--- imach/src/imach.c 2015/11/21 12:41:11 1.211 +++ imach/src/imach.c 2016/02/15 00:48:12 1.219 @@ -1,6 +1,35 @@ -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.211 2015/11/21 12:41:11 brouard Exp $ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.219 2016/02/15 00:48:12 brouard Exp $ $State: Exp $ $Log: imach.c,v $ + Revision 1.219 2016/02/15 00:48:12 brouard + *** empty log message *** + + Revision 1.218 2016/02/12 11:29:23 brouard + Summary: 0.99 Back projections + + Revision 1.217 2015/12/23 17:18:31 brouard + Summary: Experimental backcast + + Revision 1.216 2015/12/18 17:32:11 brouard + Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2 + + Version 0.98r4 is now: + - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known; + - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation. + Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed. + + Revision 1.215 2015/12/16 08:52:24 brouard + Summary: 0.98r4 working + + Revision 1.214 2015/12/16 06:57:54 brouard + Summary: temporary not working + + Revision 1.213 2015/12/11 18:22:17 brouard + Summary: 0.98r4 + + Revision 1.212 2015/11/21 12:47:24 brouard + Summary: minor typo + Revision 1.211 2015/11/21 12:41:11 brouard Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional @@ -628,8 +657,25 @@ hPijx. Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also - of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. - + of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence. + +Back prevalence and projections: + - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj) + Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of covariate values k + at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and returns it in **bprlim. In the loops, + - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm, **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); + - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x + Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over + 'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until + age (in years) age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying + nhstepm*hstepm matrices. Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling + p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ + 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); + Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr). Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris. This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action @@ -766,7 +812,9 @@ typedef struct { #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 #define MAXN 20000 #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */ -#define AGESUP 130 +/* #define AGESUP 130 */ +#define AGESUP 150 +#define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */ #define AGEBASE 40 #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20 #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */ @@ -780,12 +828,12 @@ typedef struct { #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\' #endif -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.211 2015/11/21 12:41:11 brouard Exp $ */ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.219 2016/02/15 00:48:12 brouard Exp $ */ /* $State: Exp $ */ #include "version.h" char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__; char copyright[]="October 2015,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015"; -char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.211 $ $Date: 2015/11/21 12:41:11 $"; +char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.219 $ $Date: 2016/02/15 00:48:12 $"; char strstart[80]; char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH]; int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings */ @@ -798,6 +846,7 @@ int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariat int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */ int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */ int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */ +int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */ int npar=NPARMAX; int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */ int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */ @@ -820,8 +869,10 @@ double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 double **matprod2(); /* test */ double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */ double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */ +double **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */ + /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */ -FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop; +FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop; FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow; int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */ double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ @@ -844,13 +895,13 @@ char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH]; FILE *ficresvpl; char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH]; char title[MAXLINE]; -char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH]; char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH]; char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH], tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; char command[FILENAMELENGTH]; int outcmd=0; -char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH]; +char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH]; char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */ char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */ char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH]; @@ -927,7 +978,8 @@ int *ncodemaxwundef; /* ncodemax[j]= Nu covariate for which somebody answered including undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */ double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint; -double **pmmij, ***probs; +double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */ +double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */ double *ageexmed,*agecens; double dateintmean=0; @@ -1383,7 +1435,30 @@ char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *pre strcat(tmpout,fileres); return tmpout; } + +/*************** function subdirfext ***********/ +char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop) +{ + + strcpy(tmpout,preop); + strcat(tmpout,fileres); + strcat(tmpout,postop); + return tmpout; +} +/*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/ +char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop) +{ + + /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */ + strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname); + strcat(tmpout,"/"); + strcat(tmpout,preop); + strcat(tmpout,fileres); + strcat(tmpout,postop); + return tmpout; +} + char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[]) { long sec_left, days, hours, minutes; @@ -1987,7 +2062,7 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) { - /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x by left multiplying the unit + /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate ij by left multiplying the unit matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */ /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1 = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */ /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */ @@ -2010,7 +2085,7 @@ double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl int i, ii,j,k; double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.; /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */ - double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); + double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */ double **newm; double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */ int ncvloop=0; @@ -2019,6 +2094,7 @@ double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl max=vector(1,nlstate); meandiff=vector(1,nlstate); + /* Starting with matrix unity */ for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); @@ -2037,6 +2113,7 @@ double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl cov[3]= agefin*agefin;; for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { /* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */ + /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' */ cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; /* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); */ } @@ -2052,6 +2129,7 @@ double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/ /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */ /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */ + /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */ out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */ savm=oldm; @@ -2098,6 +2176,137 @@ Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl return prlim; /* should not reach here */ } + + /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence) ****************/ + + /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */ + /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */ + double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) +{ + /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and covariate ij by left multiplying the unit + matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */ + /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1 = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */ + /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */ + /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */ + /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */ + /* Initial matrix pimij */ + /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */ + /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */ + /* 0, 0 , 1} */ + /* + * and after some iteration: */ + /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */ + /* 0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */ + /* 0, 0 , 1} */ + /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */ + /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */ + /* 0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */ + /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */ + + int i, ii,j,k; + double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.; + /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */ + double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij(); + double **newm; + double **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm; /* for use */ + double **oldm, **savm; /* for use */ + + double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */ + int ncvloop=0; + + min=vector(1,nlstate); + max=vector(1,nlstate); + meandiff=vector(1,nlstate); + + dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms; + oldm=oldms; savm=savms; + + /* Starting with matrix unity */ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + + cov[1]=1.; + + /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */ + /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */ + /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */ + for(agefin=age; agefin ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\ +Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear); + /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */ + free_vector(min,1,nlstate); + free_vector(max,1,nlstate); + free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate); + + return bprlim; /* should not reach here */ +} + /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate ) @@ -2119,67 +2328,227 @@ double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, /*double t34;*/ int i,j, nc, ii, jj; - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; ji s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */ - } - ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */ - } - } - - for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ - s1=0; - for(j=1; ji} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */ - ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.); - /* Computing other pijs */ - for(j=1; ji s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */ + } + ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */ + } + } + + for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ + s1=0; + for(j=1; ji} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */ + ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.); + /* Computing other pijs */ + for(j=1; j= 1.e-10){ + /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */ + /* doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */ + /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */ + /* doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */ + /* }else */ + doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); + }else{ + printf("ii=%d, i=%d, doldm=%lf dsavm=%lf, probs=%lf, sumnew=%lf,agefin=%d\n",ii,j,doldm[ii][j],dsavm[ii][j],prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij],sumnew, (int)agefin); + } + } /*End ii */ + } /* End j, At the end doldm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */ + /* left Product of this diag matrix by dsavm=Px (newm=dsavm*doldm) */ + bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, dsavm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, doldm); /* Bug Valgrind */ + /* dsavm=doldm; /\* dsavm is now diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] but can be overwritten*\/ */ + /* doldm=dnewm; /\* doldm is now Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] *\/ */ + /* dnewm=dsavm; /\* doldm is now Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] *\/ */ + /* left Product of this matrix by diag matrix of prevalences (savm) */ + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){ + dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij] : 0.0); + } + } /* End j, At the end oldm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */ + ps=matprod2(doldm, dsavm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dnewm); /* Bug Valgrind */ + /* newm or out is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */ + /* end bmij */ + return ps; +} +/*************** transition probabilities ***************/ + +double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate ) +{ + /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov, + computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the + model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age). + lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc] + and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the + ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula: + j=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel + Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation, + sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij. + Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to + the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij] + */ + double s1, lnpijopii; + /*double t34;*/ + int i,j, nc, ii, jj; + + for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; ji s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */ + } + ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */ + } + } + + for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){ + s1=0; + for(j=1; ji} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */ + ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.); + /* Computing other pijs */ + for(j=1; j(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */ @@ -2542,6 +3014,10 @@ double func( double *x) s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; if( s2 > nlstate){ lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + } else if ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */ + for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) + survp += out[s1][j]; + lli= log(survp); }else{ lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */ } @@ -2604,6 +3080,7 @@ double funcone( double *x) int s1, s2; double bbh, survp; double agexact; + double agebegin, ageend; /*extern weight */ /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */ /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/ @@ -2622,7 +3099,12 @@ double funcone( double *x) oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); } - for(d=0; d nlstate && (mle <5) ){ /* Jackson */ lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); - } else if (s2==-2) { + } else if ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */ for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j]; lli= log(survp); @@ -2670,9 +3156,9 @@ double funcone( double *x) ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ if(globpr){ - fprintf(ficresilk,"%9ld %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %11.6f %8.4f %8.3f\ + fprintf(ficresilk,"%9ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %11.6f %8.4f %8.3f\ %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \ - num[i], agexact, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw, + num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw, 2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){ llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw; @@ -2710,8 +3196,8 @@ void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); } - fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count age s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n"); - fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i age i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav "); + fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n"); + fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav "); /* i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k); @@ -3028,8 +3514,8 @@ double hessij( double x[], double **hess kmax=kmax+10; } if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){ - printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol); - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol); + printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you may increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you may increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol); printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); } @@ -3185,43 +3671,77 @@ void pstamp(FILE *fichier) } /************ Frequencies ********************/ -void freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[]) +void freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \ + int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[],\ + int firstpass, int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[]) { /* Some frequencies */ int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j; + int mi; /* Effective wave */ int first; double ***freq; /* Frequencies */ double *pp, **prop; double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; - char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH]; - + char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH]; + double agebegin, ageend; + pp=vector(1,nlstate); - prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); + /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */ strcpy(fileresp,"P_"); strcat(fileresp,fileresu); + /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/ if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp); exit(0); } - freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3); - j1=0; - - j=cptcoveff; - if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;} - first=1; - - /* for(k1=1; k1<=j ; k1++){ */ /* Loop on covariates */ - /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */ /* Now it is 2 */ - /* j1++; */ - for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); j1++){ - /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]); - scanf("%d", i);*/ - for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) - for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) - freq[i][jk][m]=0; + strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm")); + if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno)); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno)); + fflush(ficlog); + exit(70); + } + else{ + fprintf(ficresphtm,"\nIMaCh PHTM_ %s\n %s
%s \ +
\n\ +Title=%s
Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s
\n",\ + fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model); + } + fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file %s
\n\n

Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition

\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm); + + strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm")); + if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno)); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno)); + fflush(ficlog); + exit(70); + } + else{ + fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\nIMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s\n %s
%s \ +
\n\ +Title=%s
Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s
\n",\ + fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model); + } + fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file %s
\n\n

Frequencies of all effective transitions by age at begin of transition

Unknown status is -1
\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr); + + freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); + j1=0; + + j=cptcoveff; + if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;} + + first=1; + + for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); j1++){ /* Loop on covariates combination */ + /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]); + scanf("%d", i);*/ + for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) + for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) + freq[i][jk][m]=0; for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) @@ -3229,7 +3749,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia dateintsum=0; k2cpt=0; - for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* For each individual i */ bool=1; if (cptcovn>0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */ for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) @@ -3242,25 +3762,38 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/ } } /* cptcovn > 0 */ - + if (bool==1){ - for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ - k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); - /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/ - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; - if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; + /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */ + for(mi=1; mi=firstpass && m <=lastpass){ + k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); + /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/ + if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */ + if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */ + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */ + prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */ if (m1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][i]!=9999) && (mint[m][i]!=99)) { - dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; - k2cpt++; - /* printf("i=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",i, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */ - } - /*}*/ + } + if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][i]!=9999) && (mint[m][i]!=99)) { + dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; + k2cpt++; + /* printf("i=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",i, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */ + } + /*}*/ } /* end m */ } /* end bool */ } /* end i = 1 to imx */ @@ -3269,24 +3802,57 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia pstamp(ficresp); if (cptcovn>0) { fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); - for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); - fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n

********** Variable "); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n

********** Variable "); + for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){ + fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); + fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); + } + fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********

\n"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********\n"); fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficlog, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]); - fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n#"); + fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n"); } - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + fprintf(ficresphtm,""); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i); + fprintf(ficresphtm, "",i,i); + } fprintf(ficresp, "\n"); + fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n"); + /* Header of frequency table by age */ + fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"
AgePrev(%d)N(%d)N
"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," "); + for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++){ + for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){ + if(jk!=0 && m!=0) + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," ",jk,m); + } + } + fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n"); + + /* For each age */ for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ - if(i==iagemax+3){ + fprintf(ficresphtm,""); + if(i==iagemax+1){ + fprintf(ficlog,"1"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," "); + }else if(i==iagemax+2){ + fprintf(ficlog,"0"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," "); + }else if(i==iagemax+3){ fprintf(ficlog,"Total"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," "); }else{ if(first==1){ first=0; printf("See log file for details...\n"); } + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," ",i); fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", i); } for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ @@ -3329,35 +3895,50 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ia if( i <= iagemax){ if(pos>=1.e-5){ fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop); + fprintf(ficresphtm,"",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop); /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/ /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/ } - else + else{ fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop); + fprintf(ficresphtm,"",i, prop[jk][i],posprop); + } } } - for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++) - if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) { - if(first==1) - printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); + for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++){ + for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){ + if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */ + if(first==1){ + printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); + } fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); } - if(i <= iagemax) + if(jk!=0 && m!=0) + fprintf(ficresphtmfr," ",freq[jk][m][i]); + } + } + fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n "); + if(i <= iagemax){ fprintf(ficresp,"\n"); + fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n"); + } if(first==1) printf("Others in log...\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); } /* end loop i */ + fprintf(ficresphtm,"
Age%d%d
0
Unknown
Total
%d%d%.5f%.0f%.0f%dNaNq%.0f%.0f%.0f
\n"); + fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n"); /*}*/ } /* end j1 */ dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; fclose(ficresp); - free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3); + fclose(ficresphtm); + fclose(ficresphtmfr); + free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); free_vector(pp,1,nlstate); - free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3); + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); /* End of Freq */ } @@ -3370,6 +3951,9 @@ void prevalence(double ***probs, double */ int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j; + int mi; /* Effective wave */ + int iage; + double agebegin, ageend; double **prop; double posprop; @@ -3380,7 +3964,7 @@ void prevalence(double ***probs, double iagemin= (int) agemin; iagemax= (int) agemax; /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/ - prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); /* freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/ j1=0; @@ -3388,61 +3972,67 @@ void prevalence(double ***probs, double if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;} first=1; - for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ - /*for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ - j1++;*/ + for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */ + for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) + for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) + prop[i][iage]=0.0; + + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */ + bool=1; + if (cptcovn>0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */ + for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) /* For each covariate, look at the value for individual i and checks if it is equal to the corresponding value of this covariate according to current combination j1*/ + if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) + bool=0; + } + if (bool==1) { /* For this combination of covariates values, this individual fits */ + /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */ + for(mi=1; mi=firstpass && m <=lastpass){ + y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */ + if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */ + if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; + if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; + if((int)agev[m][i] iagemax+3+AGEMARGE){ + printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); + exit(1); + } + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { + /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/ + prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */ + prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; + } /* end valid statuses */ + } /* end selection of dates */ + } /* end selection of waves */ + } /* end effective waves */ + } /* end bool */ + } + for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ + for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { + posprop += prop[jk][i]; + } - for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) - for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) - prop[i][m]=0.0; - - for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */ - bool=1; - if (cptcovn>0) { - for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) - if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) - bool=0; - } - if (bool==1) { - for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/ - y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */ - if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */ - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; - if((int)agev[m][i] iagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); - if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { - /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/ - prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; - prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; - } - } - } /* end selection of waves */ - } - } - for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ - for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { - posprop += prop[jk][i]; - } - - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - if( i <= iagemax){ - if(posprop>=1.e-5){ - probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop; - } else{ - if(first==1){ - first=0; - printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others on log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]); - } - } - } - }/* end jk */ - }/* end i */ + for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ + if( i <= iagemax){ + if(posprop>=1.e-5){ + probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop; + } else{ + if(first==1){ + first=0; + printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others on log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]); + } + } + } + }/* end jk */ + }/* end i */ /*} *//* end i1 */ } /* end j1 */ /* free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/ /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/ - free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3); + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); } /* End of prevalence */ /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/ @@ -3459,31 +4049,73 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int int i, mi, m; /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1; double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/ - int first; + int first, firstwo, firsthree, firstfour; int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl; double sum=0.; first=0; + firstwo=0; + firsthree=0; + firstfour=0; jmin=100000; jmax=-1; jmean=0.; - for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){ + for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){ /* For simple cases and if state is death */ mi=0; m=firstpass; - while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){ - if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5) + while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){ /* a live state */ + if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */ mw[++mi][i]=m; - if(m >=lastpass) + } + if(m >=lastpass){ + if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){ + if(firsthree == 0){ + printf("Information! Unknown health status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m); + firsthree=1; + } + fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m); + mw[++mi][i]=m; + } + if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */ + nbwarn++; + if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){ /* Has the vital status really been verified? */ + printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m); + } + break; + } break; + } else m++; }/* end while */ - if (s[m][i] > nlstate){ + + /* After last pass */ + if (s[m][i] > nlstate){ /* In a death state */ mi++; /* Death is another wave */ /* if(mi==0) never been interviewed correctly before death */ /* Only death is a correct wave */ mw[mi][i]=m; + }else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) { /* Status is either death or negative. A death occured after lastpass, we can't take it into account because of potential bias */ + /* m++; */ + /* mi++; */ + /* s[m][i]=nlstate+1; /\* We are setting the status to the last of non live state *\/ */ + /* mw[mi][i]=m; */ + nberr++; + if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */ + if(firstwo==0){ + printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m ); + firstwo=1; + } + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m ); + }else{ /* end date of interview is known */ + /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */ + if(firstfour==0){ + printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m ); + firstfour=1; + } + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m ); + } } - wav[i]=mi; if(mi==0){ nbwarn++; @@ -3496,7 +4128,9 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int } } /* end mi==0 */ } /* End individuals */ + /* wav and mw are no more changed */ + for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){ for(mi=1; mi 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0 */ + * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *: + * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables + * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0 */ /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */ if (ij > modmaxcovj) modmaxcovj=ij; else if (ij < modmincovj) - modmincovj=ij; + modmincovj=ij; if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){ - printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX ); - exit(1); + printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX ); + exit(1); }else Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/ /* If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */ @@ -3642,19 +4276,19 @@ void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in printf("Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]); fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of covariates %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", j, Tvar[j], k, Ndum[k]); if( Ndum[k] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality k ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */ - if( k != -1){ - ncodemax[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th - covariate for which somebody answered excluding - undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */ - } - ncodemaxwundef[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th - covariate for which somebody answered including - undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */ + if( k != -1){ + ncodemax[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th + covariate for which somebody answered excluding + undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */ + } + ncodemaxwundef[j]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th + covariate for which somebody answered including + undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */ } /* In fact ncodemax[j]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for - historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */ + historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */ } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */ - + /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */ /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; @@ -3671,8 +4305,8 @@ void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */ for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/ if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */ - break; - } + break; + } ij++; nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=i; /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality.*/ cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */ @@ -3693,28 +4327,28 @@ void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in /* } /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */ } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/ - for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; + for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ - /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ - ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar might be -1 if status was unknown */ - Ndum[ij]++; /* Might be supersed V1 + V1*age */ - } - - ij=0; - for (i=0; i<= maxncov-1; i++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */ - /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/ - if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){ - ij++; - /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/ - Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing (unclear) */ - }else{ - /* Tvaraff[ij]=0; */ - } - } - /* ij--; */ - cptcoveff=ij; /*Number of total covariates*/ - + /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ + ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar might be -1 if status was unknown */ + Ndum[ij]++; /* Might be supersed V1 + V1*age */ + } + + ij=0; + for (i=0; i<= maxncov-1; i++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */ + /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/ + if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){ + ij++; + /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/ + Tvaraff[ij]=i; /*For printing (unclear) */ + }else{ + /* Tvaraff[ij]=0; */ + } + } + /* ij--; */ + cptcoveff=ij; /*Number of total covariates*/ + } @@ -3926,100 +4560,100 @@ void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/ nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */ - + /* If stepm=6 months */ /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */ hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ - + /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */ /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to decrease memory allocation */ for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ - xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); - xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); } hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij); hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij); - + for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){ - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.; - gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.; - } - } + for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){ + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.; + gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.; + } + } } - + for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++) - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta]; - } + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta]; + } }/* End theta */ for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++) - for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) - trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; + for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) + trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; - - for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) + + for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++) - varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.; - - printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout); - fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog); - for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){ + varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.; + + printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout); + fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog); + for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){ for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){ - matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); - matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]); - for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) - for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++) - varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf; + matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); + matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]); + for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++) + for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++) + varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf; } } - + /* Computing expectancies */ hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ - eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf; - - /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ - - } - + for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf; + + /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ + + } + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age ); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ eip=0.; vip=0.; for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ - eip += eij[i][j][(int)age]; - for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */ - vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]; - fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) ); + eip += eij[i][j][(int)age]; + for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */ + vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]; + fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) ); } fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip)); } fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n"); - + fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age ); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ - cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i; - for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++) - for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){ - cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2; - if(cptj2 <= cptj) - fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]); - } + cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i; + for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++) + for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){ + cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2; + if(cptj2 <= cptj) + fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]); + } } fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n"); - + } free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); @@ -4029,327 +4663,327 @@ void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - + free_vector(xm,1,npar); free_vector(xp,1,npar); free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate); free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); } - + /************ Variance ******************/ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[]) -{ - /* Variance of health expectancies */ - /* double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/ - /* double **newm;*/ - /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/ - - int movingaverage(); - double **dnewm,**doldm; - double **dnewmp,**doldmp; - int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ; - int k; - double *xp; - double **gp, **gm; /* for var eij */ - double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */ - double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */ - double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */ - double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */ - double ***p3mat; - double age,agelim, hf; - double ***mobaverage; - int theta; - char digit[4]; - char digitp[25]; - - char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH]; - - if(popbased==1){ - if(mobilav!=0) - strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_"); - else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_"); - } - else - strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_"); - - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - } - } - - strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); - sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij); - /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/ - strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */ - strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */ - strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu); - if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev); - } - printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); - pstamp(ficresprobmorprev); - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm); - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij); - for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j); - } - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n"); - - fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n"); -/* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/ - fprintf(fichtm,"\n

  • Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)

    • \n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    %s
    \n",digitp); -/* } */ - varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - pstamp(ficresvij); - fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are "); - if(popbased==1) - fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - else - fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n"); - fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age"); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j); - fprintf(ficresvij,"\n"); - - xp=vector(1,npar); - dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar); - doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); - dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); - doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - - gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/ - - if(estepm < stepm){ - printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); - } - else hstepm=estepm; - /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */ - /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. - nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim - nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. - Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, - we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the - survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it - means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if - you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same - results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision. - */ - hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ - agelim = AGESUP; - for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */ - nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ - nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate); - gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); - gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); - - - for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/ - xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); - } - - prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij); - - if (popbased==1) { - if(mobilav ==0){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; - }else{ /* mobilav */ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; - } - } - - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */ - for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++) - gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; - } - } - /* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means - computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) - as a weighted average of prlim. - */ - for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) - gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; - } - /* end probability of death */ - - for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */ - xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); - - prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij); - - if (popbased==1) { - if(mobilav ==0){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; - }else{ /* mobilav */ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; - } - } - - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); - - for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */ - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++) - gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; - } - } - /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means - computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) - as a weighted average of prlim. - */ - for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) - gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; - } - /* end probability of death */ - - for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */ - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta]; - } - - for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */ - gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta]; - } - - } /* End theta */ - - trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */ - - for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */ - for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) - trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; - - for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */ - for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) - trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j]; - - - hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ - for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) - vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.; + { + /* Variance of health expectancies */ + /* double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/ + /* double **newm;*/ + /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/ + + /* int movingaverage(); */ + double **dnewm,**doldm; + double **dnewmp,**doldmp; + int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ; + int k; + double *xp; + double **gp, **gm; /* for var eij */ + double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */ + double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */ + double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */ + double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */ + double ***p3mat; + double age,agelim, hf; + /* double ***mobaverage; */ + int theta; + char digit[4]; + char digitp[25]; + + char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH]; + + if(popbased==1){ + if(mobilav!=0) + strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_"); + else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_"); + } + else + strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_"); - for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){ - for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){ - matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); - matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]); - for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) - vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf; - } - } + /* if (mobilav!=0) { */ + /* mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */ + /* if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */ + /* fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */ + /* printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */ + /* } */ + /* } */ + + strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); + sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij); + /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/ + strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */ + strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */ + strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu); + if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev); + } + printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev); + pstamp(ficresprobmorprev); + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm); + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij); + for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j); + } + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n"); + + fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij"); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n"); + /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n

  • Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)

    • \n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    %s
    \n",digitp); + /* } */ + varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + pstamp(ficresvij); + fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are "); + if(popbased==1) + fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + else + fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n"); + fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age"); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j); + fprintf(ficresvij,"\n"); + + xp=vector(1,npar); + dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar); + doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); + doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + + gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/ - /* pptj */ - matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); - matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp); - for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) - for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) - varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i]; - /* end ppptj */ - /* x centered again */ - - prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij); - - if (popbased==1) { - if(mobilav ==0){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; - }else{ /* mobilav */ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; - } - } - - /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means - computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) - as a weighted average of prlim. + if(estepm < stepm){ + printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); + } + else hstepm=estepm; + /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */ + /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. + nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim + nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. + Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, + we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the + survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it + means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if + you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same + results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision. + */ + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ + agelim = AGESUP; + for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */ + nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ + nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate); + gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); + gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); + + + for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ + for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/ + xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + } + + prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij); + + if (popbased==1) { + if(mobilav ==0){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; + }else{ /* mobilav */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; + } + } + + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */ + for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++) + gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; + } + } + /* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) + gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; + } + /* end probability of death */ + + for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */ + xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + + prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij); + + if (popbased==1) { + if(mobilav ==0){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; + }else{ /* mobilav */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; + } + } + + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); + + for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){ /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */ + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++) + gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h]; + } + } + /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++) + gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; + } + /* end probability of death */ + + for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */ + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta]; + } + + for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */ + gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta]; + } + + } /* End theta */ + + trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */ + + for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */ + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) + trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; + + for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */ + for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) + trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j]; + + + hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM; /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */ + for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) + vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.; + + for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){ + for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){ + matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); + matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]); + for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) + vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf; + } + } + + /* pptj */ + matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); + matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp); + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) + varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i]; + /* end ppptj */ + /* x centered again */ + + prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij); + + if (popbased==1) { + if(mobilav ==0){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij]; + }else{ /* mobilav */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij]; + } + } + + /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means + computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) + as a weighted average of prlim. + */ + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); + for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) + gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; + } + /* end probability of death */ + + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij); + for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j])); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]); + } + } + fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n"); + + fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age ); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]); + } + fprintf(ficresvij,"\n"); + free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); + free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); + free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate); + free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + } /* End age */ + free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/ + /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480"); + /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";"); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); + /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ + /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ + /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): %s\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months.

    \n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); + /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year

    \n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); */ - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij); - for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) - gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; - } - /* end probability of death */ - - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij); - for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){ - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j])); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]); - } - } - fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n"); + /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); - fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age ); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ - fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]); - } - fprintf(ficresvij,"\n"); - free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); - free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate); - free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate); - free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - } /* End age */ - free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/ - /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480"); - /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); -/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ -/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ -/* fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\" u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): %s\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev)); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months.

    \n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); - /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year

    \n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); -*/ -/* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit); - - free_vector(xp,1,npar); - free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); - free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar); - free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); - free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - fclose(ficresprobmorprev); - fflush(ficgp); - fflush(fichtm); -} /* end varevsij */ + free_vector(xp,1,npar); + free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar); + free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); + free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); + /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */ + fclose(ficresprobmorprev); + fflush(ficgp); + fflush(fichtm); + } /* end varevsij */ /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/ void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[]) @@ -4811,24 +5445,33 @@ To be simple, these graphs help to under void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \ int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\ int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\ - int popforecast, int prevfcast, int estepm , \ - double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \ - double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){ + int popforecast, int prevfcast, int backcast, int estepm , \ + double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, \ + double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2){ int jj1, k1, i1, cpt; fprintf(fichtm,""); - fprintf(fichtm,"

    • Result files (first order: no variance)

      \n \ - - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): %s
      \n ", - jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_")); + fprintf(fichtm,"

      • Result files (first order: no variance)

        \n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"
      • - Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): %s (html file)
        \n", + jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm")); + fprintf(fichtm,"
      • - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): %s (html file) ", + jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm")); + fprintf(fichtm,", %s (text file)
        \n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_")); fprintf(fichtm,"\ - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: %s
        \n ", stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_")); fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: %s
        \n ", + stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: %s
        \n", subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_")); fprintf(fichtm,"\ + - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: %s
        \n", + subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); + fprintf(fichtm,"\ - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \ %s
        \n", estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_")); @@ -4880,14 +5523,21 @@ divided by h: hPij } /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */ for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){ - fprintf(fichtm,"
        \n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. %s%d_%d.svg
        \ + fprintf(fichtm,"
        \n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. %s_%d-%d.svg
        \ ", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,jj1); } + if(backcast==1){ + /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */ + for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){ + fprintf(fichtm,"
        \n- Convergence to period (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. %s_%d-%d.svg
        \ +", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,jj1); + } + } if(prevfcast==1){ /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */ for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){ - fprintf(fichtm,"
        \n- Projection of prevalece up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. %s%d_%d.svg
        \ -", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1); + fprintf(fichtm,"
        \n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f) up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. %s%d_%d.svg
        \ +", dateprev1, dateprev2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,jj1); } } @@ -4961,15 +5611,15 @@ See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance fprintf(fichtm," ************\n
        "); } for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) { - fprintf(fichtm,"
        - Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \ -prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s_%d-%d.svg
        \ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
        - Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \ +prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d):         %s_%d-%d.svg\n
        \ ",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,jj1); } fprintf(fichtm,"\n
        - Total life expectancy by age and \ health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \ true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\ drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\ - observed and cahotic prevalences: %s_%d.svg
        \ + observed and cahotic prevalences:         %s_%d.svg\n
        \ ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),jj1); /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */ }/* End k1 */ @@ -4978,13 +5628,15 @@ true period expectancies (those weighted } /******************* Gnuplot file **************/ - void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , int prevfcast, char pathc[], double p[]){ + void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[]){ char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132]; int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,ij=0,l=0; int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0; int ng=0; int vpopbased; + int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */ + /* if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */ /* printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */ /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */ @@ -5006,15 +5658,15 @@ true period expectancies (those weighted /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)" */ /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */ fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot \"%s\" u 2:(-$12):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk)); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot \"%s\" u 2:(-$12):4 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk)); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk)); for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i); fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk)); - fprintf(ficgp," u 2:($4 == %d && $5==%d ? $9 : 1/0):($11/4.):5 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1); + fprintf(ficgp," u 2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1); for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) { - fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u 2:($4 == %d && $5==%d ? $9 : 1/0):($11/4.):5 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j); + fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u 2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j); } fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); } @@ -5031,119 +5683,144 @@ true period expectancies (those weighted for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each combination of covariate */ /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */ fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files "); - for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */ - lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ - /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; - fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */ + /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */ + fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\ -set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\ -set ter svg size 640, 480\n\ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\ +set ylabel \"Probability\" \n \ +set ter svg size 640, 480\n \ plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); - - for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { - if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { - if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { - if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \n"); + + for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { + if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); + for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { + if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"%%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1); + for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { + if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); + if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */ + /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */ + fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1 */ + kl=0; + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each combination of covariate */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; + kl++; + /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */ + /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ + /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ + /* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/ + if(k==cptcoveff){ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line ",kl+1, k,kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \ + 4+(cpt-1), cpt ); + }else{ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, k,kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]); + kl++; + } + } /* end covariate */ + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \n"); } /* k1 */ } /* cpt */ /*2 eme*/ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files "); for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */ - lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ - /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; - fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; + fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); - - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1); - for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/ - if(vpopbased==0) - fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage); - else - fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot "); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) { - k=2*i; - fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1, vpopbased); - for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { - if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i); - else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1); - fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased); - for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { - if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,"); - fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased); - for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { - if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); - else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); - } - if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0"); - else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n"); - } /* state */ - } /* vpopbased */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d.svg\"; replot; set out; \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1); /* Buggy gnuplot */ + + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1); + for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/ + if(vpopbased==0) + fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage); + else + fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot "); + for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) { + k=2*i; + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1, vpopbased); + for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { + if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i); + else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1); + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased); + for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { + if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,"); + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased); + for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) { + if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)"); + else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)"); + } + if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0"); + else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n"); + } /* state */ + } /* vpopbased */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d.svg\"; replot; set out; \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1); /* Buggy gnuplot */ } /* k1 */ - - + + /*3eme*/ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) { fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files: cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt); - for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */ - lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ - /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; - fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; + fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); - + /* k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */ k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1); fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1); fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\ plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt); /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) "); - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt); - fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) "); - fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt); - + for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) "); + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt); + fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1); + for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) "); + fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt); + */ for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) { - fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1); - /* fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/ - + fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1); + /* fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/ + } fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt); } @@ -5158,7 +5835,7 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); @@ -5170,10 +5847,11 @@ unset log y\n\ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar); k=3; for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ - if(i==1) + if(i==1){ fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_")); - else + }else{ fprintf(ficgp,", '' "); + } l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) @@ -5193,7 +5871,7 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar) /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); @@ -5237,7 +5915,7 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar) /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); @@ -5262,87 +5940,146 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar) fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n"); } /* end cpt state*/ } /* end covariate */ - - if(prevfcast==1){ - /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */ - + if(backcast == 1){ + /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each covariate combination (1 to m=2**k), if any covariate is present */ for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt); - for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */ - lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt); + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate and each value */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */ /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); } fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); - fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n "); - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1); - fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\ -set ter svg size 640, 480\n\ -unset log y\n\ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\ +set ter svg size 640, 480\n \ +unset log y\n \ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar); - for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){ /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */ - /*# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ - /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ - /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ - /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ - if(i==1){ - fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_")); - }else{ - fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' "); - } - if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */ - fprintf(ficgp," u 2:("); /* Age is in 2 */ - /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/ - /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 */ - if(i==nlstate+1) - fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p.%d' with line ", \ - 2+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), 2+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt ); - else - fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ", \ - 2+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), 2+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt ); - }else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"u 6:(("); /* Age is in 6 */ - /*# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ - /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ - kl=0; - for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate */ - lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */ - /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ - /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ - vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]; - kl++; - /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */ - /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ - /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ - /* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/ - if(k==cptcoveff) - if(i==nlstate+1) - fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p.%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv], \ - 6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), 6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt ); - else - fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv], \ - 6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), 6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt ); - else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[lv]][lv]); - kl++; - } - } /* end covariate */ - } /* end if covariate */ + k=3; /* Offset */ + for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ + if(i==1) + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_")); + else + fprintf(ficgp,", '' "); + /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */ + l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; + /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */ + /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */ + fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /* a vérifier */ + /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */ + /* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */ + /* /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */ + fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt); } /* nlstate */ fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n"); - } /* end cpt state*/ - } /* end covariate */ - } /* End if prevfcast */ - - - /* proba elementaires */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n"); + } /* end cpt state*/ + } /* end covariate */ + } /* End if backcast */ + + if(prevfcast==1){ + /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */ + + for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { /* For each covariate combination (1 to m=2**k), if any covariate is present */ + for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt); + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each correspondig covariate value */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; + fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",k,vlv); + } + fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n"); + + fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n "); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\ +set ter svg size 640, 480\n \ +unset log y\n \ +plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar); + for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){ /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */ + /*# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ + /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ + /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ + /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ + if(i==1){ + fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_")); + }else{ + fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' "); + } + if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */ + ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */ + /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/ + /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 */ + /*# V1 = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/ + /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 */ + fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); + if(i==nlstate+1) + fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'pw.%d' with line ", \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt ); + else + fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ", \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt ); + }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */ + if(cptcoveff ==1){ + ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */ + }else{ + ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */ + /*# V1 = 1 V2 = 0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/ + /*# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 */ + } + fprintf(ficgp," u %d:((",ioffset); + kl=0; + for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){ /* For each covariate */ + lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */ + /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1 k= (1) 1 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1 k= 1 (1) 1 1 */ + /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k= 1 1 (2) 2 */ + vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; + kl++; + /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */ + /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ + /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ + /* '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/ + if(k==cptcoveff){ + if(i==nlstate+1){ + if(cptcoveff ==1){ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p.%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt ); + }else{ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p.%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt ); + } + }else{ + if(cptcoveff ==1){ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt ); + }else{ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \ + ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt ); + } + } + }else{ /* k < cptcoveff */ + fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl, k,kl+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]); + kl++; + } + } /* end covariate */ + } /* end if covariate */ + } /* nlstate */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n"); + } /* end cpt state*/ + } /* end covariate */ + } /* End if prevfcast */ + + + /* proba elementaires */ + fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n"); for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i); for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){ @@ -5430,40 +6167,49 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar) else fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]); } - if(ng != 1){ - fprintf(ficgp,")/(1"); + }else{ + i=i-ncovmodel; + if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */ + fprintf(ficgp," (1."); + } + + if(ng != 1){ + fprintf(ficgp,")/(1"); - for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){ - if(nagesqr==0) - fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1); - else /* nagesqr =1 */ - fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr); - - ij=1; - for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){ - if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */ - if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */ - fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]); - /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */ - ij++; - } + for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){ + if(nagesqr==0) + fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1); + else /* nagesqr =1 */ + fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr); + + ij=1; + for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){ + if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */ + if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */ + fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]); + /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */ + ij++; } - else - fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]); } - fprintf(ficgp,")"); + else + fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]); } fprintf(ficgp,")"); - if(ng ==2) - fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k); - else /* ng= 3 */ - fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k); - }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */ - fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k); } - if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,","); - i=i+ncovmodel; + fprintf(ficgp,")"); + if(ng ==2) + fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k); + else /* ng= 3 */ + fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k); + }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */ + if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */ + fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k); } + if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1) + fprintf(ficgp,","); + if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) + fprintf(ficgp,","); + i=i+ncovmodel; } /* end k */ } /* end k2 */ fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out\n"); @@ -5475,46 +6221,154 @@ plot [%.f:%.f] ", ageminpar, agemaxpar) /*************** Moving average **************/ -int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){ - +/* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */ +int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){ + int i, cpt, cptcod; int modcovmax =1; int mobilavrange, mob; - double age; + int iage=0; + double sum=0.; + double age; + double *sumnewp, *sumnewm; + double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; /* Currently identical for all covariates */ + + modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/* Max number of modalities. We suppose - a covariate has 2 modalities */ - if (cptcovn<1) modcovmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */ + a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax */ + sumnewp = vector(1,modcovmax); + sumnewm = vector(1,modcovmax); + agemingood = vector(1,modcovmax); + agemaxgood = vector(1,modcovmax); + + for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){ + sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; + sumnewp[cptcod]=0.; + agemingood[cptcod]=0; + agemaxgood[cptcod]=0; + } + if (cptcovn<1) modcovmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */ + if(mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){ if(mobilav==1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */ else mobilavrange=mobilav; for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++) for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++) - mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++) + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod]; /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2 we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. */ for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){ for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ - for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ - for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){ - mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod]; - for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){ - mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod]; - mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod]; - } - mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob; - } - } + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod]; + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod]; + } + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob; + } + } }/* end age */ }/* end mob */ - }else return -1; + }else + return -1; + for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=modcovmax;cptcod++){ + /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */ + agemingood[cptcod]=fage-(mob-1)/2; + for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, finding the youngest wrong */ + sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + } + if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */ + agemingood[cptcod]=age; + }else{ /* bad */ + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + } /* i */ + } /* end bad */ + }/* age */ + sum=0.; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + sum+=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + } + if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */ + printf("For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one at any descending age!\n",cptcod); + /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */ + /* mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */ + /* } /\* i *\/ */ + } /* end bad */ + /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */ + /* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */ + agemaxgood[cptcod]=bage+(mob-1)/2; + for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){ + sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + } + if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */ + agemaxgood[cptcod]=age; + }else{ /* bad */ + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + } /* i */ + } /* end bad */ + }/* age */ + sum=0.; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + sum+=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + } + if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */ + printf("For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one at any ascending age!\n",cptcod); + /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */ + /* mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */ + /* } /\* i *\/ */ + } /* end bad */ + + for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){ + printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); + sumnewp[cptcod]=0.; + sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]; + /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */ + } + /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */ + } + /* printf("\n"); */ + /* } */ + /* brutal averaging */ + for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + /* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */ + } + for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; + /* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */ + } + } /* end i status */ + for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ + for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ + /*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*/ + mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; + } + } + }/* end cptcod */ + free_vector(sumnewm,1, modcovmax); + free_vector(sumnewp,1, modcovmax); + free_vector(agemaxgood,1, modcovmax); + free_vector(agemingood,1, modcovmax); return 0; }/* End movingaverage */ - + /************** Forecasting ******************/ void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ @@ -5528,7 +6382,7 @@ void prevforecast(char fileres[], double double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat; - double ***mobaverage; + /* double ***mobaverage; */ char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH]; agelim=AGESUP; @@ -5536,7 +6390,8 @@ void prevforecast(char fileres[], double in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2). We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection. */ - prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */ + /* firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, model); */ strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); strcat(fileresf,fileresu); @@ -5544,18 +6399,11 @@ void prevforecast(char fileres[], double printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf); } - printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf); + printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf); if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - } - } stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; @@ -5588,60 +6436,190 @@ void prevforecast(char fileres[], double k=k+1; fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); } fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age"); for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j); - fprintf(ficresf," p.%d",j); + fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j); } - for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { - fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); - fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); - - for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ - nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); - nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); - - for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { + for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { + fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); + fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); + for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); - } - for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { - ppij=0.; - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { - if (mobilav==1) - ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; - else { - ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; - } - if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { - fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); - } - } /* end i */ - if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { - fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij); - } - }/* end j */ - } /* end h */ - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - } /* end agec */ + fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + } + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { + ppij=0.; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + if (mobilav==1) + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; + else { + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; + } + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { + fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + } + } /* end i */ + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { + fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij); + } + }/* end j */ + } /* end h */ + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + } /* end agec */ } /* end yearp */ } /* end cptcod */ } /* end cptcov */ - - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - + fclose(ficresf); + printf("End of Computing forecasting \n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n"); + } +/* /\************** Back Forecasting ******************\/ */ +/* void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ */ +/* /\* back1, year, month, day of starting backection */ +/* agemin, agemax range of age */ +/* dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed */ +/* anback2 year of en of backection (same day and month as back1). */ +/* *\/ */ +/* int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1; */ +/* double agec; /\* generic age *\/ */ +/* double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; */ +/* double *popeffectif,*popcount; */ +/* double ***p3mat; */ +/* /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */ +/* char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH]; */ + +/* agelim=AGESUP; */ +/* /\* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people */ +/* in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2). */ +/* We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection. */ +/* *\/ */ +/* /\* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ *\/ */ +/* /\* firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, model); *\/ */ +/* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */ + +/* strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_"); */ +/* strcat(fileresfb,fileresu); */ +/* if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb); */ +/* } */ +/* printf("Computing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Computing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb); */ + +/* if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */ + +/* /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */ +/* /\* mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */ +/* /\* if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */ +/* /\* fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */ +/* /\* printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */ +/* /\* } *\/ */ +/* /\* } *\/ */ + +/* stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */ +/* if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */ +/* if(estepm < stepm){ */ +/* printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); */ +/* } */ +/* else hstepm=estepm; */ + +/* hstepm=hstepm/stepm; */ +/* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp and */ +/* fractional in yp1 *\/ */ +/* anprojmean=yp; */ +/* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */ +/* mprojmean=yp; */ +/* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */ +/* jprojmean=yp; */ +/* if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; */ +/* if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; */ + +/* i1=cptcoveff; */ +/* if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} */ + +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); */ + +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n"); */ + +/* /\* if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ *\/ */ +/* for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */ +/* for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */ +/* k=k+1; */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#"); */ +/* for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ +/* } */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age"); */ +/* for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ */ +/* for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," p%d%d",i,j); */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," p.%d",j); */ +/* } */ +/* for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) { */ +/* /\* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { *\/ */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */ +/* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ */ +/* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); */ +/* nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; */ +/* p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */ +/* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */ +/* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */ +/* for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */ +/* if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); */ +/* for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */ +/* } */ +/* for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */ +/* ppij=0.; */ +/* for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { */ +/* if (mobilav==1) */ +/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; */ +/* else { */ +/* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; */ +/* } */ +/* if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); */ +/* } */ +/* } /\* end i *\/ */ +/* if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { */ +/* fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij); */ +/* } */ +/* }/\* end j *\/ */ +/* } /\* end h *\/ */ +/* free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */ +/* } /\* end agec *\/ */ +/* } /\* end yearp *\/ */ +/* } /\* end cptcod *\/ */ +/* } /\* end cptcov *\/ */ + +/* /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */ + +/* fclose(ficresfb); */ +/* printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n"); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n"); */ + +/* } */ + /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/ void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ @@ -5650,7 +6628,7 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; - double ***mobaverage; + /* double ***mobaverage; */ char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); @@ -5672,13 +6650,13 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - } - } + /* if (mobilav!=0) { */ + /* mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */ + /* if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */ + /* fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */ + /* printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */ + /* } */ + /* } */ stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; @@ -5687,7 +6665,7 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl hstepm=1; hstepm=hstepm/stepm; - + if (popforecast==1) { if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); @@ -5699,13 +6677,13 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl i=1; while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; - + imx=i; for (i=1; i=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); oldm=oldms;savm=savms; hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); - + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); @@ -5742,27 +6720,28 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl } if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; - /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); - if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/ + /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); + if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/ } } for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ kk1=0.; - for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ - kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; - } - tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; + } + tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; } - - if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) - fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); + + if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); } free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); } } - - /******/ - + + /******/ + for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt); for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ @@ -5787,11 +6766,11 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); } } - } + } } - - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - + + /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */ + if (popforecast==1) { free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); @@ -5801,7 +6780,7 @@ void populforecast(char fileres[], doubl free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficrespop); } /* End of popforecast */ - + int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich) { if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) { @@ -6076,8 +7055,8 @@ int readdata(char datafile[], int firsto if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(stdout); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s\n", datafile);fflush(ficlog);return 1; + printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1; } i=1; @@ -6454,17 +7433,22 @@ int decodemodel ( char model[], int last int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn ) { int i, m; - + int firstone=0; + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) { if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){ anint[m][i]=9999; - s[m][i]=-1; + if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */ + s[m][i]=-1; } if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ *nberr = *nberr + 1; - printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr); - fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased (%d)\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr); + if(firstone == 0){ + firstone=1; + printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results can be biased (%d) because status is a death state %d at wave %d. Wave dropped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr,s[m][i],m); + } + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results can be biased (%d) because status is a death state %d at wave %d. Wave dropped.\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr,s[m][i],m); s[m][i]=-1; } if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ @@ -6479,12 +7463,12 @@ int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){ - if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ + if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */ if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { if(agedc[i]>0){ if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){ agev[m][i]=agedc[i]; - /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/ + /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/ }else { if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){ nbwarn++; @@ -6494,7 +7478,7 @@ int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, } } } /* agedc > 0 */ - } + } /* end if */ else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional years but with the precision of a month */ agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]); @@ -6510,17 +7494,23 @@ int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, } /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/ /* agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/ - } + } /* en if 9*/ else { /* =9 */ + /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */ agev[m][i]=1; s[m][i]=-1; } } - else /*= 0 Unknown */ + else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */ agev[m][i]=1; - } - + else{ + printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); + fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); + agev[m][i]=0; + } + } /* End for lastpass */ } + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){ if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { @@ -6744,9 +7734,9 @@ void syscompilerinfo(int logged) #endif - } +} - int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){ +int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){ /*--------------- Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/ int i, j, k, i1 ; /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */ @@ -6767,57 +7757,153 @@ void syscompilerinfo(int logged) for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i); fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); - /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */ + /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */ - agebase=ageminpar; - agelim=agemaxpar; + agebase=ageminpar; + agelim=agemaxpar; - i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); - if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} + i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); + if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */ - //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - /* to clean */ - //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov)); - fprintf(ficrespl,"#******"); - printf("#******"); - fprintf(ficlog,"#******"); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - } - fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); - printf("******\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); - - fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - } - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl," %d-%d ",i,i); - fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n"); - - for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ - /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */ - prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); - fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age ); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - tot=0.; - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ - tot += prlim[i][i]; - fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); - } - fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp); - } /* Age */ - /* was end of cptcod */ - } /* cptcov */ - return 0; + //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + /* to clean */ + //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov)); + fprintf(ficrespl,"#******"); + printf("#******"); + fprintf(ficlog,"#******"); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + } + fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); + printf("******\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + } + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl," %d-%d ",i,i); + fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n"); + + for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ + /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */ + prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); + fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age ); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + tot=0.; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + tot += prlim[i][i]; + fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); + } + fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp); + } /* Age */ + /* was end of cptcod */ + } /* cptcov */ + return 0; } +int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){ + /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/ + + /* Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of covariate values + * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar + */ + int i, j, k, i1 ; + /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */ + double age, agebase, agelim; + double tot; + /* double ***mobaverage; */ + /* double **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm; /\* for use *\/ */ + + strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_"); + strcat(fileresplb,fileresu); + if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1; + } + printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb); + pstamp(ficresplb); + fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl); + fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age "); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i); + fprintf(ficresplb,"\n"); + + + /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */ + + agebase=ageminpar; + agelim=agemaxpar; + + + i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); + if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} + + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */ + //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + /* to clean */ + //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov)); + fprintf(ficresplb,"#******"); + printf("#******"); + fprintf(ficlog,"#******"); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + } + fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n"); + printf("******\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + } + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb," %d-%d ",i,i); + fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n"); + + + for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ + /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */ + if(mobilavproj > 0){ + /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */ + /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */ + bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); + }else if (mobilavproj == 0){ + printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj); + exit(1); + }else{ + /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */ + bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); + } + fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age ); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + tot=0.; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + tot += bprlim[i][i]; + fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]); + } + fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp); + } /* Age */ + /* was end of cptcod */ + } /* cptcov */ + + /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */ + /* fclose(ficrespijb); */ + + return 0; +} + int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){ /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ @@ -6844,14 +7930,14 @@ int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage) agelim=AGESUP; hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ - + /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ pstamp(ficrespij); fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x "); i1= pow(2,cptcoveff); - /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */ - /* /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */ - /* k=k+1; */ + /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */ + /* /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */ + /* k=k+1; */ for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){ fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** "); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) @@ -6885,8 +7971,85 @@ int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage) } /*}*/ } - return 0; + return 0; } + + int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){ + /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/ + + int stepsize; + /* int agelim; */ + int ageminl; + int hstepm; + int nhstepm; + int h, i, i1, j, k; + + double agedeb; + double ***p3mat; + + strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_"); strcat(filerespijb,fileresu); + if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1; + } + printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb); + + stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; + /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/ + + /* agelim=AGESUP; */ + ageminl=30; + hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ + + /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ + pstamp(ficrespijb); + fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Pij x Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x "); + i1= pow(2,cptcoveff); + /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */ + /* /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */ + /* k=k+1; */ + for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){ + fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n"); + + /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */ + for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */ + /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */ + + /* nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/ + + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */ + /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); */ + hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k); + /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */ + fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hpijx with i,j="); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n"); + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/ + fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); + /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n"); + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n"); + } + /*}*/ + } + return 0; + } /* hBijx */ /***********************************************/ @@ -6919,11 +8082,12 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double agedeb=0.; double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW; + double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */ double fret; double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */ double ***p3mat; - double ***mobaverage; + /* double ***mobaverage; */ char line[MAXLINE]; char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE]; @@ -6939,6 +8103,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int *tab; int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */ + int backcast=0; int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0; int agemortsup; @@ -6949,6 +8114,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.; double ftolpl=FTOL; double **prlim; + double **bprlim; double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */ double *p; double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */ @@ -6960,6 +8126,8 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double *epj, vepp; double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000; + double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000; + double **ximort; char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234"; int *dcwave; @@ -7396,8 +8564,8 @@ This is probably because your covariance Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model); exit(1); }else - if(mle==1) - printf("%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk); + if(mle==1) + printf("%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk); fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk); fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%1d",i1,j1,jk); for(j=1; j <=i; j++){ @@ -7437,7 +8605,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct } fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version); } /* End of mle != -3 */ - + /* Main data */ n= lastobs; @@ -7519,19 +8687,32 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct free_vector(annais,1,n); /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/ - free_vector(moisdc,1,n); - free_vector(andc,1,n); + /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */ + /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */ /* */ wav=ivector(1,imx); - dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */ + /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */ + /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */ + dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/ + bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); + mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* Concatenates waves */ + /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i. + Death is a valid wave (if date is known). + mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i + dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i] + and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm. + */ + concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev, firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm); /* */ + free_vector(moisdc,1,n); + free_vector(andc,1,n); + /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */ nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); @@ -7584,7 +8765,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct * 15 i=8 1 2 2 2 * 16 2 2 2 2 */ - /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? + /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */ /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4 * and the value of each covariate? * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ? @@ -7599,11 +8780,11 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct * bbbbbbbb * 76543210 * h-1 00000101 (6-1=5) - *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000001 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift + *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift * & * 1 00000001 (1) - * 00000001 = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1)) - * +1= 00000010 =2 + * 00000000 = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1)) + * +1= 00000001 =1 * * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2 * h' 1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0 @@ -7705,7 +8886,7 @@ Title=%s
        Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model); } - fprintf(fichtm,"\n\n\nIMaCh %s\n IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain
        \nSponsored by Copyright (C) 2002-2015 INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121) - Intel Software 2015
        \ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n\n\nIMaCh %s\n IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain
        \nSponsored by Copyright (C) 2002-2015 INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121) - Intel Software 2015-2018
        \
        \n\ IMaCh-%s
        %s         \
        \n\ @@ -7735,7 +8916,8 @@ Title=%s
        Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age and prints on file fileres'p'. */ - freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart); + freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ + firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, model); fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); fprintf(fichtm,"
        Total number of observations=%d
        \n\ @@ -7747,8 +8929,7 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */ - - + /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1] so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */ p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */ @@ -7766,33 +8947,33 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ dcwave[i]=-1; for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++) - if (s[m][i]>nlstate) { - dcwave[i]=m; - /* printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/ - break; - } + if (s[m][i]>nlstate) { + dcwave[i]=m; + /* printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/ + break; + } } - + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { if (wav[i]>0){ - ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i]; - j=wav[i]; - agecens[i]=1.; - - if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){ - agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i]; - cens[i]= 1; - }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) - cens[i]= -1; - if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass) - cens[i]=0 ; + ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i]; + j=wav[i]; + agecens[i]=1.; + + if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){ + agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i]; + cens[i]= 1; + }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) + cens[i]= -1; + if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass) + cens[i]=0 ; } else cens[i]=-1; } for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) { for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++) - ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0); } /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/ @@ -8181,8 +9362,8 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){ if (num_filled != 6) { - printf("Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n"); - printf("but line=%s\n",line); + printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line); goto end; } printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl); @@ -8248,6 +9429,19 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + fputs(line,stdout); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } + ungetc(c,ficpar); + + fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */ @@ -8262,19 +9456,19 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar); }else - printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, pathc,p); + printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p); printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\ - model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,prevfcast,estepm, \ - jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); + model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,prevfcast,backcast, estepm, \ + jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2); /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ /* chdir(path); */ - free_ivector(wav,1,imx); - free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */ /* Moved after last prevalence call */ + /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */ + /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */ + /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */ free_lvector(num,1,n); free_vector(agedc,1,n); /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ @@ -8292,60 +9486,85 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct prevalence_limit(p, prlim, ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear); fclose(ficrespl); -#ifdef FREEEXIT2 -#include "freeexit2.h" -#endif - /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ /*#include "hpijx.h"*/ hPijx(p, bage, fage); fclose(ficrespij); - /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/ + ncovcombmax= pow(2,cptcoveff); + /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/ k=1; varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart); - - probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + /* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] */ + probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) - for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++) - for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++) - probs[i][j][k]=0.; - + for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */ + for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++) + probs[i][j][k]=0.; + prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) { + mobaverages= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); + for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) + for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++) + mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.; + mobaverage=mobaverages; + if (mobilav!=0) { + if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){ + fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + } + } + /* /\* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] *\/ */ + /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */ + else if (mobilavproj !=0) { + if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){ + fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj); + printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj); + } + } + }/* end if moving average */ + /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/ if(prevfcast==1){ /* if(stepm ==1){*/ prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff); - /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/ - /* } */ - /* else{ */ - /* erreur=108; */ - /* printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ - /* fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ - /* } */ } + if(backcast==1){ + ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + + /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/ + + bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim, ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj); + fclose(ficresplb); + + hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage); + fclose(ficrespijb); + free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */ + + /* prevbackforecast(fileresu, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, + bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); */ + free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); + } + /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */ - /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */ - - prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); - /* printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d, mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\ - ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); - */ - - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - } - } - - + free_ivector(wav,1,imx); + free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); + free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); + free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); + + /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/ - + strcpy(filerese,"E_"); strcat(filerese,fileresu); if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) { @@ -8354,30 +9573,27 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct } printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog); - /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/ - + for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){ - fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - } - fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); - - eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart); + fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + } + fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); - free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); - /*}*/ + eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart); + + free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); } fclose(ficreseij); printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog); - + /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ - - + + strcpy(filerest,"T_"); strcat(filerest,fileresu); if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) { @@ -8386,7 +9602,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct } printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog); - + strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_"); strcat(fileresstde,fileresu); @@ -8421,21 +9637,21 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){ fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** "); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); fprintf(ficrest,"******\n"); fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** "); fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** "); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); } fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n"); fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n"); fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** "); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n"); eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); @@ -8546,24 +9762,25 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct for (k=1; k <= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff); k++){ fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); - - varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, strstart); - free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); + fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); + + varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, strstart); + free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); /*}*/ } - + fclose(ficresvpl); printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog); /*---------- End : free ----------------*/ - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0) + free_ma3x(mobaverages,1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */ + free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); } /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */ /* endfree:*/ free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */ @@ -8593,8 +9810,8 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){ - printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn); - fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn); + printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn); + fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn); }else{ printf("End of Imach\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");