Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.326

1.326   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.325 2022/07/25 14:27:23 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.326   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.325  2022/07/25 14:27:23  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: r30
        !             6: 
        !             7:   * imach.c (Module): Error cptcovn instead of nsd in bmij (was
        !             8:   coredumped, revealed by Feiuno, thank you.
        !             9: 
1.325     brouard    10:   Revision 1.324  2022/07/23 17:44:26  brouard
                     11:   *** empty log message ***
                     12: 
1.324     brouard    13:   Revision 1.323  2022/07/22 12:30:08  brouard
                     14:   *  imach.c (Module): Output of Wald test in the htm file and not only in the log.
                     15: 
1.323     brouard    16:   Revision 1.322  2022/07/22 12:27:48  brouard
                     17:   *  imach.c (Module): Output of Wald test in the htm file and not only in the log.
                     18: 
1.322     brouard    19:   Revision 1.321  2022/07/22 12:04:24  brouard
                     20:   Summary: r28
                     21: 
                     22:   *  imach.c (Module): Output of Wald test in the htm file and not only in the log.
                     23: 
1.321     brouard    24:   Revision 1.320  2022/06/02 05:10:11  brouard
                     25:   *** empty log message ***
                     26: 
1.320     brouard    27:   Revision 1.319  2022/06/02 04:45:11  brouard
                     28:   * imach.c (Module): Adding the Wald tests from the log to the main
                     29:   htm for better display of the maximum likelihood estimators.
                     30: 
1.319     brouard    31:   Revision 1.318  2022/05/24 08:10:59  brouard
                     32:   * imach.c (Module): Some attempts to find a bug of wrong estimates
                     33:   of confidencce intervals with product in the equation modelC
                     34: 
1.318     brouard    35:   Revision 1.317  2022/05/15 15:06:23  brouard
                     36:   * imach.c (Module):  Some minor improvements
                     37: 
1.317     brouard    38:   Revision 1.316  2022/05/11 15:11:31  brouard
                     39:   Summary: r27
                     40: 
1.316     brouard    41:   Revision 1.315  2022/05/11 15:06:32  brouard
                     42:   *** empty log message ***
                     43: 
1.315     brouard    44:   Revision 1.314  2022/04/13 17:43:09  brouard
                     45:   * imach.c (Module): Adding link to text data files
                     46: 
1.314     brouard    47:   Revision 1.313  2022/04/11 15:57:42  brouard
                     48:   * imach.c (Module): Error in rewriting the 'r' file with yearsfproj or yearsbproj fixed
                     49: 
1.313     brouard    50:   Revision 1.312  2022/04/05 21:24:39  brouard
                     51:   *** empty log message ***
                     52: 
1.312     brouard    53:   Revision 1.311  2022/04/05 21:03:51  brouard
                     54:   Summary: Fixed quantitative covariates
                     55: 
                     56:          Fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative)
                     57:        with missing values have never been allowed but are ERRORS and
                     58:        program quits. Standard deviations of fixed covariates were
                     59:        wrongly computed. Mean and standard deviations of time varying
                     60:        covariates are still not computed.
                     61: 
1.311     brouard    62:   Revision 1.310  2022/03/17 08:45:53  brouard
                     63:   Summary: 99r25
                     64: 
                     65:   Improving detection of errors: result lines should be compatible with
                     66:   the model.
                     67: 
1.310     brouard    68:   Revision 1.309  2021/05/20 12:39:14  brouard
                     69:   Summary: Version 0.99r24
                     70: 
1.309     brouard    71:   Revision 1.308  2021/03/31 13:11:57  brouard
                     72:   Summary: Version 0.99r23
                     73: 
                     74: 
                     75:   * imach.c (Module): Still bugs in the result loop. Thank to Holly Benett
                     76: 
1.308     brouard    77:   Revision 1.307  2021/03/08 18:11:32  brouard
                     78:   Summary: 0.99r22 fixed bug on result:
                     79: 
1.307     brouard    80:   Revision 1.306  2021/02/20 15:44:02  brouard
                     81:   Summary: Version 0.99r21
                     82: 
                     83:   * imach.c (Module): Fix bug on quitting after result lines!
                     84:   (Module): Version 0.99r21
                     85: 
1.306     brouard    86:   Revision 1.305  2021/02/20 15:28:30  brouard
                     87:   * imach.c (Module): Fix bug on quitting after result lines!
                     88: 
1.305     brouard    89:   Revision 1.304  2021/02/12 11:34:20  brouard
                     90:   * imach.c (Module): The use of a Windows BOM (huge) file is now an error
                     91: 
1.304     brouard    92:   Revision 1.303  2021/02/11 19:50:15  brouard
                     93:   *  (Module): imach.c Someone entered 'results:' instead of 'result:'. Now it is an error which is printed.
                     94: 
1.303     brouard    95:   Revision 1.302  2020/02/22 21:00:05  brouard
                     96:   *  (Module): imach.c Update mle=-3 (for computing Life expectancy
                     97:   and life table from the data without any state)
                     98: 
1.302     brouard    99:   Revision 1.301  2019/06/04 13:51:20  brouard
                    100:   Summary: Error in 'r'parameter file backcast yearsbproj instead of yearsfproj
                    101: 
1.301     brouard   102:   Revision 1.300  2019/05/22 19:09:45  brouard
                    103:   Summary: version 0.99r19 of May 2019
                    104: 
1.300     brouard   105:   Revision 1.299  2019/05/22 18:37:08  brouard
                    106:   Summary: Cleaned 0.99r19
                    107: 
1.299     brouard   108:   Revision 1.298  2019/05/22 18:19:56  brouard
                    109:   *** empty log message ***
                    110: 
1.298     brouard   111:   Revision 1.297  2019/05/22 17:56:10  brouard
                    112:   Summary: Fix bug by moving date2dmy and nhstepm which gaefin=-1
                    113: 
1.297     brouard   114:   Revision 1.296  2019/05/20 13:03:18  brouard
                    115:   Summary: Projection syntax simplified
                    116: 
                    117: 
                    118:   We can now start projections, forward or backward, from the mean date
                    119:   of inteviews up to or down to a number of years of projection:
                    120:   prevforecast=1 yearsfproj=15.3 mobil_average=0
                    121:   or
                    122:   prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/2007 final-proj-date=12/31/2017 mobil_average=0
                    123:   or
                    124:   prevbackcast=1 yearsbproj=12.3 mobil_average=1
                    125:   or
                    126:   prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/10/1999 final-back-date=1/1/1985 mobil_average=1
                    127: 
1.296     brouard   128:   Revision 1.295  2019/05/18 09:52:50  brouard
                    129:   Summary: doxygen tex bug
                    130: 
1.295     brouard   131:   Revision 1.294  2019/05/16 14:54:33  brouard
                    132:   Summary: There was some wrong lines added
                    133: 
1.294     brouard   134:   Revision 1.293  2019/05/09 15:17:34  brouard
                    135:   *** empty log message ***
                    136: 
1.293     brouard   137:   Revision 1.292  2019/05/09 14:17:20  brouard
                    138:   Summary: Some updates
                    139: 
1.292     brouard   140:   Revision 1.291  2019/05/09 13:44:18  brouard
                    141:   Summary: Before ncovmax
                    142: 
1.291     brouard   143:   Revision 1.290  2019/05/09 13:39:37  brouard
                    144:   Summary: 0.99r18 unlimited number of individuals
                    145: 
                    146:   The number n which was limited to 20,000 cases is now unlimited, from firstobs to lastobs. If the number is too for the virtual memory, probably an error will occur.
                    147: 
1.290     brouard   148:   Revision 1.289  2018/12/13 09:16:26  brouard
                    149:   Summary: Bug for young ages (<-30) will be in r17
                    150: 
1.289     brouard   151:   Revision 1.288  2018/05/02 20:58:27  brouard
                    152:   Summary: Some bugs fixed
                    153: 
1.288     brouard   154:   Revision 1.287  2018/05/01 17:57:25  brouard
                    155:   Summary: Bug fixed by providing frequencies only for non missing covariates
                    156: 
1.287     brouard   157:   Revision 1.286  2018/04/27 14:27:04  brouard
                    158:   Summary: some minor bugs
                    159: 
1.286     brouard   160:   Revision 1.285  2018/04/21 21:02:16  brouard
                    161:   Summary: Some bugs fixed, valgrind tested
                    162: 
1.285     brouard   163:   Revision 1.284  2018/04/20 05:22:13  brouard
                    164:   Summary: Computing mean and stdeviation of fixed quantitative variables
                    165: 
1.284     brouard   166:   Revision 1.283  2018/04/19 14:49:16  brouard
                    167:   Summary: Some minor bugs fixed
                    168: 
1.283     brouard   169:   Revision 1.282  2018/02/27 22:50:02  brouard
                    170:   *** empty log message ***
                    171: 
1.282     brouard   172:   Revision 1.281  2018/02/27 19:25:23  brouard
                    173:   Summary: Adding second argument for quitting
                    174: 
1.281     brouard   175:   Revision 1.280  2018/02/21 07:58:13  brouard
                    176:   Summary: 0.99r15
                    177: 
                    178:   New Makefile with recent VirtualBox 5.26. Bug in sqrt negatve in imach.c
                    179: 
1.280     brouard   180:   Revision 1.279  2017/07/20 13:35:01  brouard
                    181:   Summary: temporary working
                    182: 
1.279     brouard   183:   Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
                    184:   Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
                    185: 
1.278     brouard   186:   Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
                    187:   Summary: BOM files can be read now
                    188: 
1.277     brouard   189:   Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
                    190:   Summary: Graphs improvements
                    191: 
1.276     brouard   192:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
                    193:   Summary: Saito's color
                    194: 
1.275     brouard   195:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                    196:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                    197: 
1.274     brouard   198:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                    199:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                    200: 
1.273     brouard   201:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                    202:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                    203: 
1.272     brouard   204:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                    205:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                    206: 
1.271     brouard   207:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                    208:   *** empty log message ***
                    209: 
1.270     brouard   210:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                    211:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                    212: 
1.269     brouard   213:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                    214:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                    215: 
1.268     brouard   216:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                    217:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                    218: 
1.267     brouard   219:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                    220:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                    221: 
1.266     brouard   222:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                    223:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                    224: 
1.265     brouard   225:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                    226:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                    227: 
1.264     brouard   228:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                    229:   Summary: to save
                    230: 
1.263     brouard   231:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                    232:   *** empty log message ***
                    233: 
1.262     brouard   234:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                    235:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                    236: 
1.261     brouard   237:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                    238:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                    239: 
1.260     brouard   240:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                    241:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                    242: 
1.259     brouard   243:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                    244:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                    245: 
                    246:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                    247: 
1.258     brouard   248:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                    249:   Summary: Temp
                    250: 
1.257     brouard   251:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                    252:   Summary: Temporary
                    253: 
1.256     brouard   254:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                    255:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                    256: 
1.255     brouard   257:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                    258:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                    259: 
1.254     brouard   260:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                    261:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                    262: 
1.253     brouard   263:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                    264:   *** empty log message ***
                    265: 
1.252     brouard   266:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                    267:   Summary: not working
                    268: 
1.251     brouard   269:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                    270:   Summary: continue
                    271: 
1.250     brouard   272:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                    273:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                    274: 
1.249     brouard   275:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                    276:   *** empty log message ***
                    277: 
1.248     brouard   278:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                    279:   *** empty log message ***
                    280: 
1.247     brouard   281:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                    282:   *** empty log message ***
                    283: 
1.246     brouard   284:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                    285:   *** empty log message ***
                    286: 
1.245     brouard   287:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    288:   *** empty log message ***
                    289: 
1.244     brouard   290:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    291:   *** empty log message ***
                    292: 
1.243     brouard   293:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    294:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    295: 
1.242     brouard   296:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    297:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    298: 
1.241     brouard   299:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    300:   Summary: Better
                    301: 
1.240     brouard   302:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    303:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    304: 
                    305:   Author:
                    306: 
1.239     brouard   307:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    308:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    309: 
1.238     brouard   310:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    311:   Summary: to valgrind
                    312: 
1.237     brouard   313:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    314:   *** empty log message ***
                    315: 
1.236     brouard   316:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    317:   *** empty log message ***
                    318: 
1.235     brouard   319:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    320:   *** empty log message ***
                    321: 
1.234     brouard   322:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    323:   Summary: not working
                    324: 
1.233     brouard   325:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    326:   Summary: not working
                    327: 
1.232     brouard   328:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    329:   Summary: not working
                    330: 
1.231     brouard   331:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    332:   Summary: Not working
                    333: 
1.230     brouard   334:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    335:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    336: 
1.229     brouard   337:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    338:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    339: 
1.227     brouard   340:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    341:   Summary: temp
                    342: 
1.226     brouard   343:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    344:   Summary: saving but not running
                    345: 
1.225     brouard   346:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    347:   Summary: Fixes
                    348: 
1.224     brouard   349:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    350:   Summary: temporary
                    351: 
1.223     brouard   352:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    353:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    354: 
1.222     brouard   355:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    356:   Summary: minor bug
                    357: 
1.220     brouard   358:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    359:   *** empty log message ***
                    360: 
1.219     brouard   361:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    362:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    363: 
1.218     brouard   364:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    365:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    366: 
1.217     brouard   367:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    368:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    369: 
                    370:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    371:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    372:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    373:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    374: 
1.216     brouard   375:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    376:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    377: 
1.215     brouard   378:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    379:   Summary: temporary not working
                    380: 
1.214     brouard   381:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    382:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    383: 
1.213     brouard   384:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    385:   Summary: minor typo
                    386: 
1.212     brouard   387:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    388:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    389: 
                    390:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    391: 
1.211     brouard   392:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   393:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   394:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    395:   Author: N Brouard
                    396: 
                    397:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    398:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    399:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    400:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    401:   computation are long.
                    402: 
1.209     brouard   403:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    404:   Summary: temporary
                    405: 
1.208     brouard   406:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    407:   *** empty log message ***
                    408: 
1.207     brouard   409:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    410:   *** empty log message ***
                    411: 
1.206     brouard   412:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    413:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    414: 
1.205     brouard   415:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    416:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    417: 
1.204     brouard   418:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    419:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    420: 
                    421:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    422:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    423:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    424: 
1.203     brouard   425:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    426:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    427: 
1.202     brouard   428:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    429:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    430: 
                    431:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    432:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    433: 
1.201     brouard   434:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    435:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    436: 
                    437:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    438: 
1.200     brouard   439:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    440:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    441: 
1.199     brouard   442:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    443:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    444: 
1.198     brouard   445:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    446:   *** empty log message ***
                    447: 
1.197     brouard   448:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    449:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    450: 
1.196     brouard   451:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    452:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    453: 
                    454:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    455:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    456:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    457:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    458: 
1.195     brouard   459:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    460:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    461: 
1.194     brouard   462:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    463:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    464: 
1.193     brouard   465:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    466:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    467: 
1.192     brouard   468:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    469:   Summary: Some fixes
                    470: 
1.191     brouard   471:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    472:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    473: 
                    474:   Fix 1+age+.
                    475: 
1.190     brouard   476:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    477:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    478: 
1.189     brouard   479:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    480:   *** empty log message ***
                    481: 
1.188     brouard   482:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    483:   *** empty log message ***
                    484: 
1.187     brouard   485:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    486:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    487: 
                    488:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    489:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    490:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    491: 
1.186     brouard   492:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    493:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    494: 
1.185     brouard   495:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    496:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    497: 
1.184     brouard   498:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    499:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    500: 
                    501:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    502:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    503:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    504:   wrong results.
                    505: 
1.183     brouard   506:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    507:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    508:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    509: 
1.182     brouard   510:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    511:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    512: 
                    513:   Author:
                    514: 
1.181     brouard   515:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    516:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    517: 
1.180     brouard   518:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    519:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    520: 
1.179     brouard   521:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    522:   *** empty log message ***
                    523: 
1.178     brouard   524:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    525:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    526: 
1.177     brouard   527:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    528:   *** empty log message ***
                    529: 
1.176     brouard   530:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    531:   *** empty log message ***
                    532: 
1.175     brouard   533:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    534:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    535: 
1.174     brouard   536:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    537:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    538: 
1.173     brouard   539:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    540:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    541: 
1.172     brouard   542:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    543:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    544: 
                    545:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    546: 
1.171     brouard   547:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    548:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    549: 
                    550:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    551: 
1.170     brouard   552:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    553:   Summary: 0.98p
                    554: 
                    555:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    556: 
1.169     brouard   557:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   558:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   559: 
1.168     brouard   560:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    561:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    562: 
                    563:   Testing on Linux 64
                    564: 
1.167     brouard   565:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    566:   *** empty log message ***
                    567: 
1.166     brouard   568:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    569:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    570: 
                    571:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    572: 
1.165     brouard   573:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    574:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    575: 
                    576:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    577: 
1.164     brouard   578:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    579:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    580: 
1.163     brouard   581:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    582:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    583: 
1.162     brouard   584:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    585:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    586: 
                    587:   Author:
                    588: 
                    589:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    590:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    591: 
1.161     brouard   592:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    593:   *** empty log message ***
                    594: 
1.160     brouard   595:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    596:   Summary: WIN32
                    597:   Author: Brouard
                    598: 
1.159     brouard   599:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    600:   *** empty log message ***
                    601: 
1.158     brouard   602:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    603:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    604:   Author: Brouard
                    605: 
                    606:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    607:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    608:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    609:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    610:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    611: 
1.157     brouard   612:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    613:   *** empty log message ***
                    614: 
1.156     brouard   615:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    616:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    617:   Author: Brouard
                    618: 
1.155     brouard   619:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    620:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    621: 
1.154     brouard   622:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    623:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    624:   Author: Brouard
                    625: 
1.153     brouard   626:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    627:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    628: 
1.152     brouard   629:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    630:   *** empty log message ***
                    631: 
1.151     brouard   632:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    633:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    634:   Author: brouard
                    635: 
1.150     brouard   636:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    637:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    638:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    639: 
1.149     brouard   640:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    641:   Summary: Nothing new
                    642:   Author: Brouard
                    643: 
                    644:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    645: 
1.148     brouard   646:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    647:   *** empty log message ***
                    648: 
1.147     brouard   649:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    650:   Summary: Merge
                    651:   Author: Brouard
                    652: 
                    653:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    654: 
1.146     brouard   655:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    656:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    657:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    658: 
                    659:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    660:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    661:   improve the code.
                    662:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    663:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    664:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    665:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    666:   the source code.
                    667: 
1.144     brouard   668:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    669:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    670: 
                    671:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    672:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    673: 
1.143     brouard   674:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    675:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    676: 
                    677:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    678: 
1.142     brouard   679:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    680:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    681: 
1.141     brouard   682:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    683:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    684: 
1.140     brouard   685:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    686:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    687:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    688: 
1.139     brouard   689:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    690:   *** empty log message ***
                    691: 
1.138     brouard   692:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    693:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    694:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    695: 
1.137     brouard   696:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    697:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    698:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    699:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    700:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    701: 
1.136     brouard   702:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    703:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    704: 
1.135     brouard   705:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    706:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    707: 
1.134     brouard   708:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    709:   just nforces
                    710: 
1.133     brouard   711:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    712:   Many tings
                    713: 
1.132     brouard   714:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    715:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    716: 
1.131     brouard   717:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    718:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    719:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    720:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    721: 
1.130     brouard   722:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    723:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    724: 
1.129     lievre    725:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    726:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    727: 
1.128     brouard   728:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    729:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    730:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    731:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    732:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    733:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    734:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    735:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    736:   computation.
                    737:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    738:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    739: 
1.127     brouard   740:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    741:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    742:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    743:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    744:   Version 0.98h
                    745: 
1.126     brouard   746:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    747:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    748:   Forecasting file added.
                    749: 
                    750:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    751:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    752:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    753: 
                    754:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    755:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    756:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    757: 
                    758:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    759:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    760:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    761:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    762:   1.
                    763:   Version 0.98g
                    764: 
                    765:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    766:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    767:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    768:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    769:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    770:   1.
                    771:   Version 0.98g
                    772: 
                    773:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    774:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    775: 
                    776:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    777:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    778:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    779: 
                    780:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    781:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    782:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    783:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    784: 
                    785:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    786:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    787:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    788: 
                    789:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    790:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    791:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    792:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    793:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    794:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    795: 
                    796:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    797:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    798:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    799:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    800:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    801:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    802: 
                    803:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    804:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    805:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    806: 
                    807:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    808:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    809: 
                    810:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    811:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    812:   filename with strsep.
                    813: 
                    814:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    815:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    816:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    817:   allocation too.
                    818: 
                    819:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    820:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    821: 
                    822:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    823:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    824:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    825:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    826: 
                    827:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    828:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    829: 
                    830:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    831:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    832: 
                    833:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    834:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    835:   To be fixed
                    836: 
                    837:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    838:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    839: 
                    840:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    841:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    842: 
                    843:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    844:   *** empty log message ***
                    845: 
                    846:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    847:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    848:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    849:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    850:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    851:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    852:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    853:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    854: 
                    855:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    856:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    857: 
                    858:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    859:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    860: 
                    861:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    862:   Fix on curr_time
                    863: 
                    864:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    865:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    866: 
                    867:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    868:   *** empty log message ***
                    869: 
                    870:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    871:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    872:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    873:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    874:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    875:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    876:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    877:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    878: 
                    879:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    880: 
1.324     brouard   881:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   882:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    883: 
                    884:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    885:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    886: 
                    887:   Current limitations:
                    888:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    889:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    890:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    891: 
                    892:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    893:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    894:   suppressed.
                    895: 
                    896:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    897:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    898:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    899: 
                    900:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    901:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    902:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    903:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    904: 
                    905:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    906:   Just cleaning
                    907: 
                    908:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    909:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    910:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    911:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    912: 
                    913:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    914:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    915:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    916: 
                    917:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    918:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    919:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    920:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    921:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    922:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    923: 
                    924:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    925:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    926:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    927:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    928: 
                    929:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    930:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    931:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    932:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    933: 
                    934:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    935:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    936: 
                    937:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    938:   Version 0.96
                    939: 
                    940:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    941:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    942:   routine fileappend.
                    943: 
                    944:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    945:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    946:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    947:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    948:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    949:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    950:   interview.
                    951:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    952:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    953:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    954:   truncation)
                    955:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    956: 
                    957:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    958:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    959:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    960:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    961:   parcimony.
                    962:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    963: 
                    964:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    965:   *** empty log message ***
                    966: 
                    967:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    968:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    969: 
                    970: */
                    971: /*
                    972:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    973: 
                    974:   Short summary of the programme:
                    975:   
1.227     brouard   976:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    977:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    978:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    979: 
                    980:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    981:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    982:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    983: 
                    984:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    985:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    986:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    987:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    988:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    989:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    990:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    991:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    992:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    993:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    994:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    995:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    996:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   997:   convergence.
                    998: 
                    999:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                   1000:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                   1001:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                   1002:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                   1003:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                   1004: 
                   1005:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                   1006:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                   1007:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                   1008:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                   1009:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                   1010:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                   1011:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                   1012:   hPijx.
                   1013: 
                   1014:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard  1015:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                   1016: 
                   1017: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard  1018: 
                   1019:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                   1020:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                   1021:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                   1022:    mobilavproj)
                   1023: 
                   1024:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                   1025:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                   1026:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                   1027: 
                   1028:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                   1029:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                   1030: 
                   1031:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard  1032:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                   1033:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   1034:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard  1035: 
1.267     brouard  1036:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard  1037:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                   1038:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   1039:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard  1040:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   1041: 
                   1042:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                   1043:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                   1044:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                   1045:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   1046:      oldm);
1.226     brouard  1047: 
                   1048: Important routines
                   1049: 
                   1050: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                   1051:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                   1052:   o varying variables by:
                   1053:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                   1054:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                   1055:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                   1056:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                   1057: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                   1058:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                   1059: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
1.325     brouard  1060:   o There are 2**cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
1.226     brouard  1061:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard  1062: 
1.226     brouard  1063: 
                   1064:   
1.324     brouard  1065:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                   1066:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard  1067:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                   1068:   from the European Union.
                   1069:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                   1070:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                   1071:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                   1072: 
                   1073:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                   1074:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                   1075:   
                   1076:   **********************************************************************/
                   1077: /*
                   1078:   main
                   1079:   read parameterfile
                   1080:   read datafile
                   1081:   concatwav
                   1082:   freqsummary
                   1083:   if (mle >= 1)
                   1084:     mlikeli
                   1085:   print results files
                   1086:   if mle==1 
                   1087:      computes hessian
                   1088:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                   1089:       begin-prev-date,...
                   1090:   open gnuplot file
                   1091:   open html file
1.145     brouard  1092:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                   1093:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                   1094:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                   1095:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                   1096: 
                   1097:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                   1098:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                   1099:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                   1100:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                   1101: 
                   1102:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                   1103:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                   1104:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                   1105:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                   1106:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                   1107: 
1.126     brouard  1108:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                   1109:   health expectancies
                   1110:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                   1111:   prevalence()
                   1112:    movingaverage()
                   1113:   varevsij() 
                   1114:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                   1115:   total life expectancies
                   1116:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                   1117:  end
                   1118: */
                   1119: 
1.187     brouard  1120: /* #define DEBUG */
                   1121: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard  1122: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                   1123: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                   1124: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard  1125: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard  1126: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard  1127: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard  1128: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                   1129: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.319     brouard  1130: /* #define FLATSUP  *//* Suppresses directions where likelihood is flat */
1.126     brouard  1131: 
                   1132: #include <math.h>
                   1133: #include <stdio.h>
                   1134: #include <stdlib.h>
                   1135: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard  1136: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard  1137: 
                   1138: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1139: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard  1140: #include <windows.h>
                   1141: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard  1142: #else
1.126     brouard  1143: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard  1144: #endif
1.126     brouard  1145: 
                   1146: #include <limits.h>
                   1147: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard  1148: 
                   1149: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   1150: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                   1151: #endif
                   1152: 
1.126     brouard  1153: #include <sys/stat.h>
                   1154: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard  1155: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard  1156: 
1.157     brouard  1157: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                   1158: /* #include <time.h> */
                   1159: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                   1160: /* #else */
                   1161: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                   1162: /* #endif */
                   1163: 
1.126     brouard  1164: #include <time.h>
                   1165: 
1.136     brouard  1166: #ifdef GSL
                   1167: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                   1168: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                   1169: #endif
                   1170: 
1.167     brouard  1171: 
1.162     brouard  1172: #ifdef NLOPT
                   1173: #include <nlopt.h>
                   1174: typedef struct {
                   1175:   double (* function)(double [] );
                   1176: } myfunc_data ;
                   1177: #endif
                   1178: 
1.126     brouard  1179: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                   1180: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                   1181: 
1.251     brouard  1182: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard  1183: 
                   1184: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                   1185: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                   1186: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                   1187: 
                   1188: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1189: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1190: 
1.144     brouard  1191: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1192: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1193: 
                   1194: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1195: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1196: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
1.325     brouard  1197: #define NCOVMAX 30  /**< Maximum number of covariates used in the model, including generated covariates V1*V2 or V1*age */
1.197     brouard  1198: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1199: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1200: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.290     brouard  1201: /*#define MAXN 20000 */ /* Should by replaced by nobs, real number of observations and unlimited */
1.144     brouard  1202: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1203: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
1.288     brouard  1204: /* #define AGESUP 150 */
                   1205: #define AGESUP 200
1.268     brouard  1206: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1207: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1208: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1209: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1210: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1211: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1212: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1213: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1214: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1215: #else
1.126     brouard  1216: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1217: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1218: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1219: #endif
                   1220: 
1.326   ! brouard  1221: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.325 2022/07/25 14:27:23 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1222: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1223: #include "version.h"
                   1224: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.323     brouard  1225: char copyright[]="July 2022,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2020, Nihon University 2021-202, INED 2000-2022";
1.326   ! brouard  1226: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.325 $ $Date: 2022/07/25 14:27:23 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1227: char strstart[80];
                   1228: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1229: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1230: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1231: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1232: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1233: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1234: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1235: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1236: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1237: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1238: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1239: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1240: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1241: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1242: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1243: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1244: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1245: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1246: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1247: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1248: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.290     brouard  1249: int nobs=10;  /* Number of observations in the data lastobs-firstobs */
1.218     brouard  1250: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.302     brouard  1251: int npar=NPARMAX; /* Number of parameters (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; */
1.126     brouard  1252: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1253: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1254: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1255: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1256: int popbased=0;
                   1257: 
                   1258: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1259: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1260: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1261: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1262: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1263:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1264: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1265: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1266: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1267: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1268:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1269: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1270: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1271: 
1.130     brouard  1272: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1273: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1274: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1275: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1276: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1277: 
1.136     brouard  1278: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1279: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1280: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1281: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1282: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1283: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1284: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1285: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1286: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1287: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1288: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1289: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1290: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1291: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1292: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1293: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1294: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1295: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1296: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1297: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1298: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1299: 
1.126     brouard  1300: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1301: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1302: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1303: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1304: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1305: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1306: int  outcmd=0;
                   1307: 
1.217     brouard  1308: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1309: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1310: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1311: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1312: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1313: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1314: 
                   1315: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1316: 
1.157     brouard  1317: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1318: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1319: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1320: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1321: 
                   1322: extern time_t time();
                   1323: 
                   1324: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1325: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1326: struct tm tm;
                   1327: 
1.126     brouard  1328: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1329: 
                   1330: char *endptr;
                   1331: long lval;
                   1332: double dval;
                   1333: 
                   1334: #define NR_END 1
                   1335: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1336: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1337: 
                   1338: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1339: #define ITMAX 200
                   1340: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1341: 
                   1342: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1343: 
                   1344: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1345: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1346: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1347: 
                   1348: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1349: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1350: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1351: 
                   1352: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1353: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1354: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1355:   
                   1356: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1357: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1358: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1359: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1360: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1361: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1362: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1363: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1364: static double sqrarg;
                   1365: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1366: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1367: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1368: 
                   1369: int imx; 
                   1370: int stepm=1;
                   1371: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1372: 
                   1373: int estepm;
                   1374: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1375: 
                   1376: int m,nb;
                   1377: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1378: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1379: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1380:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1381:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1382: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1383:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1384:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1385: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1386: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1387: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1388: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1389: double dateintmean=0;
1.296     brouard  1390:   double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; /* For eventual projections */
                   1391:   double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf;
1.126     brouard  1392: 
1.296     brouard  1393:   double anbackd, mbackd, jbackd; /* For eventual backprojections */
                   1394:   double anbackf, mbackf, jbackf;
                   1395:   double jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;  
1.126     brouard  1396: double *weight;
                   1397: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1398: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1399: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1400:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1401:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1402: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1403: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1404: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1405: double  idx; 
                   1406: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.319     brouard  1407: /* Some documentation */
                   1408:       /*   Design original data
                   1409:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  Weight ddb ddth d1st s1 V9 V10 V11 V12 s2 V9 V10 V11 V12 
                   1410:        *  <          ncovcol=6   >   nqv=2 (V7 V8)                   dv dv  dv  qtv    dv dv  dvv qtv
                   1411:        *                                                             ntv=3     nqtv=1
                   1412:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age) = # of + plus 1 = 10+1=11
                   1413:        * For time varying covariate, quanti or dummies
                   1414:        *       cotqvar[wav][iv(1 to nqtv)][i]= [1][12][i]=(V12) quanti
                   1415:        *       cotvar[wav][ntv+iv][i]= [3+(1 to nqtv)][i]=(V12) quanti
                   1416:        *       cotvar[wav][iv(1 to ntv)][i]= [1][1][i]=(V9) dummies at wav 1
                   1417:        *       cotvar[wav][iv(1 to ntv)][i]= [1][2][i]=(V10) dummies at wav 1
                   1418:        *       covar[k,i], value of kth fixed covariate dummy or quanti :
                   1419:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   1420:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8 + V9 + V9*age + V10
                   1421:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8   9     10       11 
                   1422:        */
                   1423: /* According to the model, more columns can be added to covar by the product of covariates */
1.318     brouard  1424: /* ncovcol=1(Males=0 Females=1) nqv=1(raedyrs) ntv=2(withoutiadl=0 withiadl=1, witoutadl=0 withoutadl=1) nqtv=1(bmi) nlstate=3 ndeath=1
                   1425:   # States 1=Coresidence, 2 Living alone, 3 Institution
                   1426:   # V1=sex, V2=raedyrs Quant Fixed, State=livarnb4..livarnb11, V3=iadl4..iald11, V4=adlw4..adlw11, V5=r4bmi..r11bmi
                   1427: */
1.319     brouard  1428: /*             V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1429: /*    k        1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1430: /*Typevar[k]=  0  0   0   2     1    0    2     1    0 *//*0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative,*/
                   1431:                                                          /* fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for*/
                   1432:                                                          /* product */
                   1433: /*Dummy[k]=    1  0   0   1     3    1    1     2    0 *//*Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1434:                                                          /*(single or product without age), 2 dummy*/
                   1435:                                                          /* with age product, 3 quant with age product*/
                   1436: /*Tvar[k]=     5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1437: /*    nsd         1   2                              3 */ /* Counting single dummies covar fixed or tv */
                   1438: /*TvarsD[nsd]     4   3                              1 */ /* ID of single dummy cova fixed or timevary*/
                   1439: /*TvarsDind[k]    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1440: /*    nsq      1                     2                 */ /* Counting single quantit tv */
                   1441: /* TvarsQ[k]   5                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1442: /* TvarsQind   1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1443: /* Tprod[i]=k             1               2            */ /* Position in model of the ith prod without age */
                   1444: /* cptcovage                    1               2      */ /* Counting cov*age in the model equation */
                   1445: /* Tage[cptcovage]=k            5               8      */ /* Position in the model of ith cov*age */
                   1446: /* Tvard[1][1]@4={4,3,1,2}    V4*V3 V1*V2              */ /* Position in model of the ith prod without age */
                   1447: /* TvarF TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  ID of fixed covariates or product V2, V1*V2, V1 */
1.320     brouard  1448: /* TvarFind;  TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, TvarFind[3]=9 *//* Inverse V2(6) is first fixed (single or prod)  */
1.234     brouard  1449: /* Type                    */
                   1450: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1451: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1452: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1453: /*                         */
                   1454: int *TvarsD;
                   1455: int *TvarsDind;
                   1456: int *TvarsQ;
                   1457: int *TvarsQind;
                   1458: 
1.318     brouard  1459: #define MAXRESULTLINESPONE 10+1
1.235     brouard  1460: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1461: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.318     brouard  1462: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE];
                   1463: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1464: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1465: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1466: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
                   1467: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
                   1468: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINESPONE][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1469: 
                   1470: /* ncovcol=1(Males=0 Females=1) nqv=1(raedyrs) ntv=2(withoutiadl=0 withiadl=1, witoutadl=0 withoutadl=1) nqtv=1(bmi) nlstate=3 ndeath=1
                   1471:   # States 1=Coresidence, 2 Living alone, 3 Institution
                   1472:   # V1=sex, V2=raedyrs Quant Fixed, State=livarnb4..livarnb11, V3=iadl4..iald11, V4=adlw4..adlw11, V5=r4bmi..r11bmi
                   1473: */
1.234     brouard  1474: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1475: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1476: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1477: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1478: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1479: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1480: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1481: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1482: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1483: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1484: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1485: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1486: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1487: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1488: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1489: 
1.230     brouard  1490: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1491: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1492: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1493: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1494: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1495: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1496: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1497: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1498: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1499: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1500: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1501: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1502: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1503: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1504: int **Tvard;
                   1505: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1506: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1507: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1508:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1509:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1510: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1511: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1512: 
1.231     brouard  1513: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1514: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1515: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1516: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1517: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1518: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1519: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1520: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1521: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1522: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1523: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1524: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1525: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1526: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1527: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1528: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1529: 
                   1530: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1531: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1532: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1533: 
                   1534: struct kmodel{
                   1535:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1536:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1537: };
                   1538: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1539: 
1.143     brouard  1540: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1541: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1542: 
                   1543: /**************** split *************************/
                   1544: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1545: {
                   1546:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1547:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1548:   */ 
                   1549:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1550:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1551: 
                   1552:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1553:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1554:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1555:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1556:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1557:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1558:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1559:     /* get current working directory */
                   1560:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1561: #ifdef WIN32
                   1562:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1563: #else
                   1564:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1565: #endif
1.126     brouard  1566:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1567:     }
                   1568:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1569:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1570:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1571:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1572:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1573:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1574:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1575:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1576:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1577:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1578:   }
                   1579:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1580:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1581:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1582:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1583:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1584:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1585:   }
                   1586:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1587:   if (ss >0){
                   1588:     ss++;
                   1589:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1590:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1591:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1592:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1593:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1594:   }
                   1595: 
                   1596:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1597: }
                   1598: 
                   1599: 
                   1600: /******************************************/
                   1601: 
                   1602: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1603: {
                   1604:   int i;
                   1605:   int lg=0;
                   1606:   i=0;
                   1607:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1608:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1609:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1610:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1611:   }
                   1612: }
                   1613: 
1.132     brouard  1614: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1615: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1616:   char *s;
                   1617:   s=out;
                   1618:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1619:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1620:       in++;
                   1621:     }
                   1622:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1623:   }
                   1624:   *out='\0';
                   1625:   return s;
                   1626: }
                   1627: 
1.187     brouard  1628: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1629: /* { */
                   1630: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1631: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1632: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1633: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1634: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1635: /*   } */
                   1636: 
                   1637: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1638: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1639: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1640: /*   } */
                   1641: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1642: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1643: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1644: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1645: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1646: /*   } */
                   1647: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1648: /*   out=s; */
                   1649: /*   return out; */
                   1650: /* } */
                   1651: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1652: {
                   1653:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1654:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1655: 
                   1656:   char *strloc;
                   1657: 
                   1658:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1659:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1660:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1661:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1662:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1663:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1664:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1665:   }
                   1666:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1667:   return out;
                   1668: }
                   1669: 
                   1670: 
1.145     brouard  1671: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1672: {
1.187     brouard  1673:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1674:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.310     brouard  1675:      gives alocc="abcdef" and blocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1676:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1677:   */
1.160     brouard  1678:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1679:   t=in;s=in;
                   1680:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1681:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1682:   }
                   1683:   if( *in == occ){
                   1684:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1685:     s=++in;
                   1686:   }
                   1687:  
                   1688:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1689:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1690:     in=s;
                   1691:   }
                   1692:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1693:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1694:   }
                   1695: 
                   1696:   *blocc='\0';
                   1697:   return t;
                   1698: }
1.137     brouard  1699: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1700: {
1.187     brouard  1701:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1702:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1703:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1704:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1705:   */
                   1706:   char *s, *t;
                   1707:   t=in;s=in;
                   1708:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1709:     while( *in == occ){
                   1710:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1711:       s=in;
                   1712:     }
                   1713:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1714:   }
                   1715:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1716:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1717:   else
                   1718:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1719:   in=s;
                   1720:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1721:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1722:   }
                   1723: 
                   1724:   *alocc='\0';
                   1725:   return s;
                   1726: }
                   1727: 
1.126     brouard  1728: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1729: {
                   1730:   int i,j=0;
                   1731:   int lg=20;
                   1732:   i=0;
                   1733:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1734:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1735:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1736:   }
                   1737:   return j;
                   1738: }
                   1739: 
1.137     brouard  1740: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1741: /* { */
                   1742: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1743: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1744: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1745: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1746: /*   i=0; */
                   1747: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1748: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1749: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1750: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1751: 
1.137     brouard  1752: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1753: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1754: /*   } */
                   1755: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1756: 
1.137     brouard  1757: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1758: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1759: /*   } */
                   1760: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1761: 
1.160     brouard  1762: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1763: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1764: {
                   1765:   char *p, *q;
                   1766:          
                   1767:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1768:     return 0;
                   1769:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1770:   {
                   1771:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1772:     *q = '\0';
                   1773:   }
                   1774:   else
                   1775:     *pp = 0;
                   1776:   return p;
                   1777: }
                   1778: #endif
                   1779: 
1.126     brouard  1780: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1781: 
                   1782: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1783: {
                   1784:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1785:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1786:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1787: }
                   1788: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1789: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1790: {
                   1791:   double *v;
                   1792:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1793:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1794:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1795: }
                   1796: 
                   1797: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1798: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1799: {
                   1800:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1801: }
                   1802: 
                   1803: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1804: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1805: {
                   1806:   int *v;
                   1807:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1808:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1809:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1810: }
                   1811: 
                   1812: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1813: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1814: {
                   1815:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1816: }
                   1817: 
                   1818: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1819: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1820: {
                   1821:   long *v;
                   1822:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1823:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1824:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1825: }
                   1826: 
                   1827: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1828: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1829: {
                   1830:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1831: }
                   1832: 
                   1833: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1834: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1835:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1836: { 
                   1837:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1838:   int **m; 
                   1839:   
                   1840:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1841:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1842:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1843:   m += NR_END; 
                   1844:   m -= nrl; 
                   1845:   
                   1846:   
                   1847:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1848:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1849:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1850:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1851:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1852:   
                   1853:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1854:   
                   1855:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1856:   return m; 
                   1857: } 
                   1858: 
                   1859: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1860: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1861:       int **m;
                   1862:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1863:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1864: { 
                   1865:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1866:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1867: } 
                   1868: 
                   1869: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1870: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1871: {
                   1872:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1873:   double **m;
                   1874: 
                   1875:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1876:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1877:   m += NR_END;
                   1878:   m -= nrl;
                   1879: 
                   1880:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1881:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1882:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1883:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1884: 
                   1885:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1886:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1887:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1888: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1889: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1890:    */
                   1891: }
                   1892: 
                   1893: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1894: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1895: {
                   1896:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1897:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1898: }
                   1899: 
                   1900: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1901: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1902: {
                   1903:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1904:   double ***m;
                   1905: 
                   1906:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1907:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1908:   m += NR_END;
                   1909:   m -= nrl;
                   1910: 
                   1911:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1912:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1913:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1914:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1915: 
                   1916:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1917: 
                   1918:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1919:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1920:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1921:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1922:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1923:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1924:   
                   1925:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1926:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1927:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1928:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1929:   }
                   1930:   return m; 
                   1931:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1932:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1933:   */
                   1934: }
                   1935: 
                   1936: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1937: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1938: {
                   1939:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1940:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1941:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1942: }
                   1943: 
                   1944: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1945: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1946: {
                   1947:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1948:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1949:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1950:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1951:   return tmpout;
                   1952: }
                   1953: 
                   1954: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1955: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1956: {
1.314     brouard  1957:   /* Example subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"FB_") with optionfilefiname="texte", result="texte/FB_texte"
                   1958:  Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
1.315     brouard  1959:  rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs */
1.126     brouard  1960:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1961:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1962:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1963:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1964:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1965:   return tmpout;
                   1966: }
                   1967: 
                   1968: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1969: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1970: {
                   1971:   
                   1972:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1973:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1974:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1975:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1976:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1977:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1978:   return tmpout;
                   1979: }
1.213     brouard  1980:  
                   1981: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1982: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1983: {
                   1984:   
                   1985:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1986:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1987:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1988:   return tmpout;
                   1989: }
1.126     brouard  1990: 
1.213     brouard  1991: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1992: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1993: {
                   1994:   
                   1995:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1996:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1997:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1998:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1999:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   2000:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   2001:   return tmpout;
                   2002: }
                   2003:  
1.162     brouard  2004: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   2005: {
                   2006:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   2007:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   2008:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   2009:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   2010:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   2011:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   2012:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   2013:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   2014:   return ascdiff;
                   2015: }
                   2016: 
1.126     brouard  2017: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   2018: extern int ncom; 
                   2019: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2020: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2021:  
                   2022: double f1dim(double x) 
                   2023: { 
                   2024:   int j; 
                   2025:   double f;
                   2026:   double *xt; 
                   2027:  
                   2028:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   2029:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   2030:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   2031:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   2032:   return f; 
                   2033: } 
                   2034: 
                   2035: /*****************brent *************************/
                   2036: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  2037: {
                   2038:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   2039:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   2040:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   2041:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   2042:    * returned function value. 
                   2043:   */
1.126     brouard  2044:   int iter; 
                   2045:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  2046:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  2047:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  2048:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   2049:   double e=0.0; 
                   2050:  
                   2051:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   2052:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   2053:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   2054:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   2055:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   2056:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   2057:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   2058:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   2059:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   2060:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  2061: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  2062:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   2063:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   2064:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   2065: #endif
                   2066:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   2067:       *xmin=x; 
                   2068:       return fx; 
                   2069:     } 
                   2070:     ftemp=fu;
                   2071:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   2072:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   2073:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   2074:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   2075:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   2076:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   2077:       q=fabs(q); 
                   2078:       etemp=e; 
                   2079:       e=d; 
                   2080:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  2081:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  2082:       else { 
1.224     brouard  2083:                                d=p/q; 
                   2084:                                u=x+d; 
                   2085:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   2086:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  2087:       } 
                   2088:     } else { 
                   2089:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   2090:     } 
                   2091:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   2092:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   2093:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   2094:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   2095:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  2096:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   2097:     } else { 
                   2098:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   2099:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  2100:                                v=w; 
                   2101:                                w=u; 
                   2102:                                fv=fw; 
                   2103:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  2104:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  2105:                                v=u; 
                   2106:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  2107:       } 
                   2108:     } 
1.126     brouard  2109:   } 
                   2110:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   2111:   *xmin=x; 
                   2112:   return fx; 
                   2113: } 
                   2114: 
                   2115: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   2116: 
                   2117: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   2118:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  2119: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   2120: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   2121: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   2122: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   2123:    */
1.126     brouard  2124:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   2125:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  2126: 
                   2127:   double scale=10.;
                   2128:   int iterscale=0;
                   2129: 
                   2130:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   2131:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   2132: 
                   2133: 
                   2134:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   2135:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   2136:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   2137:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   2138:   /* } */
                   2139: 
1.126     brouard  2140:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   2141:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  2142:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   2143:   } 
1.126     brouard  2144:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   2145:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  2146: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2147:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   2148:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  2149: #endif
1.224     brouard  2150:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  2151:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  2152:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  2153:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  2154:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   2155:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   2156:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  2157:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  2158: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2159:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   2160:       double A, fparabu; 
                   2161:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   2162:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  2163:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   2164:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  2165:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   2166:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   2167:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   2168:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  2169: #endif 
1.184     brouard  2170: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  2171: #else
1.191     brouard  2172: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   2173: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   2174: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   2175: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   2176: /* #endif */
                   2177: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   2178: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   2179: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   2180: /*     u = *cx; */
                   2181: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   2182: /*     dum = fu; */
                   2183: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   2184: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   2185: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   2186: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   2187: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   2188: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   2189: /* #endif */
                   2190: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   2191: /*     u = *cx; */
                   2192: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   2193: /*     dum = fu; */
                   2194: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   2195: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   2196: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  2197: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   2198:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   2199:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   2200:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   2201:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   2202:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  2203: #endif
1.191     brouard  2204:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   2205:       u = *cx;
                   2206:       *cx = dum;
                   2207:       dum = fu;
                   2208:       fu = *fc;
                   2209:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  2210: #endif
1.162     brouard  2211:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  2212: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2213:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   2214:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2215: #endif
1.126     brouard  2216:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   2217:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  2218: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2219:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2220:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   2221: #endif
                   2222:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   2223:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   2224: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2225:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  2226: #endif
                   2227:       } 
1.162     brouard  2228:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  2229: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2230:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2231:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2232: #endif
1.126     brouard  2233:       u=ulim; 
                   2234:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2235:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2236: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2237:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2238:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2239: #endif
1.126     brouard  2240:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2241:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2242: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2243:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2244:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2245: #endif
1.183     brouard  2246:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2247:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2248:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2249: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2250:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2251:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2252: #endif
                   2253:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2254: } 
                   2255: 
                   2256: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2257: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2258: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2259: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2260: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2261: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2262: int ncom; 
                   2263: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2264: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2265:  
1.224     brouard  2266: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2267: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2268: #else
                   2269: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2270: #endif
1.126     brouard  2271: { 
                   2272:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2273:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2274:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2275:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2276:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2277:   int j; 
                   2278:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2279:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2280: 
1.203     brouard  2281: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2282: #else
                   2283:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2284: #endif
                   2285:   
1.126     brouard  2286:   ncom=n; 
                   2287:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2288:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2289:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2290:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2291:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2292:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2293:   } 
1.187     brouard  2294: 
1.203     brouard  2295: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2296:   xx=1.;
                   2297: #else
                   2298:   axs=0.0;
                   2299:   xxs=1.;
                   2300:   do{
                   2301:     xx= xxs;
                   2302: #endif
1.187     brouard  2303:     ax=0.;
                   2304:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2305:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2306:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2307:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2308:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2309:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2310:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2311: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2312: #else
                   2313:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2314:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2315:                        printf("|");
                   2316:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2317: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2318:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2319: #endif
                   2320:     }
1.224     brouard  2321:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2322: #endif
                   2323:   
1.191     brouard  2324: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2325:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2326:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2327: #endif
1.224     brouard  2328: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2329: #else
1.317     brouard  2330:   if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2331:     xmin=xx;
1.224     brouard  2332:     *flat=1;
1.317     brouard  2333:   }else{
1.224     brouard  2334:     *flat=0;
                   2335: #endif
                   2336:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2337:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2338:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2339:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2340:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2341:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2342: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2343:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2344:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2345: #endif
                   2346: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2347: #else
                   2348:                        }
1.126     brouard  2349: #endif
1.191     brouard  2350: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2351:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2352:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2353: #endif
1.126     brouard  2354:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2355: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2356:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2357: #else
                   2358: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2359:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2360:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2361: #endif
                   2362:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2363: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2364:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2365:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2366: #endif
                   2367: #endif
1.187     brouard  2368:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2369:   } 
1.191     brouard  2370: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2371:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2372:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2373:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2374:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2375:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2376:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2377:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2378:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2379:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2380:     }
1.191     brouard  2381:   }
1.203     brouard  2382: #else
1.191     brouard  2383: #endif
1.126     brouard  2384:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2385:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2386: } 
                   2387: 
                   2388: 
                   2389: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2390: /*
1.317     brouard  2391: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists in an initial starting point
                   2392: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n]  whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2393: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol, the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2394: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount in one iteration signals doneness. On
1.162     brouard  2395: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2396: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2397:  */
1.224     brouard  2398: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2399: #else
                   2400:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2401:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2402: #endif
1.126     brouard  2403: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2404:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2405: { 
1.224     brouard  2406: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2407:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2408:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2409: #else 
1.241     brouard  2410:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2411:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2412: #endif
1.239     brouard  2413:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2414:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2415:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2416:   double fp,fptt;
                   2417:   double *xits;
                   2418:   int niterf, itmp;
                   2419: 
                   2420:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2421:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2422:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2423:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2424:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2425:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2426:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2427:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
                   2428:     ibig=0; 
                   2429:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2430:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2431:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2432:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2433:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
1.324     brouard  2434:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f gain=%.12f=%.3g %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, fp-*fret,fp-*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2435:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f gain=%.12f=%.3g %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, fp-*fret,fp-*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
1.157     brouard  2436: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.324     brouard  2437:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.192     brouard  2438:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2439:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2440:     }
1.239     brouard  2441:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2442:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2443:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2444:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2445:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2446:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2447:     }
                   2448:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2449:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2450:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2451:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2452:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2453:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2454:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2455:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2456:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2457:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2458:       }
                   2459:     }
1.126     brouard  2460:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2461: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2462: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2463:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2464:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2465:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2466:        if (k != i) {
                   2467:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2468:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2469:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2470:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2471:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2472:            jk++; 
                   2473:          }
                   2474:          printf("\n");
                   2475:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2476:        }
                   2477:       }
                   2478:     }
1.241     brouard  2479:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2480:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2481:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2482:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2483:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2484:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2485:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2486:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2487:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2488:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2489:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2490:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2491:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2492:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2493:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2494:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2495:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2496:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2497:       }
                   2498:     }
1.187     brouard  2499:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2500:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2501:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2502: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2503:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2504:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2505: #endif
1.203     brouard  2506:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2507:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2508: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2509:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2510: #else
                   2511:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2512:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2513: #endif
                   2514:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2515:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2516:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2517:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2518:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2519:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2520:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2521:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2522:       } 
                   2523: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2524:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2525:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2526:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2527:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2528:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2529:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2530:       }
                   2531:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2532:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2533:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2534:       }
                   2535:       printf("\n");
                   2536:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2537: #endif
1.187     brouard  2538:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2539:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2540:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2541:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.319     brouard  2542:     for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2543:       if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2544:         printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2545:         fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
1.302     brouard  2546:       }
1.319     brouard  2547:       /* printf("\n"); */
                   2548:       /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2549:     }
1.243     brouard  2550:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2551:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2552:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2553:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2554:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2555:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2556:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2557:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2558:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2559:                        
1.188     brouard  2560:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2561:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2562:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2563:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2564: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2565:       int k[2],l;
                   2566:       k[0]=1;
                   2567:       k[1]=-1;
                   2568:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2569:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2570:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2571:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2572:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2573:       }
                   2574:       printf("\n");
                   2575:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2576:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2577:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2578:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2579:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2580:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2581:        }
                   2582:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2583:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2584:       }
                   2585: #endif
                   2586: 
                   2587:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2588:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2589:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2590:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2591:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2592:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2593:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2594:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2595:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2596:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2597:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2598:     } 
1.181     brouard  2599:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2600: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2601:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2602: #else
                   2603: #endif
1.224     brouard  2604: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2605: #else
1.161     brouard  2606:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2607: #endif
1.162     brouard  2608:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2609:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2610:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2611:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2612:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2613:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2614:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2615:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2616:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2617:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2618:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2619:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2620:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2621:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2622:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2623: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2624:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2625: #else
                   2626:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2627:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2628: #endif
1.202     brouard  2629:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2630: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2631:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2632:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2633:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2634:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2635:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2636:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2637:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2638:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2639: #endif
1.183     brouard  2640: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2641:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2642: #else
1.182     brouard  2643:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2644:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2645:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2646:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2647:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2648:       } 
1.181     brouard  2649:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2650: #endif
1.191     brouard  2651: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2652:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2653:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2654:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2655:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2656:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2657:            printf("\n");
                   2658:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2659:          }
                   2660:        }
1.224     brouard  2661: #endif
                   2662: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2663:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2664: #else
1.234     brouard  2665:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2666:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2667: #endif
1.234     brouard  2668:        
1.191     brouard  2669: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2670:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2671:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2672:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2673:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2674:            printf("\n");
                   2675:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2676:          }
                   2677:        }
1.224     brouard  2678: #endif
1.234     brouard  2679:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2680:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2681:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2682:        }
1.224     brouard  2683: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2684: #else
1.234     brouard  2685:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2686:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2687:            flatd++;
                   2688:        }
                   2689:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2690:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2691:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2692:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2693:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2694:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2695:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2696:            }
                   2697:          }
                   2698:          printf("\n");
                   2699:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.319     brouard  2700: #ifdef FLATSUP
                   2701:           free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2702:           free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2703:           free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2704:           free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2705:           return;
                   2706: #endif
1.234     brouard  2707:        }
1.191     brouard  2708: #endif
1.234     brouard  2709:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2710:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2711:        
1.126     brouard  2712: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2713:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2714:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2715:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2716:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2717:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2718:        }
                   2719:        printf("\n");
                   2720:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2721: #endif
1.192     brouard  2722:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2723: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2724: #else
1.234     brouard  2725:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2726: #endif
1.225     brouard  2727: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2728:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2729: #else
1.224     brouard  2730: #endif
1.234     brouard  2731:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2732: } 
1.234     brouard  2733:   
1.126     brouard  2734: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2735:   
1.235     brouard  2736:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2737:   {
1.279     brouard  2738:     /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2739:      *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2740:      *  by left multiplying the unit
                   2741:      *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
                   2742:      * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
                   2743:      * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
                   2744:      * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
                   2745:      * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
                   2746:      * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
                   2747:      * Output is prlim.
                   2748:      * Initial matrix pimij 
                   2749:      */
1.206     brouard  2750:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2751:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2752:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2753:   /*
                   2754:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2755:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2756:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2757:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2758:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2759:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2760:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2761:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2762:     
1.126     brouard  2763:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2764:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2765:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2766:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2767:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2768:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2769:   int ncvloop=0;
1.288     brouard  2770:   int first=0;
1.169     brouard  2771:   
1.209     brouard  2772:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2773:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2774:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2775: 
1.218     brouard  2776:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2777:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2778:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2779:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2780:     }
1.169     brouard  2781:   
                   2782:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2783:   
                   2784:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2785:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2786:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2787:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2788:     newm=savm;
                   2789:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2790:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.319     brouard  2791:      if(nagesqr==1){
                   2792:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;
                   2793:      }
1.234     brouard  2794:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2795:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2796:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.319     brouard  2797:       /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.235     brouard  2798:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2799:     }
                   2800:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2801:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.319     brouard  2802:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2803:       /* cov[++k1]=Tqresult[nres][k];  */
1.235     brouard  2804:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2805:     }
1.237     brouard  2806:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.319     brouard  2807:       if(Dummy[Tage[k]]==2){ /* dummy with age */
1.234     brouard  2808:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
1.319     brouard  2809:        /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2810:       } else if(Dummy[Tage[k]]==3){ /* quantitative with age */
                   2811:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2812:        /* cov[++k1]=Tqresult[nres][k];  */
1.234     brouard  2813:       }
1.235     brouard  2814:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2815:     }
1.237     brouard  2816:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2817:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2818:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2819:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2820:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.319     brouard  2821:          /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.237     brouard  2822:        }else{
                   2823:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
1.319     brouard  2824:          /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k]; */
1.237     brouard  2825:        }
                   2826:       }else{
                   2827:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2828:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
1.319     brouard  2829:          /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]; */
1.237     brouard  2830:        }else{
                   2831:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
1.319     brouard  2832:          /* cov[++k1]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]]; */
1.237     brouard  2833:        }
                   2834:       }
1.234     brouard  2835:     }
1.138     brouard  2836:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2837:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2838:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2839:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2840:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.319     brouard  2841:     /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2842:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2843:     
1.126     brouard  2844:     savm=oldm;
                   2845:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2846: 
                   2847:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2848:       max[j]=0.;
                   2849:       min[j]=1.;
                   2850:     }
                   2851:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2852:       sumnew=0;
                   2853:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2854:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2855:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2856:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2857:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2858:       }
                   2859:     }
                   2860: 
1.126     brouard  2861:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2862:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2863:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2864:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2865:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2866:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2867:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2868:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2869:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2870:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2871:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2872:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2873:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2874:       return prlim;
                   2875:     }
1.288     brouard  2876:   } /* agefin loop */
1.208     brouard  2877:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.288     brouard  2878:   if(!first){
                   2879:     first=1;
                   2880:     printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d). Others in log file only...\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
1.317     brouard  2881:     fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d).\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
                   2882:   }else if (first >=1 && first <10){
                   2883:     fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d).\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
                   2884:     first++;
                   2885:   }else if (first ==10){
                   2886:     fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d).\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
                   2887:     printf("Warning: the stable prevalence dit not converge. This warning came too often, IMaCh will stop notifying, even in its log file. Look at the graphs to appreciate the non convergence.\n");
                   2888:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the stable prevalence no convergence; too many cases, giving up noticing, even in log file\n");
                   2889:     first++;
1.288     brouard  2890:   }
                   2891: 
1.209     brouard  2892:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2893:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2894:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2895:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2896:   
1.169     brouard  2897:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2898: }
                   2899: 
1.217     brouard  2900: 
                   2901:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2902: 
1.218     brouard  2903:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2904:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2905:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2906: {
1.264     brouard  2907:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2908:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2909:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2910:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2911:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2912:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2913:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2914:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2915:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2916:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2917:   /*
                   2918:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2919:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2920:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2921:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2922:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2923:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2924:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2925:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2926: 
                   2927:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2928:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2929:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2930:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2931:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2932:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2933:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2934:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2935: 
1.217     brouard  2936:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2937:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2938:   
                   2939:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2940:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2941:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2942: 
1.266     brouard  2943:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2944:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2945:   
                   2946:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2947:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2948:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2949:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2950:     }
                   2951:   
                   2952:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2953:   
                   2954:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2955:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2956:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
1.288     brouard  2957:   /* for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2958:   for(agefin=age; agefin<FMIN(AGESUP,age+delaymax); agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2959:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2960:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2961:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2962:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2963:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.319     brouard  2964:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.217     brouard  2965:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.319     brouard  2966:     }
1.242     brouard  2967:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2968:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2969:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2970:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2971:     }
                   2972:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2973:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2974:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2975:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2976:     /* } */
                   2977:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2978:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2979:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2980:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2981:     }
                   2982:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2983:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2984:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2985:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2986:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.319     brouard  2987:       /* if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]== 2){ /\* dummy with age *\/ ERROR ???*/
                   2988:       if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 2){ /* dummy with age */
1.242     brouard  2989:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
1.319     brouard  2990:       } else if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 3){ /* quantitative with age */
                   2991:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
1.242     brouard  2992:       }
                   2993:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2994:     }
                   2995:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2996:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2997:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2998:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2999:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3000:        }else{
                   3001:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   3002:        }
                   3003:       }else{
                   3004:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   3005:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   3006:        }else{
                   3007:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   3008:        }
                   3009:       }
1.217     brouard  3010:     }
                   3011:     
                   3012:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   3013:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   3014:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   3015:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3016:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  3017:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   3018:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   3019:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   3020:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   3021:                 */
                   3022:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   3023:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   3024:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  3025:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  3026:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   3027:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3028:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   3029:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3030:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   3031:     /*         } */
                   3032:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   3033:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3034:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3035:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  3036:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  3037:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3038:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3039:     /*         } */
                   3040:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3041:     /*   } */
                   3042:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  3043:     savm=oldm;
                   3044:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  3045: 
1.217     brouard  3046:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   3047:       max[j]=0.;
                   3048:       min[j]=1.;
                   3049:     }
                   3050:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   3051:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  3052:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   3053:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   3054:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   3055:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  3056:       }
                   3057:     }
1.218     brouard  3058:                
1.217     brouard  3059:     maxmax=0.;
                   3060:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
1.318     brouard  3061:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column, could be nan! */
1.217     brouard  3062:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   3063:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  3064:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  3065:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  3066:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  3067:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  3068:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  3069:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   3070:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   3071:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   3072:       return bprlim;
                   3073:     }
1.288     brouard  3074:   } /* agefin loop */
1.217     brouard  3075:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.288     brouard  3076:   if(!first){
1.247     brouard  3077:     first=1;
                   3078:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   3079: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   3080:   }
                   3081:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  3082: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   3083:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   3084:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   3085:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   3086:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   3087:   
                   3088:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   3089: }
                   3090: 
1.126     brouard  3091: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3092: 
                   3093: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   3094: {
1.138     brouard  3095:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  3096:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  3097:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3098:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3099:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3100:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3101:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3102:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3103:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3104:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  3105:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  3106:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  3107:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  3108:   */
                   3109:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  3110:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  3111:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  3112: 
1.223     brouard  3113:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3114:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3115:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3116:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3117:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3118:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3119:       }
                   3120:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3121:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3122:     }
                   3123:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3124:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3125:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3126:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3127:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3128:       }
                   3129:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3130:     }
                   3131:   }
1.218     brouard  3132:   
1.223     brouard  3133:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3134:     s1=0;
                   3135:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3136:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3137:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3138:     }
                   3139:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3140:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3141:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3142:     }
                   3143:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3144:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3145:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3146:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
1.325     brouard  3147:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];/* Bug valgrind */
1.223     brouard  3148:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3149:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3150:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3151:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  3152:   
1.223     brouard  3153:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3154:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3155:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3156:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3157:     }
                   3158:   }
1.294     brouard  3159: 
                   3160: 
1.223     brouard  3161:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3162:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3163:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3164:   /*   } */
                   3165:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3166:   /* } */
                   3167:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3168:   /*
                   3169:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  3170:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  3171:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  3172: }
                   3173: 
1.218     brouard  3174: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3175: 
                   3176:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   3177: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   3178:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   3179: {
1.302     brouard  3180:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin, cov[2], and covariate combination 'ij'. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
1.266     brouard  3181:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  3182:    */
1.218     brouard  3183:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  3184:   
                   3185:   double **out, **pmij();
                   3186:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  3187:   double agefin;
1.292     brouard  3188:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrix (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  3189:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   3190:   double **bbmij;
                   3191:   
1.218     brouard  3192:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  3193:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   3194:   dsavm=ddsavms;
1.318     brouard  3195: 
                   3196:   /* Debug */
                   3197:   /* printf("Bmij ij=%d, cov[2}=%f\n", ij, cov[2]); */
1.222     brouard  3198:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  3199:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  3200:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  3201:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   3202:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  3203: 
                   3204:   /* P_x */
1.325     brouard  3205:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm *//* Bug valgrind */
1.268     brouard  3206:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   3207: 
                   3208:   /* Diag(w_x) */
1.292     brouard  3209:   /* Rescaling the cross-sectional prevalence: Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
1.268     brouard  3210:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  3211:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  3212:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.297     brouard  3213:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]); */
1.268     brouard  3214:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   3215:   }
                   3216:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   3217:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   3218:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  3219:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  3220:     }
                   3221:   }else{
                   3222:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   3223:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3224:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   3225:     }
                   3226:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   3227:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   3228:     /* } */
                   3229:   }
                   3230:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   3231:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   3232:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   3233:   }
                   3234:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   3235:   
1.292     brouard  3236:   /* Left product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm): diag[(w_i)*Px */
                   3237:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* was a Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  3238: 
1.292     brouard  3239:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x, should be the prevalence at age x+stepm */
1.268     brouard  3240:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  3241:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  3242:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  3243:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  3244:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  3245:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  3246:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  3247:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  3248:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3249:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3250:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3251:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3252:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  3253:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   3254:     } /*End ii */
                   3255:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   3256: 
1.292     brouard  3257:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* was a Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  3258:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3259:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3260:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3261: }
1.217     brouard  3262: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3263: 
1.218     brouard  3264: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3265: {
                   3266:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3267:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3268:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3269:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3270:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3271:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3272:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3273:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3274:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3275:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3276:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3277:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3278:   */
                   3279:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3280:   /*double t34;*/
                   3281:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3282: 
1.234     brouard  3283:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3284:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3285:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3286:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3287:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3288:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3289:       }
                   3290:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3291:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3292:     }
                   3293:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3294:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3295:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3296:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3297:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3298:       }
                   3299:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3300:     }
                   3301:   }
                   3302:   
                   3303:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3304:     s1=0;
                   3305:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3306:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3307:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3308:     }
                   3309:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3310:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3311:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3312:     }
                   3313:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3314:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3315:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3316:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3317:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3318:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3319:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3320:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3321:   } /* end i */
                   3322:   
                   3323:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3324:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3325:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3326:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3327:     }
                   3328:   }
1.296     brouard  3329:   /* Added for prevbcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
1.234     brouard  3330:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3331:     s1=0.;
                   3332:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3333:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3334:     }
                   3335:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3336:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3337:     }
                   3338:   }
                   3339:   /* Transposition */
                   3340:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3341:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3342:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3343:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3344:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3345:     }
                   3346:   }
                   3347:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3348:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3349:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3350:   /*   } */
                   3351:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3352:   /* } */
                   3353:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3354:   /*
                   3355:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3356:     goto end;*/
                   3357:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3358: }
                   3359: 
                   3360: 
1.126     brouard  3361: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3362: 
1.145     brouard  3363: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3364: {
                   3365:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3366:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3367:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3368:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3369:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3370:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3371:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3372:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3373:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3374:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3375:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3376:     }
1.126     brouard  3377:   return out;
                   3378: }
                   3379: 
                   3380: 
                   3381: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3382: 
1.235     brouard  3383: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3384: {
1.218     brouard  3385:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3386:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3387:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3388:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3389:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3390:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3391:      for the memory).
                   3392:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3393:      included manually here. 
                   3394: 
                   3395:      */
                   3396: 
                   3397:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3398:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3399:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3400:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3401:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3402: 
                   3403:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3404:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3405:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3406:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3407:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3408:     }
                   3409:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3410:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3411:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3412:       newm=savm;
                   3413:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3414:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3415:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3416:       cov[2]=agexact;
1.319     brouard  3417:       if(nagesqr==1){
1.227     brouard  3418:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.319     brouard  3419:       }
1.235     brouard  3420:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
1.319     brouard  3421: /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3422:        /* codtabm(ij,k)  (1 & (ij-1) >> (k-1))+1 */
                   3423: /*             V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   3424: /*    k        1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   3425: /*Tvar[k]=     5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   3426: /*    nsd         1   2                              3 */ /* Counting single dummies covar fixed or tv */
                   3427: /*TvarsD[nsd]     4   3                              1 */ /* ID of single dummy cova fixed or timevary*/
                   3428: /*TvarsDind[k]    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
1.235     brouard  3429:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3430:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3431:       }
                   3432:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3433:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.319     brouard  3434:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
1.235     brouard  3435:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3436:       }
1.319     brouard  3437:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* For product with age V1+V1*age +V4 +age*V3 */
                   3438:        /* 1+2 Tage[1]=2 TVar[2]=1 Dummy[2]=2, Tage[2]=4 TVar[4]=3 Dummy[4]=3 quant*/
                   3439:        /* */
                   3440:        if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 2){ /* dummy with age */
                   3441:        /* if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]== 2){ /\* dummy with age *\/ */
1.235     brouard  3442:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
1.319     brouard  3443:        } else if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 3){ /* quantitative with age */
                   3444:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
1.235     brouard  3445:        }
                   3446:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3447:       }
1.319     brouard  3448:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  For product without age */
1.235     brouard  3449:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.319     brouard  3450:        /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3451:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   3452:          if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   3453:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3454:          }else{
                   3455:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   3456:          }
                   3457:        }else{
                   3458:          if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   3459:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   3460:          }else{
                   3461:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   3462:          }
                   3463:        }
1.235     brouard  3464:       }
                   3465:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3466:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3467:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3468:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3469:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3470:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3471:       
                   3472:       
1.126     brouard  3473:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3474:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.319     brouard  3475:       /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3476:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3477:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3478:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3479:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3480:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3481:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3482:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3483:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3484:       /*         } */
                   3485:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3486:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3487:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3488:       /*         } */
                   3489:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3490:       /*       } */
                   3491:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3492:       savm=oldm;
                   3493:       oldm=newm;
                   3494:     }
                   3495:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3496:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3497:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3498:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3499:       }
1.128     brouard  3500:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3501:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3502:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3503:   return po;
                   3504: }
                   3505: 
1.217     brouard  3506: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3507: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3508: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3509: {
1.266     brouard  3510:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3511:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3512:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3513:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3514:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3515:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3516:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3517:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3518:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3519:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3520:   */
1.217     brouard  3521: 
                   3522:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3523:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3524:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3525:   double agexact;
                   3526:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3527:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3528: 
1.266     brouard  3529:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3530:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3531:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3532:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3533:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3534:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3535:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3536:     }
                   3537:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3538:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3539:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3540:       newm=savm;
                   3541:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3542:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3543:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3544:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
1.318     brouard  3545:         /* Debug */
                   3546:       /* printf("hBxij age=%lf, agexact=%lf\n", age, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3547:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3548:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3549:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.325     brouard  3550:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++){ /* For single dummy covariates only *//* cptcovn error */
1.266     brouard  3551:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3552:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
1.325     brouard  3553:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];/* Bug valgrind */
1.266     brouard  3554:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3555:       }
1.267     brouard  3556:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3557:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3558:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3559:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3560:       }
1.319     brouard  3561:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 *//* For product with age */
                   3562:        /* if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]== 2){ /\* dummy with age error!!!*\/ */
                   3563:        if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 2){ /* dummy with age */
1.267     brouard  3564:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
1.319     brouard  3565:        } else if(Dummy[Tage[k]]== 3){ /* quantitative with age */
1.267     brouard  3566:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3567:        }
                   3568:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3569:       }
                   3570:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3571:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.325     brouard  3572:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   3573:          if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   3574:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3575:          }else{
                   3576:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   3577:          }
                   3578:        }else{
                   3579:          if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   3580:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   3581:          }else{
                   3582:            cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   3583:          }
                   3584:        }
1.267     brouard  3585:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3586:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3587:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3588: 
1.218     brouard  3589:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3590:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3591:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3592:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3593:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.325     brouard  3594:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);/* Bug valgrind */
1.217     brouard  3595:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3596:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3597:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3598:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3599:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3600:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3601:       /*         } */
                   3602:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3603:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3604:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3605:       /*         } */
                   3606:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3607:       /*       } */
                   3608:       /* } */
                   3609:       savm=oldm;
                   3610:       oldm=newm;
                   3611:     }
                   3612:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3613:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3614:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3615:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3616:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3617:       }
1.268     brouard  3618:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3619:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3620:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3621:   return po;
                   3622: }
                   3623: 
                   3624: 
1.162     brouard  3625: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3626:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3627:   double fret;
                   3628:   double *xt;
                   3629:   int j;
                   3630:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3631: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3632:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3633:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3634: 
                   3635:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3636:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3637:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3638:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3639:   printf("\n");
                   3640:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3641:   return fret;
                   3642: }
                   3643: #endif
1.126     brouard  3644: 
                   3645: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3646: double func( double *x)
                   3647: {
1.226     brouard  3648:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3649:   int ioffset=0;
                   3650:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3651:   double **out;
                   3652:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3653:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3654:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3655:   double bbh, survp;
                   3656:   long ipmx;
                   3657:   double agexact;
                   3658:   /*extern weight */
                   3659:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3660:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3661:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3662:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3663:   */
1.162     brouard  3664: 
1.226     brouard  3665:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3666: 
1.226     brouard  3667:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3668: 
1.226     brouard  3669:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3670:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3671:   if(mle==1){
                   3672:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3673:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3674:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3675:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3676:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3677:       */
1.243     brouard  3678:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3679:    /* Fixed */
1.319     brouard  3680:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* For each fixed covariate dummu or quant or prod */
                   3681:        /* # V1=sex, V2=raedyrs Quant Fixed, State=livarnb4..livarnb11, V3=iadl4..iald11, V4=adlw4..adlw11, V5=r4bmi..r11bmi */
                   3682:         /*             V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   3683:        /*  TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  ID of fixed covariates or product V2, V1*V2, V1 */
1.320     brouard  3684:         /* TvarFind;  TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, TvarFind[3]=9 *//* Inverse V2(6) is first fixed (single or prod)  */
1.319     brouard  3685:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (TvarFind[1]=6)*/
                   3686:        /* V1*V2 (7)  TvarFind[2]=7, TvarFind[3]=9 */
1.234     brouard  3687:       }
1.226     brouard  3688:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
1.319     brouard  3689:         is 5, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2]=6 
1.226     brouard  3690:         has been calculated etc */
                   3691:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3692:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3693:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3694:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3695:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3696:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3697:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3698:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3699:       */
                   3700:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.319     brouard  3701:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates in the model (single and product but no age )"V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V1*age+V1" +TvarVind 1,2,3,4(V4*V3)  Tvar[1]@7{5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 1, 1 ; 6 because the created covar is after V5 and is 6, minus 1+1, 3,2,1,4 positions in cotvar*/
                   3702:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; but where is the crossproduct? */
1.242     brouard  3703:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3704:        }
                   3705:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3706:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3707:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3708:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3709:          }
                   3710:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3711:          newm=savm;
                   3712:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3713:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3714:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3715:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3716:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.318     brouard  3717:            if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3718:              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
                   3719:            else
                   3720:              cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3721:          }
                   3722:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3723:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3724:          savm=oldm;
                   3725:          oldm=newm;
                   3726:        } /* end mult */
                   3727:        
                   3728:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3729:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3730:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3731:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3732:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3733:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3734:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3735:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3736:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3737:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3738:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3739:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3740:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3741:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3742:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3743:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3744:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3745:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3746:         */
                   3747:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3748:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3749:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3750:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3751:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3752:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3753:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3754:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3755:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3756:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3757:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3758:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3759:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3760:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3761:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3762:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3763:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3764:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3765:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3766:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3767:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3768:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3769:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3770:             lower mortality.
                   3771:          */
                   3772:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3773:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3774:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3775:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3776:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3777:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3778:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3779:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3780:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3781:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3782:             infinity.
                   3783:          */
1.183     brouard  3784: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3785: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3786: /* #else */
                   3787: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3788: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3789: /*       else */
                   3790: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3791: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3792:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3793:          
1.226     brouard  3794:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3795:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3796:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3797:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3798:          lli= log(survp);
                   3799:        }
                   3800:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3801:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3802:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3803:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3804:        } 
                   3805:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3806:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3807:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3808:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3809:        } 
                   3810:        else{
                   3811:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3812:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3813:        } 
                   3814:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3815:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3816:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3817:        ipmx +=1;
                   3818:        sw += weight[i];
                   3819:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3820:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3821:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3822:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3823:        /* } */
                   3824:       } /* end of wave */
                   3825:     } /* end of individual */
                   3826:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3827:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.319     brouard  3828:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
                   3829:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++)
                   3830:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];
1.226     brouard  3831:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.319     brouard  3832:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){
                   3833:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3834:        }
1.226     brouard  3835:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3836:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3837:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3838:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3839:          }
                   3840:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3841:          newm=savm;
                   3842:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3843:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3844:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3845:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3846:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3847:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3848:          }
                   3849:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3850:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3851:          savm=oldm;
                   3852:          oldm=newm;
                   3853:        } /* end mult */
                   3854:       
                   3855:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3856:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3857:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3858:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3859:        ipmx +=1;
                   3860:        sw += weight[i];
                   3861:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3862:       } /* end of wave */
                   3863:     } /* end of individual */
                   3864:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3865:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3866:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3867:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3868:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3869:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3870:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3871:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3872:          }
                   3873:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3874:          newm=savm;
                   3875:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3876:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3877:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3878:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3879:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3880:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3881:          }
                   3882:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3883:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3884:          savm=oldm;
                   3885:          oldm=newm;
                   3886:        } /* end mult */
                   3887:       
                   3888:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3889:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3890:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3891:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3892:        ipmx +=1;
                   3893:        sw += weight[i];
                   3894:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3895:       } /* end of wave */
                   3896:     } /* end of individual */
                   3897:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3898:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3899:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3900:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3901:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3902:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3903:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3904:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3905:          }
                   3906:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3907:          newm=savm;
                   3908:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3909:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3910:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3911:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3912:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3913:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3914:          }
1.126     brouard  3915:        
1.226     brouard  3916:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3917:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3918:          savm=oldm;
                   3919:          oldm=newm;
                   3920:        } /* end mult */
                   3921:       
                   3922:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3923:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3924:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3925:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3926:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3927:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3928:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3929:          lli= log(survp);
                   3930:        }else{
                   3931:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3932:        }
                   3933:        ipmx +=1;
                   3934:        sw += weight[i];
                   3935:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3936: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3937:       } /* end of wave */
                   3938:     } /* end of individual */
                   3939:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3940:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3941:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3942:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3943:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3944:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3945:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3946:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3947:          }
                   3948:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3949:          newm=savm;
                   3950:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3951:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3952:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3953:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3954:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3955:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3956:          }
1.126     brouard  3957:        
1.226     brouard  3958:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3959:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3960:          savm=oldm;
                   3961:          oldm=newm;
                   3962:        } /* end mult */
                   3963:       
                   3964:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3965:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3966:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3967:        ipmx +=1;
                   3968:        sw += weight[i];
                   3969:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3970:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3971:       } /* end of wave */
                   3972:     } /* end of individual */
                   3973:   } /* End of if */
                   3974:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3975:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3976:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3977:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3978: }
                   3979: 
                   3980: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3981: double funcone( double *x)
                   3982: {
1.228     brouard  3983:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3984:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3985:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3986:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3987:   double **out;
                   3988:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3989:   double llt;
                   3990:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3991:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3992: 
1.126     brouard  3993:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3994:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3995:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3996:   /*extern weight */
                   3997:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3998:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3999:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   4000:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   4001:   */
                   4002:   cov[1]=1.;
                   4003: 
                   4004:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  4005:   ioffset=0;
                   4006:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  4007:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   4008:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  4009:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  4010:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  4011:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
1.311     brouard  4012:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products *//* Missing values are set to -1 but should be dropped */
1.232     brouard  4013:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   4014: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   4015: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   4016: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   4017: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   4018: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   4019: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   4020: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   4021: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   4022: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  4023:     }
1.232     brouard  4024:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   4025:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   4026:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  4027:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   4028:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   4029:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  4030:     
1.233     brouard  4031: 
                   4032:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  4033:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   4034:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  4035:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   4036:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   4037:       }
1.232     brouard  4038:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  4039:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   4040:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   4041:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   4042:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   4043:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  4044:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  4045:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   4046:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   4047:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  4048:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  4049:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  4050:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   4051:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   4052:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   4053:        }
1.214     brouard  4054:       
                   4055:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   4056:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   4057:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  4058:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  4059:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   4060:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   4061:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  4062:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  4063:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   4064:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   4065:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   4066:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   4067:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   4068:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   4069:          else
                   4070:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   4071:        }
                   4072:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   4073:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   4074:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   4075:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   4076:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   4077:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   4078:        savm=oldm;
                   4079:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  4080:       } /* end mult */
                   4081:       
                   4082:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   4083:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  4084:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  4085:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  4086:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   4087:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  4088:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   4089:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   4090:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   4091:        */
                   4092:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  4093:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  4094:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  4095:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   4096:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   4097:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  4098:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  4099:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  4100:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  4101:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  4102:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  4103:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  4104:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  4105:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  4106:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  4107:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   4108:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  4109:       } /* End of if */
                   4110:       ipmx +=1;
                   4111:       sw += weight[i];
                   4112:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  4113:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  4114:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  4115:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  4116:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  4117:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  4118:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  4119:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   4120:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   4121:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   4122:        }
                   4123:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  4124:       }
1.232     brouard  4125:        } /* end of wave */
                   4126: } /* end of individual */
                   4127: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   4128: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   4129: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   4130: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   4131:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   4132:        gsw=sw;
                   4133: }
                   4134: return -l;
1.126     brouard  4135: }
                   4136: 
                   4137: 
                   4138: /*************** function likelione ***********/
1.292     brouard  4139: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  4140: {
                   4141:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   4142:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   4143:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   4144:      Plotting could be done.
                   4145:    */
                   4146:   int k;
                   4147: 
                   4148:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  4149:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  4150:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  4151:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4152:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   4153:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   4154:     }
1.214     brouard  4155:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   4156:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  4157:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   4158:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   4159:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   4160:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   4161:   }
                   4162: 
1.292     brouard  4163:   *fretone=(*func)(p);
1.126     brouard  4164:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   4165:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  4166:     if (mle ==0)
                   4167:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   4168:     else if(mle >=1)
                   4169:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   4170:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  4171:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  4172:       
                   4173:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  4174:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  4175: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   4176:     }
1.207     brouard  4177:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  4178: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  4179:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  4180: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  4181:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  4182:   }
1.126     brouard  4183:   return;
                   4184: }
                   4185: 
                   4186: 
                   4187: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   4188: 
                   4189: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   4190: {
1.319     brouard  4191:   int i,j,k, jk, jkk=0, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  4192:   double **xi;
                   4193:   double fret;
                   4194:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   4195:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  4196: 
                   4197: #ifdef NLOPT
                   4198:   int creturn;
                   4199:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   4200:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   4201:   double *lb;
                   4202:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   4203:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   4204:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   4205: #endif
                   4206: 
                   4207: 
1.126     brouard  4208:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4209:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4210:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   4211:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   4212:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  4213:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  4214:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   4215:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4216:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   4217:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   4218:   }
                   4219:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   4220:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   4221:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   4222:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4223:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  4224: #ifdef POWELL
1.319     brouard  4225: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   4226: #else /* LINMINORIGINAL */
                   4227:   
                   4228:   flatdir=ivector(1,npar); 
                   4229:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   4230: #endif /*LINMINORIGINAL */
                   4231: 
                   4232: #ifdef FLATSUP
                   4233:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,flatdir,func);
                   4234:   /* reorganizing p by suppressing flat directions */
                   4235:   for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4236:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4237:       if (k != i) {
                   4238:         printf("%d%d flatdir[%d]=%d",i,k,jk, flatdir[jk]);
                   4239:         if(flatdir[jk]==1){
                   4240:           printf(" To be skipped %d%d flatdir[%d]=%d ",i,k,jk, flatdir[jk]);
                   4241:         }
                   4242:         for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   4243:           printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   4244:           jk++; 
                   4245:         }
                   4246:         printf("\n");
                   4247:       }
                   4248:     }
                   4249:   }
                   4250: /* skipping */
                   4251:   /* for(i=1, jk=1, jkk=1;(flatdir[jk]==0)&& (i <=nlstate); i++){ */
                   4252:   for(i=1, jk=1, jkk=1;i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4253:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4254:       if (k != i) {
                   4255:         printf("%d%d flatdir[%d]=%d",i,k,jk, flatdir[jk]);
                   4256:         if(flatdir[jk]==1){
                   4257:           printf(" To be skipped %d%d flatdir[%d]=%d jk=%d p[%d] ",i,k,jk, flatdir[jk],jk, jk);
                   4258:           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel;  jk++,j++){
                   4259:             printf(" p[%d]=%12.7f",jk, p[jk]);
                   4260:             /*q[jjk]=p[jk];*/
                   4261:           }
                   4262:         }else{
                   4263:           printf(" To be kept %d%d flatdir[%d]=%d jk=%d q[%d]=p[%d] ",i,k,jk, flatdir[jk],jk, jkk, jk);
                   4264:           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel;  jk++,jkk++,j++){
                   4265:             printf(" p[%d]=%12.7f=q[%d]",jk, p[jk],jkk);
                   4266:             /*q[jjk]=p[jk];*/
                   4267:           }
                   4268:         }
                   4269:         printf("\n");
                   4270:       }
                   4271:       fflush(stdout);
                   4272:     }
                   4273:   }
                   4274:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,flatdir,func);
                   4275: #else  /* FLATSUP */
1.126     brouard  4276:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.319     brouard  4277: #endif  /* FLATSUP */
                   4278: 
                   4279: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   4280: #else
                   4281:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,npar); 
                   4282: #endif  /* LINMINORIGINAL*/
                   4283: #endif /* POWELL */
1.126     brouard  4284: 
1.162     brouard  4285: #ifdef NLOPT
                   4286: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   4287:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   4288: #else
                   4289:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   4290: #endif
                   4291:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   4292:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   4293:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   4294:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   4295:   
                   4296:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   4297:   d->function = func;
                   4298:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   4299:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   4300:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   4301:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   4302:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   4303:   }
                   4304:   else {
                   4305:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   4306:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   4307:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   4308:   }
                   4309:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   4310: #endif
1.319     brouard  4311: #ifdef FLATSUP
                   4312:   /* npared = npar -flatd/ncovmodel; */
                   4313:   /* xired= matrix(1,npared,1,npared); */
                   4314:   /* paramred= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */
                   4315:   /* powell(pred,xired,npared,ftol,&iter,&fret,flatdir,func); */
                   4316:   /* free_matrix(xire,1,npared,1,npared); */
                   4317: #else  /* FLATSUP */
                   4318: #endif /* FLATSUP */
1.126     brouard  4319:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4320:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  4321:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   4322:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  4323:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  4324: 
                   4325: }
                   4326: 
                   4327: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  4328: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  4329: {
                   4330:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  4331:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  4332:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  4333:   int *indx;
                   4334: 
                   4335:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  4336:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  4337:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   4338:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   4339:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  4340:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4341: 
                   4342:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4343:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4344:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  4345:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   4346:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  4347:    
                   4348:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   4349:     
                   4350:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   4351:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   4352:   }
                   4353:   
                   4354:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   4355:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   4356:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  4357:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   4358:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   4359:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  4360:        
                   4361:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   4362:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   4363:       }
                   4364:     }
                   4365:   }
                   4366:   printf("\n");
                   4367:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4368: 
                   4369:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4370:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4371:   
                   4372:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4373:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4374:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4375:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4376:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4377:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4378:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4379: 
                   4380:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4381:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4382:     x[j]=1;
                   4383:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4384:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4385:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4386:     }
                   4387:   }
                   4388: 
                   4389:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4390:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4391:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4392:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4393:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4394:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4395:     }
                   4396:     printf("\n");
                   4397:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4398:   }
                   4399: 
1.203     brouard  4400:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4401:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4402:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4403:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4404:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4405:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4406:   /*   } */
                   4407:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4408:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4409:   /* } */
                   4410: 
1.126     brouard  4411:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4412:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4413:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4414:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4415: 
                   4416:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4417: 
                   4418:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4419:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4420:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4421:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4422:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4423:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4424:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4425:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4426:   /*   } */
                   4427:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4428:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4429:   /* } */
                   4430: 
                   4431:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4432: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4433:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4434: 
1.203     brouard  4435:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4436:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4437: 
                   4438:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4439:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4440:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4441:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4442:     }
                   4443:     printf("\n");
                   4444:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4445:   }
1.203     brouard  4446: #endif
1.126     brouard  4447: 
                   4448:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4449:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4450:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4451:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4452:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4453: 
                   4454: 
                   4455: }
                   4456: 
                   4457: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4458: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4459: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4460:   int i;
                   4461:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4462:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4463:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4464:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4465:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4466:   double l1;
                   4467: 
                   4468:   fx=func(x);
                   4469:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4470:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4471:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4472:     delts=delt;
                   4473:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4474:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4475:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4476:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4477:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4478:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4479:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4480:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4481:       
1.203     brouard  4482: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4483:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4484:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4485: #endif
                   4486:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4487:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4488:        k=kmax;
                   4489:       }
                   4490:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4491:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4492:       }
                   4493:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4494:        delts=delt;
                   4495:       }
1.203     brouard  4496:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4497:   }
                   4498:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4499:   return res; 
                   4500:   
                   4501: }
                   4502: 
1.203     brouard  4503: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4504: {
                   4505:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4506:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4507:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4508:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4509:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4510:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4511: 
                   4512:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4513:   
1.126     brouard  4514:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4515:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4516:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4517:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4518:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4519:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4520:   
1.203     brouard  4521:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4522:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4523:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4524:   
1.203     brouard  4525:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4526:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4527:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4528:   
1.203     brouard  4529:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4530:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4531:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4532:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4533:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4534:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4535:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4536:     }
                   4537:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4538:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4539:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4540:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4541:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4542:     }
                   4543: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4544:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4545:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4546:     cv12=res;
                   4547:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4548:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4549:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4550:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4551:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4552:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4553:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4554:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4555:     }
1.126     brouard  4556: #endif
                   4557:   }
                   4558:   return res;
                   4559: }
                   4560: 
1.203     brouard  4561:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4562: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4563: /* { */
                   4564: /*   int i; */
                   4565: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4566: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4567: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4568: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4569: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4570: /*   double l1; */
                   4571:   
                   4572: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4573: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4574: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4575: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4576: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4577: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4578: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4579: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4580: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4581: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4582:       
                   4583: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4584: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4585: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4586:       
                   4587: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4588: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4589: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4590:       
                   4591: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4592: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4593: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4594: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4595: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4596: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4597: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4598: /* #endif */
                   4599: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4600: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4601: /*       } */
                   4602: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4603: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4604: /*       } */
                   4605: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4606: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4607: /*       } */
                   4608: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4609: /*   } */
                   4610: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4611: /*   return res;  */
                   4612: /* } */
                   4613: 
                   4614: 
1.126     brouard  4615: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4616: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4617: { 
                   4618:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4619:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4620:   double *vv; 
                   4621:  
                   4622:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4623:   *d=1.0; 
                   4624:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4625:     big=0.0; 
                   4626:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4627:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4628:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4629:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4630:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4631:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4632:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4633:       }
                   4634:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4635:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4636:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4637:     }
1.126     brouard  4638:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4639:   } 
                   4640:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4641:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4642:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4643:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4644:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4645:     } 
                   4646:     big=0.0; 
                   4647:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4648:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4649:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4650:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4651:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4652:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4653:        big=dum; 
                   4654:        imax=i; 
                   4655:       } 
                   4656:     } 
                   4657:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4658:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4659:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4660:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4661:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4662:       } 
                   4663:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4664:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4665:     } 
                   4666:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4667:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4668:     if (j != n) { 
                   4669:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4670:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4671:     } 
                   4672:   } 
                   4673:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4674: ;
                   4675: } 
                   4676: 
                   4677: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4678: { 
                   4679:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4680:   double sum; 
                   4681:  
                   4682:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4683:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4684:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4685:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4686:     if (ii) 
                   4687:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4688:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4689:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4690:   } 
                   4691:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4692:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4693:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4694:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4695:   } 
                   4696: } 
                   4697: 
                   4698: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4699: {
1.196     brouard  4700:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4701: }
                   4702: 
1.297     brouard  4703: void date2dmy(double date,double *day, double *month, double *year){
                   4704:   double yp=0., yp1=0., yp2=0.;
                   4705:   
                   4706:   yp1=modf(date,&yp);/* extracts integral of date in yp  and
                   4707:                        fractional in yp1 */
                   4708:   *year=yp;
                   4709:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   4710:   *month=yp;
                   4711:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   4712:   *day=yp;
                   4713:   if(*day==0) *day=1;
                   4714:   if(*month==0) *month=1;
                   4715: }
                   4716: 
1.253     brouard  4717: 
                   4718: 
1.126     brouard  4719: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4720: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4721:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4722:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4723: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4724:   
1.265     brouard  4725:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4726:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4727:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4728:   int first;
                   4729:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4730:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4731:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.284     brouard  4732:   double *meanq, *stdq, *idq;
1.226     brouard  4733:   double **meanqt;
                   4734:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4735:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4736:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4737:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4738:     
                   4739:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4740:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4741:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4742:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4743:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4744:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.284     brouard  4745:   stdq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.283     brouard  4746:   idq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.226     brouard  4747:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4748:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4749:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4750:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4751:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4752:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4753:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4754:     exit(0);
                   4755:   }
1.240     brouard  4756:   
1.226     brouard  4757:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4758:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4759:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4760:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4761:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4762:     exit(70); 
                   4763:   }
                   4764:   else{
                   4765:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4766: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4767: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4768:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4769:   }
1.319     brouard  4770:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies (weight=%d) and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm, weightopt);
1.240     brouard  4771:   
1.226     brouard  4772:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4773:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4774:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4775:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4776:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4777:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4778:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4779:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.319     brouard  4780: ,<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                  \
1.214     brouard  4781: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4782:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4783:   }
1.319     brouard  4784:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>(weight=%d) frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr,weightopt);
1.240     brouard  4785:   
1.253     brouard  4786:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4787:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4788:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4789:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4790:   
1.227     brouard  4791:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4792:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4793:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4794:   
                   4795:   
1.226     brouard  4796:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4797:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4798:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4799:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4800:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4801:   */
1.249     brouard  4802:   dateintsum=0;
                   4803:   k2cpt=0;
                   4804: 
1.253     brouard  4805:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4806:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4807:   else
                   4808:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4809: 
                   4810:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4811:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4812:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4813:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4814:    *     Loop on iind
                   4815:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4816:    *     end iind
                   4817:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4818:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4819:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4820:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4821:    *     Loop on age
                   4822:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4823:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4824:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4825:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4826:    *       end s1
                   4827:    *     end age
                   4828:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4829:    *     end compute starting values
                   4830:    *   end j1
                   4831:    * end nl 
                   4832:    */
1.253     brouard  4833:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4834:     if(nj==1)
                   4835:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4836:     else{
1.253     brouard  4837:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4838:     }
1.251     brouard  4839:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4840:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4841:       posproptt=0.;
                   4842:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4843:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4844:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4845:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4846:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4847:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4848:       
                   4849:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4850:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4851:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4852:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4853:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4854:       }
1.283     brouard  4855:       for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* zeroing for each combination j1 as well as for the total */
1.284     brouard  4856:         idq[z1]=0.;
                   4857:         meanq[z1]=0.;
                   4858:         stdq[z1]=0.;
1.283     brouard  4859:       }
                   4860:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
1.251     brouard  4861:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
1.283     brouard  4862:       /*         meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4863:       /*       } */
                   4864:       /* }       */
1.251     brouard  4865:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4866:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4867:       
1.265     brouard  4868:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4869:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4870:        bool=1;
                   4871:        if(j !=0){
                   4872:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4873:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4874:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4875:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4876:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4877:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4878:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4879:                /* }else  */
                   4880:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4881:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4882:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4883:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4884:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4885:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4886:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4887:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4888:              } /* end z1 */
                   4889:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4890:          } /* end any */
                   4891:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4892:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4893:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
1.284     brouard  4894:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For each wave */
1.251     brouard  4895:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4896:            if(j!=0){
                   4897:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4898:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4899:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4900:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4901:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4902:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4903:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4904:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4905:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4906:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4907:                      bool=0;
                   4908:                    }
                   4909:                  }
                   4910:                }
                   4911:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4912:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4913:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
1.284     brouard  4914:            if(bool==1){ /*Selected */
1.251     brouard  4915:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4916:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4917:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4918:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4919:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4920:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4921:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4922:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4923:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4924:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4925:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4926:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4927:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4928:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4929:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4930:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4931:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.311     brouard  4932:                  for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /* Quantitative variables, calculating mean on known values only */
                   4933:                    if(!isnan(covar[ncovcol+z1][iind])){
                   4934:                        idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind];
                   4935:                        meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind];  /* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
                   4936:                        /* stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind]*weight[iind]; *//*error*/
                   4937:                        stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind]; /* *weight[iind];*/  /* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter */
                   4938:                    }
1.284     brouard  4939:                  }
1.251     brouard  4940:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4941:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4942:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4943:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4944:                }
1.251     brouard  4945:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4946:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4947:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4948:                k2cpt++;
                   4949:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4950:              }
1.251     brouard  4951:            }else{
                   4952:              bool=1;
                   4953:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4954:          } /* end m */
1.284     brouard  4955:          /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) { /\* Quantitative variables, calculating mean *\/ */
                   4956:          /*   idq[z1]=idq[z1]+weight[iind]; */
                   4957:          /*   meanq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4958:          /*   stdq[z1]+=covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*covar[ncovcol+z1][iind]*weight[iind]*weight[iind]; /\* *weight[iind];*\/  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4959:          /* } */
1.251     brouard  4960:        } /* end bool */
                   4961:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
1.319     brouard  4962:       /* prop[s][age] is fed for any initial and valid live state as well as
1.251     brouard  4963:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4964:       
                   4965:       
                   4966:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4967:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4968:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4969:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4970:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4971:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4972:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4973:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4974:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4975:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4976:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4977:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4978:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4979:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4980:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4981:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4982:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4983:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4984:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4985:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4986:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4987:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4988:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4989:          }
                   4990:        }
                   4991:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4992:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4993:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4994:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4995:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4996:       }
1.284     brouard  4997:       /*
                   4998:        Printing means of quantitative variables if any
                   4999:       */
                   5000:       for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {
1.311     brouard  5001:        fprintf(ficlog,"Mean of fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.3g (weighted) individuals sum=%f", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1], meanq[z1]);
1.312     brouard  5002:        fprintf(ficlog,", mean=%.3g\n",meanq[z1]/idq[z1]);
1.284     brouard  5003:        if(weightopt==1){
                   5004:          printf(" Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
                   5005:          fprintf(ficlog," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
                   5006:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr," Weighted mean and standard deviation of");
                   5007:        }
1.311     brouard  5008:        /* mu = \frac{w x}{\sum w}
                   5009:            var = \frac{\sum w (x-mu)^2}{\sum w} = \frac{w x^2}{\sum w} - mu^2 
                   5010:        */
                   5011:        printf(" fixed quantitative variable V%d on  %.3g (weighted) representatives of the population : %8.5g (%8.5g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt(stdq[z1]/idq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1]/idq[z1]));
                   5012:        fprintf(ficlog," fixed quantitative variable V%d on  %.3g (weighted) representatives of the population : %8.5g (%8.5g)\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt(stdq[z1]/idq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1]/idq[z1]));
                   5013:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr," fixed quantitative variable V%d on %.3g (weighted) representatives of the population : %8.5g (%8.5g)<p>\n", ncovcol+z1, idq[z1],meanq[z1]/idq[z1], sqrt(stdq[z1]/idq[z1]-meanq[z1]*meanq[z1]/idq[z1]/idq[z1]));
1.284     brouard  5014:       }
                   5015:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqtveff; z1++) { */
                   5016:       /*       for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   5017:       /*         fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"V quantitative id %d, pass id=%d, mean=%f<p>\n", z1, m, meanqt[m][z1]); */
                   5018:       /*   } */
                   5019:       /* } */
1.283     brouard  5020: 
1.251     brouard  5021:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  5022:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   5023:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   5024:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  5025:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  5026:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  5027:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   5028:       }
1.265     brouard  5029:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  5030:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   5031:       
                   5032:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   5033:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   5034:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  5035:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  5036:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  5037:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   5038:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  5039:        }
1.226     brouard  5040:       }
1.251     brouard  5041:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   5042:     
                   5043:       /* For each age */
                   5044:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   5045:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   5046:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   5047:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   5048:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   5049:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   5050:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   5051:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   5052:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   5053:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   5054:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   5055:        }else{
1.240     brouard  5056:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  5057:            first=0;
                   5058:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   5059:          }
                   5060:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   5061:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   5062:        }
1.265     brouard  5063:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   5064:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   5065:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  5066:        }
1.265     brouard  5067:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  5068:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  5069:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   5070:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  5071:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  5072:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  5073:            }
1.265     brouard  5074:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  5075:          }else{
                   5076:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  5077:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   5078:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  5079:          }
                   5080:        }
                   5081:       
1.265     brouard  5082:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   5083:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   5084:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   5085:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   5086:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   5087:       
                   5088:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   5089:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   5090:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   5091:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   5092:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   5093:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   5094:        }
                   5095:        
                   5096:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   5097:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   5098:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   5099:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   5100:           }
                   5101:         }else if( nj==2){
                   5102:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   5103:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   5104:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   5105:           }
1.240     brouard  5106:        }
1.265     brouard  5107:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  5108:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  5109:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  5110:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   5111:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  5112:          }else{
                   5113:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  5114:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   5115:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  5116:          }
                   5117:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   5118:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  5119:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   5120:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   5121:               }else if( nj==2){
                   5122:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   5123:               }
                   5124:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   5125:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   5126:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   5127:            } else{
                   5128:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   5129:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  5130:            }
1.240     brouard  5131:          }
1.265     brouard  5132:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   5133:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  5134:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  5135:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  5136:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  5137:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  5138:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  5139:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  5140:              }
1.265     brouard  5141:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   5142:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  5143:            }
1.265     brouard  5144:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   5145:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  5146:          }
1.265     brouard  5147:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  5148:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  5149:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   5150:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  5151:        }
                   5152:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  5153:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   5154:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   5155:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   5156:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  5157:        }
1.251     brouard  5158:        if(first==1)
                   5159:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   5160:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5161:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  5162:       
1.251     brouard  5163:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  5164:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  5165:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  5166:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  5167:        }else{
1.265     brouard  5168:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  5169:        }
1.226     brouard  5170:       }
1.251     brouard  5171:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   5172:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   5173:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  5174:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  5175:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   5176:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  5177:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   5178:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  5179:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  5180:       }else{
1.251     brouard  5181:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   5182:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  5183:       }
1.251     brouard  5184:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   5185:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5186:       if(j!=0){
                   5187:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  5188:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  5189:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   5190:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  5191:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  5192:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  5193:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   5194:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   5195:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  5196:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   5197:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  5198:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   5199:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   5200:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  5201:                  }
1.253     brouard  5202:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   5203:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   5204:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   5205:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  5206:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  5207:                  }
1.268     brouard  5208:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   5209:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  5210:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  5211:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   5212:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  5213:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   5214:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   5215:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  5216:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  5217:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   5218:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  5219:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  5220:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   5221:                  ;
                   5222:                }
                   5223:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   5224:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  5225:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  5226:              } /* end jj */
                   5227:            } /* end k!= i */
                   5228:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  5229:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  5230:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   5231:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   5232:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   5233:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   5234:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  5235:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  5236:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   5237:          if (k != i) {
                   5238:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   5239:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   5240:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  5241:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  5242:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  5243:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   5244:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   5245:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  5246:              }
                   5247:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   5248:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  5249:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  5250:            }
1.251     brouard  5251:            printf("\n");
                   5252:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  5253:          }
                   5254:        }
1.284     brouard  5255:       } /* end of state i */
1.251     brouard  5256:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   5257:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  5258:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   5259:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   5260:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   5261:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   5262:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   5263:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   5264:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   5265:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  5266:          /* } */
                   5267:        }
1.265     brouard  5268:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  5269:       
                   5270:       printf("\n");
                   5271:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5272:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  5273:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  5274: 
1.253     brouard  5275:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  5276:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   5277:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   5278:        if(j!=i){
                   5279:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   5280:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   5281:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   5282:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   5283:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   5284:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   5285:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   5286:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   5287:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   5288:            jk++;
                   5289:          }
                   5290:          printf("\n");
                   5291:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   5292:        }
                   5293:       }
                   5294:     }
                   5295:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  5296:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.296     brouard  5297:   date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean);
1.240     brouard  5298:   
1.226     brouard  5299:   fclose(ficresp);
                   5300:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   5301:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
1.283     brouard  5302:   free_vector(idq,1,nqfveff);
1.226     brouard  5303:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
1.284     brouard  5304:   free_vector(stdq,1,nqfveff);
1.226     brouard  5305:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  5306:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   5307:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  5308:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  5309:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   5310:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  5311:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  5312:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   5313:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   5314: }
1.126     brouard  5315: 
1.268     brouard  5316: /* Simple linear regression */
                   5317: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   5318: 
                   5319:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   5320:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   5321:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   5322:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   5323:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   5324:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   5325:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   5326:   double yhat;
                   5327:   
                   5328:   double denom=0;
                   5329:   int i;
                   5330:   int ne=*no;
                   5331:   
                   5332:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   5333:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   5334:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   5335:       continue;
                   5336:     }
                   5337:     ne=ne+1;
                   5338:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   5339:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   5340:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   5341:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   5342:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   5343:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   5344:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   5345:   } 
                   5346:   
                   5347:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   5348:   if (denom == 0) {
                   5349:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   5350:     *b = INFINITY;
                   5351:     *a = 0;
                   5352:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   5353:     return 1;
                   5354:   }
                   5355:   
                   5356:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   5357:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   5358:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   5359:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   5360:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   5361:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   5362:   }
                   5363:   *no=ne;
                   5364:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   5365:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   5366:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   5367:       continue;
                   5368:     }
                   5369:     ne=ne+1;
                   5370:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   5371:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   5372:     
                   5373:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   5374:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   5375:   } 
                   5376:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   5377:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   5378:   
                   5379:   return 0; 
                   5380: }
                   5381: 
1.126     brouard  5382: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  5383: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   5384: {  
                   5385:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   5386:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   5387:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   5388:   */
1.126     brouard  5389:  
1.227     brouard  5390:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   5391:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   5392:   int iage;
                   5393:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   5394: 
                   5395:   double **prop;
                   5396:   double posprop; 
                   5397:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   5398:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   5399:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   5400: 
                   5401:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   5402:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   5403:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5404:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  5405:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   5406:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  5407:   
1.227     brouard  5408:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   5409:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  5410:   
1.288     brouard  5411:   first=0;
1.227     brouard  5412:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   5413:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  5414:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  5415:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   5416:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5417:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   5418:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5419:     
                   5420:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   5421:       bool=1;
                   5422:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   5423:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   5424:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   5425:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   5426:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   5427:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   5428:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5429:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5430:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5431:              bool=0;
                   5432:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5433:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5434:              bool=0;
                   5435:            }
                   5436:        }
                   5437:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5438:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5439:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5440:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5441:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5442:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5443:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5444:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5445:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5446:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5447:                exit(1);
                   5448:              }
                   5449:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5450:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5451:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5452:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5453:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5454:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5455:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5456:        } /* end bool */
                   5457:       } /* end wave */
                   5458:     } /* end individual */
                   5459:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5460:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5461:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5462:       } 
                   5463:       
                   5464:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5465:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5466:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5467:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5468:          } else{
1.288     brouard  5469:            if(!first){
                   5470:              first=1;
1.266     brouard  5471:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5472:            }else{
1.288     brouard  5473:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases.\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5474:            }
                   5475:          }
                   5476:        } 
                   5477:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5478:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5479:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5480:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5481:   
1.227     brouard  5482:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5483:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5484:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5485: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5486: 
                   5487: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5488: 
                   5489: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5490: {
1.298     brouard  5491:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves in the sense that a non interview is useless) of individual i.
1.126     brouard  5492:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5493:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5494:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
1.298     brouard  5495:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm. s[m][i] exists for any wave from firstpass to lastpass
1.227     brouard  5496:   */
1.126     brouard  5497: 
1.224     brouard  5498:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5499:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5500:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5501:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5502:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5503:   double sum=0.;
                   5504:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5505:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5506:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5507:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5508:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5509:   jmax=-1;
                   5510:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5511: 
                   5512: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5513:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5514:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5515:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.309     brouard  5516:     m=firstpass;  /* Loop on waves */
                   5517:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state or unknown state  */
1.227     brouard  5518:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5519:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5520:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
1.309     brouard  5521:        mw[++mi][i]=m; /* Valid wave: incrementing mi and updating mi; mw[mi] is the wave number of mi_th valid transition   */
1.227     brouard  5522:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5523:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5524:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5525:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5526:       }
1.309     brouard  5527:       else{ /* m = lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5528: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5529:        break;
1.224     brouard  5530: #else
1.317     brouard  5531:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){ /* no death date and known date of interview, case -2 (vital status unknown is warned later */
1.227     brouard  5532:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.302     brouard  5533:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p_{%d%d} .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5534:            firsthree=1;
1.317     brouard  5535:          }else if(firsthree >=1 && firsthree < 10){
                   5536:            fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p_{%d%d} .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
                   5537:            firsthree++;
                   5538:          }else if(firsthree == 10){
                   5539:            printf("Information, too many Information flags: no more reported to log either\n");
                   5540:            fprintf(ficlog,"Information, too many Information flags: no more reported to log either\n");
                   5541:            firsthree++;
                   5542:          }else{
                   5543:            firsthree++;
1.227     brouard  5544:          }
1.309     brouard  5545:          mw[++mi][i]=m; /* Valid transition with unknown status */
1.227     brouard  5546:          mli=m;
                   5547:        }
                   5548:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5549:          nbwarn++;
1.309     brouard  5550:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified?not a transition */
1.227     brouard  5551:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5552:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5553:          }
                   5554:          break;
                   5555:        }
                   5556:        break;
1.224     brouard  5557: #endif
1.227     brouard  5558:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5559:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5560: 
1.227     brouard  5561:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5562:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5563: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5564:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5565:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5566:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5567:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5568:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5569:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5570:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5571:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5572: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5573:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5574:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.309     brouard  5575:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* month of death occured before last wave month and status should have been death instead of -1 */
1.227     brouard  5576:          nbwarn++;
                   5577:          if(firstfiv==0){
1.309     brouard  5578:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d, interviewed on %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5579:            firstfiv=1;
                   5580:          }else{
1.309     brouard  5581:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d, interviewed on %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5582:          }
1.309     brouard  5583:            s[m][i]=nlstate+1; /* Fixing the status as death. Be careful if multiple death states */
                   5584:        }else{ /* Month of Death occured afer last wave month, potential bias */
1.227     brouard  5585:          nberr++;
                   5586:          if(firstwo==0){
1.309     brouard  5587:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d with status %d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive on this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictitious wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status. See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5588:            firstwo=1;
                   5589:          }
1.309     brouard  5590:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d with status %d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive on this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictitious wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status. See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5591:        }
1.257     brouard  5592:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5593:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5594:        if(firstfour==0){
1.309     brouard  5595:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d with status %d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5596:          firstfour=1;
                   5597:        }
1.309     brouard  5598:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d  with status %d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5599:       }
1.224     brouard  5600:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5601: #endif
1.309     brouard  5602:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli),  */
                   5603:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i];   */
1.126     brouard  5604:     if(mi==0){
                   5605:       nbwarn++;
                   5606:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5607:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5608:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5609:       }
                   5610:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5611:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5612:       }
                   5613:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5614:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5615:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5616:        
1.317     brouard  5617:   printf("Information, you have to check %d informations which haven't been logged!\n",firsthree);
                   5618:   fprintf(ficlog,"Information, you have to check %d informations which haven't been logged!\n",firsthree);
                   5619: 
                   5620: 
1.126     brouard  5621:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5622:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5623:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5624:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5625:       else{
1.260     brouard  5626:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5627:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5628:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5629:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5630:            else if(j<0){
                   5631:              nberr++;
                   5632:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5633:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5634:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5635:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5636:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5637:            }
                   5638:            k=k+1;
                   5639:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5640:              jmax=j;
                   5641:              ijmax=i;
                   5642:            }
                   5643:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5644:              jmin=j;
                   5645:              ijmin=i;
                   5646:            }
                   5647:            sum=sum+j;
                   5648:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5649:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5650:          }
                   5651:        }
                   5652:        else{
                   5653:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5654: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5655:                                        
1.227     brouard  5656:          k=k+1;
                   5657:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5658:            jmax=j;
                   5659:            ijmax=i;
                   5660:          }
                   5661:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5662:            jmin=j;
                   5663:            ijmin=i;
                   5664:          }
                   5665:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5666:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5667:          if(j<0){
                   5668:            nberr++;
                   5669:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5670:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5671:          }
                   5672:          sum=sum+j;
                   5673:        }
                   5674:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5675:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5676:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5677:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5678:          if(jl==0){
                   5679:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5680:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5681:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5682:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5683:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5684:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5685:          }
                   5686:        }else{
                   5687:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5688:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5689:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5690:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5691:                                 */
                   5692:          }
                   5693:          else{
                   5694:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5695:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5696:          }
                   5697:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5698:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5699:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5700:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5701:          }
                   5702:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5703:       }
                   5704:     } /* end wave */
                   5705:   }
                   5706:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5707:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5708:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5709: }
1.126     brouard  5710: 
                   5711: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5712:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5713:  {
                   5714:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5715:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5716:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5717:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5718:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5719:     */
1.130     brouard  5720: 
1.242     brouard  5721:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5722:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5723:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5724:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5725: 
                   5726: 
1.242     brouard  5727:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5728:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5729:  
1.242     brouard  5730:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.285     brouard  5731:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++)
                   5732:      for(j=1; j<=2; j++)
                   5733:        nbcode[k][j]=0; /* Valgrind */
1.126     brouard  5734: 
1.242     brouard  5735:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5736:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5737:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5738:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5739:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5740:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
1.311     brouard  5741:         modmaxcovj=0;
                   5742:         modmincovj=0;
1.242     brouard  5743:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5744:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5745:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5746:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5747:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5748:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5749:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5750:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5751:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5752:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5753:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5754:             modmincovj=ij; 
1.287     brouard  5755:           if (ij <0 || ij >1 ){
1.311     brouard  5756:             printf("ERROR, IMaCh doesn't treat covariate with missing values V%d=-1, individual %d will be skipped.\n",Tvar[k],i);
                   5757:             fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR, currently IMaCh doesn't treat covariate with missing values V%d=-1, individual %d will be skipped.\n",Tvar[k],i);
                   5758:             fflush(ficlog);
                   5759:             exit(1);
1.287     brouard  5760:           }
                   5761:           if ((ij < -1) || (ij > NCOVMAX)){
1.242     brouard  5762:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5763:             exit(1);
                   5764:           }else
                   5765:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5766:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5767:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5768:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5769:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5770:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5771:           */
                   5772:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5773:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5774:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5775:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5776:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5777:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5778:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5779:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5780:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5781:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5782:             if( j != -1){
                   5783:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5784:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5785:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5786:             }
                   5787:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5788:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5789:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5790:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5791:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5792:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5793:                        
1.242     brouard  5794:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5795:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5796:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5797:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5798:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5799:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5800:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5801:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5802:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5803:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5804:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5805:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5806:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
1.287     brouard  5807: 
                   5808:         /* for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { */ /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5809:         /* Skipping the case of missing values by reducing nbcode to 0 and 1 and not -1, 0, 1 */
                   5810:         /* model=V1+V2+V3, if V2=-1, 0 or 1, then nbcode[2][1]=0 and nbcode[2][2]=1 instead of
                   5811:          * nbcode[2][1]=-1, nbcode[2][2]=0 and nbcode[2][3]=1 */
                   5812:         /*, could be restored in the future */
                   5813:         for (i=0; i<=1; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
1.242     brouard  5814:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5815:             break;
                   5816:           }
                   5817:           ij++;
1.287     brouard  5818:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1 . Could be -1*/
1.242     brouard  5819:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5820:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5821:         break;
                   5822:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5823:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5824:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5825:         ij=0;
                   5826:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5827:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5828:         }
                   5829:         break;
                   5830:        default:
                   5831:         break;
                   5832:        } /* end switch */
                   5833:      } /* end dummy test */
1.311     brouard  5834:      if(Dummy[k]==1 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5835:        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5836:         if(isnan(covar[Tvar[k]][i])){
                   5837:           printf("ERROR, IMaCh doesn't treat fixed quantitative covariate with missing values V%d=., individual %d will be skipped.\n",Tvar[k],i);
                   5838:           fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR, currently IMaCh doesn't treat covariate with missing values V%d=., individual %d will be skipped.\n",Tvar[k],i);
                   5839:           fflush(ficlog);
                   5840:           exit(1);
                   5841:          }
                   5842:        }
                   5843:      }
1.287     brouard  5844:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate k. nbcode[Tvark][1]=-1, nbcode[Tvark][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvark][2]=1 sets the value of covariate k*/  
1.242     brouard  5845:   
                   5846:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5847:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5848:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5849:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5850:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5851:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5852:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5853:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5854:   
                   5855:    ij=0;
                   5856:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5857:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5858:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5859:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5860:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5861:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5862:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5863:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5864:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5865:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5866:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5867:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5868:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5869:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5870:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5871:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5872:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5873:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5874:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5875:      } 
                   5876:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5877:    /* ij--; */
                   5878:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5879:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5880:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5881:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5882:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5883:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5884:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5885:    }
                   5886:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5887:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5888:    }
                   5889:    /* To be sorted */
                   5890:    ;
                   5891:  }
1.126     brouard  5892: 
1.145     brouard  5893: 
1.126     brouard  5894: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5895: 
1.235     brouard  5896:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5897: 
                   5898: {
                   5899:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5900:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5901:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5902:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5903:   double ***p3mat;
                   5904:   double eip;
                   5905: 
1.238     brouard  5906:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5907:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5908:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5909:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5910:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5911:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5912:     }
                   5913:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5914:   }
                   5915:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5916: 
                   5917:   
                   5918:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5919:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5920:   }
                   5921:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5922:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5923:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5924:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5925:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5926:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5927:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5928:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5929:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5930:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5931:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5932: 
                   5933:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5934:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5935:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5936:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5937:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5938:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5939:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5940:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5941:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5942:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5943:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5944:   */
                   5945:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5946: 
                   5947:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5948:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5949:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5950:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5951:     
                   5952: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5953:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5954:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5955:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5956:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5957:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5958: 
                   5959:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5960:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5961:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5962:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5963:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5964: 
                   5965:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5966:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5967:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5968:     
1.235     brouard  5969:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5970:     
                   5971:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5972:     
                   5973:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5974:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5975:     
                   5976:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5977:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5978:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5979:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5980:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5981:          
                   5982:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5983: 
                   5984:        }
                   5985: 
                   5986:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5987:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5988:       eip=0;
                   5989:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5990:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5991:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5992:       }
                   5993:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5994:     }
                   5995:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5996:     
                   5997:   }
                   5998:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5999:   printf("\n");
                   6000:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   6001:   
                   6002: }
                   6003: 
1.235     brouard  6004:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  6005: 
                   6006: {
                   6007:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  6008:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  6009:   */
                   6010:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   6011:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   6012:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   6013:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   6014:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6015:   double *xp, *xm;
                   6016:   double **gp, **gm;
                   6017:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   6018:   int theta;
                   6019: 
                   6020:   double eip, vip;
                   6021: 
                   6022:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6023:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6024:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   6025:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   6026:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6027:   
                   6028:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   6029:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   6030:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   6031:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6032:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6033:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6034:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   6035:   }
                   6036:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   6037: 
                   6038:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   6039:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   6040:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   6041:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6042:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6043:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   6044:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   6045:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   6046:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   6047:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   6048:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   6049:        }
                   6050:     }
                   6051:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   6052:   
                   6053:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   6054:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   6055:   }
                   6056:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   6057:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   6058:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   6059:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   6060:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   6061:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   6062:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   6063:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   6064:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   6065:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   6066:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   6067: 
                   6068:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   6069:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   6070:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   6071:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   6072:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   6073:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   6074:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   6075:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   6076:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   6077:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   6078:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   6079:   */
                   6080:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6081: 
                   6082:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6083:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   6084:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   6085:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   6086:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   6087:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   6088:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   6089:   
                   6090:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6091:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6092:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6093:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   6094:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6095:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6096: 
                   6097:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6098:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   6099:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   6100:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   6101:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  6102:                
1.126     brouard  6103:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6104:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   6105:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   6106:     
                   6107:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  6108:                
1.126     brouard  6109:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   6110:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   6111:        decrease memory allocation */
                   6112:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6113:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  6114:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6115:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  6116:       }
1.235     brouard  6117:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   6118:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6119:                        
1.126     brouard  6120:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  6121:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   6122:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   6123:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   6124:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   6125:          }
                   6126:        }
1.126     brouard  6127:       }
1.218     brouard  6128:                        
1.126     brouard  6129:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  6130:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   6131:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   6132:        }
1.126     brouard  6133:     }/* End theta */
                   6134:     
                   6135:     
                   6136:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   6137:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  6138:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6139:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  6140:     
1.218     brouard  6141:                
1.222     brouard  6142:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  6143:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  6144:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  6145:                
1.222     brouard  6146:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   6147:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   6148:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  6149:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  6150:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6151:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6152:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   6153:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   6154:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  6155:       }
                   6156:     }
1.320     brouard  6157:     /* if((int)age ==50){ */
                   6158:     /*   printf(" age=%d cij=%d nres=%d varhe[%d][%d]=%f ",(int)age, cij, nres, 1,2,varhe[1][2]); */
                   6159:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6160:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  6161:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6162:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6163:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  6164:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   6165:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  6166:                                        
1.222     brouard  6167:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  6168:                                        
1.222     brouard  6169:        }
1.269     brouard  6170: 
                   6171:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  6172:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   6173:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6174:       eip=0.;
                   6175:       vip=0.;
                   6176:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  6177:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   6178:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   6179:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   6180:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  6181:       }
                   6182:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   6183:     }
                   6184:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  6185:                
1.269     brouard  6186:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  6187:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   6188:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6189:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  6190:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   6191:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   6192:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   6193:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   6194:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   6195:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   6196:          }
1.126     brouard  6197:       }
                   6198:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  6199:                
1.126     brouard  6200:   }
                   6201:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6202:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6203:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6204:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   6205:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6206:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6207:   printf("\n");
                   6208:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  6209:        
1.126     brouard  6210:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   6211:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6212:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   6213:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   6214:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6215: }
1.218     brouard  6216:  
1.126     brouard  6217: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  6218:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  6219:  {
1.279     brouard  6220:    /** Variance of health expectancies 
                   6221:     *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
                   6222:     * double **newm;
                   6223:     * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
                   6224:     */
1.218     brouard  6225:   
                   6226:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   6227:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6228:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   6229:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
1.288     brouard  6230:    int first=0;
1.218     brouard  6231:    int k;
                   6232:    double *xp;
1.279     brouard  6233:    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
                   6234:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
                   6235:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
                   6236:    double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
                   6237:    double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
1.218     brouard  6238:    double ***p3mat;
                   6239:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   6240:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   6241:    int theta;
                   6242:    char digit[4];
                   6243:    char digitp[25];
                   6244: 
                   6245:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6246: 
                   6247:    if(popbased==1){
                   6248:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   6249:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   6250:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   6251:    }
                   6252:    else 
                   6253:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  6254: 
1.218     brouard  6255:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   6256:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6257:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   6258:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   6259:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   6260:    /*   } */
                   6261:    /* } */
                   6262: 
                   6263:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   6264:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   6265:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   6266:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   6267:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   6268:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   6269:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6270:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   6271:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   6272:    }
                   6273:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   6274:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   6275:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6276:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  6277:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   6278:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6279:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   6280:    }
                   6281:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   6282:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   6283:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6284: 
1.218     brouard  6285:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   6286:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6287:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   6288:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6289:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   6290:    }  
                   6291:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6292:   
                   6293:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   6294:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   6295:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   6296:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   6297:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
1.279     brouard  6298: 
1.218     brouard  6299:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6300:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   6301:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   6302:    if(popbased==1)
                   6303:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   6304:    else
                   6305:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   6306:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   6307:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6308:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6309:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   6310:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6311: 
                   6312:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6313:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6314:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6315:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6316:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6317: 
                   6318:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6319:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6320:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6321:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  6322:   
1.218     brouard  6323:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   6324:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   6325:    }
                   6326:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   6327:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   6328:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   6329:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   6330:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   6331:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   6332:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   6333:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   6334:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   6335:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   6336:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   6337:    */
                   6338:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6339:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   6340:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6341:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6342:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   6343:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6344:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6345:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6346:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6347:                
                   6348:                
                   6349:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6350:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   6351:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6352:        }
1.279     brouard  6353:        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
                   6354:        * returns into prlim .
1.288     brouard  6355:        */
1.242     brouard  6356:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.279     brouard  6357: 
                   6358:        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
1.218     brouard  6359:        if (popbased==1) {
                   6360:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   6361:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6362:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6363:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6364:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6365:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6366:         }
                   6367:        }
1.295     brouard  6368:        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}x\f$ at horizon h.
1.279     brouard  6369:        */                      
                   6370:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
1.292     brouard  6371:        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}x\f$, which are the probability
1.279     brouard  6372:        * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
                   6373:        */
1.218     brouard  6374:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   6375:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   6376:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6377:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   6378:         }
                   6379:        }
1.279     brouard  6380:        /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
1.218     brouard  6381:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
1.279     brouard  6382:          as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
1.218     brouard  6383:        */
                   6384:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6385:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   6386:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
1.279     brouard  6387:        }
                   6388:        
                   6389:        /* Again with minus shift */
1.218     brouard  6390:                        
                   6391:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   6392:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.288     brouard  6393: 
1.242     brouard  6394:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6395:                        
                   6396:        if (popbased==1) {
                   6397:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   6398:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6399:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6400:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6401:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6402:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6403:         }
                   6404:        }
                   6405:                        
1.235     brouard  6406:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  6407:                        
                   6408:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   6409:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   6410:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6411:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   6412:         }
                   6413:        }
                   6414:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6415:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6416:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6417:        */
                   6418:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6419:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   6420:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   6421:        }    
1.279     brouard  6422:        /* end shifting computations */
                   6423: 
                   6424:        /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
                   6425:        */
1.218     brouard  6426:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   6427:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   6428:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   6429:         }
1.279     brouard  6430:        /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
                   6431:        */
                   6432:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
1.218     brouard  6433:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   6434:        }
                   6435:                        
                   6436:      } /* End theta */
1.279     brouard  6437:      
                   6438:      /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */               
1.218     brouard  6439:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   6440:                
                   6441:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   6442:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6443:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6444:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   6445:                
                   6446:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   6447:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6448:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
1.279     brouard  6449:      /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
                   6450:       */               
1.218     brouard  6451:                
                   6452:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   6453:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6454:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6455:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
1.279     brouard  6456: 
                   6457:      /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
                   6458:       * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
                   6459:       * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
                   6460:       */
                   6461:      
1.218     brouard  6462:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   6463:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   6464:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6465:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6466:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6467:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6468:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   6469:        }
                   6470:      }
                   6471:                
1.279     brouard  6472:      /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
                   6473:       * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
                   6474:       * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
                   6475:       * wix is independent of theta.
                   6476:       */
1.218     brouard  6477:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6478:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6479:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6480:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6481:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6482:      /* end ppptj */
                   6483:      /*  x centered again */
                   6484:                
1.242     brouard  6485:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6486:                
                   6487:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6488:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6489:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6490:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6491:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6492:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6493:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6494:        }
                   6495:      }
                   6496:                
                   6497:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6498:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6499:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6500:      */
1.235     brouard  6501:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6502:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6503:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6504:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6505:      }    
                   6506:      /* end probability of death */
                   6507:                
                   6508:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6509:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6510:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6511:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6512:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6513:        }
                   6514:      } 
                   6515:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6516:                
                   6517:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6518:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6519:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6520:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6521:        }
                   6522:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6523:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6524:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6525:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6526:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6527:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6528:    } /* End age */
                   6529:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6530:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6531:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6532:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6533:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6534:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6535:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6536:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6537:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6538:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6539:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6540:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6541:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6542:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6543:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6544:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6545:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6546:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6547:     */
1.218     brouard  6548:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6549:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6550: 
1.218     brouard  6551:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6552:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6553:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6554:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6555:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6556:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6557:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6558:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6559:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6560:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6561:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6562: 
                   6563: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6564:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6565: {
1.205     brouard  6566:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6567:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6568: 
1.268     brouard  6569:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6570:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6571:   double *xp;
                   6572:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6573:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6574:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6575:   double age,agelim;
                   6576:   int theta;
                   6577:   
                   6578:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
1.288     brouard  6579:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (forward stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6580:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6581:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6582:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6583:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6584:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6585:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6586: 
                   6587:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6588:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6589:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6590:   
                   6591:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6592:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6593:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6594:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6595:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6596:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6597:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6598:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6599:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6600:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6601:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6602:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6603: 
                   6604:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6605:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6606:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6607:       }
1.288     brouard  6608:       /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ) */
                   6609:       /*       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
                   6610:       /* else */
                   6611:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6612:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6613:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6614:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6615:       }
1.126     brouard  6616:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6617:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.288     brouard  6618:       /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ) */
                   6619:       /*       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
                   6620:       /* else */
                   6621:       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6622:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6623:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6624:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6625:       }
1.126     brouard  6626:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6627:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6628:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6629:     } /* End theta */
                   6630: 
                   6631:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6632: 
                   6633:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6634:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6635:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6636:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6637:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6638:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6639:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6640:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6641:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6642:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6643:     /*   } */
                   6644:     /* } */
                   6645:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6646:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6647:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6648:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6649:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6650:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6651:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6652:     /*   } */
                   6653:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6654: 
                   6655:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6656:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6657:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6658:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6659:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6660:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6661:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6662:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6663:     }
1.126     brouard  6664:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6665:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6666: 
                   6667:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6668:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6669:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.288     brouard  6670:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6671:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
1.288     brouard  6672:       /* for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) */
                   6673:       /*       fprintf(ficresvpl," %d %.5f ",j,prlim[j][i]); */
                   6674:     }
1.126     brouard  6675:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6676:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6677:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6678:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6679:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6680:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6681:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6682:   } /* End age */
                   6683: 
                   6684:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6685:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6686:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6687: 
                   6688: }
                   6689: 
                   6690: 
                   6691: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6692:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6693: {
                   6694:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6695:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6696: 
                   6697:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6698:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6699:   double *xp;
                   6700:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6701:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6702:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6703:   double age,agelim;
                   6704:   int theta;
                   6705:   
                   6706:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6707:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6708:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6709:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6710:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6711:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6712:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6713:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6714: 
                   6715:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6716:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6717:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6718:   
                   6719:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6720:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6721:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6722:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6723:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6724:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6725:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6726:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6727:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6728:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6729:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6730:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6731: 
                   6732:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6733:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6734:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6735:       }
                   6736:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6737:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6738:       else
                   6739:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6740:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6741:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6742:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6743:       }
                   6744:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6745:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6746:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6747:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6748:        else
                   6749:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6750:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6751:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6752:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6753:       }
                   6754:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6755:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6756:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6757:     } /* End theta */
                   6758: 
                   6759:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6760: 
                   6761:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6762:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6763:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6764:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6765:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6766:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6767:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6768:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6769:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6770:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6771:     /*   } */
                   6772:     /* } */
                   6773:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6774:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6775:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6776:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6777:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6778:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6779:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6780:     /*   } */
                   6781:     /* } */
                   6782: 
                   6783:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6784:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6785:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6786:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6787:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6788:     }else{
                   6789:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6790:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6791:     }
                   6792:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6793:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6794: 
                   6795:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6796:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6797:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6798:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6799:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6800:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6801:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6802:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6803:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6804:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6805:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6806:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6807:   } /* End age */
                   6808: 
                   6809:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6810:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6811:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6812: 
                   6813: }
                   6814: 
                   6815: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6816: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6817:  {
                   6818:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6819:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6820:    int k=0, l;
                   6821:    int first=1, first1, first2;
1.326   ! brouard  6822:    int nres=0; /* New */
1.222     brouard  6823:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6824:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6825:    double *xp;
                   6826:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6827:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6828:    double **mu;
                   6829:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6830:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6831:    int theta;
                   6832:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6833:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6834:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6835:    double ***varpij;
                   6836: 
                   6837:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6838:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6839:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6840:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6841:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6842:    }
                   6843:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6844:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6845:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6846:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6847:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6848:    }
                   6849:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6850:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6851:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6852:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6853:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6854:    }
                   6855:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6856:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6857:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6858:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6859:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6860:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6861:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6862:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6863:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6864:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6865:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6866:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6867:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6868:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6869:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6870: 
                   6871: 
1.222     brouard  6872:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6873:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6874:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6875:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6876:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6877:      }  
                   6878:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6879:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6880:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6881:    */
                   6882:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6883:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6884:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6885:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6886:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6887:    first=1;
                   6888:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6889:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6890:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6891: 
1.288     brouard  6892:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. File %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6893:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6894:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6895: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6896:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6897:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6898: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6899: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6900: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6901:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6902:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6903: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6904: 
1.222     brouard  6905:    cov[1]=1;
                   6906:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6907:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6908:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6909:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6910:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.326   ! brouard  6911:      for(nres=1;nres <=1; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
        !          6912:      /* for(nres=1;nres <=nresult; nres++){ /\* For each resultline *\/ */
1.222     brouard  6913:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6914:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6915:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6916:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6917:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6918:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6919:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6920:                        
1.222     brouard  6921:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6922:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6923:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6924:                        
                   6925:                        
1.222     brouard  6926:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.319     brouard  6927:        /* for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); */
                   6928:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtmcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6929:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6930:                        
1.222     brouard  6931:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6932:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6933:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6934:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6935:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6936:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6937:         continue;
                   6938:        }
                   6939:      }
                   6940:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6941:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6942:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6943:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6944:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6945:        cov[2]=age;
                   6946:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6947:         cov[3]= age*age;
1.326   ! brouard  6948:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
        !          6949:        /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)]; */
        !          6950:        for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
        !          6951:         /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'j1' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
        !          6952:         cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
1.222     brouard  6953:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6954:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6955:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6956:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6957:                                                                    */
                   6958:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6959:        }
1.319     brouard  6960:        /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   6961:        /* ) p nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][(1 & (ij-1) >> (k-1))+1] */
                   6962:        /*for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
1.326   ! brouard  6963:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
        !          6964:         if(Dummy[Tage[k]]==2){ /* dummy with age */
        !          6965:           cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(j1,k)]*cov[2];
        !          6966:           /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
        !          6967:         } else if(Dummy[Tage[k]]==3){ /* quantitative with age */
        !          6968:           cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k];
        !          6969:           /* cov[++k1]=Tqresult[nres][k];  */
        !          6970:         }
        !          6971:         /* cov[2+Tage[k]+nagesqr]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
        !          6972:        }
        !          6973:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){/* For product without age */
        !          6974:         if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
        !          6975:           if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
        !          6976:             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(j1,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(j1,k)];
        !          6977:             /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
        !          6978:           }else{ /* Should we use the mean of the quantitative variables? */
        !          6979:             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(j1,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
        !          6980:             /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k]; */
        !          6981:           }
        !          6982:         }else{
        !          6983:           if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
        !          6984:             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(j1,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
        !          6985:             /* cov[++k1]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]; */
        !          6986:           }else{
        !          6987:             cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
        !          6988:             /* cov[++k1]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]]; */
        !          6989:           }
        !          6990:         }
        !          6991:         /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
        !          6992:        }                       
        !          6993: /* For each age and combination of dummy covariates we slightly move the parameters of delti in order to get the gradient*/                    
1.222     brouard  6994:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6995:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6996:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6997:                                
1.222     brouard  6998:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6999:                                
1.222     brouard  7000:         k=0;
                   7001:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   7002:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   7003:             k=k+1;
                   7004:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   7005:           }
                   7006:         }
1.220     brouard  7007:                                
1.222     brouard  7008:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   7009:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  7010:                                
1.222     brouard  7011:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   7012:         k=0;
                   7013:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   7014:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   7015:             k=k+1;
                   7016:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   7017:           }
                   7018:         }
1.220     brouard  7019:                                
1.222     brouard  7020:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   7021:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   7022:        }
1.126     brouard  7023: 
1.222     brouard  7024:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   7025:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   7026:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  7027:                        
1.222     brouard  7028:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   7029:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  7030:                        
1.222     brouard  7031:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  7032:                        
1.222     brouard  7033:        k=0;
                   7034:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   7035:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   7036:           k=k+1;
                   7037:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   7038:         }
                   7039:        }
                   7040:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   7041:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   7042:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  7043:                        
1.222     brouard  7044:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   7045:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   7046:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   7047:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   7048:         }*/
1.220     brouard  7049:                        
1.222     brouard  7050:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   7051:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   7052:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  7053:                        
1.222     brouard  7054:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   7055:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   7056:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   7057:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   7058:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   7059:        }
                   7060:        i=0;
                   7061:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   7062:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   7063:           i++;
                   7064:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   7065:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   7066:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   7067:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   7068:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   7069:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   7070:           }
                   7071:         }
                   7072:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   7073:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   7074:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   7075:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   7076:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   7077:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   7078:     
                   7079:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   7080:      /*
                   7081:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   7082:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   7083:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   7084:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   7085:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   7086:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   7087:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   7088:      */
                   7089:                
                   7090:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   7091:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   7092:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   7093:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   7094:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   7095:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   7096:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   7097:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   7098:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   7099:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   7100:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   7101:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   7102:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   7103:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   7104:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   7105:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   7106:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   7107:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   7108:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   7109:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   7110:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   7111:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   7112:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   7113:                   if(first2==1){
                   7114:                     first1=0;
                   7115:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   7116:                   }
                   7117:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   7118:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   7119:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   7120:                 }
1.220     brouard  7121:                                                                
1.222     brouard  7122:                 /* Eigen vectors */
1.280     brouard  7123:                 if(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12 <1.e-5){
                   7124:                   printf(" Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   7125:                   fprintf(ficlog," Error sqrt of a negative number: %lf\n",1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12);
                   7126:                   v11=(1./sqrt(fabs(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12)));
                   7127:                 }else
                   7128:                   v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
1.222     brouard  7129:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   7130:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   7131:                 v12=-v21;
                   7132:                 v22=v11;
                   7133:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   7134:                 if(first1==1){
                   7135:                   first1=0;
                   7136:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   7137:                 }
                   7138:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   7139:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   7140:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   7141:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   7142:                 if(first==1){
                   7143:                   first=0;
                   7144:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   7145:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   7146:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7147:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  7148:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  7149:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  7150: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  7151:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   7152:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7153:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7154:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   7155:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7156:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   7157:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7158:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.280     brouard  7159:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)), \
                   7160:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(fabs(lc1)),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  7161:                 }else{
                   7162:                   first=0;
                   7163:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   7164:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7165:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   7166:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  7167:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   7168:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  7169:                 }/* if first */
                   7170:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   7171:             } /* end loop age */
                   7172:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   7173:             first=1;
                   7174:           } /*l12 */
                   7175:         } /* k12 */
                   7176:        } /*l1 */
                   7177:      }/* k1 */
1.326   ! brouard  7178:    } /* loop on nres */
1.222     brouard  7179:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   7180:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   7181:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   7182:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   7183:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   7184:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   7185:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   7186:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   7187:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   7188:    fflush(ficgp);
                   7189:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   7190:  }
1.126     brouard  7191: 
                   7192: 
                   7193: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  7194: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  7195:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   7196:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.296     brouard  7197:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int prevbcast, int estepm , \
                   7198:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateprojd, double dateback1, \
                   7199:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateprojf, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  7200:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.319     brouard  7201:   /* In fact some results are already printed in fichtm which is open */
1.126     brouard  7202:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   7203:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   7204: </ul>");
1.319     brouard  7205: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \ */
                   7206: /* </ul>", model); */
1.214     brouard  7207:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   7208:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   7209:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   7210:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  7211:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   7212:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  7213:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   7214:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  7215:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  7216:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  7217:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   7218:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7219:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.288     brouard  7220:  - Period (forward) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  7221:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  7222:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.288     brouard  7223:  - Backward prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.217     brouard  7224:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   7225:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  7226:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  7227:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  7228:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  7229:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   7230:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   7231:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  7232:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  7233:    }
1.126     brouard  7234: 
                   7235: 
1.225     brouard  7236:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  7237:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  7238: 
1.317     brouard  7239:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs (first order)</b></li><p>");
1.264     brouard  7240: 
                   7241:    jj1=0;
                   7242: 
                   7243:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   7244:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   7245:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   7246:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7247:        continue;
                   7248:      jj1++;
                   7249:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   7250:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   7251:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7252:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7253:        }
                   7254:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7255:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7256:        }
                   7257:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   7258:        
                   7259:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   7260:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   7261:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7262:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7263:        }
                   7264:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7265:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7266:        }
                   7267:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7268:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   7269:         continue;
                   7270:        }
                   7271:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   7272:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   7273:    }
1.317     brouard  7274:    fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
1.264     brouard  7275: 
1.222     brouard  7276:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  7277: 
                   7278:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  7279:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  7280:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7281:        continue;
1.220     brouard  7282: 
1.222     brouard  7283:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   7284:      jj1++;
                   7285:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  7286:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   7287:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7288:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7289:        }
                   7290:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7291:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7292:        }
                   7293:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   7294:  
1.222     brouard  7295:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  7296:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  7297:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7298:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   7299:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   7300:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  7301:        }
1.237     brouard  7302:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7303:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7304:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   7305:       }
                   7306:        
1.230     brouard  7307:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.321     brouard  7308:        fprintf(fichtm," (model=%s) ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">",model);
1.222     brouard  7309:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7310:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   7311:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7312:         continue;
                   7313:        }
                   7314:      }
                   7315:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  7316:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  7317: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7318:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  7319:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   7320: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  7321:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   7322:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  7323:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  7324:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  7325: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   7326: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  7327:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   7328:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.292     brouard  7329:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. And probability to be observed in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  7330: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7331:      }
                   7332:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   7333:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.292     brouard  7334:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d and in any other live state (total).\
                   7335:  And probability to be observed in various states (up to %d) being in state %d at different ages.      \
1.283     brouard  7336:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7337:      }
1.288     brouard  7338:      /* Period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
1.222     brouard  7339:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  7340:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   7341: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7342:      }
1.296     brouard  7343:      if(prevbcast==1){
1.288     brouard  7344:        /* Backward prevalence in each health state */
1.222     brouard  7345:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  7346:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  7347: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7348:        }
1.217     brouard  7349:      }
1.222     brouard  7350:      if(prevfcast==1){
1.288     brouard  7351:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
1.222     brouard  7352:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.314     brouard  7353:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) forward prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateprojd, dateprojf, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7354:         fprintf(fichtm," (data from text file  <a href=\"%s.txt\">%s.txt</a>)\n<br>",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"F_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"F_"));
                   7355:         fprintf(fichtm,"<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",
                   7356:                 subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7357:        }
                   7358:      }
1.296     brouard  7359:      if(prevbcast==1){
1.268     brouard  7360:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   7361:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  7362:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   7363:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   7364:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
1.314     brouard  7365: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7366:         fprintf(fichtm," (data from text file  <a href=\"%s.txt\">%s.txt</a>)\n<br>",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"FB_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"FB_"));
                   7367:         fprintf(fichtm," <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7368:        }
                   7369:      }
1.220     brouard  7370:         
1.222     brouard  7371:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.314     brouard  7372:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7373:        fprintf(fichtm," (data from text file  <a href=\"%s.txt\"> %s.txt</a>)\n<br>",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"));
                   7374:        fprintf(fichtm,"<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres );
1.222     brouard  7375:      }
                   7376:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   7377:    }/* End k1 */
                   7378:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  7379: 
1.222     brouard  7380:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  7381: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  7382:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  7383:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  7384: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   7385: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   7386: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   7387: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   7388: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   7389: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   7390: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  7391: 
1.222     brouard  7392:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   7393:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   7394:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  7395:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  7396:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  7397: 
1.222     brouard  7398:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  7399:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  7400:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   7401:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  7402:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   7403:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  7404:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  7405:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  7406:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   7407:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  7408:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  7409:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.288     brouard  7410:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the forward (period) prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  7411:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   7412:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  7413:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  7414:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   7415:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.288     brouard  7416:  - Standard deviation of forward (period) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  7417:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  7418: 
                   7419: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   7420: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   7421: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   7422: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   7423: /*  else  */
                   7424: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  7425:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  7426: 
1.225     brouard  7427:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  7428:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  7429: 
1.317     brouard  7430:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs (second order)</b></li><p>");
                   7431: 
                   7432:   jj1=0;
                   7433: 
                   7434:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   7435:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   7436:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   7437:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7438:        continue;
                   7439:      jj1++;
                   7440:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   7441:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescovsecond");
                   7442:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7443:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7444:        }
                   7445:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7446:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7447:        }
                   7448:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   7449:        
                   7450:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   7451:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   7452:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7453:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7454:        }
                   7455:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7456:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7457:        }
                   7458:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7459:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   7460:         continue;
                   7461:        }
                   7462:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   7463:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   7464:    }
                   7465:    fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   7466: 
1.222     brouard  7467:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  7468: 
1.241     brouard  7469:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  7470:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  7471:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7472:        continue;
1.222     brouard  7473:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   7474:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  7475:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.317     brouard  7476:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescovsecond");
                   7477:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   7478:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   7479:        }
                   7480:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7481:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7482:        }
                   7483:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   7484:        
1.126     brouard  7485:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.317     brouard  7486:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  7487:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
1.317     brouard  7488:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
1.237     brouard  7489:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
1.317     brouard  7490:        }
1.237     brouard  7491:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7492:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7493:       }
                   7494: 
1.321     brouard  7495:        fprintf(fichtm," (model=%s) ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">",model);
1.220     brouard  7496: 
1.222     brouard  7497:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7498:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   7499:         continue;
                   7500:        }
1.126     brouard  7501:      }
                   7502:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  7503:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.314     brouard  7504: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7505:        fprintf(fichtm," (data from text file  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a>)\n <br>",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
                   7506:        fprintf(fichtm,"<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"), cpt,k1,nres);
1.126     brouard  7507:      }
                   7508:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.314     brouard  7509: health expectancies in each live states (1 to %d). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
1.128     brouard  7510: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   7511:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.314     brouard  7512:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>",nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
                   7513:      fprintf(fichtm," (data from text file <a href=\"%s.txt\">%s.txt</a>) \n<br>",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"T_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"T_"));
                   7514:      fprintf(fichtm,"<img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  7515:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   7516:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  7517:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  7518:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   7519:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  7520: }
                   7521: 
                   7522: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.296     brouard  7523: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int prevbcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  7524: 
                   7525:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  7526:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  7527:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  7528:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  7529:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  7530:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  7531:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  7532:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   7533:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  7534:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  7535:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  7536: 
1.126     brouard  7537: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   7538: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7539: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7540: /*   } */
                   7541: 
                   7542:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7543:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  7544:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  7545:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7546: 
1.274     brouard  7547:   /* diagram of the model */
                   7548:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   7549:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   7550:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   7551:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7552: 
                   7553:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7554:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   7555:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7556:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   7557:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   7558:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   7559:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   7560: 
1.202     brouard  7561:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   7562:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  7563:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   7564:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   7565:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   7566:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  7567: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  7568:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   7569: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  7570:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   7571:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7572:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7573:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7574:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7575:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7576:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7577:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7578:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7579:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7580:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7581:     }
                   7582:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7583:   }
                   7584:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7585:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7586:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7587:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7588:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7589: 
1.126     brouard  7590:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7591:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7592:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7593:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7594:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7595:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7596:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7597:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7598:          continue;
                   7599:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7600:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.288     brouard  7601:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Forward (stable period) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7602:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7603:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7604:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7605:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7606:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7607:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7608:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7609:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7610:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7611:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7612:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7613:        }
                   7614:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7615:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7616:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7617:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7618:        }
                   7619:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7620:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7621:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7622:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7623:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7624:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7625:          continue;
                   7626:        }
1.235     brouard  7627:       
1.241     brouard  7628:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7629:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276     brouard  7630:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
1.321     brouard  7631:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s model=%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel,model);
1.260     brouard  7632:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7633:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7634:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7635:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7636:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7637:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7638:        }
1.288     brouard  7639:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Forward prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7640:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7641:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7642:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7643:        } 
1.260     brouard  7644:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7645:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7646:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7647:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7648:        }  
1.265     brouard  7649:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7650:        
                   7651:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7652:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7653:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7654:        }else{
                   7655:          kl=0;
                   7656:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7657:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7658:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7659:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7660:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7661:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7662:            kl++;
                   7663:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7664:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7665:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7666:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7667:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7668:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7669:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7670:            }else{
                   7671:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7672:              kl++;
                   7673:            }
                   7674:          } /* end covariate */
                   7675:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7676: 
1.296     brouard  7677:        if(prevbcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
1.238     brouard  7678:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7679:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7680:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7681:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7682:          }else{
                   7683:            kl=0;
                   7684:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7685:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7686:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7687:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7688:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7689:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7690:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7691:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7692:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7693:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7694:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7695:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7696:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7697:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7698:              }else{
                   7699:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7700:                kl++;
                   7701:              }
                   7702:            } /* end covariate */
                   7703:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.296     brouard  7704:          if(prevbcast == 1){
1.268     brouard  7705:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7706:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7707:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7708:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7709:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7710:            }
1.271     brouard  7711:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7712:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7713:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7714:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7715:            } 
1.276     brouard  7716:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7717:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7718:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7719:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7720:            } 
1.274     brouard  7721:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7722:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.296     brouard  7723:        } /* end if prevbcast */
1.276     brouard  7724:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
                   7725:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7726:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7727:     } /* k1 */
                   7728:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7729: 
                   7730:   
1.126     brouard  7731:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7732:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7733:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7734:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7735:        continue;
                   7736:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7737:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7738:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7739:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7740:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7741:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7742:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7743:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7744:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7745:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7746:       }
1.237     brouard  7747:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7748:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7749:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7750:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7751:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7752:       }
1.264     brouard  7753:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7754:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7755:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7756:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7757:        continue;
                   7758:       }
1.219     brouard  7759:                        
1.241     brouard  7760:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7761:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7762:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7763:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7764:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7765:        }else
1.238     brouard  7766:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7767:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7768:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7769:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7770:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7771:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7772:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7773:          }   
                   7774:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7775:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7776:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7777:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7778:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7779:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7780:          }   
                   7781:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7782:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7783:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7784:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7785:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7786:          }   
                   7787:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7788:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7789:        } /* state */
                   7790:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7791:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7792:     } /* end nres */
                   7793:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7794:        
                   7795:        
                   7796:   /*3eme*/
                   7797:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7798:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7799:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7800:        continue;
                   7801: 
                   7802:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7803:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7804:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7805:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7806:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7807:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7808:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7809:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7810:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7811:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7812:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7813:        }
                   7814:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7815:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7816:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7817:        }       
1.264     brouard  7818:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7819:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7820:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7821:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7822:          continue;
                   7823:        }
                   7824:                        
                   7825:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7826:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7827:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7828:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7829:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7830: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7831:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7832:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7833:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7834:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7835:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7836:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7837:                                
1.238     brouard  7838:        */
                   7839:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7840:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7841:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7842:                                
1.238     brouard  7843:        } 
1.261     brouard  7844:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7845:       }
1.264     brouard  7846:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7847:     } /* end nres */
                   7848:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7849:   
1.223     brouard  7850:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7851:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7852:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7853:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7854:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7855:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7856:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7857:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7858:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7859:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7860:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7861:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7862:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7863:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7864:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7865:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7866:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7867:        }
                   7868:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7869:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7870:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7871:        }       
1.264     brouard  7872:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7873:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7874:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7875:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7876:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7877:        }
1.238     brouard  7878:       
1.241     brouard  7879:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7880:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7881:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7882: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7883:        k=3;
                   7884:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7885:          if(i==1){
                   7886:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7887:          }else{
                   7888:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7889:          }
                   7890:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7891:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7892:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7893:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7894:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7895:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7896:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7897:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7898:     } /* end nres */
                   7899:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7900: 
1.220     brouard  7901: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7902:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7903:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7904:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7905:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7906:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7907:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7908:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7909:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7910:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7911:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7912:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7913:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7914:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7915:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7916:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7917:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7918:        }
                   7919:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7920:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7921:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7922:        }       
1.264     brouard  7923:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7924:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7925:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7926:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7927:          continue;
                   7928:        }
1.227     brouard  7929:       
1.241     brouard  7930:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7931:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7932:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7933: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7934:        k=3;
                   7935:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7936:          if(j==1)
                   7937:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7938:          else
                   7939:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7940:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7941:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7942:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7943:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7944:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7945:        } /* nlstate */
                   7946:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7947:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7948:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7949:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7950:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7951:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7952:          else
                   7953:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7954:        }
1.264     brouard  7955:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7956:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7957:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7958:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7959:   
1.220     brouard  7960: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7961:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7962:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7963:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7964:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7965:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7966:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7967:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.288     brouard  7968:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (forward): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7969:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7970:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7971:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7972:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7973:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7974:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7975:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7976:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7977:       }
1.237     brouard  7978:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7979:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7980:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7981:       }        
1.264     brouard  7982:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7983:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7984:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7985:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7986:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7987:       }
1.227     brouard  7988:       
1.241     brouard  7989:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7990:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7991:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7992: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7993:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7994:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7995:        if(i==1)
                   7996:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7997:        else
                   7998:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7999:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  8000:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   8001:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   8002:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   8003:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  8004:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  8005:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  8006:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   8007:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  8008:   
                   8009:   
1.220     brouard  8010: /* 7eme */
1.296     brouard  8011:   if(prevbcast == 1){
1.288     brouard  8012:     /* CV backward prevalence  for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  8013:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   8014:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  8015:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  8016:        continue;
1.268     brouard  8017:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  8018:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.288     brouard  8019:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Backward stable prevalence: 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  8020:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   8021:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   8022:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8023:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  8024:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  8025:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   8026:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  8027:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  8028:        }
1.237     brouard  8029:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8030:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  8031:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  8032:        }       
1.264     brouard  8033:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  8034:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   8035:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   8036:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   8037:          continue;
                   8038:        }
                   8039:        
1.241     brouard  8040:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  8041:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  8042:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  8043: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  8044:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  8045:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  8046:          if(i==1)
                   8047:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   8048:          else
                   8049:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   8050:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  8051:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.324     brouard  8052:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   8053:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  8054:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  8055:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   8056:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   8057:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  8058:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  8059:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  8060:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  8061:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   8062:     } /* end covariate */  
1.296     brouard  8063:   } /* End if prevbcast */
1.218     brouard  8064:   
1.223     brouard  8065:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  8066:   if(prevfcast==1){
1.288     brouard  8067:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to forward stable (period) prevalence for each covariate */
1.218     brouard  8068:     
1.237     brouard  8069:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   8070:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  8071:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  8072:        continue;
1.211     brouard  8073:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  8074:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.288     brouard  8075:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to forward stable prevalence (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  8076:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   8077:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   8078:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8079:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   8080:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   8081:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   8082:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  8083:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  8084:        }
1.237     brouard  8085:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8086:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  8087:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  8088:        }       
1.264     brouard  8089:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  8090:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   8091:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   8092:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   8093:          continue;
                   8094:        }
                   8095:        
                   8096:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  8097:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  8098:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  8099:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  8100: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  8101: 
                   8102:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   8103:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   8104:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   8105:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  8106:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8107:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   8108:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8109:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  8110:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  8111:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   8112:          }else{
                   8113:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   8114:          }
                   8115:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   8116:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   8117:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   8118:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   8119:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   8120:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   8121:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  8122:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  8123:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  8124:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   8125:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   8126:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  8127:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  8128:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  8129:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  8130:            }else
1.227     brouard  8131:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   8132:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   8133:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  8134:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   8135:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8136:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   8137:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   8138:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  8139:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   8140:            kl=0;
                   8141:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   8142:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   8143:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   8144:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8145:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   8146:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   8147:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   8148:              kl++;
                   8149:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   8150:              kl++;
                   8151:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   8152:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   8153:            }
                   8154:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   8155:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   8156:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   8157:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   8158:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   8159:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  8160:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   8161:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  8162:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  8163:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   8164:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   8165:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   8166:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  8167: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  8168:            }else{
                   8169:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   8170:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   8171:            }
                   8172:          } /* end if covariate */
                   8173:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  8174:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  8175:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   8176:     } /* end covariate */
                   8177:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  8178:   
1.296     brouard  8179:   if(prevbcast==1){
1.268     brouard  8180:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   8181:     
                   8182:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   8183:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   8184:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   8185:        continue;
                   8186:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   8187:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   8188:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   8189:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   8190:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   8191:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8192:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   8193:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   8194:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   8195:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   8196:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   8197:        }
                   8198:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8199:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8200:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8201:        }       
                   8202:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   8203:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   8204:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   8205:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   8206:          continue;
                   8207:        }
                   8208:        
                   8209:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   8210:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   8211:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   8212:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   8213: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   8214: 
                   8215:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   8216:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   8217:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   8218:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   8219:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8220:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   8221:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8222:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   8223:          if(i==istart){
                   8224:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   8225:          }else{
                   8226:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   8227:          }
                   8228:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   8229:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   8230:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   8231:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   8232:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   8233:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   8234:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   8235:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  8236:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  8237:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   8238:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   8239:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  8240:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  8241:                     offbyear,                          \
                   8242:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   8243:            }else
                   8244:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   8245:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   8246:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  8247:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   8248:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   8249:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   8250:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   8251:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  8252:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   8253:            kl=0;
                   8254:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   8255:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   8256:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   8257:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8258:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   8259:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   8260:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   8261:              kl++;
                   8262:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   8263:              kl++;
                   8264:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   8265:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   8266:            }
                   8267:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   8268:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   8269:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   8270:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   8271:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   8272:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  8273:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   8274:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  8275:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  8276:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  8277:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  8278:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   8279:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   8280:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  8281: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   8282:            }else{
                   8283:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   8284:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   8285:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   8286:            }
                   8287:          } /* end if covariate */
                   8288:        } /* nlstate */
                   8289:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   8290:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   8291:     } /* end covariate */
1.296     brouard  8292:   } /* End if prevbcast */
1.268     brouard  8293:   
1.227     brouard  8294:   
1.238     brouard  8295:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   8296:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  8297:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  8298:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  8299:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   8300:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  8301:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   8302:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   8303:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   8304:          jk++; 
                   8305:        }
                   8306:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  8307:       }
                   8308:     }
1.223     brouard  8309:   }
1.187     brouard  8310:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  8311:   
1.145     brouard  8312:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  8313:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   8314:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  8315:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   8316:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   8317:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   8318:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   8319:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   8320:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   8321:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   8322:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   8323:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   8324:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   8325:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   8326:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   8327:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  8328:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  8329:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  8330:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  8331:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  8332:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   8333:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  8334:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  8335:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  8336:        continue;
1.264     brouard  8337:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   8338:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276     brouard  8339:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  8340:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   8341:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   8342:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   8343:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   8344:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   8345:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   8346:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   8347:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   8348:       }
1.237     brouard  8349:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8350:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  8351:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  8352:       }        
1.264     brouard  8353:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  8354:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  8355:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276     brouard  8356:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
                   8357:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
                   8358:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  8359:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   8360:       if (ng==1){
                   8361:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   8362:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   8363:       }else if (ng==2){
                   8364:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   8365:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   8366:       }else if (ng==3){
                   8367:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   8368:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   8369:       }else
                   8370:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   8371:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   8372:       i=1;
                   8373:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   8374:        k3=i;
                   8375:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   8376:          if (k != k2){
                   8377:            switch( ng) {
                   8378:            case 1:
                   8379:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   8380:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   8381:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   8382:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   8383:              break;
                   8384:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   8385:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   8386:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   8387:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   8388:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   8389:              break;
                   8390:            case 3:
                   8391:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   8392:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   8393:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   8394:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   8395:              break;
                   8396:            }
                   8397:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  8398:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   8399:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   8400:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  8401:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  8402:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
1.325     brouard  8403:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*//* Bug valgrind */
1.268     brouard  8404:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
1.325     brouard  8405:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){/* Bug valgrind */
1.268     brouard  8406:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   8407:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   8408:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   8409:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   8410:                    }
                   8411:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  8412:                  }
1.268     brouard  8413:                } 
                   8414:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   8415:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   8416:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   8417:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   8418:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   8419:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   8420:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   8421:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   8422:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   8423:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   8424:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   8425:                      }
                   8426:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   8427:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   8428:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   8429:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   8430:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   8431:                      }
1.237     brouard  8432:                    }
1.268     brouard  8433:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  8434:                  }
1.268     brouard  8435:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  8436:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  8437:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  8438:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   8439:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   8440:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   8441:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  8442:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  8443:                }
1.237     brouard  8444:              } /* end simple */
                   8445:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  8446:          }else{
                   8447:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   8448:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   8449:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   8450:          }
1.227     brouard  8451:          
1.223     brouard  8452:          if(ng != 1){
                   8453:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  8454:            
1.264     brouard  8455:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  8456:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  8457:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  8458:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  8459:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  8460:               
1.223     brouard  8461:              ij=1;
                   8462:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  8463:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   8464:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   8465:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   8466:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   8467:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   8468:                       ij++;
                   8469:                     }
                   8470:                   }
                   8471:                 }else
                   8472:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  8473:              }
                   8474:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   8475:            }
                   8476:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   8477:            if(ng ==2)
1.276     brouard  8478:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  8479:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276     brouard  8480:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  8481:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   8482:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276     brouard  8483:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  8484:          }
                   8485:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   8486:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   8487:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   8488:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   8489:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   8490:        } /* end k */
                   8491:       } /* end k2 */
1.276     brouard  8492:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
                   8493:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  8494:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  8495:   } /* end ng */
                   8496:   /* avoid: */
                   8497:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  8498: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   8499: 
                   8500: 
                   8501: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  8502: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  8503:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  8504:    
1.222     brouard  8505:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   8506:    int modcovmax =1;
                   8507:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   8508:    int iage=0;
1.288     brouard  8509:    int firstA1=0, firstA2=0;
1.222     brouard  8510: 
1.266     brouard  8511:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  8512:    double age;
1.266     brouard  8513:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   8514:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   8515:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  8516:   
                   8517:   
1.278     brouard  8518:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
                   8519:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
1.222     brouard  8520: 
                   8521:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   8522:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  8523:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8524:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  8525:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  8526:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  8527:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8528: 
                   8529:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  8530:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8531:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8532:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   8533:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  8534:    }
                   8535:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   8536:   
1.266     brouard  8537:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   8538:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  8539:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   8540:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   8541:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8542:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   8543:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8544:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   8545:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   8546:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   8547:      */ 
                   8548:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   8549:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  8550:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   8551:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8552:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  8553:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8554:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   8555:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8556:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8557:             }
                   8558:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  8559:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8560:           } /* end i */
                   8561:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   8562:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  8563:        }/* end age */
                   8564:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  8565:    }else{
                   8566:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  8567:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  8568:    }
                   8569: 
                   8570:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  8571:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   8572:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   8573:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   8574:        continue;
                   8575:      }
1.219     brouard  8576: 
1.266     brouard  8577:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8578:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8579:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8580:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8581:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8582:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8583:        }
                   8584:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8585:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8586:        }
                   8587:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8588:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8589:        }
                   8590:      } /* age */
                   8591:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8592:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8593:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8594:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8595:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8596:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8597:        }
                   8598:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8599:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8600:        }
                   8601:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8602:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8603:        }
                   8604:      } /* age */
                   8605:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8606:      /* but they will change */
1.288     brouard  8607:      firstA1=0;firstA2=0;
1.266     brouard  8608:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8609:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8610:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8611:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8612:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8613:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8614:        }
                   8615:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8616:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8617:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8618:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8619:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8620:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8621:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8622:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8623:           } /* i */
                   8624:         } /* end bad */
                   8625:        }else{
                   8626:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8627:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8628:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8629:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8630:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8631:           } /* i */
                   8632:         } /* end bad */
                   8633:        }/* end else */
                   8634:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8635:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8636:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8637:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8638:        }
                   8639:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.288     brouard  8640:         if(!firstA1){
                   8641:           firstA1=1;
                   8642:           printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
                   8643:         }
                   8644:         fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8645:        } /* end bad */
                   8646:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8647:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.288     brouard  8648:         if(!firstA2){
                   8649:           firstA2=1;
                   8650:           printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
                   8651:         }
                   8652:         fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8653:        } /* end bad */
                   8654:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8655: 
                   8656:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8657:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8658:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8659:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8660:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8661:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8662:        } 
                   8663:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8664:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8665:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8666:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8667:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8668:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8669:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8670:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8671:           } /* i */
                   8672:         } /* end bad */
                   8673:        }else{
                   8674:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8675:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8676:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8677:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8678:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8679:           } /* i */
                   8680:         } /* end bad */
                   8681:        }/* end else */
                   8682:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8683:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8684:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8685:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8686:        }
1.266     brouard  8687:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8688:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8689:        } /* end bad */
                   8690:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8691:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8692:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8693:        } /* end bad */
                   8694:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8695: 
1.222     brouard  8696:                
                   8697:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8698:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8699:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8700:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8701:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8702:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8703:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8704:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8705:        }
                   8706:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8707:      }
                   8708:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8709:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8710: 
1.222     brouard  8711:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8712:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8713:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8714:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8715:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8716:      /*   }     */
                   8717:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8718:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8719:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8720:      /*   } */
                   8721:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8722:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8723:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8724:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8725:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8726:      /*   } */
                   8727:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8728:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8729:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8730:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8731:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8732:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8733:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8734:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8735:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8736:    return 0;
                   8737:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8738:  
1.126     brouard  8739: 
1.296     brouard  8740:  
1.126     brouard  8741: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.296     brouard  8742: /* void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double anprojd, double mprojd, double jprojd, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anprojf, double p[], int cptcoveff)*/
                   8743: void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){
                   8744:   /* dateintemean, mean date of interviews
                   8745:      dateprojd, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8746:      dateprojf date of end of projection;year of end of projection (same day and month as proj1).
1.126     brouard  8747:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8748:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8749:   */
1.296     brouard  8750:   /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; */
                   8751:   /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */
1.267     brouard  8752:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8753:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.296     brouard  8754:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2;
1.126     brouard  8755:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8756:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8757:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8758:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8759: 
                   8760:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8761:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8762:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8763:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8764:   */
1.214     brouard  8765:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8766:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8767:  
1.201     brouard  8768:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8769:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8770:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8771:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8772:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8773:   }
1.235     brouard  8774:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8775:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8776: 
1.225     brouard  8777:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8778: 
                   8779: 
                   8780:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8781:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8782:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8783:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8784:   }
1.270     brouard  8785:   else{
                   8786:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8787:   }
                   8788:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8789:     stepsize=2;
                   8790:   }
1.296     brouard  8791:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
1.126     brouard  8792: 
1.296     brouard  8793:   
                   8794:   /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and */
                   8795:   /*                              fractional in yp1 *\/ */
                   8796:   /* aintmean=yp; */
                   8797:   /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */
                   8798:   /* mintmean=yp; */
                   8799:   /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */
                   8800:   /* jintmean=yp; */
                   8801:   /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
                   8802:   /* if(mintmean==0) mintmean=1; */
1.126     brouard  8803: 
1.296     brouard  8804: 
                   8805:   /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */
                   8806:   /* date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd); */
                   8807:   /* date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf); */
1.227     brouard  8808:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8809:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8810:   
1.296     brouard  8811:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
1.126     brouard  8812:   
                   8813:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8814:   
1.126     brouard  8815: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8816:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8817:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8818:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8819:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8820:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8821:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8822:       continue;
                   8823:     }
                   8824:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8825:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8826:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8827:     }
1.235     brouard  8828:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8829:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8830:     }
1.227     brouard  8831:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8832:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8833:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8834:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8835:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8836:     }
1.296     brouard  8837:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anprojf-anprojd);yearp +=stepsize) {
1.227     brouard  8838:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
1.296     brouard  8839:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojd,mprojd,anprojd+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8840:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8841:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8842:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8843:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8844:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8845:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8846:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8847:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8848:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8849:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8850:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8851:            break;
                   8852:          }
                   8853:        }
                   8854:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8855:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8856:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.296     brouard  8857:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anprojd+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
1.268     brouard  8858:        
                   8859:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8860:          ppij=0.;
                   8861:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.278     brouard  8862:            if (mobilav>=1)
                   8863:             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
                   8864:            else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
                   8865:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   8866:            }
1.268     brouard  8867:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8868:          } /* end i */
                   8869:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8870:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8871:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8872:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8873:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8874:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8875:     } /* end yearp */
                   8876:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8877:        
1.126     brouard  8878:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8879:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8880:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8881: 
1.126     brouard  8882: }
                   8883: 
1.269     brouard  8884: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
1.296     brouard  8885:  /* void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ */
                   8886:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){
                   8887:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backprojection
1.267     brouard  8888:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8889:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8890:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8891:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8892:   */
                   8893:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8894:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.302     brouard  8895:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2; /* ,jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;*/
1.267     brouard  8896:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8897:   double ***p3mat;
                   8898:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8899:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8900:  
1.268     brouard  8901:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8902:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8903:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8904:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8905:   */
                   8906:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8907:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8908: 
                   8909:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8910: 
                   8911:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8912:   
                   8913:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8914:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8915:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8916:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8917:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8918:   }
                   8919:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8920:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8921:   
                   8922:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8923:   
                   8924:    
                   8925:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8926:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8927:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8928:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8929:   }
1.270     brouard  8930:   else{
                   8931:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8932:   }
                   8933:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8934:     stepsize=2;
                   8935:   }
1.267     brouard  8936:   
                   8937:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
1.296     brouard  8938:   /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and */
                   8939:   /*                              fractional in yp1 *\/ */
                   8940:   /* aintmean=yp; */
                   8941:   /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */
                   8942:   /* mintmean=yp; */
                   8943:   /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */
                   8944:   /* jintmean=yp; */
                   8945:   /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
                   8946:   /* if(mintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
1.267     brouard  8947:   
                   8948:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8949:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8950:   
1.296     brouard  8951:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
                   8952:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8953:   
                   8954:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8955:   
                   8956:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8957:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8958:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8959:       continue;
                   8960:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8961:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8962:       continue;
                   8963:     }
1.268     brouard  8964:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8965:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8966:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8967:     }
                   8968:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8969:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8970:     }
                   8971:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8972:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8973:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8974:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8975:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8976:     }
1.296     brouard  8977:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anbackf-anbackd);yearp -=stepsize) {
1.267     brouard  8978:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8979:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
1.296     brouard  8980:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jbackd,mbackd,anbackd+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8981:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8982:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8983:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8984:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8985:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8986:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8987:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8988:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8989:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8990:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8991:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8992:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8993:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8994:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8995:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8996:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8997:            break;
                   8998:          }
                   8999:        }
                   9000:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   9001:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   9002:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.296     brouard  9003:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anbackd+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
1.268     brouard  9004:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   9005:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   9006:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   9007:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  9008:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   9009:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   9010:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   9011:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  9012:              /* else { */
                   9013:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   9014:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  9015:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   9016:          } /* end j */
                   9017:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   9018:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   9019:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   9020:          }
                   9021:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   9022:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  9023:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   9024:       } /* end agec */
                   9025:     } /* end yearp */
                   9026:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  9027:   
1.267     brouard  9028:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  9029:   
1.267     brouard  9030:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   9031:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   9032:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  9033:        
1.267     brouard  9034: }
1.217     brouard  9035: 
1.269     brouard  9036: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   9037:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
1.288     brouard  9038:     /*------- Variance of forward period (stable) prevalence------*/   
1.269     brouard  9039:  
                   9040:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   9041:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   9042:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   9043:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   9044:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   9045:    
                   9046:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   9047:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   9048:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
1.288     brouard  9049:       printf("Problem with variance of forward period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
1.269     brouard  9050:       exit(0);
                   9051:     }
1.288     brouard  9052:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   9053:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  9054:     
                   9055:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   9056:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   9057:     
                   9058:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   9059:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   9060: 
                   9061:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   9062:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   9063:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9064:        continue;
                   9065:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   9066:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   9067:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   9068:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   9069:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9070:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9071:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9072:       }
                   9073:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9074:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9075:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9076:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9077:       }        
                   9078:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   9079:       printf("******\n");
                   9080:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   9081:       
                   9082:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   9083:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   9084:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   9085:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   9086:       /*}*/
                   9087:     }
                   9088:     
                   9089:     fclose(ficresvpl);
1.288     brouard  9090:     printf("done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   9091:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  9092: 
                   9093:  }
                   9094: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   9095:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   9096:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   9097: 
                   9098:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   9099:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   9100: 
                   9101:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   9102:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   9103:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   9104: 
                   9105:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   9106:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   9107:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   9108:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   9109:      exit(0);
                   9110:    }
                   9111:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   9112:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   9113:    
                   9114:    
                   9115:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   9116:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   9117:    
                   9118:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   9119:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   9120:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9121:         continue;
                   9122:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   9123:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   9124:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   9125:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   9126:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9127:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9128:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9129:        }
                   9130:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9131:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9132:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9133:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9134:        }
                   9135:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   9136:        printf("******\n");
                   9137:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   9138:        
                   9139:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   9140:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   9141:        
                   9142:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   9143:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   9144:        /*}*/
                   9145:      }
                   9146:    
                   9147:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   9148:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   9149:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   9150: 
                   9151:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   9152: 
1.126     brouard  9153: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  9154: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  9155:   
1.227     brouard  9156: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   9157: /*   int *popage; */
                   9158: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   9159: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   9160: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   9161: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   9162: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  9163: 
1.227     brouard  9164: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   9165: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   9166: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   9167: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  9168:   
1.227     brouard  9169: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  9170:   
                   9171:   
1.227     brouard  9172: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   9173: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   9174: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   9175: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   9176: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   9177: /*   } */
                   9178: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   9179: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  9180: 
1.227     brouard  9181: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  9182: 
1.227     brouard  9183: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   9184: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   9185: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   9186: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   9187: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   9188: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   9189: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  9190: 
1.227     brouard  9191: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   9192: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  9193:   
1.227     brouard  9194: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  9195:   
1.227     brouard  9196: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   9197: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  9198:        
1.227     brouard  9199: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   9200: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   9201: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   9202: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   9203: /*     }  */
                   9204: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   9205: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   9206: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  9207:     
1.227     brouard  9208: /*     i=1;    */
                   9209: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  9210:     
1.227     brouard  9211: /*     imx=i; */
                   9212: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   9213: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  9214:   
1.227     brouard  9215: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   9216: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   9217: /*       k=k+1; */
                   9218: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   9219: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   9220: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   9221: /*       } */
                   9222: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   9223: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   9224: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   9225: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  9226:       
1.227     brouard  9227: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   9228: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  9229:        
1.227     brouard  9230: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   9231: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   9232: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  9233:          
1.227     brouard  9234: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   9235: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   9236: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  9237:          
1.227     brouard  9238: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   9239: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   9240: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   9241: /*         }  */
                   9242: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   9243: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   9244: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   9245: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   9246: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   9247: /*             else { */
                   9248: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   9249: /*             } */
                   9250: /*           } */
                   9251: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   9252: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   9253: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   9254: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   9255: /*           } */
                   9256: /*         } */
                   9257: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   9258: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   9259: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   9260: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   9261: /*           } */
                   9262: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   9263: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  9264:            
1.227     brouard  9265: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   9266: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   9267: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   9268: /*       } */
                   9269: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   9270: /*     } */
                   9271: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  9272:       
1.227     brouard  9273: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  9274:       
1.227     brouard  9275: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   9276: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   9277: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   9278: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   9279: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  9280:          
1.227     brouard  9281: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   9282: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   9283: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   9284: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   9285: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   9286: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   9287: /*         }  */
                   9288: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   9289: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   9290: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   9291: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   9292: /*           } */
                   9293: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   9294: /*         } */
                   9295: /*       } */
                   9296: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   9297: /*     } */
                   9298: /*       } */
                   9299: /*     }  */
                   9300: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  9301:   
1.227     brouard  9302: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  9303:   
1.227     brouard  9304: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   9305: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   9306: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   9307: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   9308: /*   } */
                   9309: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   9310: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   9311: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   9312: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  9313:  
1.126     brouard  9314: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   9315: {
                   9316:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   9317:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   9318:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   9319:     return (0);
                   9320:   }
                   9321:   fflush(fichier);
                   9322:   return (1);
                   9323: }
                   9324: 
                   9325: 
                   9326: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   9327: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   9328: {
                   9329: 
                   9330:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   9331: 
1.164     brouard  9332:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   9333:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  9334:   int numlinepar;
                   9335: 
                   9336:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   9337:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   9338:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   9339:     jj=0;
                   9340:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   9341:       if(j==i) continue;
                   9342:       jj++;
                   9343:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   9344:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   9345:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   9346:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   9347:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   9348:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   9349:        printf(" 0.");
                   9350:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   9351:       }
                   9352:       printf("\n");
                   9353:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   9354:     }
                   9355:   }
                   9356:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   9357:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   9358:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   9359:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   9360:     jj=0;
                   9361:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   9362:       if(j==i) continue;
                   9363:       jj++;
                   9364:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   9365:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   9366:       fflush(stdout);
                   9367:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   9368:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   9369:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   9370:        printf(" 0.");
                   9371:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   9372:       }
                   9373:       numlinepar++;
                   9374:       printf("\n");
                   9375:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   9376:     }
                   9377:   }
                   9378:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   9379: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   9380: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   9381: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   9382: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   9383: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   9384: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   9385: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   9386: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   9387:   fflush(stdout);
                   9388:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   9389:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   9390:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   9391:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   9392:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   9393:   
                   9394:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   9395:     jj=0;
                   9396:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   9397:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   9398:        if(j==i) continue;
                   9399:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   9400:          jj++;
                   9401:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   9402:          if(itimes==1){
                   9403:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   9404:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   9405:          }else{
                   9406:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   9407:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   9408:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   9409:          }
                   9410:          ll=0;
                   9411:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   9412:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   9413:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   9414:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   9415:                ll++;
                   9416:                if(ll<=jj){
                   9417:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   9418:                  if(ll<jj){
                   9419:                    if(itimes==1){
                   9420:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   9421:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   9422:                    }else{
                   9423:                      printf(" 0.");
                   9424:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   9425:                    }
                   9426:                  }else{
                   9427:                    if(itimes==1){
                   9428:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   9429:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   9430:                    }else{
                   9431:                      printf(" 0.");
                   9432:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   9433:                    }
                   9434:                  }
                   9435:                }
                   9436:              } /* end lk */
                   9437:            } /* end lj */
                   9438:          } /* end li */
                   9439:          printf("\n");
                   9440:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   9441:          numlinepar++;
                   9442:        } /* end k*/
                   9443:       } /*end j */
                   9444:     } /* end i */
                   9445:   } /* end itimes */
                   9446: 
                   9447: } /* end of prwizard */
                   9448: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   9449: double gompertz(double x[])
                   9450: { 
1.302     brouard  9451:   double A=0.0,B=0.,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
1.126     brouard  9452:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   9453: 
1.220     brouard  9454:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  9455:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   9456:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   9457:     num=num+1;
                   9458:   }
1.302     brouard  9459:   L=0.0;
                   9460:   /* agegomp=AGEGOMP; */
1.126     brouard  9461:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   9462:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   9463: 
1.302     brouard  9464:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
                   9465:     /* mu(a)=mu(agecomp)*exp(teta*(age-agegomp))
                   9466:        mu(a)=x[1]*exp(x[2]*(age-agegomp)); x[1] and x[2] are per year.
                   9467:      * L= Product mu(agedeces)exp(-\int_ageexam^agedc mu(u) du ) for a death between agedc (in month) 
                   9468:      *   and agedc +1 month, cens[i]=0: log(x[1]/YEARM)
                   9469:      * +
                   9470:      * exp(-\int_ageexam^agecens mu(u) du ) when censored, cens[i]=1
                   9471:      */
                   9472:      if (wav[i] > 1 || agedc[i] < AGESUP) {
                   9473:        if (cens[i] == 1){
                   9474:         A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   9475:        } else if (cens[i] == 0){
1.126     brouard  9476:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
1.302     brouard  9477:          +log(x[1]/YEARM) +x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);
                   9478:       } else
                   9479:         printf("Gompertz cens[%d] neither 1 nor 0\n",i);
1.126     brouard  9480:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
1.302     brouard  9481:        L=L+A*weight[i];
1.126     brouard  9482:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
1.302     brouard  9483:      }
                   9484:   }
1.126     brouard  9485: 
1.302     brouard  9486:   /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
1.126     brouard  9487:  
                   9488:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   9489: }
                   9490: 
1.136     brouard  9491: #ifdef GSL
                   9492: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   9493: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   9494: { 
1.302     brouard  9495:   double A=0.,B=0.,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
1.136     brouard  9496:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   9497:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   9498: 
                   9499:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   9500:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   9501:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   9502:     num=num+1;
                   9503:   }
                   9504:  
                   9505:  
                   9506:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   9507:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   9508:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   9509:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   9510:     {
                   9511:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   9512:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   9513:       
                   9514:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   9515:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   9516:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   9517:       
                   9518:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   9519:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   9520:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   9521:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   9522:       }
                   9523:     }
                   9524: 
                   9525:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   9526:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   9527:  
                   9528:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   9529: }
                   9530: #endif
                   9531: 
1.126     brouard  9532: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  9533: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  9534:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   9535:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   9536:   int i,k;
                   9537: 
                   9538:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   9539:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9540:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   9541:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  9542:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  9543:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   9544: 
                   9545: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   9546: 
                   9547:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   9548: 
                   9549:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   9550:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   9551: 
                   9552:  
                   9553:   fflush(fichtm);
                   9554: }
                   9555: 
                   9556: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  9557: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  9558: 
                   9559:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  9560: 
1.126     brouard  9561:   int ng;
                   9562: 
                   9563: 
                   9564:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   9565:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   9566:     /*#endif */
                   9567: 
                   9568: 
                   9569:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   9570:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  9571:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  9572:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  9573:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  9574:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  9575:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9576: 
                   9577: } 
                   9578: 
1.136     brouard  9579: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   9580: {
1.126     brouard  9581: 
1.136     brouard  9582:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   9583:   FILE *fic;
                   9584:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  9585:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  9586:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  9587:   int linei, month, year,iout;
1.302     brouard  9588:   int noffset=0; /* This is the offset if BOM data file */
1.136     brouard  9589:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  9590:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  9591:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  9592: 
1.240     brouard  9593:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   9594:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  9595: 
1.240     brouard  9596:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   9597:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9598:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9599:   }
                   9600:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   9601:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9602:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9603:   }
                   9604:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9605:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9606:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9607:   }
                   9608:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9609:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9610:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9611:   }
                   9612:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9613:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9614:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9615:   }
1.126     brouard  9616: 
1.136     brouard  9617:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9618:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9619:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9620:   }
1.126     brouard  9621: 
1.302     brouard  9622:     /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   9623:   /* First data line */
                   9624:   linei=0;
                   9625:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic)) {
                   9626:     noffset=0;
                   9627:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   9628:     {
                   9629:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   9630:       printf("# Data file '%s'  is an UTF8 BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file and rerun.\n",datafile);fflush(stdout);
                   9631:       fprintf(ficlog,"# Data file '%s'  is an UTF8 BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file and rerun.\n",datafile);
                   9632:       fflush(ficlog); return 1;
                   9633:     }
                   9634:     /*    else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)*/
                   9635:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFF && line[1] == (char)0xFE)
                   9636:     {
                   9637:       noffset=noffset+2;
1.304     brouard  9638:       printf("# Error Data file '%s'  is a huge UTF16BE BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file (for example with dos2unix) and rerun.\n",datafile);fflush(stdout);
                   9639:       fprintf(ficlog,"# Error Data file '%s'  is a huge UTF16BE BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file (for example with dos2unix) and rerun.\n",datafile);
1.302     brouard  9640:       fflush(ficlog); return 1;
                   9641:     }
                   9642:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   9643:     {
                   9644:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   9645:        noffset=noffset+4;
1.304     brouard  9646:        printf("# Error Data file '%s'  is a huge UTF16BE BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file (for example with dos2unix) and rerun.\n",datafile);fflush(stdout);
                   9647:        fprintf(ficlog,"# Error Data file '%s'  is a huge UTF16BE BOM file, please convert to UTF8 or ascii file (for example with dos2unix) and rerun.\n",datafile);
1.302     brouard  9648:        fflush(ficlog); return 1;
                   9649:       }
                   9650:     } else{
                   9651:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   9652:     }
                   9653:         /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   9654:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
                   9655:       linei=linei+1;
                   9656:       break;
                   9657:     }else{
                   9658:       break;
                   9659:     }
                   9660:   }
                   9661:   fclose(fic);
                   9662:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
                   9663:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9664:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
                   9665:   }
                   9666:   /* Not a Bom file */
                   9667:   
1.136     brouard  9668:   i=1;
                   9669:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9670:     linei=linei+1;
                   9671:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9672:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9673:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9674:     }
                   9675:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9676:       ;
                   9677:     };
                   9678:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9679:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9680:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9681:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9682:       continue;
                   9683:     }
                   9684:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9685:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9686:     
                   9687:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9688:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9689:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9690:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9691:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9692:          lval=-1;
                   9693:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9694:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9695:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9696:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9697:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9698:            return 1;
                   9699:          }
                   9700:        }else{
                   9701:          errno=0;
                   9702:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9703:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9704:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9705:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9706:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9707:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9708:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9709:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9710:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9711:            return 1;
                   9712:          }
                   9713:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9714:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9715:        }
                   9716:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9717:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9718:       
1.223     brouard  9719:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9720:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9721:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9722:          lval=-1;
                   9723:        }else{
                   9724:          errno=0;
                   9725:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9726:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9727:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9728:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9729:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9730:            return 1;
                   9731:          }
                   9732:        }
                   9733:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9734:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.319     brouard  9735:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate of wave %d (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
1.223     brouard  9736:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9737:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9738:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9739:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9740:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9741:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.319     brouard  9742:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,iv,j);
1.238     brouard  9743:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.319     brouard  9744:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate of wave %d (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
1.223     brouard  9745:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9746:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9747:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9748:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9749:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9750:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.319     brouard  9751:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,iv,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9752:          return 1;
                   9753:        }
                   9754:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9755:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9756:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9757:       
1.223     brouard  9758:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9759:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9760:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9761:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9762:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9763:        errno=0;
                   9764:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9765:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9766:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9767:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9768:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9769:          return 1;
                   9770:        }
1.136     brouard  9771:       }
1.225     brouard  9772:       
1.136     brouard  9773:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9774:       
1.223     brouard  9775:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9776:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9777:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9778:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9779:       }
1.169     brouard  9780:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9781:        month=99;
                   9782:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9783:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9784:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9785:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9786:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9787:       }
                   9788:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
1.302     brouard  9789:       mint[j][i]= (double)month;
                   9790:       /* if( (int)anint[j][i]+ (int)(mint[j][i])/12. < (int) (moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i])){ */
                   9791:       /*       printf("Warning reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nThe date of interview (%2d/%4d) at wave %d occurred before the date of birth (%2d/%4d).\n",strb, linei,i, line, mint[j][i],anint[j][i], moisnais[i],annais[i]); */
                   9792:       /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nThe date of interview (%2d/%4d) at wave %d occurred before the date of birth (%2d/%4d).\n",strb, linei,i, line, mint[j][i],anint[j][i], moisnais[i],annais[i]); */
                   9793:       /* } */
1.136     brouard  9794:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9795:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9796:     
1.223     brouard  9797:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9798:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9799:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9800:     }
1.169     brouard  9801:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9802:       month=99;
                   9803:       year=9999;
                   9804:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9805:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9806:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9807:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9808:     }
                   9809:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9810:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9811:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9812:     
1.223     brouard  9813:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9814:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9815:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9816:     }
1.169     brouard  9817:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9818:       month=99;
                   9819:       year=9999;
                   9820:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9821:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9822:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9823:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9824:     }
                   9825:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9826:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9827:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9828:       return 1;
                   9829:       
1.136     brouard  9830:     }
                   9831:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
1.302     brouard  9832:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month);
                   9833:     for (j=1;j<=maxwav;j++){
                   9834:       if( (int)anint[j][i]+ (int)(mint[j][i])/12. < (int) (moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i])){
                   9835:        printf("Warning reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nThe date of interview (%2d/%4d) at wave %d occurred before the date of birth (%2d/%4d).\n",strb, linei,i, line, (int)mint[j][i],(int)anint[j][i], j,(int)moisnais[i],(int)annais[i]);
                   9836:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nThe date of interview (%2d/%4d) at wave %d occurred before the date of birth (%2d/%4d).\n",strb, linei,i, line, (int)mint[j][i],(int)anint[j][i], j, (int)moisnais[i],(int)annais[i]);
                   9837:       }
                   9838:     }
                   9839: 
1.136     brouard  9840:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9841:     
1.223     brouard  9842:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9843:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9844:     errno=0;
                   9845:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9846:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9847:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9848:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9849:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9850:       return 1;
                   9851:     }
                   9852:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9853:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9854:     
1.223     brouard  9855:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9856:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9857:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9858:        lval=-1;
1.311     brouard  9859:        coqvar[iv][i]=NAN; 
                   9860:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=NAN; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9861:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9862:        errno=0;
                   9863:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9864:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9865:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9866:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9867:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9868:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9869:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9870:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9871:          return 1;
                   9872:        }
                   9873:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9874:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9875:       }
                   9876:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9877:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9878:     
1.223     brouard  9879:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9880:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9881:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9882:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9883:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9884:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9885:        errno=0;
                   9886:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9887:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9888:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9889:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9890:          return 1;
                   9891:        }
1.136     brouard  9892:       }
                   9893:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9894:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9895:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9896:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9897:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9898:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9899:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9900:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9901:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9902:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9903:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9904:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9905:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9906:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9907:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9908:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9909:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9910:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9911:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9912:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9913:       }
                   9914:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9915:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9916:     }  
                   9917:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9918:     
1.136     brouard  9919:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9920:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9921:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9922:     }
                   9923:     else
                   9924:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9925:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9926:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9927:     
                   9928:     i=i+1;
                   9929:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9930:   
1.136     brouard  9931:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9932:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9933:   
1.136     brouard  9934:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9935:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9936:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9937:   fclose(fic);
                   9938:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9939: }
1.126     brouard  9940: 
1.234     brouard  9941: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9942:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9943:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9944:     p2++; 
                   9945:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9946:   /*   ; */
                   9947:   /* do */
                   9948:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9949:   /*     p2++; */
                   9950:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9951:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9952: }
                   9953: 
1.235     brouard  9954: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9955: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9956: {
1.235     brouard  9957:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9958:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9959:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9960:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9961:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9962: 
1.234     brouard  9963:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.230     brouard  9964: 
                   9965:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9966:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9967:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9968:     return 1;
                   9969:   }
                   9970:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9971:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9972:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9973:   }
1.253     brouard  9974:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9975:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9976:     return (0);
                   9977:   }
1.234     brouard  9978:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
1.318     brouard  9979:     printf("ERROR: the number of variables in this result line, %d, differs from the number of variables used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
1.310     brouard  9980:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variables in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variables used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
1.234     brouard  9981:   }
                   9982:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9983:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
1.318     brouard  9984:       cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' (stra is the rest of the resultline to be analyzed in the next loop *//*     resultsav= "V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0" stra= "V5=25.1 V3=0" strb= "V4=1" */
                   9985:       cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:"V4=1" strc="1" strd="V4" */
1.234     brouard  9986:     }else
                   9987:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.318     brouard  9988:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */ /* Tvalsel of k is the float value of the kth covariate appearing in this result line */
1.234     brouard  9989:     
1.230     brouard  9990:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
1.318     brouard  9991:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);  /* 4 */ /* Tvarsel is the id of the kth covariate in the result line Tvarsel[1] in "V4=1.." is 4.*/
1.230     brouard  9992:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9993:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9994:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9995:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9996:   }
1.235     brouard  9997:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.318     brouard  9998:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* Loop on model. model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9999:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model *//*0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.234     brouard  10000:       match=0;
1.318     brouard  10001:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* Loop on resultline. In result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   10002:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar is coming from the model, Tvarsel from the result. Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  10003:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.318     brouard  10004:          match=1; /* modelresult of k2 variable of resultline is identical to k1 variable of the model good */
1.234     brouard  10005:          break;
                   10006:        }
                   10007:       }
                   10008:       if(match == 0){
1.310     brouard  10009:        printf("Error in result line: V%d is missing in result: %s according to model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   10010:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in result line: V%d is missing in result: %s according to model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   10011:        return 1;
1.234     brouard  10012:       }
                   10013:     }
                   10014:   }
1.235     brouard  10015:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.318     brouard  10016:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* Loop on resultline variables: result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  10017:     match=0;
1.318     brouard  10018:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* loop on model: model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.235     brouard  10019:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  10020:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.318     brouard  10021:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* k2th variable of the model corresponds to k1 variable of the model. resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  10022:          ++match;
                   10023:        }
                   10024:       }
                   10025:     }
                   10026:     if(match == 0){
                   10027:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
1.310     brouard  10028:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   10029:       return 1;
1.234     brouard  10030:     }else if(match > 1){
                   10031:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
1.310     brouard  10032:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   10033:       return 1;
1.234     brouard  10034:     }
                   10035:   }
1.235     brouard  10036:       
1.234     brouard  10037:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  10038:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   10039:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   10040:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   10041:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   10042:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   10043:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   10044:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   10045:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   10046:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   10047:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   10048:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   10049:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   10050:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  10051:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   10052:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   10053:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   10054:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.318     brouard  10055:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* loop on model line */
1.235     brouard  10056:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  10057:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  10058:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   10059:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  10060:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   10061:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   10062:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  10063:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   10064:       k4++;;
                   10065:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
1.318     brouard  10066:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[1(V5)] = 25.1=k3q */
                   10067:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[1]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  10068:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   10069:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   10070:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  10071:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   10072:       k4q++;;
                   10073:     }
                   10074:   }
1.234     brouard  10075:   
1.235     brouard  10076:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  10077:   return (0);
                   10078: }
1.235     brouard  10079: 
1.230     brouard  10080: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   10081:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  10082:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   10083:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   10084:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   10085:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   10086:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   10087:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   10088:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   10089:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
1.319     brouard  10090:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm, covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
1.224     brouard  10091:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   10092:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   10093:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   10094:        */
1.319     brouard  10095: /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
1.136     brouard  10096: {
1.238     brouard  10097:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  10098:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  10099:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  10100:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  10101:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  10102: 
1.145     brouard  10103:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  10104:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  10105:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  10106:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  10107:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   10108:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  10109:       return 1;
                   10110:     }
1.141     brouard  10111:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   10112:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   10113:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   10114:       return 1;
                   10115:     }
1.187     brouard  10116:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   10117:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   10118:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   10119:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  10120:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  10121:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  10122:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  10123:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  10124:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  10125:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  10126:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  10127:       }
1.187     brouard  10128:       nagesqr=1;
                   10129:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  10130:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  10131:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  10132:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  10133:       else 
1.234     brouard  10134:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  10135:     }else
                   10136:       nagesqr=0;
                   10137:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   10138:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   10139:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  10140:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  10141:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  10142:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   10143:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   10144:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   10145:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   10146:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  10147:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   10148:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  10149:       
                   10150:       
1.187     brouard  10151:       /*   Design
                   10152:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   10153:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   10154:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   10155:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   10156:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   10157:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  10158:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   10159:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  10160:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   10161:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   10162:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   10163:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   10164:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   10165:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   10166:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   10167:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   10168:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   10169:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   10170:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   10171:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   10172:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
1.319     brouard  10173:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,  11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
1.187     brouard  10174:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   10175:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   10176:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   10177:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
1.319     brouard  10178:        *How to reorganize? Tvars(orted)
1.187     brouard  10179:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   10180:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   10181:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   10182:        * Struct []
                   10183:        */
1.225     brouard  10184:       
1.187     brouard  10185:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   10186:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   10187:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   10188:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   10189:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   10190:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   10191:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   10192:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   10193:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  10194:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  10195:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  10196:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  10197:       /*
                   10198:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  10199:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   10200:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   10201:       }
1.187     brouard  10202:       cptcovage=0;
1.319     brouard  10203:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model line */
                   10204:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' cutl from left to right
                   10205:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V5*age+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1V5*age+V4 */    /* <model> "V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V1*age+V1" strb="V5" stra="V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V1*age+V1" */
                   10206:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0)
                   10207:          strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
1.234     brouard  10208:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   10209:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
1.319     brouard  10210:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V5*age+ V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   10211:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< k=1 strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
1.234     brouard  10212:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   10213:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   10214:            cptcovprod--;
                   10215:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
1.319     brouard  10216:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V5*age+V4+V3*age Tvar[5]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
1.234     brouard  10217:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
1.319     brouard  10218:            cptcovage++; /* Counts the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   10219:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /*  V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
1.234     brouard  10220:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   10221:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   10222:            cptcovprod--;
                   10223:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   10224:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   10225:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   10226:            cptcovage++;
                   10227:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   10228:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   10229:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   10230:            cptcovn++;
                   10231:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   10232:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   10233:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   10234:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   10235:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
1.319     brouard  10236:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2 + V1 +V1*V4 +age*V3 +V3*V2
                   10237:                                                thus after V4 we invent V5 and V6 because age*V3 will be computed in 4
                   10238:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1=5 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, Tvar[4=age*V3]=4 etc */
1.234     brouard  10239:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   10240:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   10241:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
1.319     brouard  10242:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
1.234     brouard  10243:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   10244:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   10245:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   10246:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   10247:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  10248:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  10249:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   10250:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   10251:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   10252:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   10253:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   10254:            }
                   10255:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   10256:        } /* End if model includes a product */
1.319     brouard  10257:        else { /* not a product */
1.234     brouard  10258:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   10259:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   10260:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   10261:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   10262:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   10263:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   10264:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   10265:        }
                   10266:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  10267:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  10268:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  10269:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   10270:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   10271:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  10272:   
                   10273:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   10274:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  10275:   
1.136     brouard  10276:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  10277:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   10278:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   10279:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   10280: 
                   10281: 
1.230     brouard  10282: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   10283:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  10284: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   10285:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   10286:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   10287:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
1.319     brouard  10288:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        0
1.227     brouard  10289:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   10290:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   10291:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  10292: */  
                   10293: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  10294:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  10295:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  10296:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.318     brouard  10297:   printf("Model=1+age+%s\n\
1.227     brouard  10298: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   10299: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   10300: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.318     brouard  10301:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=1+age+%s\n\
1.227     brouard  10302: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   10303: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   10304: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.285     brouard  10305:   for(k=-1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  10306:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   10307:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  10308:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   10309:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  10310:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  10311:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  10312:       nsd++;
                   10313:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10314:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   10315:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   10316:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10317:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   10318:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   10319:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   10320:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   10321:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   10322:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   10323:       ncoveff++;
                   10324:       ncovf++;
                   10325:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10326:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10327:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  10328:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  10329:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  10330:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  10331:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   10332:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  10333:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  10334:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10335:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   10336:       nsq++;
                   10337:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   10338:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  10339:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  10340:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10341:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  10342:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  10343:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  10344:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  10345:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10346:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  10347:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  10348:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10349:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   10350:       nsd++;
                   10351:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   10352:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   10353:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   10354:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  10355:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  10356:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   10357:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  10358:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   10359:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  10360:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  10361:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10362:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10363:       nqtveff++;
                   10364:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10365:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   10366:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   10367:       nsq++;
1.319     brouard  10368:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k]; /* k=1 Tvar=5 nsq=1 TvarsQ[1]=5 */
1.234     brouard  10369:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   10370:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  10371:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  10372:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   10373:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  10374:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   10375:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   10376:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  10377:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  10378:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  10379:       ncova++;
                   10380:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   10381:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  10382:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  10383:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   10384:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   10385:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   10386:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   10387:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  10388:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  10389:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   10390:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   10391:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   10392:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   10393:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  10394:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  10395:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   10396:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   10397:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   10398:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   10399:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  10400:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  10401:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   10402:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   10403:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   10404:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   10405:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  10406:       }
                   10407:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   10408:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   10409:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  10410:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   10411:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10412:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   10413:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10414:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   10415:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   10416:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10417:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   10418:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   10419:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   10420:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10421:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10422:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   10423:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10424:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10425:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   10426:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   10427:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10428:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   10429:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10430:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   10431:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10432:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10433:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10434:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   10435:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10436:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10437:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10438:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   10439:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10440:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10441:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10442:        }
1.227     brouard  10443:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  10444:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   10445:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   10446:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10447:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   10448:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   10449:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   10450:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   10451:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   10452:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   10453:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10454:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10455:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10456:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   10457:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10458:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10459:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10460:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   10461:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10462:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10463:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10464:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   10465:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10466:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10467:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10468:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10469:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10470:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10471:        }
1.227     brouard  10472:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  10473:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   10474:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10475:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10476:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10477:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   10478:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10479:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10480:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10481:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   10482:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10483:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10484:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10485:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   10486:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10487:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10488:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10489:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   10490:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10491:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   10492:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10493:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   10494:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10495:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10496:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10497:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   10498:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10499:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10500:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10501:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   10502:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10503:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10504:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10505:        }
1.227     brouard  10506:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  10507:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   10508:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10509:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10510:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10511:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   10512:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10513:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10514:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10515:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   10516:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10517:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10518:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10519:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   10520:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10521:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10522:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10523:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   10524:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10525:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10526:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10527:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   10528:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10529:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10530:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10531:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   10532:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   10533:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   10534:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   10535:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   10536:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   10537:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   10538:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   10539:        }
1.227     brouard  10540:       }else{
1.240     brouard  10541:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   10542:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   10543:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  10544:     }else{
1.226     brouard  10545:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   10546:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  10547:     }
1.227     brouard  10548:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  10549:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  10550:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   10551:   }
                   10552:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   10553:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   10554:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
1.285     brouard  10555:       /* if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){ */
                   10556:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[k1]==Fixed[k2]) && (Dummy[k1]==Dummy[k2] )){
1.234     brouard  10557:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   10558:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
1.285     brouard  10559:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]);
                   10560:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[k1],Dummy[k1]); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  10561:            return(1);
                   10562:          }
                   10563:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   10564:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   10565:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   10566:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   10567:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   10568:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   10569:            return(1);
                   10570:          }
                   10571:        }
1.227     brouard  10572:       }
                   10573:     }
1.225     brouard  10574:   }
                   10575:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   10576:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  10577:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   10578:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  10579:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  10580:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  10581:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   10582:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  10583: }
                   10584: 
1.169     brouard  10585: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  10586: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  10587:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  10588:   int firstone=0;
                   10589:   
1.136     brouard  10590:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   10591:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   10592:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   10593:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  10594:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   10595:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  10596:       }
                   10597:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  10598:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  10599:        if(firstone == 0){
                   10600:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  10601:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  10602:        }
1.262     brouard  10603:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  10604:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  10605:       }
                   10606:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  10607:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  10608:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  10609:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  10610:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  10611:       }
                   10612:     }
                   10613:   }
                   10614: 
                   10615:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10616:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   10617:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  10618:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  10619:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  10620:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   10621:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  10622:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  10623:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  10624:            }else {
1.136     brouard  10625:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   10626:                nbwarn++;
                   10627:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10628:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   10629:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   10630:              }
                   10631:            }
1.169     brouard  10632:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  10633:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  10634:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   10635:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   10636:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   10637:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   10638:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   10639:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   10640:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   10641:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   10642:          }
                   10643:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   10644:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  10645:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  10646:          }
                   10647:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   10648:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  10649:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  10650:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  10651:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  10652:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   10653:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   10654:        }
                   10655:       }
1.214     brouard  10656:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  10657:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  10658:       else{
                   10659:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10660:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10661:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   10662:       }
                   10663:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   10664:   }
1.136     brouard  10665:     
                   10666:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10667:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10668:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10669:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10670:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10671:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10672:        return 1;
                   10673:       }
                   10674:     }
                   10675:   }
                   10676: 
                   10677:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10678:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10679:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10680: }
                   10681: 
                   10682: }*/
                   10683: 
                   10684: 
1.139     brouard  10685:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10686:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10687: 
                   10688:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10689:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10690:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10691:     return (1);
                   10692: }
                   10693: 
1.172     brouard  10694: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10695: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10696: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10697: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10698: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10699: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10700: //#include <windows.h>
                   10701: //#include <iostream>
                   10702: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10703: 
                   10704: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10705: 
                   10706: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10707: {
                   10708:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10709: 
                   10710:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10711:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10712: 
                   10713:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10714: 
                   10715:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10716:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10717:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10718:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10719: 
                   10720:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10721:        {
                   10722:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10723:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10724:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10725:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10726:        }
                   10727:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10728: }
                   10729: #endif
1.177     brouard  10730: 
1.191     brouard  10731: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.292     brouard  10732: {
                   10733: #include <stdint.h>
                   10734: 
                   10735:   /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10736:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10737:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10738:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10739:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10740:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10741:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10742:    */ 
                   10743:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10744:    /*
                   10745:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10746:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10747:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10748:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10749:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10750:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10751:    /*
                   10752:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10753:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10754:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10755:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10756:    */
1.186     brouard  10757:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10758:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10759:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10760:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10761:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10762:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10763:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10764:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10765:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10766:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10767:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10768:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10769:    */
1.292     brouard  10770: 
                   10771: 
1.177     brouard  10772: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10773: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10774:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10775: #endif
1.177     brouard  10776: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10777: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10778: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10779: #endif
1.177     brouard  10780:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10781:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10782:    if (cross){
                   10783:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10784:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10785:    }
1.174     brouard  10786: #endif
                   10787: 
1.191     brouard  10788:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10789: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10790:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10791: #endif
                   10792: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10793:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10794: #endif
                   10795: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10796:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10797: #endif
                   10798: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10799:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10800: #endif
                   10801: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10802:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10803: #endif
                   10804: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10805:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10806: #endif
                   10807: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10808:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10809: #endif
                   10810: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10811:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10812: #endif
1.191     brouard  10813:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10814:    
1.167     brouard  10815: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10816: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10817:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10818:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10819: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10820:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10821:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10822: #elif __linux__
                   10823:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10824:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10825: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10826:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10827:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10828: #endif
                   10829: 
                   10830: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10831: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10832: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10833: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10834: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10835: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10836: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10837: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10838: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10839: 
1.167     brouard  10840: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10841:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10842: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10843:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10844: #else
1.191     brouard  10845:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10846: #endif
                   10847: 
1.169     brouard  10848: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10849: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10850: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10851:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10852:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10853: # else
                   10854: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10855:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10856: # endif
1.174     brouard  10857:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10858:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10859: 
                   10860:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10861:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10862:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10863:    }
                   10864:    else
                   10865:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10866:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10867: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10868:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10869:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10870: #endif
1.169     brouard  10871: #endif
1.172     brouard  10872: 
1.286     brouard  10873:    //   void main ()
1.172     brouard  10874:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10875: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10876:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10877:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10878:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10879:    }
                   10880:    else{
1.191     brouard  10881:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10882:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10883:    }
1.172     brouard  10884:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10885:    //     getchar();
                   10886:    //   }
                   10887: 
1.169     brouard  10888: #endif
                   10889:    
1.167     brouard  10890: 
1.219     brouard  10891: }
1.136     brouard  10892: 
1.219     brouard  10893: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.288     brouard  10894:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (forward period or forward stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10895:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10896:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10897:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10898:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10899: 
1.202     brouard  10900:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10901:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10902:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
1.288     brouard  10903:     printf("Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10904:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
1.202     brouard  10905:   }
1.288     brouard  10906:   printf("\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10907:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10908:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.288     brouard  10909:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Forward period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10910:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10911:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10912:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10913:   
1.219     brouard  10914:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10915: 
1.219     brouard  10916:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10917:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10918: 
1.227     brouard  10919:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10920:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10921:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10922: 
1.238     brouard  10923:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10924:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10925:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10926:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10927: 
1.238     brouard  10928:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10929:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10930:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10931:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10932:       /* to clean */
                   10933:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10934:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10935:       printf("#******");
                   10936:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10937:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10938:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10939:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10940:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10941:       }
                   10942:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10943:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10944:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10945:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10946:       }
                   10947:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10948:       printf("******\n");
                   10949:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10950:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10951:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10952:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10953:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10954:        continue;
                   10955:       }
1.219     brouard  10956: 
1.238     brouard  10957:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10958:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10959:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10960:       }
                   10961:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10962:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10963:     
1.238     brouard  10964:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10965:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10966:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10967:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10968:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10969:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10970:        tot=0.;
                   10971:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10972:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10973:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10974:        }
                   10975:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10976:       } /* Age */
                   10977:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10978:     } /* cptcov */
                   10979:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10980:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10981: }
                   10982: 
1.218     brouard  10983: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
1.288     brouard  10984:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (backward stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.218     brouard  10985:        
                   10986:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10987:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10988:         */
1.235     brouard  10989:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10990:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10991:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10992:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10993:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10994:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10995: 
                   10996:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10997:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10998:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
1.288     brouard  10999:     printf("Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   11000:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
1.217     brouard  11001:   }
1.288     brouard  11002:   printf("Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   11003:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
1.217     brouard  11004:   pstamp(ficresplb);
1.288     brouard  11005:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Backward prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.217     brouard  11006:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   11007:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   11008:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   11009:   
1.218     brouard  11010:   
                   11011:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   11012:   
                   11013:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   11014:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   11015:   
                   11016:   
1.227     brouard  11017:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  11018:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  11019:   
1.238     brouard  11020:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   11021:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  11022:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  11023:        continue;
                   11024:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   11025:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   11026:       printf("#******");
                   11027:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   11028:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   11029:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11030:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11031:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11032:       }
                   11033:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11034:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11035:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11036:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11037:       }
                   11038:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   11039:       printf("******\n");
                   11040:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   11041:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   11042:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   11043:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   11044:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   11045:        continue;
                   11046:       }
1.218     brouard  11047:     
1.238     brouard  11048:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   11049:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   11050:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11051:       }
                   11052:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   11053:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  11054:     
                   11055:     
1.238     brouard  11056:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   11057:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   11058:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   11059:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   11060:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  11061:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  11062:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   11063:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   11064:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   11065:          exit(1);
                   11066:        }else{
                   11067:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  11068:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  11069:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   11070:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  11071:        }
                   11072:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   11073:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   11074:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11075:        tot=0.;
                   11076:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   11077:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   11078:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   11079:        }
                   11080:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   11081:       } /* Age */
                   11082:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  11083:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  11084:     } /* end of any combination */
                   11085:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  11086:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   11087:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   11088:   
                   11089:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  11090: }
1.218     brouard  11091:  
1.180     brouard  11092: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   11093:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   11094: 
                   11095:   int stepsize;
                   11096:   int agelim;
                   11097:   int hstepm;
                   11098:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  11099:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  11100: 
                   11101:   double agedeb;
                   11102:   double ***p3mat;
                   11103: 
1.201     brouard  11104:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  11105:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11106:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   11107:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   11108:     }
                   11109:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   11110:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   11111:   
                   11112:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   11113:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   11114: 
                   11115:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   11116:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   11117:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  11118:                
1.180     brouard  11119:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   11120:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   11121:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  11122:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  11123:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   11124:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   11125:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  11126:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   11127:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  11128:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  11129:        continue;
1.183     brouard  11130:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  11131:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  11132:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  11133:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11134:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   11135:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   11136:       }
1.183     brouard  11137:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   11138:       
                   11139:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   11140:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   11141:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   11142:        
                   11143:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  11144:        
1.183     brouard  11145:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   11146:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  11147:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  11148:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   11149:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11150:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11151:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   11152:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   11153:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   11154:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   11155:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  11156:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11157:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  11158:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  11159:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   11160:        }
1.183     brouard  11161:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   11162:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   11163:       }
1.180     brouard  11164:       /*}*/
                   11165:     }
1.218     brouard  11166:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  11167: }
1.218     brouard  11168:  
                   11169:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  11170:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   11171: 
                   11172:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  11173:   /* int agelim; */
                   11174:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  11175:   int hstepm;
                   11176:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  11177:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  11178:        
1.217     brouard  11179:   double agedeb;
                   11180:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  11181:        
                   11182:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   11183:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11184:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   11185:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   11186:   }
                   11187:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   11188:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   11189:   
                   11190:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   11191:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  11192:   
1.218     brouard  11193:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
1.289     brouard  11194:   ageminl=AGEINF; /* was 30 */
1.218     brouard  11195:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   11196:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   11197:   
                   11198:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   11199:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  11200:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  11201:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  11202:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   11203:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   11204:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  11205:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   11206:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  11207:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  11208:        continue;
                   11209:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   11210:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   11211:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11212:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11213:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11214:       }
                   11215:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  11216:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  11217:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   11218:        continue;
                   11219:       }
                   11220:       
                   11221:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   11222:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   11223:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
1.297     brouard  11224:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm+0.1)-1; /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 or 55*12/24=27.5-1.1=>27 */
                   11225:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 or 28*/
1.238     brouard  11226:        
                   11227:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   11228:        
1.266     brouard  11229:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   11230:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   11231: 
1.238     brouard  11232:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   11233:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.325     brouard  11234:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);/* Bug valgrind */
1.238     brouard  11235:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  11236:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  11237:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11238:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  11239:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  11240:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  11241:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   11242:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   11243:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   11244:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   11245:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11246:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.325     brouard  11247:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);/* Bug valgrind */
1.238     brouard  11248:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   11249:        }
                   11250:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   11251:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   11252:       } /* end age deb */
                   11253:     } /* end combination */
                   11254:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  11255:   return 0;
                   11256:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  11257: 
1.180     brouard  11258: 
1.136     brouard  11259: /***********************************************/
                   11260: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   11261: /***********************************************/
                   11262: 
                   11263: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   11264: {
                   11265: #ifdef GSL
                   11266:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   11267:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   11268:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   11269:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   11270:   double ssval;
                   11271: #endif
                   11272:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.290     brouard  11273:   int i,j, k, iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; /* Suppressing because nobs */
                   11274:   /* int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; */
1.209     brouard  11275:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  11276:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  11277:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  11278:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  11279:   int itimes;
                   11280:   int NDIM=2;
                   11281:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  11282:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  11283:   int endishere=0;
1.277     brouard  11284:   int noffset=0;
1.274     brouard  11285:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   11286:   
1.164     brouard  11287:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  11288:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   11289:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   11290:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  11291:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  11292: 
                   11293:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  11294:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  11295: 
1.165     brouard  11296:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  11297:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  11298:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  11299:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.319     brouard  11300:   double wald;
1.164     brouard  11301: 
                   11302:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  11303:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   11304: 
1.234     brouard  11305:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  11306:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   11307:   
1.136     brouard  11308:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  11309:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.290     brouard  11310:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; /* nobs = lastobs-firstobs declared globally ;*/
1.195     brouard  11311:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  11312:   int jl=0;
                   11313:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  11314:   int count=0;
                   11315: 
1.164     brouard  11316:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  11317:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.296     brouard  11318:   /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; /\* For eventual projections *\/ */
                   11319:   /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */
                   11320:   /* double jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;   */
                   11321:   int prvforecast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */
                   11322:   int prvbackcast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */
                   11323:   double yrfproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of forward projections */
                   11324:   double yrbproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of backward projections */
                   11325:   int prevbcast=0; /* defined as global for mlikeli and mle, replacing backcast */
1.136     brouard  11326:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  11327:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  11328:   int agemortsup;
                   11329:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   11330:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   11331:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   11332: 
1.191     brouard  11333:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  11334:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   11335:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  11336:   double **bprlim;
1.317     brouard  11337:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters, param[i][j][k] param=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel) 
                   11338:                     state of origin, state of destination including death, for each covariate: constante, age, and V1 V2 etc. */
1.251     brouard  11339:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   11340:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  11341:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  11342:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  11343:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   11344:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   11345:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   11346:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  11347: 
1.136     brouard  11348:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  11349: 
1.273     brouard  11350:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
1.296     brouard  11351:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0, dateprojd=0, dateprojf=0;
                   11352:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0, datebackd=0, datebackf=0;
                   11353: 
1.217     brouard  11354: 
1.136     brouard  11355:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  11356:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  11357:   int *dcwave;
                   11358: 
1.164     brouard  11359:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  11360: 
                   11361:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   11362:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  11363: 
1.164     brouard  11364: 
1.126     brouard  11365: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   11366: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   11367: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   11368: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   11369: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   11370: 
                   11371:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  11372:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   11373:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   11374:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  11375:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  11376:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   11377:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   11378:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  11379: 
                   11380: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  11381: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   11382: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  11383: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   11384: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   11385: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  11386: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  11387: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   11388: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   11389: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   11390: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   11391: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   11392: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   11393: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   11394: */
                   11395: 
                   11396:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   11397:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  11398: #ifdef WIN32
                   11399:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   11400: #else
1.126     brouard  11401:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  11402: #endif
1.191     brouard  11403:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  11404:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  11405:   if(argc <=1){
                   11406:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  11407:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   11408:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   11409:       goto end;
                   11410:     }
1.126     brouard  11411:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   11412:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   11413:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  11414:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  11415:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  11416:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  11417:     }
                   11418:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   11419:     if( i==0 ){
                   11420:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   11421:       goto end;
                   11422:     }
                   11423:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  11424:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   11425:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   11426:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   11427:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   11428:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   11429:     }
                   11430:   }
1.281     brouard  11431:   else if (argc<=2){
                   11432:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   11433:   }
1.126     brouard  11434:   else{
                   11435:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
1.281     brouard  11436:     strcpy(z,argv[2]);
                   11437:     printf("\nargv[2]=%s z=%c\n",argv[2],z[0]);
1.126     brouard  11438:   }
                   11439:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   11440:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   11441:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   11442:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   11443: 
                   11444:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   11445:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   11446:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   11447:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   11448:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   11449:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   11450:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   11451:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11452: #ifdef WIN32
                   11453:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   11454:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   11455: #else
1.126     brouard  11456:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  11457:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   11458: #endif
                   11459:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  11460:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   11461:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   11462:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  11463:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  11464:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   11465:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   11466: /*     exit(1); */
                   11467:   }
                   11468: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   11469: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   11470: /*   } */
                   11471: 
                   11472:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   11473: 
1.186     brouard  11474:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  11475:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   11476:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   11477:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11478:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   11479:     goto end;
                   11480:   }
                   11481:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  11482:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  11483:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   11484:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   11485:  path=%s \n\
                   11486:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   11487:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  11488:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  11489: 
1.197     brouard  11490:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  11491: 
1.126     brouard  11492:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   11493:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   11494:   fflush(ficlog);
                   11495: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  11496: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  11497: 
                   11498:   /* */
                   11499:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   11500:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  11501:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  11502:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  11503:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  11504: 
1.186     brouard  11505:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  11506: 
                   11507:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  11508:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   11509:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  11510:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  11511:     /* goto end; */
                   11512:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  11513:   }
                   11514: 
                   11515:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  11516:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11517:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   11518:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   11519:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   11520:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11521:     goto end;
                   11522:   }
1.278     brouard  11523:       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   11524:   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   11525:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
                   11526:   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   11527:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   11528:   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11529:     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   11530:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   11531:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11532:     goto end;
                   11533:   }
                   11534:   fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
1.126     brouard  11535: 
1.278     brouard  11536:                                      
1.126     brouard  11537:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11538:   numlinepar=0;
1.277     brouard  11539:   /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   11540:   /* First parameter line */
1.197     brouard  11541:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.277     brouard  11542:     noffset=0;
                   11543:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   11544:     {
                   11545:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   11546:       printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
                   11547:     }
1.302     brouard  11548: /*    else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)*/
                   11549:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFF && line[1] == (char)0xFE)
1.277     brouard  11550:     {
                   11551:       noffset=noffset+2;
                   11552:       printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   11553:     }
                   11554:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   11555:     {
                   11556:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   11557:        noffset=noffset+4;
                   11558:        printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   11559:       }
                   11560:     } else{
                   11561:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   11562:     }
                   11563:   
1.197     brouard  11564:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.277     brouard  11565:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
1.197     brouard  11566:       numlinepar++;
                   11567:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   11568:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  11569:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  11570:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11571:       continue;
                   11572:     }else
                   11573:       break;
                   11574:   }
                   11575:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   11576:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   11577:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   11578:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
1.283     brouard  11579:       fprintf(ficlog,"Should be 5 parameters\n");
1.197     brouard  11580:     }
1.126     brouard  11581:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  11582:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
1.283     brouard  11583:     fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   11584:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   11585:     fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
1.197     brouard  11586:   }
                   11587:   /* Second parameter line */
                   11588:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.283     brouard  11589:     /* while(fscanf(ficpar,"%[^\n]", line)) { */
                   11590:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment. Strangely fgets reads the EOL and fputs doesn't */
1.197     brouard  11591:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   11592:       numlinepar++;
1.283     brouard  11593:       printf("%s",line);
                   11594:       fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
                   11595:       fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
                   11596:       fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
1.197     brouard  11597:       continue;
                   11598:     }else
                   11599:       break;
                   11600:   }
1.223     brouard  11601:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   11602:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   11603:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   11604:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  11605:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.283     brouard  11606:       fprintf(ficlog,"Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
                   11607:       fprintf(ficlog,"but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  11608:     }
1.286     brouard  11609:     if( lastpass > maxwav){
                   11610:       printf("Error (lastpass = %d) > (maxwav = %d)\n",lastpass, maxwav);
                   11611:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error (lastpass = %d) > (maxwav = %d)\n",lastpass, maxwav);
                   11612:       fflush(ficlog);
                   11613:       goto end;
                   11614:     }
                   11615:       printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.283     brouard  11616:     fprintf(ficparo,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.286     brouard  11617:     fprintf(ficres,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, 0, weightopt);
1.283     brouard  11618:     fprintf(ficlog,"ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  11619:   }
1.203     brouard  11620:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  11621:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  11622:   /* Third parameter line */
                   11623:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   11624:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   11625:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   11626:       numlinepar++;
1.283     brouard  11627:       printf("%s",line);
                   11628:       fprintf(ficres,"%s",line);
                   11629:       fprintf(ficparo,"%s",line);
                   11630:       fprintf(ficlog,"%s",line);
1.197     brouard  11631:       continue;
                   11632:     }else
                   11633:       break;
                   11634:   }
1.201     brouard  11635:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.279     brouard  11636:     if (num_filled != 1){
1.302     brouard  11637:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age+' instead of '%s'\n",num_filled, line);
                   11638:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age+' instead of '%s'\n",num_filled, line);
1.197     brouard  11639:       model[0]='\0';
                   11640:       goto end;
                   11641:     }
                   11642:     else{
                   11643:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   11644:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   11645:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  11646:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  11647:       }
                   11648:     }
1.199     brouard  11649:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  11650:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.283     brouard  11651:     fprintf(ficparo,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
                   11652:     fprintf(ficres,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
                   11653:     fprintf(ficlog,"model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  11654:   }
                   11655:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   11656:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   11657:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.283     brouard  11658:   /* fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
                   11659:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.126     brouard  11660:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  11661:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   11662:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.279     brouard  11663:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
                   11664:  'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
                   11665:  'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");           \
1.187     brouard  11666:     if(mle != -1){
1.279     brouard  11667:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
1.187     brouard  11668:       exit(1);
                   11669:     }
                   11670:   }
1.126     brouard  11671:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11672:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11673:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11674:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  11675:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   11676:       z[0]=line[1];
                   11677:     }
                   11678:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  11679:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   11680:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  11681:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11682:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11683:   }
                   11684:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11685: 
                   11686:    
1.290     brouard  11687:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< used in readdata */
                   11688:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   11689:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   11690:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  11691:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   11692:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   11693:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   11694:   */
                   11695:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  11696:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  11697:   else
1.187     brouard  11698:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  11699:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   11700:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  11701:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   11702:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11703:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11704:     fflush(stdout);
                   11705:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11706:     goto end;
                   11707:   }
1.126     brouard  11708:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11709:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   11710:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   11711:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  11712: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   11713:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   11714:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11715:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11716:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11717:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  11718:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  11719:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11720:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11721:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11722:     fclose (ficparo);
                   11723:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11724:     goto end;
                   11725:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  11726:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  11727:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  11728:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11729:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11730:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11731:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11732:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  11733:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  11734:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  11735:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11736:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11737:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11738:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11739:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11740:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11741:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11742:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11743:     }
                   11744:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11745:     
                   11746:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11747:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11748:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11749:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11750:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11751:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11752:        j++;
1.292     brouard  11753:        while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11754:          ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11755:          fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11756:          numlinepar++;
                   11757:          fputs(line,stdout);
                   11758:          fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11759:          fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11760:        }
                   11761:        ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.234     brouard  11762:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11763:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11764:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11765: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11766: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11767:          exit(1);
                   11768:        }
                   11769:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11770:        if(mle==1)
                   11771:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11772:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11773:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11774:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11775:          if(mle==1){
                   11776:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11777:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11778:          }
                   11779:          else
                   11780:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11781:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11782:        }
                   11783:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11784:        numlinepar++;
                   11785:        if(mle==1)
                   11786:          printf("\n");
                   11787:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11788:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11789:       }
                   11790:     }  
                   11791:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11792:     
1.251     brouard  11793:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11794:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11795:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11796:     
                   11797:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11798:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11799:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11800:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11801:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11802:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11803:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11804:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11805:     }
                   11806:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11807: 
                   11808:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11809:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11810:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11811:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11812:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11813:          exit(1);
                   11814:        }
                   11815:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11816:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11817:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11818:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11819:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11820:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11821:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11822:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11823:        }
                   11824:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11825:        numlinepar++;
                   11826:        printf("\n");
                   11827:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11828:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11829:       }
                   11830:     }
                   11831:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11832:     
1.145     brouard  11833:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11834:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11835:                
                   11836:                
1.126     brouard  11837:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11838:                
1.126     brouard  11839:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11840:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11841:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11842:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11843:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11844:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11845:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11846:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11847:     }
                   11848:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11849:                
1.126     brouard  11850:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11851:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11852:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11853:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11854:                
1.194     brouard  11855:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11856:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11857:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11858:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11859:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11860: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11861: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11862:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11863: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11864: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11865:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11866:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11867:        if(mle==1)
                   11868:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11869:       }
                   11870:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11871:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11872:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11873:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11874:        if(mle==1){
                   11875:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11876:        }
                   11877:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11878:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11879:       }
                   11880:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11881:       numlinepar++;
                   11882:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11883:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11884:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11885:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11886:     }
1.194     brouard  11887:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11888:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11889:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11890:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11891:     
                   11892:     if(mle==1)
                   11893:       printf("\n");
                   11894:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11895:     
                   11896:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11897:     
                   11898:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11899:   
1.186     brouard  11900:   /*  Main data
                   11901:    */
1.290     brouard  11902:   nobs=lastobs-firstobs+1; /* was = lastobs;*/
                   11903:   /* num=lvector(1,n); */
                   11904:   /* moisnais=vector(1,n); */
                   11905:   /* annais=vector(1,n); */
                   11906:   /* moisdc=vector(1,n); */
                   11907:   /* andc=vector(1,n); */
                   11908:   /* weight=vector(1,n); */
                   11909:   /* agedc=vector(1,n); */
                   11910:   /* cod=ivector(1,n); */
                   11911:   /* for(i=1;i<=n;i++){ */
                   11912:   num=lvector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11913:   moisnais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11914:   annais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11915:   moisdc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11916:   andc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11917:   weight=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11918:   agedc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11919:   cod=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   11920:   for(i=firstobs;i<=lastobs;i++){
1.234     brouard  11921:     num[i]=0;
                   11922:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11923:     annais[i]=0;
                   11924:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11925:     andc[i]=0;
                   11926:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11927:     cod[i]=0;
                   11928:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11929:   }
1.290     brouard  11930:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
                   11931:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
1.325     brouard  11932:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */
                   11933:   printf("BUG ncovmodel=%d NCOVMAX=%d 2**ncovmodel=%f BUG\n",ncovmodel,NCOVMAX,pow(2,ncovmodel));
1.126     brouard  11934:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11935:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11936:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11937: 
1.136     brouard  11938:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11939:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11940:     goto end;
                   11941: 
                   11942:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11943:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11944:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11945:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11946:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11947:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11948:   */
                   11949:   
                   11950:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11951:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11952:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11953:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11954:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11955:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11956:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11957:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11958:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11959:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11960:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11961:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11962:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11963:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11964:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11965:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11966:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11967:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11968:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11969: 
1.230     brouard  11970:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11971:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11972:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11973:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11974:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11975:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11976:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11977:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11978:   */
                   11979:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11980:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11981:     ncovcol + k1
                   11982:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11983:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11984:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11985:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11986:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11987:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11988:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11989:   */
1.145     brouard  11990:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11991:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11992:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11993:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11994:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11995:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11996:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11997:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11998:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11999:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   12000:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   12001:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  12002:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   12003:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   12004:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   12005:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   12006:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  12007:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   12008:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   12009:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   12010:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  12011: /* Main decodemodel */
                   12012: 
1.187     brouard  12013: 
1.223     brouard  12014:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  12015:     goto end;
                   12016: 
1.137     brouard  12017:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   12018:     nbwarn++;
                   12019:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   12020:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   12021:   }
1.136     brouard  12022:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  12023:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   12024:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  12025:   }
                   12026: 
                   12027:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   12028:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   12029: 
                   12030:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   12031:     goto end;
                   12032: 
1.126     brouard  12033: 
1.136     brouard  12034:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
1.290     brouard  12035:   free_vector(moisnais,firstobs,lastobs);
                   12036:   free_vector(annais,firstobs,lastobs);
1.126     brouard  12037:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12038:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  12039:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   12040:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  12041:   /* */
                   12042:   
1.126     brouard  12043:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  12044:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   12045:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   12046:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   12047:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   12048:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12049:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  12050:    
                   12051:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  12052:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   12053:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   12054:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   12055:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   12056:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   12057:   */
                   12058: 
1.126     brouard  12059:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  12060:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  12061:  
1.290     brouard  12062:   free_vector(moisdc,firstobs,lastobs);
                   12063:   free_vector(andc,firstobs,lastobs);
1.215     brouard  12064: 
1.126     brouard  12065:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   12066:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   12067:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  12068:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  12069:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  12070:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   12071:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  12072:   }
                   12073:   
                   12074:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   12075:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   12076:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   12077:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   12078:   
1.211     brouard  12079:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  12080:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  12081:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  12082:   
1.200     brouard  12083:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  12084:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  12085:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  12086:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   12087:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   12088:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   12089:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   12090:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   12091:    */
                   12092: 
1.145     brouard  12093:   h=0;
                   12094:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  12095:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   12096:  
1.144     brouard  12097:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  12098:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   12099:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   12100:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  12101:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  12102:           *______________________________  
                   12103:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   12104:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   12105:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   12106:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   12107:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   12108:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   12109:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   12110:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  12111:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   12112:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   12113:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   12114:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   12115:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   12116:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   12117:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   12118:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  12119:           */
1.212     brouard  12120:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  12121:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   12122:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   12123:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   12124:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   12125:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   12126:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   12127:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   12128:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   12129:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   12130:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   12131:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   12132:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   12133:      *              76543210     
                   12134:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  12135:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  12136:      *           &
                   12137:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  12138:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   12139:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  12140:      *
                   12141:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   12142:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   12143:      *    >>k'            11
                   12144:      *          &   00000001
                   12145:      *            = 00000001
                   12146:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   12147:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   12148:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   12149:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   12150:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   12151:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   12152:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   12153:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   12154:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   12155:      *          &1 000000001
                   12156:      *           = 000000001
                   12157:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   12158:      *                  2211
                   12159:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   12160:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  12161:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  12162:      */
                   12163: 
1.145     brouard  12164: 
                   12165:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12166: 
                   12167: 
1.126     brouard  12168:     
1.186     brouard  12169:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  12170:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   12171:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  12172:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  12173:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   12174: 
                   12175:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12176:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   12177:   }
                   12178:   else{
1.204     brouard  12179:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  12180:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  12181:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   12182:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  12183:   }
                   12184:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  12185: 
                   12186: 
                   12187:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  12188: 
                   12189:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   12190:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  12191:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  12192:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   12193:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  12194:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   12195:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12196:   }
                   12197: 
                   12198:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   12199:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   12200:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   12201:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   12202:   }
                   12203:   else{
                   12204:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   12205: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  12206: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  12207:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   12208:   }
                   12209: 
1.324     brouard  12210:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  12211: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   12212: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  12213: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  12214: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  12215: \n\
                   12216: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   12217:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   12218:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   12219:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   12220:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   12221:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   12222:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   12223:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   12224:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   12225:          fileres,fileres,\
                   12226:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   12227:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12228: 
                   12229:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   12230:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  12231: #ifdef WIN32
                   12232:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   12233: #else
1.126     brouard  12234:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  12235: #endif
                   12236:          
1.126     brouard  12237:   
1.220     brouard  12238:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   12239:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  12240:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  12241:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  12242:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  12243: 
                   12244:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.286     brouard  12245:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%g \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
1.274     brouard  12246:          ftol, stepm);
                   12247:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   12248:   ncurrv=1;
                   12249:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   12250:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   12251:   ncurrv=i;
                   12252:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
1.290     brouard  12253:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) dummy covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
1.274     brouard  12254:   ncurrv=i;
                   12255:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
1.290     brouard  12256:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of time varying  quantitative covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
1.274     brouard  12257:   ncurrv=i;
                   12258:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   12259:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   12260:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   12261: 
                   12262:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   12263: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   12264: 
                   12265:   
1.317     brouard  12266:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Number of (used) observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  12267: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   12268: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  12269:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  12270:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  12271:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   12272:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   12273:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   12274:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  12275: 
1.126     brouard  12276:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   12277:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   12278:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   12279: 
                   12280:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  12281:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  12282:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  12283:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  12284:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   12285:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   12286:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  12287:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.290     brouard  12288:     cens=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   12289:     ageexmed=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   12290:     agecens=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
                   12291:     dcwave=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
1.223     brouard  12292:                
1.126     brouard  12293:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   12294:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   12295:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  12296:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   12297:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   12298:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   12299:          break;
                   12300:        }
1.126     brouard  12301:     }
1.226     brouard  12302:     
1.126     brouard  12303:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   12304:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  12305:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   12306:        j=wav[i];
                   12307:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   12308:        
                   12309:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   12310:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   12311:          cens[i]= 1;
                   12312:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   12313:          cens[i]= -1;
                   12314:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   12315:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  12316:       }
                   12317:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   12318:     }
                   12319:     
                   12320:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   12321:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  12322:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  12323:     }
                   12324:     
1.302     brouard  12325:     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;
                   12326:     /* printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]); */
1.126     brouard  12327:     
                   12328:     
1.136     brouard  12329: #ifdef GSL
                   12330:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  12331: #else
1.126     brouard  12332:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  12333: #endif
1.201     brouard  12334:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   12335:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12336:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12337:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   12338:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   12339:     }
1.136     brouard  12340: #ifdef GSL
                   12341:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  12342: #else
1.126     brouard  12343:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  12344: #endif
1.126     brouard  12345:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12346:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   12347:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   12348:     */
                   12349:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  12350: #ifdef GSL
                   12351:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   12352:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   12353:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   12354:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   12355:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   12356: 
                   12357:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   12358:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   12359:     
                   12360:     if (ss == NULL){
                   12361:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   12362:     }
                   12363:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   12364:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   12365: 
                   12366:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  12367:     
1.136     brouard  12368:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   12369:     
                   12370:     if (x == NULL){
                   12371:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   12372:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   12373:     }
                   12374:   
                   12375:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   12376:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  12377:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   12378:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  12379:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   12380:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   12381: 
                   12382:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   12383:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   12384:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   12385:     
                   12386:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   12387:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   12388:     
                   12389:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   12390:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   12391: 
                   12392:     iteri=0;
                   12393:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   12394:       iteri++;
                   12395:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   12396:       
                   12397:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   12398:       fflush(0);
                   12399:       
                   12400:       if (status) 
                   12401:         break;
                   12402:       
                   12403:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   12404:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   12405:       
                   12406:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   12407:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   12408:       
                   12409:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   12410:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   12411:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   12412:       }
                   12413:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   12414:     }
                   12415:     
                   12416:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   12417:     
                   12418:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   12419:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   12420:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   12421:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   12422:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   12423:     }
                   12424:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   12425: #endif
                   12426: #ifdef POWELL
                   12427:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   12428: #endif  
1.126     brouard  12429:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   12430:     
1.203     brouard  12431:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  12432: 
                   12433:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   12434:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  12435:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  12436:     
                   12437:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  12438:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  12439:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   12440:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  12441:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   12442:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  12443:       }
1.203     brouard  12444:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  12445:     }
                   12446:     
                   12447:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  12448:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  12449:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  12450:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   12451:     }
1.302     brouard  12452:     lsurv=vector(agegomp,AGESUP);
                   12453:     lpop=vector(agegomp,AGESUP);
                   12454:     tpop=vector(agegomp,AGESUP);
1.126     brouard  12455:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   12456:     
                   12457:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   12458:       agemortsup=k;
                   12459:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   12460:     }
                   12461:     
                   12462:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   12463:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   12464:     
                   12465:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   12466:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   12467:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   12468:     }
                   12469:     
                   12470:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   12471:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   12472:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   12473:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   12474:     }
                   12475:     
                   12476:     
                   12477:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   12478:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   12479:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   12480:     
                   12481:     
                   12482:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  12483:                ageminpar=50;
                   12484:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  12485:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   12486:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   12487: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12488: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   12489:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   12490: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12491: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12492:     }else{
                   12493:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   12494:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  12495:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  12496:                }
1.201     brouard  12497:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  12498:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   12499:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   12500:     
1.302     brouard  12501:     free_vector(lsurv,agegomp,AGESUP);
                   12502:     free_vector(lpop,agegomp,AGESUP);
                   12503:     free_vector(tpop,agegomp,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  12504:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.290     brouard  12505:     free_ivector(dcwave,firstobs,lastobs);
                   12506:     free_vector(agecens,firstobs,lastobs);
                   12507:     free_vector(ageexmed,firstobs,lastobs);
                   12508:     free_ivector(cens,firstobs,lastobs);
1.220     brouard  12509: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  12510: #endif
1.186     brouard  12511:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  12512:   /* Standard  */
                   12513:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   12514:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   12515:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  12516:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  12517:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   12518:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   12519:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   12520:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  12521:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   12522:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  12523:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   12524:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   12525:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   12526:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  12527:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   12528:     }
                   12529:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   12530:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   12531:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   12532:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   12533:     }
                   12534:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  12535:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   12536:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   12537:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   12538:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   12539:     printf("\n");
                   12540:     
                   12541:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.283     brouard  12542:     /* fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); */
1.126     brouard  12543:     
                   12544:     
                   12545:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
1.319     brouard  12546:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); /* Printing model equation */
1.126     brouard  12547:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
1.319     brouard  12548: 
                   12549:     printf("#model=  1      +     age ");
                   12550:     fprintf(ficres,"#model=  1      +     age ");
                   12551:     fprintf(ficlog,"#model=  1      +     age ");
                   12552:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   12553: </ul>", model);
                   12554: 
                   12555:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">\n");
                   12556:     fprintf(fichtm, "<tr><th>Model=</th><th>1</th><th>+ age</th>");
                   12557:     if(nagesqr==1){
                   12558:       printf("  + age*age  ");
                   12559:       fprintf(ficres,"  + age*age  ");
                   12560:       fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
                   12561:       fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+ age*age</th>");
                   12562:     }
                   12563:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   12564:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   12565:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   12566:        fprintf(ficres,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   12567:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   12568:        fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+ V%d</th>",Tvar[j]);
                   12569:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   12570:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   12571:        fprintf(ficres,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   12572:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   12573:        fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+  V%d*age</th>",Tvar[j]);
                   12574:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   12575:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   12576:        fprintf(ficres,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   12577:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   12578:        fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+  V%d*V%d</th>",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   12579:       }
                   12580:     }
                   12581:     printf("\n");
                   12582:     fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12583:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12584:     fprintf(fichtm, "</tr>");
                   12585:     fprintf(fichtm, "\n");
                   12586:     
                   12587:     
1.126     brouard  12588:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   12589:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  12590:        if (k != i) {
1.319     brouard  12591:          fprintf(fichtm, "<tr>");
1.225     brouard  12592:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   12593:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   12594:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
1.319     brouard  12595:          fprintf(fichtm, "<td>%1d%1d</td>",i,k);
1.225     brouard  12596:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   12597:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   12598:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   12599:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
1.319     brouard  12600:            fprintf(fichtm, "<td>%12.7f</td>",p[jk]);
1.225     brouard  12601:            jk++; 
                   12602:          }
                   12603:          printf("\n");
                   12604:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12605:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
1.319     brouard  12606:          fprintf(fichtm, "</tr>\n");
1.225     brouard  12607:        }
1.126     brouard  12608:       }
                   12609:     }
1.319     brouard  12610:     /* fprintf(fichtm,"</tr>\n"); */
                   12611:     fprintf(fichtm,"</table>\n");
                   12612:     fprintf(fichtm, "\n");
                   12613: 
1.203     brouard  12614:     if(mle != 0){
                   12615:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  12616:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  12617:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   12618:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   12619:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
1.322     brouard  12620:       fprintf(fichtm, "\n<p>The Wald test results are output only if the maximimzation of the Likelihood is performed (mle=1)\n</br>Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n</br> W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n</br> And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n </br> It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page '<a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities and its graphs</a>'.\n</br>",optionfilehtmcov);
1.319     brouard  12621:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   12622:       fprintf(fichtm, "\n<tr><th>Model=</th><th>1</th><th>+ age</th>");
                   12623:       if(nagesqr==1){
                   12624:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   12625:        fprintf(ficres,"  + age*age  ");
                   12626:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
                   12627:        fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+ age*age</th>");
                   12628:       }
                   12629:       for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   12630:        if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   12631:          printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   12632:          fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+ V%d</th>",Tvar[j]);
                   12633:        }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   12634:          printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   12635:          fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+  V%d*age</th>",Tvar[j]);
                   12636:        }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   12637:          fprintf(fichtm, "<th>+  V%d*V%d</th>",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   12638:        }
                   12639:       }
                   12640:       fprintf(fichtm, "</tr>\n");
                   12641:  
1.203     brouard  12642:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  12643:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   12644:          if (k != i) {
1.319     brouard  12645:            fprintf(fichtm, "<tr valign=top>");
1.225     brouard  12646:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   12647:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.319     brouard  12648:            fprintf(fichtm, "<td>%1d%1d</td>",i,k);
1.225     brouard  12649:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
1.319     brouard  12650:              wald=p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]);
1.324     brouard  12651:              printf("%12.7f(%12.7f) W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk],sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   12652:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f(%12.7f) W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk],sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
1.319     brouard  12653:              if(fabs(wald) > 1.96){
1.321     brouard  12654:                fprintf(fichtm, "<td><b>%12.7f</b></br> (%12.7f)</br>",p[jk],sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
1.319     brouard  12655:              }else{
                   12656:                fprintf(fichtm, "<td>%12.7f (%12.7f)</br>",p[jk],sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   12657:              }
1.324     brouard  12658:              fprintf(fichtm,"W=%8.3f</br>",wald);
1.319     brouard  12659:              fprintf(fichtm,"[%12.7f;%12.7f]</br></td>", p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
1.225     brouard  12660:              jk++; 
                   12661:            }
                   12662:            printf("\n");
                   12663:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.319     brouard  12664:            fprintf(fichtm, "</tr>\n");
1.225     brouard  12665:          }
                   12666:        }
1.193     brouard  12667:       }
1.203     brouard  12668:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.319     brouard  12669:     fprintf(fichtm,"</table>\n");
1.225     brouard  12670:     
1.203     brouard  12671:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  12672:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   12673:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   12674:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   12675:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   12676:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  12677:        if (j!=i) {
                   12678:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   12679:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   12680:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   12681:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   12682:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   12683:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   12684:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   12685:            jk++;
                   12686:          }
                   12687:          printf("\n");
                   12688:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12689:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12690:        }
1.126     brouard  12691:       }
                   12692:     }
                   12693:     
                   12694:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  12695:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  12696:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   12697:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   12698:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   12699:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   12700:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   12701:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   12702:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   12703:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   12704:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   12705:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   12706:     
                   12707:     
                   12708:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   12709:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   12710:     */
                   12711:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   12712:       jj=0;
                   12713:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  12714:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   12715:          if(j==i) continue;
                   12716:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   12717:            jj++;
                   12718:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   12719:            if(itimes==1){
                   12720:              if(mle>=1)
                   12721:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12722:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12723:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12724:            }else{
                   12725:              if(mle>=1)
                   12726:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12727:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12728:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   12729:            }
                   12730:            ll=0;
                   12731:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   12732:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   12733:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   12734:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   12735:                  ll++;
                   12736:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   12737:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   12738:                    if(ll<jj){
                   12739:                      if(itimes==1){
                   12740:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12741:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   12742:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   12743:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   12744:                      }else{
                   12745:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12746:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12747:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12748:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12749:                      }
                   12750:                    }else{
                   12751:                      if(itimes==1){
                   12752:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12753:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12754:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12755:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   12756:                      }else{
                   12757:                        if(mle>=1)
                   12758:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12759:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12760:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   12761:                      }
                   12762:                    }
                   12763:                  }
                   12764:                } /* end lk */
                   12765:              } /* end lj */
                   12766:            } /* end li */
                   12767:            if(mle>=1)
                   12768:              printf("\n");
                   12769:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   12770:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12771:            numlinepar++;
                   12772:          } /* end k*/
                   12773:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  12774:       } /* end i */
                   12775:     } /* end itimes */
                   12776:     
                   12777:     fflush(ficlog);
                   12778:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  12779:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12780:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12781:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12782:        numlinepar++;
                   12783:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12784:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12785:        fputs(line,ficlog);
1.299     brouard  12786:        fputs(line,ficres);
1.225     brouard  12787:        continue;
                   12788:       }else
                   12789:        break;
                   12790:     }
                   12791:     
1.209     brouard  12792:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   12793:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   12794:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   12795:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   12796:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   12797:     /* } */
                   12798:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  12799:     
                   12800:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  12801:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  12802:       
                   12803:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   12804:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12805:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12806:        goto end;
                   12807:       }
                   12808:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12809:     }
                   12810:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   12811:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   12812:     
1.209     brouard  12813:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  12814:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   12815:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   12816:       bage = ageminpar;
                   12817:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   12818:     }
                   12819:     
                   12820:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  12821:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12822:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  12823:                
1.186     brouard  12824:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  12825:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12826:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12827:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12828:        numlinepar++;
                   12829:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12830:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12831:        fputs(line,ficlog);
1.299     brouard  12832:        fputs(line,ficres);
1.254     brouard  12833:        continue;
                   12834:       }else
                   12835:        break;
                   12836:     }
                   12837: 
                   12838:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12839:       
                   12840:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12841:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12842:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12843:        goto end;
                   12844:       }
                   12845:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12846:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12847:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12848:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12849:     }
1.254     brouard  12850: 
                   12851:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12852:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12853:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12854:        numlinepar++;
                   12855:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12856:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12857:        fputs(line,ficlog);
1.299     brouard  12858:        fputs(line,ficres);
1.254     brouard  12859:        continue;
                   12860:       }else
                   12861:        break;
1.126     brouard  12862:     }
                   12863:     
                   12864:     
                   12865:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12866:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12867:     
1.254     brouard  12868:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12869:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12870:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12871:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12872:        goto end;
                   12873:       }
                   12874:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12875:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12876:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12877:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12878:     }
                   12879:      
1.258     brouard  12880:     /* Results */
1.307     brouard  12881:     endishere=0;
1.258     brouard  12882:     nresult=0;
1.308     brouard  12883:     parameterline=0;
1.258     brouard  12884:     do{
                   12885:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12886:        endishere=1;
1.308     brouard  12887:        parameterline=15;
1.258     brouard  12888:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12889:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12890:        numlinepar++;
                   12891:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12892:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12893:        fputs(line,ficlog);
1.299     brouard  12894:        fputs(line,ficres);
1.254     brouard  12895:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12896:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12897:        parameterline=11;
1.296     brouard  12898:       else if(sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
1.258     brouard  12899:        parameterline=12;
1.307     brouard  12900:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp)){
1.258     brouard  12901:        parameterline=13;
1.307     brouard  12902:       }
1.258     brouard  12903:       else{
                   12904:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12905:       }
1.308     brouard  12906:       switch (parameterline){ /* =0 only if only comments */
1.258     brouard  12907:       case 11:
1.296     brouard  12908:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){
                   12909:                  fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
1.258     brouard  12910:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12911:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12912:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12913:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12914:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12915:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
1.296     brouard  12916:           prvforecast = 1;
                   12917:        } 
                   12918:        else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&yrfproj,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/
1.313     brouard  12919:          printf("prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
                   12920:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
                   12921:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
1.296     brouard  12922:           prvforecast = 2;
                   12923:        }
                   12924:        else {
                   12925:          printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearsfproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
                   12926:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
                   12927:          goto end;
1.258     brouard  12928:        }
1.254     brouard  12929:        break;
1.258     brouard  12930:       case 12:
1.296     brouard  12931:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){
                   12932:           fprintf(ficparo,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12933:          printf("prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12934:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12935:          fprintf(ficres,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12936:          /* day and month of back2 are not used but only year anback2.*/
1.273     brouard  12937:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12938:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.296     brouard  12939:           prvbackcast = 1;
                   12940:        } 
                   12941:        else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&yrbproj,&mobilavproj)) ==3){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/
1.313     brouard  12942:          printf("prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
                   12943:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
                   12944:          fprintf(ficres,"prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%.2lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
1.296     brouard  12945:           prvbackcast = 2;
                   12946:        }
                   12947:        else {
                   12948:          printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearsbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
                   12949:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
                   12950:          goto end;
1.258     brouard  12951:        }
1.230     brouard  12952:        break;
1.258     brouard  12953:       case 13:
1.307     brouard  12954:        num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline);
                   12955:        nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12956:        printf("Result %d: result:%s\n",nresult, resultline);
1.318     brouard  12957:        if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINESPONE-1){
                   12958:          printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\nYou can use the 'r' parameter file '%s' which uses option mle=0 to get other results. ",MAXRESULTLINESPONE-1,nresult,rfileres);
                   12959:          fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\nYou can use the 'r' parameter file '%s' which uses option mle=0 to get other results. ",MAXRESULTLINESPONE-1,nresult,rfileres);
1.307     brouard  12960:          goto end;
                   12961:        }
1.310     brouard  12962:        if(!decoderesult(resultline, nresult)){ /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
1.314     brouard  12963:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12964:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12965:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.310     brouard  12966:        } else
                   12967:          goto end;
1.307     brouard  12968:        break;
                   12969:       case 14:
                   12970:        printf("Error: Unknown command '%s'\n",line);
                   12971:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Unknown command '%s'\n",line);
1.314     brouard  12972:        if(line[0] == ' ' || line[0] == '\n'){
                   12973:          printf("It should not be an empty line '%s'\n",line);
                   12974:          fprintf(ficlog,"It should not be an empty line '%s'\n",line);
                   12975:        }         
1.307     brouard  12976:        if(ncovmodel >=2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12977:          printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
                   12978:          fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12979:        }
1.307     brouard  12980:        /* goto end; */
                   12981:        break;
1.308     brouard  12982:       case 15:
                   12983:        printf("End of resultlines.\n");
                   12984:        fprintf(ficlog,"End of resultlines.\n");
                   12985:        break;
                   12986:       default: /* parameterline =0 */
1.307     brouard  12987:        nresult=1;
                   12988:        decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
1.258     brouard  12989:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12990:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12991:     
1.230     brouard  12992:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12993:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12994:     
                   12995:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12996:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12997:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12998: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12999: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  13000:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  13001: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   13002: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  13003:     }else{
1.270     brouard  13004:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
1.296     brouard  13005:       /* It seems that anprojd which is computed from the mean year at interview which is known yet because of freqsummary */
                   13006:       /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */ /* Done in freqsummary */
                   13007:       if(prvforecast==1){
                   13008:         dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365;
                   13009:         jprojd=jproj1;
                   13010:         mprojd=mproj1;
                   13011:         anprojd=anproj1;
                   13012:         dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365;
                   13013:         jprojf=jproj2;
                   13014:         mprojf=mproj2;
                   13015:         anprojf=anproj2;
                   13016:       } else if(prvforecast == 2){
                   13017:         dateprojd=dateintmean;
                   13018:         date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd);
                   13019:         dateprojf=dateintmean+yrfproj;
                   13020:         date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf);
                   13021:       }
                   13022:       if(prvbackcast==1){
                   13023:         datebackd=(jback1+12*mback1+365*anback1)/365;
                   13024:         jbackd=jback1;
                   13025:         mbackd=mback1;
                   13026:         anbackd=anback1;
                   13027:         datebackf=(jback2+12*mback2+365*anback2)/365;
                   13028:         jbackf=jback2;
                   13029:         mbackf=mback2;
                   13030:         anbackf=anback2;
                   13031:       } else if(prvbackcast == 2){
                   13032:         datebackd=dateintmean;
                   13033:         date2dmy(datebackd,&jbackd, &mbackd, &anbackd);
                   13034:         datebackf=dateintmean-yrbproj;
                   13035:         date2dmy(datebackf,&jbackf, &mbackf, &anbackf);
                   13036:       }
                   13037:       
                   13038:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, prevbcast, pathc,p, (int)anprojd-bage, (int)anbackd-fage);
1.220     brouard  13039:     }
                   13040:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.296     brouard  13041:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,prevbcast, estepm, \
                   13042:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateprojd, datebackd,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateprojf, datebackf);
1.220     brouard  13043:                
1.225     brouard  13044:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   13045:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  13046:                
1.215     brouard  13047:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   13048:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   13049:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   13050:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.290     brouard  13051:     free_lvector(num,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13052:     free_vector(agedc,firstobs,lastobs);
1.126     brouard  13053:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   13054:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   13055:     fclose(ficparo);
                   13056:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  13057:                
                   13058:                
1.186     brouard  13059:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  13060:                
                   13061:                
1.126     brouard  13062:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  13063:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   13064:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  13065:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  13066:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   13067: 
                   13068:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  13069:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   13070:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  13071:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  13072:     
1.220     brouard  13073:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  13074:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  13075:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  13076:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  13077:     
1.269     brouard  13078:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   13079:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   13080:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  13081:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  13082:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   13083:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  13084:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   13085:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  13086:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  13087:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   13088:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  13089:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  13090:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   13091:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  13092:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   13093:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  13094:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  13095:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  13096:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   13097:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   13098:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   13099:        }
1.269     brouard  13100:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  13101:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  13102:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  13103:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   13104:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   13105:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   13106:        }
1.269     brouard  13107:       }else{
                   13108:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   13109:        fflush(stdout);
                   13110:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  13111:       }
                   13112:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  13113:     
1.126     brouard  13114:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
1.296     brouard  13115:     if(prevfcast==1){ 
                   13116:       /*   /\*    if(stepm ==1){*\/ */
                   13117:       /*   /\*  anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */
                   13118:       /*This done previously after freqsummary.*/
                   13119:       /*   dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365; */
                   13120:       /*   dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365; */
                   13121:       
                   13122:       /* } else if (prvforecast==2){ */
                   13123:       /*   /\*    if(stepm ==1){*\/ */
                   13124:       /*   /\*  anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */
                   13125:       /* } */
                   13126:       /*prevforecast(fileresu, dateintmean, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);*/
                   13127:       prevforecast(fileresu,dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  13128:     }
1.269     brouard  13129: 
1.296     brouard  13130:     /* Prevbcasting */
                   13131:     if(prevbcast==1){
1.219     brouard  13132:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   13133:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   13134:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   13135: 
                   13136:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   13137: 
                   13138:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  13139: 
1.219     brouard  13140:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   13141:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   13142: 
1.222     brouard  13143:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   13144:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  13145: 
1.296     brouard  13146:       /* /\* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, *\/ */
                   13147:       /* /\*                  mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); *\/ */
                   13148:       /* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, */
                   13149:       /*                      mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); */
                   13150:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   13151:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff);
                   13152: 
                   13153:       
1.269     brouard  13154:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  13155: 
                   13156:       
1.269     brouard  13157:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  13158:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   13159:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   13160:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.296     brouard  13161:     }    /* end  Prevbcasting */
1.268     brouard  13162:  
1.186     brouard  13163:  
                   13164:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  13165: 
1.215     brouard  13166:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   13167:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   13168:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   13169:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  13170:                
                   13171:                
1.127     brouard  13172:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  13173:                
1.201     brouard  13174:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   13175:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  13176:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   13177:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   13178:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   13179:     }
1.208     brouard  13180:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   13181:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  13182: 
                   13183:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  13184:                
1.235     brouard  13185:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   13186:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   13187:     
                   13188:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   13189:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  13190:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  13191:        continue;
1.219     brouard  13192:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  13193:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  13194:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  13195:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  13196:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   13197:       }
                   13198:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   13199:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13200:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  13201:       }
                   13202:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  13203:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  13204:       
                   13205:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   13206:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  13207:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  13208:       
1.219     brouard  13209:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  13210:     }
                   13211:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  13212:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   13213:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  13214: 
1.218     brouard  13215:                
1.227     brouard  13216:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  13217:                
1.201     brouard  13218:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   13219:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  13220:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   13221:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   13222:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   13223:     }
1.208     brouard  13224:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   13225:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  13226:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   13227:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  13228:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  13229:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   13230:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  13231:     }
1.227     brouard  13232:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   13233:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  13234: 
1.201     brouard  13235:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   13236:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  13237:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  13238:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   13239:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  13240:     }
1.227     brouard  13241:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   13242:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  13243: 
1.201     brouard  13244:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   13245:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  13246:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   13247:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   13248:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   13249:     }
1.227     brouard  13250:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   13251:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  13252: 
1.235     brouard  13253:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   13254:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   13255:     
                   13256:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   13257:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  13258:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  13259:        continue;
1.321     brouard  13260:       printf("\n# model %s \n#****** Result for:", model);
                   13261:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n# model %s \n#****** Result for:", model);
                   13262:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n# model %s \n#****** Result for:", model);
1.227     brouard  13263:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   13264:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   13265:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   13266:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   13267:       }
1.235     brouard  13268:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   13269:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13270:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13271:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13272:       }        
1.208     brouard  13273:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  13274:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   13275:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  13276:       
                   13277:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   13278:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  13279:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  13280:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   13281:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  13282:       }
1.235     brouard  13283:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   13284:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13285:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13286:       }        
1.208     brouard  13287:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   13288:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   13289:       
                   13290:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  13291:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  13292:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  13293:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  13294:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   13295:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   13296:       }        
1.208     brouard  13297:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   13298:       
                   13299:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   13300:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  13301:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   13302:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   13303:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  13304:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   13305:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   13306:       
                   13307:       /*
                   13308:        */
                   13309:       /* goto endfree; */
                   13310:       
                   13311:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   13312:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   13313:       
1.269     brouard  13314:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  13315:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  13316:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   13317:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   13318:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   13319:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  13320:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  13321:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   13322:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   13323:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   13324:        else
1.288     brouard  13325:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
1.227     brouard  13326:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   13327:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   13328:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   13329:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
1.288     brouard  13330:        printf("Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   13331:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
1.227     brouard  13332:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  13333:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  13334:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   13335:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   13336:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   13337:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   13338:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   13339:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   13340:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   13341:            }
                   13342:          }
1.219     brouard  13343:          
1.227     brouard  13344:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   13345:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   13346:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   13347:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   13348:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   13349:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   13350:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   13351:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   13352:            }
                   13353:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   13354:          }
                   13355:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  13356:          
1.227     brouard  13357:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   13358:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   13359:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   13360:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   13361:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   13362:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   13363:          }
                   13364:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   13365:        }
1.208     brouard  13366:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  13367:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  13368:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   13369:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  13370:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   13371:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  13372:       
1.235     brouard  13373:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  13374: 
                   13375:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   13376:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   13377: 
1.288     brouard  13378:     /* variance-covariance of forward period prevalence*/
1.269     brouard  13379:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  13380: 
1.227     brouard  13381:     
1.290     brouard  13382:     free_vector(weight,firstobs,lastobs);
1.227     brouard  13383:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
1.290     brouard  13384:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13385:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs); 
                   13386:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13387:     free_ivector(cod,firstobs,lastobs);
1.227     brouard  13388:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13389:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   13390:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   13391:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   13392:     fclose(ficrest);
                   13393:     fclose(ficpar);
                   13394:     
                   13395:     
1.126     brouard  13396:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  13397:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  13398:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   13399:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  13400:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   13401:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  13402:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  13403:   /* endfree:*/
                   13404:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   13405:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   13406:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.290     brouard  13407:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13408:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13409:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs);
                   13410:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs);
1.227     brouard  13411:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   13412:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   13413:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   13414:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   13415:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  13416:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  13417:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   13418:   
                   13419:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13420:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13421:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   13422:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  13423:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13424:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  13425:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   13426:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  13427:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13428:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13429:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13430:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  13431:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13432:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  13433:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13434:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13435:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13436:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13437:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13438:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  13439:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13440:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13441:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13442:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13443:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13444:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  13445:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13446:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  13447:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13448:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13449:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13450:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   13451:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13452:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  13453:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   13454:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  13455:   
                   13456:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   13457:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  13458:   fflush(fichtm);
                   13459:   fflush(ficgp);
                   13460:   
1.227     brouard  13461:   
1.126     brouard  13462:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  13463:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   13464:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  13465:   }else{
                   13466:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   13467:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   13468:   }
                   13469:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   13470:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  13471:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   13472:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   13473:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   13474:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   13475:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  13476:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   13477:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  13478:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  13479:   
1.157     brouard  13480:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   13481:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   13482:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  13483:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   13484: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   13485:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   13486:   fclose(fichtm);
                   13487:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   13488:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   13489:   fclose(ficgp);
                   13490:   fclose(ficlog);
                   13491:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  13492:   
1.281     brouard  13493: 
                   13494: /* Executes gnuplot */
1.227     brouard  13495:   
                   13496:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  13497: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  13498:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   13499:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   13500:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  13501: #else
1.227     brouard  13502:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   13503:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   13504:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  13505: #endif 
1.126     brouard  13506:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   13507:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   13508:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  13509: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  13510:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   13511: #endif
                   13512:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  13513:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  13514:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  13515:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  13516:     }else
                   13517:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  13518: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  13519:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   13520:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  13521:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  13522:     }else
                   13523:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   13524: #endif
                   13525:   }else
                   13526:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   13527:   
                   13528:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  13529:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.292     brouard  13530:   strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.227     brouard  13531:   
1.126     brouard  13532:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.292     brouard  13533:     printf("Error in gnuplot, command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  13534:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  13535:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.292     brouard  13536:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.153     brouard  13537:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.292     brouard  13538:       strcpy(plotcmd,pplotcmd);
                   13539:     }
1.126     brouard  13540:   }
1.158     brouard  13541:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  13542:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   13543:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  13544:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  13545:     scanf("%s",z);
                   13546: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   13547:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  13548: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  13549:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  13550: #elif __linux
                   13551:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  13552: #else
1.152     brouard  13553:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  13554: #endif
                   13555:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   13556:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  13557:     }
                   13558:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   13559:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   13560:   }
1.227     brouard  13561: end:
1.126     brouard  13562:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  13563:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  13564:     scanf("%s",z);
                   13565:   }
1.283     brouard  13566:   printf("End\n");
1.282     brouard  13567:   exit(0);
1.126     brouard  13568: }

FreeBSD-CVSweb <freebsd-cvsweb@FreeBSD.org>