--- imach096d/src/imach.c 2002/02/27 15:42:00 1.26 +++ imach096d/src/imach.c 2002/03/01 17:56:23 1.28 @@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.26 2002/02/27 15:42:00 lievre Exp $ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.28 2002/03/01 17:56:23 lievre Exp $ Interpolated Markov Chain Short summary of the programme: @@ -94,7 +94,7 @@ int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of step double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 waves */ double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */ double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */ -FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf; +FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop; FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop; FILE *ficreseij; char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH]; @@ -1185,7 +1185,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0; FILE *ficresp; char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH]; - + pp=vector(1,nlstate); probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); strcpy(fileresp,"p"); @@ -1307,7 +1307,7 @@ void freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag } /************ Prevalence ********************/ -void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate) +void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate) { /* Some frequencies */ int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j; @@ -1332,14 +1332,14 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++) for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++) freq[i][jk][m]=0; - + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { bool=1; if (cptcovn>0) { for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]) bool=0; - } + } if (bool==1) { for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); @@ -1347,12 +1347,11 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, int agemax, if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1; if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2; freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i]; - freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i]; + /* freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i]; */ } } } } - for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++) @@ -1910,8 +1909,9 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status: v%s
- Health expectancies with their variances: t%s
- Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: vpl%s
- - Prevalences and population forecasting: f%s
-
",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); + - Prevalences forecasting: f%s
+ - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): pop%s
+
",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); fprintf(fichtm,"
  • Graphs
  • "); @@ -1953,7 +1953,7 @@ fclose(fichtm); } /******************* Gnuplot file **************/ -void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double agemin, double agemax, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ +void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double agemin, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l; @@ -2048,7 +2048,7 @@ fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { for (cpt=1; cpt=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; + + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { + fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + } + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { + kk1=0.;kk2=0; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + if (mobilav==1) + kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; + else { + kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; + } + + } + if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){ + fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1); + + } + } + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + } + } + } + } + + if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + + fclose(ficresf); +} +/************** Forecasting ******************/ +populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double agemin, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ + + int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; + int *popage; + double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; + double *popeffectif,*popcount; + double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; + char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; + + tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + agelim=AGESUP; + calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; + + prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate); + + + strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); + strcat(filerespop,fileres); + if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); + } + printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); + + if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; + + if (mobilav==1) { + mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage); + } + + stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; + if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; + + agelim=AGESUP; + + hstepm=1; + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; + + if (popforecast==1) { + if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); + } + popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); + popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); + popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); + + i=1; + while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; + + imx=i; + for (i=1; i=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; + + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { + fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + } + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { + kk1=0.;kk2=0; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + if (mobilav==1) + kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; + else { + kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; + } + } + if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){ + tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; + /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); + if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/ + } + } + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ + kk1=0.; + for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ + kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; + } + tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; + } + + if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) + fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + } + } + + /******/ + + for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { + fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt); + for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; + + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { + fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + } + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { + kk1=0.;kk2=0; + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { + kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; + } + if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1); + } + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + } + } + } + } + + if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + + if (popforecast==1) { + free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); + free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); + free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); + } + free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + fclose(ficrespop); +} + /***********************************************/ /**************** Main Program *****************/ /***********************************************/ @@ -2155,7 +2411,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod; double agedeb, agefin,hf; - double agemin=1.e20, agemax=-1.e20; + double agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20; double fret; double **xi,tmp,delta; @@ -2168,7 +2424,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH]; char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH]; - char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH]; + char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH]; char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH]; char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH]; @@ -2182,8 +2438,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab; int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; int hstepm, nhstepm; - int *popage;/*boolprev=0 if date and zero if wave*/ - double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2; + double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1; double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase; double ftolpl=FTOL; @@ -2198,9 +2453,8 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */ double *epj, vepp; double kk1, kk2; - double *popeffectif,*popcount; - double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean, calagedate; - double yp,yp1,yp2; + double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2; + char version[80]="Imach version 0.7, February 2002, INED-EUROREVES "; char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]; @@ -2720,16 +2974,16 @@ printf("Total number of individuals= %d, } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage); + fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage); if (fage <= 2) { bage = agemin; - fage = agemax; + fage = agemaxpar; } fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage); - fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage); + fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemaxpar,bage,fage); + fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemaxpar,bage,fage); while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); @@ -2756,9 +3010,9 @@ printf("Total number of individuals= %d, dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.; fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased); - fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - + fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ ungetc(c,ficpar); fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); @@ -2766,14 +3020,28 @@ printf("Total number of individuals= %d, fputs(line,ficparo); } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilav); -fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav); -fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",popforecast,popfile,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav); + + fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilav); +fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav); +fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilav); + + +while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } + ungetc(c,ficpar); + + fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1); + fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); + fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/ - printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, agemin,agemax,fage, pathc,p); + printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, agemin,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ chdir(path); @@ -2786,19 +3054,7 @@ fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ fclose(ficparo); fclose(ficres); - - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ - ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemax, &bage, &fage); - printf("agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax, bage, fage); - fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemax,bage,fage); + /*--------- index.htm --------*/ printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,optionfile,optionfilehtm); @@ -2825,7 +3081,7 @@ fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */ k=0; agebase=agemin; - agelim=agemax; + agelim=agemaxpar; ftolpl=1.e-10; i1=cptcoveff; if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} @@ -2902,139 +3158,20 @@ fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% fclose(ficrespij); - if(stepm == 1) { - /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ - calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; - - - - prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate); - - - strcpy(fileresf,"f"); - strcat(fileresf,fileres); - if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);goto end; - } - printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf); - - free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); - free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); - - if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; - - if (mobilav==1) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage); - } - - stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; - if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; - - agelim=AGESUP; - - hstepm=1; - hstepm=hstepm/stepm; - yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp); - anprojmean=yp; - yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); - mprojmean=yp; - yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); - jprojmean=yp; - if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; - if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; - - fprintf(ficresf,"# Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean); - - if (popforecast==1) { - if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);goto end; - } - popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); - popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); - popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); - - i=1; - while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) - { - i=i+1; - } - imx=i; - - for (i=1; i=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ - nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); - nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; - - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); - - for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) { - fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); - } - for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { - kk1=0.;kk2=0; - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { - if (mobilav==1) - kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; - else { - kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; - } - if (popforecast==1) kk2=kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb]; - } - if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){ - fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1); - - if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficresf," [%.f]", kk2); - } - } - } - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - } - } - } - } - - if (mobilav==1) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - - if (popforecast==1) { - free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); - free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); - free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); - } - - free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); - free_vector(weight,1,n); - fclose(ficresf); - } - /* End forecasting */ + /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ + if(stepm == 1) { + prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1); +if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1); + free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); + free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); + free_vector(weight,1,n);} else{ erreur=108; printf("Error %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d\n", erreur, stepm); } - + /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ strcpy(filerest,"t"); @@ -3119,20 +3256,16 @@ fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=% } } } - - - - fclose(ficreseij); - fclose(ficresvij); + fclose(ficreseij); + fclose(ficresvij); fclose(ficrest); fclose(ficpar); free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1); - /* scanf("%d ",i); */ /*------- Variance limit prevalence------*/ -strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); + strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); strcat(fileresvpl,fileres); if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with variance prev lim resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl); @@ -3140,19 +3273,19 @@ strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); } printf("Computing Variance-covariance of Prevalence limit: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl); - k=0; - for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); - - varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + k=0; + for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); + + varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k); - } + } } fclose(ficresvpl);