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Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.94 and 1.103

-version 1.94, 2003/06/27 13:00:02
+version 1.103, 2005/09/30 15:54:49
  Line 1
  /* $Id$
    $State$
    $Log$
+   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
+   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
+   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
+   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
+   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
+   Fix on curr_time
+   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
+   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
+   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
+   *** empty log message ***
+   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
+   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
+   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
+   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
+   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
+   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
+   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
+   from other sources like vital statistic data.
+   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
+   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
+   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
+   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
+   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
+   Current limitations:
+   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
+   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
+   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
+   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
+   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
+   suppressed.
+   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
+   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
+   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
+   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
+   * imach.c (Repository):
+   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
+   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
    Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
    Just cleaning
- Line 161
+ Line 211
  #include <stdlib.h>
  #include <unistd.h>
- #include <sys/time.h>
+ /* #include <sys/time.h> */
  #include <time.h>
  #include "timeval.h"
+ /* #include <libintl.h> */
+ /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
  #define MAXLINE 256
  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
  /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
- Line 185
+ Line 238
  #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */
  #define AGESUP 130
  #define AGEBASE 40
- #ifdef unix
+ #define AGEGOMP 10. /* Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
+ #ifdef UNIX
  #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
  #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
  #else
- Line 196
+ Line 250
  /* $Id$ */
  /* $State$ */
- char version[]="Imach version 0.96b, June 2003, INED-EUROREVES ";
+ char version[]="Imach version 0.97c, September 2004, INED-EUROREVES ";
  char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";
  int erreur, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
  int nvar;
- Line 226  int globpr; /* Global variable for print
+ Line 280  int globpr; /* Global variable for print
  double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
  long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */
  double sw; /* Sum of weights */
+ char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
  char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
  FILE *ficresilk;
  FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
- Line 240  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
+ Line 295  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
  char title[MAXLINE];
  char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
- char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH];
+ char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH];
  char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
  int  outcmd=0;
- Line 288  static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
+ Line 343  static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
  static double sqrarg;
  #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
  #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;}
+ int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
  int imx;
- int stepm;
+ int stepm=1;
  /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
  int estepm;
- Line 298  int estepm;
+ Line 354  int estepm;
  int m,nb;
  long *num;
- int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;
+ int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage,*cens;
  double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
  double **pmmij, ***probs;
+ double *ageexmed,*agecens;
  double dateintmean=0;
  double *weight;
- Line 314  double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for comput
+ Line 371  double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for comput
  /**************** split *************************/
  static  int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
  {
+   /* From a file name with full path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
+      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
+   */
    char  *ss;                            /* pointer */
    int   l1, l2;                         /* length counters */
- Line 345  static int split( char *path, char *dirc
+ Line 405  static int split( char *path, char *dirc
  #endif
    */
    ss = strrchr( name, '.' );            /* find last / */
-   ss++;
+   if (ss >0){
-   strcpy(ext,ss);                       /* save extension */
+     ss++;
-   l1= strlen( name);
+     strcpy(ext,ss);                     /* save extension */
-   l2= strlen(ss)+1;
+     l1= strlen( name);
-   strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
+     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
-   finame[l1-l2]= 0;
+     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
+     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
+   }
    return( 0 );                          /* we're done */
  }
- Line 383  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
+ Line 445  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
  void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)
  {
-   /* cuts string t into u and v where u is ended by char occ excluding it
+   /* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before first occurence of char 'occ'
-      and v is after occ excluding it too : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",2)
+      and v starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
       gives u="abcedf" and v="ghi2j" */
    int i,lg,j,p=0;
    i=0;
- Line 813  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
+ Line 875  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
      last_time=curr_time;
      (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp);
      printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout);
-     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);
+     /*    fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);
      fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);
-     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
+     */
+    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
        printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
        fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);
        fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
- Line 825  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
+ Line 888  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
      fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
      if(*iter <=3){
        tm = *localtime(&curr_time.tv_sec);
-       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tmf));
+       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tm));
  /*       asctime_r(&tm,strcurr); */
        forecast_time=curr_time;
        itmp = strlen(strcurr);
-       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')
+       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
          strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
        printf("\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec);
        fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec);
- Line 841  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
+ Line 904  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
          itmp = strlen(strfor);
          if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
-         printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s or\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
+         printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
-         fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s or\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
+         fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
        }
      }
      for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
- Line 1007  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
+ Line 1070  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
    int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;
      for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
-     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
+       for(j=1; j<i;j++){
-       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
+         for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
-         /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
+           /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
-         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
+           s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
-         /*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
+ /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */
-       }
+         }
-       ps[i][j]=s2;
+         ps[i][j]=s2;
-       /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
+ /*      printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */
-     }
+       }
-     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
-       for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
+         for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
-         s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
+           s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
-         /*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/
+ /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2); */
+         }
+         ps[i][j]=s2;
        }
-       ps[i][j]=s2;
      }
-   }
      /*ps[3][2]=1;*/
-   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
+     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
-      s1=0;
+       s1=0;
-     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
+       for(j=1; j<i; j++)
-       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
+         s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
-     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
+       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
-       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
+         s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
-     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
+       ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
-     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
+       for(j=1; j<i; j++)
-       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
+         ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
-     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
+       for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
-       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
+         ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
-     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
+       /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
-   } /* end i */
+     } /* end i */
-   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
+     for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
-     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+       for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
-       ps[ii][jj]=0;
+         ps[ii][jj]=0;
-       ps[ii][ii]=1;
+         ps[ii][ii]=1;
+       }
      }
-   }
-   /*   for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
+ /*        for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
-     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+ /*       for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
-      printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]);
+ /*         printf("ddd %lf ",ps[ii][jj]); */
-    }
+ /*       } */
-     printf("\n ");
+ /*       printf("\n "); */
-     }
+ /*        } */
-     printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
+ /*        printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]); */
- /*
+        /*
-   for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
+       for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
-   goto end;*/
+       goto end;*/
      return ps;
  }
- Line 1181  double func( double *x)
+ Line 1244  double func( double *x)
          } /* end mult */
          /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
-         /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias and large stepm.
+         /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
           * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay
           * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to
           * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
           * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
-          * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. The we inter(extra)polate the
+          * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
           * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
-          * from savm to out if bh is neagtive or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
+          * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
           * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
           * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
           * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions.
- Line 1196  double func( double *x)
+ Line 1259  double func( double *x)
          s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
          s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
          bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm;
-         /* bias is positive if real duration
+         /* bias bh is positive if real duration
           * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
           */
          /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
          if( s2 > nlstate){
            /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution
               to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current
-              step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh
+              step unit time, which is also equal to probability to die before dh
-              and probability to die before dh-stepm .
+              minus probability to die before dh-stepm .
               In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
          as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
          health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
- Line 1500  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in
+ Line 1563  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in
    double **xi;
    double fret;
    double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
-   char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
+   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
    xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
- Line 1535  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
+ Line 1598  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
    int i, j,jk;
    int *indx;
-   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]);
+   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
-   double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j);
+   double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
    void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
    void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
+   double gompertz(double p[]);
    hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
    printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
- Line 1547  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
+ Line 1610  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
      printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
      fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
-     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);
-     /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/
+      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
-     /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/
+     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
+         printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
    }
    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
- Line 1557  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
+ Line 1622  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
        if (j>i) {
          printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
          fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
-         hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);
+         hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j,func,npar);
          hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];
          /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
        }
- Line 1628  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
+ Line 1694  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
  }
  /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
- double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[])
+ double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
  {
    int i;
    int l=1, lmax=20;
    double k1,k2;
    double p2[NPARMAX+1];
    double res;
-   double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
+   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
    double fx;
    int k=0,kmax=10;
    double l1;
- Line 1675  double hessii( double x[], double delta,
+ Line 1741  double hessii( double x[], double delta,
  }
- double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj)
+ double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
  {
    int i;
    int l=1, l1, lmax=20;
- Line 2291  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
+ Line 2357  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
-     /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */
+     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){
- Line 2845  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
+ Line 2911  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
-   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Computing matrix of variance-covariance of step probabilities</a></h4></li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
+   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
-   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h4>Computing matrix of variance-covariance of step probabilities</h4>\n\
+   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n\
    file %s<br>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated\
  and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
- Line 2879  To be simple, these graphs help to under
+ Line 2945  To be simple, these graphs help to under
          fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
-         fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable ");
+         fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable ");
          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-         fprintf(fichtm, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
+         fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
          fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");
          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
- Line 3090  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t
+ Line 3156  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t
                    double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \
                    double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){
    int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
-   /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
- /*   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL)    { */
- /*     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); */
- /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); */
- /*   } */
     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files (first order: no variance)</h4>\n \
-  - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n \
+  - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n ",
-  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n \
+            jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileres,"p"),subdirf2(fileres,"p"));
-  - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n \
+    fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
+            stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));
+    fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+            subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"));
+    fprintf(fichtm,"\
   - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): \
-    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", \
+    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
-            jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileres,"p"),subdirf2(fileres,"p"),\
-            stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),\
-            subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),\
             estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e"));
  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
- Line 3138  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
+ Line 3202  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br> \
  <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1);
       }
-      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
- health expectancies in states (1) and (2): %s%d.png<br>\
- <img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);
     } /* end i1 */
   }/* End k1 */
   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
-  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n\
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
-  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n\
+ \n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n\
-  - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n\
+  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", rfileres,rfileres);
-  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n\
-  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n\
+  fprintf(fichtm," - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
-  - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
+          subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),subdirf2(fileres,"prob"));
-  - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n\
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+          subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+          subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
+          estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
+  - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+          subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\
   - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
-          rfileres,rfileres,\
-          subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),\
-          subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),\
-          subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),\
-          estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"),\
-          subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"),\
           subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"));
  /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
- Line 3168  health expectancies in states (1) and (2
+ Line 3236  health expectancies in states (1) and (2
  /*      <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
  /*  else  */
  /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
- fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
+  fflush(fichtm);
+  fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   m=cptcoveff;
   if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
- Line 3184  fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></
+ Line 3253  fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></
         fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
       }
       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
-        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and period prevalence (with confident\
+        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
- interval) in state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br>\
+ prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br>\
  <img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1);
       }
+      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
+ health expectancies in states (1) and (2): %s%d.png<br>\
+ <img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);
     } /* end i1 */
   }/* End k1 */
   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
- Line 3842  void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate
+ Line 3914  void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate
          } /* end k*/
        } /*end j */
      } /* end i */
-   }
+   } /* end itimes */
  } /* end of prwizard */
+ /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
+ double gompertz(double x[])
+ {
+   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
+   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
+   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
+     sump=sump+weight[i];
+     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
+     num=num+1;
+   }
+   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++)
+      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
+   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
+     {
+       if (cens[i]==1 & wav[i]>1)
+         A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
+       if (cens[i]==0 & wav[i]>1)
+         A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
+              +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);
+       if (wav[i]>1 & agecens[i]>15) {
+         L=L+A*weight[i];
+         /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
+       }
+     }
+  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
+   return -2*L*num/sump;
+ }
+ /******************* Printing html file ***********/
+ void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
+                   int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
+                   int imx,  double p[],double **matcov){
+   int i;
+   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
+   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+   for (i=1;i<=2;i++)
+     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
+   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.png\">");
+   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
+   fflush(fichtm);
+ }
+ /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
+ void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
+   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
+   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;
+   int ng;
+   /*#ifdef windows */
+   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
+     /*#endif */
+   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
+   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
+   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n ");
+   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n ");
+   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small\n set log y\n");
+   fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n");
+   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+ }
  /***********************************************/
- Line 3855  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4001  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
  {
    int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
    int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod;
-   int jj, imk;
+   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk;
    int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
+   int itimes;
+   int NDIM=2;
+   char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32];
    /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
    /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
    double agedeb, agefin,hf;
- Line 3871  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4021  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    int *indx;
    char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];
    char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE],model[MAXLINE];
-   char pathr[MAXLINE];
+   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE];
    int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
    int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */
    int c,  h , cpt,l;
- Line 3898  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4048  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    double *epj, vepp;
    double kk1, kk2;
    double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
+   double **ximort;
    char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];
+   int *dcwave;
    char z[1]="c", occ;
- Line 3911  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4061  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    long total_usecs;
+ /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
+ /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
+ /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
+ /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
+ /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
    /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
    (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);
    curr_time=start_time;
- Line 3951  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4107  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
      printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
    /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
+   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
    split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
-   printf("pathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+   printf("pathimach=%s, pathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
    chdir(path);
    strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
    strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
- Line 3977  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4135  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    }
    fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
    fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
+   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
-   fprintf(ficlog,"pathtot=%s\n\
+   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
   path=%s \n\
   optionfile=%s\n\
   optionfilext=%s\n\
-  optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+  optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
    printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
    fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
- Line 4050  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4208  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    ncovmodel=2+cptcovn; /*Number of variables = cptcovn + intercept + age */
    nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */
+   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/
+   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+   delti=delti3[1][1];
+   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
    if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
      prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
      printf(" You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
      fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
+     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
      fclose (ficparo);
      fclose (ficlog);
      exit(0);
    }
-   /* Read guess parameters */
+   else if(mle==-3) {
-   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+     printf(" You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
-     ungetc(c,ficpar);
+     fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
-     numlinepar++;
+     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
-     puts(line);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
-     fputs(line,ficlog);
    }
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
+   else{
+     /* Read guess parameters */
-   param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-     j=0;
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-       if(jj==i) continue;
-       j++;
-       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
-       if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){
-         printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
-         exit(1);
-       }
-       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
-       if(mle==1)
-         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-         fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
-         if(mle==1){
-           printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-           fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-         }
-         else
-           fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-         fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-       }
-       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
        numlinepar++;
-       if(mle==1)
+       puts(line);
-         printf("\n");
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
-       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+       fputs(line,ficlog);
-       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
      }
-   }
+     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   fflush(ficlog);
+     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+       j=0;
+       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+         if(jj==i) continue;
+         j++;
+         fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
+         if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){
+           printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
+           exit(1);
+         }
+         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+         if(mle==1)
+           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+           fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
+           if(mle==1){
+             printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+             fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+           }
+           else
+             fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+           fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+         }
+         fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+         numlinepar++;
+         if(mle==1)
+           printf("\n");
+         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+       }
+     }
+     fflush(ficlog);
-   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/
-   p=param[1][1];
+     p=param[1][1];
-   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+       numlinepar++;
+       puts(line);
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
+       fputs(line,ficlog);
+     }
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     numlinepar++;
-     puts(line);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
-     fputs(line,ficlog);
-   }
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-   /* delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */
+       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
-   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+         fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
-     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
+         if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){
-       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
+           printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
-       if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){
+           exit(1);
-         printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
+         }
-         exit(1);
+         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-       }
+         fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
-       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
-       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+           fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
-       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+           printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
-         fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
+           fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
-         printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+           fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
-         fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+         }
-         fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+         fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+         numlinepar++;
+         printf("\n");
+         fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
        }
-       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
-       numlinepar++;
-       printf("\n");
-       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
-       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
      }
-   }
+     fflush(ficlog);
-   fflush(ficlog);
-   delti=delti3[1][1];
+     delti=delti3[1][1];
-   /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
+     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
-   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+       numlinepar++;
+       puts(line);
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
+       fputs(line,ficlog);
+     }
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     numlinepar++;
-     puts(line);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
-     fputs(line,ficlog);
-   }
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
+     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
-   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
+     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
-     fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
+       fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
-     if(mle==1)
+       if(mle==1)
-       printf("%s",str);
+         printf("%s",str);
-     fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
+       fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
-     fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
+       fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
-     for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
+       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
-       fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
+         fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
-       if(mle==1){
+         if(mle==1){
-         printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+           printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+         }
+         fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+         fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
        }
-       fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
-       fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+       numlinepar++;
+       if(mle==1)
+         printf("\n");
+       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
      }
-     fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
-     numlinepar++;
+       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
+         matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
      if(mle==1)
        printf("\n");
      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-     fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
-   }
-   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
-     for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
-       matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
-   if(mle==1)
-     printf("\n");
-   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-   fflush(ficlog);
-   /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/
-   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
-   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
-   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
-   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
-   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
-   }
-   fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
+     fflush(ficlog);
+     /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
+     strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
+     strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
+     strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
+     strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
+     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
+       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
+     }
+     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
+   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
    /*-------- data file ----------*/
    if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
      printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
- Line 4234  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4403  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    i=1;
    while (fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL)    {
      if ((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs)) {
+       for(j=0; line[j] != '\n';j++){  /* Untabifies line */
+         if(line[j] == '\t')
+           line[j] = ' ';
+       }
        for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); s[j][i]=atoi(strb);
          strcpy(line,stra);
- Line 4457  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4629  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
  }*/
    printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
    fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
+   agegomp=(int)agemin;
    free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);
    free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
    free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
- Line 4513  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4687  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
    strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
+   if(mle==-3)
+     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-mort");
    strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
    if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
      printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
    }
- Line 4526  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
+ Line 4703  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
    /*--------- index.htm --------*/
    strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
+   if(mle==-3)
+     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort");
    strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
    if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
      printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
- Line 4583  Interval (in months) between two waves:
+ Line 4762  Interval (in months) between two waves:
    p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
    globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
-   likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
+   if (mle==-3){
-   printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
-   for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+     cens=ivector(1,n);
-     printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
-   printf("\n");
+     agecens=vector(1,n);
-   globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */
+     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
-   likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
-   printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
-   for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+       dcwave[i]=-1;
-     printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+       for (j=1; j<=lastpass; j++)
-   printf("\n");
+         if (s[j][i]>nlstate) {
-   if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */
+           dcwave[i]=j;
-     mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
+           /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
+           break;
+         }
+     }
+     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
+       if (wav[i]>0){
+         ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
+         j=wav[i];agecens[i]=1.;
+         if (ageexmed[i]>1 & wav[i]>0) agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
+         cens[i]=1;
+         if (ageexmed[i]<1) cens[i]=-1;
+         if (agedc[i]< AGESUP & agedc[i]>1 & dcwave[i]>firstpass & dcwave[i]<=lastpass) cens[i]=0 ;
+       }
+       else cens[i]=-1;
+     }
+     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
+       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
+         ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+     }
+     p[1]=0.1; p[2]=0.1;
+     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
+   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
+   strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort");
+   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
+   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
+     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
    }
+   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
+   /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
+     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
+   */
+   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
+     powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
+     fclose(ficrespow);
-   /*--------- results files --------------*/
+     hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM,delti, 1e-4, gompertz);
-   fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
-   jk=1;
+     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
-   fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
-   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+         matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
-   fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
-   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
-     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
+     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
-       if (k != i)
+       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){
-         {
+         printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
+       }
+       printf("\n ");
+     }
+     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
+       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
+     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
+     printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
+     printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
+                      stepm, weightopt,\
+                      model,imx,p,matcov);
+   } /* Endof if mle==-3 */
+   else{ /* For mle >=1 */
+     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
+     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+     printf("\n");
+     globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */
+     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
+     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+     printf("\n");
+     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */
+       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
+     }
+     /*--------- results files --------------*/
+     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
+     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
+         if (k != i) {
            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
            fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
- Line 4623  Interval (in months) between two waves:
+ Line 4883  Interval (in months) between two waves:
            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
          }
+       }
      }
-   }
+     if(mle!=0){
-   if(mle!=0){
+       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
-     /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
+       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
-     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
+       hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
-     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
+     }
-   }
+     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-   fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-   fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
-     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+         if (j!=i) {
-       if (j!=i) {
+           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-         fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-         printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-         for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+             printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
-           printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
+             fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
-           fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
+             fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
-           fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
+             jk++;
-           jk++;
+           }
+           printf("\n");
+           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+           fprintf(ficres,"\n");
          }
-         printf("\n");
-         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-         fprintf(ficres,"\n");
        }
      }
-   }
+     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-   fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+     if(mle>=1)
-   if(mle==1)
+       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-     printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-   fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
-   for(i=1,k=1;i<=npar;i++){
+     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
-     /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;
+     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
-         i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;
+     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
-         fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
+     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
-         printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
+     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
+     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
+     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
+     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
+        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
      */
-     fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);
+     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
-     if(mle==1)
+       jj=0;
-       printf("%3d",i);
+       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-     fprintf(ficlog,"%3d",i);
+         for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
-     for(j=1; j<=i;j++){
+           if(j==i) continue;
-       fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
+           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-       if(mle==1)
+             jj++;
-         printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
+             ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
-       fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
+             if(itimes==1){
+               if(mle>=1)
+                 printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+               fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+               fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+             }else{
+               if(mle>=1)
+                 printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+               fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+               fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+             }
+             ll=0;
+             for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
+               for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
+                 if(lj==li) continue;
+                 for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
+                   ll++;
+                   if(ll<=jj){
+                     cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
+                     if(ll<jj){
+                       if(itimes==1){
+                         if(mle>=1)
+                           printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+                         fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+                         fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+                       }else{
+                         if(mle>=1)
+                           printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                         fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                       }
+                     }else{
+                       if(itimes==1){
+                         if(mle>=1)
+                           printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+                         fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+                         fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+                       }else{
+                         if(mle>=1)
+                           printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                         fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]);
+                       }
+                     }
+                   }
+                 } /* end lk */
+               } /* end lj */
+             } /* end li */
+             if(mle>=1)
+               printf("\n");
+             fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
+             numlinepar++;
+           } /* end k*/
+         } /*end j */
+       } /* end i */
+     } /* end itimes */
+     fflush(ficlog);
+     fflush(ficres);
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+       puts(line);
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
      }
-     fprintf(ficres,"\n");
-     if(mle==1)
-       printf("\n");
-     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-     k++;
-   }
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     puts(line);
+     estepm=0;
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
+     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
-   }
+     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
+     if (fage <= 2) {
+       bage = ageminpar;
-   estepm=0;
+       fage = agemaxpar;
-   fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
+     }
-   if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
-   if (fage <= 2) {
+     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
-     bage = ageminpar;
+     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
-     fage = agemaxpar;
+     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
-   }
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-   fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-   fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
+       puts(line);
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+     }
-     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     puts(line);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
-   }
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
-   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     puts(line);
+     fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
+     fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   }
+     fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
+     printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-   dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-   fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
+       puts(line);
-   fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
-   fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
+     }
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     puts(line);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
+     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
-   }
+     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
+     fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
-   fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
+     fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
-   fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+     fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
-   printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-   fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+       ungetc(c,ficpar);
-   /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
+       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+       puts(line);
-   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+       fputs(line,ficparo);
+     }
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
-     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-     puts(line);
+     fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
-     fputs(line,ficparo);
+     fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
-   }
+     printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
-   ungetc(c,ficpar);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+     fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
-   fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1);
+     /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
-   fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
-   fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
-   /*  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/
+     /*  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/
-   /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
+     /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
-   replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
+     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
-   printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
+     printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
-   printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
+     printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
-                model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\
+                  model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\
-                jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
+                  jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
-   /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
+    /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
-   /*  chdir(path); */
+    /*  chdir(path); */
-   free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
+     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
-   free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
+     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-   free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
+     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-   free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
+     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-   free_lvector(num,1,n);
+     free_lvector(num,1,n);
-   free_vector(agedc,1,n);
+     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
-   /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
+     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
-   /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
+     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
-   fclose(ficparo);
+     fclose(ficparo);
-   fclose(ficres);
+     fclose(ficres);
-   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (stable prevalence) --------------*/
+     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (stable prevalence) --------------*/
-   strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
+     strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
-   strcat(filerespl,fileres);
+     strcat(filerespl,fileres);
-   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
+     if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
+       printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
-   }
+     }
-   printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
+     printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
-   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n");
+     fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n");
-   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
+     fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
-   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
+     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
-   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+     fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
-   prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
+     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
-   agebase=ageminpar;
+     agebase=ageminpar;
-   agelim=agemaxpar;
+     agelim=agemaxpar;
-   ftolpl=1.e-10;
+     ftolpl=1.e-10;
-   i1=cptcoveff;
+     i1=cptcoveff;
-   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
+     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
-   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-       k=k+1;
+         k=k+1;
-       /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
+         /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
-       fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
+         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
-       printf("\n#******");
+         printf("\n#******");
-       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
+         fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
-         fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       }
+         }
-       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
-       printf("******\n");
+         printf("******\n");
-       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
-       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
+         for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
-         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
+           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
-         fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
+           fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
-         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-           fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+             fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-           fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
+             fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
-         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+           fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+         }
        }
      }
-   }
+     fclose(ficrespl);
-   fclose(ficrespl);
-   /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
+     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
-   strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
+     strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
-   if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
+     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
+       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
-   }
+     }
-   printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
+     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
-   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
+     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
-   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
+     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
-   agelim=AGESUP;
+     agelim=AGESUP;
-   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
+     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
-   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
+     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
-   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
+     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
-   fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
+     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
-   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-       k=k+1;
+         k=k+1;
-       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
+         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-         fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
-       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
+         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
-         nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
+           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
-         nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
+           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
-         /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
+           /*      nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
-         p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
+           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);
+           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);
-         fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
+           fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
-         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-           for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
-             fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
-         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
-         for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
-           fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
-               fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
+               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
+           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
+           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
+             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
+             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
+             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
+           }
+           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
          }
-         free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-         fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
        }
      }
-   }
-   varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
-   fclose(ficrespij);
+     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
-   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+     fclose(ficrespij);
-   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
+     probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-   /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
+     for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
-   if(prevfcast==1){
+       for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++)
-     /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
+         for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++)
+           probs[i][j][k]=0.;
+     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
+     /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
+     if(prevfcast==1){
+       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
        prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
        /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/
- /*      }  */
+       /*      }  */
- /*      else{ */
+       /*      else{ */
- /*        erreur=108; */
+       /*        erreur=108; */
- /*        printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
+       /*        printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
- /*        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
+       /*        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
- /*      } */
+       /*      } */
-   }
+     }
-   /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
+     /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
-   strcpy(filerest,"t");
+     strcpy(filerest,"t");
-   strcat(filerest,fileres);
+     strcat(filerest,fileres);
-   if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
+     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
+       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
-   }
+     }
-   printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
+     printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
-   strcpy(filerese,"e");
+     strcpy(filerese,"e");
-   strcat(filerese,fileres);
+     strcat(filerese,fileres);
-   if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
+     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
+       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
-   }
+     }
-   printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
+     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
-   strcpy(fileresv,"v");
+     strcpy(fileresv,"v");
-   strcat(fileresv,fileres);
+     strcat(fileresv,fileres);
-   if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
+     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
-     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
+       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
-     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
+       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
-   }
+     }
-   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
+     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
-   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
+     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
-   /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
+     /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
-   prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
+     prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
-   /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
+     /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
- ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
+         ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
-   */
+     */
-   if (mobilav!=0) {
+     if (mobilav!=0) {
-     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+       mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-     if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
+       if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
-       fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+         fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
-       printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+         printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+       }
      }
-   }
-   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-       k=k+1;
+         k=k+1;
-       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
+         fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-         fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
-       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
+         fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-         fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
-       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
+         fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-         fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+           fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
+         fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
-       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+         eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);
+         evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);
-       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+         vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-       varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav);
+         varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav);
-       if(popbased==1){
+         if(popbased==1){
-         varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav);
+           varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav);
-       }
+         }
-       fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
+         fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
-       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
+         for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
-       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
+         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
-       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
+         epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
-       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
+         for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
-         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
+           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
-         if (popbased==1) {
+           if (popbased==1) {
-           if(mobilav ==0){
+             if(mobilav ==0){
-             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-               prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
+                 prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
-           }else{ /* mobilav */
+             }else{ /* mobilav */
-             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+               for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
+                 prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
+             }
            }
-         }
-         fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
+           fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
-         for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
+           for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
-           for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
+             for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
-             epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
+               epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
-             /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
+               /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
+             }
+             epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
            }
-           epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
-         }
-         for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
+           for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
-           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
+             for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
-             vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
+               vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
-         fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
+           fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
-         for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
+           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
-           fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
+             fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
+           }
+           fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
          }
-         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
+         free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
-       }
+         free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
-       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+         free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
-       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+       }
-       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
+     }
-     }
+     free_vector(weight,1,n);
-   }
+     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2);
-   free_vector(weight,1,n);
+     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
-   free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2);
+     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);
-   free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
+     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
-   free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);
+     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
-   free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
+     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
-   free_ivector(cod,1,n);
+     fclose(ficreseij);
-   free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
+     fclose(ficresvij);
-   fclose(ficreseij);
+     fclose(ficrest);
-   fclose(ficresvij);
+     fclose(ficpar);
-   fclose(ficrest);
-   fclose(ficpar);
+     /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/
-   /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/
+     strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
+     strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
-   strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
+     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
-   strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
+       printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
-   if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
+       exit(0);
-     printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
+     }
-     exit(0);
+     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
-   }
-   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
+     for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+         k=k+1;
-     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+         fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
-       k=k+1;
+         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
-       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
+           fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+         fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
-         fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
-       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+         varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+         oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-       varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
+         varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
-       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+         free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+       }
      }
-   }
-   fclose(ficresvpl);
+     fclose(ficresvpl);
-   /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
+     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
-   free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+     if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+     free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
+     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
+     free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
+     free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
+     free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
-   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
+     free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
-   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
-   if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+     /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
-   free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
+     free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+     free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8);
+     free_ivector(Tvar,1,15);
+     free_ivector(Tprod,1,15);
+     free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15);
+     free_ivector(Tage,1,15);
+     free_ivector(Tcode,1,100);
-   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8);
-   free_ivector(Tvar,1,15);
-   free_ivector(Tprod,1,15);
-   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15);
-   free_ivector(Tage,1,15);
-   free_ivector(Tcode,1,100);
    fflush(fichtm);
    fflush(ficgp);
    if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
-     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn);
+     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn);
      fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn);
    }else{
      printf("End of Imach\n");
- Line 5118  ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], age
+ Line 5434  ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], age
    /*------ End -----------*/
    chdir(path);
-   strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
+   strcpy(plotcmd,"\"");
+   strcat(plotcmd,pathimach);
+   strcat(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
+   strcat(plotcmd,"\"");
    strcat(plotcmd," ");
    strcat(plotcmd,optionfilegnuplot);
    printf("Starting graphs with: %s",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
- Line 5131  ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], age
+ Line 5450  ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], age
      printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again and q for exiting: ");
      scanf("%s",z);
  /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
-     if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm);
+     if (z[0] == 'e') {
+       printf("Starting browser with: %s",optionfilehtm);fflush(stdout);
+       system(optionfilehtm);
+     }
      else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
      else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
    }

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Removed from v.1.94
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	Added in v.1.103