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Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.65 and 1.69

version 1.65, 2002/12/11 16:58:19 version 1.69, 2003/02/04 20:55:29
Line 32 Line 32
   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h    hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be    conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate    split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
   states. This elementary transition (by month or quarter trimester,    states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
   semester or year) is model as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx    semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices    matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply    and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
   hPijx.    hPijx.
Line 83 Line 83
 #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
 #endif  #endif
   
 char version[80]="Imach version 0.9, November 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";  char version[80]="Imach version 0.91, November 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";
 int erreur; /* Error number */  int erreur; /* Error number */
 int nvar;  int nvar;
 int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;  int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;
Line 856  double **matprod2(double **out, double * Line 856  double **matprod2(double **out, double *
   
 double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij )
 {  {
   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' month     /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over 
      duration (i.e. until       'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying nhstepm*hstepm matrices.        age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
        nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step        Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big).       (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
        for the memory).
      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be        Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
      included manually here.        included manually here. 
   
Line 917  double func( double *x) Line 919  double func( double *x)
   double sw; /* Sum of weights */    double sw; /* Sum of weights */
   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
   int s1, s2;    int s1, s2;
   double bbh;    double bbh, survp;
   long ipmx;    long ipmx;
   /*extern weight */    /*extern weight */
   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */    /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
Line 1554  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag Line 1556  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 }  }
   
 /************ Prevalence ********************/  /************ Prevalence ********************/
 void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedatem)
 {  /* Some frequencies */  {  
     /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
        in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
        We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
     */
     
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *pp;    double *pp;
   double pos, k2;    double pos; 
     double  y2; /* in fractional years */
   
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);    pp=vector(1,nlstate);
       
Line 1579  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax Line 1586  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;              freq[i][jk][m]=0;
             
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
         bool=1;          bool=1;
         if  (cptcovn>0) {          if  (cptcovn>0) {
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
Line 1587  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax Line 1594  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
               bool=0;                bool=0;
         }           } 
         if (bool==1) {           if (bool==1) { 
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);              y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {              if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
               if (m<lastpass) {                if (m<lastpass) {
                 if (calagedate>0)                   if (calagedatem>0) /* We compute prevalence at exact age, agev in fractional years */
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];                    freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.)] += weight[i];
                 else                  else
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];                    freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                 freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i];                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i]; 
               }                }
             }              }
           }            } /* end selection of waves */
         }          }
       }        }
       for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ 
Line 1702  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1709  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
           if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;            if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;
           sum=sum+j;            sum=sum+j;
           /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */
             /*      printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
           }            }
         }          }
         else{          else{
           j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));            j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
             /*      printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
           k=k+1;            k=k+1;
           if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;            if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
           else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;            else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;
Line 1740  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1749  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
             bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */              bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
             printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);              printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);
           }            }
           if(i==298 || i==287 || i==763 ||i==1061)printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm);  
         }          }
       } /* end if mle */        } /* end if mle */
     } /* end wave */      } /* end wave */
Line 1844  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij Line 1852  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example     * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them     * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
    * progression inbetween and thus overestimating or underestimating according     * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months     * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
Line 2034  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2042  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   }    }
   printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying during a year and weighted mean w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n");    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
   for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
Line 2056  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2064  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
     exit(0);      exit(0);
   }    }
   else{    else{
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s (à revoir) <br>\n",digitp);      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
   }    }
   varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
Line 2091  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2099  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
      and note for a fixed period like k years */       and note for a fixed period like k years */
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the    /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
   */    */
Line 2107  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2115  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   
   
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       }        }
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
Line 2129  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2137  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];              gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
         }          }
       }        }
       /* This for computing forces of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
       for(j=nlstate+1,gpp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){           computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
         for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)           as a weighted average of prlim.
         */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];            gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
       }            }    
       /* end force of mortality */        /* end probability of death */
   
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
Line 2157  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2168  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];              gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
         }          }
       }        }
       /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
       for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){           computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
         for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)           as a weighted average of prlim.
           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];        */
         for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
            gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
       }            }    
       /* end force of mortality */        /* end probability of death */
   
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];            gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
         }          }
   
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];          gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
       }        }
Line 2184  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2199  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];          trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
     
   
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
Line 2203  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2219  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
     /* pptj */      /* pptj */
     matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
     matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
     for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)   
       for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)     for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){
         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];          varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
     /* end ppptj */      /* end ppptj */
       /*  x centered again */
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
     prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
     
Line 2220  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2238  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
       }        }
     }      }
           
     /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
     for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){         computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
       for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)         as a weighted average of prlim.
       */
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
     }          }    
     /* end force of mortality */      /* end probability of death */
   
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
Line 2255  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 2276  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;set nolabel; set ter png small;set size 0.65, 0.65");    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;set nolabel; set ter png small;set size 0.65, 0.65");
   /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; set nolog x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; set nolog x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,digitp,digit);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,digit);
   /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
 */  */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit);    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit);
Line 2420  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 2444  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
       fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
     }        }  
   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");   /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
   xp=vector(1,npar);   */
    xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
   mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
Line 2462  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 2487  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
       if  (cptcovn>0) {        if  (cptcovn>0) {
         fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable ");           fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#");          fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
         fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable ");           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#");          fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
                   
         fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable ");           fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, "# V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");          fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
                   
                   
         fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable ");           fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
Line 2478  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 2503  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
                   
         fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");              fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");              fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
       }        }
               
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){         for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
Line 2797  m=pow(2,cptcoveff); Line 2822  m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }       }
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }        } 
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
Line 2994  int movingaverage(double ***probs, doubl Line 3019  int movingaverage(double ***probs, doubl
   
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){
       /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;       agemin, agemax range of age
        dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
        
     */
     int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
   double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;    double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;    double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   double ***mobaverage;    double ***mobaverage;
   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
  agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;    calagedatem=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; /* offset
         from the mean date of interviews between dateprev1 and dateprev2
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);        (in fractional years converted to fractional months) */
      /* Computing age-specific starting prevalence between exact 
        dateprev1 and dateprev2 (in float years) and
    shifting ages from calagedatem.
     */
     prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedatem);
     
   strcpy(fileresf,"f");     strcpy(fileresf,"f"); 
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);    strcat(fileresf,fileres);
Line 3035  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 3068  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
       
   hstepm=1;    hstepm=1;
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);    yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                                  fractional in yp1 */
   anprojmean=yp;    anprojmean=yp;
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);    yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
   mprojmean=yp;    mprojmean=yp;
Line 3044  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 3078  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;    if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;    if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
       
   fprintf(ficresf,"# Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean);     fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
       
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){    for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
       k=k+1;        k=k+1;
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");        fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");
Line 3056  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 3090  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
       fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");        fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");
       fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");        fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);
               for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp++) { 
         
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) {   
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");          fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);             fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);   
   
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                       
Line 3071  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 3103  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);              hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
                   
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*yearp)) {
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                 for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
                 fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }               } 
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;                kk1=0.;kk2=0;
Line 3084  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 3119  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
                 }                  }
                                   
               }                }
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){                if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*yearp)){
                 fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);                  fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);
                                                   
               }                }
Line 3105  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3140  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
       
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;    int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
   double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2;    double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;    double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;    double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;
   double ***mobaverage;    double ***mobaverage;
Line 3114  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3149  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;    calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
       
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);    prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedatem);
       
       
   strcpy(filerespop,"pop");     strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); 
Line 3162  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3197  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];      for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];
   }    }
   
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){    for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
       k=k+1;        k=k+1;
       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");        fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");
Line 3177  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3212  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {         for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) { 
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);             fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
                   
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                       
Line 3186  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3221  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);              hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
                   
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }               } 
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
Line 3198  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3233  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
                   kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];                    kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
                 }                  }
               }                }
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){                if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){
                 tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;                  tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;
                   /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);                    /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);
                     if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/                      if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/
Line 3209  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3244  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
                 for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){                  for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];                     kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; 
                 }                  }
                   tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];                    tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
             }              }
   
             if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)               if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) 
               fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);                fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);
           }            }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
Line 3223  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3258  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {         for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { 
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);             fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){           for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);             nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;             nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                       
Line 3231  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3266  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;            oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);              hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }               } 
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
Line 3239  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 3274  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {                              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {              
                 kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];                      kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];    
               }                }
               if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);                 if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);        
             }              }
           }            }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
Line 3286  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3321  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   int ju,jl, mi;    int ju,jl, mi;
   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;    int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab;     int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab; 
     int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;    int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
   int hstepm, nhstepm;    int hstepm, nhstepm;
   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate;    double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedatem;
   
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;    double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;    double ftolpl=FTOL;
Line 3702  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3738  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                 agev[m][i]=-1;                  agev[m][i]=-1;
               }                }
             }              }
         }          }<
         else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */          else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                                    years but with the precision of a
                                    month */
           agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);            agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
           if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)            if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)
             agev[m][i]=1;              agev[m][i]=1;
Line 3922  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3960  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);    fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);    fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
   fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);    fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
     printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
     fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
         
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 3947  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3987  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   }    }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
   fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2);    fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
   fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);    fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
   fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);    printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
     fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
     fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
     /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
   
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 4057  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 4099  Interval (in months) between two waves:
                   
       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){        for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
         fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age );          fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
             fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
           fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);            fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");          fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
Line 4126  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 4170  Interval (in months) between two waves:
   
   
   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/    /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
   if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){    /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
     prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);    if(prevfcast==1){
     if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);      if(stepm ==1){
   }         prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilavproj, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);
   else{        if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);
     erreur=108;      } 
     printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);      else{
     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);        erreur=108;
         printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
       }
   }    }
       
   
Line 4167  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 4214  Interval (in months) between two waves:
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
   
   calagedate=-1;    calagedatem=-1;
   
   prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);    prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedatem);
   
   if (mobilav!=0) {    if (mobilav!=0) {
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
Removed from v.1.65  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.69

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