From: Agnès Lièvre By substitution of these parameters in the regression model, we obtain the
elementary transition probabilities: This graph plots the conditional transition probabilities from an initial
state (1=healthy in red at the bottom, or 2=disabled in green on the top) at age
@@ -791,7 +791,7 @@ href="http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach/doc/biaspar/erbiaspar.txt">biaspar/erbia
81 5.9775 (0.0873) 3.3484 (0.0933) 2.0222 (0.1230) 4.4520 (0.1320)
For example, life expectancy of a healthy individual at age 70 is 11.0 in the
healthy state and 3.2 in the disability state (total of 14.2 years). If he was
disabled at age 70, his life expectancy will be shorter, 4.65 years in the
@@ -829,9 +829,9 @@ weighted mean of e11 and e21). e.2=3.30 is also the life expectancy at age 70 to
be spent in the disability state. This figure represents the health expectancies and the total life expectancy
-with a confidence interval (dashed line). INED and lievre@ined.fr)
- Transition probabilities:
-Convergence to the period prevalence of
disability: biaspar/pbiaspar11.png
biaspar/pbiaspar11.png
For example 70 11.0180 (0.1277) 3.1950 (0.3635) 4.6500 (0.0871) 4.4807 (0.2187)
means
-e11=11.0180 e12=3.1950 e21=4.6500 e22=4.4807
+e11=11.0180 e12=3.1950 e21=4.6500 e22=4.4807 -Total life expectancy by age and health
expectancies in states (1=healthy) and (2=disable): biaspar/ebiaspar1.png
+href="biaspar/ebiaspar1.png">biaspar/ebiaspar1.png
+with a confidence interval (dashed line).
Standard deviations (obtained from the information matrix of the model) of these quantities are very useful. Cross-longitudinal surveys are costly and do not involve huge samples, generally a few thousands; therefore it is very