Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.111 and 1.147

version 1.111, 2006/01/25 20:38:18 version 1.147, 2014/06/16 10:33:11
Line 1 Line 1
 /* $Id$  /* $Id$
   $State$    $State$
   $Log$    $Log$
     Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
     Summary: Merge
     Author: Brouard
   
     Merge, before building revised version.
   
     Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
     Summary: Debugging with valgrind
     Author: Nicolas Brouard
   
     Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
     After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
     improve the code.
     No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
     continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
     Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
     optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
     the source code.
   
     Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
     Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
   
     * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
     (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
   
     Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
     Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
   
     * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   
     Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
     * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
   
     Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
     Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
   
     Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
     After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
     I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
   
     Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
     (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
     than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
   
     Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
     (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
     of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
     get same likelihood as if mle=1.
     Some cleaning of code and comments added.
   
     Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
     (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
   
     Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
     (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
   
     Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
     just nforces
   
     Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
     Many tings
   
     Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
     Some dimensions resccaled
   
     Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
     (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
     lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
     V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
   
     Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
     Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
   
     Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
     (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
   
     Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
     (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
     imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
     loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
     (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
     compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
     and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
     deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
     computation.
     In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
     expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
   
     Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
     (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
     imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
     loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
     Version 0.98h
   
     Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
     Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
     Forecasting file added.
   
     Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
     Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
     The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
   
     Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
     * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
     name. <head> headers where missing.
   
     * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
     English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
     otherwise the weight is truncated).
     Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
     1.
     Version 0.98g
   
     Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
     (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
     English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
     otherwise the weight is truncated).
     Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
     1.
     Version 0.98g
   
     Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
     * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
   
     * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
     status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
     not 1 month. Version 0.98f
   
     Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
     (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
     status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
     not 1 month. Version 0.98f
   
     Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
     (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
     computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
   
     Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
     (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
     table of variances if popbased=1 .
     (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
     (Module): Function pstamp added
     (Module): Version 0.98d
   
     Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
     (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
     table of variances if popbased=1 .
     (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
     (Module): Function pstamp added
     (Module): Version 0.98d
   
     Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
     (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
     varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
   
     Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
     (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
   
     Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
     (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
     filename with strsep.
   
     Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
     (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
     datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
     allocation too.
   
     Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
     (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
   
   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard    Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)    (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values    (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
Line 60 Line 236
   
   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.    The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
   
   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the    Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.    former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
   
   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of    The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
Line 191 Line 367
   hPijx.    hPijx.
   
   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also    Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
   of the life expectancies. It also computes the stable prevalence.     of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. 
       
   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).    Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.             Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action    This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
   from the European Union.    from the European Union.
   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and    It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
Line 220 Line 396
       begin-prev-date,...        begin-prev-date,...
   open gnuplot file    open gnuplot file
   open html file    open html file
   stable prevalence    period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
    for age prevalim()     for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
   h Pij x                                    | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
   variance of p varprob      freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
   
     h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
      # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
          1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
          1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
   
          1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
          1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
     variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
      Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
      Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
   
   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()    forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
   health expectancies    health expectancies
   Variance-covariance of DFLE    Variance-covariance of DFLE
Line 232 Line 420
   varevsij()     varevsij() 
   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)    if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
   total life expectancies    total life expectancies
   Variance of stable prevalence    Variance of period (stable) prevalence
  end   end
 */  */
   
Line 251 Line 439
 #include <errno.h>  #include <errno.h>
 extern int errno;  extern int errno;
   
 /* #include <sys/time.h> */  #ifdef LINUX
 #include <time.h>  #include <time.h>
 #include "timeval.h"  #include "timeval.h"
   #else
   #include <sys/time.h>
   #endif
   
   #ifdef GSL
   #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
   #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
   #endif
   
 /* #include <libintl.h> */  /* #include <libintl.h> */
 /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */  /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
   
 #define MAXLINE 256  #define MAXLINE 1024 /* Was 256. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
   
 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
 /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/  /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
Line 267  extern int errno; Line 463  extern int errno;
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */  #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
 #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */  #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
   
 #define MAXPARM 30 /* Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */  #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
 #define NPARMAX 64 /* (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */  #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
   
 #define NINTERVMAX 8  #define NINTERVMAX 8
 #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /* Maximum number of live states (for func) */  #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
 #define NDEATHMAX 8 /* Maximum number of dead states (for func) */  #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
 #define NCOVMAX 8 /* Maximum number of covariates */  #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
   #define codtabm(h,k)  1 & (h-1) >> (k-1) ;
 #define MAXN 20000  #define MAXN 20000
 #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */  #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
 #define AGESUP 130  #define AGESUP 130
 #define AGEBASE 40  #define AGEBASE 40
 #define AGEGOMP 10. /* Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */  #define AGEGOMP 10. /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
 #ifdef UNIX  #ifdef UNIX
 #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'  #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
 #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"  #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
Line 292  extern int errno; Line 489  extern int errno;
 /* $Id$ */  /* $Id$ */
 /* $State$ */  /* $State$ */
   
 char version[]="Imach version 0.98b, January 2006, INED-EUROREVES ";  char version[]="Imach version 0.98nR2, January 2014,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121)";
 char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";   char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$"; 
 int erreur, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */  char strstart[80];
 int nvar;  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
 int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;  int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
   int nvar=0, nforce=0; /* Number of variables, number of forces */
   /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
   int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
   int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
   int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates V2+V1 =2 */
   int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
   int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
   int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
   int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
 int npar=NPARMAX;  int npar=NPARMAX;
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
 int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */  int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
 int ncovmodel, ncovcol;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */  int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
 int popbased=0;  int popbased=0;
   
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */  int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
 int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */  int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
 int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */  int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
 int ijmin, ijmax; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */   int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
 int gipmx, gsw; /* Global variables on the number of contributions   int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
                    to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/                     to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
 int mle, weightopt;  int mle=1, weightopt=0;
 int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */  int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
 int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */  int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
 int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between  int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
            * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */             * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
 double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */  double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
   double **matprod2(); /* test */
 double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */  double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
 double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */  double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
 FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;  /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
   FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;
 FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;  FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
 int globpr; /* Global variable for printing or not */  int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
 double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */  double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
 long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */  long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
 double sw; /* Sum of weights */  double sw; /* Sum of weights */
 char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */  char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
Line 331  FILE *ficresprobmorprev; Line 539  FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
 FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */  FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
 FILE *ficreseij;  FILE *ficreseij;
 char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];  char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
   FILE *ficresstdeij;
   char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
   FILE *ficrescveij;
   char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
 FILE  *ficresvij;  FILE  *ficresvij;
 char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];  char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
 FILE  *ficresvpl;  FILE  *ficresvpl;
 char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char title[MAXLINE];  char title[MAXLINE];
 char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];  char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];  char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH];   char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
 char command[FILENAMELENGTH];  char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
 int  outcmd=0;  int  outcmd=0;
Line 361  char strcurr[80], strfor[80]; Line 573  char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
   
 char *endptr;  char *endptr;
 long lval;  long lval;
   double dval;
   
 #define NR_END 1  #define NR_END 1
 #define FREE_ARG char*  #define FREE_ARG char*
Line 408  double dateintmean=0; Line 621  double dateintmean=0;
   
 double *weight;  double *weight;
 int **s; /* Status */  int **s; /* Status */
 double *agedc, **covar, idx;  double *agedc;
 int **nbcode, *Tcode, *Tvar, **codtab, **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;  double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
                     * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
                     * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; */
   double  idx; 
   int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
   int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
   int **codtab; /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
   int **Tvard, *Tprod, cptcovprod, *Tvaraff;
 double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;  double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
   
 double ftol=FTOL; /* Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */  double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
 double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for computing hessian */  double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
   
 /**************** split *************************/  /**************** split *************************/
 static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )  static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
Line 482  void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char Line 702  void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char
   }    }
 }  }
   
   char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
   { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
     char *s;
     s=out;
     while (*in != '\0'){
       while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
         in++;
       }
       *out++ = *in++;
     }
     *out='\0';
     return s;
   }
   
   char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
   {
     /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before first occurence of char 'occ' 
        and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
        gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
        If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
     */
     char *s, *t, *bl;
     t=in;s=in;
     while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
       *alocc++ = *in++;
     }
     if( *in == occ){
       *(alocc)='\0';
       s=++in;
     }
    
     if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
       *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
       in=s;
     }
     while ( *in != '\0'){
       *blocc++ = *in++;
     }
   
     *blocc='\0';
     return t;
   }
   char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
   {
     /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before last occurence of char 'occ' 
        and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
        gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
        If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
     */
     char *s, *t;
     t=in;s=in;
     while (*in != '\0'){
       while( *in == occ){
         *blocc++ = *in++;
         s=in;
       }
       *blocc++ = *in++;
     }
     if (s == t) /* occ not found */
       *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
     else
       *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
     in=s;
     while ( *in != '\0'){
       *alocc++ = *in++;
     }
   
     *alocc='\0';
     return s;
   }
   
 int nbocc(char *s, char occ)  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
 {  {
   int i,j=0;    int i,j=0;
Line 494  int nbocc(char *s, char occ) Line 785  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
   return j;    return j;
 }  }
   
 void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)  /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
 {  /* { */
   /* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before first occurence of char 'occ'   /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
      and v starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')  /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
      gives u="abcedf" and v="ghi2j" */  /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
   int i,lg,j,p=0;  /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
   i=0;  /*   i=0; */
   for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {  /*   lg=strlen(t); */
     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1;  /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
   }  /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
   /*   } */
   
   lg=strlen(t);  /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
   for(j=0; j<p; j++) {  /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
     (u[j] = t[j]);  /*   } */
   }  /*      u[p]='\0'; */
      u[p]='\0';  
   
    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) {  /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]);  /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
   }  /*   } */
 }  /* } */
   
 /********************** nrerror ********************/  /********************** nrerror ********************/
   
Line 623  double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long Line 914  double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long
   
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;    for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
   return m;    return m;
   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1])     /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
   m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
   that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
    */     */
 }  }
   
Line 897  char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char Line 1190  char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char
   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);    sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
   minutes = (sec_left) /60;    minutes = (sec_left) /60;
   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);    sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
   sprintf(ascdiff,"%d day(s) %d hour(s) %d minute(s) %d second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);      sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
   return ascdiff;    return ascdiff;
 }  }
   
Line 926  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 1219  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
     last_time=curr_time;      last_time=curr_time;
     (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp);      (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp);
     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout);      printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout);
     /*    fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);      fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); fflush(ficlog);
     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);  /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); */
     */  
    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);        printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
       fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);        fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);
Line 1050  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 1342  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
   }     } 
 }   } 
   
 /**** Prevalence limit (stable prevalence)  ****************/  /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
   
 double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int ij)
 {  {
Line 1059  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 1351  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
   
   int i, ii,j,k;    int i, ii,j,k;
   double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;    double min, max, maxmin, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
   double **matprod2();    /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX], **pmij();    double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij();
   double **newm;    double **newm;
   double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */    double agefin, delaymax=50 ; /* Max number of years to converge */
   
Line 1075  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 1367  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){    for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
     newm=savm;      newm=savm;
     /* Covariates have to be included here again */      /* Covariates have to be included here again */
      cov[2]=agefin;      cov[2]=agefin;
         
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {      for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
         cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];        cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
         /*      printf("ij=%d k=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",ij,k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k], codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]);*/        /*printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtab[%d][Tvar[%d]]=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]);*/
       }      }
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];      /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)      /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];      /*   cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]]; */
       
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/      /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/      /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);      /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
       /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
       out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
       
     savm=oldm;      savm=oldm;
     oldm=newm;      oldm=newm;
     maxmax=0.;      maxmax=0.;
Line 1100  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 1394  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
         sumnew=0;          sumnew=0;
         for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];          for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
         prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);          prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
           /*printf(" prevalim i=%d, j=%d, prmlim[%d][%d]=%f, agefin=%d \n", i, j, i, j, prlim[i][j],(int)agefin);*/
         max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);          max=FMAX(max,prlim[i][j]);
         min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);          min=FMIN(min,prlim[i][j]);
       }        }
Line 1116  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 1411  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
   
 double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
 {  {
   double s1, s2;    /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
        computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
        model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
        lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
        and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
        ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
        j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
        j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
        Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
        sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
        Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
        the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
     */
     double s1, lnpijopii;
   /*double t34;*/    /*double t34;*/
   int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;    int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;
   
     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
       for(j=1; j<i;j++){        for(j=1; j<i;j++){
         for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){          for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
           /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/            /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
           s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];            lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
 /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */  /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
         }          }
         ps[i][j]=s2;          ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
 /*      printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */  /*      printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
       }        }
       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
         for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){          for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
           s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];            /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
 /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2); */            lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
   /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
         }          }
         ps[i][j]=s2;          ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
       }        }
     }      }
     /*ps[3][2]=1;*/  
           
     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
       s1=0;        s1=0;
       for(j=1; j<i; j++)        for(j=1; j<i; j++){
         s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);          s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)          /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
         s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);        }
         for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
           /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
         }
         /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
       ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);        ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
         /* Computing other pijs */
       for(j=1; j<i; j++)        for(j=1; j<i; j++)
         ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];          ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)        for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
Line 1161  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 1475  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
       }        }
     }      }
           
       
 /*        for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */      /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
 /*       for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */      /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
 /*         printf("ddd %lf ",ps[ii][jj]); */      /*  printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
 /*       } */      /*   } */
 /*       printf("\n "); */      /*   printf("\n "); */
 /*        } */      /* } */
 /*        printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]); */      /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
        /*      /*
       for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);        for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
       goto end;*/        goto end;*/
     return ps;      return ps;
Line 1177  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 1491  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   
 /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/  /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
   
 double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long ncolol, long ncoloh, double **b)  double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
 {  {
   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times    /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */       b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized     /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns       before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
      a pointer to pointers identical to out */       a pointer to pointers identical to out */
   long i, j, k;    int i, j, k;
   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)    for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++)      for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
       for(j=ncl,out[i][k]=0.; j<=nch; j++)        out[i][k]=0.;
         out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];        for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
           out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
       }
   return out;    return out;
 }  }
   
Line 1211  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep Line 1526  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep
      */       */
   
   int i, j, d, h, k;    int i, j, d, h, k;
   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX];    double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
   double **newm;    double **newm;
   
   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */    /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
Line 1227  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep Line 1542  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep
       /* Covariates have to be included here again */        /* Covariates have to be included here again */
       cov[1]=1.;        cov[1]=1.;
       cov[2]=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;        cov[2]=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM;
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) 
           cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];          cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];          cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
   
   
Line 1244  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep Line 1560  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
         po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];          po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
         /*printf("i=%d j=%d h=%d po[i][j][h]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);          /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
          */  
       }        }
       /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
   } /* end h */    } /* end h */
   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
   return po;    return po;
 }  }
   
Line 1256  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep Line 1573  double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstep
 double func( double *x)  double func( double *x)
 {  {
   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
   double **out;    double **out;
   double sw; /* Sum of weights */    double sw; /* Sum of weights */
   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
Line 1275  double func( double *x) Line 1592  double func( double *x)
   
   if(mle==1){    if(mle==1){
     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){      for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];        /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
            depending if the covariates are fixed or variying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
            Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
            to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
          */
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){ /* Simple and product covariates without age* products */
           cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
         }
         /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
            is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
            has been calculated etc */
       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){        for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
         for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)          for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
           for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){            for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
Line 1286  double func( double *x) Line 1613  double func( double *x)
           newm=savm;            newm=savm;
           cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;            cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
           for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {            for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
             cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];              cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2]; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
           }            }
           out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,            out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                        1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));                         1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
Line 1343  double func( double *x) Line 1670  double func( double *x)
   
         } else if  (s2==-2) {          } else if  (s2==-2) {
           for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)             for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
             survp += out[s1][j];              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
           lli= survp;            /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
         }            lli= log(survp);
           
         else if  (s2==-4) {  
           for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)   
             survp += out[s1][j];  
           lli= survp;  
         }          }
                   
         else if  (s2==-5) {          else if  (s2==-4) { 
           for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)             for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
             survp += out[s1][j];              survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
           lli= survp;            lli= log(survp); 
         }          } 
   
   
           else if  (s2==-5) { 
             for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
               survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
             lli= log(survp); 
           } 
           
         else{          else{
           lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */            lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
           /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */            /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
Line 1510  double funcone( double *x) Line 1837  double funcone( double *x)
 {  {
   /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */    /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;    int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];    double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
   double **out;    double **out;
   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */    double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
   double llt;    double llt;
Line 1540  double funcone( double *x) Line 1867  double funcone( double *x)
         for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
           cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];            cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
         }          }
           /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
         out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                      1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
           /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
           /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
         savm=oldm;          savm=oldm;
         oldm=newm;          oldm=newm;
       } /* end mult */        } /* end mult */
Line 1554  double funcone( double *x) Line 1884  double funcone( double *x)
        */         */
       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */        if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
       } else if (mle==1){        } else if  (s2==-2) {
           for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
             survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
           lli= log(survp);
         }else if (mle==1){
         lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
       } else if(mle==2){        } else if(mle==2){
         lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
Line 1562  double funcone( double *x) Line 1896  double funcone( double *x)
         lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */          lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */        } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
         lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */          lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
       } else{  /* ml>=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */        } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
         lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
           /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
       } /* End of if */        } /* End of if */
       ipmx +=1;        ipmx +=1;
       sw += weight[i];        sw += weight[i];
       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
 /*       printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
       if(globpr){        if(globpr){
         fprintf(ficresilk,"%9d %6d %1d %1d %1d %1d %3d %10.6f %6.4f\          fprintf(ficresilk,"%9ld %6d %2d %2d %1d %1d %3d %11.6f %8.4f\
  %10.6f %10.6f %10.6f ", \   %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
                 num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],                  num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],
                 2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);                  2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);
         for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){          for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
Line 1656  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in Line 1991  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in
   
   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);    powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
   
     free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
   fclose(ficrespow);    fclose(ficrespow);
   printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));    printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));
   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));
Line 1772  double hessii(double x[], double delta, Line 2108  double hessii(double x[], double delta,
   int i;    int i;
   int l=1, lmax=20;    int l=1, lmax=20;
   double k1,k2;    double k1,k2;
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];    double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
   double res;    double res;
   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;    double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
   double fx;    double fx;
Line 1781  double hessii(double x[], double delta, Line 2117  double hessii(double x[], double delta,
   
   fx=func(x);    fx=func(x);
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){    for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
     l1=pow(10,l);      l1=pow(10,l);
     delts=delt;      delts=delt;
     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){      for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
       delt = delta*(l1*k);        delt = delta*(l1*k);
       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;        p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
       k1=func(p2)-fx;        k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;        p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
       k2=func(p2)-fx;        k2=func(p2)-fx;
       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */        /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */        res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by because L and not 2*L */
               
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUGHESS
       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);        printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);        fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
 #endif  #endif
Line 1819  double hessij( double x[], double delti[ Line 2155  double hessij( double x[], double delti[
   int i;    int i;
   int l=1, l1, lmax=20;    int l=1, l1, lmax=20;
   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;    double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];    double p2[MAXPARM+1];
   int k;    int k;
   
   fx=func(x);    fx=func(x);
Line 1923  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx Line 2259  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx
   }     } 
 }   } 
   
   void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
   {
     fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#%s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,fullversion,strstart);
   }
   
 /************ Frequencies ********************/  /************ Frequencies ********************/
 void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[])  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[])
 {  /* Some frequencies */  {  /* Some frequencies */
       
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,j;
   int first;    int first;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *pp, **prop;    double *pp, **prop;
   double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;    double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
   FILE *ficresp;  
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
       
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);    pp=vector(1,nlstate);
Line 1952  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia Line 2292  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia
   
   first=1;    first=1;
   
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    /* for(k1=1; k1<=j ; k1++){   /* Loop on covariates */
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){    /*  for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ /* Now it is 2 */
       j1++;    /*    j1++;
   */
     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); j1++){
       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
         scanf("%d", i);*/          scanf("%d", i);*/
       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)          for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
         for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)            for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
           for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)            for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
             freq[i][jk][m]=0;              freq[i][jk][m]=0;
         
     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)          for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
       for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
         prop[i][m]=0;            prop[i][m]=0;
               
       dateintsum=0;        dateintsum=0;
       k2cpt=0;        k2cpt=0;
       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
         bool=1;          bool=1;
         if  (cptcovn>0) {          if  (cptcovn>0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)       
             if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])               if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]){
               bool=0;                  /* Tests if the value of each of the covariates of i is equal to filter j1 */
                 bool=0;
                 /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtab[%d][%d]=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtab[%d][%d]=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtab[j1][z1],
                   j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]],j1);*/
                 /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtab[7][3]=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
               } 
         }          }
    
         if (bool==1){          if (bool==1){
           for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
             k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
Line 1994  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia Line 2343  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia
               /*}*/                /*}*/
           }            }
         }          }
       }        } /* end i */
                 
       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/        /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
 fprintf(ficresp, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);        pstamp(ficresp);
       if  (cptcovn>0) {        if  (cptcovn>0) {
         fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");           fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
         fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");          fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
           fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficlog, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n#");
       }        }
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) 
         fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);          fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
Line 2026  fprintf(ficresp, "#Local time at start: Line 2378  fprintf(ficresp, "#Local time at start:
             pos += freq[jk][m][i];              pos += freq[jk][m][i];
           if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){            if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){
             if(first==1){              if(first==1){
             printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);                printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
             }              }
             fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
           }else{            }else{
Line 2078  fprintf(ficresp, "#Local time at start: Line 2430  fprintf(ficresp, "#Local time at start:
           printf("Others in log...\n");            printf("Others in log...\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       }        }
     }        /*}*/
   }    }
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;     dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
     
Line 2097  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 2449  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.       We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
   */    */
     
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,j;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *pp, **prop;    double *pp, **prop;
   double pos,posprop;     double pos,posprop; 
   double  y2; /* in fractional years */    double  y2; /* in fractional years */
   int iagemin, iagemax;    int iagemin, iagemax;
     int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
   
   iagemin= (int) agemin;    iagemin= (int) agemin;
   iagemax= (int) agemax;    iagemax= (int) agemax;
Line 2111  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 2464  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/    /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
   j1=0;    j1=0;
       
   j=cptcoveff;    /*j=cptcoveff;*/
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
       
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    first=1;
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){    for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){
       j1++;      /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
         j1++;*/
               
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)          for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
         for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
Line 2146  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 2500  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
         }          }
       }        }
       for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){          for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
           
         for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) {           for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
           posprop += prop[jk][i];             posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
         }           } 
           
         for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){               for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){     
           if( i <=  iagemax){             if( i <=  iagemax){ 
             if(posprop>=1.e-5){               if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
               probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;                probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
             }               } else{
                 if(first==1){
                   first=0;
                   printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others on log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                 }
               }
           }             } 
         }/* end jk */           }/* end jk */ 
       }/* end i */         }/* end i */ 
     } /* end i1 */      /*} *//* end i1 */
   } /* end k1 */    } /* end j1 */
       
   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/    /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/    /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
Line 2280  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 2638  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
             dh[mi][i]=jk;              dh[mi][i]=jk;
             bh[mi][i]=0;              bh[mi][i]=0;
           }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie            }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   * at the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */                    * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
             dh[mi][i]=jk+1;              dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
             bh[mi][i]=ju;              bh[mi][i]=ju;
           }            }
Line 2306  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 2664  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   }    }
   jmean=sum/k;    jmean=sum/k;
   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);    printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);    fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
  }   }
   
 /*********** Tricode ****************************/  /*********** Tricode ****************************/
 void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
 {  {
       /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
   int Ndum[20],ij=1, k, j, i, maxncov=19;    /*      Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
   int cptcode=0;    /* Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
      * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 2 (V2)
     /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]= 
     */
   
     int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
     int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
     int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
     int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
   
   
   cptcoveff=0;     cptcoveff=0; 
     
   for (k=0; k<maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;    for (k=-1; k < maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
   for (k=1; k<=7; k++) ncodemax[k]=0;    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
   
   for (j=1; j<=(cptcovn+2*cptcovprod); j++) {    /* Loop on covariates without age and products */
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /*reads the data file to get the maximum     for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /* model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 : V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                                modality*/       for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Lopp on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the 
       ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]); /* ij is the modality of this individual*/                                 modality of this covariate Vj*/ 
       Ndum[ij]++; /*store the modality */        ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[j]][i]); /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                                       * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                                       * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                                       * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
         /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                                         modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
         if (ij > modmaxcovj)
           modmaxcovj=ij; 
         else if (ij < modmincovj) 
           modmincovj=ij; 
         if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
           printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
           exit(1);
         }else
         Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
         /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
       /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/        /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
       if (ij > cptcode) cptcode=ij; /* getting the maximum of covariable         /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                                        Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is 0 and            (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                                        female is 1, then  cptcode=1.*/           female is 1, then modmaxcovj=1.*/
     }      }
       printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", j, Tvar[j], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
     for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {      cptcode=modmaxcovj;
       if(Ndum[i]!=0) ncodemax[j]++; /* Nomber of modalities of the j th covariates. In fact ncodemax[j]=2 (dichotom. variables) but it can be more */      /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
     }     /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
       for (i=modmincovj;  i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value of the modality of model-cov j */
     ij=1;         printf("Frequencies of covariates %d V%d %d\n", j, Tvar[j], Ndum[i]);
     for (i=1; i<=ncodemax[j]; i++) {        if( Ndum[i] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered, empty modality */
       for (k=0; k<= maxncov; k++) {          ncodemax[j]++;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of non-null modalities of the j th covariate. */
         if (Ndum[k] != 0) {        }
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;         /* In fact  ncodemax[j]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
           /* store the modality in an array. k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */           historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                 } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
   
       /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
       /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4. If Ndum[2]=0 ncodemax[j] is not 4 but 3 */
       /* If Ndum[3}= 635; Ndum[4]=0; Ndum[5]=0; Ndum[6]=27; Ndum[7]=125;
          modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7;
          There are only 3 modalities non empty (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3;
          which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; defining two dummy 
          variables V1_1 and V1_2.
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1;
          nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2;
       */
       ij=1; /* ij is similar to i but can jumps over null modalities */
       for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 */
         for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *//* Could be 1 to 4 */
           /*recode from 0 */
           if (Ndum[k] != 0) { /* If at least one individual responded to this modality k */
             nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;  /* stores the modality in an array nbcode. 
                                        k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex 
                                        then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
           ij++;            ij++;
         }          }
         if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;           if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break; 
       }          }  /* end of loop on */
     }       } /* end of loop on modality */ 
   }      } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
     
  for (k=0; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0;   for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
     
  for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {     for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) { /* -2, cste and age */ 
    /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/     /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
    ij=Tvar[i];     ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar might be -1 if status was unknown */ 
    Ndum[ij]++;     Ndum[ij]++; 
  }   } 
   
  ij=1;   ij=1;
  for (i=1; i<= maxncov; i++) {   for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){     if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){
      Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing */       /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
        Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing (unclear) */
      ij++;       ij++;
    }     }else
          Tvaraff[ij]=0;
  }   }
     ij--;
  cptcoveff=ij-1; /*Number of simple covariates*/   cptcoveff=ij; /*Number of total covariates*/
   
 }  }
   
   
 /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/  /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
   
 void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[] )  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[] )
   
   {
     /* Health expectancies, no variances */
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2;
     int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
     double age, agelim, hf;
     double ***p3mat;
     double eip;
   
     pstamp(ficreseij);
     fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
     fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
       }
       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
     }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
   
     
     if(estepm < stepm){
       printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;   
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
      * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
     agelim=AGESUP;
     /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
       nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
       /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
       nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
   
       /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
       
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
       
       printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
       
       /* Computing expectancies */
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
           for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
             
             /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
           }
   
       fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         eip=0;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
         }
         fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
       }
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
       
     }
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     
   }
   
   void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[] )
   
 {  {
   /* Health expectancies */    /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj;     to initial status i, ei. .
     */
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
     int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
   double age, agelim, hf;    double age, agelim, hf;
   double ***p3mat,***varhe;    double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   double *xp;    double *xp, *xm;
   double **gp, **gm;    double **gp, **gm;
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;    double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
   int theta;    int theta;
   
     double eip, vip;
   
   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);    varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
   xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
     xm=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
       
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresstdeij);
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");    fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);        fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");      fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
     }
     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
     pstamp(ficrescveij);
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
         for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
           for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
             cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
             if(cptj2 <= cptj)
               fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
           }
       }
     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
     
   if(estepm < stepm){    if(estepm < stepm){
     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
   }    }
Line 2425  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij Line 2965  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
   */    */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
   
     /* If stepm=6 months */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */    /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     
     p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
   
     for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
       nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */       /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/      /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */      nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
   
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored  
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */  
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);    
    
   
       /* If stepm=6 months */
       /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
          in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
       
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   
     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */      /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
       /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){         decrease memory allocation */
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
           xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       }        }
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
         hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij);  
       
       cptj=0;  
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){          for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
           cptj=cptj+1;            for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
           for(h=0, gp[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){              gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             gp[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;              gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
           }            }
         }          }
       }        }
             
              for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)   
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);  
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);    
         
       cptj=0;  
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){  
           cptj=cptj+1;  
           for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){  
   
             gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;  
           }  
         }  
       }  
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate*nlstate; j++)  
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];            gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
         }          }
      }       }/* End theta */
          
 /* End theta */      
       for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);  
   
      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)  
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)        for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)          for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];            trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
            
   
      for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++)       for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)        for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
         varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.;          varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
   
      printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);       printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
      fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);       fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
Line 2503  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij Line 3035  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);          matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++)          for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)            for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
             varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;              varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
       }        }
     }      }
   
     /* Computing expectancies */      /* Computing expectancies */
       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij);  
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){          for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
           eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;            eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                       
 /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/            /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
         }          }
   
     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );      fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
     cptj=0;      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         eip=0.;
         vip=0.;
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
           eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
           for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
             vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
         }
         fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
       }
       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
   
       fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         cptj++;          cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
         fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[cptj][cptj][(int)age]) );          for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
             for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
               cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
               if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                 fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
             }
       }        }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");      fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
         
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);  
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);  
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
   }    }
     free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   printf("\n");    printf("\n");
   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
     free_vector(xm,1,npar);
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
Line 2596  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 3150  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
     
   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
   for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
Line 2611  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 3165  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
 /*   } */  /*   } */
   varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
  fprintf(ficresvij, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresvij);
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are the stable prevalence in health states i\n");    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
     if(popbased==1)
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
     else
       fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
       fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e%1d, e%1d)",i,j);        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
   fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
   
   xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
Line 2638  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 3196  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size       Look at function hpijx to understand why (it is linked to memory size questions) */
      and note for a fixed period like k years */  
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the    /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
      means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
Line 2705  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 3262  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
         }          }
       }        }
   
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)            for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];              gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
Line 2815  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d Line 3372  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;set nolabel; set ter png small;set size 0.65, 0.65");    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240");
   /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; set nolog x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */  /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);
   /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
Line 2857  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * Line 3414  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double *
   double **gradg, **trgradg;    double **gradg, **trgradg;
   double age,agelim;    double age,agelim;
   int theta;    int theta;
   fprintf(ficresvpl, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);     
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of stable prevalences \n");    pstamp(ficresvpl);
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);        fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
Line 2932  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 3490  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
   int i, j=0,  i1, k1, l1, t, tj;    int i, j=0,  i1, k1, l1, t, tj;
   int k2, l2, j1,  z1;    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
   int k=0,l, cptcode;    int k=0,l, cptcode;
   int first=1, first1;    int first=1, first1, first2;
   double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   double *xp;    double *xp;
   double *gp, *gm;    double *gp, *gm;
   double **gradg, **trgradg;    double **gradg, **trgradg;
   double **mu;    double **mu;
   double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];    double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
   double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
   int theta;    int theta;
   char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
   double ***varpij;    double ***varpij;
   
   strcpy(fileresprob,"prob");     strcpy(fileresprob,"prob"); 
Line 2972  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 3529  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
   printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
   fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
   fprintf(ficresprob, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresprob);
   fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
   fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
   fprintf(ficresprobcov, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
   fprintf(ficresprobcor, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
   fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
   
   
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
Line 2993  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 3550  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
  */   */
  xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
   mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
Line 3018  standard deviations wide on each axis. < Line 3575  standard deviations wide on each axis. <
 To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");  To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
   
   cov[1]=1;    cov[1]=1;
   tj=cptcoveff;    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
     tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
   if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   j1=0;    j1=0;
   for(t=1; t<=tj;t++){    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[t];i1++){       /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[t];i1++){ */
       j1++;      /*j1++;*/
       if  (cptcovn>0) {        if  (cptcovn>0) {
         fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable ");           fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
         for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
Line 3046  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3604  To be simple, these graphs help to under
         fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");              fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
       }        }
               
         gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){         for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
         cov[2]=age;          cov[2]=age;
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {          for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
           cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[j1][Tvar[k]]];            cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[j1][Tvar[k]]];/* j1 1 2 3 4
                                                            * 1  1 1 1 1
                                                            * 2  2 1 1 1
                                                            * 3  1 2 1 1
                                                            */
             /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
         }          }
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];          for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
         for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)          for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
           cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];            cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
                   
         gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));  
         trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);  
         gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));  
         gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));  
           
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){          for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
           for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)            for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
Line 3096  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3659  To be simple, these graphs help to under
                   
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov);           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);          matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
         free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));  
         free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));  
         free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);  
         free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);  
   
         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);          pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
                   
Line 3133  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3692  To be simple, these graphs help to under
         i=0;          i=0;
         for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){          for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
           for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){             for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
             i=i++;              i++;
             fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);              fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
             fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);              fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
             for (j=1; j<=i;j++){              for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                 /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
               fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);                fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
               fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));                fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
             }              }
           }            }
         }/* end of loop for state */          }/* end of loop for state */
       } /* end of loop for age */        } /* end of loop for age */
         free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
         free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
         
       /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */        /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
       /*        /*
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;unset label");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
Line 3156  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3720  To be simple, these graphs help to under
       */        */
   
       /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/        /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
       first1=1;        first1=1;first2=2;
       for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){        for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
         for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){           for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
           if(l2==k2) continue;            if(l2==k2) continue;
Line 3177  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3741  To be simple, these graphs help to under
                   /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */                    /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;                    lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;                    lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                       if(first2==1){
                         first1=0;
                       printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                       }
                       fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                       /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                       /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                     }
   
                   /* Eigen vectors */                    /* Eigen vectors */
                   v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));                    v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                   /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */                    /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
Line 3196  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3770  To be simple, these graphs help to under
                     first=0;                      first=0;
                     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");                      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);                      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");                      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small size 320, 240");
                     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\                      fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
  :<a href=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">\   :<a href=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">\
 %s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\  %s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
Line 3227  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 3801  To be simple, these graphs help to under
           } /* k12 */            } /* k12 */
         } /*l1 */          } /*l1 */
       }/* k1 */        }/* k1 */
     } /* loop covariates */        /* } /* loop covariates */
   }    }
   free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
   free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
   fclose(ficresprob);    fclose(ficresprob);
   fclose(ficresprobcov);    fclose(ficresprobcov);
Line 3259  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t Line 3835  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t
  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",   - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
            stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));             stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"));             subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): \   - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",     <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e"));             estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e"));
      fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Population projections by age and states: \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileres,"f"),subdirf2(fileres,"f"));
   
 fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
  m=cptcoveff;   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}   if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
  jj1=0;   jj1=0;
Line 3282  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b> Line 3861  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");         fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
      }       }
      /* Pij */       /* Pij */
      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: %s%d1.png<br> \       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s%d_1.png\">%s%d_1.png</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s%d1.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1);       <img src=\"%s%d_1.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1);     
      /* Quasi-incidences */       /* Quasi-incidences */
      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: %s%d2.png<br> \   before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: <a href=\"%s%d_2.png\">%s%d_2.png</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s%d2.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1);   <img src=\"%s%d_2.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1); 
        /* Stable prevalence in each health state */         /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png<br> \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Period (stable) prevalence in each health state : <a href=\"%s%d_%d.png\">%s%d_%d.png</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1);  <img src=\"%s%d_%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1);
        }         }
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br> \          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies : <a href=\"%s%d%d.png\">%s%d%d.png</a> <br> \
 <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1);  <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1);
      }       }
    } /* end i1 */     } /* end i1 */
  }/* End k1 */   }/* End k1 */
Line 3316  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b> Line 3895  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
          subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"));           subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"));
  fprintf(fichtm,"\   fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",   - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"cve"),subdirf2(fileres,"cve"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
      <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
              estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"stde"),subdirf2(fileres,"stde"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\
    - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
          estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"));           estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"));
  fprintf(fichtm,"\   fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
          subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"));           estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"));
  fprintf(fichtm,"\   fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\   - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
          subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"));           subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"));
   
 /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */  /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
Line 3334  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b> Line 3921  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
  fflush(fichtm);   fflush(fichtm);
  fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");   fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
  m=cptcoveff;   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}   if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
  jj1=0;   jj1=0;
Line 3349  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b> Line 3936  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
      }       }
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
 prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br>\  prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d_%d.png <br>\
 <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1);    <img src=\"%s%d_%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1);  
      }       }
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
 health expectancies in states (1) and (2): %s%d.png<br>\  health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
   true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
    drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
    observed and cahotic prevalences: %s%d.png<br>\
 <img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);  <img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);
    } /* end i1 */     } /* end i1 */
  }/* End k1 */   }/* End k1 */
Line 3365  health expectancies in states (1) and (2 Line 3955  health expectancies in states (1) and (2
 void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){  void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];    char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;    int m0,cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,ij=0,l=0;
   int ng;    int ng=0;
 /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */  /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
 /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */  /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
 /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */  /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
Line 3381  void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], cha Line 3971  void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], cha
   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");    strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
  /* 1eme*/   /* 1eme*/
   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {    for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,k1);       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,k1);
      fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1);       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"v%s%d_%d.png\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1);
      fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\
 set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\  set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
 set ter png small\n\  set ter png small size 320, 240\n\
 set size 0.65,0.65\n\  
 plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
   
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else        fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }       }
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }        } 
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");         if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }         }  
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",subdirf2(fileres,"p"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileres,"p"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
    }     }
   }    }
   /*2 eme*/    /*2 eme*/
       
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),k1);      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),k1);
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);      fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter png small size 320, 240\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
           
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {      for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
       k=2*i;        k=2*i;
Line 3427  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u Line 4016  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u
         if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
       }           }   
       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
       fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {        for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
         if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");          if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
         else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");          else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
       }           }   
       if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");        if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");        else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
     }      }
   }    }
       
Line 3442  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u Line 4031  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u
       
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2);        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
         k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,k1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,k1);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\n\        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small size 320, 240\n\
 set size 0.65,0.65\n\  
 plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
       /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
Line 3456  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u Line 4045  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u
                   
       */        */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
         fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
           /*      fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
                   
       }         } 
         fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
     }      }
   }    }
       
Line 3466  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u Line 4057  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=3;        k=3;
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,k1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,k1);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
 set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\n\  set ter png small size 320, 240\n\
 unset log y\n\  unset log y\n\
 plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
               
Line 3498  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1 Line 4089  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1
       }        }
     }      }
    }     }
     /*goto avoid;*/
    for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/     for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/
      for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {       for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jk,ng);          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d_%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jk,ng); 
        if (ng==2)         if (ng==2)
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
        else         else
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"Probability\"\n");           fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"Probability\"\n");
        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small size 320, 240\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
        i=1;         i=1;
        for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {         for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
          k3=i;           k3=i;
Line 3516  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1 Line 4107  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1
                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);                 fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
              else               else
                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);                 fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
              ij=1;               ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {               for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {
                if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {                 /* if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) { /\* Bug valgrind *\/ */
                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);                 /*        /\*fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);*\/ */
                  ij++;                 /*        ij++; */
                }                 /* } */
                else                 /* else */
                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
              }               }
              fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");               fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
Line 3531  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1 Line 4122  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1
                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);                 fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
                ij=1;                 ij=1;
                for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){                 for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                  if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {                   /* if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) { */
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);                   /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]); */
                    ij++;                   /*   ij++; */
                  }                   /* } */
                  else                   /* else */
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);                     fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
                }                 }
                fprintf(ficgp,")");                 fprintf(ficgp,")");
Line 3548  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1 Line 4139  plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1
        } /* end k2 */         } /* end k2 */
      } /* end jk */       } /* end jk */
    } /* end ng */     } /* end ng */
    avoid:
    fflush(ficgp);      fflush(ficgp); 
 }  /* end gnuplot */  }  /* end gnuplot */
   
Line 4049  double gompertz(double x[]) Line 4641  double gompertz(double x[])
   return -2*L*num/sump;    return -2*L*num/sump;
 }  }
   
   #ifdef GSL
   /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
   double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
   { 
     double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
     double *x= (double *) v->data;
     int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
   
     for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
       sump=sump+weight[i];
       /*    sump=sump+1;*/
       num=num+1;
     }
    
    
     /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
        if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
     for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
       {
         if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
         
         if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
           A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
         
         /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
         if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
           LL=LL+A*weight[i];
           /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
         }
       }
   
    /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
     printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
    
     return -2*LL*num/sump;
   }
   #endif
   
 /******************* Printing html file ***********/  /******************* Printing html file ***********/
 void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \  void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                   int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\                    int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
Line 4090  void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], Line 4723  void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[],
   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");    strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n ");     fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n "); 
   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n ");     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small\n set log y\n");     fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small size 320, 240\n set log y\n"); 
   fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n");    /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);    fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
   
 }   } 
   
   int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
   
   
 /***********************************************/  
 /**************** Main Program *****************/  
 /***********************************************/  
   
 int main(int argc, char *argv[])  
 {  {
   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);  
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod;  
   int linei, month, year,iout;  
   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk;  
   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */  
   int itimes;  
   int NDIM=2;  
   
   char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32];    /*-------- data file ----------*/
     FILE *fic;
   char dummy[]="                         ";    char dummy[]="                         ";
   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */    int i, j, n;
   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */    int linei, month, year,iout;
   struct stat info;    char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;    char stra[80], strb[80];
   double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;    char *stratrunc;
     int lstra;
   
   double fret;  
   double **xi,tmp,delta;  
   
   double dum; /* Dummy variable */    if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
   double ***p3mat;      printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);return 1;
   double ***mobaverage;      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);return 1;
   int *indx;    }
   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];  
   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE],model[MAXLINE];  
   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE];   
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;  
   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */  
   int c,  h , cpt,l;  
   int ju,jl, mi;  
   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;  
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab;   
   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */  
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;  
   int hstepm, nhstepm;  
   int agemortsup;  
   float  sumlpop=0.;  
   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;  
   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;  
   
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;    i=1;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;    linei=0;
   double **prlim;    while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
   double *severity;      linei=linei+1;
   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */      for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
   double  *p;        if(line[j] == '\t')
   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */          line[j] = ' ';
   double ***delti3; /* Scale */      }
   double *delti; /* Scale */      for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
   double ***eij, ***vareij;        ;
   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */      };
   double *epj, vepp;      line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
   double kk1, kk2;      if(line[0]=='#'){
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;        fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
   double **ximort;        printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];        continue;
   int *dcwave;      }
       trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
       for (j=0; line[j]!='\0';j++){
         line[j]=linetmp[j];
       }
     
   
   char z[1]="c", occ;      for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
         /*        if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         s[j][i]=lval;
         
         strcpy(line,stra);
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
         if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){
         }
         else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy) != 0){
           month=99;
           year=9999;
         }else{
           printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
         mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
         strcpy(line,stra);
       } /* ENd Waves */
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){
       }
       else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       andc[i]=(double) year; 
       moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){
       }
       else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy) != 0){
         month=99;
         year=9999;
       }else{
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
       }
       if (year==9999) {
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
   
   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80];      }
   char strstart[80], *strt, strtend[80];      annais[i]=(double)(year);
   char *stratrunc;      moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
   int lstra;      strcpy(line,stra);
       
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
       errno=0;
       dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
       if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
         printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
         fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       weight[i]=dval; 
       strcpy(line,stra);
       
       for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
         if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing status */
           lval=-1;
         }else{
           errno=0;
           lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
           if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
             printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
             return 1;
           }
         }
         if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
           printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
    Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
    for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
    For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n \
    build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n \
           V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n \
    and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
    output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n \
    Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
           return 1;
         }
         covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
         strcpy(line,stra);
       }  
       lstra=strlen(stra);
        
       if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
         stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
         num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
       }
       else
         num[i]=atol(stra);
       /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
         printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
       
       i=i+1;
     } /* End loop reading  data */
   
   long total_usecs;    *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
     fclose(fic);
     
 /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */    return (0);
 /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */    endread:
 /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */      printf("Exiting readdata: ");
 /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */      fclose(fic);
 /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */      return (1);
   
   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */  
   (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);  
   curr_time=start_time;  
   tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec);  
   tmg = *gmtime(&start_time.tv_sec);  
   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tm));  
   
 /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */  
 /*  tp.tv_sec = tp.tv_sec +86400; */  
 /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); */  
 /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */  
 /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */  
 /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */  
 /*   tp.tv_sec = mktime(&tmg); */  
 /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */  
 /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */  
 /*  (void) time (&time_value);  
 *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);  
 *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);  
 *  strstart=asctime(&tm);  
 *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart);   
 */  
   
   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */  }
   nbwarn=0;  void removespace(char *str) {
   getcwd(pathcd, size);    char *p1 = str, *p2 = str;
     do
       while (*p2 == ' ')
         p2++;
     while (*p1++ = *p2++);
   }
   
   int decodemodel ( char model[], int lastobs) /**< This routine decode the model and returns:
      * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age
      * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8
      * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6
      * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
      * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
      * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
      *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
      * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
      * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
      *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
      * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
    */
   {
     int i, j, k, ks;
     int i1, j1, k1, k2;
     char modelsav[80];
     char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
   
   printf("\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion);    /*removespace(model);*/
   if(argc <=1){    if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");      j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
     scanf("%s",pathtot);      j=nbocc(model,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
   }      j1=nbocc(model,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
   else{      cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V2*age+V3 +V3*V4=> V1 + V3 =2  */
     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);      cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4=> 4*/
   }                    /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/                    /* but the covariates which are products must be treated separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);      cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/      cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/      strcpy(modelsav,model); 
       if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
         printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=%s ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
         printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
         return 1;
       }
       
       /*   Design
        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
        *       covar[1][i]= (V2), covar[4][i]=(V3), covar[8][i]=(V8)
        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
        *How to reorganize?
        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
        * Struct []
        */
   
   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */      /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);      /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);      /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);      /*  k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */      /*  k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */      /*  k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
       /*  k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
       /*  k=5 Tvar[5] */
       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
       /*  cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]]; */
       /*  } */
       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
       /*
        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--) /**< Number of covariates */
           Tvar[k]=0;
       cptcovage=0;
       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
         cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
                                        modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
         if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
         /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
         /*scanf("%d",i);*/
         if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
           cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
           if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
             /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
             cptcovprod--;
             cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
             Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2 */
             cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
             Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tage[1] = 4 */
             /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
           } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
             cptcovprod--;
             cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
             Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
             cptcovage++;
             Tage[cptcovage]=k;
           } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
             /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
             cptcovn++;
             cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
             cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
             Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                                     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                                     ncovcol + k1
                                     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                                     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
             cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
             Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
             Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
             Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
             k2=k2+2;
             Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) */
             Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) */
             for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
               /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                  covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
               covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
             }
           } /* End age is not in the model */
         } /* End if model includes a product */
         else { /* no more sum */
           /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
           cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
           ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates */
           cptcovn++;
           Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
         }
         strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
         /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
           scanf("%d",i);*/
       } /* end of loop + */
     } /* end model */
     
     /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
       If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
   
     /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
     printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
     fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
   
     scanf("%d ",i);*/
   
   
     return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
     endread:
       printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
   {
     int i, m;
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
       for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
         if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
           anint[m][i]=9999;
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           *nberr++;
           printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);
           s[m][i]=-1;
         }
         if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
           *nberr++;
           printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); 
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); 
           s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
         }
       }
     }
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
       for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
         if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){
           if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
             if(agedc[i]>0)
               if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999)
                 agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
             /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
               else {
                 if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   nbwarn++;
                   printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   agev[m][i]=-1;
                 }
               }
           }
           else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                                    years but with the precision of a month */
             agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
             if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
               agev[m][i]=1;
             else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
               *agemin=agev[m][i];
               printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
             }
             else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
               *agemax=agev[m][i];
               printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);
             }
             /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
             /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
           }
           else { /* =9 */
             agev[m][i]=1;
             s[m][i]=-1;
           }
         }
         else /*= 0 Unknown */
           agev[m][i]=1;
       }
       
     }
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
           *nberr++;
           printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
           return 1;
         }
       }
     }
   
     /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
        printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
   }
   
   }*/
   
   
     printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
   
     return (0);
     endread:
       printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
       return (1);
   }
   
   
   /***********************************************/
   /**************** Main Program *****************/
   /***********************************************/
   
   int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   {
   #ifdef GSL
     const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
     size_t iteri = 0, it;
     int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
     int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
     double ssval;
   #endif
     int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
     int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod;
     int linei, month, year,iout;
     int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk;
     int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
     int itimes;
     int NDIM=2;
     int vpopbased=0;
   
     char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32];
     /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
     /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
     struct stat info;
     double agedeb, agefin,hf;
     double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;
   
     double fret;
     double **xi,tmp,delta;
   
     double dum; /* Dummy variable */
     double ***p3mat;
     double ***mobaverage;
     int *indx;
     char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];
     char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE],model[MAXLINE];
     char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
     char **bp, *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
     int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
     int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */
     int c,  h , cpt,l;
     int ju,jl, mi;
     int i1,j1, jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;
     int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,*tab; 
     int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
     int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
     int hstepm, nhstepm;
     int agemortsup;
     float  sumlpop=0.;
     double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
     double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
   
     double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
     double ftolpl=FTOL;
     double **prlim;
     double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
     double  *p;
     double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
     double ***delti3; /* Scale */
     double *delti; /* Scale */
     double ***eij, ***vareij;
     double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
     double *epj, vepp;
     double kk1, kk2;
     double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
     double **ximort;
     char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
     int *dcwave;
   
     char z[1]="c", occ;
   
     /*char  *strt;*/
     char strtend[80];
   
     long total_usecs;
    
   /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
   /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
   /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
   /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
   
     /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
     (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);
     curr_time=start_time;
     tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec);
     tmg = *gmtime(&start_time.tv_sec);
     strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tm));
   
   /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
   /*  tp.tv_sec = tp.tv_sec +86400; */
   /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); */
   /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
   /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
   /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
   /*   tp.tv_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
   /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
   /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
   /*  (void) time (&time_value);
   *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
   *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
   *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
   *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
   */
   
     nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
     nbwarn=0;
     getcwd(pathcd, size);
   
     printf("\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion);
     if(argc <=1){
       printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
       fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin);
       i=strlen(pathr);
       if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
         pathr[i-1]='\0';
      for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
         printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
         while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
         printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
         strcpy (pathtot, val);
         if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
       }
     }
     else{
       strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
     }
     /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
     /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
       printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
     /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
   
     /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
     split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
    /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
     /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);    split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);    printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   chdir(path);    chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
     if(getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
       printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");    strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);    strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){    if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
Line 4294  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5402  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
     numlinepar++;      numlinepar++;
     puts(line);      fputs(line,stdout);
     fputs(line,ficparo);      fputs(line,ficparo);
     fputs(line,ficlog);      fputs(line,ficlog);
   }    }
Line 4310  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5418  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
     numlinepar++;      numlinepar++;
     puts(line);      fputs(line, stdout);
       //puts(line);
     fputs(line,ficparo);      fputs(line,ficparo);
     fputs(line,ficlog);      fputs(line,ficlog);
   }    }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
         
   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);     covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement*/    cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
   if (strlen(model)>1) cptcovn=nbocc(model,'+')+1;    /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
        v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
   ncovmodel=2+cptcovn; /*Number of variables = cptcovn + intercept + age */    */
     if (strlen(model)>1) 
       ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7*/
     else
       ncovmodel=2;
   nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */    nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */
   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/    nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
     npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
     if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
       printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
       fflush(stdout);
       fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
     }
   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   delti=delti3[1][1];    delti=delti3[1][1];
   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/    /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
Line 4335  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5455  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);       free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
     fclose (ficparo);      fclose (ficparo);
     fclose (ficlog);      fclose (ficlog);
       goto end;
     exit(0);      exit(0);
   }    }
   else if(mle==-3) {    else if(mle==-3) {
Line 4345  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5466  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);      matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   }    }
   else{    else{
     /* Read guess parameters */      /* Read guessed parameters */
     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */      /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fputs(line,ficlog);
     }      }
Line 4365  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5486  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
         j++;          j++;
         fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);          fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
         if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){          if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){
           printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);            printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
   It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
   run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
           exit(1);            exit(1);
         }          }
         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
Line 4392  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5515  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     }        }  
     fflush(ficlog);      fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads scales values */
     p=param[1][1];      p=param[1][1];
           
     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */      /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
Line 4399  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5523  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fputs(line,ficlog);
     }      }
Line 4430  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5554  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     }      }
     fflush(ficlog);      fflush(ficlog);
   
       /* Reads covariance matrix */
     delti=delti3[1][1];      delti=delti3[1][1];
   
   
Line 4440  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5565  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       numlinepar++;        numlinepar++;
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
       fputs(line,ficlog);        fputs(line,ficlog);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
       
     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);      matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
       for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
         for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
         
     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){      for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
       fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);        fscanf(ficpar,"%s",str);
       if(mle==1)        if(mle==1)
         printf("%s",str);          printf("%s",str);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);        fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
Line 4486  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5614  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;        printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;        fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
     }      }
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);      fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
   }    /* End of mle != -3 */    }    /* End of mle != -3 */
   
   /*-------- data file ----------*/  
   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {  
     printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;  
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;  
   }  
   
   n= lastobs;  
   severity = vector(1,maxwav);  
   outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);  
   num=lvector(1,n);  
   moisnais=vector(1,n);  
   annais=vector(1,n);  
   moisdc=vector(1,n);  
   andc=vector(1,n);  
   agedc=vector(1,n);  
   cod=ivector(1,n);  
   weight=vector(1,n);  
   for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */  
   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);  
   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);  
   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);  
   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);  
   ncodemax=ivector(1,8);  
   
   i=1;  
   linei=0;  
   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {  
     linei=linei+1;  
     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */  
       if(line[j] == '\t')  
         line[j] = ' ';  
     }  
     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){  
       ;  
     };  
     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */  
     if(line[0]=='#'){  
       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);  
       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);  
       continue;  
     }  
   
     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){  
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');   
       errno=0;  
       lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10);   
       /*        if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/  
       if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){  
         printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %d %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);  
         exit(1);  
       }  
       s[j][i]=lval;  
         
       strcpy(line,stra);  
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');  
       if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){  
       }  
       else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.") != 0){  
         month=99;  
         year=9999;  
       }else{  
         printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);  
         exit(1);  
       }  
       anint[j][i]= (double) year;   
       mint[j][i]= (double)month;   
       strcpy(line,stra);  
     } /* ENd Waves */  
       
     cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');   
     if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){  
     }  
     else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy) != 0){  
       month=99;  
       year=9999;  
     }else{  
       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);  
       exit(1);  
     }  
     andc[i]=(double) year;   
     moisdc[i]=(double) month;   
     strcpy(line,stra);  
       
     cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');   
     if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year) != 0){  
     }  
     else  if(iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.") != 0){  
       month=99;  
       year=9999;  
     }else{  
       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line,j);  
       exit(1);  
     }  
     annais[i]=(double)(year);  
     moisnais[i]=(double)(month);   
     strcpy(line,stra);  
       
     cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');   
     errno=0;  
     lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10);   
     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){  
       printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %ld %s for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",lval, i,line,linei);  
       exit(1);  
     }  
     weight[i]=(double)(lval);   
     strcpy(line,stra);  
       
     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){  
       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');   
       errno=0;  
       lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10);   
       if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){  
         printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covar (meaning 0 for the reference or 1).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);  
         exit(1);  
       }  
       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){  
         printf("Error reading data around '%d' at line number %ld %s for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a value of the %d covar (meaning 0 for the reference or 1. IMaCh does not build design variables, do it your self).  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);  
         exit(1);  
       }  
       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);  
       strcpy(line,stra);  
     }   
     lstra=strlen(stra);  
       
     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */  
       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);  
       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);  
     }  
     else  
       num[i]=atol(stra);  
     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){  
       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/  
       
     i=i+1;  
   } /* End loop reading  data */  
   /* printf("ii=%d", ij);  
      scanf("%d",i);*/  
   imx=i-1; /* Number of individuals */  
   
   /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){  
     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;  
     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;  
     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;  
     }*/  
    /*  for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){  
      if (s[4][i]==9)  s[4][i]=-1;   
      printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/  
     
   /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) */  
    
    /*if ((s[3][i]==3) ||  (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08;  
      else weight[i]=1;*/  
   
   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */  
   Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */  
   Tprod=ivector(1,15);   
   Tvaraff=ivector(1,15);   
   Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);  
   Tage=ivector(1,15);        
      
   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */  
     j=0, j1=0, k1=1, k2=1;  
     j=nbocc(model,'+'); /* j=Number of '+' */  
     j1=nbocc(model,'*'); /* j1=Number of '*' */  
     cptcovn=j+1;   
     cptcovprod=j1; /*Number of products */  
       
     strcpy(modelsav,model);   
     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){  
       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);  
       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);  
       goto end;  
     }  
       
     /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/  
   
     for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){  
       cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the last + */   
       if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */  
       /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/  
       /*scanf("%d",i);*/  
       if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /* Model includes a product */  
         cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*'); /* strd*strc  Vm*Vn (if not *age)*/  
         if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /* Vn*age */  
           cptcovprod--;  
           cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');  
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre); /* computes n in Vn and stores in Tvar*/  
           cptcovage++;  
             Tage[cptcovage]=i;  
             /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/  
         }  
         else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */  
           cptcovprod--;  
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');  
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  
           cptcovage++;  
           Tage[cptcovage]=i;  
         }  
         else {  /* Age is not in the model */  
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n*/  
           Tvar[i]=ncovcol+k1;  
           cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */  
           Tprod[k1]=i;  
           Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc); /* m*/  
           Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre); /* n */  
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];  
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];   
           for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)   
             covar[ncovcol+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];  
           k1++;  
           k2=k2+2;  
         }  
       }  
       else { /* no more sum */  
         /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/  
        /*  scanf("%d",i);*/  
       cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');  
       Tvar[i]=atoi(strc);  
       }  
       strcpy(modelsav,stra);    
       /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);  
         scanf("%d",i);*/  
     } /* end of loop + */  
   } /* end model */  
     
   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.  
     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/  
   
   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);  
   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);  
   fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);  
   
   scanf("%d ",i);    n= lastobs;
   fclose(fic);*/    num=lvector(1,n);
     moisnais=vector(1,n);
     annais=vector(1,n);
     moisdc=vector(1,n);
     andc=vector(1,n);
     agedc=vector(1,n);
     cod=ivector(1,n);
     weight=vector(1,n);
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
     mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
     tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
     ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
   
     /*  if(mle==1){*/    /* Reads data from file datafile */
   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights*/    if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
     for(i=1;i<=n;i++) weight[i]=1.0;      goto end;
   }  
     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/  
   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);  
   
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {    /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {      /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){          k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
         anint[m][i]=9999;          k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
         s[m][i]=-1;          k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
       }          k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){      */
         nberr++;    Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
         printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);    /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);        For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
         s[m][i]=-1;        Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
       }    */
       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){    /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
         nberr++;      because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
         printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]);       ncovcol + k1
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]);       If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
         s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */      Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
       }    Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the position of a product */
     }    /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
   }       if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
     */
     Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
     Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
                               * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                               * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
     Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
                            4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                            Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                         */  
   
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {    if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1)
     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);      goto end;
     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){  
       if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){    if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
         if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {      nbwarn++;
           if(agedc[i]>0)      printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
             if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999)      fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
               agev[m][i]=agedc[i];  
           /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/  
             else {  
               if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){  
                 nbwarn++;  
                 printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);  
                 fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);  
                 agev[m][i]=-1;  
               }  
             }  
         }  
         else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional  
                                  years but with the precision of a month */  
           agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);  
           if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)  
             agev[m][i]=1;  
           else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){   
             agemin=agev[m][i];  
             /*printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemin);*/  
           }  
           else if(agev[m][i] >agemax){  
             agemax=agev[m][i];  
             /* printf(" anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.0f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], agemax);*/  
           }  
           /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/  
           /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/  
         }  
         else { /* =9 */  
           agev[m][i]=1;  
           s[m][i]=-1;  
         }  
       }  
       else /*= 0 Unknown */  
         agev[m][i]=1;  
     }  
       
   }    }
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {      /*  if(mle==1){*/
     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){    if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {      for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
         nberr++;  
         printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);       
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);       
         goto end;  
       }  
     }  
   }    }
   
   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){      /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){    agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);  
 }  
   
 }*/  
   
     if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
       goto end;
   
   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);  
   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);   
   
   agegomp=(int)agemin;    agegomp=(int)agemin;
   free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);  
   free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);  
   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);    free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
   free_vector(annais,1,n);    free_vector(annais,1,n);
   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);    /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);    free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
   free_vector(andc,1,n);    free_vector(andc,1,n);
     /* */
        
   wav=ivector(1,imx);    wav=ivector(1,imx);
   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);    dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);    bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
Line 4837  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5705  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
         
   /* Concatenates waves */    /* Concatenates waves */
   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);    concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
     /* */
    
   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */    /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
   
   Tcode=ivector(1,100);  
   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);     nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
   ncodemax[1]=1;    ncodemax[1]=1;
   if (cptcovn > 0) tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx);    Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
           if (ncovmodel > 2)
   codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); /* Cross tabulation to get the order of       tricode(Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
                                  the estimations*/  
     codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
     /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtab[100][10]);*/
   h=0;    h=0;
   
   
     /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
         
    
   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
     
   for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){    for(k=1;k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* scans any effective covariate */
     for(i=1; i <=(m/pow(2,k));i++){      for(i=1; i <=pow(2,cptcoveff-k);i++){ /* i=1 to 8/1=8; i=1 to 8/2=4; i=1 to 8/8=1 */ 
       for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){ /* For each modality of this covariate ncodemax=2*/
         for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){          for(cpt=1; cpt <=pow(2,k-1); cpt++){  /* cpt=1 to 8/2**(3+1-1 or 3+1-3) =1 or 4 */ 
           h++;            h++;
           if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;            if (h>m) 
           /*  printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d tvar[k]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k]);*/              h=1;
             /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
              *     h     1     2     3     4
              *______________________________  
              *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
              *     2     2     1     1     1
              *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
              *     4     2     2     1     1
              *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
              *     6     2     1     2     1
              *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
              *     8     2     2     2     1
              *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     1
              *    10     2     1     1     1
              *    11 i=6 1     2     1     1
              *    12     2     2     1     1
              *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     1    
              *    14     2     1     2     1
              *    15 i=8 1     2     2     1
              *    16     2     2     2     1
              */
             codtab[h][k]=j;
             /*codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;*/
             printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d Tvar[k]=%d codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k],codtab[h][Tvar[k]]);
         }           } 
       }        }
     }      }
Line 4865  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5763  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
      codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */       codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */
   /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){     /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){ 
      for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){       for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){
      printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);         printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);
      }       }
      printf("\n");       printf("\n");
      }       }
      scanf("%d",i);*/       scanf("%d",i);*/
   
    free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
   
   
           
   /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/    /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);    strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
Line 4883  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5785  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   else{    else{
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version);       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); 
     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);       fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
     fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");      //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
       fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
   }    }
   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/    /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
   /*--------- index.htm --------*/    /*--------- index.htm --------*/
Line 4893  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5796  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort");      strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort");
   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");    strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {    if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);      printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
       exit(0);
   }    }
   
   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */    strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
Line 4902  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 5806  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);      printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
   }    }
   else{    else{
   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<body>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title>\n <font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \    fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
 <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\  <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n",\  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n",\
           fileres,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);            optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
   }    }
   
   fprintf(fichtm,"<body>\n<title>IMaCh %s</title>\n <font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \    fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
 <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\  <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n\  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n\
 \n\  \n\
 <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\  <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\   <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
    - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\   - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\   - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\   - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\   - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
           fileres,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\            optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
             optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
           fileres,fileres,\            fileres,fileres,\
           filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);            filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
   fflush(fichtm);    fflush(fichtm);
Line 4950  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 5856  Interval (in months) between two waves:
   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/    globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
   
   if (mle==-3){    if (mle==-3){
     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM);      ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
   /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
     cens=ivector(1,n);      cens=ivector(1,n);
     ageexmed=vector(1,n);      ageexmed=vector(1,n);
     agecens=vector(1,n);      agecens=vector(1,n);
Line 4988  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 5895  Interval (in months) between two waves:
         ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);          ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
     }      }
           
     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;      /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/      /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
           
           
   #ifdef GSL
       printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #elsedef
     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");      printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   #endif
     strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort");       strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort"); 
     strcat(filerespow,fileres);      strcat(filerespow,fileres);
     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);        printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);        fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
     }      }
   #ifdef GSL
       fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
   #elsedef
     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");      fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
   #endif
     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)          for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
         if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);          if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
     */      */
     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");      fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
   #ifdef GSL
       /* gsl starts here */ 
       T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
       gsl_vector *ss, *x;
       gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
   
       /* Initial vertex size vector */
       ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (ss == NULL){
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
       /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
       gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
   
       /* Starting point */
       
       x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
       
       if (x == NULL){
         gsl_vector_free(ss);
         GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
       }
     
       /* Initialize method and iterate */
       /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
   /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
   /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
       gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
       gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
   
       minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
       minex_func.n = NDIM;
       minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
       
       sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
       
       printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
       printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
   
       iteri=0;
       while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
         iteri++;
         status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
         
         if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
         fflush(0);
         
         if (status) 
           break;
         
         rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
         ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
         
         if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
           printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
         
         printf("%5d ", iteri);
         for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
           printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
         }
         printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
       }
           
     powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);      printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
       
       gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
       gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
       for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
         p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
         fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
       }
       gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
   #endif
   #ifdef POWELL
        powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
   #endif  
     fclose(ficrespow);      fclose(ficrespow);
           
     hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz);       hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
Line 5057  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6049  Interval (in months) between two waves:
       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);        printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
           
           
     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */      replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
     printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);      printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
           
     printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \      printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
Line 5067  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6059  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);      free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);      free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);      free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
   #ifdef GSL
       free_ivector(cens,1,n);
       free_vector(agecens,1,n);
       free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
       free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
   #endif
   } /* Endof if mle==-3 */    } /* Endof if mle==-3 */
       
   else{ /* For mle >=1 */    else{ /* For mle >=1 */
         globpr=0;/* debug */
     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */      likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);      printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)      for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
Line 5100  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6098  Interval (in months) between two waves:
           fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);            fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
           for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
             printf("%f ",p[jk]);              printf("%lf ",p[jk]);
             fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",p[jk]);              fprintf(ficlog,"%lf ",p[jk]);
             fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);              fprintf(ficres,"%lf ",p[jk]);
             jk++;               jk++; 
           }            }
           printf("\n");            printf("\n");
Line 5227  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6225  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 5247  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6245  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 5261  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6259  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 5277  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6275  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       ungetc(c,ficpar);        ungetc(c,ficpar);
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       puts(line);        fputs(line,stdout);
       fputs(line,ficparo);        fputs(line,ficparo);
     }      }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
Line 5291  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6289  Interval (in months) between two waves:
           
           
           
     /*  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/       /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
     /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/      /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
           
     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */      replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
     printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);      printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
           
     printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\      printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
Line 5316  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6314  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     fclose(ficres);      fclose(ficres);
   
   
     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (stable prevalence) --------------*/      /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
     #include "prevlim.h"  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
     strcpy(filerespl,"pl");  
     strcat(filerespl,fileres);  
     if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {  
       printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;  
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;  
     }  
     printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);  
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);  
     fprintf(ficrespl, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);  
     fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n");  
     fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");  
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);  
     fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");  
     
     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);  
   
     agebase=ageminpar;  
     agelim=agemaxpar;  
     ftolpl=1.e-10;  
     i1=cptcoveff;  
     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}  
   
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){  
         k=k+1;  
         /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/  
         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");  
         printf("\n#******");  
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");  
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {  
           fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  
           printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  
           fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  
         }  
         fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");  
         printf("******\n");  
         fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");  
           
         for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){  
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);  
           fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );  
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)  
             fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  
             fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);  
           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");  
         }  
       }  
     }  
     fclose(ficrespl);      fclose(ficrespl);
   
     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/  #ifdef FREEEXIT2
     #include "freeexit2.h"
     strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);  #endif
     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {  
       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;  
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;  
     }  
     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);  
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);  
     
     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;  
     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/  
   
     agelim=AGESUP;  
     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */  
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */   
   
     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/  
     fprintf(ficrespij, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);  
     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");  
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){  
         k=k+1;  
         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");  
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)   
           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);  
         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");  
           
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */  
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */   
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */  
   
           /*      nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/  
   
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;  #include "hpijx.h"
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);        fclose(ficrespij);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");  
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)  
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);  
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");  
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){  
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );  
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)  
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)  
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);  
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");  
           }  
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);  
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");  
         }  
       }  
     }  
   
     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
       k=1;
     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);      varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
   
     fclose(ficrespij);  
   
     probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)      for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
Line 5449  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6352  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     }      }
       
   
     /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/      /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
   
     strcpy(filerest,"t");      prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
     strcat(filerest,fileres);      /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {          ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;      */
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;  
       if (mobilav!=0) {
         mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
         if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
           fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
           printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
         }
     }      }
     printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);   
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);   
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
   
     strcpy(filerese,"e");      strcpy(filerese,"e");
     strcat(filerese,fileres);      strcat(filerese,fileres);
     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
Line 5469  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6378  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     }      }
     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);      printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);      fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
       /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
         for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
             
       for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
             fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           }
           fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
   
           eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart);  
         
           free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         /*}*/
       }
       fclose(ficreseij);
   
   
       /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
   
   
       strcpy(filerest,"t");
       strcat(filerest,fileres);
       if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
       }
       printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
   
   
       strcpy(fileresstde,"stde");
       strcat(fileresstde,fileres);
       if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
   
       strcpy(filerescve,"cve");
       strcat(filerescve,fileres);
       if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
         printf("Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
       }
       printf("Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Covar. of Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
   
     strcpy(fileresv,"v");      strcpy(fileresv,"v");
     strcat(fileresv,fileres);      strcat(fileresv,fileres);
Line 5479  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6438  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);      printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);      fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
   
     /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */      /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
     prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);        for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
     /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\            
         ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);      for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
     */          fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
   
     if (mobilav!=0) {  
       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);  
       if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){  
         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);  
         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);  
       }  
     }  
   
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){  
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){  
         k=k+1;   
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");  
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
           fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);            fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
         fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");          fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
   
         fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");          fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)           fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
           fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);          for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
         fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");            fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
             fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           }
           fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
           fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
   
         fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");          fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
Line 5513  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6463  Interval (in months) between two waves:
   
         eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);          eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;          oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
         evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart);            cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart);  
           /*
            */
           /* goto endfree; */
     
         vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);          vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;          pstamp(ficrest);
         varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav, strstart);  
         if(popbased==1){  
           varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav, strstart);          for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
         }            oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Segmentation fault */
             varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart);
         fprintf(ficrest, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);            fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
         fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");            if(vpopbased==1)
         for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);              fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");            else
               fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);            fprintf(ficrest,"# Age e.. (std) ");
         for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){            for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);            fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
           if (popbased==1) {  
             if(mobilav ==0){            epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)            for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
                 prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];              prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
             }else{ /* mobilav */               if (vpopbased==1) {
               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)                if(mobilav ==0){
                 prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];                  for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                 }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                     prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                 }
             }              }
           }  
                   
           fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);              fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
           for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){              for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
             for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {                for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
               epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];                  epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
               /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/                  /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                 }
                 epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
             }              }
             epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];  
           }  
   
           for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)              for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
             for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)                for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
               vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];                  vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
           fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));              fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){              for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
             fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));                fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
               fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
           }            }
           fprintf(ficrest,"\n");  
         }          }
         free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);          free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);          free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
         free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);          free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
       }        /*}*/
     }      }
     free_vector(weight,1,n);      free_vector(weight,1,n);
     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2);      free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);      free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);      free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
     free_ivector(cod,1,n);      free_ivector(cod,1,n);
     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);      free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficreseij);      fclose(ficresstdeij);
       fclose(ficrescveij);
     fclose(ficresvij);      fclose(ficresvij);
     fclose(ficrest);      fclose(ficrest);
     fclose(ficpar);      fclose(ficpar);
       
     /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/         /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
   
     strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");      strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
     strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);      strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);        printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
       exit(0);        exit(0);
     }      }
     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);      printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
   
     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){      /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){        for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
         k=k+1;            
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");      for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
           fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);            fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
         fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");          fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
Line 5597  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6557  Interval (in months) between two waves:
         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;          oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
         varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k,strstart);          varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k,strstart);
         free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);          free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
       }        /*}*/
     }      }
   
     fclose(ficresvpl);      fclose(ficresvpl);
Line 5605  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6565  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/      /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   
   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */    }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
    endfree:
       free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);      free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
     
     free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);      free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
     free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);      free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
     /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/      /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
Line 5619  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6579  Interval (in months) between two waves:
     free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);      free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
     free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);      free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   
     free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8);      free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ivector(Tvar,1,15);      free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ivector(Tprod,1,15);      free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15);      free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ivector(Tage,1,15);      free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
     free_ivector(Tcode,1,100);  
   
   
       free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
       free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10);
   fflush(fichtm);    fflush(fichtm);
   fflush(ficgp);    fflush(ficgp);
       
Line 5648  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 6608  Interval (in months) between two waves:
   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend);     fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));    printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));
   
   printf("Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);    printf("Total time was %ld Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));    fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));
   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);    fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %ld Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);
   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/    /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
 /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */  /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>",strstart, strtend);    fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
   fclose(fichtm);    fclose(fichtm);
     fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
   fclose(fichtmcov);    fclose(fichtmcov);
   fclose(ficgp);    fclose(ficgp);
   fclose(ficlog);    fclose(ficlog);
   /*------ End -----------*/    /*------ End -----------*/
   
   chdir(path);  
      printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
      if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
     if(getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
       printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/    /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");    sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
 #ifndef UNIX  #ifndef UNIX
   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%swgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);    sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
 #endif  #endif
   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){    if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
     printf("Error gnuplot program not found: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);      printf("Error gnuplot program not found: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);

Removed from v.1.111  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.147


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