version 1.3, 2006/02/09 15:20:33
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version 1.5, 2019/05/22 23:12:10
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Line 1
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Line 1
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#Imach version 0.98b, January 2006, INED-EUROREVES
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#IMaCh 0.99r19 |
#Number of iterations = 34, -2 Log likelihood = 46542.395030424377
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#0.99r10
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title=1st_example datafile=data1.txt lastobs=8600 firstpass=1 lastpass=4
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#Number of iterations & function calls = 33 & 6007, -2 Log likelihood = 46617.105944307616
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ftol=1.000000e-008 stepm=1 ncovcol=2 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=4 mle= 0 weight=0
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title=1st_example datafile=data1.txt lastobs=8600 firstpass=1 lastpass=4 |
model=.
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ftol=1.000000e-08 stepm=1 ncovcol=2 nqv=0 ntv=0 nqtv=0 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=4 mle=0 weight=0 |
# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...
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model=1+age+ |
12 -12.245240 0.092358
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#Number of iterations & function calls = 2 & 425, -2 Log likelihood = 46617.105944307536 |
13 -10.671890 0.060969
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# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ... |
21 -2.645345 -0.022325
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12 -12.3175784 0.0931122 |
23 -4.773317 0.007859
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13 -10.1631705 0.0548384 |
# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)
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21 -1.6685685 -0.0339056 |
12 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-006
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23 -5.6869199 0.0181350 |
13 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-006
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# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation) |
21 1.00000e-003 1.00000e-006
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12 2.00000e-04 2.00000e-06 |
23 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-005
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13 3.00000e-04 4.00000e-06 |
# Covariance matrix
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21 1.00000e-04 1.00000e-06 |
# 121 Var(a12)
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23 3.00000e-04 3.00000e-06 |
# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)
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# Covariance matrix |
# ...
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# 121 Var(a12) |
# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)
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# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12) |
#121 Var(a12)
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# ... |
#122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)
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# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23) |
#131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12) Var(a13)
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#121 Var(a12) |
#132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12) Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)
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#122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12) |
#211 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12) Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)
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#131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12) Var(a13) |
#212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12) Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)
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#132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12) Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13) |
#231 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12) Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)
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#211 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12) Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21) |
#232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) Cov(b23,a13) Cov(b23,b13) Cov(b23,a21) Cov(b23,b21) Cov(b23,a23) Var(b23)
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#212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12) Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21) |
121 1.11832e-001
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#231 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12) Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23) |
122 -1.34196e-003 1.61978e-005
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#232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) Cov(b23,a13) Cov(b23,b13) Cov(b23,a21) Cov(b23,b21) Cov(b23,a23) Var(b23) |
131 -6.31135e-002 7.65687e-004 3.32706e-001
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121 1.0942155e-01 |
132 7.49702e-004 -9.17551e-006 -4.08921e-003 5.05801e-005
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122 -1.31211e-03 1.5827559e-05 |
211 7.93255e-002 -9.47003e-004 2.83678e-002 -3.63380e-004 4.85740e-001
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131 -5.42260e-02 6.63610e-04 3.0218559e-01 |
212 -9.45906e-004 1.13454e-005 -3.55777e-004 4.56374e-006 -5.75682e-003 6.85863e-005
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132 6.46897e-04 -7.99273e-06 -3.73518e-03 4.6465922e-05 |
231 5.35302e-002 -6.11201e-004 -1.16519e-001 1.34050e-003 -7.78502e-003 9.53787e-005 2.47205e-001
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211 8.05586e-02 -9.61087e-04 1.88983e-02 -2.43008e-04 4.8553004e-01 |
232 -6.10827e-004 7.02090e-006 1.37532e-003 -1.59782e-005 1.00595e-004 -1.23725e-006 -2.82423e-003 3.24537e-005
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212 -9.60482e-04 1.15119e-05 -2.38550e-04 3.07513e-06 -5.77598e-03 6.9069819e-05 |
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231 4.89528e-02 -5.53986e-04 -9.43826e-02 1.06862e-03 -1.83095e-03 2.05848e-05 2.5001784e-01 |
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232 -5.56252e-04 6.33917e-06 1.11795e-03 -1.28139e-05 2.71734e-05 -3.16845e-07 -2.83579e-03 3.2347405e-05 |
# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).
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# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).
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agemin=70 agemax=95 bage=65 fage=95 estepm=1
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# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood). |
begin-prev-date=1/1/1984 end-prev-date=1/6/1988 mov_average=0
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agemin=70 agemax=95 bage=70 fage=95 estepm=1 ftolpl=6.000000e-04 |
pop_based=0
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begin-prev-date=1/1/1984 end-prev-date=1/6/1988 mov_average=0 |
prevforecast=0 starting-proj-date=1/1/2000 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0
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pop_based=1 |
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prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1989 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0 |
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#backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1
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# Results model=1+age.
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result: .
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