--- imach/src/imach.c 2003/02/05 12:40:38 1.70 +++ imach/src/imach.c 2003/06/18 12:26:01 1.87 @@ -1,4 +1,41 @@ -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.70 2003/02/05 12:40:38 brouard Exp $ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.87 2003/06/18 12:26:01 brouard Exp $ + $State: Exp $ + $Log: imach.c,v $ + Revision 1.87 2003/06/18 12:26:01 brouard + Version 0.96 + + Revision 1.86 2003/06/17 20:04:08 brouard + (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added + routine fileappend. + + Revision 1.85 2003/06/17 13:12:43 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that + current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just + prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood + was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by + assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the + interview. + (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column) + we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for + memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left + truncation) + (Repository): No more line truncation errors. + + Revision 1.84 2003/06/13 21:44:43 brouard + * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct + place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called + many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with + parcimony. + Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2) + + Revision 1.83 2003/06/10 13:39:11 lievre + *** empty log message *** + + Revision 1.82 2003/06/05 15:57:20 brouard + Add log in imach.c and fullversion number is now printed. + +*/ +/* Interpolated Markov Chain Short summary of the programme: @@ -48,19 +85,60 @@ It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach . + + Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach + or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so + **********************************************************************/ +/* + main + read parameterfile + read datafile + concatwav + freqsummary + if (mle >= 1) + mlikeli + print results files + if mle==1 + computes hessian + read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm + begin-prev-date,... + open gnuplot file + open html file + stable prevalence + for age prevalim() + h Pij x + variance of p varprob + forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence() + health expectancies + Variance-covariance of DFLE + prevalence() + movingaverage() + varevsij() + if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased) + total life expectancies + Variance of stable prevalence + end +*/ + + + #include #include #include #include +#include +#include +#include "timeval.h" + #define MAXLINE 256 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot" /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/ -#define FILENAMELENGTH 80 +#define FILENAMELENGTH 132 /*#define DEBUG*/ -#define windows +/*#define windows*/ #define GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH -1 /* empty path */ #define GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD -2 /* cannot get cwd */ @@ -75,15 +153,19 @@ #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */ #define AGESUP 130 #define AGEBASE 40 -#ifdef windows -#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\' -#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/' -#else +#ifdef unix #define DIRSEPARATOR '/' #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\' +#else +#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\' +#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/' #endif -char version[80]="Imach version 0.92, February 2003, INED-EUROREVES "; +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.87 2003/06/18 12:26:01 brouard Exp $ */ +/* $State: Exp $ */ + +char version[]="Imach version 0.96, June 2003, INED-EUROREVES "; +char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.87 $ $Date: 2003/06/18 12:26:01 $"; int erreur; /* Error number */ int nvar; int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov; @@ -96,6 +178,8 @@ int popbased=0; int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */ int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */ int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */ +int gipmx, gsw; /* Global variables on the number of contributions + to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/ int mle, weightopt; int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */ int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */ @@ -105,7 +189,13 @@ double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 wa double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */ double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */ FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop; -FILE *ficlog; +FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow; +int globpr; /* Global variable for printing or not */ +double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ +long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */ +double sw; /* Sum of weights */ +char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */ +FILE *ficresilk; FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor; FILE *ficresprobmorprev; FILE *fichtm; /* Html File */ @@ -163,7 +253,8 @@ int estepm; /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/ int m,nb; -int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage; +long *num; +int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage; double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint; double **pmmij, ***probs; double dateintmean=0; @@ -188,15 +279,9 @@ static int split( char *path, char *dirc if ( ss == NULL ) { /* no directory, so use current */ /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL) printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/ -#if defined(__bsd__) /* get current working directory */ - extern char *getwd( ); - - if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) { -#else - extern char *getcwd( ); - + /* get current working directory */ + /* extern char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/ if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) { -#endif return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD ); } strcpy( name, path ); /* we've got it */ @@ -209,11 +294,12 @@ static int split( char *path, char *dirc dirc[l1-l2] = 0; /* add zero */ } l1 = strlen( dirc ); /* length of directory */ -#ifdef windows + /*#ifdef windows if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; } #else if ( dirc[l1-1] != '/' ) { dirc[l1] = '/'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; } #endif + */ ss = strrchr( name, '.' ); /* find last / */ ss++; strcpy(ext,ss); /* save extension */ @@ -311,6 +397,21 @@ void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END)); } +/************************lvector *******************************/ +long *lvector(long nl,long nh) +{ + long *v; + v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long))); + if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector"); + return v-nl+NR_END; +} + +/******************free lvector **************************/ +void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh) +{ + free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END)); +} + /******************* imatrix *******************************/ int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ @@ -365,6 +466,8 @@ double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; return m; + /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) + */ } /*************************free matrix ************************/ @@ -404,7 +507,10 @@ double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay; } - return m; + return m; + /* gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1]) + &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k) + */ } /*************************free ma3x ************************/ @@ -612,11 +718,15 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int del=0.0; printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret); fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret); - for (i=1;i<=n;i++) + fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f",*iter,*fret); + for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]); - fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12f",i, p[i]); + fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]); + fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]); + } printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n"); for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; fptt=(*fret); @@ -972,11 +1082,38 @@ double func( double *x) * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. */ /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ - lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ + if( s2 > nlstate){ + /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution + to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current + step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh + and probability to die before dh-stepm . + In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed + as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other + health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state + and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was + to consider that at each interview the state was recorded + (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we + introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified + the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new + contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit + stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview + and month of death but the probability to survive from last + interview up to one month before death multiplied by the + probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris + Jackson for correcting this bug. Former versions increased + mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop + which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10% + lower mortality. + */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + }else{ + lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ + /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */ + } /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ /*if(lli ==000.0)*/ /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ - ipmx +=1; + ipmx +=1; sw += weight[i]; ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; } /* end of wave */ @@ -1082,7 +1219,42 @@ double func( double *x) ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; } /* end of wave */ } /* end of individual */ - }else{ /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */ + }else if (mle==4){ /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */ + for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ + for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; + for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ + for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++) + for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ + oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + for(d=0; d nlstate){ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + }else{ + lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */ + } + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; +/* printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + }else{ /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */ for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){ for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){ @@ -1104,10 +1276,13 @@ double func( double *x) oldm=newm; } /* end mult */ + s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i]; + s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]; lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */ ipmx +=1; sw += weight[i]; ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; + /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/ } /* end of wave */ } /* end of individual */ } /* End of if */ @@ -1117,22 +1292,157 @@ double func( double *x) return -l; } +/*************** log-likelihood *************/ +double funcone( double *x) +{ + /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */ + int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk; + double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX]; + double **out; + double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */ + double llt; + int s1, s2; + double bbh, survp; + /*extern weight */ + /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */ + /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/ + /*for(i=1;i nlstate && (mle <5) ){ /* Jackson */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); + } else if (mle==1){ + lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ + } else if(mle==2){ + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ + } else if(mle==3){ /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */ + } else if (mle==4){ /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */ + } else{ /* ml>=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */ + lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */ + } /* End of if */ + ipmx +=1; + sw += weight[i]; + ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; +/* printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + if(globpr){ + fprintf(ficresilk,"%ld %6d %1d %1d %1d %1d %3d %10.6f %6.4f\ + %10.6f %10.6f %10.6f ", \ + num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i], + 2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); + for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){ + llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw; + fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw); + } + fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt); + } + } /* end of wave */ + } /* end of individual */ + for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k]; + /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */ + l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */ + if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */ + gipmx=ipmx; + gsw=sw; + } + return -l; +} + + +void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double [])) +{ + /* This routine should help understanding what is done with + the selection of individuals/waves and + to check the exact contribution to the likelihood. + Plotting could be done. + */ + int k; + + if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums no printings */ + strcpy(fileresilk,"ilk"); + strcat(fileresilk,fileres); + if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk); + } + fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n"); + fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight out sav "); + /* i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */ + for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) + fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k); + fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n"); + } + + *fretone=(*funcone)(p); + if(*globpri !=0){ + fclose(ficresilk); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
File of contributions to the likelihood: %s
\n",fileresilk,fileresilk); + fflush(fichtm); + } + return; +} /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/ void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double [])) { int i,j, iter; - double **xi,*delti; + double **xi; double fret; + double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ + char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH]; xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0); printf("Powell\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n"); + strcpy(filerespow,"pow"); + strcat(filerespow,fileres); + if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + } + fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL"); + for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n"); + powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func); - printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p)); + fclose(ficrespow); + printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p)); fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p)); fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p)); @@ -1396,19 +1706,19 @@ void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx } /************ Frequencies ********************/ -void freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2) +void freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint) { /* Some frequencies */ int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j; int first; double ***freq; /* Frequencies */ - double *pp; - double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; + double *pp, **prop; + double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; FILE *ficresp; char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH]; pp=vector(1,nlstate); - probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); strcpy(fileresp,"p"); strcat(fileresp,fileres); if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) { @@ -1416,7 +1726,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp); exit(0); } - freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3); + freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3); j1=0; j=cptcoveff; @@ -1431,8 +1741,12 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag scanf("%d", i);*/ for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) freq[i][jk][m]=0; + + for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) + prop[i][m]=0; dateintsum=0; k2cpt=0; @@ -1446,24 +1760,25 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag if (bool==1){ for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); - if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) { - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2; + /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/ + if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1; + if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2; + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; if (m1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) { + if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3))) { dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; k2cpt++; } - } + /*}*/ } } } - fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); + /* fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ if (cptcovn>0) { fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); @@ -1474,8 +1789,8 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i); fprintf(ficresp, "\n"); - for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ - if(i==(int)agemax+3){ + for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ + if(i==iagemax+3){ fprintf(ficlog,"Total"); }else{ if(first==1){ @@ -1506,10 +1821,11 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++) pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - - for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) + } + for(jk=1,pos=0,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ pos += pp[jk]; + posprop += prop[jk][i]; + } for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ if(pos>=1.e-5){ if(first==1) @@ -1520,14 +1836,14 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk); fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk); } - if( i <= (int) agemax){ + if( i <= iagemax){ if(pos>=1.e-5){ - fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos); - probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos; + fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop); + /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/ /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/ } else - fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos); + fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop); } } @@ -1538,7 +1854,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]); } - if(i <= (int) agemax) + if(i <= iagemax) fprintf(ficresp,"\n"); if(first==1) printf("Others in log...\n"); @@ -1549,14 +1865,14 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; fclose(ficresp); - free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3); + free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3); free_vector(pp,1,nlstate); - + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3); /* End of Freq */ } /************ Prevalence ********************/ -void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass) +void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass) { /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2). @@ -1565,13 +1881,16 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j; double ***freq; /* Frequencies */ - double *pp; - double pos; + double *pp, **prop; + double pos,posprop; double y2; /* in fractional years */ + int iagemin, iagemax; - pp=vector(1,nlstate); - - freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3); + iagemin= (int) agemin; + iagemax= (int) agemax; + /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/ + prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); + /* freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/ j1=0; j=cptcoveff; @@ -1581,10 +1900,9 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ j1++; - for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) - for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) - for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++) - freq[i][jk][m]=0; + for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++) + for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++) + prop[i][m]=0.0; for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */ bool=1; @@ -1597,49 +1915,39 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/ y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */ if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */ - if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1; - if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2; - if (miagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); + if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { + /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/ + prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i]; + prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; + } } } /* end selection of waves */ } } - for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++) - pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++) - pos += freq[jk][m][i]; - } + for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){ - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++) - pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; - } - - for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk]; - - for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ - if( i <= (int) agemax){ - if(pos>=1.e-5){ - probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos; - } - } - }/* end jk */ - }/* end i */ + for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { + posprop += prop[jk][i]; + } + + for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ + if( i <= iagemax){ + if(posprop>=1.e-5){ + probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop; + } + } + }/* end jk */ + }/* end i */ } /* end i1 */ } /* end k1 */ - - - free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3); - free_vector(pp,1,nlstate); -} /* End of Freq */ + /* free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/ + /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/ + free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3); +} /* End of prevalence */ /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/ @@ -1683,30 +1991,37 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int wav[i]=mi; if(mi==0){ if(first==0){ - printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i); + printf("Warning! None valid information for:%ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i); first=1; } if(first==1){ - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! None valid information for:%ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i); } } /* end mi==0 */ - } + } /* End individuals */ for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){ for(mi=1; mi nlstate) { + if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */ if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) { - j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); - if(j==0) j=1; /* Survives at least one month after exam */ - k=k+1; - if (j >= jmax) jmax=j; - if (j <= jmin) jmin=j; - sum=sum+j; - /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ - /* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ + j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); + if(j==0) j=1; /* Survives at least one month after exam */ + else if(j<0){ + printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + j=1; /* Careful Patch */ + printf(" We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview.\n You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm); + printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + fprintf(ficlog," We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview.\n You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm); + } + k=k+1; + if (j >= jmax) jmax=j; + if (j <= jmin) jmin=j; + sum=sum+j; + /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/ + /* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ } } else{ @@ -1716,12 +2031,17 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int if (j >= jmax) jmax=j; else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j; /* if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */ + /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/ + if(j<0){ + printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); + } sum=sum+j; } jk= j/stepm; jl= j -jk*stepm; ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm; - if(mle <=1){ + if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */ if(jl==0){ dh[mi][i]=jk; bh[mi][i]=0; @@ -1744,10 +2064,10 @@ void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int if(dh[mi][i]==0){ dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ - printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i); + /* printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/ } - } - } /* end if mle */ + } /* end if mle */ + } } /* end wave */ } jmean=sum/k; @@ -1829,10 +2149,10 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij double ***gradg, ***trgradg; int theta; - varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage); + varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); xp=vector(1,npar); - dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2); + dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate); fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n"); fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age"); @@ -1878,9 +2198,9 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/ nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */ p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2); - gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); + gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate); + gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */ @@ -1917,11 +2237,12 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){ cptj=cptj+1; for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ + gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.; } } } - for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++) + for(j=1; j<= nlstate*nlstate; j++) for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){ gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta]; } @@ -1929,26 +2250,26 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij /* End theta */ - trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); + trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++) for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j]; - for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++) + for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++) varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.; printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog); for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){ for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){ - matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); - matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]); - for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++) - for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++) + matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov); + matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]); + for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++) varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf; } } @@ -1971,19 +2292,19 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij } fprintf(ficreseij,"\n"); - free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); + free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); } printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); free_vector(xp,1,npar); - free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar); - free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2); - free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar); + free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate); + free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); } /************ Variance ******************/ @@ -2055,15 +2376,15 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d else{ fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij"); } - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - exit(0); - } - else{ - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
  • Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)

  • \n"); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    %s
    \n",digitp); - } +/* if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* exit(0); */ +/* } */ +/* else{ */ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
  • Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)

  • \n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    %s
    \n",digitp); +/* } */ varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath); fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n# (weighted average of eij where weights are the stable prevalence in health states i\n"); @@ -2279,10 +2600,10 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): %s\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months.

    \n", estepm,digitp,digit); + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months.

    \n", estepm,digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); /* fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year

    \n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); */ - fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit); + fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); free_vector(xp,1,npar); free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); @@ -2293,8 +2614,8 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficresprobmorprev); fclose(ficgp); - fclose(fichtm); -} +/* fclose(fichtm); */ +} /* end varevsij */ /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/ void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij) @@ -2458,12 +2779,12 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do else{ fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob"); } - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); - exit(0); - } - else{ +/* if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* exit(0); */ +/* } */ +/* else{ */ fprintf(fichtm,"\n
  • Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals

  • \n"); fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); @@ -2471,7 +2792,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do fprintf(fichtm,"\nWe have drawn ellipsoids of confidence around the pij, pkl to understand the covariance between two incidences. They are expressed in year-1 in order to be less dependent of stepm.
    \n"); fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    We have drawn x'cov-1x = 4 where x is the column vector (pij,pkl). It means that if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2X2) matrix would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 standard deviations wide on each axis.
    When both incidences are correlated we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix and made the appropriate rotation.
    \n"); - } +/* } */ cov[1]=1; tj=cptcoveff; @@ -2518,7 +2839,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){ for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) - xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0); pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate); @@ -2531,7 +2852,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do } for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) - xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0); + xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0); pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate); k=0; @@ -2543,7 +2864,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do } for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) - gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta]; + gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta]; } for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++) @@ -2688,7 +3009,6 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do fclose(ficresprobcov); fclose(ficresprobcor); fclose(ficgp); - fclose(fichtm); } @@ -2701,16 +3021,16 @@ void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){ int jj1, k1, i1, cpt; /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/ - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - } - - fprintf(fichtm,"
    • Result files (first order: no variance)

      \n - - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): p%s
      \n - - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: pij%s
      \n - - Stable prevalence in each health state: pl%s
      \n - - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): +/* if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); */ +/* } */ + + fprintf(fichtm,"
      • Result files (first order: no variance)

        \n \ + - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): p%s
        \n \ + - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: pij%s
        \n \ + - Stable prevalence in each health state: pl%s
        \n \ + - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): \ e%s
        \n
      • ", \ jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,fileres,fileres,stepm,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres); @@ -2730,43 +3050,44 @@ fprintf(fichtm," \n
        • Graphs fprintf(fichtm," ************\n
          "); } /* Pij */ - fprintf(fichtm,"
          - Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before: pe%s%d1.png
          + fprintf(fichtm,"
          - Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: pe%s%d1.png
          \ ",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); /* Quasi-incidences */ - fprintf(fichtm,"
          - Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: pe%s%d2.png
          + fprintf(fichtm,"
          - Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\ + before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: pe%s%d2.png
          \ ",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); /* Stable prevalence in each health state */ for(cpt=1; cpt- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png
          + fprintf(fichtm,"
          - Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png
          \ ",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); } for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) { - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
          - Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.png
          + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
          - Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.png
          \ ",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); } - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
          - Total life expectancy by age and -health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.png
          + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
          - Total life expectancy by age and \ +health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.png
          \ ",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); } /* end i1 */ }/* End k1 */ fprintf(fichtm,"
        "); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n
      • Result files (second order: variances)

        \n - - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: %s
        \n - - Variance of one-step probabilities: prob%s
        \n - - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: probcov%s
        \n - - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: probcor%s
        \n - - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): v%s
        \n - - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): t%s
        \n + fprintf(fichtm,"\n
      • Result files (second order: variances)

        \n\ + - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: %s
        \n\ + - Variance of one-step probabilities: prob%s
        \n\ + - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: probcov%s
        \n\ + - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: probcor%s
        \n\ + - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): v%s
        \n\ + - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): t%s
        \n\ - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: vpl%s
        \n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); - if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n - - Prevalences forecasting: f%s
        \n - - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): pop%s
        \n -
        ",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); - else - fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)

      • \n",popforecast, stepm, model); +/* if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */ +/* - Prevalences forecasting: f%s
        \n */ +/* - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): pop%s
        \n */ +/*
        ",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */ +/* else */ +/* fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)

        \n",popforecast, stepm, model); */ fprintf(fichtm,"
        • Graphs
        • "); m=cptcoveff; @@ -2783,14 +3104,14 @@ fprintf(fichtm,"

          • Graphs"); } for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) { - fprintf(fichtm,"
            - Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident -interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.png
            + fprintf(fichtm,"
            - Observed and period prevalence (with confident\ +interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.png
            \ ",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1); } } /* end i1 */ }/* End k1 */ fprintf(fichtm,"
          "); -fclose(fichtm); + fflush(fichtm); } /******************* Gnuplot file **************/ @@ -2884,9 +3205,9 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff); } } - /* CV preval stat */ + /* CV preval stable (period) */ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { - for (cpt=1; cpt=ageminpar; agec--){ + for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); @@ -3095,7 +3424,7 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h==(int) (YEARM*yearp)) { + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); @@ -3103,25 +3432,26 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr } for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { ppij=0.; - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { if (mobilav==1) - ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec+1][i][cptcod]; + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; else { - ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec+1)][i][cptcod]; + ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; } - if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)) + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); - } - if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ + } + } /* end i */ + if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij); } - } - } + }/* end j */ + } /* end h */ free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - } - } - } - } + } /* end agec */ + } /* end yearp */ + } /* end cptcod */ + } /* end cptcov */ if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); @@ -3144,7 +3474,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp agelim=AGESUP; calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; - prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); @@ -3286,8 +3616,18 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); fclose(ficrespop); -} +} /* End of popforecast */ +int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich) +{ + if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich); + return (0); + } + fflush(fichier); + return (1); +} /***********************************************/ /**************** Main Program *****************/ /***********************************************/ @@ -3295,7 +3635,11 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp int main(int argc, char *argv[]) { int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav); - int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod; + int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod; + int jj; + int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */ + /* FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */ + /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */ double agedeb, agefin,hf; double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20; @@ -3307,7 +3651,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double ***mobaverage; int *indx; char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE]; - char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[80]; + char path[132],pathc[132],pathcd[132],pathtot[132],model[132]; int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */ int c, h , cpt,l; @@ -3317,7 +3661,8 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */ int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; int hstepm, nhstepm; - double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1; + double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000; + double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000; double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase; double ftolpl=FTOL; @@ -3332,23 +3677,51 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */ double *epj, vepp; double kk1, kk2; - double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2; + double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000; char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]; char z[1]="c", occ; -#include -#include + char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80]; + char *strt, *strtend; + char *stratrunc; + int lstra; + + long total_usecs; + struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time; + struct timezone tzp; + extern int gettimeofday(); + struct tm tmg, tm, *gmtime(), *localtime(); + long time_value; + extern long time(); - /* long total_usecs; - struct timeval start_time, end_time; - - gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */ + /* gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */ + (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp); + tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); + tmg = *gmtime(&start_time.tv_sec); + strt=asctime(&tm); + +/* printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strt); */ +/* tp.tv_sec = tp.tv_sec +86400; */ +/* tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); */ +/* tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */ +/* tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */ +/* tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */ +/* tp.tv_sec = mktime(&tmg); */ +/* strt=asctime(&tmg); */ +/* printf("Time(after) =%s",strt); */ +/* (void) time (&time_value); +* printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400); +* tm = *localtime(&time_value); +* strt=asctime(&tm); +* printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strt); +*/ + getcwd(pathcd, size); - printf("\n%s",version); + printf("\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion); if(argc <=1){ printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: "); scanf("%s",pathtot); @@ -3356,13 +3729,13 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) else{ strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]); } - /*if(getcwd(pathcd, 80)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/ + /*if(getcwd(pathcd, 132)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/ /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile); printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/ /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/ split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); - printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + printf("pathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); chdir(path); replace(pathc,path); @@ -3376,9 +3749,12 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) goto end; } fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s",version); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion); fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: "); fprintf(ficlog,"pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname); + + printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strt); + fprintf(ficlog,"Localtime (at start)=%s",strt); fflush(ficlog); /* */ @@ -3391,6 +3767,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile); + fflush(ficlog); goto end; } @@ -3399,29 +3776,38 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso); fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso); + fflush(ficlog); goto end; } /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + numlinepar=0; while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); + numlinepar++; printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); + fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); + fflush(ficlog); while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); - + covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement*/ @@ -3435,15 +3821,24 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); - + param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++) - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + j=0; + for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ + if(jj==i) continue; + j++; fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); if(mle==1) printf("%1d%1d",i,j); @@ -3459,12 +3854,15 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); } fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; if(mle==1) printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); } - + } + fflush(ficlog); + npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ p=param[1][1]; @@ -3473,36 +3871,53 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */ + /* delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */ for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } printf("%1d%1d",i,j); fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]); printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); } fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; printf("\n"); fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); } } + fflush(ficlog); + delti=delti3[1][1]; + + + /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */ /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; puts(line); fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } ungetc(c,ficpar); @@ -3517,13 +3932,12 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]); if(mle==1){ printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); } - else - fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); } fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; if(mle==1) printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); @@ -3537,6 +3951,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fflush(ficlog); /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/ strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */ @@ -3558,7 +3973,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) n= lastobs; severity = vector(1,maxwav); outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); - num=ivector(1,n); + num=lvector(1,n); moisnais=vector(1,n); annais=vector(1,n); moisdc=vector(1,n); @@ -3594,10 +4009,16 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){ cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra); } - num[i]=atol(stra); + lstra=strlen(stra); + if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */ + stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]); + num[i]=atol(stratrunc); + } + else + num[i]=atol(stra); /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){ - printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/ + printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/ i=i+1; } @@ -3613,9 +4034,13 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) }*/ /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; - printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ + printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) + /*if ((s[3][i]==3) || (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08; + else weight[i]=1;*/ + /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ Tprod=ivector(1,15); @@ -3707,27 +4132,36 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) { - if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){ + if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){ anint[m][i]=9999; s[m][i]=-1; } - if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1; + if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ + printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i); + s[m][i]=-1; + } + if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){ + printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); + s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */ + } } } for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); - for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ + for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){ if(s[m][i] >0){ if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { if(agedc[i]>0) - if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999) + if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999) agev[m][i]=agedc[i]; /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/ else { - if (andc[i]!=9999){ - printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i); - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i); + if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){ + printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i); + fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i); agev[m][i]=-1; } } @@ -3736,7 +4170,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) years but with the precision of a month */ agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]); - if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999) + if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999) agev[m][i]=1; else if(agev[m][i] (nlstate+ndeath)) { printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); @@ -3769,6 +4203,13 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) } } + /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ + for (m=firstpass; (m\nIMaCh %s\n %s
          %s
          \ +
          \n\ +Title=%s
          Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s
          \n\ +\n\ +
          \ +
          • Parameter files

            \n\ + - Copy of the parameter file: o%s
            \n\ + - Log file of the run: %s
            \n\ + - Gnuplot file name: %s
            \n\ + - Date and time at start: %s
          \n",\ + fileres,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,\ + model,fileres,fileres,\ + filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strt); + /*fclose(fichtm);*/ + fflush(fichtm); + /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age and prints on file fileres'p'. */ + freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); + +/* if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) { */ +/* printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfilehtm); */ +/* } */ + + +/* if(fileappend(fichtm, optionfilehtm)){ */ + fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); + fprintf(fichtm,"
          Total number of observations=%d
          \n\ +Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f
          \n\ +Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf
          \n",\ + imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean); +/* fclose(fichtm); */ +/* } */ pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */ @@ -3837,6 +4330,18 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */ p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */ + globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/ + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); + globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */ + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */ mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func); } @@ -3868,7 +4373,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) } } } - if(mle==1){ + if(mle!=0){ /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */ ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */ hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func); @@ -3982,9 +4487,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ @@ -3999,42 +4504,14 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); - freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); + /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/ + /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ - /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/ - strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname); - strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp"); - if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); - } - else{ - fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); - fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); - fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n"); - } - fclose(ficgp); printinggnuplot(fileres, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); - /*--------- index.htm --------*/ - strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile); - strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm"); - if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); - } - - fprintf(fichtm," %s
          \n -Title=%s
          Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s
          \n -\n -Total number of observations=%d
          \n -Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf
          \n -
          -
          • Parameter files

            \n - - Copy of the parameter file: o%s
            \n - - Log file of the run: %s
            \n - - Gnuplot file name: %s
          \n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot); - fclose(fichtm); - - printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); + printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\ + model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\ + jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ chdir(path); @@ -4043,7 +4520,7 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_ivector(num,1,n); + free_lvector(num,1,n); free_vector(agedc,1,n); /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ @@ -4158,23 +4635,24 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: } } - varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax); + varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax); fclose(ficrespij); + probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/ if(prevfcast==1){ - if(stepm ==1){ + /* if(stepm ==1){*/ prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff); - if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1); - } - else{ - erreur=108; - printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); - fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); - } + /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/ +/* } */ +/* else{ */ +/* erreur=108; */ +/* printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ +/* fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ +/* } */ } @@ -4208,7 +4686,11 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); - prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */ + prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + /* printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d, mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\ +ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + */ if (mobilav!=0) { mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); @@ -4335,10 +4817,13 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n); free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar); - free_vector(delti,1,npar); + /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/ + free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx); free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8); free_ivector(Tvar,1,15); free_ivector(Tprod,1,15); @@ -4346,9 +4831,8 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: free_ivector(Tage,1,15); free_ivector(Tcode,1,100); - fprintf(fichtm,"\n"); - fclose(fichtm); - fclose(ficgp); + /* fclose(fichtm);*/ + /* fclose(ficgp);*/ /* ALready done */ if(erreur >0){ @@ -4361,9 +4845,20 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog); fclose(ficlog); /* gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/ /* after time */ - - /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/ - /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/ + (void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp); + tm = *localtime(&end_time.tv_sec); + tmg = *gmtime(&end_time.tv_sec); + strtend=asctime(&tm); + printf("Localtime at start %s and at end=%s",strt, strtend); + fprintf(ficlog,"Localtime at start %s and at end=%s",strt, strtend); + /* printf("Total time used %d Sec\n", asc_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);*/ + + printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec); + fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec); + /* printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/ +/* if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */ + fprintf(fichtm,"
          Localtime at start %s and at end=%s
          ",strt, strtend); + fclose(fichtm); /*------ End -----------*/ end: @@ -4377,8 +4872,9 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM); strcat(plotcmd," "); strcat(plotcmd,optionfilegnuplot); - printf("Starting: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); + printf("Starting graphs with: %s",plotcmd);fflush(stdout); system(plotcmd); + printf(" Wait..."); /*#ifdef windows*/ while (z[0] != 'q') {