brouard  9193:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9194:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9195:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9196:     }
1.169     brouard  9197:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9198:       month=99;
                   9199:       year=9999;
                   9200:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9201:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9202:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9203:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9204:     }
                   9205:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9206:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9207:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9208:     
1.223     brouard  9209:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9210:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9211:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9212:     }
1.169     brouard  9213:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9214:       month=99;
                   9215:       year=9999;
                   9216:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9217:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9218:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9219:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9220:     }
                   9221:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9222:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9223:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9224:       return 1;
                   9225:       
1.136     brouard  9226:     }
                   9227:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   9228:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   9229:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9230:     
1.223     brouard  9231:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9232:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9233:     errno=0;
                   9234:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9235:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9236:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9237:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9238:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9239:       return 1;
                   9240:     }
                   9241:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9242:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9243:     
1.223     brouard  9244:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9245:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9246:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9247:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  9248:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9249:        errno=0;
                   9250:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9251:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9252:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9253:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9254:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9255:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9256:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9257:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9258:          return 1;
                   9259:        }
                   9260:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9261:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9262:       }
                   9263:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9264:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9265:     
1.223     brouard  9266:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9267:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9268:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9269:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9270:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9271:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9272:        errno=0;
                   9273:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9274:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9275:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9276:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9277:          return 1;
                   9278:        }
1.136     brouard  9279:       }
                   9280:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9281:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9282:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9283:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9284:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9285:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9286:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9287:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9288:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9289:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9290:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9291:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9292:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9293:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9294:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9295:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9296:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9297:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9298:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9299:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9300:       }
                   9301:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9302:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9303:     }  
                   9304:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9305:     
1.136     brouard  9306:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9307:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9308:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9309:     }
                   9310:     else
                   9311:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9312:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9313:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9314:     
                   9315:     i=i+1;
                   9316:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9317:   
1.136     brouard  9318:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9319:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9320:   
1.136     brouard  9321:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9322:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9323:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9324:   fclose(fic);
                   9325:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9326: }
1.126     brouard  9327: 
1.234     brouard  9328: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9329:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9330:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9331:     p2++; 
                   9332:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9333:   /*   ; */
                   9334:   /* do */
                   9335:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9336:   /*     p2++; */
                   9337:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9338:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9339: }
                   9340: 
1.235     brouard  9341: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9342: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9343: {
1.235     brouard  9344:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9345:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9346:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9347:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9348:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9349: 
1.234     brouard  9350:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  9351:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  9352: 
                   9353:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9354:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9355:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9356:     return 1;
                   9357:   }
                   9358:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9359:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9360:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9361:   }
1.253     brouard  9362:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9363:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9364:     return (0);
                   9365:   }
                   9366:     
1.234     brouard  9367:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   9368:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9369:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9370:   }
                   9371:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9372:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   9373:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   9374:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   9375:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   9376:     }else
                   9377:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  9378:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  9379:     
1.230     brouard  9380:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   9381:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   9382:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9383:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9384:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9385:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9386:   }
1.235     brouard  9387:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  9388:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9389:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  9390:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  9391:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  9392:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  9393:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9394:          match=1;
                   9395:          break;
                   9396:        }
                   9397:       }
                   9398:       if(match == 0){
                   9399:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9400:       }
                   9401:     }
                   9402:   }
1.235     brouard  9403:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   9404:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  9405:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  9406:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9407:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  9408:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  9409:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9410:          ++match;
                   9411:        }
                   9412:       }
                   9413:     }
                   9414:     if(match == 0){
                   9415:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9416:     }else if(match > 1){
                   9417:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   9418:     }
                   9419:   }
1.235     brouard  9420:       
1.234     brouard  9421:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  9422:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9423:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   9424:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   9425:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   9426:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   9427:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   9428:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   9429:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   9430:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   9431:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   9432:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   9433:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   9434:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  9435:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   9436:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   9437:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   9438:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  9439:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   9440:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  9441:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  9442:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   9443:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  9444:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   9445:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   9446:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  9447:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   9448:       k4++;;
                   9449:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   9450:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   9451:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  9452:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   9453:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   9454:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  9455:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   9456:       k4q++;;
                   9457:     }
                   9458:   }
1.234     brouard  9459:   
1.235     brouard  9460:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  9461:   return (0);
                   9462: }
1.235     brouard  9463: 
1.230     brouard  9464: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   9465:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  9466:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   9467:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   9468:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   9469:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   9470:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   9471:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   9472:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   9473:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   9474:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   9475:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   9476:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   9477:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   9478:        */
1.136     brouard  9479: {
1.238     brouard  9480:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  9481:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  9482:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  9483:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  9484:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  9485: 
1.145     brouard  9486:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  9487:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  9488:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  9489:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  9490:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   9491:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  9492:       return 1;
                   9493:     }
1.141     brouard  9494:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   9495:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   9496:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   9497:       return 1;
                   9498:     }
1.187     brouard  9499:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   9500:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   9501:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   9502:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  9503:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9504:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9505:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  9506:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9507:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9508:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9509:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  9510:       }
1.187     brouard  9511:       nagesqr=1;
                   9512:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9513:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  9514:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9515:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  9516:       else 
1.234     brouard  9517:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  9518:     }else
                   9519:       nagesqr=0;
                   9520:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   9521:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   9522:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  9523:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  9524:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  9525:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   9526:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   9527:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   9528:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   9529:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  9530:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   9531:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  9532:       
                   9533:       
1.187     brouard  9534:       /*   Design
                   9535:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   9536:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9537:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   9538:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   9539:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   9540:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  9541:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   9542:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  9543:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   9544:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   9545:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   9546:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   9547:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   9548:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   9549:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   9550:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   9551:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   9552:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9553:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   9554:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   9555:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   9556:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9557:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   9558:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   9559:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   9560:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   9561:        *How to reorganize?
                   9562:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   9563:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9564:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   9565:        * Struct []
                   9566:        */
1.225     brouard  9567:       
1.187     brouard  9568:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   9569:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   9570:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   9571:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   9572:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   9573:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   9574:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   9575:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   9576:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  9577:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  9578:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  9579:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  9580:       /*
                   9581:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  9582:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   9583:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   9584:       }
1.187     brouard  9585:       cptcovage=0;
                   9586:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  9587:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  9588:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  9589:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   9590:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   9591:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9592:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   9593:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   9594:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   9595:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   9596:            cptcovprod--;
                   9597:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   9598:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   9599:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9600:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   9601:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   9602:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   9603:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   9604:            cptcovprod--;
                   9605:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   9606:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   9607:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9608:            cptcovage++;
                   9609:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   9610:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   9611:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   9612:            cptcovn++;
                   9613:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   9614:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   9615:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   9616:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   9617:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   9618:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   9619:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   9620:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   9621:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   9622:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   9623:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   9624:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   9625:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   9626:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   9627:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   9628:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  9629:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  9630:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   9631:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   9632:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   9633:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   9634:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   9635:            }
                   9636:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   9637:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   9638:        else { /* no more sum */
                   9639:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   9640:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9641:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   9642:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   9643:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   9644:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   9645:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   9646:        }
                   9647:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  9648:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  9649:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  9650:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   9651:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   9652:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  9653:   
                   9654:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   9655:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  9656:   
1.136     brouard  9657:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  9658:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9659:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9660:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   9661: 
                   9662: 
1.230     brouard  9663: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   9664:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  9665: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   9666:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   9667:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   9668:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   9669:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  9670:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   9671:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   9672:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  9673: */  
                   9674: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  9675:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  9676:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  9677:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  9678:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   9679: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9680: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9681: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   9682:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   9683: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9684: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9685: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  9686:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  9687:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   9688:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  9689:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9690:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9691:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  9692:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9693:       nsd++;
                   9694:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9695:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9696:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9697:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9698:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9699:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9700:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9701:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   9702:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9703:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9704:       ncoveff++;
                   9705:       ncovf++;
                   9706:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9707:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9708:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  9709:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  9710:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  9711:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  9712:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9713:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  9714:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  9715:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9716:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   9717:       nsq++;
                   9718:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9719:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  9720:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9721:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9722:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  9723:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  9724:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  9725:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  9726:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9727:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9728:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  9729:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9730:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   9731:       nsd++;
                   9732:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9733:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9734:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9735:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9736:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9737:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   9738:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  9739:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   9740:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  9741:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  9742:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9743:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9744:       nqtveff++;
                   9745:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9746:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   9747:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9748:       nsq++;
                   9749:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9750:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   9751:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9752:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9753:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9754:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  9755:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9756:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   9757:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  9758:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  9759:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  9760:       ncova++;
                   9761:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   9762:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  9763:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  9764:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9765:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9766:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9767:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   9768:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  9769:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  9770:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9771:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9772:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9773:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   9774:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9775:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  9776:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9777:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9778:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9779:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   9780:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9781:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9782:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9783:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9784:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9785:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   9786:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9787:       }
                   9788:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   9789:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   9790:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  9791:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9792:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9793:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9794:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9795:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9796:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9797:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9798:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9799:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9800:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9801:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9802:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9803:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9804:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9805:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9806:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9807:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9808:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9809:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9810:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9811:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   9812:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9813:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9814:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9815:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9816:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9817:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9818:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9819:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   9820:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9821:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9822:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9823:        }
1.227     brouard  9824:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  9825:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9826:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9827:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9828:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9829:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9830:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9831:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9832:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9833:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9834:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9835:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9836:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9837:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   9838:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9839:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9840:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9841:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9842:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9843:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9844:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9845:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   9846:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9847:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9848:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9849:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9850:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9851:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9852:        }
1.227     brouard  9853:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  9854:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9855:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9856:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9857:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9858:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9859:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9860:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9861:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9862:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9863:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9864:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9865:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9866:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9867:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9868:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9869:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9870:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9871:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9872:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9873:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9874:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   9875:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9876:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9877:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9878:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9879:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9880:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9881:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9882:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   9883:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9884:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9885:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9886:        }
1.227     brouard  9887:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9888:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9889:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9890:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9891:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9892:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9893:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9894:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9895:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9896:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9897:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9898:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9899:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9900:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   9901:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9902:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9903:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9904:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9905:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9906:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9907:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9908:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   9909:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9910:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9911:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9912:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9913:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9914:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9915:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9916:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   9917:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9918:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9919:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9920:        }
1.227     brouard  9921:       }else{
1.240     brouard  9922:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9923:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9924:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  9925:     }else{
1.226     brouard  9926:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   9927:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  9928:     }
1.227     brouard  9929:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  9930:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  9931:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   9932:   }
                   9933:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   9934:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   9935:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   9936:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  9937:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   9938:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   9939:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9940:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9941:            return(1);
                   9942:          }
                   9943:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   9944:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   9945:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   9946:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   9947:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9948:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9949:            return(1);
                   9950:          }
                   9951:        }
1.227     brouard  9952:       }
                   9953:     }
1.225     brouard  9954:   }
                   9955:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   9956:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  9957:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   9958:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  9959:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  9960:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  9961:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   9962:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  9963: }
                   9964: 
1.169     brouard  9965: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  9966: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  9967:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  9968:   int firstone=0;
                   9969:   
1.136     brouard  9970:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   9971:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   9972:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   9973:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  9974:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   9975:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  9976:       }
                   9977:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  9978:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  9979:        if(firstone == 0){
                   9980:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  9981:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  9982:        }
1.262     brouard  9983:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  9984:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  9985:       }
                   9986:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  9987:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  9988:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  9989:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  9990:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  9991:       }
                   9992:     }
                   9993:   }
                   9994: 
                   9995:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9996:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   9997:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  9998:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  9999:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  10000:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   10001:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  10002:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  10003:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  10004:            }else {
1.136     brouard  10005:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   10006:                nbwarn++;
                   10007:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10008:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10009:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   10010:              }
                   10011:            }
1.169     brouard  10012:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  10013:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  10014:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   10015:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   10016:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   10017:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   10018:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   10019:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   10020:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   10021:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   10022:          }
                   10023:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   10024:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  10025:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  10026:          }
                   10027:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   10028:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  10029:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  10030:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  10031:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  10032:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   10033:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   10034:        }
                   10035:       }
1.214     brouard  10036:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  10037:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  10038:       else{
                   10039:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10040:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10041:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   10042:       }
                   10043:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   10044:   }
1.136     brouard  10045:     
                   10046:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10047:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10048:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10049:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10050:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10051:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10052:        return 1;
                   10053:       }
                   10054:     }
                   10055:   }
                   10056: 
                   10057:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10058:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10059:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10060: }
                   10061: 
                   10062: }*/
                   10063: 
                   10064: 
1.139     brouard  10065:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10066:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10067: 
                   10068:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10069:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10070:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10071:     return (1);
                   10072: }
                   10073: 
1.172     brouard  10074: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10075: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10076: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10077: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10078: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10079: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10080: //#include <windows.h>
                   10081: //#include <iostream>
                   10082: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10083: 
                   10084: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10085: 
                   10086: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10087: {
                   10088:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10089: 
                   10090:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10091:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10092: 
                   10093:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10094: 
                   10095:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10096:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10097:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10098:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10099: 
                   10100:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10101:        {
                   10102:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10103:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10104:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10105:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10106:        }
                   10107:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10108: }
                   10109: #endif
1.177     brouard  10110: 
1.191     brouard  10111: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  10112:  {
                   10113:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10114:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10115:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10116:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10117:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10118:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10119:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10120:    */ 
                   10121:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10122:    /*
                   10123:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10124:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10125:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10126:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10127:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10128:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10129:    /*
                   10130:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10131:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10132:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10133:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10134:    */
1.186     brouard  10135:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10136:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10137:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10138:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10139:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10140:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10141:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10142:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10143:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10144:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10145:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10146:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10147:    */
1.177     brouard  10148: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10149: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10150:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10151: #endif
1.177     brouard  10152: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10153: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10154: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10155: #endif
1.177     brouard  10156:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10157:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10158:    if (cross){
                   10159:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10160:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10161:    }
1.174     brouard  10162: #endif
                   10163: 
1.171     brouard  10164: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  10165: 
1.191     brouard  10166:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10167: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10168:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10169: #endif
                   10170: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10171:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10172: #endif
                   10173: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10174:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10175: #endif
                   10176: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10177:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10178: #endif
                   10179: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10180:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10181: #endif
                   10182: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10183:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10184: #endif
                   10185: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10186:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10187: #endif
                   10188: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10189:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10190: #endif
1.191     brouard  10191:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10192:    
1.167     brouard  10193: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10194: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10195:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10196:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10197: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10198:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10199:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10200: #elif __linux__
                   10201:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10202:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10203: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10204:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10205:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10206: #endif
                   10207: 
                   10208: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10209: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10210: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10211: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10212: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10213: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10214: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10215: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10216: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10217: 
1.167     brouard  10218: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10219:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10220: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10221:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10222: #else
1.191     brouard  10223:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10224: #endif
                   10225: 
1.169     brouard  10226: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10227: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10228: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10229:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10230:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10231: # else
                   10232: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10233:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10234: # endif
1.174     brouard  10235:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10236:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10237: 
                   10238:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10239:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10240:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10241:    }
                   10242:    else
                   10243:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10244:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10245: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10246:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10247:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10248: #endif
1.169     brouard  10249: #endif
1.172     brouard  10250: 
                   10251:    //   void main()
                   10252:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10253: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10254:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10255:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10256:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10257:    }
                   10258:    else{
1.191     brouard  10259:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10260:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10261:    }
1.172     brouard  10262:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10263:    //     getchar();
                   10264:    //   }
                   10265: 
1.169     brouard  10266: #endif
                   10267:    
1.167     brouard  10268: 
1.219     brouard  10269: }
1.136     brouard  10270: 
1.219     brouard  10271: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  10272:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10273:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10274:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10275:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10276:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10277: 
1.202     brouard  10278:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10279:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10280:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10281:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10282:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10283:   }
1.227     brouard  10284:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10285:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10286:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  10287:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10288:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10289:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10290:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10291:   
1.219     brouard  10292:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10293: 
1.219     brouard  10294:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10295:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10296: 
1.227     brouard  10297:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10298:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10299:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10300: 
1.238     brouard  10301:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10302:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10303:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10304:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10305: 
1.238     brouard  10306:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10307:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10308:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10309:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10310:       /* to clean */
                   10311:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10312:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10313:       printf("#******");
                   10314:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10315:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10316:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10317:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10318:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10319:       }
                   10320:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10321:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10322:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10323:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10324:       }
                   10325:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10326:       printf("******\n");
                   10327:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10328:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10329:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10330:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10331:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10332:        continue;
                   10333:       }
1.219     brouard  10334: 
1.238     brouard  10335:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10336:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10337:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10338:       }
                   10339:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10340:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10341:     
1.238     brouard  10342:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10343:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10344:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10345:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10346:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10347:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10348:        tot=0.;
                   10349:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10350:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10351:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10352:        }
                   10353:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10354:       } /* Age */
                   10355:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10356:     } /* cptcov */
                   10357:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10358:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10359: }
                   10360: 
1.218     brouard  10361: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   10362:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   10363:        
                   10364:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10365:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10366:         */
1.235     brouard  10367:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10368:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10369:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10370:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10371:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10372:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10373: 
                   10374:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10375:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10376:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10377:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10378:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10379:   }
                   10380:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10381:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10382:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   10383:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   10384:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10385:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10386:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   10387:   
1.218     brouard  10388:   
                   10389:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   10390:   
                   10391:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10392:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   10393:   
                   10394:   
1.227     brouard  10395:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10396:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  10397:   
1.238     brouard  10398:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10399:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10400:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10401:        continue;
                   10402:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10403:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   10404:       printf("#******");
                   10405:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10406:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10407:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10408:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10409:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10410:       }
                   10411:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10412:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10413:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10414:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10415:       }
                   10416:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   10417:       printf("******\n");
                   10418:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10419:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10420:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10421:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10422:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10423:        continue;
                   10424:       }
1.218     brouard  10425:     
1.238     brouard  10426:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10427:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10428:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10429:       }
                   10430:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10431:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  10432:     
                   10433:     
1.238     brouard  10434:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10435:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10436:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   10437:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   10438:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10439:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10440:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   10441:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10442:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10443:          exit(1);
                   10444:        }else{
                   10445:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10446:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  10447:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   10448:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  10449:        }
                   10450:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   10451:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10452:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10453:        tot=0.;
                   10454:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10455:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   10456:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   10457:        }
                   10458:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10459:       } /* Age */
                   10460:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  10461:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  10462:     } /* end of any combination */
                   10463:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  10464:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   10465:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   10466:   
                   10467:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  10468: }
1.218     brouard  10469:  
1.180     brouard  10470: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   10471:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10472: 
                   10473:   int stepsize;
                   10474:   int agelim;
                   10475:   int hstepm;
                   10476:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  10477:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  10478: 
                   10479:   double agedeb;
                   10480:   double ***p3mat;
                   10481: 
1.201     brouard  10482:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  10483:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10484:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10485:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10486:     }
                   10487:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10488:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10489:   
                   10490:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10491:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   10492: 
                   10493:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   10494:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10495:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  10496:                
1.180     brouard  10497:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10498:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   10499:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  10500:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10501:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10502:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10503:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  10504:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   10505:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  10506:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  10507:        continue;
1.183     brouard  10508:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  10509:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  10510:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  10511:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10512:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10513:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10514:       }
1.183     brouard  10515:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   10516:       
                   10517:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   10518:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   10519:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   10520:        
                   10521:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  10522:        
1.183     brouard  10523:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10524:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  10525:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  10526:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   10527:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10528:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10529:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   10530:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10531:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10532:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10533:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  10534:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10535:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  10536:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  10537:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10538:        }
1.183     brouard  10539:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10540:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10541:       }
1.180     brouard  10542:       /*}*/
                   10543:     }
1.218     brouard  10544:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  10545: }
1.218     brouard  10546:  
                   10547:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  10548:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10549: 
                   10550:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  10551:   /* int agelim; */
                   10552:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  10553:   int hstepm;
                   10554:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  10555:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  10556:        
1.217     brouard  10557:   double agedeb;
                   10558:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10559:        
                   10560:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   10561:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10562:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10563:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10564:   }
                   10565:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10566:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10567:   
                   10568:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10569:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  10570:   
1.218     brouard  10571:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   10572:   ageminl=30;
                   10573:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10574:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   10575:   
                   10576:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10577:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  10578:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  10579:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10580:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10581:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10582:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  10583:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10584:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10585:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10586:        continue;
                   10587:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   10588:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10589:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10590:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10591:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10592:       }
                   10593:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  10594:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  10595:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10596:        continue;
                   10597:       }
                   10598:       
                   10599:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   10600:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   10601:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   10602:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   10603:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   10604:        
                   10605:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   10606:        
1.266     brouard  10607:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   10608:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   10609: 
1.238     brouard  10610:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   10611:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.267     brouard  10612:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10613:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  10614:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  10615:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10616:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  10617:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  10618:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  10619:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10620:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10621:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   10622:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   10623:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10624:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10625:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   10626:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10627:        }
                   10628:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10629:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10630:       } /* end age deb */
                   10631:     } /* end combination */
                   10632:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  10633:   return 0;
                   10634:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  10635: 
1.180     brouard  10636: 
1.136     brouard  10637: /***********************************************/
                   10638: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   10639: /***********************************************/
                   10640: 
                   10641: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   10642: {
                   10643: #ifdef GSL
                   10644:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   10645:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   10646:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   10647:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   10648:   double ssval;
                   10649: #endif
                   10650:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  10651:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  10652:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  10653:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  10654:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  10655:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  10656:   int itimes;
                   10657:   int NDIM=2;
                   10658:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  10659:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  10660:   int endishere=0;
1.277     brouard  10661:   int noffset=0;
1.274     brouard  10662:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   10663:   
1.164     brouard  10664:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  10665:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   10666:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   10667:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  10668:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  10669: 
                   10670:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  10671:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  10672: 
1.165     brouard  10673:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  10674:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  10675:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10676:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  10677: 
                   10678:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  10679:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   10680: 
1.234     brouard  10681:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  10682:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   10683:   
1.136     brouard  10684:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  10685:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  10686:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  10687:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  10688:   int jl=0;
                   10689:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  10690:   int count=0;
                   10691: 
1.164     brouard  10692:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  10693:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  10694:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  10695:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  10696:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  10697:   int agemortsup;
                   10698:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   10699:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   10700:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   10701: 
1.191     brouard  10702:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  10703:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   10704:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  10705:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  10706:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
1.251     brouard  10707:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   10708:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  10709:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  10710:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  10711:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   10712:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   10713:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   10714:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  10715: 
1.136     brouard  10716:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  10717: 
1.273     brouard  10718:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
                   10719:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
                   10720:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
1.217     brouard  10721: 
1.136     brouard  10722:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  10723:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  10724:   int *dcwave;
                   10725: 
1.164     brouard  10726:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  10727: 
                   10728:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   10729:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  10730: 
1.164     brouard  10731: 
1.126     brouard  10732: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   10733: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   10734: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   10735: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   10736: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   10737: 
                   10738:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  10739:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   10740:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   10741:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  10742:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  10743:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   10744:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   10745:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  10746: 
                   10747: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  10748: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   10749: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  10750: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   10751: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   10752: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  10753: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  10754: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   10755: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   10756: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   10757: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   10758: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   10759: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   10760: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   10761: */
                   10762: 
                   10763:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   10764:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  10765: #ifdef WIN32
                   10766:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   10767: #else
1.126     brouard  10768:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  10769: #endif
1.191     brouard  10770:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  10771:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10772:   if(argc <=1){
                   10773:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  10774:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   10775:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10776:       goto end;
                   10777:     }
1.126     brouard  10778:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10779:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   10780:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  10781:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  10782:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  10783:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  10784:     }
                   10785:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10786:     if( i==0 ){
                   10787:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10788:       goto end;
                   10789:     }
                   10790:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  10791:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   10792:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   10793:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   10794:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   10795:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   10796:     }
                   10797:   }
1.281   ! brouard  10798:   else if (argc<=2){
        !          10799:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
        !          10800:   }
1.126     brouard  10801:   else{
                   10802:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
1.281   ! brouard  10803:     strcpy(z,argv[2]);
        !          10804:     printf("\nargv[2]=%s z=%c\n",argv[2],z[0]);
1.126     brouard  10805:   }
                   10806:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   10807:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   10808:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   10809:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   10810: 
                   10811:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   10812:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   10813:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10814:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10815:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   10816:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   10817:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10818:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10819: #ifdef WIN32
                   10820:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   10821:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10822: #else
1.126     brouard  10823:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  10824:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10825: #endif
                   10826:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  10827:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   10828:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   10829:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  10830:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  10831:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   10832:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   10833: /*     exit(1); */
                   10834:   }
                   10835: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   10836: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   10837: /*   } */
                   10838: 
                   10839:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   10840: 
1.186     brouard  10841:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  10842:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   10843:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   10844:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10845:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   10846:     goto end;
                   10847:   }
                   10848:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  10849:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10850:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   10851:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   10852:  path=%s \n\
                   10853:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   10854:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  10855:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  10856: 
1.197     brouard  10857:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  10858: 
1.126     brouard  10859:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   10860:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   10861:   fflush(ficlog);
                   10862: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  10863: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  10864: 
                   10865:   /* */
                   10866:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   10867:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  10868:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  10869:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  10870:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  10871: 
1.186     brouard  10872:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  10873: 
                   10874:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  10875:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   10876:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  10877:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  10878:     /* goto end; */
                   10879:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  10880:   }
                   10881: 
                   10882:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  10883:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10884:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   10885:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10886:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10887:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10888:     goto end;
                   10889:   }
1.278     brouard  10890:       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   10891:   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   10892:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
                   10893:   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   10894:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   10895:   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10896:     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10897:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10898:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10899:     goto end;
                   10900:   }
                   10901:   fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
1.126     brouard  10902: 
1.278     brouard  10903:                                      
1.126     brouard  10904:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10905:   numlinepar=0;
1.277     brouard  10906:   /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   10907:   /* First parameter line */
1.197     brouard  10908:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.277     brouard  10909:     noffset=0;
                   10910:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   10911:     {
                   10912:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   10913:       printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
                   10914:     }
                   10915:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
                   10916:     {
                   10917:       noffset=noffset+2;
                   10918:       printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10919:     }
                   10920:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   10921:     {
                   10922:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   10923:        noffset=noffset+4;
                   10924:        printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10925:       }
                   10926:     } else{
                   10927:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   10928:     }
                   10929:   
1.197     brouard  10930:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.277     brouard  10931:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
1.197     brouard  10932:       numlinepar++;
                   10933:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10934:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10935:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10936:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10937:       continue;
                   10938:     }else
                   10939:       break;
                   10940:   }
                   10941:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   10942:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   10943:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   10944:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   10945:     }
1.126     brouard  10946:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  10947:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   10948:   }
                   10949:   /* Second parameter line */
                   10950:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10951:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10952:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10953:       numlinepar++;
                   10954:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10955:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10956:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10957:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10958:       continue;
                   10959:     }else
                   10960:       break;
                   10961:   }
1.223     brouard  10962:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   10963:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   10964:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   10965:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  10966:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  10967:     }
1.223     brouard  10968:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  10969:   }
1.203     brouard  10970:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  10971:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  10972:   /* Third parameter line */
                   10973:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10974:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10975:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10976:       numlinepar++;
                   10977:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10978:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10979:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10980:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10981:       continue;
                   10982:     }else
                   10983:       break;
                   10984:   }
1.201     brouard  10985:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.279     brouard  10986:     if (num_filled != 1){
                   10987:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   10988:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
1.197     brouard  10989:       model[0]='\0';
                   10990:       goto end;
                   10991:     }
                   10992:     else{
                   10993:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   10994:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   10995:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  10996:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  10997:       }
                   10998:     }
1.199     brouard  10999:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  11000:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  11001:   }
                   11002:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   11003:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   11004:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  11005:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   11006:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11007:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  11008:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   11009:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.279     brouard  11010:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
                   11011:  'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
                   11012:  'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");           \
1.187     brouard  11013:     if(mle != -1){
1.279     brouard  11014:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
1.187     brouard  11015:       exit(1);
                   11016:     }
                   11017:   }
1.126     brouard  11018:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11019:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11020:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11021:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  11022:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   11023:       z[0]=line[1];
                   11024:     }
                   11025:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  11026:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   11027:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  11028:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11029:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11030:   }
                   11031:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11032: 
                   11033:    
1.145     brouard  11034:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.268     brouard  11035:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   11036:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   11037:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  11038:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   11039:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   11040:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   11041:   */
                   11042:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  11043:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  11044:   else
1.187     brouard  11045:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  11046:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   11047:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  11048:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   11049:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11050:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11051:     fflush(stdout);
                   11052:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11053:     goto end;
                   11054:   }
1.126     brouard  11055:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11056:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   11057:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   11058:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  11059: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   11060:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   11061:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11062:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11063:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11064:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  11065:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  11066:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11067:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11068:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11069:     fclose (ficparo);
                   11070:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11071:     goto end;
                   11072:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  11073:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  11074:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  11075:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11076:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11077:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11078:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11079:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  11080:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  11081:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  11082:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11083:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11084:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11085:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11086:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11087:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11088:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11089:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11090:     }
                   11091:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11092:     
                   11093:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11094:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11095:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11096:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11097:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11098:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11099:        j++;
                   11100:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11101:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11102:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11103: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11104: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11105:          exit(1);
                   11106:        }
                   11107:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11108:        if(mle==1)
                   11109:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11110:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11111:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11112:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11113:          if(mle==1){
                   11114:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11115:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11116:          }
                   11117:          else
                   11118:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11119:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11120:        }
                   11121:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11122:        numlinepar++;
                   11123:        if(mle==1)
                   11124:          printf("\n");
                   11125:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11126:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11127:       }
                   11128:     }  
                   11129:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11130:     
1.251     brouard  11131:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11132:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11133:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11134:     
                   11135:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11136:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11137:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11138:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11139:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11140:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11141:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11142:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11143:     }
                   11144:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11145: 
                   11146:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11147:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11148:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11149:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11150:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11151:          exit(1);
                   11152:        }
                   11153:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11154:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11155:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11156:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11157:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11158:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11159:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11160:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11161:        }
                   11162:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11163:        numlinepar++;
                   11164:        printf("\n");
                   11165:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11166:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11167:       }
                   11168:     }
                   11169:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11170:     
1.145     brouard  11171:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11172:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11173:                
                   11174:                
1.126     brouard  11175:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11176:                
1.126     brouard  11177:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11178:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11179:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11180:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11181:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11182:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11183:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11184:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11185:     }
                   11186:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11187:                
1.126     brouard  11188:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11189:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11190:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11191:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11192:                
1.194     brouard  11193:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11194:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11195:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11196:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11197:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11198: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11199: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11200:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11201: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11202: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11203:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11204:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11205:        if(mle==1)
                   11206:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11207:       }
                   11208:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11209:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11210:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11211:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11212:        if(mle==1){
                   11213:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11214:        }
                   11215:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11216:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11217:       }
                   11218:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11219:       numlinepar++;
                   11220:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11221:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11222:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11223:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11224:     }
1.194     brouard  11225:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11226:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11227:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11228:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11229:     
                   11230:     if(mle==1)
                   11231:       printf("\n");
                   11232:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11233:     
                   11234:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11235:     
                   11236:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11237:   
1.186     brouard  11238:   /*  Main data
                   11239:    */
1.126     brouard  11240:   n= lastobs;
                   11241:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   11242:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   11243:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   11244:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   11245:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11246:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  11247:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   11248:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11249:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  11250:     num[i]=0;
                   11251:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11252:     annais[i]=0;
                   11253:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11254:     andc[i]=0;
                   11255:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11256:     cod[i]=0;
                   11257:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11258:   }
1.126     brouard  11259:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11260:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  11261:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  11262:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11263:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11264:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11265: 
1.136     brouard  11266:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11267:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11268:     goto end;
                   11269: 
                   11270:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11271:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11272:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11273:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11274:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11275:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11276:   */
                   11277:   
                   11278:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11279:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11280:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11281:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11282:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11283:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11284:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11285:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11286:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11287:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11288:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11289:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11290:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11291:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11292:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11293:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11294:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11295:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11296:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11297: 
1.230     brouard  11298:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11299:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11300:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11301:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11302:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11303:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11304:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11305:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11306:   */
                   11307:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11308:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11309:     ncovcol + k1
                   11310:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11311:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11312:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11313:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11314:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11315:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11316:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11317:   */
1.145     brouard  11318:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11319:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11320:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11321:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11322:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11323:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11324:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11325:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11326:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11327:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   11328:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11329:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  11330:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   11331:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   11332:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   11333:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   11334:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  11335:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   11336:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11337:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   11338:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  11339: /* Main decodemodel */
                   11340: 
1.187     brouard  11341: 
1.223     brouard  11342:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  11343:     goto end;
                   11344: 
1.137     brouard  11345:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   11346:     nbwarn++;
                   11347:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11348:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11349:   }
1.136     brouard  11350:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  11351:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   11352:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  11353:   }
                   11354: 
                   11355:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   11356:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11357: 
                   11358:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   11359:     goto end;
                   11360: 
1.126     brouard  11361: 
1.136     brouard  11362:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   11363:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   11364:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  11365:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11366:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  11367:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   11368:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  11369:   /* */
                   11370:   
1.126     brouard  11371:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  11372:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11373:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11374:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11375:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   11376:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11377:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  11378:    
                   11379:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  11380:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   11381:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   11382:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   11383:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   11384:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   11385:   */
                   11386: 
1.126     brouard  11387:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  11388:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  11389:  
1.215     brouard  11390:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   11391:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   11392: 
1.126     brouard  11393:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   11394:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   11395:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  11396:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  11397:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  11398:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   11399:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  11400:   }
                   11401:   
                   11402:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11403:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   11404:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   11405:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   11406:   
1.211     brouard  11407:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  11408:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  11409:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  11410:   
1.200     brouard  11411:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  11412:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  11413:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  11414:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   11415:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   11416:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   11417:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   11418:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   11419:    */
                   11420: 
1.145     brouard  11421:   h=0;
                   11422:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  11423:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11424:  
1.144     brouard  11425:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  11426:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   11427:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   11428:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  11429:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  11430:           *______________________________  
                   11431:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   11432:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   11433:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   11434:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   11435:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   11436:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   11437:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   11438:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  11439:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   11440:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   11441:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   11442:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   11443:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   11444:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   11445:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   11446:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  11447:           */
1.212     brouard  11448:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  11449:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   11450:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   11451:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   11452:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   11453:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   11454:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   11455:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   11456:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   11457:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   11458:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   11459:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   11460:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   11461:      *              76543210     
                   11462:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  11463:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  11464:      *           &
                   11465:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  11466:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   11467:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  11468:      *
                   11469:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   11470:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11471:      *    >>k'            11
                   11472:      *          &   00000001
                   11473:      *            = 00000001
                   11474:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   11475:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   11476:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   11477:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   11478:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   11479:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   11480:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   11481:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11482:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   11483:      *          &1 000000001
                   11484:      *           = 000000001
                   11485:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   11486:      *                  2211
                   11487:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   11488:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  11489:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  11490:      */
                   11491: 
1.145     brouard  11492: 
                   11493:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11494: 
                   11495: 
1.126     brouard  11496:     
1.186     brouard  11497:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  11498:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   11499:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11500:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11501:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   11502: 
                   11503:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11504:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   11505:   }
                   11506:   else{
1.204     brouard  11507:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  11508:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  11509:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   11510:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  11511:   }
                   11512:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  11513: 
                   11514: 
                   11515:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  11516: 
                   11517:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   11518:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11519:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11520:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   11521:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  11522:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   11523:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11524:   }
                   11525: 
                   11526:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   11527:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   11528:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11529:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   11530:   }
                   11531:   else{
                   11532:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   11533: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11534: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  11535:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   11536:   }
                   11537: 
1.213     brouard  11538:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  11539: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   11540: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  11541: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11542: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11543: \n\
                   11544: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   11545:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   11546:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   11547:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   11548:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11549:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11550:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   11551:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   11552:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   11553:          fileres,fileres,\
                   11554:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   11555:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11556: 
                   11557:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   11558:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11559: #ifdef WIN32
                   11560:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   11561: #else
1.126     brouard  11562:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  11563: #endif
                   11564:          
1.126     brouard  11565:   
1.220     brouard  11566:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   11567:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  11568:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  11569:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  11570:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  11571: 
                   11572:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.274     brouard  11573:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
                   11574:          ftol, stepm);
                   11575:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   11576:   ncurrv=1;
                   11577:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11578:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   11579:   ncurrv=i;
                   11580:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11581:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
                   11582:   ncurrv=i;
                   11583:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11584:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
                   11585:   ncurrv=i;
                   11586:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11587:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   11588:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   11589: 
                   11590:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   11591: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   11592: 
                   11593:   
                   11594:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11595: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   11596: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  11597:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  11598:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  11599:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11600:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11601:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11602:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  11603: 
1.126     brouard  11604:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   11605:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   11606:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   11607: 
                   11608:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  11609:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  11610:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  11611:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  11612:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   11613:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   11614:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  11615:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  11616:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   11617:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   11618:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   11619:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  11620:                
1.126     brouard  11621:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   11622:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   11623:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  11624:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   11625:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   11626:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   11627:          break;
                   11628:        }
1.126     brouard  11629:     }
1.226     brouard  11630:     
1.126     brouard  11631:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   11632:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  11633:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   11634:        j=wav[i];
                   11635:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   11636:        
                   11637:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   11638:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   11639:          cens[i]= 1;
                   11640:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   11641:          cens[i]= -1;
                   11642:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   11643:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  11644:       }
                   11645:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   11646:     }
                   11647:     
                   11648:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   11649:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  11650:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  11651:     }
                   11652:     
1.145     brouard  11653:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  11654:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   11655:     
                   11656:     
1.136     brouard  11657: #ifdef GSL
                   11658:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  11659: #else
1.126     brouard  11660:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  11661: #endif
1.201     brouard  11662:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   11663:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11664:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11665:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11666:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11667:     }
1.136     brouard  11668: #ifdef GSL
                   11669:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  11670: #else
1.126     brouard  11671:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  11672: #endif
1.126     brouard  11673:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11674:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11675:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11676:     */
                   11677:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  11678: #ifdef GSL
                   11679:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   11680:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   11681:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   11682:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   11683:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   11684: 
                   11685:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   11686:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11687:     
                   11688:     if (ss == NULL){
                   11689:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11690:     }
                   11691:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   11692:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   11693: 
                   11694:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  11695:     
1.136     brouard  11696:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11697:     
                   11698:     if (x == NULL){
                   11699:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   11700:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11701:     }
                   11702:   
                   11703:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   11704:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  11705:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   11706:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  11707:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   11708:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   11709: 
                   11710:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   11711:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   11712:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   11713:     
                   11714:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   11715:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   11716:     
                   11717:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   11718:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   11719: 
                   11720:     iteri=0;
                   11721:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   11722:       iteri++;
                   11723:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   11724:       
                   11725:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   11726:       fflush(0);
                   11727:       
                   11728:       if (status) 
                   11729:         break;
                   11730:       
                   11731:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   11732:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   11733:       
                   11734:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   11735:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   11736:       
                   11737:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   11738:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   11739:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   11740:       }
                   11741:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   11742:     }
                   11743:     
                   11744:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   11745:     
                   11746:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   11747:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   11748:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   11749:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   11750:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   11751:     }
                   11752:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   11753: #endif
                   11754: #ifdef POWELL
                   11755:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   11756: #endif  
1.126     brouard  11757:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   11758:     
1.203     brouard  11759:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  11760: 
                   11761:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   11762:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  11763:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11764:     
                   11765:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  11766:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  11767:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   11768:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  11769:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   11770:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11771:       }
1.203     brouard  11772:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  11773:     }
                   11774:     
                   11775:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  11776:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  11777:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  11778:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   11779:     }
1.126     brouard  11780:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11781:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11782:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11783:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   11784:     
                   11785:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   11786:       agemortsup=k;
                   11787:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   11788:     }
                   11789:     
                   11790:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   11791:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   11792:     
                   11793:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   11794:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   11795:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   11796:     }
                   11797:     
                   11798:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   11799:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   11800:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   11801:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   11802:     }
                   11803:     
                   11804:     
                   11805:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   11806:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   11807:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   11808:     
                   11809:     
                   11810:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  11811:                ageminpar=50;
                   11812:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  11813:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   11814:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11815: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11816: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11817:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11818: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11819: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11820:     }else{
                   11821:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11822:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  11823:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11824:                }
1.201     brouard  11825:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  11826:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   11827:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   11828:     
                   11829:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   11830:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   11831:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  11832:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  11833:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   11834:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   11835:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  11836: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  11837: #endif
1.186     brouard  11838:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  11839:   /* Standard  */
                   11840:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   11841:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11842:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  11843:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  11844:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11845:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11846:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11847:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  11848:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   11849:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  11850:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11851:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11852:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11853:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  11854:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   11855:     }
                   11856:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   11857:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11858:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   11859:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11860:     }
                   11861:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  11862:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11863:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11864:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11865:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11866:     printf("\n");
                   11867:     
                   11868:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  11869:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11870:     
                   11871:     
                   11872:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11873:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11874:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11875:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11876:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  11877:        if (k != i) {
                   11878:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11879:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11880:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   11881:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11882:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11883:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11884:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11885:            jk++; 
                   11886:          }
                   11887:          printf("\n");
                   11888:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11889:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11890:        }
1.126     brouard  11891:       }
                   11892:     }
1.203     brouard  11893:     if(mle != 0){
                   11894:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  11895:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  11896:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   11897:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11898:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11899:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11900:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   11901:          if (k != i) {
                   11902:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11903:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11904:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11905:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11906:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11907:              jk++; 
                   11908:            }
                   11909:            printf("\n");
                   11910:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11911:          }
                   11912:        }
1.193     brouard  11913:       }
1.203     brouard  11914:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  11915:     
1.203     brouard  11916:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  11917:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11918:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11919:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11920:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11921:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  11922:        if (j!=i) {
                   11923:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11924:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11925:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11926:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11927:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11928:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11929:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11930:            jk++;
                   11931:          }
                   11932:          printf("\n");
                   11933:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11934:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11935:        }
1.126     brouard  11936:       }
                   11937:     }
                   11938:     
                   11939:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  11940:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  11941:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11942:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11943:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   11944:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   11945:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   11946:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   11947:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   11948:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   11949:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   11950:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   11951:     
                   11952:     
                   11953:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   11954:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   11955:     */
                   11956:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   11957:       jj=0;
                   11958:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11959:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   11960:          if(j==i) continue;
                   11961:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11962:            jj++;
                   11963:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   11964:            if(itimes==1){
                   11965:              if(mle>=1)
                   11966:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11967:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11968:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11969:            }else{
                   11970:              if(mle>=1)
                   11971:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11972:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11973:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11974:            }
                   11975:            ll=0;
                   11976:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   11977:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   11978:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   11979:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   11980:                  ll++;
                   11981:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   11982:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   11983:                    if(ll<jj){
                   11984:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11985:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11986:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11987:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11988:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11989:                      }else{
                   11990:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11991:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11992:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11993:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11994:                      }
                   11995:                    }else{
                   11996:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11997:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11998:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11999:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12000:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12001:                      }else{
                   12002:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12003:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12004:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12005:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12006:                      }
                   12007:                    }
                   12008:                  }
                   12009:                } /* end lk */
                   12010:              } /* end lj */
                   12011:            } /* end li */
                   12012:            if(mle>=1)
                   12013:              printf("\n");
                   12014:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12015:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12016:            numlinepar++;
                   12017:          } /* end k*/
                   12018:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  12019:       } /* end i */
                   12020:     } /* end itimes */
                   12021:     
                   12022:     fflush(ficlog);
                   12023:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  12024:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12025:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12026:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12027:        numlinepar++;
                   12028:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12029:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12030:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12031:        continue;
                   12032:       }else
                   12033:        break;
                   12034:     }
                   12035:     
1.209     brouard  12036:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   12037:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   12038:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   12039:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   12040:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   12041:     /* } */
                   12042:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  12043:     
                   12044:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  12045:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  12046:       
                   12047:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   12048:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12049:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12050:        goto end;
                   12051:       }
                   12052:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12053:     }
                   12054:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   12055:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   12056:     
1.209     brouard  12057:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  12058:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   12059:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   12060:       bage = ageminpar;
                   12061:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   12062:     }
                   12063:     
                   12064:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  12065:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12066:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  12067:                
1.186     brouard  12068:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  12069:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12070:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12071:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12072:        numlinepar++;
                   12073:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12074:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12075:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12076:        continue;
                   12077:       }else
                   12078:        break;
                   12079:     }
                   12080: 
                   12081:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12082:       
                   12083:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12084:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12085:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12086:        goto end;
                   12087:       }
                   12088:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12089:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12090:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12091:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12092:     }
1.254     brouard  12093: 
                   12094:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12095:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12096:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12097:        numlinepar++;
                   12098:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12099:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12100:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12101:        continue;
                   12102:       }else
                   12103:        break;
1.126     brouard  12104:     }
                   12105:     
                   12106:     
                   12107:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12108:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12109:     
1.254     brouard  12110:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12111:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12112:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12113:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12114:        goto end;
                   12115:       }
                   12116:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12117:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12118:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12119:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12120:     }
                   12121:      
1.258     brouard  12122:     /* Results */
                   12123:     nresult=0;
                   12124:     do{
                   12125:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12126:        endishere=1;
                   12127:        parameterline=14;
                   12128:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12129:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12130:        numlinepar++;
                   12131:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12132:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12133:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12134:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12135:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12136:        parameterline=11;
                   12137:       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12138:        parameterline=12;
                   12139:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12140:        parameterline=13;
                   12141:       else{
                   12142:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12143:       }
1.258     brouard  12144:       switch (parameterline){ 
                   12145:       case 11:
                   12146:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12147:          if (num_filled != 8) {
                   12148:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12149:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12150:            goto end;
                   12151:          }
                   12152:          fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12153:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12154:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12155:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12156:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12157:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12158:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
                   12159: 
1.258     brouard  12160:        }
1.254     brouard  12161:        break;
1.258     brouard  12162:       case 12:
                   12163:        /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/
                   12164:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12165:          if (num_filled != 8) {
1.262     brouard  12166:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12167:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
1.258     brouard  12168:            goto end;
                   12169:          }
                   12170:          printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12171:          fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12172:          fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12173:          fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12174:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12175:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12176:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.258     brouard  12177:        }
1.230     brouard  12178:        break;
1.258     brouard  12179:       case 13:
                   12180:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
                   12181:          if (num_filled == 0){
                   12182:            resultline[0]='\0';
                   12183:            printf("Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12184:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12185:            break;
                   12186:          } else if (num_filled != 1){
                   12187:            printf("ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12188:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12189:          }
                   12190:          nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12191:          printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   12192:          if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   12193:            printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12194:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12195:            goto end;
                   12196:          }
                   12197:          decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
                   12198:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12199:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12200:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  12201:          break;
1.258     brouard  12202:        case 14: 
1.259     brouard  12203:          if(ncovmodel >2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12204:            printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12205:            goto end;
                   12206:          }
1.259     brouard  12207:          break;
1.258     brouard  12208:        default:
                   12209:          nresult=1;
                   12210:          decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
                   12211:        }
                   12212:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12213:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12214:     
1.230     brouard  12215:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12216:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12217:     
                   12218:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12219:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12220:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12221: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12222: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  12223:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12224: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12225: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12226:     }else{
1.270     brouard  12227:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
                   12228:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
1.220     brouard  12229:     }
                   12230:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.258     brouard  12231:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
1.273     brouard  12232:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
1.220     brouard  12233:                
1.225     brouard  12234:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   12235:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  12236:                
1.215     brouard  12237:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   12238:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12239:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12240:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  12241:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   12242:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   12243:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12244:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12245:     fclose(ficparo);
                   12246:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  12247:                
                   12248:                
1.186     brouard  12249:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  12250:                
                   12251:                
1.126     brouard  12252:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  12253:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   12254:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  12255:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  12256:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   12257: 
                   12258:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  12259:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   12260:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  12261:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  12262:     
1.220     brouard  12263:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  12264:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  12265:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  12266:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  12267:     
1.269     brouard  12268:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   12269:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12270:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  12271:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  12272:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12273:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  12274:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   12275:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  12276:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  12277:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12278:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  12279:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  12280:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12281:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  12282:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   12283:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  12284:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12285:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12286:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   12287:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12288:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12289:        }
1.269     brouard  12290:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  12291:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12292:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12293:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   12294:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12295:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12296:        }
1.269     brouard  12297:       }else{
                   12298:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   12299:        fflush(stdout);
                   12300:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  12301:       }
                   12302:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  12303:     
1.126     brouard  12304:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   12305:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   12306:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.269     brouard  12307:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  12308:     }
1.269     brouard  12309: 
                   12310:     /* Backcasting */
1.217     brouard  12311:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  12312:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12313:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12314:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12315: 
                   12316:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   12317: 
                   12318:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  12319: 
1.219     brouard  12320:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   12321:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   12322: 
1.222     brouard  12323:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   12324:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  12325: 
1.269     brouard  12326:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   12327:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
                   12328:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12329: 
                   12330:       
1.269     brouard  12331:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  12332:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12333:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12334:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.269     brouard  12335:     }    /* end  Backcasting */
1.268     brouard  12336:  
1.186     brouard  12337:  
                   12338:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  12339: 
1.215     brouard  12340:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   12341:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12342:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12343:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  12344:                
                   12345:                
1.127     brouard  12346:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12347:                
1.201     brouard  12348:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   12349:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12350:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12351:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12352:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12353:     }
1.208     brouard  12354:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   12355:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  12356: 
                   12357:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  12358:                
1.235     brouard  12359:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12360:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12361:     
                   12362:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12363:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12364:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12365:        continue;
1.219     brouard  12366:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  12367:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12368:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12369:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12370:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12371:       }
                   12372:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12373:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12374:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  12375:       }
                   12376:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  12377:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  12378:       
                   12379:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12380:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12381:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  12382:       
1.219     brouard  12383:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  12384:     }
                   12385:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  12386:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12387:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  12388: 
1.218     brouard  12389:                
1.227     brouard  12390:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12391:                
1.201     brouard  12392:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   12393:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  12394:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12395:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12396:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12397:     }
1.208     brouard  12398:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   12399:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  12400:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   12401:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12402:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12403:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   12404:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12405:     }
1.227     brouard  12406:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   12407:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  12408: 
1.201     brouard  12409:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   12410:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12411:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12412:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   12413:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12414:     }
1.227     brouard  12415:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   12416:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  12417: 
1.201     brouard  12418:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   12419:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12420:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12421:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12422:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12423:     }
1.227     brouard  12424:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   12425:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  12426: 
1.235     brouard  12427:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12428:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12429:     
                   12430:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12431:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12432:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12433:        continue;
1.242     brouard  12434:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   12435:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   12436:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  12437:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   12438:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12439:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12440:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12441:       }
1.235     brouard  12442:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12443:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12444:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12445:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12446:       }        
1.208     brouard  12447:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  12448:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   12449:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  12450:       
                   12451:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   12452:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12453:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12454:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12455:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  12456:       }
1.235     brouard  12457:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12458:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12459:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12460:       }        
1.208     brouard  12461:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   12462:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   12463:       
                   12464:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  12465:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  12466:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  12467:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12468:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12469:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12470:       }        
1.208     brouard  12471:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   12472:       
                   12473:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12474:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12475:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   12476:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   12477:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  12478:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   12479:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   12480:       
                   12481:       /*
                   12482:        */
                   12483:       /* goto endfree; */
                   12484:       
                   12485:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12486:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   12487:       
1.269     brouard  12488:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12489:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  12490:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   12491:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   12492:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   12493:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  12494:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  12495:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   12496:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   12497:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   12498:        else
                   12499:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12500:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   12501:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   12502:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12503:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   12504:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12505:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12506:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  12507:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  12508:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   12509:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   12510:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12511:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   12512:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   12513:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12514:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   12515:            }
                   12516:          }
1.219     brouard  12517:          
1.227     brouard  12518:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   12519:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   12520:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   12521:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12522:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   12523:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12524:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   12525:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   12526:            }
                   12527:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   12528:          }
                   12529:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  12530:          
1.227     brouard  12531:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   12532:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   12533:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12534:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   12535:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12536:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   12537:          }
                   12538:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12539:        }
1.208     brouard  12540:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  12541:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12542:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   12543:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  12544:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12545:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  12546:       
1.235     brouard  12547:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  12548: 
                   12549:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12550:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   12551: 
1.269     brouard  12552:     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
                   12553:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12554: 
1.227     brouard  12555:     
                   12556:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   12557:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   12558:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   12559:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   12560:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12561:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   12562:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12563:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   12564:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   12565:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   12566:     fclose(ficrest);
                   12567:     fclose(ficpar);
                   12568:     
                   12569:     
1.126     brouard  12570:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  12571:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  12572:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   12573:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  12574:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   12575:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  12576:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  12577:   /* endfree:*/
                   12578:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12579:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12580:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.268     brouard  12581:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
                   12582:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
                   12583:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  12584:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   12585:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12586:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12587:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   12588:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   12589:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  12590:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  12591:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   12592:   
                   12593:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12594:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12595:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12596:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  12597:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12598:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12599:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12600:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  12601:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12602:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12603:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12604:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12605:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12606:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  12607:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12608:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12609:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12610:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12611:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12612:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12613:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12614:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12615:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12616:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12617:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12618:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  12619:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12620:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12621:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12622:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12623:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12624:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   12625:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12626:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  12627:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12628:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12629:   
                   12630:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   12631:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  12632:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12633:   fflush(ficgp);
                   12634:   
1.227     brouard  12635:   
1.126     brouard  12636:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  12637:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   12638:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  12639:   }else{
                   12640:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   12641:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   12642:   }
                   12643:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   12644:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  12645:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   12646:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   12647:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   12648:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   12649:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  12650:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   12651:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  12652:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  12653:   
1.157     brouard  12654:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   12655:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   12656:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  12657:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   12658: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   12659:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12660:   fclose(fichtm);
                   12661:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12662:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   12663:   fclose(ficgp);
                   12664:   fclose(ficlog);
                   12665:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  12666:   
1.281   ! brouard  12667: 
        !          12668: /* Executes gnuplot */
1.227     brouard  12669:   
                   12670:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  12671: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  12672:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12673:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   12674:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12675: #else
1.227     brouard  12676:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12677:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   12678:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12679: #endif 
1.126     brouard  12680:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   12681:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   12682:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  12683: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  12684:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   12685: #endif
                   12686:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12687:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12688:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  12689:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12690:     }else
                   12691:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  12692: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  12693:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   12694:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12695:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12696:     }else
                   12697:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12698: #endif
                   12699:   }else
                   12700:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12701:   
                   12702:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  12703:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  12704:   
1.126     brouard  12705:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  12706:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  12707:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  12708:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  12709:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  12710:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  12711:   }
1.158     brouard  12712:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  12713:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   12714:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  12715:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  12716:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12717: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   12718:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  12719: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  12720:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  12721: #elif __linux
                   12722:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12723: #else
1.152     brouard  12724:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12725: #endif
                   12726:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   12727:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  12728:     }
                   12729:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   12730:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   12731:   }
1.227     brouard  12732: end:
1.126     brouard  12733:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  12734:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12735:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12736:   }
                   12737: }

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