Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.282

1.282   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.281 2018/02/27 19:25:23 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.282   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.281  2018/02/27 19:25:23  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: Adding second argument for quitting
        !             6: 
1.281     brouard     7:   Revision 1.280  2018/02/21 07:58:13  brouard
                      8:   Summary: 0.99r15
                      9: 
                     10:   New Makefile with recent VirtualBox 5.26. Bug in sqrt negatve in imach.c
                     11: 
1.280     brouard    12:   Revision 1.279  2017/07/20 13:35:01  brouard
                     13:   Summary: temporary working
                     14: 
1.279     brouard    15:   Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
                     16:   Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
                     17: 
1.278     brouard    18:   Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
                     19:   Summary: BOM files can be read now
                     20: 
1.277     brouard    21:   Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
                     22:   Summary: Graphs improvements
                     23: 
1.276     brouard    24:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
                     25:   Summary: Saito's color
                     26: 
1.275     brouard    27:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                     28:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                     29: 
1.274     brouard    30:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                     31:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                     32: 
1.273     brouard    33:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                     34:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                     35: 
1.272     brouard    36:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                     37:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                     38: 
1.271     brouard    39:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                     40:   *** empty log message ***
                     41: 
1.270     brouard    42:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                     43:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                     44: 
1.269     brouard    45:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                     46:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                     47: 
1.268     brouard    48:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                     49:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                     50: 
1.267     brouard    51:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                     52:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                     53: 
1.266     brouard    54:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                     55:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                     56: 
1.265     brouard    57:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                     58:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                     59: 
1.264     brouard    60:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                     61:   Summary: to save
                     62: 
1.263     brouard    63:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                     64:   *** empty log message ***
                     65: 
1.262     brouard    66:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                     67:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                     68: 
1.261     brouard    69:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                     70:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                     71: 
1.260     brouard    72:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                     73:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                     74: 
1.259     brouard    75:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                     76:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                     77: 
                     78:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                     79: 
1.258     brouard    80:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                     81:   Summary: Temp
                     82: 
1.257     brouard    83:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                     84:   Summary: Temporary
                     85: 
1.256     brouard    86:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                     87:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                     88: 
1.255     brouard    89:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                     90:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                     91: 
1.254     brouard    92:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                     93:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                     94: 
1.253     brouard    95:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                     96:   *** empty log message ***
                     97: 
1.252     brouard    98:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                     99:   Summary: not working
                    100: 
1.251     brouard   101:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                    102:   Summary: continue
                    103: 
1.250     brouard   104:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                    105:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                    106: 
1.249     brouard   107:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                    108:   *** empty log message ***
                    109: 
1.248     brouard   110:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                    111:   *** empty log message ***
                    112: 
1.247     brouard   113:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                    114:   *** empty log message ***
                    115: 
1.246     brouard   116:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                    117:   *** empty log message ***
                    118: 
1.245     brouard   119:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    120:   *** empty log message ***
                    121: 
1.244     brouard   122:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    123:   *** empty log message ***
                    124: 
1.243     brouard   125:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    126:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    127: 
1.242     brouard   128:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    129:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    130: 
1.241     brouard   131:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    132:   Summary: Better
                    133: 
1.240     brouard   134:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    135:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    136: 
                    137:   Author:
                    138: 
1.239     brouard   139:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    140:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    141: 
1.238     brouard   142:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    143:   Summary: to valgrind
                    144: 
1.237     brouard   145:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    146:   *** empty log message ***
                    147: 
1.236     brouard   148:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    149:   *** empty log message ***
                    150: 
1.235     brouard   151:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    152:   *** empty log message ***
                    153: 
1.234     brouard   154:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    155:   Summary: not working
                    156: 
1.233     brouard   157:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    158:   Summary: not working
                    159: 
1.232     brouard   160:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    161:   Summary: not working
                    162: 
1.231     brouard   163:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    164:   Summary: Not working
                    165: 
1.230     brouard   166:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    167:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    168: 
1.229     brouard   169:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    170:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    171: 
1.227     brouard   172:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    173:   Summary: temp
                    174: 
1.226     brouard   175:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    176:   Summary: saving but not running
                    177: 
1.225     brouard   178:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    179:   Summary: Fixes
                    180: 
1.224     brouard   181:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    182:   Summary: temporary
                    183: 
1.223     brouard   184:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    185:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    186: 
1.222     brouard   187:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    188:   Summary: minor bug
                    189: 
1.220     brouard   190:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    191:   *** empty log message ***
                    192: 
1.219     brouard   193:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    194:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    195: 
1.218     brouard   196:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    197:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    198: 
1.217     brouard   199:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    200:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    201: 
                    202:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    203:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    204:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    205:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    206: 
1.216     brouard   207:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    208:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    209: 
1.215     brouard   210:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    211:   Summary: temporary not working
                    212: 
1.214     brouard   213:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    214:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    215: 
1.213     brouard   216:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    217:   Summary: minor typo
                    218: 
1.212     brouard   219:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    220:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    221: 
                    222:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    223: 
1.211     brouard   224:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   225:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   226:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    227:   Author: N Brouard
                    228: 
                    229:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    230:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    231:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    232:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    233:   computation are long.
                    234: 
1.209     brouard   235:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    236:   Summary: temporary
                    237: 
1.208     brouard   238:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    239:   *** empty log message ***
                    240: 
1.207     brouard   241:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    242:   *** empty log message ***
                    243: 
1.206     brouard   244:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    245:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    246: 
1.205     brouard   247:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    248:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    249: 
1.204     brouard   250:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    251:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    252: 
                    253:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    254:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    255:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    256: 
1.203     brouard   257:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    258:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    259: 
1.202     brouard   260:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    261:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    262: 
                    263:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    264:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    265: 
1.201     brouard   266:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    267:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    268: 
                    269:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    270: 
1.200     brouard   271:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    272:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    273: 
1.199     brouard   274:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    275:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    276: 
1.198     brouard   277:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    278:   *** empty log message ***
                    279: 
1.197     brouard   280:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    281:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    282: 
1.196     brouard   283:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    284:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    285: 
                    286:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    287:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    288:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    289:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    290: 
1.195     brouard   291:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    292:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    293: 
1.194     brouard   294:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    295:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    296: 
1.193     brouard   297:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    298:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    299: 
1.192     brouard   300:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    301:   Summary: Some fixes
                    302: 
1.191     brouard   303:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    304:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    305: 
                    306:   Fix 1+age+.
                    307: 
1.190     brouard   308:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    309:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    310: 
1.189     brouard   311:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    312:   *** empty log message ***
                    313: 
1.188     brouard   314:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    315:   *** empty log message ***
                    316: 
1.187     brouard   317:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    318:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    319: 
                    320:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    321:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    322:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    323: 
1.186     brouard   324:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    325:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    326: 
1.185     brouard   327:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    328:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    329: 
1.184     brouard   330:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    331:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    332: 
                    333:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    334:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    335:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    336:   wrong results.
                    337: 
1.183     brouard   338:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    339:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    340:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    341: 
1.182     brouard   342:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    343:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    344: 
                    345:   Author:
                    346: 
1.181     brouard   347:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    348:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    349: 
1.180     brouard   350:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    351:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    352: 
1.179     brouard   353:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    354:   *** empty log message ***
                    355: 
1.178     brouard   356:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    357:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    358: 
1.177     brouard   359:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    360:   *** empty log message ***
                    361: 
1.176     brouard   362:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    363:   *** empty log message ***
                    364: 
1.175     brouard   365:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    366:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    367: 
1.174     brouard   368:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    369:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    370: 
1.173     brouard   371:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    372:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    373: 
1.172     brouard   374:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    375:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    376: 
                    377:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    378: 
1.171     brouard   379:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    380:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    381: 
                    382:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    383: 
1.170     brouard   384:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    385:   Summary: 0.98p
                    386: 
                    387:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    388: 
1.169     brouard   389:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   390:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   391: 
1.168     brouard   392:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    393:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    394: 
                    395:   Testing on Linux 64
                    396: 
1.167     brouard   397:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    398:   *** empty log message ***
                    399: 
1.166     brouard   400:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    401:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    402: 
                    403:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    404: 
1.165     brouard   405:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    406:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    407: 
                    408:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    409: 
1.164     brouard   410:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    411:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    412: 
1.163     brouard   413:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    414:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    415: 
1.162     brouard   416:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    417:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    418: 
                    419:   Author:
                    420: 
                    421:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    422:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    423: 
1.161     brouard   424:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    425:   *** empty log message ***
                    426: 
1.160     brouard   427:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    428:   Summary: WIN32
                    429:   Author: Brouard
                    430: 
1.159     brouard   431:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    432:   *** empty log message ***
                    433: 
1.158     brouard   434:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    435:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    436:   Author: Brouard
                    437: 
                    438:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    439:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    440:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    441:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    442:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    443: 
1.157     brouard   444:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    445:   *** empty log message ***
                    446: 
1.156     brouard   447:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    448:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    449:   Author: Brouard
                    450: 
1.155     brouard   451:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    452:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    453: 
1.154     brouard   454:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    455:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    456:   Author: Brouard
                    457: 
1.153     brouard   458:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    459:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    460: 
1.152     brouard   461:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    462:   *** empty log message ***
                    463: 
1.151     brouard   464:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    465:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    466:   Author: brouard
                    467: 
1.150     brouard   468:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    469:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    470:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    471: 
1.149     brouard   472:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    473:   Summary: Nothing new
                    474:   Author: Brouard
                    475: 
                    476:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    477: 
1.148     brouard   478:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    479:   *** empty log message ***
                    480: 
1.147     brouard   481:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    482:   Summary: Merge
                    483:   Author: Brouard
                    484: 
                    485:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    486: 
1.146     brouard   487:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    488:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    489:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    490: 
                    491:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    492:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    493:   improve the code.
                    494:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    495:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    496:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    497:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    498:   the source code.
                    499: 
1.144     brouard   500:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    501:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    502: 
                    503:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    504:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    505: 
1.143     brouard   506:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    507:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    508: 
                    509:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    510: 
1.142     brouard   511:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    512:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    513: 
1.141     brouard   514:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    515:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    516: 
1.140     brouard   517:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    518:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    519:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    520: 
1.139     brouard   521:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    522:   *** empty log message ***
                    523: 
1.138     brouard   524:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    525:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    526:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    527: 
1.137     brouard   528:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    529:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    530:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    531:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    532:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    533: 
1.136     brouard   534:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    535:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    536: 
1.135     brouard   537:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    538:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    539: 
1.134     brouard   540:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    541:   just nforces
                    542: 
1.133     brouard   543:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    544:   Many tings
                    545: 
1.132     brouard   546:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    547:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    548: 
1.131     brouard   549:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    550:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    551:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    552:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    553: 
1.130     brouard   554:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    555:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    556: 
1.129     lievre    557:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    558:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    559: 
1.128     brouard   560:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    561:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    562:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    563:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    564:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    565:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    566:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    567:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    568:   computation.
                    569:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    570:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    571: 
1.127     brouard   572:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    573:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    574:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    575:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    576:   Version 0.98h
                    577: 
1.126     brouard   578:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    579:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    580:   Forecasting file added.
                    581: 
                    582:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    583:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    584:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    585: 
                    586:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    587:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    588:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    589: 
                    590:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    591:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    592:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    593:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    594:   1.
                    595:   Version 0.98g
                    596: 
                    597:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    598:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    599:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    600:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    601:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    602:   1.
                    603:   Version 0.98g
                    604: 
                    605:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    606:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    607: 
                    608:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    609:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    610:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    611: 
                    612:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    613:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    614:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    615:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    616: 
                    617:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    618:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    619:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    620: 
                    621:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    622:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    623:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    624:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    625:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    626:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    627: 
                    628:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    629:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    630:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    631:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    632:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    633:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    634: 
                    635:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    636:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    637:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    638: 
                    639:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    640:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    641: 
                    642:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    643:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    644:   filename with strsep.
                    645: 
                    646:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    647:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    648:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    649:   allocation too.
                    650: 
                    651:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    652:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    653: 
                    654:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    655:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    656:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    657:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    658: 
                    659:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    660:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    661: 
                    662:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    663:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    664: 
                    665:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    666:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    667:   To be fixed
                    668: 
                    669:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    670:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    671: 
                    672:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    673:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    674: 
                    675:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    676:   *** empty log message ***
                    677: 
                    678:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    679:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    680:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    681:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    682:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    683:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    684:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    685:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    686: 
                    687:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    688:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    689: 
                    690:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    691:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    692: 
                    693:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    694:   Fix on curr_time
                    695: 
                    696:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    697:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    698: 
                    699:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    700:   *** empty log message ***
                    701: 
                    702:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    703:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    704:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    705:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    706:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    707:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    708:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    709:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    710: 
                    711:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    712: 
1.133     brouard   713:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   714:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    715: 
                    716:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    717:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    718: 
                    719:   Current limitations:
                    720:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    721:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    722:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    723: 
                    724:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    725:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    726:   suppressed.
                    727: 
                    728:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    729:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    730:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    731: 
                    732:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    733:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    734:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    735:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    736: 
                    737:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    738:   Just cleaning
                    739: 
                    740:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    741:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    742:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    743:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    744: 
                    745:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    746:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    747:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    748: 
                    749:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    750:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    751:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    752:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    753:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    754:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    755: 
                    756:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    757:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    758:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    759:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    760: 
                    761:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    762:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    763:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    764:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    765: 
                    766:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    767:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    768: 
                    769:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    770:   Version 0.96
                    771: 
                    772:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    773:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    774:   routine fileappend.
                    775: 
                    776:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    777:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    778:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    779:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    780:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    781:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    782:   interview.
                    783:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    784:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    785:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    786:   truncation)
                    787:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    788: 
                    789:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    790:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    791:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    792:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    793:   parcimony.
                    794:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    795: 
                    796:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    797:   *** empty log message ***
                    798: 
                    799:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    800:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    801: 
                    802: */
                    803: /*
                    804:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    805: 
                    806:   Short summary of the programme:
                    807:   
1.227     brouard   808:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    809:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    810:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    811: 
                    812:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    813:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    814:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    815: 
                    816:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    817:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    818:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    819:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    820:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    821:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    822:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    823:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    824:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    825:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    826:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    827:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    828:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   829:   convergence.
                    830: 
                    831:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    832:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    833:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    834:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    835:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    836: 
                    837:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    838:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    839:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    840:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    841:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    842:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    843:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    844:   hPijx.
                    845: 
                    846:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   847:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    848: 
                    849: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   850: 
                    851:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    852:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    853:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    854:    mobilavproj)
                    855: 
                    856:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    857:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    858:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    859: 
                    860:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    861:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    862: 
                    863:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   864:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    865:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    866:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   867: 
1.267     brouard   868:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard   869:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    870:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    871:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   872:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    873: 
                    874:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    875:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    876:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    877:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    878:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   879: 
                    880: Important routines
                    881: 
                    882: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    883:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    884:   o varying variables by:
                    885:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    886:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    887:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    888:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    889: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    890:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    891: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    892:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    893:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   894: 
1.226     brouard   895: 
                    896:   
1.133     brouard   897:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    898:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   899:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    900:   from the European Union.
                    901:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    902:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    903:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    904: 
                    905:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    906:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    907:   
                    908:   **********************************************************************/
                    909: /*
                    910:   main
                    911:   read parameterfile
                    912:   read datafile
                    913:   concatwav
                    914:   freqsummary
                    915:   if (mle >= 1)
                    916:     mlikeli
                    917:   print results files
                    918:   if mle==1 
                    919:      computes hessian
                    920:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    921:       begin-prev-date,...
                    922:   open gnuplot file
                    923:   open html file
1.145     brouard   924:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    925:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    926:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    927:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    928: 
                    929:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    930:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    931:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    932:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    933: 
                    934:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    935:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    936:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    937:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    938:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    939: 
1.126     brouard   940:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    941:   health expectancies
                    942:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    943:   prevalence()
                    944:    movingaverage()
                    945:   varevsij() 
                    946:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    947:   total life expectancies
                    948:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    949:  end
                    950: */
                    951: 
1.187     brouard   952: /* #define DEBUG */
                    953: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   954: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    955: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    956: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   957: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   958: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   959: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   960: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    961: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   962: 
                    963: #include <math.h>
                    964: #include <stdio.h>
                    965: #include <stdlib.h>
                    966: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   967: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   968: 
                    969: #ifdef _WIN32
                    970: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   971: #include <windows.h>
                    972: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   973: #else
1.126     brouard   974: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   975: #endif
1.126     brouard   976: 
                    977: #include <limits.h>
                    978: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   979: 
                    980: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    981: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    982: #endif
                    983: 
1.126     brouard   984: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    985: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   986: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   987: 
1.157     brouard   988: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    989: /* #include <time.h> */
                    990: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    991: /* #else */
                    992: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    993: /* #endif */
                    994: 
1.126     brouard   995: #include <time.h>
                    996: 
1.136     brouard   997: #ifdef GSL
                    998: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    999: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                   1000: #endif
                   1001: 
1.167     brouard  1002: 
1.162     brouard  1003: #ifdef NLOPT
                   1004: #include <nlopt.h>
                   1005: typedef struct {
                   1006:   double (* function)(double [] );
                   1007: } myfunc_data ;
                   1008: #endif
                   1009: 
1.126     brouard  1010: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                   1011: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                   1012: 
1.251     brouard  1013: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard  1014: 
                   1015: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                   1016: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                   1017: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                   1018: 
                   1019: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1020: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1021: 
1.144     brouard  1022: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1023: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1024: 
                   1025: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1026: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1027: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                   1028: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard  1029: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1030: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1031: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard  1032: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard  1033: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1034: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                   1035: #define AGESUP 150
1.268     brouard  1036: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1037: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1038: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1039: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1040: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1041: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1042: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1043: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1044: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1045: #else
1.126     brouard  1046: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1047: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1048: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1049: #endif
                   1050: 
1.282   ! brouard  1051: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.281 2018/02/27 19:25:23 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1052: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1053: #include "version.h"
                   1054: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard  1055: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.282   ! brouard  1056: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.281 $ $Date: 2018/02/27 19:25:23 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1057: char strstart[80];
                   1058: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1059: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1060: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1061: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1062: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1063: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1064: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1065: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1066: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1067: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1068: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1069: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1070: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1071: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1072: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1073: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1074: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1075: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1076: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1077: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1078: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard  1079: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard  1080: int npar=NPARMAX;
                   1081: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1082: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1083: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1084: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1085: int popbased=0;
                   1086: 
                   1087: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1088: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1089: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1090: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1091: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1092:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1093: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1094: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1095: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1096: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1097:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1098: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1099: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1100: 
1.130     brouard  1101: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1102: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1103: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1104: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1105: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1106: 
1.136     brouard  1107: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1108: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1109: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1110: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1111: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1112: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1113: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1114: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1115: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1116: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1117: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1118: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1119: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1120: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1121: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1122: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1123: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1124: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1125: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1126: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1127: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1128: 
1.126     brouard  1129: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1130: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1131: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1132: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1133: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1134: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1135: int  outcmd=0;
                   1136: 
1.217     brouard  1137: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1138: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1139: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1140: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1141: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1142: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1143: 
                   1144: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1145: 
1.157     brouard  1146: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1147: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1148: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1149: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1150: 
                   1151: extern time_t time();
                   1152: 
                   1153: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1154: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1155: struct tm tm;
                   1156: 
1.126     brouard  1157: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1158: 
                   1159: char *endptr;
                   1160: long lval;
                   1161: double dval;
                   1162: 
                   1163: #define NR_END 1
                   1164: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1165: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1166: 
                   1167: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1168: #define ITMAX 200
                   1169: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1170: 
                   1171: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1172: 
                   1173: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1174: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1175: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1176: 
                   1177: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1178: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1179: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1180: 
                   1181: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1182: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1183: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1184:   
                   1185: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1186: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1187: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1188: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1189: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1190: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1191: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1192: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1193: static double sqrarg;
                   1194: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1195: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1196: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1197: 
                   1198: int imx; 
                   1199: int stepm=1;
                   1200: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1201: 
                   1202: int estepm;
                   1203: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1204: 
                   1205: int m,nb;
                   1206: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1207: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1208: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1209:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1210:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1211: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1212:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1213:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1214: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1215: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1216: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1217: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1218: double dateintmean=0;
                   1219: 
                   1220: double *weight;
                   1221: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1222: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1223: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1224:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1225:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1226: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1227: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1228: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1229: double  idx; 
                   1230: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1231: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1232: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1233: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1234: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1235: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1236: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1237: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1238: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1239: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1240: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1241: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1242: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1243: /* */
                   1244: /* Type                    */
                   1245: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1246: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1247: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1248: /*                         */
                   1249: int *TvarsD;
                   1250: int *TvarsDind;
                   1251: int *TvarsQ;
                   1252: int *TvarsQind;
                   1253: 
1.235     brouard  1254: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1255: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1256: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.235     brouard  1257: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1258: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1259: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1260: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1261: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1262: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1263: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1264: 
1.234     brouard  1265: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1266: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1267: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1268: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1269: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1270: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1271: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1272: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1273: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1274: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1275: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1276: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1277: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1278: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1279: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1280: 
1.230     brouard  1281: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1282: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1283: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1284: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1285: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1286: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1287: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1288: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1289: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1290: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1291: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1292: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1293: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1294: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1295: int **Tvard;
                   1296: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1297: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1298: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1299:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1300:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1301: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1302: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1303: 
1.231     brouard  1304: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1305: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1306: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1307: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1308: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1309: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1310: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1311: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1312: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1313: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1314: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1315: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1316: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1317: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1318: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1319: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1320: 
                   1321: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1322: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1323: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1324: 
                   1325: struct kmodel{
                   1326:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1327:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1328: };
                   1329: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1330: 
1.143     brouard  1331: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1332: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1333: 
                   1334: /**************** split *************************/
                   1335: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1336: {
                   1337:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1338:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1339:   */ 
                   1340:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1341:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1342: 
                   1343:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1344:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1345:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1346:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1347:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1348:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1349:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1350:     /* get current working directory */
                   1351:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1352: #ifdef WIN32
                   1353:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1354: #else
                   1355:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1356: #endif
1.126     brouard  1357:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1358:     }
                   1359:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1360:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1361:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1362:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1363:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1364:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1365:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1366:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1367:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1368:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1369:   }
                   1370:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1371:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1372:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1373:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1374:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1375:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1376:   }
                   1377:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1378:   if (ss >0){
                   1379:     ss++;
                   1380:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1381:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1382:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1383:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1384:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1385:   }
                   1386: 
                   1387:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1388: }
                   1389: 
                   1390: 
                   1391: /******************************************/
                   1392: 
                   1393: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1394: {
                   1395:   int i;
                   1396:   int lg=0;
                   1397:   i=0;
                   1398:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1399:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1400:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1401:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1402:   }
                   1403: }
                   1404: 
1.132     brouard  1405: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1406: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1407:   char *s;
                   1408:   s=out;
                   1409:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1410:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1411:       in++;
                   1412:     }
                   1413:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1414:   }
                   1415:   *out='\0';
                   1416:   return s;
                   1417: }
                   1418: 
1.187     brouard  1419: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1420: /* { */
                   1421: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1422: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1423: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1424: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1425: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1426: /*   } */
                   1427: 
                   1428: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1429: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1430: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1431: /*   } */
                   1432: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1433: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1434: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1435: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1436: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1437: /*   } */
                   1438: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1439: /*   out=s; */
                   1440: /*   return out; */
                   1441: /* } */
                   1442: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1443: {
                   1444:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1445:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1446: 
                   1447:   char *strloc;
                   1448: 
                   1449:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1450:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1451:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1452:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1453:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1454:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1455:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1456:   }
                   1457:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1458:   return out;
                   1459: }
                   1460: 
                   1461: 
1.145     brouard  1462: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1463: {
1.187     brouard  1464:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1465:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1466:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1467:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1468:   */
1.160     brouard  1469:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1470:   t=in;s=in;
                   1471:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1472:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1473:   }
                   1474:   if( *in == occ){
                   1475:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1476:     s=++in;
                   1477:   }
                   1478:  
                   1479:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1480:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1481:     in=s;
                   1482:   }
                   1483:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1484:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1485:   }
                   1486: 
                   1487:   *blocc='\0';
                   1488:   return t;
                   1489: }
1.137     brouard  1490: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1491: {
1.187     brouard  1492:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1493:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1494:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1495:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1496:   */
                   1497:   char *s, *t;
                   1498:   t=in;s=in;
                   1499:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1500:     while( *in == occ){
                   1501:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1502:       s=in;
                   1503:     }
                   1504:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1505:   }
                   1506:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1507:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1508:   else
                   1509:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1510:   in=s;
                   1511:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1512:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1513:   }
                   1514: 
                   1515:   *alocc='\0';
                   1516:   return s;
                   1517: }
                   1518: 
1.126     brouard  1519: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1520: {
                   1521:   int i,j=0;
                   1522:   int lg=20;
                   1523:   i=0;
                   1524:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1525:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1526:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1527:   }
                   1528:   return j;
                   1529: }
                   1530: 
1.137     brouard  1531: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1532: /* { */
                   1533: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1534: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1535: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1536: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1537: /*   i=0; */
                   1538: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1539: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1540: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1541: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1542: 
1.137     brouard  1543: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1544: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1545: /*   } */
                   1546: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1547: 
1.137     brouard  1548: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1549: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1550: /*   } */
                   1551: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1552: 
1.160     brouard  1553: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1554: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1555: {
                   1556:   char *p, *q;
                   1557:          
                   1558:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1559:     return 0;
                   1560:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1561:   {
                   1562:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1563:     *q = '\0';
                   1564:   }
                   1565:   else
                   1566:     *pp = 0;
                   1567:   return p;
                   1568: }
                   1569: #endif
                   1570: 
1.126     brouard  1571: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1572: 
                   1573: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1574: {
                   1575:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1576:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1577:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1578: }
                   1579: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1580: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1581: {
                   1582:   double *v;
                   1583:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1584:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1585:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1586: }
                   1587: 
                   1588: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1589: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1590: {
                   1591:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1592: }
                   1593: 
                   1594: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1595: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1596: {
                   1597:   int *v;
                   1598:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1599:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1600:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1601: }
                   1602: 
                   1603: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1604: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1605: {
                   1606:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1607: }
                   1608: 
                   1609: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1610: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1611: {
                   1612:   long *v;
                   1613:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1614:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1615:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1616: }
                   1617: 
                   1618: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1619: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1620: {
                   1621:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1622: }
                   1623: 
                   1624: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1625: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1626:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1627: { 
                   1628:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1629:   int **m; 
                   1630:   
                   1631:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1632:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1633:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1634:   m += NR_END; 
                   1635:   m -= nrl; 
                   1636:   
                   1637:   
                   1638:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1639:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1640:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1641:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1642:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1643:   
                   1644:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1645:   
                   1646:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1647:   return m; 
                   1648: } 
                   1649: 
                   1650: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1651: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1652:       int **m;
                   1653:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1654:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1655: { 
                   1656:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1657:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1658: } 
                   1659: 
                   1660: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1661: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1662: {
                   1663:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1664:   double **m;
                   1665: 
                   1666:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1667:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1668:   m += NR_END;
                   1669:   m -= nrl;
                   1670: 
                   1671:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1672:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1673:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1674:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1675: 
                   1676:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1677:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1678:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1679: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1680: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1681:    */
                   1682: }
                   1683: 
                   1684: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1685: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1686: {
                   1687:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1688:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1689: }
                   1690: 
                   1691: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1692: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1693: {
                   1694:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1695:   double ***m;
                   1696: 
                   1697:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1698:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1699:   m += NR_END;
                   1700:   m -= nrl;
                   1701: 
                   1702:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1703:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1704:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1705:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1706: 
                   1707:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1708: 
                   1709:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1710:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1711:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1712:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1713:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1714:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1715:   
                   1716:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1717:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1718:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1719:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1720:   }
                   1721:   return m; 
                   1722:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1723:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1724:   */
                   1725: }
                   1726: 
                   1727: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1728: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1729: {
                   1730:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1731:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1732:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1733: }
                   1734: 
                   1735: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1736: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1737: {
                   1738:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1739:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1740:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1741:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1742:   return tmpout;
                   1743: }
                   1744: 
                   1745: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1746: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1747: {
                   1748:   
                   1749:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1750:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1751:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1752:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1753:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1754:   return tmpout;
                   1755: }
                   1756: 
                   1757: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1758: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1759: {
                   1760:   
                   1761:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1762:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1763:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1764:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1765:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1766:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1767:   return tmpout;
                   1768: }
1.213     brouard  1769:  
                   1770: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1771: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1772: {
                   1773:   
                   1774:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1775:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1776:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1777:   return tmpout;
                   1778: }
1.126     brouard  1779: 
1.213     brouard  1780: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1781: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1782: {
                   1783:   
                   1784:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1785:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1786:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1787:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1788:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1789:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1790:   return tmpout;
                   1791: }
                   1792:  
1.162     brouard  1793: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1794: {
                   1795:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1796:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1797:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1798:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1799:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1800:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1801:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1802:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1803:   return ascdiff;
                   1804: }
                   1805: 
1.126     brouard  1806: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1807: extern int ncom; 
                   1808: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1809: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1810:  
                   1811: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1812: { 
                   1813:   int j; 
                   1814:   double f;
                   1815:   double *xt; 
                   1816:  
                   1817:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1818:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1819:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1820:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1821:   return f; 
                   1822: } 
                   1823: 
                   1824: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1825: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1826: {
                   1827:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1828:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1829:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1830:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1831:    * returned function value. 
                   1832:   */
1.126     brouard  1833:   int iter; 
                   1834:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1835:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1836:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1837:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1838:   double e=0.0; 
                   1839:  
                   1840:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1841:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1842:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1843:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1844:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1845:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1846:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1847:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1848:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1849:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1850: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1851:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1852:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1853:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1854: #endif
                   1855:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1856:       *xmin=x; 
                   1857:       return fx; 
                   1858:     } 
                   1859:     ftemp=fu;
                   1860:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1861:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1862:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1863:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1864:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1865:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1866:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1867:       etemp=e; 
                   1868:       e=d; 
                   1869:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1870:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1871:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1872:                                d=p/q; 
                   1873:                                u=x+d; 
                   1874:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1875:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1876:       } 
                   1877:     } else { 
                   1878:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1879:     } 
                   1880:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1881:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1882:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1883:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1884:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1885:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1886:     } else { 
                   1887:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1888:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1889:                                v=w; 
                   1890:                                w=u; 
                   1891:                                fv=fw; 
                   1892:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1893:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1894:                                v=u; 
                   1895:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1896:       } 
                   1897:     } 
1.126     brouard  1898:   } 
                   1899:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1900:   *xmin=x; 
                   1901:   return fx; 
                   1902: } 
                   1903: 
                   1904: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1905: 
                   1906: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1907:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1908: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1909: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1910: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1911: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1912:    */
1.126     brouard  1913:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1914:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1915: 
                   1916:   double scale=10.;
                   1917:   int iterscale=0;
                   1918: 
                   1919:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1920:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1921: 
                   1922: 
                   1923:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1924:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1925:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1926:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1927:   /* } */
                   1928: 
1.126     brouard  1929:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1930:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1931:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1932:   } 
1.126     brouard  1933:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1934:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1935: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1936:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1937:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1938: #endif
1.224     brouard  1939:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1940:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1941:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1942:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1943:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1944:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1945:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1946:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1947: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1948:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1949:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1950:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1951:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1952:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1953:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1954:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1955:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1956:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1957:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1958: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1959: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1960: #else
1.191     brouard  1961: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1962: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1963: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1964: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1965: /* #endif */
                   1966: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1967: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1968: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1969: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1970: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1971: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1972: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1973: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1974: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1975: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1976: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1977: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1978: /* #endif */
                   1979: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1980: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1981: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1982: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1983: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1984: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1985: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1986: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1987:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1988:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1989:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1990:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1991:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1992: #endif
1.191     brouard  1993:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1994:       u = *cx;
                   1995:       *cx = dum;
                   1996:       dum = fu;
                   1997:       fu = *fc;
                   1998:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1999: #endif
1.162     brouard  2000:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  2001: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2002:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   2003:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2004: #endif
1.126     brouard  2005:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   2006:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  2007: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2008:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2009:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2010: #endif
                   2011:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   2012:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   2013: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2014:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  2015: #endif
                   2016:       } 
1.162     brouard  2017:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  2018: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2019:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2020:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2021: #endif
1.126     brouard  2022:       u=ulim; 
                   2023:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2024:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2025: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2026:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2027:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2028: #endif
1.126     brouard  2029:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2030:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2031: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2032:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2033:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2034: #endif
1.183     brouard  2035:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2036:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2037:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2038: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2039:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2040:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2041: #endif
                   2042:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2043: } 
                   2044: 
                   2045: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2046: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2047: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2048: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2049: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2050: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2051: int ncom; 
                   2052: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2053: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2054:  
1.224     brouard  2055: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2056: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2057: #else
                   2058: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2059: #endif
1.126     brouard  2060: { 
                   2061:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2062:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2063:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2064:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2065:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2066:   int j; 
                   2067:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2068:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2069: 
1.203     brouard  2070: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2071: #else
                   2072:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2073: #endif
                   2074:   
1.126     brouard  2075:   ncom=n; 
                   2076:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2077:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2078:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2079:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2080:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2081:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2082:   } 
1.187     brouard  2083: 
1.203     brouard  2084: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2085:   xx=1.;
                   2086: #else
                   2087:   axs=0.0;
                   2088:   xxs=1.;
                   2089:   do{
                   2090:     xx= xxs;
                   2091: #endif
1.187     brouard  2092:     ax=0.;
                   2093:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2094:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2095:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2096:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2097:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2098:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2099:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2100: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2101: #else
                   2102:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2103:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2104:                        printf("|");
                   2105:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2106: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2107:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2108: #endif
                   2109:     }
1.224     brouard  2110:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2111: #endif
                   2112:   
1.191     brouard  2113: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2114:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2115:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2116: #endif
1.224     brouard  2117: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2118: #else
                   2119:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2120:                xmin=xx;
                   2121:     *flat=1;
                   2122:        }else{
                   2123:     *flat=0;
                   2124: #endif
                   2125:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2126:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2127:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2128:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2129:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2130:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2131: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2132:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2133:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2134: #endif
                   2135: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2136: #else
                   2137:                        }
1.126     brouard  2138: #endif
1.191     brouard  2139: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2140:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2141:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2142: #endif
1.126     brouard  2143:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2144: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2145:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2146: #else
                   2147: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2148:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2149:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2150: #endif
                   2151:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2152: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2153:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2154:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2155: #endif
                   2156: #endif
1.187     brouard  2157:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2158:   } 
1.191     brouard  2159: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2160:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2161:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2162:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2163:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2164:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2165:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2166:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2167:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2168:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2169:     }
1.191     brouard  2170:   }
1.203     brouard  2171: #else
1.191     brouard  2172: #endif
1.126     brouard  2173:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2174:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2175: } 
                   2176: 
                   2177: 
                   2178: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2179: /*
                   2180: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2181: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2182: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2183: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2184: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2185: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2186:  */
1.224     brouard  2187: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2188: #else
                   2189:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2190:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2191: #endif
1.126     brouard  2192: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2193:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2194: { 
1.224     brouard  2195: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2196:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2197:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2198: #else 
1.241     brouard  2199:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2200:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2201: #endif
1.239     brouard  2202:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2203:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2204:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2205:   double fp,fptt;
                   2206:   double *xits;
                   2207:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2208: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2209: #else
                   2210: 
                   2211:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2212:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2213: #endif
1.126     brouard  2214: 
                   2215:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2216:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2217:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2218:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2219:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2220:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2221:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2222:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2223:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2224:     ibig=0; 
                   2225:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2226:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2227:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2228:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2229:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2230:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2231:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2232: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2233:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2234:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2235:     }
1.239     brouard  2236:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2237:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2238:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2239:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2240:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2241:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2242:     }
                   2243:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2244:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2245:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2246:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2247:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2248:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2249:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2250:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2251:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2252:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2253:       }
                   2254:     }
1.126     brouard  2255:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2256: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2257: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2258:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2259:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2260:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2261:        if (k != i) {
                   2262:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2263:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2264:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2265:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2266:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2267:            jk++; 
                   2268:          }
                   2269:          printf("\n");
                   2270:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2271:        }
                   2272:       }
                   2273:     }
1.241     brouard  2274:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2275:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2276:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2277:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2278:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2279:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2280:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2281:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2282:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2283:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2284:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2285:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2286:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2287:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2288:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2289:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2290:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2291:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2292:       }
                   2293:     }
1.187     brouard  2294:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2295:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2296:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2297: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2298:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2299:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2300: #endif
1.203     brouard  2301:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2302:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2303: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2304:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2305: #else
                   2306:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2307:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2308: #endif
                   2309:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2310:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2311:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2312:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2313:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2314:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2315:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2316:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2317:       } 
                   2318: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2319:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2320:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2321:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2322:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2323:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2324:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2325:       }
                   2326:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2327:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2328:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2329:       }
                   2330:       printf("\n");
                   2331:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2332: #endif
1.187     brouard  2333:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2334:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2335:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2336:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2337:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2338:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2339:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2340:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2341:                                }
                   2342:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2343:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2344:                        }
1.243     brouard  2345:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2346:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2347:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2348:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2349:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2350:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2351:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2352:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2353:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2354:                        
1.188     brouard  2355:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2356:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2357:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2358:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2359: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2360:       int k[2],l;
                   2361:       k[0]=1;
                   2362:       k[1]=-1;
                   2363:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2364:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2365:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2366:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2367:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2368:       }
                   2369:       printf("\n");
                   2370:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2371:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2372:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2373:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2374:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2375:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2376:        }
                   2377:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2378:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2379:       }
                   2380: #endif
                   2381: 
1.224     brouard  2382: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2383: #else
                   2384:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2385: #endif
1.126     brouard  2386:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2387:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2388:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2389:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2390:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2391:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2392:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2393:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2394:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2395:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2396:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2397:     } 
1.181     brouard  2398:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2399: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2400:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2401: #else
                   2402: #endif
1.224     brouard  2403: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2404: #else
1.161     brouard  2405:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2406: #endif
1.162     brouard  2407:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2408:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2409:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2410:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2411:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2412:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2413:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2414:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2415:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2416:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2417:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2418:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2419:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2420:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2421:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2422: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2423:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2424: #else
                   2425:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2426:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2427: #endif
1.202     brouard  2428:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2429: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2430:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2431:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2432:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2433:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2434:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2435:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2436:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2437:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2438: #endif
1.183     brouard  2439: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2440:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2441: #else
1.182     brouard  2442:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2443:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2444:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2445:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2446:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2447:       } 
1.181     brouard  2448:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2449: #endif
1.191     brouard  2450: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2451:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2452:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2453:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2454:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2455:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2456:            printf("\n");
                   2457:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2458:          }
                   2459:        }
1.224     brouard  2460: #endif
                   2461: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2462:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2463: #else
1.234     brouard  2464:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2465:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2466: #endif
1.234     brouard  2467:        
1.191     brouard  2468: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2469:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2470:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2471:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2472:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2473:            printf("\n");
                   2474:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2475:          }
                   2476:        }
1.224     brouard  2477: #endif
1.234     brouard  2478:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2479:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2480:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2481:        }
1.224     brouard  2482: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2483: #else
1.234     brouard  2484:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2485:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2486:            flatd++;
                   2487:        }
                   2488:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2489:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2490:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2491:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2492:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2493:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2494:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2495:            }
                   2496:          }
                   2497:          printf("\n");
                   2498:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2499:        }
1.191     brouard  2500: #endif
1.234     brouard  2501:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2502:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2503:        
1.126     brouard  2504: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2505:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2506:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2507:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2508:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2509:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2510:        }
                   2511:        printf("\n");
                   2512:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2513: #endif
1.192     brouard  2514:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2515: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2516: #else
1.234     brouard  2517:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2518: #endif
1.225     brouard  2519: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2520:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2521: #else
1.224     brouard  2522: #endif
1.234     brouard  2523:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2524: } 
1.234     brouard  2525:   
1.126     brouard  2526: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2527:   
1.235     brouard  2528:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2529:   {
1.279     brouard  2530:     /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2531:      *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2532:      *  by left multiplying the unit
                   2533:      *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
                   2534:      * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
                   2535:      * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
                   2536:      * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
                   2537:      * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
                   2538:      * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
                   2539:      * Output is prlim.
                   2540:      * Initial matrix pimij 
                   2541:      */
1.206     brouard  2542:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2543:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2544:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2545:   /*
                   2546:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2547:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2548:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2549:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2550:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2551:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2552:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2553:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2554:     
1.126     brouard  2555:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2556:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2557:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2558:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2559:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2560:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2561:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2562:   
1.209     brouard  2563:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2564:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2565:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2566: 
1.218     brouard  2567:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2568:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2569:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2570:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2571:     }
1.169     brouard  2572:   
                   2573:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2574:   
                   2575:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2576:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2577:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2578:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2579:     newm=savm;
                   2580:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2581:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2582:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2583:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2584:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2585:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2586:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2587:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2588:     }
                   2589:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2590:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2591:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2592:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2593:     }
1.237     brouard  2594:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2595:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2596:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2597:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2598:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2599:       }
1.235     brouard  2600:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2601:     }
1.237     brouard  2602:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2603:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2604:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2605:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2606:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2607:        }else{
                   2608:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2609:        }
                   2610:       }else{
                   2611:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2612:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2613:        }else{
                   2614:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2615:        }
                   2616:       }
1.234     brouard  2617:     }
1.138     brouard  2618:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2619:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2620:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2621:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2622:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2623:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2624:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2625:     
1.126     brouard  2626:     savm=oldm;
                   2627:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2628: 
                   2629:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2630:       max[j]=0.;
                   2631:       min[j]=1.;
                   2632:     }
                   2633:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2634:       sumnew=0;
                   2635:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2636:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2637:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2638:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2639:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2640:       }
                   2641:     }
                   2642: 
1.126     brouard  2643:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2644:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2645:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2646:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2647:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2648:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2649:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2650:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2651:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2652:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2653:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2654:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2655:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2656:       return prlim;
                   2657:     }
1.169     brouard  2658:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2659:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2660:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2661: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2662:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2663:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2664:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2665:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2666:   
1.169     brouard  2667:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2668: }
                   2669: 
1.217     brouard  2670: 
                   2671:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2672: 
1.218     brouard  2673:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2674:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2675:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2676: {
1.264     brouard  2677:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2678:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2679:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2680:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2681:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2682:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2683:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2684:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2685:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2686:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2687:   /*
                   2688:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2689:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2690:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2691:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2692:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2693:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2694:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2695:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2696: 
                   2697:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2698:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2699:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2700:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2701:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2702:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2703:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2704:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2705: 
1.217     brouard  2706:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2707:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2708:   
                   2709:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2710:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2711:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2712: 
1.266     brouard  2713:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2714:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2715:   
                   2716:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2717:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2718:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2719:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2720:     }
                   2721:   
                   2722:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2723:   
                   2724:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2725:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2726:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2727:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2728:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2729:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2730:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2731:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2732:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2733:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2734:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2735:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2736:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2737:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2738:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2739:     }
                   2740:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2741:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2742:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2743:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2744:     /* } */
                   2745:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2746:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2747:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2748:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2749:     }
                   2750:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2751:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2752:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2753:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2754:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2755:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2756:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2757:       } else{
                   2758:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2759:       }
                   2760:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2761:     }
                   2762:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2763:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2764:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2765:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2766:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2767:        }else{
                   2768:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2769:        }
                   2770:       }else{
                   2771:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2772:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2773:        }else{
                   2774:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2775:        }
                   2776:       }
1.217     brouard  2777:     }
                   2778:     
                   2779:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2780:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2781:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2782:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2783:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2784:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2785:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2786:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2787:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2788:                 */
                   2789:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2790:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2791:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  2792:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  2793:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   2794:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   2795:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   2796:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2797:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   2798:     /*         } */
                   2799:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   2800:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2801:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   2802:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  2803:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  2804:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2805:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   2806:     /*         } */
                   2807:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   2808:     /*   } */
                   2809:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  2810:     savm=oldm;
                   2811:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  2812: 
1.217     brouard  2813:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2814:       max[j]=0.;
                   2815:       min[j]=1.;
                   2816:     }
                   2817:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2818:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2819:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2820:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2821:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2822:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2823:       }
                   2824:     }
1.218     brouard  2825:                
1.217     brouard  2826:     maxmax=0.;
                   2827:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2828:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2829:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2830:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  2831:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  2832:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  2833:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2834:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2835:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2836:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2837:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2838:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2839:       return bprlim;
                   2840:     }
                   2841:   } /* age loop */
                   2842:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2843:   if(first){
                   2844:     first=1;
                   2845:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2846: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2847:   }
                   2848:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2849: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2850:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2851:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2852:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2853:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2854:   
                   2855:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2856: }
                   2857: 
1.126     brouard  2858: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2859: 
                   2860: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2861: {
1.138     brouard  2862:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  2863:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  2864:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2865:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2866:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2867:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2868:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2869:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2870:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2871:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  2872:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  2873:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  2874:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  2875:   */
                   2876:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2877:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2878:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2879: 
1.223     brouard  2880:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2881:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2882:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2883:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2884:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2885:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2886:       }
                   2887:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2888:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2889:     }
                   2890:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2891:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2892:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2893:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2894:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2895:       }
                   2896:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2897:     }
                   2898:   }
1.218     brouard  2899:   
1.223     brouard  2900:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2901:     s1=0;
                   2902:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2903:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2904:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2905:     }
                   2906:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2907:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2908:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2909:     }
                   2910:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2911:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2912:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2913:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2914:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2915:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2916:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2917:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2918:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2919:   
1.223     brouard  2920:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2921:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2922:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2923:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2924:     }
                   2925:   }
1.218     brouard  2926:   
                   2927:   
1.223     brouard  2928:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2929:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2930:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2931:   /*   } */
                   2932:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2933:   /* } */
                   2934:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2935:   /*
                   2936:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2937:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  2938:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  2939: }
                   2940: 
1.218     brouard  2941: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2942: 
                   2943:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2944: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2945:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2946: {
1.266     brouard  2947:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate combination ij. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
                   2948:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  2949:    */
1.218     brouard  2950:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2951:   
                   2952:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2953:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2954:   double agefin;
1.268     brouard  2955:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  2956:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2957:   double **bbmij;
                   2958:   
1.218     brouard  2959:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2960:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2961:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2962:   
                   2963:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  2964:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  2965:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  2966:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   2967:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  2968: 
                   2969:   /* P_x */
1.266     brouard  2970:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm */
1.268     brouard  2971:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   2972: 
                   2973:   /* Diag(w_x) */
                   2974:   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
                   2975:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  2976:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  2977:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.269     brouard  2978:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
1.268     brouard  2979:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2980:   }
                   2981:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   2982:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2983:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  2984:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  2985:     }
                   2986:   }else{
                   2987:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2988:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2989:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   2990:     }
                   2991:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   2992:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   2993:     /* } */
                   2994:   }
                   2995:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   2996:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2997:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   2998:   }
                   2999:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   3000:   
                   3001:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   3002:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3003: 
                   3004:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
                   3005:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  3006:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  3007:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  3008:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  3009:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  3010:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  3011:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  3012:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  3013:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3014:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3015:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3016:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3017:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  3018:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   3019:     } /*End ii */
                   3020:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   3021: 
                   3022:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3023:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3024:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3025:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3026: }
1.217     brouard  3027: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3028: 
1.218     brouard  3029: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3030: {
                   3031:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3032:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3033:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3034:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3035:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3036:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3037:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3038:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3039:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3040:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3041:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3042:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3043:   */
                   3044:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3045:   /*double t34;*/
                   3046:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3047: 
1.234     brouard  3048:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3049:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3050:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3051:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3052:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3053:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3054:       }
                   3055:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3056:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3057:     }
                   3058:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3059:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3060:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3061:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3062:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3063:       }
                   3064:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3065:     }
                   3066:   }
                   3067:   
                   3068:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3069:     s1=0;
                   3070:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3071:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3072:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3073:     }
                   3074:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3075:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3076:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3077:     }
                   3078:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3079:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3080:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3081:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3082:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3083:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3084:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3085:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3086:   } /* end i */
                   3087:   
                   3088:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3089:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3090:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3091:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3092:     }
                   3093:   }
                   3094:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   3095:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3096:     s1=0.;
                   3097:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3098:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3099:     }
                   3100:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3101:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3102:     }
                   3103:   }
                   3104:   /* Transposition */
                   3105:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3106:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3107:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3108:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3109:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3110:     }
                   3111:   }
                   3112:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3113:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3114:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3115:   /*   } */
                   3116:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3117:   /* } */
                   3118:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3119:   /*
                   3120:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3121:     goto end;*/
                   3122:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3123: }
                   3124: 
                   3125: 
1.126     brouard  3126: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3127: 
1.145     brouard  3128: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3129: {
                   3130:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3131:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3132:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3133:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3134:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3135:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3136:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3137:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3138:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3139:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3140:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3141:     }
1.126     brouard  3142:   return out;
                   3143: }
                   3144: 
                   3145: 
                   3146: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3147: 
1.235     brouard  3148: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3149: {
1.218     brouard  3150:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3151:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3152:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3153:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3154:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3155:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3156:      for the memory).
                   3157:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3158:      included manually here. 
                   3159: 
                   3160:      */
                   3161: 
                   3162:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3163:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3164:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3165:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3166:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3167: 
                   3168:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3169:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3170:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3171:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3172:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3173:     }
                   3174:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3175:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3176:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3177:       newm=savm;
                   3178:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3179:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3180:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3181:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3182:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3183:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3184:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3185:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3186:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3187:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3188:       }
                   3189:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3190:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3191:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3192:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3193:       }
                   3194:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3195:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3196:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3197:        } else{
                   3198:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3199:        }
                   3200:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3201:       }
                   3202:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3203:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3204:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3205:       }
                   3206:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3207:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3208:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3209:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3210:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3211:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3212:       
                   3213:       
1.126     brouard  3214:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3215:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3216:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3217:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3218:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3219:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3220:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3221:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3222:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3223:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3224:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3225:       /*         } */
                   3226:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3227:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3228:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3229:       /*         } */
                   3230:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3231:       /*       } */
                   3232:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3233:       savm=oldm;
                   3234:       oldm=newm;
                   3235:     }
                   3236:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3237:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3238:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3239:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3240:       }
1.128     brouard  3241:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3242:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3243:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3244:   return po;
                   3245: }
                   3246: 
1.217     brouard  3247: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3248: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3249: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3250: {
1.266     brouard  3251:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3252:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3253:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3254:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3255:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3256:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3257:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3258:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3259:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3260:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3261:   */
1.217     brouard  3262: 
                   3263:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3264:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3265:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3266:   double agexact;
                   3267:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3268:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3269: 
1.266     brouard  3270:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3271:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3272:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3273:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3274:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3275:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3276:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3277:     }
                   3278:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3279:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3280:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3281:       newm=savm;
                   3282:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3283:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3284:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3285:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3286:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3287:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3288:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.266     brouard  3289:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){
                   3290:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3291:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   3292:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3293:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3294:       }
1.267     brouard  3295:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3296:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3297:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3298:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3299:       }
                   3300:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
                   3301:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3302:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3303:        } else{
                   3304:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3305:        }
                   3306:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3307:       }
                   3308:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3309:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.267     brouard  3310:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3311:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3312:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3313: 
1.218     brouard  3314:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3315:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3316:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3317:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3318:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3319:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3320:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3321:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3322:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3323:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3324:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3325:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3326:       /*         } */
                   3327:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3328:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3329:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3330:       /*         } */
                   3331:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3332:       /*       } */
                   3333:       /* } */
                   3334:       savm=oldm;
                   3335:       oldm=newm;
                   3336:     }
                   3337:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3338:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3339:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3340:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3341:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3342:       }
1.268     brouard  3343:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3344:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3345:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3346:   return po;
                   3347: }
                   3348: 
                   3349: 
1.162     brouard  3350: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3351:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3352:   double fret;
                   3353:   double *xt;
                   3354:   int j;
                   3355:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3356: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3357:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3358:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3359: 
                   3360:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3361:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3362:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3363:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3364:   printf("\n");
                   3365:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3366:   return fret;
                   3367: }
                   3368: #endif
1.126     brouard  3369: 
                   3370: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3371: double func( double *x)
                   3372: {
1.226     brouard  3373:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3374:   int ioffset=0;
                   3375:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3376:   double **out;
                   3377:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3378:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3379:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3380:   double bbh, survp;
                   3381:   long ipmx;
                   3382:   double agexact;
                   3383:   /*extern weight */
                   3384:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3385:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3386:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3387:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3388:   */
1.162     brouard  3389: 
1.226     brouard  3390:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3391: 
1.226     brouard  3392:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3393: 
1.226     brouard  3394:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3395:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3396:   if(mle==1){
                   3397:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3398:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3399:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3400:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3401:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3402:       */
1.243     brouard  3403:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3404:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3405:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3406:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3407:       }
1.226     brouard  3408:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3409:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3410:         has been calculated etc */
                   3411:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3412:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3413:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3414:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3415:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3416:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3417:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3418:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3419:       */
                   3420:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3421:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3422:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3423:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3424:        }
                   3425:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3426:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3427:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3428:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3429:          }
                   3430:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3431:          newm=savm;
                   3432:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3433:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3434:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3435:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3436:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3437:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3438:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3439:          else
                   3440:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3441:          }
                   3442:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3443:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3444:          savm=oldm;
                   3445:          oldm=newm;
                   3446:        } /* end mult */
                   3447:        
                   3448:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3449:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3450:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3451:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3452:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3453:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3454:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3455:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3456:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3457:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3458:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3459:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3460:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3461:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3462:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3463:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3464:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3465:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3466:         */
                   3467:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3468:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3469:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3470:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3471:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3472:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3473:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3474:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3475:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3476:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3477:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3478:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3479:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3480:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3481:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3482:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3483:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3484:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3485:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3486:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3487:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3488:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3489:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3490:             lower mortality.
                   3491:          */
                   3492:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3493:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3494:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3495:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3496:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3497:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3498:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3499:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3500:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3501:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3502:             infinity.
                   3503:          */
1.183     brouard  3504: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3505: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3506: /* #else */
                   3507: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3508: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3509: /*       else */
                   3510: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3511: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3512:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3513:          
1.226     brouard  3514:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3515:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3516:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3517:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3518:          lli= log(survp);
                   3519:        }
                   3520:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3521:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3522:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3523:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3524:        } 
                   3525:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3526:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3527:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3528:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3529:        } 
                   3530:        else{
                   3531:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3532:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3533:        } 
                   3534:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3535:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3536:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3537:        ipmx +=1;
                   3538:        sw += weight[i];
                   3539:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3540:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3541:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3542:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3543:        /* } */
                   3544:       } /* end of wave */
                   3545:     } /* end of individual */
                   3546:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3547:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3548:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3549:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3550:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3551:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3552:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3553:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3554:          }
                   3555:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3556:          newm=savm;
                   3557:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3558:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3559:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3560:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3561:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3562:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3563:          }
                   3564:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3565:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3566:          savm=oldm;
                   3567:          oldm=newm;
                   3568:        } /* end mult */
                   3569:       
                   3570:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3571:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3572:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3573:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3574:        ipmx +=1;
                   3575:        sw += weight[i];
                   3576:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3577:       } /* end of wave */
                   3578:     } /* end of individual */
                   3579:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3580:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3581:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3582:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3583:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3584:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3585:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3586:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3587:          }
                   3588:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3589:          newm=savm;
                   3590:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3591:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3592:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3593:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3594:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3595:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3596:          }
                   3597:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3598:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3599:          savm=oldm;
                   3600:          oldm=newm;
                   3601:        } /* end mult */
                   3602:       
                   3603:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3604:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3605:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3606:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3607:        ipmx +=1;
                   3608:        sw += weight[i];
                   3609:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3610:       } /* end of wave */
                   3611:     } /* end of individual */
                   3612:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3613:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3614:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3615:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3616:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3617:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3618:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3619:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3620:          }
                   3621:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3622:          newm=savm;
                   3623:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3624:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3625:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3626:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3627:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3628:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3629:          }
1.126     brouard  3630:        
1.226     brouard  3631:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3632:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3633:          savm=oldm;
                   3634:          oldm=newm;
                   3635:        } /* end mult */
                   3636:       
                   3637:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3638:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3639:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3640:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3641:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3642:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3643:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3644:          lli= log(survp);
                   3645:        }else{
                   3646:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3647:        }
                   3648:        ipmx +=1;
                   3649:        sw += weight[i];
                   3650:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3651: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3652:       } /* end of wave */
                   3653:     } /* end of individual */
                   3654:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3655:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3656:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3657:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3658:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3659:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3660:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3661:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3662:          }
                   3663:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3664:          newm=savm;
                   3665:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3666:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3667:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3668:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3669:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3670:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3671:          }
1.126     brouard  3672:        
1.226     brouard  3673:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3674:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3675:          savm=oldm;
                   3676:          oldm=newm;
                   3677:        } /* end mult */
                   3678:       
                   3679:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3680:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3681:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3682:        ipmx +=1;
                   3683:        sw += weight[i];
                   3684:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3685:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3686:       } /* end of wave */
                   3687:     } /* end of individual */
                   3688:   } /* End of if */
                   3689:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3690:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3691:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3692:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3693: }
                   3694: 
                   3695: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3696: double funcone( double *x)
                   3697: {
1.228     brouard  3698:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3699:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3700:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3701:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3702:   double **out;
                   3703:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3704:   double llt;
                   3705:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3706:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3707: 
1.126     brouard  3708:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3709:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3710:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3711:   /*extern weight */
                   3712:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3713:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3714:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3715:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3716:   */
                   3717:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3718: 
                   3719:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3720:   ioffset=0;
                   3721:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3722:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3723:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3724:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3725:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3726:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3727:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3728:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3729: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3730: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3731: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3732: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3733: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3734: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3735: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3736: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3737: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3738:     }
1.232     brouard  3739:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3740:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3741:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3742:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3743:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3744:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3745:     
1.233     brouard  3746: 
                   3747:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3748:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3749:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3750:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3751:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3752:       }
1.232     brouard  3753:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3754:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3755:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3756:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3757:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3758:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3759:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3760:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3761:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3762:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3763:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3764:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3765:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3766:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3767:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3768:        }
1.214     brouard  3769:       
                   3770:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3771:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3772:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3773:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3774:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3775:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3776:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3777:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3778:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3779:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3780:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3781:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3782:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3783:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3784:          else
                   3785:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3786:        }
                   3787:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3788:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3789:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3790:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3791:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3792:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3793:        savm=oldm;
                   3794:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3795:       } /* end mult */
                   3796:       
                   3797:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3798:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3799:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  3800:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  3801:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3802:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3803:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3804:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3805:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3806:        */
                   3807:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3808:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3809:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3810:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3811:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3812:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3813:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3814:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3815:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3816:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3817:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3818:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3819:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3820:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3821:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3822:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3823:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3824:       } /* End of if */
                   3825:       ipmx +=1;
                   3826:       sw += weight[i];
                   3827:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3828:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3829:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3830:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3831:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3832:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  3833:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  3834:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3835:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3836:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3837:        }
                   3838:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3839:       }
1.232     brouard  3840:        } /* end of wave */
                   3841: } /* end of individual */
                   3842: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3843: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3844: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3845: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3846:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3847:        gsw=sw;
                   3848: }
                   3849: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3850: }
                   3851: 
                   3852: 
                   3853: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3854: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3855: {
                   3856:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3857:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3858:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3859:      Plotting could be done.
                   3860:    */
                   3861:   int k;
                   3862: 
                   3863:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3864:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3865:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3866:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3867:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3868:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3869:     }
1.214     brouard  3870:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3871:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3872:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3873:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3874:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3875:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3876:   }
                   3877: 
                   3878:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3879:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3880:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3881:     if (mle ==0)
                   3882:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3883:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3884:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3885:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  3886:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  3887:       
                   3888:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3889:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3890: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3891:     }
1.207     brouard  3892:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3893: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3894:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3895: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3896:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3897:   }
1.126     brouard  3898:   return;
                   3899: }
                   3900: 
                   3901: 
                   3902: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3903: 
                   3904: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3905: {
1.165     brouard  3906:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3907:   double **xi;
                   3908:   double fret;
                   3909:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3910:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3911: 
                   3912: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3913:   int creturn;
                   3914:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3915:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3916:   double *lb;
                   3917:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3918:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3919:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3920: #endif
                   3921: 
                   3922: 
1.126     brouard  3923:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3924:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3925:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3926:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3927:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3928:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3929:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3930:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3931:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3932:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3933:   }
                   3934:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3935:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3936:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3937:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3938:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3939: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3940:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3941: #endif
1.126     brouard  3942: 
1.162     brouard  3943: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3944: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3945:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3946: #else
                   3947:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3948: #endif
                   3949:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3950:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3951:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3952:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3953:   
                   3954:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3955:   d->function = func;
                   3956:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3957:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3958:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3959:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3960:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3961:   }
                   3962:   else {
                   3963:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3964:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3965:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3966:   }
                   3967:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3968: #endif
1.126     brouard  3969:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3970:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3971:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3972:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3973:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3974: 
                   3975: }
                   3976: 
                   3977: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3978: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3979: {
                   3980:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3981:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3982:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3983:   int *indx;
                   3984: 
                   3985:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3986:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3987:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3988:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3989:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3990:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3991: 
                   3992:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3993:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3994:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3995:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3996:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3997:    
                   3998:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3999:     
                   4000:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   4001:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   4002:   }
                   4003:   
                   4004:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   4005:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   4006:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  4007:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   4008:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   4009:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  4010:        
                   4011:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   4012:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   4013:       }
                   4014:     }
                   4015:   }
                   4016:   printf("\n");
                   4017:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4018: 
                   4019:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4020:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4021:   
                   4022:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4023:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4024:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4025:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4026:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4027:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4028:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4029: 
                   4030:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4031:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4032:     x[j]=1;
                   4033:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4034:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4035:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4036:     }
                   4037:   }
                   4038: 
                   4039:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4040:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4041:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4042:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4043:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4044:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4045:     }
                   4046:     printf("\n");
                   4047:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4048:   }
                   4049: 
1.203     brouard  4050:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4051:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4052:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4053:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4054:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4055:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4056:   /*   } */
                   4057:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4058:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4059:   /* } */
                   4060: 
1.126     brouard  4061:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4062:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4063:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4064:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4065: 
                   4066:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4067: 
                   4068:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4069:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4070:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4071:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4072:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4073:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4074:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4075:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4076:   /*   } */
                   4077:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4078:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4079:   /* } */
                   4080: 
                   4081:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4082: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4083:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4084: 
1.203     brouard  4085:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4086:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4087: 
                   4088:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4089:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4090:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4091:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4092:     }
                   4093:     printf("\n");
                   4094:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4095:   }
1.203     brouard  4096: #endif
1.126     brouard  4097: 
                   4098:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4099:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4100:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4101:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4102:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4103: 
                   4104: 
                   4105: }
                   4106: 
                   4107: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4108: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4109: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4110:   int i;
                   4111:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4112:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4113:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4114:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4115:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4116:   double l1;
                   4117: 
                   4118:   fx=func(x);
                   4119:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4120:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4121:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4122:     delts=delt;
                   4123:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4124:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4125:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4126:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4127:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4128:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4129:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4130:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4131:       
1.203     brouard  4132: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4133:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4134:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4135: #endif
                   4136:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4137:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4138:        k=kmax;
                   4139:       }
                   4140:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4141:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4142:       }
                   4143:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4144:        delts=delt;
                   4145:       }
1.203     brouard  4146:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4147:   }
                   4148:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4149:   return res; 
                   4150:   
                   4151: }
                   4152: 
1.203     brouard  4153: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4154: {
                   4155:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4156:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4157:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4158:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4159:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4160:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4161: 
                   4162:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4163:   
1.126     brouard  4164:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4165:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4166:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4167:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4168:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4169:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4170:   
1.203     brouard  4171:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4172:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4173:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4174:   
1.203     brouard  4175:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4176:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4177:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4178:   
1.203     brouard  4179:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4180:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4181:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4182:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4183:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4184:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4185:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4186:     }
                   4187:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4188:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4189:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4190:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4191:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4192:     }
                   4193: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4194:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4195:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4196:     cv12=res;
                   4197:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4198:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4199:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4200:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4201:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4202:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4203:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4204:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4205:     }
1.126     brouard  4206: #endif
                   4207:   }
                   4208:   return res;
                   4209: }
                   4210: 
1.203     brouard  4211:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4212: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4213: /* { */
                   4214: /*   int i; */
                   4215: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4216: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4217: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4218: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4219: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4220: /*   double l1; */
                   4221:   
                   4222: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4223: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4224: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4225: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4226: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4227: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4228: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4229: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4230: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4231: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4232:       
                   4233: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4234: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4235: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4236:       
                   4237: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4238: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4239: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4240:       
                   4241: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4242: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4243: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4244: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4245: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4246: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4247: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4248: /* #endif */
                   4249: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4250: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4251: /*       } */
                   4252: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4253: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4254: /*       } */
                   4255: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4256: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4257: /*       } */
                   4258: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4259: /*   } */
                   4260: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4261: /*   return res;  */
                   4262: /* } */
                   4263: 
                   4264: 
1.126     brouard  4265: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4266: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4267: { 
                   4268:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4269:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4270:   double *vv; 
                   4271:  
                   4272:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4273:   *d=1.0; 
                   4274:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4275:     big=0.0; 
                   4276:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4277:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4278:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4279:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4280:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4281:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4282:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4283:       }
                   4284:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4285:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4286:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4287:     }
1.126     brouard  4288:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4289:   } 
                   4290:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4291:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4292:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4293:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4294:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4295:     } 
                   4296:     big=0.0; 
                   4297:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4298:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4299:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4300:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4301:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4302:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4303:        big=dum; 
                   4304:        imax=i; 
                   4305:       } 
                   4306:     } 
                   4307:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4308:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4309:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4310:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4311:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4312:       } 
                   4313:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4314:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4315:     } 
                   4316:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4317:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4318:     if (j != n) { 
                   4319:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4320:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4321:     } 
                   4322:   } 
                   4323:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4324: ;
                   4325: } 
                   4326: 
                   4327: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4328: { 
                   4329:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4330:   double sum; 
                   4331:  
                   4332:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4333:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4334:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4335:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4336:     if (ii) 
                   4337:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4338:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4339:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4340:   } 
                   4341:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4342:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4343:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4344:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4345:   } 
                   4346: } 
                   4347: 
                   4348: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4349: {
1.196     brouard  4350:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4351: }
                   4352: 
1.253     brouard  4353: 
                   4354: 
1.126     brouard  4355: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4356: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4357:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4358:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4359: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4360:   
1.265     brouard  4361:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4362:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4363:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4364:   int first;
                   4365:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4366:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4367:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.226     brouard  4368:   double *meanq;
                   4369:   double **meanqt;
                   4370:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4371:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4372:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4373:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4374:     
                   4375:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4376:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4377:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4378:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4379:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4380:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4381:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4382:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4383:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4384:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4385:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4386:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4387:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4388:     exit(0);
                   4389:   }
1.240     brouard  4390:   
1.226     brouard  4391:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4392:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4393:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4394:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4395:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4396:     exit(70); 
                   4397:   }
                   4398:   else{
                   4399:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4400: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4401: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4402:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4403:   }
1.237     brouard  4404:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4405:   
1.226     brouard  4406:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4407:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4408:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4409:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4410:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4411:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4412:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4413:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4414: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4415: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4416:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4417:   }
1.240     brouard  4418:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4419:   
1.253     brouard  4420:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4421:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4422:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4423:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4424:   
1.227     brouard  4425:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4426:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4427:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4428:   
                   4429:   
1.226     brouard  4430:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4431:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4432:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4433:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4434:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4435:   */
1.249     brouard  4436:   dateintsum=0;
                   4437:   k2cpt=0;
                   4438: 
1.253     brouard  4439:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4440:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4441:   else
                   4442:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4443: 
                   4444:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4445:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4446:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4447:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4448:    *     Loop on iind
                   4449:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4450:    *     end iind
                   4451:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4452:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4453:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4454:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4455:    *     Loop on age
                   4456:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4457:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4458:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4459:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4460:    *       end s1
                   4461:    *     end age
                   4462:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4463:    *     end compute starting values
                   4464:    *   end j1
                   4465:    * end nl 
                   4466:    */
1.253     brouard  4467:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4468:     if(nj==1)
                   4469:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4470:     else{
1.253     brouard  4471:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4472:     }
1.251     brouard  4473:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4474:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4475:       posproptt=0.;
                   4476:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4477:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4478:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4479:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4480:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4481:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4482:       
                   4483:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4484:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4485:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4486:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4487:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4488:       }
                   4489:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4490:       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4491:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4492:       /*       meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4493:       /*   } */
                   4494:       /* } */
                   4495:       
                   4496:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4497:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4498:       
1.265     brouard  4499:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4500:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4501:        bool=1;
                   4502:        if(j !=0){
                   4503:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4504:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4505:              /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4506:              /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4507:              /* } */
                   4508:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4509:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4510:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4511:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4512:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4513:                /* }else  */
                   4514:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4515:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4516:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4517:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4518:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4519:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4520:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4521:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4522:              } /* end z1 */
                   4523:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4524:          } /* end any */
                   4525:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4526:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4527:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4528:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4529:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4530:            if(j!=0){
                   4531:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4532:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4533:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4534:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4535:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4536:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4537:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4538:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4539:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4540:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4541:                      bool=0;
                   4542:                    }
                   4543:                  }
                   4544:                }
                   4545:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4546:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4547:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4548:            if(bool==1){
                   4549:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4550:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4551:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4552:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4553:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4554:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4555:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4556:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4557:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4558:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4559:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4560:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4561:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4562:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4563:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4564:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4565:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4566:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4567:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4568:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4569:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4570:                }
1.251     brouard  4571:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4572:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4573:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4574:                k2cpt++;
                   4575:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4576:              }
1.251     brouard  4577:            }else{
                   4578:              bool=1;
                   4579:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4580:          } /* end m */
                   4581:        } /* end bool */
                   4582:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4583:       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4584:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4585:       
                   4586:       
                   4587:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4588:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4589:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4590:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4591:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4592:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4593:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4594:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4595:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4596:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4597:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4598:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4599:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4600:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4601:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4602:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4603:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4604:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4605:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4606:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4607:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4608:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4609:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4610:          }
                   4611:        }
                   4612:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4613:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4614:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4615:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4616:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4617:       }
                   4618:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  4619:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4620:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   4621:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  4622:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  4623:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  4624:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4625:       }
1.265     brouard  4626:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  4627:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   4628:       
                   4629:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4630:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4631:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  4632:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  4633:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4634:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   4635:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  4636:        }
1.226     brouard  4637:       }
1.251     brouard  4638:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   4639:     
                   4640:       /* For each age */
                   4641:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4642:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4643:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   4644:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4645:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   4646:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   4647:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4648:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   4649:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   4650:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4651:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   4652:        }else{
1.240     brouard  4653:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  4654:            first=0;
                   4655:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4656:          }
                   4657:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4658:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   4659:        }
1.265     brouard  4660:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4661:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4662:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  4663:        }
1.265     brouard  4664:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4665:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  4666:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4667:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  4668:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4669:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4670:            }
1.265     brouard  4671:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4672:          }else{
                   4673:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4674:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4675:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  4676:          }
                   4677:        }
                   4678:       
1.265     brouard  4679:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   4680:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   4681:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4682:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4683:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   4684:       
                   4685:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4686:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4687:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4688:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4689:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4690:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4691:        }
                   4692:        
                   4693:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   4694:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4695:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4696:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4697:           }
                   4698:         }else if( nj==2){
                   4699:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4700:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4701:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4702:           }
1.240     brouard  4703:        }
1.265     brouard  4704:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  4705:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4706:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4707:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   4708:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  4709:          }else{
                   4710:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4711:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4712:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  4713:          }
                   4714:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4715:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4716:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4717:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4718:               }else if( nj==2){
                   4719:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4720:               }
                   4721:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4722:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   4723:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   4724:            } else{
                   4725:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4726:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  4727:            }
1.240     brouard  4728:          }
1.265     brouard  4729:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   4730:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4731:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  4732:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4733:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4734:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  4735:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4736:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4737:              }
1.265     brouard  4738:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   4739:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4740:            }
1.265     brouard  4741:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   4742:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  4743:          }
1.265     brouard  4744:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4745:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  4746:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   4747:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  4748:        }
                   4749:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  4750:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4751:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   4752:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   4753:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  4754:        }
1.251     brouard  4755:        if(first==1)
                   4756:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   4757:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4758:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  4759:       
1.251     brouard  4760:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  4761:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4762:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4763:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  4764:        }else{
1.265     brouard  4765:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  4766:        }
1.226     brouard  4767:       }
1.251     brouard  4768:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4769:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4770:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  4771:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4772:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4773:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  4774:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   4775:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  4776:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  4777:       }else{
1.251     brouard  4778:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4779:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  4780:       }
1.251     brouard  4781:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4782:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4783:       if(j!=0){
                   4784:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  4785:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4786:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4787:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  4788:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  4789:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  4790:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   4791:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   4792:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  4793:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4794:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4795:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4796:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4797:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  4798:                  }
1.253     brouard  4799:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   4800:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4801:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   4802:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  4803:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  4804:                  }
1.268     brouard  4805:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   4806:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  4807:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  4808:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   4809:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  4810:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   4811:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   4812:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  4813:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  4814:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4815:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4816:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  4817:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   4818:                  ;
                   4819:                }
                   4820:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4821:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4822:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  4823:              } /* end jj */
                   4824:            } /* end k!= i */
                   4825:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  4826:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  4827:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   4828:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   4829:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   4830:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   4831:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4832:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4833:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4834:          if (k != i) {
                   4835:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4836:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   4837:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  4838:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  4839:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  4840:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   4841:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4842:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  4843:              }
                   4844:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4845:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4846:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  4847:            }
1.251     brouard  4848:            printf("\n");
                   4849:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  4850:          }
                   4851:        }
                   4852:       }
1.251     brouard  4853:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   4854:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4855:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   4856:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   4857:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   4858:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4859:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4860:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   4861:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   4862:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  4863:          /* } */
                   4864:        }
1.265     brouard  4865:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4866:       
                   4867:       printf("\n");
                   4868:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4869:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  4870:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  4871: 
1.253     brouard  4872:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  4873:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4874:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   4875:        if(j!=i){
                   4876:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   4877:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4878:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4879:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   4880:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4881:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4882:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   4883:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4884:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4885:            jk++;
                   4886:          }
                   4887:          printf("\n");
                   4888:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   4889:        }
                   4890:       }
                   4891:     }
                   4892:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  4893:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4894:   
1.226     brouard  4895:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4896:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4897:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4898:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4899:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  4900:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4901:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4902:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4903:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4904:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4905:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4906:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4907:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4908: }
1.126     brouard  4909: 
1.268     brouard  4910: /* Simple linear regression */
                   4911: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   4912: 
                   4913:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   4914:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   4915:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   4916:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   4917:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   4918:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   4919:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   4920:   double yhat;
                   4921:   
                   4922:   double denom=0;
                   4923:   int i;
                   4924:   int ne=*no;
                   4925:   
                   4926:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4927:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4928:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4929:       continue;
                   4930:     }
                   4931:     ne=ne+1;
                   4932:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   4933:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   4934:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   4935:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   4936:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   4937:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4938:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4939:   } 
                   4940:   
                   4941:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4942:   if (denom == 0) {
                   4943:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   4944:     *b = INFINITY;
                   4945:     *a = 0;
                   4946:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   4947:     return 1;
                   4948:   }
                   4949:   
                   4950:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   4951:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   4952:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   4953:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   4954:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   4955:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   4956:   }
                   4957:   *no=ne;
                   4958:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4959:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4960:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4961:       continue;
                   4962:     }
                   4963:     ne=ne+1;
                   4964:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   4965:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   4966:     
                   4967:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4968:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4969:   } 
                   4970:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   4971:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   4972:   
                   4973:   return 0; 
                   4974: }
                   4975: 
1.126     brouard  4976: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4977: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4978: {  
                   4979:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4980:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4981:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4982:   */
1.126     brouard  4983:  
1.227     brouard  4984:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4985:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4986:   int iage;
                   4987:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4988: 
                   4989:   double **prop;
                   4990:   double posprop; 
                   4991:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4992:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4993:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4994: 
                   4995:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4996:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4997:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  4998:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  4999:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   5000:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  5001:   
1.227     brouard  5002:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   5003:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  5004:   
1.227     brouard  5005:   first=1;
                   5006:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   5007:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  5008:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  5009:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   5010:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5011:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   5012:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5013:     
                   5014:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   5015:       bool=1;
                   5016:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   5017:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   5018:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   5019:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   5020:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   5021:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   5022:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5023:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5024:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5025:              bool=0;
                   5026:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5027:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5028:              bool=0;
                   5029:            }
                   5030:        }
                   5031:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5032:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5033:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5034:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5035:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5036:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5037:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5038:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5039:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5040:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5041:                exit(1);
                   5042:              }
                   5043:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5044:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5045:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5046:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5047:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5048:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5049:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5050:        } /* end bool */
                   5051:       } /* end wave */
                   5052:     } /* end individual */
                   5053:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5054:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5055:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5056:       } 
                   5057:       
                   5058:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5059:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5060:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5061:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5062:          } else{
                   5063:            if(first==1){
                   5064:              first=0;
1.266     brouard  5065:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5066:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5067:            }else{
                   5068:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5069:            }
                   5070:          }
                   5071:        } 
                   5072:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5073:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5074:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5075:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5076:   
1.227     brouard  5077:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5078:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5079:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5080: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5081: 
                   5082: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5083: 
                   5084: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5085: {
                   5086:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   5087:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5088:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5089:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   5090:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  5091:   */
1.126     brouard  5092: 
1.224     brouard  5093:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5094:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5095:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5096:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5097:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5098:   double sum=0.;
                   5099:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5100:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5101:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5102:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5103:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5104:   jmax=-1;
                   5105:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5106: 
                   5107: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5108:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5109:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5110:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  5111:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  5112:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  5113:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5114:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5115:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   5116:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5117:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5118:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5119:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5120:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5121:       }
1.227     brouard  5122:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5123: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5124:        break;
1.224     brouard  5125: #else
1.227     brouard  5126:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   5127:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.262     brouard  5128:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5129:            firsthree=1;
                   5130:          }
1.262     brouard  5131:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5132:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5133:          mli=m;
                   5134:        }
                   5135:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5136:          nbwarn++;
                   5137:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   5138:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5139:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5140:          }
                   5141:          break;
                   5142:        }
                   5143:        break;
1.224     brouard  5144: #endif
1.227     brouard  5145:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5146:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5147: 
1.227     brouard  5148:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5149:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5150: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5151:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5152:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5153:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5154:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5155:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5156:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5157:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5158:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5159: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5160:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5161:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  5162:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   5163:          nbwarn++;
                   5164:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   5165:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5166:            firstfiv=1;
                   5167:          }else{
                   5168:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5169:          }
                   5170:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   5171:          nberr++;
                   5172:          if(firstwo==0){
1.257     brouard  5173:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5174:            firstwo=1;
                   5175:          }
1.257     brouard  5176:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5177:        }
1.257     brouard  5178:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5179:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5180:        if(firstfour==0){
                   5181:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   5182:          firstfour=1;
                   5183:        }
                   5184:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5185:       }
1.224     brouard  5186:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5187: #endif
                   5188:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   5189:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  5190:     if(mi==0){
                   5191:       nbwarn++;
                   5192:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5193:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5194:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5195:       }
                   5196:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5197:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5198:       }
                   5199:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5200:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5201:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5202:        
1.214     brouard  5203:   
1.126     brouard  5204:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5205:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5206:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5207:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5208:       else{
1.260     brouard  5209:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5210:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5211:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5212:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5213:            else if(j<0){
                   5214:              nberr++;
                   5215:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5216:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5217:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5218:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5219:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5220:            }
                   5221:            k=k+1;
                   5222:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5223:              jmax=j;
                   5224:              ijmax=i;
                   5225:            }
                   5226:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5227:              jmin=j;
                   5228:              ijmin=i;
                   5229:            }
                   5230:            sum=sum+j;
                   5231:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5232:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5233:          }
                   5234:        }
                   5235:        else{
                   5236:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5237: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5238:                                        
1.227     brouard  5239:          k=k+1;
                   5240:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5241:            jmax=j;
                   5242:            ijmax=i;
                   5243:          }
                   5244:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5245:            jmin=j;
                   5246:            ijmin=i;
                   5247:          }
                   5248:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5249:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5250:          if(j<0){
                   5251:            nberr++;
                   5252:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5253:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5254:          }
                   5255:          sum=sum+j;
                   5256:        }
                   5257:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5258:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5259:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5260:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5261:          if(jl==0){
                   5262:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5263:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5264:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5265:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5266:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5267:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5268:          }
                   5269:        }else{
                   5270:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5271:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5272:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5273:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5274:                                 */
                   5275:          }
                   5276:          else{
                   5277:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5278:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5279:          }
                   5280:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5281:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5282:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5283:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5284:          }
                   5285:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5286:       }
                   5287:     } /* end wave */
                   5288:   }
                   5289:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5290:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5291:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5292: }
1.126     brouard  5293: 
                   5294: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5295:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5296:  {
                   5297:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5298:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5299:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5300:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5301:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5302:     */
1.130     brouard  5303: 
1.242     brouard  5304:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5305:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5306:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5307:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5308: 
                   5309: 
1.242     brouard  5310:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5311:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5312:  
1.242     brouard  5313:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  5314: 
1.242     brouard  5315:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5316:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   5317:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5318:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5319:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5320:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5321:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   5322:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5323:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5324:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5325:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5326:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5327:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5328:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5329:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5330:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5331:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5332:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5333:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   5334:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   5335:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5336:             exit(1);
                   5337:           }else
                   5338:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5339:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5340:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5341:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5342:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5343:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5344:           */
                   5345:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5346:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5347:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5348:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5349:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5350:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5351:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5352:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5353:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5354:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5355:             if( j != -1){
                   5356:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5357:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5358:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5359:             }
                   5360:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5361:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5362:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5363:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5364:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5365:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5366:                        
1.242     brouard  5367:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5368:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5369:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5370:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5371:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5372:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5373:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5374:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5375:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5376:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5377:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5378:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5379:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   5380:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5381:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5382:             break;
                   5383:           }
                   5384:           ij++;
                   5385:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   5386:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5387:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5388:         break;
                   5389:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5390:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5391:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5392:         ij=0;
                   5393:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5394:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5395:         }
                   5396:         break;
                   5397:        default:
                   5398:         break;
                   5399:        } /* end switch */
                   5400:      } /* end dummy test */
                   5401:     
                   5402:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   5403:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   5404:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   5405:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   5406:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5407:      /*        } */
                   5408:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5409:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5410:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5411:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5412:      /*          break; */
                   5413:      /*        } */
                   5414:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5415:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5416:   
                   5417:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5418:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5419:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5420:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5421:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5422:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5423:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5424:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5425:   
                   5426:    ij=0;
                   5427:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5428:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5429:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5430:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5431:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5432:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5433:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5434:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5435:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5436:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5437:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5438:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5439:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5440:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5441:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5442:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5443:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5444:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5445:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5446:      } 
                   5447:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5448:    /* ij--; */
                   5449:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5450:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5451:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5452:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5453:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5454:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5455:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5456:    }
                   5457:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5458:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5459:    }
                   5460:    /* To be sorted */
                   5461:    ;
                   5462:  }
1.126     brouard  5463: 
1.145     brouard  5464: 
1.126     brouard  5465: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5466: 
1.235     brouard  5467:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5468: 
                   5469: {
                   5470:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5471:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5472:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5473:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5474:   double ***p3mat;
                   5475:   double eip;
                   5476: 
1.238     brouard  5477:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5478:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5479:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5480:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5481:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5482:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5483:     }
                   5484:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5485:   }
                   5486:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5487: 
                   5488:   
                   5489:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5490:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5491:   }
                   5492:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5493:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5494:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5495:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5496:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5497:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5498:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5499:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5500:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5501:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5502:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5503: 
                   5504:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5505:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5506:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5507:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5508:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5509:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5510:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5511:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5512:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5513:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5514:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5515:   */
                   5516:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5517: 
                   5518:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5519:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5520:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5521:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5522:     
                   5523: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5524:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5525:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5526:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5527:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5528:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5529: 
                   5530:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5531:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5532:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5533:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5534:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5535: 
                   5536:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5537:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5538:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5539:     
1.235     brouard  5540:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5541:     
                   5542:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5543:     
                   5544:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5545:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5546:     
                   5547:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5548:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5549:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5550:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5551:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5552:          
                   5553:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5554: 
                   5555:        }
                   5556: 
                   5557:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5558:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5559:       eip=0;
                   5560:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5561:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5562:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5563:       }
                   5564:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5565:     }
                   5566:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5567:     
                   5568:   }
                   5569:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5570:   printf("\n");
                   5571:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5572:   
                   5573: }
                   5574: 
1.235     brouard  5575:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5576: 
                   5577: {
                   5578:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5579:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5580:   */
                   5581:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5582:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5583:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5584:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5585:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5586:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5587:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5588:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5589:   int theta;
                   5590: 
                   5591:   double eip, vip;
                   5592: 
                   5593:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5594:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5595:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5596:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5597:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5598:   
                   5599:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5600:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5601:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5602:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5603:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5604:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5605:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5606:   }
                   5607:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5608: 
                   5609:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5610:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5611:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5612:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5613:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5614:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5615:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5616:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5617:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5618:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5619:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5620:        }
                   5621:     }
                   5622:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5623:   
                   5624:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5625:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5626:   }
                   5627:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5628:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5629:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5630:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5631:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5632:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5633:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5634:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5635:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5636:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5637:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5638: 
                   5639:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5640:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5641:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5642:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5643:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5644:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5645:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5646:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5647:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5648:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5649:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5650:   */
                   5651:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5652: 
                   5653:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5654:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5655:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5656:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5657:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5658:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5659:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5660:   
                   5661:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5662:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5663:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5664:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5665:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5666:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5667: 
                   5668:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5669:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5670:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5671:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5672:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5673:                
1.126     brouard  5674:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5675:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5676:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5677:     
                   5678:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5679:                
1.126     brouard  5680:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5681:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5682:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5683:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5684:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5685:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5686:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5687:       }
1.235     brouard  5688:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5689:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5690:                        
1.126     brouard  5691:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5692:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5693:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5694:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5695:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5696:          }
                   5697:        }
1.126     brouard  5698:       }
1.218     brouard  5699:                        
1.126     brouard  5700:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5701:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5702:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5703:        }
1.126     brouard  5704:     }/* End theta */
                   5705:     
                   5706:     
                   5707:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5708:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5709:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5710:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5711:     
1.218     brouard  5712:                
1.222     brouard  5713:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5714:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5715:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5716:                
1.222     brouard  5717:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5718:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5719:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5720:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5721:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5722:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5723:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5724:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5725:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5726:       }
                   5727:     }
1.218     brouard  5728:                
1.126     brouard  5729:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5730:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5731:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5732:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5733:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5734:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5735:                                        
1.222     brouard  5736:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5737:                                        
1.222     brouard  5738:        }
1.269     brouard  5739: 
                   5740:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  5741:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5742:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5743:       eip=0.;
                   5744:       vip=0.;
                   5745:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5746:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5747:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5748:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5749:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5750:       }
                   5751:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5752:     }
                   5753:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5754:                
1.269     brouard  5755:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  5756:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5757:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5758:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5759:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5760:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5761:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5762:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5763:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5764:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5765:          }
1.126     brouard  5766:       }
                   5767:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5768:                
1.126     brouard  5769:   }
                   5770:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5771:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5772:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5773:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5774:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5775:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5776:   printf("\n");
                   5777:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5778:        
1.126     brouard  5779:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5780:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5781:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5782:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5783:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5784: }
1.218     brouard  5785:  
1.126     brouard  5786: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5787:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5788:  {
1.279     brouard  5789:    /** Variance of health expectancies 
                   5790:     *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
                   5791:     * double **newm;
                   5792:     * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
                   5793:     */
1.218     brouard  5794:   
                   5795:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5796:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5797:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5798:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5799:    int k;
                   5800:    double *xp;
1.279     brouard  5801:    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
                   5802:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
                   5803:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5804:    double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
                   5805:    double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
1.218     brouard  5806:    double ***p3mat;
                   5807:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5808:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5809:    int theta;
                   5810:    char digit[4];
                   5811:    char digitp[25];
                   5812: 
                   5813:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5814: 
                   5815:    if(popbased==1){
                   5816:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5817:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5818:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5819:    }
                   5820:    else 
                   5821:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5822: 
1.218     brouard  5823:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5824:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5825:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5826:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5827:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5828:    /*   } */
                   5829:    /* } */
                   5830: 
                   5831:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5832:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5833:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5834:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5835:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5836:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5837:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5838:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5839:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5840:    }
                   5841:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5842:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5843:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5844:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5845:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5846:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5847:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5848:    }
                   5849:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5850:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5851:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5852: 
1.218     brouard  5853:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5854:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5855:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5856:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5857:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5858:    }  
                   5859:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5860:   
                   5861:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5862:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5863:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5864:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5865:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
1.279     brouard  5866: 
1.218     brouard  5867:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5868:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5869:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5870:    if(popbased==1)
                   5871:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5872:    else
                   5873:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5874:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5875:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5876:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5877:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5878:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5879: 
                   5880:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5881:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5882:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5883:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5884:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5885: 
                   5886:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5887:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5888:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5889:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5890:   
1.218     brouard  5891:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5892:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5893:    }
                   5894:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5895:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5896:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5897:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5898:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5899:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5900:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5901:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5902:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5903:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5904:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5905:    */
                   5906:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5907:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5908:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5909:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5910:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5911:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5912:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5913:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5914:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5915:                
                   5916:                
                   5917:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5918:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5919:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5920:        }
1.279     brouard  5921:        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
                   5922:        * returns into prlim .
                   5923:        */              
1.242     brouard  5924:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.279     brouard  5925: 
                   5926:        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
1.218     brouard  5927:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5928:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5929:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5930:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5931:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5932:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5933:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5934:         }
                   5935:        }
1.279     brouard  5936:        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
                   5937:        */                      
                   5938:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
                   5939:        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
                   5940:        * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
                   5941:        */
1.218     brouard  5942:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5943:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5944:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5945:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5946:         }
                   5947:        }
1.279     brouard  5948:        /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
1.218     brouard  5949:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
1.279     brouard  5950:          as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
1.218     brouard  5951:        */
                   5952:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5953:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5954:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
1.279     brouard  5955:        }
                   5956:        
                   5957:        /* Again with minus shift */
1.218     brouard  5958:                        
                   5959:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5960:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5961:                        
1.242     brouard  5962:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5963:                        
                   5964:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5965:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5966:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5967:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5968:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5969:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5970:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5971:         }
                   5972:        }
                   5973:                        
1.235     brouard  5974:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5975:                        
                   5976:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5977:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5978:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5979:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5980:         }
                   5981:        }
                   5982:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5983:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5984:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5985:        */
                   5986:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5987:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5988:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5989:        }    
1.279     brouard  5990:        /* end shifting computations */
                   5991: 
                   5992:        /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
                   5993:        */
1.218     brouard  5994:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5995:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5996:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5997:         }
1.279     brouard  5998:        /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
                   5999:        */
                   6000:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
1.218     brouard  6001:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   6002:        }
                   6003:                        
                   6004:      } /* End theta */
1.279     brouard  6005:      
                   6006:      /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */               
1.218     brouard  6007:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   6008:                
                   6009:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   6010:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6011:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6012:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   6013:                
                   6014:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   6015:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6016:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
1.279     brouard  6017:      /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
                   6018:       */               
1.218     brouard  6019:                
                   6020:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   6021:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6022:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6023:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
1.279     brouard  6024: 
                   6025:      /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
                   6026:       * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
                   6027:       * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
                   6028:       */
                   6029:      
1.218     brouard  6030:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   6031:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   6032:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6033:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6034:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6035:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6036:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   6037:        }
                   6038:      }
                   6039:                
1.279     brouard  6040:      /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
                   6041:       * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
                   6042:       * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
                   6043:       * wix is independent of theta.
                   6044:       */
1.218     brouard  6045:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6046:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6047:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6048:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6049:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6050:      /* end ppptj */
                   6051:      /*  x centered again */
                   6052:                
1.242     brouard  6053:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6054:                
                   6055:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6056:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6057:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6058:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6059:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6060:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6061:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6062:        }
                   6063:      }
                   6064:                
                   6065:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6066:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6067:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6068:      */
1.235     brouard  6069:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6070:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6071:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6072:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6073:      }    
                   6074:      /* end probability of death */
                   6075:                
                   6076:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6077:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6078:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6079:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6080:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6081:        }
                   6082:      } 
                   6083:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6084:                
                   6085:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6086:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6087:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6088:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6089:        }
                   6090:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6091:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6092:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6093:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6094:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6095:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6096:    } /* End age */
                   6097:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6098:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6099:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6100:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6101:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6102:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6103:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6104:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6105:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6106:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6107:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6108:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6109:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6110:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6111:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6112:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6113:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6114:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6115:     */
1.218     brouard  6116:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6117:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6118: 
1.218     brouard  6119:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6120:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6121:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6122:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6123:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6124:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6125:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6126:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6127:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6128:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6129:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6130: 
                   6131: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6132:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6133: {
1.205     brouard  6134:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6135:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6136: 
1.268     brouard  6137:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6138:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6139:   double *xp;
                   6140:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6141:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6142:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6143:   double age,agelim;
                   6144:   int theta;
                   6145:   
                   6146:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   6147:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6148:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6149:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6150:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6151:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6152:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6153:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6154: 
                   6155:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6156:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6157:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6158:   
                   6159:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6160:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6161:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6162:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6163:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6164:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6165:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6166:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6167:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6168:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6169:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6170:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6171: 
                   6172:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6173:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6174:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6175:       }
1.209     brouard  6176:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6177:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6178:       else
1.235     brouard  6179:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6180:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6181:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6182:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6183:       }
1.126     brouard  6184:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6185:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  6186:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6187:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6188:       else
1.235     brouard  6189:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6190:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6191:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6192:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6193:       }
1.126     brouard  6194:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6195:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6196:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6197:     } /* End theta */
                   6198: 
                   6199:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6200: 
                   6201:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6202:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6203:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6204:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6205:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6206:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6207:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6208:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6209:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6210:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6211:     /*   } */
                   6212:     /* } */
                   6213:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6214:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6215:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6216:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6217:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6218:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6219:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6220:     /*   } */
                   6221:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6222: 
                   6223:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6224:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6225:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6226:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6227:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6228:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6229:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6230:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6231:     }
1.126     brouard  6232:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6233:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6234: 
                   6235:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6236:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6237:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  6238:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6239:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6240:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6241:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6242:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6243:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6244:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6245:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6246:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6247:   } /* End age */
                   6248: 
                   6249:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6250:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6251:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6252: 
                   6253: }
                   6254: 
                   6255: 
                   6256: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6257:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6258: {
                   6259:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6260:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6261: 
                   6262:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6263:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6264:   double *xp;
                   6265:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6266:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6267:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6268:   double age,agelim;
                   6269:   int theta;
                   6270:   
                   6271:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6272:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6273:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6274:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6275:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6276:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6277:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6278:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6279: 
                   6280:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6281:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6282:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6283:   
                   6284:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6285:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6286:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6287:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6288:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6289:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6290:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6291:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6292:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6293:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6294:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6295:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6296: 
                   6297:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6298:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6299:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6300:       }
                   6301:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6302:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6303:       else
                   6304:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6305:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6306:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6307:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6308:       }
                   6309:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6310:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6311:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6312:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6313:        else
                   6314:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6315:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6316:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6317:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6318:       }
                   6319:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6320:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6321:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6322:     } /* End theta */
                   6323: 
                   6324:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6325: 
                   6326:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6327:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6328:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6329:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6330:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6331:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6332:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6333:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6334:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6335:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6336:     /*   } */
                   6337:     /* } */
                   6338:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6339:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6340:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6341:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6342:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6343:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6344:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6345:     /*   } */
                   6346:     /* } */
                   6347: 
                   6348:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6349:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6350:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6351:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6352:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6353:     }else{
                   6354:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6355:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6356:     }
                   6357:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6358:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6359: 
                   6360:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6361:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6362:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6363:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6364:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6365:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6366:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6367:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6368:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6369:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6370:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6371:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6372:   } /* End age */
                   6373: 
                   6374:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6375:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6376:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6377: 
                   6378: }
                   6379: 
                   6380: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6381: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6382:  {
                   6383:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6384:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6385:    int k=0, l;
                   6386:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   6387:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6388:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6389:    double *xp;
                   6390:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6391:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6392:    double **mu;
                   6393:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6394:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6395:    int theta;
                   6396:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6397:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6398:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6399:    double ***varpij;
                   6400: 
                   6401:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6402:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6403:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6404:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6405:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6406:    }
                   6407:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6408:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6409:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6410:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6411:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6412:    }
                   6413:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6414:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6415:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6416:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6417:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6418:    }
                   6419:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6420:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6421:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6422:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6423:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6424:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6425:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6426:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6427:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6428:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6429:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6430:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6431:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6432:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6433:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6434: 
                   6435: 
1.222     brouard  6436:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6437:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6438:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6439:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6440:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6441:      }  
                   6442:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6443:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6444:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6445:    */
                   6446:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6447:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6448:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6449:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6450:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6451:    first=1;
                   6452:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6453:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6454:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6455: 
1.266     brouard  6456:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6457:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6458:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6459: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6460:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6461:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6462: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6463: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6464: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6465:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6466:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6467: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6468: 
1.222     brouard  6469:    cov[1]=1;
                   6470:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6471:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6472:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6473:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6474:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  6475:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6476:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6477:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6478:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6479:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6480:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6481:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6482:                        
1.222     brouard  6483:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6484:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6485:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6486:                        
                   6487:                        
1.222     brouard  6488:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6489:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6490:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6491:                        
1.222     brouard  6492:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6493:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6494:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6495:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6496:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6497:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6498:         continue;
                   6499:        }
                   6500:      }
                   6501:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6502:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6503:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6504:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6505:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6506:        cov[2]=age;
                   6507:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6508:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   6509:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   6510:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   6511:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6512:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6513:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6514:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6515:                                                                    */
                   6516:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6517:        }
                   6518:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   6519:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   6520:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   6521:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  6522:                        
                   6523:                        
1.222     brouard  6524:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6525:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6526:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6527:                                
1.222     brouard  6528:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6529:                                
1.222     brouard  6530:         k=0;
                   6531:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   6532:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6533:             k=k+1;
                   6534:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6535:           }
                   6536:         }
1.220     brouard  6537:                                
1.222     brouard  6538:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6539:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6540:                                
1.222     brouard  6541:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   6542:         k=0;
                   6543:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6544:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6545:             k=k+1;
                   6546:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6547:           }
                   6548:         }
1.220     brouard  6549:                                
1.222     brouard  6550:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   6551:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   6552:        }
1.126     brouard  6553: 
1.222     brouard  6554:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6555:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6556:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6557:                        
1.222     brouard  6558:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6559:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6560:                        
1.222     brouard  6561:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6562:                        
1.222     brouard  6563:        k=0;
                   6564:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6565:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6566:           k=k+1;
                   6567:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6568:         }
                   6569:        }
                   6570:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6571:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6572:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6573:                        
1.222     brouard  6574:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6575:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6576:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6577:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6578:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6579:                        
1.222     brouard  6580:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6581:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6582:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6583:                        
1.222     brouard  6584:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6585:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6586:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6587:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6588:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6589:        }
                   6590:        i=0;
                   6591:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6592:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6593:           i++;
                   6594:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6595:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6596:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6597:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6598:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6599:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6600:           }
                   6601:         }
                   6602:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6603:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6604:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6605:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6606:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6607:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6608:     
                   6609:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6610:      /*
                   6611:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6612:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6613:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6614:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6615:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6616:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6617:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6618:      */
                   6619:                
                   6620:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6621:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6622:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6623:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6624:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6625:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6626:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6627:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6628:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6629:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6630:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6631:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6632:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6633:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6634:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6635:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6636:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6637:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6638:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6639:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6640:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6641:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6642:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6643:                   if(first2==1){
                   6644:                     first1=0;
                   6645:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6646:                   }
                   6647:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6648:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6649:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6650:                 }
1.220     brouard  6651:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6652:                 /* Eigen vectors */
1.280     brouard  6653:                 if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
                   6654:                   printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   6655:                   fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   6656:                   v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
                   6657:                 }else
                   6658:                   v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
1.222     brouard  6659:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6660:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6661:                 v12=-v21;
                   6662:                 v22=v11;
                   6663:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6664:                 if(first1==1){
                   6665:                   first1=0;
                   6666:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6667:                 }
                   6668:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6669:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6670:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6671:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6672:                 if(first==1){
                   6673:                   first=0;
                   6674:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6675:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6676:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6677:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  6678:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6679:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6680: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6681:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6682:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6683:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6684:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6685:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6686:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6687:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6688:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.280     brouard  6689:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
                   6690:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  6691:                 }else{
                   6692:                   first=0;
                   6693:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6694:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6695:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6696:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  6697:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6698:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  6699:                 }/* if first */
                   6700:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6701:             } /* end loop age */
                   6702:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6703:             first=1;
                   6704:           } /*l12 */
                   6705:         } /* k12 */
                   6706:        } /*l1 */
                   6707:      }/* k1 */
                   6708:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6709:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6710:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6711:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6712:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6713:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6714:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6715:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6716:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6717:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6718:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6719:  }
1.126     brouard  6720: 
                   6721: 
                   6722: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6723: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6724:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6725:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.258     brouard  6726:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.273     brouard  6727:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   6728:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  6729:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6730: 
                   6731:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6732:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6733: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6734:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6735: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6736:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6737:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6738:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6739:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6740:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6741:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6742:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6743:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6744:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6745:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6746:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6747:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6748:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6749:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6750:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6751:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6752:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6753:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6754:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6755:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6756:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6757:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6758:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6759:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6760:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6761:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6762:    }
1.126     brouard  6763: 
                   6764: 
1.225     brouard  6765:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6766:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6767: 
1.264     brouard  6768:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
                   6769: 
                   6770:    jj1=0;
                   6771: 
                   6772:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   6773:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   6774:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6775:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6776:        continue;
                   6777:      jj1++;
                   6778:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6779:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   6780:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6781:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6782:        }
                   6783:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6784:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6785:        }
                   6786:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   6787:        
                   6788:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   6789:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   6790:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6791:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6792:        }
                   6793:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6794:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6795:        }
                   6796:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6797:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   6798:         continue;
                   6799:        }
                   6800:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   6801:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   6802:    }
                   6803:      fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   6804: 
1.222     brouard  6805:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6806: 
                   6807:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6808:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  6809:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6810:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6811: 
1.222     brouard  6812:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6813:      jj1++;
                   6814:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  6815:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   6816:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6817:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6818:        }
                   6819:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6820:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6821:        }
                   6822:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   6823:  
1.222     brouard  6824:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6825:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6826:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6827:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6828:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6829:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6830:        }
1.237     brouard  6831:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6832:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6833:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6834:       }
                   6835:        
1.230     brouard  6836:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6837:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6838:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6839:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6840:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6841:         continue;
                   6842:        }
                   6843:      }
                   6844:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  6845:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6846: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6847:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6848:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6849: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6850:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6851:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6852:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6853:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6854: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6855: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6856:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6857:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6858:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6859: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6860:      }
                   6861:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6862:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6863:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6864:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6865:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6866:      }
                   6867:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6868:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6869:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6870: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6871:      }
                   6872:      if(backcast==1){
                   6873:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6874:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6875:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6876: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6877:        }
1.217     brouard  6878:      }
1.222     brouard  6879:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6880:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6881:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6882:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6883: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6884:        }
                   6885:      }
1.268     brouard  6886:      if(backcast==1){
                   6887:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   6888:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6889:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   6890:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   6891:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
                   6892: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6893:  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  6894:        }
                   6895:      }
1.220     brouard  6896:         
1.222     brouard  6897:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6898:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6899: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6900:      }
                   6901:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6902:    }/* End k1 */
                   6903:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6904: 
1.222     brouard  6905:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6906: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6907:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6908:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6909: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6910: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6911: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6912: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6913: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6914: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6915: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6916: 
1.222     brouard  6917:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6918:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6919:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6920:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6921:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6922: 
1.222     brouard  6923:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6924:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6925:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6926:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6927:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6928:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6929:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6930:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6931:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6932:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6933:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6934:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6935:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6936:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6937:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6938:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6939:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6940:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6941:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6942:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6943: 
                   6944: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6945: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6946: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6947: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6948: /*  else  */
                   6949: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6950:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6951:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6952: 
1.225     brouard  6953:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6954:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6955: 
1.222     brouard  6956:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6957: 
1.241     brouard  6958:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6959:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  6960:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6961:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6962:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6963:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6964:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6965:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6966:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6967:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6968:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6969:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6970:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6971:       }
                   6972: 
1.126     brouard  6973:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6974: 
1.222     brouard  6975:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6976:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6977:         continue;
                   6978:        }
1.126     brouard  6979:      }
                   6980:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  6981:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6982: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
1.258     brouard  6983: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6984:      }
                   6985:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6986: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6987: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6988:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6989:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6990: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6991:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6992:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6993:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6994:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6995:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6996: }
                   6997: 
                   6998: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.270     brouard  6999: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  7000: 
                   7001:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  7002:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  7003:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  7004:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  7005:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  7006:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  7007:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  7008:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   7009:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  7010:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  7011:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  7012: 
1.126     brouard  7013: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   7014: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7015: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7016: /*   } */
                   7017: 
                   7018:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7019:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  7020:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  7021:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7022: 
1.274     brouard  7023:   /* diagram of the model */
                   7024:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   7025:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   7026:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   7027:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7028: 
                   7029:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7030:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   7031:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7032:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   7033:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   7034:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   7035:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   7036: 
1.202     brouard  7037:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   7038:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  7039:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   7040:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   7041:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   7042:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  7043: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  7044:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   7045: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  7046:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   7047:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7048:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7049:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7050:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7051:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7052:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7053:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7054:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7055:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7056:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7057:     }
                   7058:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7059:   }
                   7060:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7061:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7062:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7063:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7064:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7065: 
1.126     brouard  7066:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7067:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7068:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7069:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7070:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7071:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7072:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7073:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7074:          continue;
                   7075:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7076:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  7077:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7078:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7079:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7080:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7081:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7082:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7083:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7084:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7085:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7086:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7087:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7088:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7089:        }
                   7090:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7091:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7092:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7093:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7094:        }
                   7095:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7096:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7097:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7098:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7099:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7100:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7101:          continue;
                   7102:        }
1.235     brouard  7103:       
1.241     brouard  7104:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7105:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276     brouard  7106:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
                   7107:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.260     brouard  7108:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7109:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7110:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7111:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7112:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7113:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7114:        }
1.260     brouard  7115:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7116:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7117:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7118:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7119:        } 
1.260     brouard  7120:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7121:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7122:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7123:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7124:        }  
1.265     brouard  7125:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7126:        
                   7127:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7128:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7129:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7130:        }else{
                   7131:          kl=0;
                   7132:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7133:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7134:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7135:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7136:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7137:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7138:            kl++;
                   7139:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7140:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7141:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7142:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7143:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7144:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7145:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7146:            }else{
                   7147:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7148:              kl++;
                   7149:            }
                   7150:          } /* end covariate */
                   7151:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7152: 
1.238     brouard  7153:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   7154:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7155:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7156:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7157:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7158:          }else{
                   7159:            kl=0;
                   7160:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7161:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7162:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7163:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7164:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7165:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7166:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7167:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7168:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7169:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7170:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7171:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7172:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7173:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7174:              }else{
                   7175:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7176:                kl++;
                   7177:              }
                   7178:            } /* end covariate */
                   7179:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.268     brouard  7180:          if(backcast == 1){
                   7181:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7182:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7183:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7184:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7185:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7186:            }
1.271     brouard  7187:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7188:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7189:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7190:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7191:            } 
1.276     brouard  7192:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7193:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7194:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7195:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7196:            } 
1.274     brouard  7197:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7198:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.238     brouard  7199:        } /* end if backcast */
1.276     brouard  7200:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
                   7201:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7202:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7203:     } /* k1 */
                   7204:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7205: 
                   7206:   
1.126     brouard  7207:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7208:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7209:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7210:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7211:        continue;
                   7212:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7213:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7214:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7215:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7216:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7217:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7218:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7219:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7220:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7221:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7222:       }
1.237     brouard  7223:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7224:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7225:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7226:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7227:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7228:       }
1.264     brouard  7229:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7230:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7231:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7232:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7233:        continue;
                   7234:       }
1.219     brouard  7235:                        
1.241     brouard  7236:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7237:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7238:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7239:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7240:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7241:        }else
1.238     brouard  7242:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7243:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7244:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7245:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7246:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7247:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7248:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7249:          }   
                   7250:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7251:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7252:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7253:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7254:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7255:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7256:          }   
                   7257:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7258:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7259:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7260:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7261:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7262:          }   
                   7263:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7264:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7265:        } /* state */
                   7266:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7267:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7268:     } /* end nres */
                   7269:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7270:        
                   7271:        
                   7272:   /*3eme*/
                   7273:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7274:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7275:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7276:        continue;
                   7277: 
                   7278:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7279:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7280:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7281:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7282:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7283:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7284:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7285:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7286:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7287:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7288:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7289:        }
                   7290:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7291:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7292:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7293:        }       
1.264     brouard  7294:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7295:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7296:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7297:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7298:          continue;
                   7299:        }
                   7300:                        
                   7301:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7302:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7303:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7304:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7305:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7306: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7307:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7308:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7309:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7310:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7311:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7312:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7313:                                
1.238     brouard  7314:        */
                   7315:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7316:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7317:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7318:                                
1.238     brouard  7319:        } 
1.261     brouard  7320:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7321:       }
1.264     brouard  7322:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7323:     } /* end nres */
                   7324:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7325:   
1.223     brouard  7326:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7327:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7328:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7329:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7330:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7331:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7332:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7333:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7334:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7335:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7336:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7337:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7338:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7339:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7340:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7341:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7342:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7343:        }
                   7344:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7345:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7346:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7347:        }       
1.264     brouard  7348:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7349:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7350:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7351:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7352:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7353:        }
1.238     brouard  7354:       
1.241     brouard  7355:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7356:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7357:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7358: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7359:        k=3;
                   7360:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7361:          if(i==1){
                   7362:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7363:          }else{
                   7364:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7365:          }
                   7366:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7367:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7368:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7369:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7370:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7371:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7372:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7373:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7374:     } /* end nres */
                   7375:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7376: 
1.220     brouard  7377: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7378:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7379:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7380:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7381:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7382:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7383:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7384:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7385:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7386:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7387:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7388:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7389:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7390:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7391:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7392:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7393:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7394:        }
                   7395:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7396:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7397:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7398:        }       
1.264     brouard  7399:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7400:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7401:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7402:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7403:          continue;
                   7404:        }
1.227     brouard  7405:       
1.241     brouard  7406:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7407:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7408:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7409: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7410:        k=3;
                   7411:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7412:          if(j==1)
                   7413:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7414:          else
                   7415:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7416:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7417:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7418:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7419:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7420:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7421:        } /* nlstate */
                   7422:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7423:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7424:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7425:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7426:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7427:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7428:          else
                   7429:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7430:        }
1.264     brouard  7431:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7432:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7433:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7434:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7435:   
1.220     brouard  7436: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7437:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7438:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7439:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7440:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7441:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7442:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7443:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.211     brouard  7444:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7445:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7446:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7447:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7448:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7449:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7450:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7451:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7452:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7453:       }
1.237     brouard  7454:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7455:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7456:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7457:       }        
1.264     brouard  7458:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7459:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7460:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7461:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7462:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7463:       }
1.227     brouard  7464:       
1.241     brouard  7465:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7466:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7467:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7468: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7469:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7470:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7471:        if(i==1)
                   7472:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7473:        else
                   7474:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7475:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7476:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7477:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   7478:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7479:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  7480:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7481:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  7482:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7483:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  7484:   
                   7485:   
1.220     brouard  7486: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  7487:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  7488:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7489:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7490:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7491:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7492:        continue;
1.268     brouard  7493:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  7494:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7495:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  7496:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7497:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7498:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7499:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  7500:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  7501:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7502:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7503:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7504:        }
1.237     brouard  7505:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7506:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7507:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7508:        }       
1.264     brouard  7509:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7510:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7511:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7512:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7513:          continue;
                   7514:        }
                   7515:        
1.241     brouard  7516:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7517:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7518:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7519: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  7520:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  7521:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  7522:          if(i==1)
                   7523:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7524:          else
                   7525:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7526:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  7527:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7528:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   7529:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  7530:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  7531:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   7532:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   7533:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  7534:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  7535:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7536:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  7537:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7538:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7539:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7540:   
1.223     brouard  7541:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  7542:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   7543:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   7544:     
1.237     brouard  7545:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7546:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7547:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7548:        continue;
1.211     brouard  7549:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  7550:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.227     brouard  7551:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7552:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7553:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7554:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7555:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7556:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7557:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7558:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7559:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7560:        }
1.237     brouard  7561:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7562:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7563:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7564:        }       
1.264     brouard  7565:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7566:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7567:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7568:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7569:          continue;
                   7570:        }
                   7571:        
                   7572:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  7573:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7574:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7575:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7576: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  7577: 
                   7578:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7579:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7580:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7581:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  7582:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7583:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7584:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7585:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  7586:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  7587:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   7588:          }else{
                   7589:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7590:          }
                   7591:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7592:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7593:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7594:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7595:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7596:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7597:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  7598:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7599:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  7600:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7601:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7602:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7603:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  7604:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  7605:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  7606:            }else
1.227     brouard  7607:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7608:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7609:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7610:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7611:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7612:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7613:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7614:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  7615:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7616:            kl=0;
                   7617:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7618:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7619:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7620:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7621:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7622:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7623:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7624:              kl++;
                   7625:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7626:              kl++;
                   7627:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7628:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7629:            }
                   7630:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7631:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7632:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7633:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7634:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7635:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7636:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7637:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  7638:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7639:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   7640:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7641:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   7642:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  7643: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  7644:            }else{
                   7645:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7646:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7647:            }
                   7648:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7649:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7650:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  7651:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7652:     } /* end covariate */
                   7653:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  7654:   
1.268     brouard  7655:   if(backcast==1){
                   7656:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   7657:     
                   7658:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7659:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   7660:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7661:        continue;
                   7662:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   7663:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7664:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7665:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7666:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7667:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7668:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7669:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7670:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7671:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7672:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7673:        }
                   7674:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7675:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7676:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7677:        }       
                   7678:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   7679:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7680:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7681:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7682:          continue;
                   7683:        }
                   7684:        
                   7685:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   7686:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7687:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   7688:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   7689: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7690: 
                   7691:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7692:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7693:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7694:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   7695:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7696:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7697:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7698:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7699:          if(i==istart){
                   7700:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   7701:          }else{
                   7702:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7703:          }
                   7704:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7705:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7706:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7707:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7708:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7709:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7710:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   7711:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7712:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  7713:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7714:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7715:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7716:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  7717:                     offbyear,                          \
                   7718:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   7719:            }else
                   7720:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7721:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   7722:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7723:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7724:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7725:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7726:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7727:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  7728:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7729:            kl=0;
                   7730:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7731:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7732:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7733:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7734:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7735:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7736:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7737:              kl++;
                   7738:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7739:              kl++;
                   7740:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7741:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7742:            }
                   7743:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7744:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7745:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7746:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7747:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7748:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7749:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7750:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  7751:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7752:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  7753:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  7754:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7755:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   7756:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  7757: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   7758:            }else{
                   7759:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   7760:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7761:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   7762:            }
                   7763:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7764:        } /* nlstate */
                   7765:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   7766:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7767:     } /* end covariate */
                   7768:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7769:   
1.227     brouard  7770:   
1.238     brouard  7771:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   7772:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  7773:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  7774:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  7775:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   7776:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  7777:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   7778:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   7779:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   7780:          jk++; 
                   7781:        }
                   7782:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  7783:       }
                   7784:     }
1.223     brouard  7785:   }
1.187     brouard  7786:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  7787:   
1.145     brouard  7788:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  7789:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   7790:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  7791:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   7792:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   7793:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   7794:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   7795:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7796:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7797:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7798:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7799:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   7800:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7801:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   7802:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7803:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  7804:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  7805:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  7806:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  7807:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  7808:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   7809:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  7810:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  7811:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7812:        continue;
1.264     brouard  7813:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   7814:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276     brouard  7815:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  7816:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7817:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7818:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7819:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7820:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7821:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7822:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7823:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7824:       }
1.237     brouard  7825:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7826:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7827:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7828:       }        
1.264     brouard  7829:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  7830:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  7831:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276     brouard  7832:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
                   7833:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
                   7834:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  7835:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   7836:       if (ng==1){
                   7837:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   7838:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   7839:       }else if (ng==2){
                   7840:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   7841:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7842:       }else if (ng==3){
                   7843:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   7844:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7845:       }else
                   7846:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   7847:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   7848:       i=1;
                   7849:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   7850:        k3=i;
                   7851:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   7852:          if (k != k2){
                   7853:            switch( ng) {
                   7854:            case 1:
                   7855:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7856:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7857:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7858:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7859:              break;
                   7860:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   7861:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7862:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7863:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7864:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7865:              break;
                   7866:            case 3:
                   7867:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7868:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7869:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7870:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7871:              break;
                   7872:            }
                   7873:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7874:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7875:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7876:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7877:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  7878:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7879:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*/
                   7880:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7881:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){
                   7882:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7883:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7884:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7885:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7886:                    }
                   7887:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  7888:                  }
1.268     brouard  7889:                } 
                   7890:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   7891:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7892:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7893:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   7894:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7895:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   7896:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   7897:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7898:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7899:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7900:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7901:                      }
                   7902:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   7903:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   7904:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7905:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7906:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7907:                      }
1.237     brouard  7908:                    }
1.268     brouard  7909:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7910:                  }
1.268     brouard  7911:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  7912:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  7913:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  7914:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7915:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7916:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7917:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  7918:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  7919:                }
1.237     brouard  7920:              } /* end simple */
                   7921:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7922:          }else{
                   7923:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7924:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7925:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7926:          }
1.227     brouard  7927:          
1.223     brouard  7928:          if(ng != 1){
                   7929:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7930:            
1.264     brouard  7931:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  7932:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  7933:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  7934:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  7935:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7936:               
1.223     brouard  7937:              ij=1;
                   7938:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  7939:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   7940:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7941:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7942:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   7943:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7944:                       ij++;
                   7945:                     }
                   7946:                   }
                   7947:                 }else
                   7948:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7949:              }
                   7950:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7951:            }
                   7952:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7953:            if(ng ==2)
1.276     brouard  7954:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7955:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276     brouard  7956:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7957:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7958:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276     brouard  7959:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7960:          }
                   7961:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7962:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7963:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7964:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7965:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7966:        } /* end k */
                   7967:       } /* end k2 */
1.276     brouard  7968:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
                   7969:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  7970:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  7971:   } /* end ng */
                   7972:   /* avoid: */
                   7973:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7974: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7975: 
                   7976: 
                   7977: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7978: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7979:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7980:    
1.222     brouard  7981:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7982:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7983:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7984:    int iage=0;
                   7985: 
1.266     brouard  7986:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  7987:    double age;
1.266     brouard  7988:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   7989:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   7990:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  7991:   
                   7992:   
1.278     brouard  7993:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
                   7994:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
1.222     brouard  7995: 
                   7996:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7997:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7998:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7999:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  8000:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  8001:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  8002:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8003: 
                   8004:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  8005:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8006:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8007:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   8008:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  8009:    }
                   8010:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   8011:   
1.266     brouard  8012:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   8013:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  8014:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   8015:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   8016:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8017:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   8018:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8019:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   8020:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   8021:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   8022:      */ 
                   8023:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   8024:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  8025:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   8026:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8027:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  8028:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8029:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   8030:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8031:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8032:             }
                   8033:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  8034:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8035:           } /* end i */
                   8036:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   8037:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  8038:        }/* end age */
                   8039:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  8040:    }else{
                   8041:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  8042:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  8043:    }
                   8044: 
                   8045:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  8046:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   8047:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   8048:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   8049:        continue;
                   8050:      }
1.219     brouard  8051: 
1.266     brouard  8052:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8053:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8054:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8055:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8056:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8057:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8058:        }
                   8059:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8060:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8061:        }
                   8062:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8063:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8064:        }
                   8065:      } /* age */
                   8066:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8067:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8068:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8069:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8070:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8071:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8072:        }
                   8073:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8074:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8075:        }
                   8076:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8077:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8078:        }
                   8079:      } /* age */
                   8080:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8081:      /* but they will change */
                   8082:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8083:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8084:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8085:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8086:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8087:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8088:        }
                   8089:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8090:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8091:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8092:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8093:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8094:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8095:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8096:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8097:           } /* i */
                   8098:         } /* end bad */
                   8099:        }else{
                   8100:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8101:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8102:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8103:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8104:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8105:           } /* i */
                   8106:         } /* end bad */
                   8107:        }/* end else */
                   8108:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8109:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8110:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8111:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8112:        }
                   8113:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8114:         printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8115:        } /* end bad */
                   8116:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8117:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8118:         printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8119:        } /* end bad */
                   8120:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8121: 
                   8122:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8123:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8124:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8125:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8126:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8127:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8128:        } 
                   8129:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8130:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8131:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8132:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8133:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8134:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8135:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8136:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8137:           } /* i */
                   8138:         } /* end bad */
                   8139:        }else{
                   8140:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8141:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8142:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8143:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8144:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8145:           } /* i */
                   8146:         } /* end bad */
                   8147:        }/* end else */
                   8148:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8149:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8150:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8151:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8152:        }
1.266     brouard  8153:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8154:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8155:        } /* end bad */
                   8156:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8157:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8158:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8159:        } /* end bad */
                   8160:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8161: 
1.222     brouard  8162:                
                   8163:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8164:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8165:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8166:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8167:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8168:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8169:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8170:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8171:        }
                   8172:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8173:      }
                   8174:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8175:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8176: 
1.222     brouard  8177:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8178:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8179:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8180:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8181:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8182:      /*   }     */
                   8183:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8184:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8185:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8186:      /*   } */
                   8187:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8188:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8189:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8190:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8191:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8192:      /*   } */
                   8193:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8194:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8195:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8196:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8197:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8198:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8199:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8200:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8201:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8202:    return 0;
                   8203:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8204:  
1.126     brouard  8205: 
                   8206: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.269     brouard  8207:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  8208:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8209:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8210:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8211:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   8212:   */
1.267     brouard  8213:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8214:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   8215:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   8216:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8217:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8218:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8219:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8220: 
                   8221:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8222:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8223:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8224:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8225:   */
1.214     brouard  8226:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8227:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8228:  
1.201     brouard  8229:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8230:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8231:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8232:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8233:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8234:   }
1.235     brouard  8235:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8236:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8237: 
1.225     brouard  8238:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8239: 
                   8240: 
                   8241:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8242:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8243:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8244:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8245:   }
1.270     brouard  8246:   else{
                   8247:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8248:   }
                   8249:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8250:     stepsize=2;
                   8251:   }
1.126     brouard  8252: 
                   8253:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   8254:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8255:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8256:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8257:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8258:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8259:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8260:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8261:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8262:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8263: 
1.227     brouard  8264:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8265:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8266:   
                   8267:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   8268:   
                   8269:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8270:   
1.126     brouard  8271: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8272:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8273:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8274:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8275:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8276:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8277:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8278:       continue;
                   8279:     }
                   8280:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8281:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8282:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8283:     }
1.235     brouard  8284:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8285:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8286:     }
1.227     brouard  8287:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8288:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8289:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8290:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8291:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8292:     }
                   8293:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   8294:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8295:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8296:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8297:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8298:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8299:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8300:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8301:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8302:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8303:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8304:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8305:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8306:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8307:            break;
                   8308:          }
                   8309:        }
                   8310:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8311:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8312:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8313:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8314:        
                   8315:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8316:          ppij=0.;
                   8317:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.278     brouard  8318:            if (mobilav>=1)
                   8319:             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
                   8320:            else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
                   8321:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   8322:            }
1.268     brouard  8323:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8324:          } /* end i */
                   8325:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8326:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8327:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8328:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8329:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8330:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8331:     } /* end yearp */
                   8332:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8333:        
1.126     brouard  8334:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8335:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8336:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8337: 
1.126     brouard  8338: }
                   8339: 
1.269     brouard  8340: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
                   8341:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.267     brouard  8342:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
                   8343:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8344:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8345:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8346:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8347:   */
                   8348:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8349:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.268     brouard  8350:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
1.267     brouard  8351:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8352:   double ***p3mat;
                   8353:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8354:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8355:  
1.268     brouard  8356:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8357:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8358:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8359:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8360:   */
                   8361:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8362:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8363: 
                   8364:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8365: 
                   8366:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8367:   
                   8368:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8369:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8370:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8371:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8372:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8373:   }
                   8374:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8375:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8376:   
                   8377:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8378:   
                   8379:    
                   8380:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8381:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8382:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8383:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8384:   }
1.270     brouard  8385:   else{
                   8386:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8387:   }
                   8388:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8389:     stepsize=2;
                   8390:   }
1.267     brouard  8391:   
                   8392:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
                   8393:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8394:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8395:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8396:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8397:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8398:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8399:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8400:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8401:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8402:   
                   8403:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8404:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8405:   
                   8406:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.268     brouard  8407:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8408:   
                   8409:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8410:   
                   8411:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8412:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8413:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8414:       continue;
                   8415:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8416:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8417:       continue;
                   8418:     }
1.268     brouard  8419:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8420:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8421:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8422:     }
                   8423:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8424:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8425:     }
                   8426:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8427:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8428:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8429:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8430:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8431:     }
                   8432:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {
                   8433:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8434:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8435:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8436:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8437:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8438:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8439:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8440:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8441:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8442:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8443:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8444:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8445:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8446:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8447:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8448:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8449:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8450:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8451:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8452:            break;
                   8453:          }
                   8454:        }
                   8455:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8456:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   8457:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8458:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8459:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   8460:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   8461:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   8462:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  8463:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8464:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8465:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   8466:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  8467:              /* else { */
                   8468:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8469:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  8470:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8471:          } /* end j */
                   8472:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   8473:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8474:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8475:          }
                   8476:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   8477:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  8478:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8479:       } /* end agec */
                   8480:     } /* end yearp */
                   8481:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  8482:   
1.267     brouard  8483:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  8484:   
1.267     brouard  8485:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   8486:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   8487:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  8488:        
1.267     brouard  8489: }
1.217     brouard  8490: 
1.269     brouard  8491: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   8492:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8493:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
                   8494:  
                   8495:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8496:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   8497:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8498:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   8499:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8500:    
                   8501:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   8502:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   8503:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8504:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   8505:       exit(0);
                   8506:     }
                   8507:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   8508:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8509:     
                   8510:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   8511:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   8512:     
                   8513:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8514:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8515: 
                   8516:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8517:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8518:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8519:        continue;
                   8520:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   8521:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   8522:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8523:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8524:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8525:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8526:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8527:       }
                   8528:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8529:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8530:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8531:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8532:       }        
                   8533:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   8534:       printf("******\n");
                   8535:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8536:       
                   8537:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8538:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8539:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8540:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8541:       /*}*/
                   8542:     }
                   8543:     
                   8544:     fclose(ficresvpl);
                   8545:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8546:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8547: 
                   8548:  }
                   8549: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   8550:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8551:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   8552: 
                   8553:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8554:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   8555: 
                   8556:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8557:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   8558:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8559: 
                   8560:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   8561:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   8562:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8563:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   8564:      exit(0);
                   8565:    }
                   8566:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   8567:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8568:    
                   8569:    
                   8570:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8571:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8572:    
                   8573:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8574:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8575:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8576:         continue;
                   8577:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   8578:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   8579:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8580:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8581:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8582:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8583:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8584:        }
                   8585:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8586:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8587:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8588:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8589:        }
                   8590:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   8591:        printf("******\n");
                   8592:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8593:        
                   8594:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8595:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8596:        
                   8597:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8598:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8599:        /*}*/
                   8600:      }
                   8601:    
                   8602:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   8603:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8604:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8605: 
                   8606:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   8607: 
1.126     brouard  8608: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  8609: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  8610:   
1.227     brouard  8611: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   8612: /*   int *popage; */
                   8613: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   8614: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   8615: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   8616: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   8617: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  8618: 
1.227     brouard  8619: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8620: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8621: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   8622: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  8623:   
1.227     brouard  8624: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  8625:   
                   8626:   
1.227     brouard  8627: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   8628: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   8629: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   8630: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8631: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8632: /*   } */
                   8633: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   8634: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  8635: 
1.227     brouard  8636: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  8637: 
1.227     brouard  8638: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   8639: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   8640: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   8641: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8642: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8643: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   8644: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  8645: 
1.227     brouard  8646: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   8647: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  8648:   
1.227     brouard  8649: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  8650:   
1.227     brouard  8651: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   8652: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  8653:        
1.227     brouard  8654: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8655: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   8656: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8657: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8658: /*     }  */
                   8659: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8660: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8661: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  8662:     
1.227     brouard  8663: /*     i=1;    */
                   8664: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  8665:     
1.227     brouard  8666: /*     imx=i; */
                   8667: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   8668: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8669:   
1.227     brouard  8670: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   8671: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   8672: /*       k=k+1; */
                   8673: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   8674: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   8675: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   8676: /*       } */
                   8677: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   8678: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   8679: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   8680: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  8681:       
1.227     brouard  8682: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   8683: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  8684:        
1.227     brouard  8685: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8686: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8687: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8688:          
1.227     brouard  8689: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8690: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8691: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  8692:          
1.227     brouard  8693: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8694: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8695: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8696: /*         }  */
                   8697: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8698: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8699: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8700: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   8701: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   8702: /*             else { */
                   8703: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   8704: /*             } */
                   8705: /*           } */
                   8706: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   8707: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   8708: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   8709: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   8710: /*           } */
                   8711: /*         } */
                   8712: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8713: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   8714: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   8715: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   8716: /*           } */
                   8717: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   8718: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  8719:            
1.227     brouard  8720: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   8721: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   8722: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   8723: /*       } */
                   8724: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8725: /*     } */
                   8726: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  8727:       
1.227     brouard  8728: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  8729:       
1.227     brouard  8730: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   8731: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   8732: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8733: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8734: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8735:          
1.227     brouard  8736: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8737: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8738: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   8739: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8740: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8741: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8742: /*         }  */
                   8743: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8744: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8745: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8746: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   8747: /*           } */
                   8748: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   8749: /*         } */
                   8750: /*       } */
                   8751: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8752: /*     } */
                   8753: /*       } */
                   8754: /*     }  */
                   8755: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8756:   
1.227     brouard  8757: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8758:   
1.227     brouard  8759: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8760: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   8761: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   8762: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   8763: /*   } */
                   8764: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8765: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8766: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   8767: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8768:  
1.126     brouard  8769: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   8770: {
                   8771:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   8772:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8773:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8774:     return (0);
                   8775:   }
                   8776:   fflush(fichier);
                   8777:   return (1);
                   8778: }
                   8779: 
                   8780: 
                   8781: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   8782: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   8783: {
                   8784: 
                   8785:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   8786: 
1.164     brouard  8787:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   8788:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  8789:   int numlinepar;
                   8790: 
                   8791:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8792:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8793:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8794:     jj=0;
                   8795:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8796:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8797:       jj++;
                   8798:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   8799:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8800:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8801:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8802:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8803:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8804:        printf(" 0.");
                   8805:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8806:       }
                   8807:       printf("\n");
                   8808:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8809:     }
                   8810:   }
                   8811:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8812:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8813:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   8814:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8815:     jj=0;
                   8816:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8817:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8818:       jj++;
                   8819:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8820:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8821:       fflush(stdout);
                   8822:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8823:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8824:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8825:        printf(" 0.");
                   8826:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8827:       }
                   8828:       numlinepar++;
                   8829:       printf("\n");
                   8830:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8831:     }
                   8832:   }
                   8833:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8834: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8835: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8836: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   8837: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   8838: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   8839: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   8840: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   8841: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8842:   fflush(stdout);
                   8843:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8844:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8845:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8846:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   8847:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8848:   
                   8849:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   8850:     jj=0;
                   8851:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8852:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8853:        if(j==i) continue;
                   8854:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8855:          jj++;
                   8856:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   8857:          if(itimes==1){
                   8858:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8859:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8860:          }else{
                   8861:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8862:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8863:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   8864:          }
                   8865:          ll=0;
                   8866:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   8867:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   8868:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   8869:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   8870:                ll++;
                   8871:                if(ll<=jj){
                   8872:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   8873:                  if(ll<jj){
                   8874:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8875:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8876:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8877:                    }else{
                   8878:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8879:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8880:                    }
                   8881:                  }else{
                   8882:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8883:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8884:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8885:                    }else{
                   8886:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8887:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8888:                    }
                   8889:                  }
                   8890:                }
                   8891:              } /* end lk */
                   8892:            } /* end lj */
                   8893:          } /* end li */
                   8894:          printf("\n");
                   8895:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8896:          numlinepar++;
                   8897:        } /* end k*/
                   8898:       } /*end j */
                   8899:     } /* end i */
                   8900:   } /* end itimes */
                   8901: 
                   8902: } /* end of prwizard */
                   8903: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   8904: double gompertz(double x[])
                   8905: { 
                   8906:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8907:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8908: 
1.220     brouard  8909:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  8910:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8911:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8912:     num=num+1;
                   8913:   }
                   8914:  
                   8915:  
                   8916:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8917:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8918: 
                   8919:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8920:     {
                   8921:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8922:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8923:       
                   8924:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8925:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8926:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8927:       
                   8928:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8929:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8930:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   8931:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8932:       }
                   8933:     }
                   8934: 
                   8935:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8936:  
                   8937:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   8938: }
                   8939: 
1.136     brouard  8940: #ifdef GSL
                   8941: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   8942: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   8943: { 
                   8944:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8945:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   8946:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8947: 
                   8948:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   8949:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8950:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8951:     num=num+1;
                   8952:   }
                   8953:  
                   8954:  
                   8955:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8956:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8957:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   8958:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8959:     {
                   8960:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8961:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8962:       
                   8963:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8964:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8965:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8966:       
                   8967:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8968:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8969:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   8970:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8971:       }
                   8972:     }
                   8973: 
                   8974:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8975:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   8976:  
                   8977:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   8978: }
                   8979: #endif
                   8980: 
1.126     brouard  8981: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  8982: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  8983:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   8984:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   8985:   int i,k;
                   8986: 
                   8987:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   8988:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8989:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   8990:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  8991:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  8992:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   8993: 
                   8994: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   8995: 
                   8996:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   8997: 
                   8998:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   8999:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   9000: 
                   9001:  
                   9002:   fflush(fichtm);
                   9003: }
                   9004: 
                   9005: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  9006: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  9007: 
                   9008:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  9009: 
1.126     brouard  9010:   int ng;
                   9011: 
                   9012: 
                   9013:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   9014:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   9015:     /*#endif */
                   9016: 
                   9017: 
                   9018:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   9019:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  9020:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  9021:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  9022:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  9023:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  9024:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9025: 
                   9026: } 
                   9027: 
1.136     brouard  9028: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   9029: {
1.126     brouard  9030: 
1.136     brouard  9031:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   9032:   FILE *fic;
                   9033:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  9034:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  9035:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  9036:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   9037:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  9038:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  9039:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  9040: 
1.240     brouard  9041:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   9042:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  9043: 
1.240     brouard  9044:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   9045:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9046:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9047:   }
                   9048:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   9049:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9050:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9051:   }
                   9052:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9053:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9054:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9055:   }
                   9056:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9057:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9058:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9059:   }
                   9060:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9061:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9062:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9063:   }
1.126     brouard  9064: 
1.136     brouard  9065:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9066:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9067:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9068:   }
1.126     brouard  9069: 
1.136     brouard  9070:   i=1;
                   9071:   linei=0;
                   9072:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9073:     linei=linei+1;
                   9074:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9075:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9076:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9077:     }
                   9078:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9079:       ;
                   9080:     };
                   9081:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9082:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9083:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9084:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9085:       continue;
                   9086:     }
                   9087:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9088:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9089:     
                   9090:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9091:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9092:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9093:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9094:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9095:          lval=-1;
                   9096:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9097:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9098:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9099:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9100:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9101:            return 1;
                   9102:          }
                   9103:        }else{
                   9104:          errno=0;
                   9105:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9106:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9107:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9108:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9109:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9110:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9111:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9112:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9113:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9114:            return 1;
                   9115:          }
                   9116:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9117:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9118:        }
                   9119:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9120:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9121:       
1.223     brouard  9122:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9123:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9124:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9125:          lval=-1;
                   9126:        }else{
                   9127:          errno=0;
                   9128:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9129:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9130:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9131:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9132:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9133:            return 1;
                   9134:          }
                   9135:        }
                   9136:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9137:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9138:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9139:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9140:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9141:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9142:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9143:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9144:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9145:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  9146:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9147:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9148:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9149:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9150:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9151:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9152:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9153:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9154:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9155:          return 1;
                   9156:        }
                   9157:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9158:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9159:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9160:       
1.223     brouard  9161:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9162:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9163:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9164:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9165:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9166:        errno=0;
                   9167:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9168:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9169:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9170:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9171:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9172:          return 1;
                   9173:        }
1.136     brouard  9174:       }
1.225     brouard  9175:       
1.136     brouard  9176:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9177:       
1.223     brouard  9178:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9179:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9180:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9181:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9182:       }
1.169     brouard  9183:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9184:        month=99;
                   9185:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9186:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9187:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9188:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9189:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9190:       }
                   9191:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   9192:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   9193:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9194:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9195:     
1.223     brouard  9196:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9197:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9198:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9199:     }
1.169     brouard  9200:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9201:       month=99;
                   9202:       year=9999;
                   9203:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9204:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9205:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9206:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9207:     }
                   9208:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9209:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9210:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9211:     
1.223     brouard  9212:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9213:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9214:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9215:     }
1.169     brouard  9216:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9217:       month=99;
                   9218:       year=9999;
                   9219:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9220:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9221:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9222:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9223:     }
                   9224:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9225:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9226:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9227:       return 1;
                   9228:       
1.136     brouard  9229:     }
                   9230:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   9231:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   9232:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9233:     
1.223     brouard  9234:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9235:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9236:     errno=0;
                   9237:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9238:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9239:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9240:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9241:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9242:       return 1;
                   9243:     }
                   9244:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9245:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9246:     
1.223     brouard  9247:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9248:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9249:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9250:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  9251:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9252:        errno=0;
                   9253:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9254:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9255:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9256:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9257:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9258:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9259:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9260:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9261:          return 1;
                   9262:        }
                   9263:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9264:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9265:       }
                   9266:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9267:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9268:     
1.223     brouard  9269:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9270:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9271:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9272:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9273:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9274:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9275:        errno=0;
                   9276:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9277:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9278:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9279:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9280:          return 1;
                   9281:        }
1.136     brouard  9282:       }
                   9283:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9284:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9285:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9286:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9287:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9288:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9289:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9290:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9291:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9292:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9293:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9294:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9295:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9296:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9297:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9298:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9299:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9300:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9301:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9302:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9303:       }
                   9304:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9305:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9306:     }  
                   9307:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9308:     
1.136     brouard  9309:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9310:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9311:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9312:     }
                   9313:     else
                   9314:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9315:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9316:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9317:     
                   9318:     i=i+1;
                   9319:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9320:   
1.136     brouard  9321:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9322:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9323:   
1.136     brouard  9324:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9325:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9326:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9327:   fclose(fic);
                   9328:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9329: }
1.126     brouard  9330: 
1.234     brouard  9331: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9332:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9333:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9334:     p2++; 
                   9335:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9336:   /*   ; */
                   9337:   /* do */
                   9338:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9339:   /*     p2++; */
                   9340:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9341:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9342: }
                   9343: 
1.235     brouard  9344: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9345: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9346: {
1.235     brouard  9347:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9348:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9349:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9350:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9351:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9352: 
1.234     brouard  9353:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  9354:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  9355: 
                   9356:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9357:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9358:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9359:     return 1;
                   9360:   }
                   9361:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9362:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9363:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9364:   }
1.253     brouard  9365:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9366:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9367:     return (0);
                   9368:   }
                   9369:     
1.234     brouard  9370:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   9371:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9372:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9373:   }
                   9374:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9375:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   9376:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   9377:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   9378:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   9379:     }else
                   9380:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  9381:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  9382:     
1.230     brouard  9383:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   9384:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   9385:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9386:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9387:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9388:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9389:   }
1.235     brouard  9390:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  9391:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9392:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  9393:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  9394:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  9395:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  9396:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9397:          match=1;
                   9398:          break;
                   9399:        }
                   9400:       }
                   9401:       if(match == 0){
                   9402:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9403:       }
                   9404:     }
                   9405:   }
1.235     brouard  9406:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   9407:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  9408:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  9409:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9410:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  9411:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  9412:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9413:          ++match;
                   9414:        }
                   9415:       }
                   9416:     }
                   9417:     if(match == 0){
                   9418:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9419:     }else if(match > 1){
                   9420:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   9421:     }
                   9422:   }
1.235     brouard  9423:       
1.234     brouard  9424:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  9425:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9426:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   9427:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   9428:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   9429:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   9430:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   9431:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   9432:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   9433:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   9434:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   9435:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   9436:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   9437:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  9438:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   9439:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   9440:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   9441:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  9442:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   9443:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  9444:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  9445:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   9446:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  9447:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   9448:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   9449:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  9450:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   9451:       k4++;;
                   9452:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   9453:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   9454:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  9455:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   9456:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   9457:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  9458:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   9459:       k4q++;;
                   9460:     }
                   9461:   }
1.234     brouard  9462:   
1.235     brouard  9463:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  9464:   return (0);
                   9465: }
1.235     brouard  9466: 
1.230     brouard  9467: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   9468:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  9469:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   9470:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   9471:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   9472:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   9473:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   9474:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   9475:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   9476:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   9477:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   9478:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   9479:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   9480:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   9481:        */
1.136     brouard  9482: {
1.238     brouard  9483:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  9484:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  9485:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  9486:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  9487:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  9488: 
1.145     brouard  9489:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  9490:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  9491:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  9492:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  9493:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   9494:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  9495:       return 1;
                   9496:     }
1.141     brouard  9497:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   9498:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   9499:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   9500:       return 1;
                   9501:     }
1.187     brouard  9502:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   9503:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   9504:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   9505:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  9506:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9507:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9508:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  9509:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9510:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9511:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9512:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  9513:       }
1.187     brouard  9514:       nagesqr=1;
                   9515:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9516:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  9517:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9518:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  9519:       else 
1.234     brouard  9520:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  9521:     }else
                   9522:       nagesqr=0;
                   9523:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   9524:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   9525:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  9526:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  9527:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  9528:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   9529:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   9530:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   9531:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   9532:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  9533:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   9534:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  9535:       
                   9536:       
1.187     brouard  9537:       /*   Design
                   9538:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   9539:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9540:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   9541:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   9542:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   9543:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  9544:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   9545:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  9546:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   9547:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   9548:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   9549:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   9550:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   9551:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   9552:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   9553:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   9554:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   9555:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9556:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   9557:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   9558:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   9559:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9560:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   9561:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   9562:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   9563:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   9564:        *How to reorganize?
                   9565:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   9566:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9567:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   9568:        * Struct []
                   9569:        */
1.225     brouard  9570:       
1.187     brouard  9571:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   9572:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   9573:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   9574:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   9575:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   9576:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   9577:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   9578:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   9579:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  9580:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  9581:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  9582:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  9583:       /*
                   9584:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  9585:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   9586:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   9587:       }
1.187     brouard  9588:       cptcovage=0;
                   9589:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  9590:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  9591:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  9592:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   9593:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   9594:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9595:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   9596:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   9597:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   9598:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   9599:            cptcovprod--;
                   9600:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   9601:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   9602:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9603:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   9604:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   9605:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   9606:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   9607:            cptcovprod--;
                   9608:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   9609:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   9610:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9611:            cptcovage++;
                   9612:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   9613:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   9614:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   9615:            cptcovn++;
                   9616:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   9617:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   9618:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   9619:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   9620:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   9621:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   9622:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   9623:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   9624:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   9625:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   9626:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   9627:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   9628:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   9629:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   9630:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   9631:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  9632:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  9633:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   9634:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   9635:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   9636:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   9637:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   9638:            }
                   9639:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   9640:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   9641:        else { /* no more sum */
                   9642:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   9643:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9644:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   9645:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   9646:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   9647:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   9648:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   9649:        }
                   9650:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  9651:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  9652:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  9653:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   9654:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   9655:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  9656:   
                   9657:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   9658:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  9659:   
1.136     brouard  9660:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  9661:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9662:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9663:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   9664: 
                   9665: 
1.230     brouard  9666: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   9667:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  9668: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   9669:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   9670:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   9671:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   9672:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  9673:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   9674:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   9675:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  9676: */  
                   9677: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  9678:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  9679:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  9680:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  9681:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   9682: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9683: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9684: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   9685:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   9686: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9687: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9688: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  9689:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  9690:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   9691:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  9692:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9693:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9694:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  9695:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9696:       nsd++;
                   9697:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9698:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9699:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9700:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9701:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9702:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9703:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9704:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   9705:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9706:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9707:       ncoveff++;
                   9708:       ncovf++;
                   9709:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9710:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9711:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  9712:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  9713:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  9714:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  9715:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9716:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  9717:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  9718:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9719:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   9720:       nsq++;
                   9721:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9722:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  9723:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9724:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9725:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  9726:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  9727:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  9728:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  9729:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9730:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9731:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  9732:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9733:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   9734:       nsd++;
                   9735:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9736:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9737:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9738:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9739:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9740:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   9741:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  9742:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   9743:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  9744:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  9745:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9746:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9747:       nqtveff++;
                   9748:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9749:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   9750:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9751:       nsq++;
                   9752:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9753:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   9754:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9755:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9756:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9757:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  9758:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9759:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   9760:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  9761:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  9762:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  9763:       ncova++;
                   9764:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   9765:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  9766:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  9767:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9768:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9769:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9770:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   9771:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  9772:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  9773:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9774:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9775:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9776:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   9777:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9778:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  9779:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9780:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9781:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9782:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   9783:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9784:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9785:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9786:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9787:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9788:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   9789:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9790:       }
                   9791:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   9792:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   9793:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  9794:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9795:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9796:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9797:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9798:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9799:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9800:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9801:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9802:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9803:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9804:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9805:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9806:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9807:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9808:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9809:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9810:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9811:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9812:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9813:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9814:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   9815:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9816:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9817:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9818:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9819:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9820:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9821:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9822:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   9823:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9824:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9825:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9826:        }
1.227     brouard  9827:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  9828:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9829:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9830:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9831:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9832:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9833:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9834:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9835:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9836:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9837:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9838:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9839:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9840:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   9841:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9842:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9843:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9844:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9845:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9846:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9847:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9848:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   9849:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9850:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9851:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9852:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9853:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9854:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9855:        }
1.227     brouard  9856:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  9857:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9858:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9859:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9860:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9861:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9862:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9863:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9864:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9865:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9866:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9867:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9868:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9869:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9870:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9871:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9872:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9873:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9874:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9875:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9876:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9877:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   9878:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9879:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9880:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9881:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9882:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9883:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9884:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9885:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   9886:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9887:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9888:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9889:        }
1.227     brouard  9890:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9891:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9892:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9893:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9894:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9895:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9896:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9897:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9898:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9899:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9900:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9901:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9902:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9903:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   9904:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9905:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9906:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9907:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9908:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9909:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9910:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9911:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   9912:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9913:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9914:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9915:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9916:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9917:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9918:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9919:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   9920:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9921:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9922:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9923:        }
1.227     brouard  9924:       }else{
1.240     brouard  9925:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9926:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9927:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  9928:     }else{
1.226     brouard  9929:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   9930:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  9931:     }
1.227     brouard  9932:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  9933:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  9934:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   9935:   }
                   9936:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   9937:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   9938:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   9939:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  9940:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   9941:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   9942:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9943:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9944:            return(1);
                   9945:          }
                   9946:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   9947:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   9948:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   9949:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   9950:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9951:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9952:            return(1);
                   9953:          }
                   9954:        }
1.227     brouard  9955:       }
                   9956:     }
1.225     brouard  9957:   }
                   9958:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   9959:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  9960:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   9961:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  9962:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  9963:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  9964:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   9965:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  9966: }
                   9967: 
1.169     brouard  9968: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  9969: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  9970:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  9971:   int firstone=0;
                   9972:   
1.136     brouard  9973:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   9974:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   9975:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   9976:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  9977:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   9978:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  9979:       }
                   9980:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  9981:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  9982:        if(firstone == 0){
                   9983:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  9984:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  9985:        }
1.262     brouard  9986:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  9987:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  9988:       }
                   9989:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  9990:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  9991:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  9992:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  9993:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  9994:       }
                   9995:     }
                   9996:   }
                   9997: 
                   9998:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9999:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   10000:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  10001:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  10002:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  10003:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   10004:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  10005:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  10006:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  10007:            }else {
1.136     brouard  10008:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   10009:                nbwarn++;
                   10010:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10011:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10012:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   10013:              }
                   10014:            }
1.169     brouard  10015:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  10016:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  10017:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   10018:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   10019:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   10020:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   10021:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   10022:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   10023:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   10024:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   10025:          }
                   10026:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   10027:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  10028:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  10029:          }
                   10030:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   10031:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  10032:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  10033:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  10034:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  10035:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   10036:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   10037:        }
                   10038:       }
1.214     brouard  10039:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  10040:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  10041:       else{
                   10042:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10043:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10044:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   10045:       }
                   10046:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   10047:   }
1.136     brouard  10048:     
                   10049:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10050:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10051:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10052:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10053:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10054:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10055:        return 1;
                   10056:       }
                   10057:     }
                   10058:   }
                   10059: 
                   10060:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10061:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10062:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10063: }
                   10064: 
                   10065: }*/
                   10066: 
                   10067: 
1.139     brouard  10068:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10069:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10070: 
                   10071:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10072:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10073:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10074:     return (1);
                   10075: }
                   10076: 
1.172     brouard  10077: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10078: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10079: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10080: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10081: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10082: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10083: //#include <windows.h>
                   10084: //#include <iostream>
                   10085: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10086: 
                   10087: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10088: 
                   10089: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10090: {
                   10091:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10092: 
                   10093:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10094:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10095: 
                   10096:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10097: 
                   10098:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10099:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10100:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10101:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10102: 
                   10103:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10104:        {
                   10105:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10106:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10107:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10108:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10109:        }
                   10110:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10111: }
                   10112: #endif
1.177     brouard  10113: 
1.191     brouard  10114: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  10115:  {
                   10116:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10117:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10118:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10119:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10120:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10121:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10122:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10123:    */ 
                   10124:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10125:    /*
                   10126:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10127:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10128:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10129:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10130:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10131:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10132:    /*
                   10133:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10134:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10135:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10136:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10137:    */
1.186     brouard  10138:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10139:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10140:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10141:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10142:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10143:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10144:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10145:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10146:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10147:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10148:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10149:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10150:    */
1.177     brouard  10151: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10152: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10153:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10154: #endif
1.177     brouard  10155: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10156: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10157: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10158: #endif
1.177     brouard  10159:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10160:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10161:    if (cross){
                   10162:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10163:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10164:    }
1.174     brouard  10165: #endif
                   10166: 
1.171     brouard  10167: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  10168: 
1.191     brouard  10169:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10170: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10171:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10172: #endif
                   10173: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10174:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10175: #endif
                   10176: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10177:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10178: #endif
                   10179: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10180:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10181: #endif
                   10182: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10183:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10184: #endif
                   10185: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10186:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10187: #endif
                   10188: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10189:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10190: #endif
                   10191: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10192:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10193: #endif
1.191     brouard  10194:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10195:    
1.167     brouard  10196: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10197: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10198:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10199:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10200: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10201:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10202:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10203: #elif __linux__
                   10204:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10205:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10206: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10207:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10208:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10209: #endif
                   10210: 
                   10211: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10212: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10213: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10214: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10215: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10216: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10217: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10218: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10219: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10220: 
1.167     brouard  10221: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10222:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10223: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10224:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10225: #else
1.191     brouard  10226:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10227: #endif
                   10228: 
1.169     brouard  10229: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10230: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10231: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10232:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10233:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10234: # else
                   10235: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10236:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10237: # endif
1.174     brouard  10238:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10239:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10240: 
                   10241:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10242:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10243:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10244:    }
                   10245:    else
                   10246:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10247:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10248: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10249:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10250:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10251: #endif
1.169     brouard  10252: #endif
1.172     brouard  10253: 
                   10254:    //   void main()
                   10255:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10256: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10257:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10258:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10259:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10260:    }
                   10261:    else{
1.191     brouard  10262:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10263:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10264:    }
1.172     brouard  10265:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10266:    //     getchar();
                   10267:    //   }
                   10268: 
1.169     brouard  10269: #endif
                   10270:    
1.167     brouard  10271: 
1.219     brouard  10272: }
1.136     brouard  10273: 
1.219     brouard  10274: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  10275:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10276:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10277:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10278:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10279:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10280: 
1.202     brouard  10281:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10282:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10283:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10284:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10285:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10286:   }
1.227     brouard  10287:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10288:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10289:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  10290:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10291:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10292:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10293:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10294:   
1.219     brouard  10295:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10296: 
1.219     brouard  10297:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10298:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10299: 
1.227     brouard  10300:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10301:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10302:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10303: 
1.238     brouard  10304:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10305:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10306:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10307:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10308: 
1.238     brouard  10309:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10310:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10311:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10312:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10313:       /* to clean */
                   10314:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10315:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10316:       printf("#******");
                   10317:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10318:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10319:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10320:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10321:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10322:       }
                   10323:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10324:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10325:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10326:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10327:       }
                   10328:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10329:       printf("******\n");
                   10330:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10331:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10332:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10333:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10334:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10335:        continue;
                   10336:       }
1.219     brouard  10337: 
1.238     brouard  10338:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10339:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10340:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10341:       }
                   10342:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10343:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10344:     
1.238     brouard  10345:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10346:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10347:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10348:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10349:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10350:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10351:        tot=0.;
                   10352:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10353:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10354:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10355:        }
                   10356:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10357:       } /* Age */
                   10358:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10359:     } /* cptcov */
                   10360:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10361:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10362: }
                   10363: 
1.218     brouard  10364: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   10365:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   10366:        
                   10367:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10368:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10369:         */
1.235     brouard  10370:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10371:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10372:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10373:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10374:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10375:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10376: 
                   10377:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10378:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10379:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10380:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10381:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10382:   }
                   10383:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10384:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10385:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   10386:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   10387:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10388:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10389:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   10390:   
1.218     brouard  10391:   
                   10392:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   10393:   
                   10394:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10395:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   10396:   
                   10397:   
1.227     brouard  10398:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10399:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  10400:   
1.238     brouard  10401:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10402:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10403:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10404:        continue;
                   10405:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10406:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   10407:       printf("#******");
                   10408:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10409:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10410:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10411:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10412:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10413:       }
                   10414:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10415:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10416:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10417:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10418:       }
                   10419:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   10420:       printf("******\n");
                   10421:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10422:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10423:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10424:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10425:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10426:        continue;
                   10427:       }
1.218     brouard  10428:     
1.238     brouard  10429:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10430:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10431:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10432:       }
                   10433:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10434:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  10435:     
                   10436:     
1.238     brouard  10437:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10438:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10439:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   10440:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   10441:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10442:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10443:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   10444:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10445:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10446:          exit(1);
                   10447:        }else{
                   10448:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10449:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  10450:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   10451:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  10452:        }
                   10453:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   10454:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10455:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10456:        tot=0.;
                   10457:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10458:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   10459:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   10460:        }
                   10461:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10462:       } /* Age */
                   10463:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  10464:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  10465:     } /* end of any combination */
                   10466:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  10467:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   10468:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   10469:   
                   10470:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  10471: }
1.218     brouard  10472:  
1.180     brouard  10473: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   10474:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10475: 
                   10476:   int stepsize;
                   10477:   int agelim;
                   10478:   int hstepm;
                   10479:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  10480:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  10481: 
                   10482:   double agedeb;
                   10483:   double ***p3mat;
                   10484: 
1.201     brouard  10485:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  10486:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10487:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10488:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10489:     }
                   10490:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10491:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10492:   
                   10493:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10494:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   10495: 
                   10496:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   10497:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10498:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  10499:                
1.180     brouard  10500:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10501:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   10502:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  10503:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10504:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10505:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10506:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  10507:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   10508:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  10509:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  10510:        continue;
1.183     brouard  10511:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  10512:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  10513:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  10514:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10515:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10516:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10517:       }
1.183     brouard  10518:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   10519:       
                   10520:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   10521:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   10522:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   10523:        
                   10524:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  10525:        
1.183     brouard  10526:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10527:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  10528:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  10529:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   10530:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10531:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10532:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   10533:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10534:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10535:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10536:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  10537:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10538:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  10539:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  10540:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10541:        }
1.183     brouard  10542:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10543:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10544:       }
1.180     brouard  10545:       /*}*/
                   10546:     }
1.218     brouard  10547:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  10548: }
1.218     brouard  10549:  
                   10550:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  10551:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10552: 
                   10553:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  10554:   /* int agelim; */
                   10555:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  10556:   int hstepm;
                   10557:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  10558:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  10559:        
1.217     brouard  10560:   double agedeb;
                   10561:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10562:        
                   10563:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   10564:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10565:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10566:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10567:   }
                   10568:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10569:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10570:   
                   10571:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10572:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  10573:   
1.218     brouard  10574:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   10575:   ageminl=30;
                   10576:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10577:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   10578:   
                   10579:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10580:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  10581:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  10582:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10583:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10584:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10585:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  10586:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10587:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10588:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10589:        continue;
                   10590:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   10591:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10592:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10593:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10594:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10595:       }
                   10596:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  10597:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  10598:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10599:        continue;
                   10600:       }
                   10601:       
                   10602:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   10603:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   10604:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   10605:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   10606:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   10607:        
                   10608:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   10609:        
1.266     brouard  10610:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   10611:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   10612: 
1.238     brouard  10613:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   10614:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.267     brouard  10615:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10616:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  10617:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  10618:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10619:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  10620:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  10621:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  10622:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10623:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10624:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   10625:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   10626:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10627:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10628:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   10629:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10630:        }
                   10631:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10632:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10633:       } /* end age deb */
                   10634:     } /* end combination */
                   10635:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  10636:   return 0;
                   10637:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  10638: 
1.180     brouard  10639: 
1.136     brouard  10640: /***********************************************/
                   10641: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   10642: /***********************************************/
                   10643: 
                   10644: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   10645: {
                   10646: #ifdef GSL
                   10647:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   10648:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   10649:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   10650:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   10651:   double ssval;
                   10652: #endif
                   10653:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  10654:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  10655:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  10656:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  10657:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  10658:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  10659:   int itimes;
                   10660:   int NDIM=2;
                   10661:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  10662:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  10663:   int endishere=0;
1.277     brouard  10664:   int noffset=0;
1.274     brouard  10665:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   10666:   
1.164     brouard  10667:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  10668:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   10669:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   10670:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  10671:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  10672: 
                   10673:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  10674:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  10675: 
1.165     brouard  10676:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  10677:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  10678:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10679:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  10680: 
                   10681:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  10682:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   10683: 
1.234     brouard  10684:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  10685:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   10686:   
1.136     brouard  10687:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  10688:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  10689:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  10690:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  10691:   int jl=0;
                   10692:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  10693:   int count=0;
                   10694: 
1.164     brouard  10695:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  10696:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  10697:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  10698:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  10699:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  10700:   int agemortsup;
                   10701:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   10702:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   10703:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   10704: 
1.191     brouard  10705:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  10706:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   10707:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  10708:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  10709:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
1.251     brouard  10710:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   10711:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  10712:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  10713:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  10714:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   10715:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   10716:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   10717:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  10718: 
1.136     brouard  10719:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  10720: 
1.273     brouard  10721:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
                   10722:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
                   10723:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
1.217     brouard  10724: 
1.136     brouard  10725:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  10726:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  10727:   int *dcwave;
                   10728: 
1.164     brouard  10729:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  10730: 
                   10731:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   10732:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  10733: 
1.164     brouard  10734: 
1.126     brouard  10735: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   10736: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   10737: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   10738: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   10739: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   10740: 
                   10741:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  10742:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   10743:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   10744:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  10745:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  10746:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   10747:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   10748:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  10749: 
                   10750: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  10751: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   10752: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  10753: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   10754: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   10755: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  10756: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  10757: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   10758: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   10759: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   10760: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   10761: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   10762: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   10763: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   10764: */
                   10765: 
                   10766:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   10767:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  10768: #ifdef WIN32
                   10769:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   10770: #else
1.126     brouard  10771:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  10772: #endif
1.191     brouard  10773:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  10774:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10775:   if(argc <=1){
                   10776:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  10777:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   10778:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10779:       goto end;
                   10780:     }
1.126     brouard  10781:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10782:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   10783:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  10784:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  10785:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  10786:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  10787:     }
                   10788:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10789:     if( i==0 ){
                   10790:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10791:       goto end;
                   10792:     }
                   10793:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  10794:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   10795:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   10796:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   10797:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   10798:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   10799:     }
                   10800:   }
1.281     brouard  10801:   else if (argc<=2){
                   10802:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   10803:   }
1.126     brouard  10804:   else{
                   10805:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
1.281     brouard  10806:     strcpy(z,argv[2]);
                   10807:     printf("\nargv[2]=%s z=%c\n",argv[2],z[0]);
1.126     brouard  10808:   }
                   10809:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   10810:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   10811:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   10812:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   10813: 
                   10814:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   10815:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   10816:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10817:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10818:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   10819:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   10820:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10821:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10822: #ifdef WIN32
                   10823:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   10824:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10825: #else
1.126     brouard  10826:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  10827:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10828: #endif
                   10829:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  10830:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   10831:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   10832:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  10833:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  10834:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   10835:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   10836: /*     exit(1); */
                   10837:   }
                   10838: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   10839: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   10840: /*   } */
                   10841: 
                   10842:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   10843: 
1.186     brouard  10844:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  10845:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   10846:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   10847:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10848:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   10849:     goto end;
                   10850:   }
                   10851:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  10852:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10853:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   10854:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   10855:  path=%s \n\
                   10856:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   10857:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  10858:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  10859: 
1.197     brouard  10860:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  10861: 
1.126     brouard  10862:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   10863:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   10864:   fflush(ficlog);
                   10865: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  10866: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  10867: 
                   10868:   /* */
                   10869:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   10870:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  10871:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  10872:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  10873:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  10874: 
1.186     brouard  10875:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  10876: 
                   10877:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  10878:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   10879:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  10880:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  10881:     /* goto end; */
                   10882:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  10883:   }
                   10884: 
                   10885:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  10886:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10887:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   10888:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10889:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10890:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10891:     goto end;
                   10892:   }
1.278     brouard  10893:       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   10894:   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   10895:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
                   10896:   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   10897:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   10898:   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10899:     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10900:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10901:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10902:     goto end;
                   10903:   }
                   10904:   fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
1.126     brouard  10905: 
1.278     brouard  10906:                                      
1.126     brouard  10907:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10908:   numlinepar=0;
1.277     brouard  10909:   /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   10910:   /* First parameter line */
1.197     brouard  10911:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.277     brouard  10912:     noffset=0;
                   10913:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   10914:     {
                   10915:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   10916:       printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
                   10917:     }
                   10918:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
                   10919:     {
                   10920:       noffset=noffset+2;
                   10921:       printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10922:     }
                   10923:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   10924:     {
                   10925:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   10926:        noffset=noffset+4;
                   10927:        printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10928:       }
                   10929:     } else{
                   10930:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   10931:     }
                   10932:   
1.197     brouard  10933:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.277     brouard  10934:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
1.197     brouard  10935:       numlinepar++;
                   10936:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10937:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10938:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10939:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10940:       continue;
                   10941:     }else
                   10942:       break;
                   10943:   }
                   10944:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   10945:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   10946:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   10947:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   10948:     }
1.126     brouard  10949:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  10950:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   10951:   }
                   10952:   /* Second parameter line */
                   10953:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10954:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10955:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10956:       numlinepar++;
                   10957:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10958:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10959:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10960:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10961:       continue;
                   10962:     }else
                   10963:       break;
                   10964:   }
1.223     brouard  10965:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   10966:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   10967:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   10968:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  10969:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  10970:     }
1.223     brouard  10971:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  10972:   }
1.203     brouard  10973:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  10974:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  10975:   /* Third parameter line */
                   10976:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10977:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10978:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10979:       numlinepar++;
                   10980:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10981:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10982:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10983:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10984:       continue;
                   10985:     }else
                   10986:       break;
                   10987:   }
1.201     brouard  10988:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.279     brouard  10989:     if (num_filled != 1){
                   10990:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   10991:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
1.197     brouard  10992:       model[0]='\0';
                   10993:       goto end;
                   10994:     }
                   10995:     else{
                   10996:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   10997:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   10998:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  10999:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  11000:       }
                   11001:     }
1.199     brouard  11002:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  11003:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  11004:   }
                   11005:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   11006:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   11007:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  11008:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   11009:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11010:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  11011:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   11012:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.279     brouard  11013:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
                   11014:  'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
                   11015:  'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");           \
1.187     brouard  11016:     if(mle != -1){
1.279     brouard  11017:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
1.187     brouard  11018:       exit(1);
                   11019:     }
                   11020:   }
1.126     brouard  11021:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11022:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11023:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11024:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  11025:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   11026:       z[0]=line[1];
                   11027:     }
                   11028:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  11029:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   11030:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  11031:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11032:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11033:   }
                   11034:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11035: 
                   11036:    
1.145     brouard  11037:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.268     brouard  11038:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   11039:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   11040:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  11041:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   11042:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   11043:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   11044:   */
                   11045:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  11046:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  11047:   else
1.187     brouard  11048:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  11049:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   11050:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  11051:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   11052:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11053:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11054:     fflush(stdout);
                   11055:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11056:     goto end;
                   11057:   }
1.126     brouard  11058:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11059:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   11060:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   11061:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  11062: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   11063:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   11064:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11065:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11066:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11067:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  11068:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  11069:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11070:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11071:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11072:     fclose (ficparo);
                   11073:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11074:     goto end;
                   11075:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  11076:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  11077:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  11078:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11079:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11080:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11081:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11082:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  11083:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  11084:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  11085:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11086:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11087:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11088:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11089:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11090:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11091:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11092:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11093:     }
                   11094:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11095:     
                   11096:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11097:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11098:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11099:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11100:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11101:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11102:        j++;
                   11103:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11104:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11105:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11106: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11107: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11108:          exit(1);
                   11109:        }
                   11110:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11111:        if(mle==1)
                   11112:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11113:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11114:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11115:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11116:          if(mle==1){
                   11117:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11118:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11119:          }
                   11120:          else
                   11121:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11122:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11123:        }
                   11124:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11125:        numlinepar++;
                   11126:        if(mle==1)
                   11127:          printf("\n");
                   11128:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11129:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11130:       }
                   11131:     }  
                   11132:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11133:     
1.251     brouard  11134:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11135:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11136:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11137:     
                   11138:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11139:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11140:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11141:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11142:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11143:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11144:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11145:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11146:     }
                   11147:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11148: 
                   11149:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11150:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11151:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11152:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11153:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11154:          exit(1);
                   11155:        }
                   11156:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11157:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11158:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11159:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11160:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11161:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11162:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11163:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11164:        }
                   11165:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11166:        numlinepar++;
                   11167:        printf("\n");
                   11168:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11169:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11170:       }
                   11171:     }
                   11172:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11173:     
1.145     brouard  11174:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11175:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11176:                
                   11177:                
1.126     brouard  11178:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11179:                
1.126     brouard  11180:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11181:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11182:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11183:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11184:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11185:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11186:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11187:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11188:     }
                   11189:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11190:                
1.126     brouard  11191:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11192:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11193:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11194:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11195:                
1.194     brouard  11196:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11197:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11198:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11199:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11200:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11201: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11202: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11203:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11204: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11205: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11206:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11207:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11208:        if(mle==1)
                   11209:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11210:       }
                   11211:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11212:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11213:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11214:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11215:        if(mle==1){
                   11216:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11217:        }
                   11218:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11219:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11220:       }
                   11221:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11222:       numlinepar++;
                   11223:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11224:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11225:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11226:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11227:     }
1.194     brouard  11228:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11229:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11230:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11231:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11232:     
                   11233:     if(mle==1)
                   11234:       printf("\n");
                   11235:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11236:     
                   11237:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11238:     
                   11239:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11240:   
1.186     brouard  11241:   /*  Main data
                   11242:    */
1.126     brouard  11243:   n= lastobs;
                   11244:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   11245:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   11246:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   11247:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   11248:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11249:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  11250:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   11251:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11252:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  11253:     num[i]=0;
                   11254:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11255:     annais[i]=0;
                   11256:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11257:     andc[i]=0;
                   11258:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11259:     cod[i]=0;
                   11260:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11261:   }
1.126     brouard  11262:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11263:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  11264:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  11265:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11266:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11267:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11268: 
1.136     brouard  11269:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11270:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11271:     goto end;
                   11272: 
                   11273:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11274:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11275:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11276:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11277:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11278:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11279:   */
                   11280:   
                   11281:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11282:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11283:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11284:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11285:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11286:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11287:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11288:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11289:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11290:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11291:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11292:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11293:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11294:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11295:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11296:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11297:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11298:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11299:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11300: 
1.230     brouard  11301:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11302:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11303:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11304:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11305:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11306:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11307:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11308:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11309:   */
                   11310:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11311:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11312:     ncovcol + k1
                   11313:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11314:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11315:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11316:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11317:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11318:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11319:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11320:   */
1.145     brouard  11321:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11322:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11323:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11324:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11325:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11326:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11327:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11328:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11329:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11330:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   11331:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11332:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  11333:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   11334:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   11335:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   11336:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   11337:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  11338:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   11339:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11340:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   11341:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  11342: /* Main decodemodel */
                   11343: 
1.187     brouard  11344: 
1.223     brouard  11345:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  11346:     goto end;
                   11347: 
1.137     brouard  11348:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   11349:     nbwarn++;
                   11350:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11351:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11352:   }
1.136     brouard  11353:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  11354:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   11355:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  11356:   }
                   11357: 
                   11358:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   11359:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11360: 
                   11361:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   11362:     goto end;
                   11363: 
1.126     brouard  11364: 
1.136     brouard  11365:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   11366:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   11367:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  11368:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11369:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  11370:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   11371:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  11372:   /* */
                   11373:   
1.126     brouard  11374:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  11375:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11376:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11377:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11378:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   11379:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11380:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  11381:    
                   11382:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  11383:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   11384:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   11385:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   11386:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   11387:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   11388:   */
                   11389: 
1.126     brouard  11390:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  11391:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  11392:  
1.215     brouard  11393:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   11394:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   11395: 
1.126     brouard  11396:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   11397:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   11398:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  11399:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  11400:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  11401:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   11402:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  11403:   }
                   11404:   
                   11405:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11406:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   11407:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   11408:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   11409:   
1.211     brouard  11410:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  11411:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  11412:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  11413:   
1.200     brouard  11414:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  11415:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  11416:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  11417:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   11418:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   11419:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   11420:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   11421:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   11422:    */
                   11423: 
1.145     brouard  11424:   h=0;
                   11425:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  11426:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11427:  
1.144     brouard  11428:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  11429:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   11430:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   11431:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  11432:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  11433:           *______________________________  
                   11434:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   11435:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   11436:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   11437:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   11438:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   11439:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   11440:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   11441:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  11442:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   11443:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   11444:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   11445:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   11446:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   11447:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   11448:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   11449:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  11450:           */
1.212     brouard  11451:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  11452:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   11453:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   11454:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   11455:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   11456:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   11457:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   11458:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   11459:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   11460:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   11461:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   11462:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   11463:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   11464:      *              76543210     
                   11465:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  11466:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  11467:      *           &
                   11468:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  11469:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   11470:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  11471:      *
                   11472:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   11473:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11474:      *    >>k'            11
                   11475:      *          &   00000001
                   11476:      *            = 00000001
                   11477:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   11478:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   11479:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   11480:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   11481:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   11482:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   11483:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   11484:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11485:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   11486:      *          &1 000000001
                   11487:      *           = 000000001
                   11488:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   11489:      *                  2211
                   11490:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   11491:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  11492:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  11493:      */
                   11494: 
1.145     brouard  11495: 
                   11496:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11497: 
                   11498: 
1.126     brouard  11499:     
1.186     brouard  11500:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  11501:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   11502:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11503:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11504:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   11505: 
                   11506:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11507:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   11508:   }
                   11509:   else{
1.204     brouard  11510:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  11511:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  11512:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   11513:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  11514:   }
                   11515:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  11516: 
                   11517: 
                   11518:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  11519: 
                   11520:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   11521:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11522:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11523:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   11524:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  11525:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   11526:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11527:   }
                   11528: 
                   11529:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   11530:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   11531:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11532:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   11533:   }
                   11534:   else{
                   11535:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   11536: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11537: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  11538:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   11539:   }
                   11540: 
1.213     brouard  11541:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  11542: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   11543: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  11544: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11545: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11546: \n\
                   11547: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   11548:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   11549:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   11550:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   11551:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11552:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11553:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   11554:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   11555:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   11556:          fileres,fileres,\
                   11557:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   11558:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11559: 
                   11560:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   11561:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11562: #ifdef WIN32
                   11563:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   11564: #else
1.126     brouard  11565:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  11566: #endif
                   11567:          
1.126     brouard  11568:   
1.220     brouard  11569:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   11570:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  11571:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  11572:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  11573:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  11574: 
                   11575:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.274     brouard  11576:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
                   11577:          ftol, stepm);
                   11578:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   11579:   ncurrv=1;
                   11580:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11581:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   11582:   ncurrv=i;
                   11583:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11584:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
                   11585:   ncurrv=i;
                   11586:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11587:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
                   11588:   ncurrv=i;
                   11589:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11590:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   11591:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   11592: 
                   11593:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   11594: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   11595: 
                   11596:   
                   11597:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11598: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   11599: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  11600:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  11601:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  11602:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11603:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11604:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11605:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  11606: 
1.126     brouard  11607:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   11608:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   11609:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   11610: 
                   11611:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  11612:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  11613:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  11614:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  11615:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   11616:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   11617:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  11618:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  11619:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   11620:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   11621:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   11622:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  11623:                
1.126     brouard  11624:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   11625:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   11626:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  11627:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   11628:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   11629:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   11630:          break;
                   11631:        }
1.126     brouard  11632:     }
1.226     brouard  11633:     
1.126     brouard  11634:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   11635:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  11636:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   11637:        j=wav[i];
                   11638:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   11639:        
                   11640:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   11641:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   11642:          cens[i]= 1;
                   11643:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   11644:          cens[i]= -1;
                   11645:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   11646:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  11647:       }
                   11648:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   11649:     }
                   11650:     
                   11651:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   11652:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  11653:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  11654:     }
                   11655:     
1.145     brouard  11656:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  11657:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   11658:     
                   11659:     
1.136     brouard  11660: #ifdef GSL
                   11661:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  11662: #else
1.126     brouard  11663:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  11664: #endif
1.201     brouard  11665:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   11666:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11667:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11668:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11669:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11670:     }
1.136     brouard  11671: #ifdef GSL
                   11672:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  11673: #else
1.126     brouard  11674:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  11675: #endif
1.126     brouard  11676:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11677:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11678:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11679:     */
                   11680:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  11681: #ifdef GSL
                   11682:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   11683:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   11684:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   11685:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   11686:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   11687: 
                   11688:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   11689:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11690:     
                   11691:     if (ss == NULL){
                   11692:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11693:     }
                   11694:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   11695:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   11696: 
                   11697:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  11698:     
1.136     brouard  11699:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11700:     
                   11701:     if (x == NULL){
                   11702:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   11703:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11704:     }
                   11705:   
                   11706:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   11707:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  11708:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   11709:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  11710:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   11711:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   11712: 
                   11713:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   11714:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   11715:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   11716:     
                   11717:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   11718:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   11719:     
                   11720:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   11721:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   11722: 
                   11723:     iteri=0;
                   11724:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   11725:       iteri++;
                   11726:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   11727:       
                   11728:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   11729:       fflush(0);
                   11730:       
                   11731:       if (status) 
                   11732:         break;
                   11733:       
                   11734:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   11735:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   11736:       
                   11737:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   11738:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   11739:       
                   11740:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   11741:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   11742:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   11743:       }
                   11744:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   11745:     }
                   11746:     
                   11747:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   11748:     
                   11749:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   11750:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   11751:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   11752:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   11753:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   11754:     }
                   11755:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   11756: #endif
                   11757: #ifdef POWELL
                   11758:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   11759: #endif  
1.126     brouard  11760:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   11761:     
1.203     brouard  11762:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  11763: 
                   11764:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   11765:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  11766:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11767:     
                   11768:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  11769:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  11770:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   11771:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  11772:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   11773:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11774:       }
1.203     brouard  11775:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  11776:     }
                   11777:     
                   11778:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  11779:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  11780:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  11781:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   11782:     }
1.126     brouard  11783:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11784:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11785:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11786:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   11787:     
                   11788:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   11789:       agemortsup=k;
                   11790:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   11791:     }
                   11792:     
                   11793:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   11794:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   11795:     
                   11796:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   11797:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   11798:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   11799:     }
                   11800:     
                   11801:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   11802:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   11803:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   11804:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   11805:     }
                   11806:     
                   11807:     
                   11808:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   11809:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   11810:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   11811:     
                   11812:     
                   11813:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  11814:                ageminpar=50;
                   11815:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  11816:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   11817:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11818: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11819: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11820:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11821: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11822: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11823:     }else{
                   11824:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11825:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  11826:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11827:                }
1.201     brouard  11828:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  11829:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   11830:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   11831:     
                   11832:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   11833:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   11834:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  11835:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  11836:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   11837:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   11838:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  11839: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  11840: #endif
1.186     brouard  11841:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  11842:   /* Standard  */
                   11843:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   11844:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11845:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  11846:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  11847:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11848:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11849:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11850:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  11851:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   11852:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  11853:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11854:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11855:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11856:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  11857:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   11858:     }
                   11859:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   11860:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11861:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   11862:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11863:     }
                   11864:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  11865:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11866:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11867:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11868:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11869:     printf("\n");
                   11870:     
                   11871:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  11872:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11873:     
                   11874:     
                   11875:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11876:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11877:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11878:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11879:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  11880:        if (k != i) {
                   11881:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11882:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11883:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   11884:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11885:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11886:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11887:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11888:            jk++; 
                   11889:          }
                   11890:          printf("\n");
                   11891:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11892:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11893:        }
1.126     brouard  11894:       }
                   11895:     }
1.203     brouard  11896:     if(mle != 0){
                   11897:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  11898:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  11899:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   11900:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11901:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11902:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11903:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   11904:          if (k != i) {
                   11905:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11906:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11907:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11908:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11909:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11910:              jk++; 
                   11911:            }
                   11912:            printf("\n");
                   11913:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11914:          }
                   11915:        }
1.193     brouard  11916:       }
1.203     brouard  11917:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  11918:     
1.203     brouard  11919:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  11920:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11921:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11922:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11923:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11924:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  11925:        if (j!=i) {
                   11926:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11927:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11928:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11929:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11930:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11931:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11932:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11933:            jk++;
                   11934:          }
                   11935:          printf("\n");
                   11936:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11937:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11938:        }
1.126     brouard  11939:       }
                   11940:     }
                   11941:     
                   11942:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  11943:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  11944:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11945:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11946:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   11947:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   11948:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   11949:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   11950:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   11951:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   11952:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   11953:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   11954:     
                   11955:     
                   11956:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   11957:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   11958:     */
                   11959:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   11960:       jj=0;
                   11961:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11962:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   11963:          if(j==i) continue;
                   11964:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11965:            jj++;
                   11966:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   11967:            if(itimes==1){
                   11968:              if(mle>=1)
                   11969:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11970:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11971:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11972:            }else{
                   11973:              if(mle>=1)
                   11974:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11975:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11976:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11977:            }
                   11978:            ll=0;
                   11979:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   11980:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   11981:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   11982:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   11983:                  ll++;
                   11984:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   11985:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   11986:                    if(ll<jj){
                   11987:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11988:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11989:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11990:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11991:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11992:                      }else{
                   11993:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11994:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11995:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11996:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11997:                      }
                   11998:                    }else{
                   11999:                      if(itimes==1){
                   12000:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12001:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12002:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12003:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12004:                      }else{
                   12005:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12006:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12007:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12008:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12009:                      }
                   12010:                    }
                   12011:                  }
                   12012:                } /* end lk */
                   12013:              } /* end lj */
                   12014:            } /* end li */
                   12015:            if(mle>=1)
                   12016:              printf("\n");
                   12017:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12018:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12019:            numlinepar++;
                   12020:          } /* end k*/
                   12021:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  12022:       } /* end i */
                   12023:     } /* end itimes */
                   12024:     
                   12025:     fflush(ficlog);
                   12026:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  12027:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12028:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12029:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12030:        numlinepar++;
                   12031:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12032:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12033:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12034:        continue;
                   12035:       }else
                   12036:        break;
                   12037:     }
                   12038:     
1.209     brouard  12039:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   12040:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   12041:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   12042:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   12043:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   12044:     /* } */
                   12045:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  12046:     
                   12047:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  12048:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  12049:       
                   12050:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   12051:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12052:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12053:        goto end;
                   12054:       }
                   12055:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12056:     }
                   12057:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   12058:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   12059:     
1.209     brouard  12060:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  12061:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   12062:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   12063:       bage = ageminpar;
                   12064:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   12065:     }
                   12066:     
                   12067:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  12068:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12069:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  12070:                
1.186     brouard  12071:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  12072:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12073:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12074:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12075:        numlinepar++;
                   12076:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12077:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12078:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12079:        continue;
                   12080:       }else
                   12081:        break;
                   12082:     }
                   12083: 
                   12084:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12085:       
                   12086:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12087:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12088:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12089:        goto end;
                   12090:       }
                   12091:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12092:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12093:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12094:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12095:     }
1.254     brouard  12096: 
                   12097:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12098:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12099:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12100:        numlinepar++;
                   12101:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12102:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12103:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12104:        continue;
                   12105:       }else
                   12106:        break;
1.126     brouard  12107:     }
                   12108:     
                   12109:     
                   12110:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12111:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12112:     
1.254     brouard  12113:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12114:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12115:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12116:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12117:        goto end;
                   12118:       }
                   12119:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12120:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12121:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12122:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12123:     }
                   12124:      
1.258     brouard  12125:     /* Results */
                   12126:     nresult=0;
                   12127:     do{
                   12128:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12129:        endishere=1;
                   12130:        parameterline=14;
                   12131:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12132:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12133:        numlinepar++;
                   12134:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12135:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12136:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12137:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12138:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12139:        parameterline=11;
                   12140:       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12141:        parameterline=12;
                   12142:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12143:        parameterline=13;
                   12144:       else{
                   12145:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12146:       }
1.258     brouard  12147:       switch (parameterline){ 
                   12148:       case 11:
                   12149:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12150:          if (num_filled != 8) {
                   12151:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12152:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12153:            goto end;
                   12154:          }
                   12155:          fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12156:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12157:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12158:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12159:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12160:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12161:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
                   12162: 
1.258     brouard  12163:        }
1.254     brouard  12164:        break;
1.258     brouard  12165:       case 12:
                   12166:        /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/
                   12167:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12168:          if (num_filled != 8) {
1.262     brouard  12169:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12170:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
1.258     brouard  12171:            goto end;
                   12172:          }
                   12173:          printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12174:          fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12175:          fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12176:          fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12177:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12178:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12179:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.258     brouard  12180:        }
1.230     brouard  12181:        break;
1.258     brouard  12182:       case 13:
                   12183:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
                   12184:          if (num_filled == 0){
                   12185:            resultline[0]='\0';
                   12186:            printf("Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12187:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12188:            break;
                   12189:          } else if (num_filled != 1){
                   12190:            printf("ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12191:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12192:          }
                   12193:          nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12194:          printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   12195:          if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   12196:            printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12197:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12198:            goto end;
                   12199:          }
                   12200:          decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
                   12201:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12202:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12203:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  12204:          break;
1.258     brouard  12205:        case 14: 
1.259     brouard  12206:          if(ncovmodel >2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12207:            printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12208:            goto end;
                   12209:          }
1.259     brouard  12210:          break;
1.258     brouard  12211:        default:
                   12212:          nresult=1;
                   12213:          decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
                   12214:        }
                   12215:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12216:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12217:     
1.230     brouard  12218:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12219:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12220:     
                   12221:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12222:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12223:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12224: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12225: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  12226:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12227: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12228: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12229:     }else{
1.270     brouard  12230:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
                   12231:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
1.220     brouard  12232:     }
                   12233:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.258     brouard  12234:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
1.273     brouard  12235:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
1.220     brouard  12236:                
1.225     brouard  12237:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   12238:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  12239:                
1.215     brouard  12240:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   12241:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12242:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12243:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  12244:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   12245:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   12246:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12247:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12248:     fclose(ficparo);
                   12249:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  12250:                
                   12251:                
1.186     brouard  12252:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  12253:                
                   12254:                
1.126     brouard  12255:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  12256:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   12257:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  12258:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  12259:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   12260: 
                   12261:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  12262:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   12263:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  12264:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  12265:     
1.220     brouard  12266:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  12267:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  12268:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  12269:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  12270:     
1.269     brouard  12271:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   12272:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12273:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  12274:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  12275:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12276:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  12277:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   12278:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  12279:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  12280:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12281:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  12282:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  12283:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12284:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  12285:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   12286:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  12287:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12288:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12289:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   12290:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12291:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12292:        }
1.269     brouard  12293:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  12294:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12295:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12296:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   12297:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12298:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12299:        }
1.269     brouard  12300:       }else{
                   12301:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   12302:        fflush(stdout);
                   12303:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  12304:       }
                   12305:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  12306:     
1.126     brouard  12307:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   12308:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   12309:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.269     brouard  12310:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  12311:     }
1.269     brouard  12312: 
                   12313:     /* Backcasting */
1.217     brouard  12314:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  12315:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12316:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12317:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12318: 
                   12319:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   12320: 
                   12321:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  12322: 
1.219     brouard  12323:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   12324:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   12325: 
1.222     brouard  12326:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   12327:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  12328: 
1.269     brouard  12329:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   12330:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
                   12331:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12332: 
                   12333:       
1.269     brouard  12334:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  12335:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12336:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12337:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.269     brouard  12338:     }    /* end  Backcasting */
1.268     brouard  12339:  
1.186     brouard  12340:  
                   12341:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  12342: 
1.215     brouard  12343:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   12344:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12345:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12346:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  12347:                
                   12348:                
1.127     brouard  12349:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12350:                
1.201     brouard  12351:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   12352:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12353:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12354:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12355:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12356:     }
1.208     brouard  12357:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   12358:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  12359: 
                   12360:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  12361:                
1.235     brouard  12362:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12363:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12364:     
                   12365:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12366:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12367:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12368:        continue;
1.219     brouard  12369:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  12370:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12371:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12372:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12373:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12374:       }
                   12375:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12376:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12377:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  12378:       }
                   12379:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  12380:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  12381:       
                   12382:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12383:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12384:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  12385:       
1.219     brouard  12386:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  12387:     }
                   12388:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  12389:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12390:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  12391: 
1.218     brouard  12392:                
1.227     brouard  12393:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12394:                
1.201     brouard  12395:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   12396:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  12397:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12398:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12399:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12400:     }
1.208     brouard  12401:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   12402:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  12403:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   12404:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12405:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12406:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   12407:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12408:     }
1.227     brouard  12409:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   12410:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  12411: 
1.201     brouard  12412:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   12413:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12414:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12415:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   12416:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12417:     }
1.227     brouard  12418:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   12419:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  12420: 
1.201     brouard  12421:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   12422:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12423:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12424:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12425:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12426:     }
1.227     brouard  12427:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   12428:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  12429: 
1.235     brouard  12430:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12431:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12432:     
                   12433:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12434:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12435:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12436:        continue;
1.242     brouard  12437:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   12438:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   12439:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  12440:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   12441:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12442:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12443:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12444:       }
1.235     brouard  12445:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12446:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12447:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12448:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12449:       }        
1.208     brouard  12450:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  12451:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   12452:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  12453:       
                   12454:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   12455:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12456:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12457:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12458:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  12459:       }
1.235     brouard  12460:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12461:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12462:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12463:       }        
1.208     brouard  12464:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   12465:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   12466:       
                   12467:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  12468:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  12469:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  12470:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12471:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12472:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12473:       }        
1.208     brouard  12474:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   12475:       
                   12476:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12477:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12478:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   12479:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   12480:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  12481:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   12482:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   12483:       
                   12484:       /*
                   12485:        */
                   12486:       /* goto endfree; */
                   12487:       
                   12488:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12489:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   12490:       
1.269     brouard  12491:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12492:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  12493:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   12494:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   12495:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   12496:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  12497:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  12498:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   12499:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   12500:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   12501:        else
                   12502:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12503:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   12504:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   12505:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12506:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   12507:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12508:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12509:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  12510:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  12511:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   12512:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   12513:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12514:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   12515:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   12516:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12517:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   12518:            }
                   12519:          }
1.219     brouard  12520:          
1.227     brouard  12521:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   12522:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   12523:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   12524:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12525:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   12526:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12527:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   12528:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   12529:            }
                   12530:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   12531:          }
                   12532:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  12533:          
1.227     brouard  12534:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   12535:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   12536:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12537:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   12538:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12539:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   12540:          }
                   12541:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12542:        }
1.208     brouard  12543:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  12544:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12545:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   12546:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  12547:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12548:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  12549:       
1.235     brouard  12550:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  12551: 
                   12552:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12553:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   12554: 
1.269     brouard  12555:     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
                   12556:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12557: 
1.227     brouard  12558:     
                   12559:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   12560:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   12561:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   12562:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   12563:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12564:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   12565:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12566:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   12567:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   12568:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   12569:     fclose(ficrest);
                   12570:     fclose(ficpar);
                   12571:     
                   12572:     
1.126     brouard  12573:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  12574:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  12575:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   12576:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  12577:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   12578:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  12579:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  12580:   /* endfree:*/
                   12581:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12582:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12583:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.268     brouard  12584:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
                   12585:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
                   12586:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  12587:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   12588:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12589:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12590:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   12591:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   12592:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  12593:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  12594:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   12595:   
                   12596:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12597:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12598:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12599:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  12600:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12601:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12602:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12603:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  12604:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12605:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12606:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12607:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12608:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12609:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  12610:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12611:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12612:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12613:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12614:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12615:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12616:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12617:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12618:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12619:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12620:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12621:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  12622:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12623:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12624:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12625:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12626:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12627:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   12628:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12629:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  12630:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12631:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12632:   
                   12633:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   12634:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  12635:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12636:   fflush(ficgp);
                   12637:   
1.227     brouard  12638:   
1.126     brouard  12639:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  12640:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   12641:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  12642:   }else{
                   12643:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   12644:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   12645:   }
                   12646:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   12647:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  12648:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   12649:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   12650:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   12651:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   12652:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  12653:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   12654:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  12655:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  12656:   
1.157     brouard  12657:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   12658:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   12659:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  12660:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   12661: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   12662:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12663:   fclose(fichtm);
                   12664:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12665:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   12666:   fclose(ficgp);
                   12667:   fclose(ficlog);
                   12668:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  12669:   
1.281     brouard  12670: 
                   12671: /* Executes gnuplot */
1.227     brouard  12672:   
                   12673:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  12674: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  12675:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12676:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   12677:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12678: #else
1.227     brouard  12679:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12680:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   12681:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12682: #endif 
1.126     brouard  12683:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   12684:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   12685:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  12686: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  12687:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   12688: #endif
                   12689:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12690:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12691:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  12692:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12693:     }else
                   12694:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  12695: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  12696:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   12697:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12698:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12699:     }else
                   12700:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12701: #endif
                   12702:   }else
                   12703:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12704:   
                   12705:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  12706:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  12707:   
1.126     brouard  12708:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  12709:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  12710:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  12711:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  12712:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  12713:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  12714:   }
1.158     brouard  12715:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  12716:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   12717:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  12718:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  12719:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12720: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   12721:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  12722: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  12723:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  12724: #elif __linux
                   12725:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12726: #else
1.152     brouard  12727:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12728: #endif
                   12729:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   12730:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  12731:     }
                   12732:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   12733:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   12734:   }
1.227     brouard  12735: end:
1.126     brouard  12736:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  12737:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12738:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12739:   }
1.282   ! brouard  12740:   exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12741: }

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