Annotation of imach/html/doc/biaspar.htm, revision 1.5

1.5     ! brouard     1: <html><head>
        !             2: <title>IMaCh biaspar.htm</title></head>
        !             3:  <body><font size="2">Imach version 0.98q5, August 2015,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015 <br> $Revision: 1.194 $ $Date: 2015/08/18 13:32:00 $</font> <hr size="2" color="#EC5E5E"> 
        !             4: Title=1st_example <br>Datafile=data1.txt Firstpass=1 Lastpass=4 Stepm=1 Weight=0 Model=<br>
        !             5: 
        !             6: <hr  size="2" color="#EC5E5E"> <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>
        !             7:  - Parameter file: <a href="biaspar.imach">biaspar.imach</a><br>
        !             8:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href="orbiaspar.txt">orbiaspar.txt</a><br>
        !             9:  - Log file of the run: <a href="biaspar.log">biaspar.log</a><br>
        !            10:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href="biaspar.gp">biaspar.gp</a><br>
        !            11:  - Date and time at start: Tue Aug 18 18:20:44 2015
        !            12: </ul>
        !            13: 
        !            14: <br>Total number of observations=8270 <br>
        !            15: Youngest age at first (selected) pass 70.00, oldest age 104.17<br>
        !            16: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=1 Max=74 Mean=24.04<br>
        !            17: 
        !            18: <br>File of contributions to the likelihood: <a href="biaspar/ilkrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/ilkrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
        !            19: <ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>
        !            20:     <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>
        !            21:  </ul><ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>
        !            22:   - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between 1/1/1984 and 1/6/1988): <a href="biaspar/prbiaspar.txt">biaspar/prbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            23:   - Estimated transition probabilities over 1 (stepm) months: <a href="biaspar/pijrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/pijrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
        !            24:   - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href="biaspar/plrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/plrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            25:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm= 1 months):    <a href="biaspar/erbiaspar.txt">biaspar/erbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            26:  - Population projections by age and states:    <a href="biaspar/frbiaspar.txt">biaspar/frbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            27: </li> 
        !            28: <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p><br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, 1 (stepm) months before: <a href="biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png">biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i 1 (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: <a href="biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png">biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png"><br>- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state 1. Or probability to be in state 1 being in state (1 to 2) at different ages. <a href="biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png">biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state 2. Or probability to be in state 2 being in state (1 to 2) at different ages. <a href="biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png">biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png">
        !            29: <br>- Life expectancy by health state (1) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to 2) : <a href="biaspar/expbiaspar11.png">biaspar/expbiaspar11.png</a> <br> <img src="biaspar/expbiaspar11.png">
        !            30: <br>- Life expectancy by health state (2) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to 2) : <a href="biaspar/expbiaspar21.png">biaspar/expbiaspar21.png</a> <br> <img src="biaspar/expbiaspar21.png"></ul>
        !            31: <br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>
        !            32:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href="rbiaspar.imach">rbiaspar.imach</a> <br>  - 95% confidence intervals and T statistics are in the log file.<br>
        !            33:  - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            34:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probcovrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probcovrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            35:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probcorrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probcorrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            36:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm= 1 months):    <a href="biaspar/cverbiaspar.txt">biaspar/cverbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            37: </li> - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm= 1 months):    <a href="biaspar/stderbiaspar.txt">biaspar/stderbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            38: </li> - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=1 months): <a href="biaspar/vrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/vrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
        !            39:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=1 months): <a href="biaspar/trbiaspar.txt">biaspar/trbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            40:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href="biaspar/vplrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/vplrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
        !            41:  <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p><br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) prevalence (with 95% confidence interval) in state (1): biaspar/vbiaspar1_1.png <br><img src="biaspar/vbiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) prevalence (with 95% confidence interval) in state (2): biaspar/vbiaspar2_1.png <br><img src="biaspar/vbiaspar2_1.png">
        !            42: <br>- Total life expectancy by age and health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using observed and cahotic prevalences: biaspar/ebiaspar1.png<br><img src="biaspar/ebiaspar1.png"></ul>
        !            43: <li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>
        !            44: 
        !            45: 
        !            46: <li><h4> <a href="biaspar-cov.htm">Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></li>
        !            47: 
        !            48: <li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>
        !            49: 
        !            50: <br>-stablbased-  <br>
        !            51: 
        !            52: <br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href="biaspar/prmorprev1-stablbased-rbiaspar.txt">biaspar/prmorprev1-stablbased-rbiaspar.txt</a>
        !            53: 
        !            54: <br> Probability is computed over estepm=1 months. <br> <img src="biaspar/varmuptjgr-stablbased-biaspar1.png"> <br>
        !            55: <br>Local time at start Tue Aug 18 18:20:44 2015
        !            56: <br>Local time at end   Tue Aug 18 18:26:33 2015
        !            57: <br>
        !            58: </body></html>

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